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The Accuracy of Balance Model in Predicting Stock Investment During The Covid-19 Pandemic on LQ 45 Index 基于LQ 45指数的新冠肺炎疫情期间股票投资平衡模型预测的准确性
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.193
E. Susanti, Nelly Ervina, Ernest Grace, Sudung Simatupang
In doing investment, an investor certainly avoids risk; thus, the investor needs a model in making predictions to forecast the return of shares. There are two models to predict this: Capital Asset Pricing Capital (CAPM) and Arbitrage Pricing Theory (APT). The purpose of this study is to find out which models are more accurate in determining investment options, especially during the Covid-19 pandemic in companies that are included in the LQ 45 Index group. The population in this study is 50 companies listed in LQ 45 from February 2020 - July 2021. The sampling technique used in this study is purposive sampling. The data used in this study will be processed through Ms.Excel and SPSS Version 21. The data analysis techniques used in this study are the Basic Assumption Test consisting of Normality Test and Homogeneity Test, Mean Absolute Deviation (MAD), and hypothesis testing consisting of independent t-test samples. The results in this study show that Model is accurate in predicting stock returns in the Covid-19 pandemic is a CAPM model this is because the value of MAD CAPM is smaller than mad APT. Furthermore, independent t-test samples showed that H0 was rejected which meant that there was a difference in accuracy between CAPM and APT in calculating the return of LQ 45 shares. The implication of this study are expected to provide references to investors and potential investors as a source of information in decision making to make investments in this pandemic period.
在进行投资时,投资者一定要避免风险;因此,投资者需要一个模型来预测股票的收益。有两个模型可以预测这一点:资本资产定价资本(CAPM)和套利定价理论(APT)。本研究的目的是找出哪些模型在确定投资选择方面更准确,尤其是在新冠肺炎大流行期间,LQ 45指数组中的公司更准确。本研究的人群是2020年2月至2021年7月在LQ 45上市的50家公司。本研究中使用的抽样技术是有目的的抽样。本研究中使用的数据将通过Excel和SPSS Version 21进行处理。本研究中使用的数据分析技术是由正态性检验和同质性检验组成的基本假设检验、平均绝对偏差(MAD)和由独立t检验样本组成的假设检验。本研究的结果表明,模型在预测新冠肺炎大流行中的股票回报率方面是准确的,这是一个CAPM模型,这是因为MAD CAPM的值小于MAD APT。此外,独立t检验样本显示H0被拒绝,这意味着CAPM和APT在计算LQ 45股票回报率时的准确性存在差异。这项研究的含义有望为投资者和潜在投资者提供参考,作为在疫情期间进行投资决策的信息来源。
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引用次数: 1
Orientasi Kewirausahaan dan Inovasi Produk pada Masa Pandemi Covid-19 terhadap Kinerja Pemasaran UMKM di Kota Tangerang Covid-19大流行期间对Tangerang市UMKM营销表现的创业精神和产品创新的新方向
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.147
Humairoh Humairoh, Suharyadi Suharyadi, Edi Rahmat Taufik
The Tangerang City convection MSMEs experienced a shock from a decline in demand due to economic instability caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Tangerang City MSMEs need a survival strategy to be able to maintain their business in the midst of the Covid-19 pandemic. However, the MSMEs of Tangerang City are still experiencing obstacles in their entrepreneurial orientation and product innovation. The purpose of this study was to analyze the effect of entrepreneurial orientation and product innovation on the marketing performance of MSMEs in Tangerang City. The sample is 100 respondents. The research data was obtained by distributing questionnaires to the MSMEs business actors in Tangerang City. The data analysis technique used regression analysis with the help of SPSS software version 22. This study resulted in both partial and simultaneous entrepreneurial orientation and product innovation having a positive and significant effect on marketing performance. This study found that to improve marketing performance, business owners are responsible for finding solutions to obstacles that occur, proactively see opportunities by innovating to create new products to meet the needs of existing customers and new consumers, seek innovation ideas by listening to consumer desires and making products. that has distinctive characteristics, to continue to innovate and improve the quality of the products produced, and to increase business targets and expand product marketing so as to increase profits. The implication of this research is that MSMEs have to use online technology, namely social media and e-commerce market places in order to reach wider consumers, innovate in design and style so as to increase business profits.
由于新冠肺炎疫情造成的经济不稳定,坦格朗市对流中小微企业遭受了需求下降的冲击。坦格朗市中小微企业需要一个生存战略,以便能够在Covid-19大流行期间维持业务。然而,橘子市中小微企业在创业定位和产品创新方面仍存在诸多障碍。本研究旨在分析创业导向与产品创新对坦格朗市中小微企业行销绩效的影响。样本为100名受访者。研究数据是通过对坦格朗市中小微企业经营主体发放问卷获得的。数据分析技术采用回归分析,使用SPSS软件22版。本研究发现,部分创业导向和同时创业导向与产品创新对营销绩效均有显著的正向影响。本研究发现,为了提高营销绩效,企业主有责任找到障碍的解决方案,通过创新创造新产品来满足现有客户和新消费者的需求,主动看到机会,通过倾听消费者的愿望和制造产品来寻求创新的想法。即具有鲜明的特色,不断创新,提高所生产产品的质量,增加经营目标,扩大产品营销,从而增加利润。这项研究的含义是,中小微企业必须使用在线技术,即社交媒体和电子商务市场,以达到更广泛的消费者,创新的设计和风格,以增加企业利润。
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引用次数: 1
Literasi Ekonomi dan Pola Perilaku Konsumsi Masyarakat Kelas Menengah ke Bawah di Era Adaptasi Kebiasaan Baru 经济素量和中产阶级社会消费行为模式在新习惯适应时代
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.186
Muhammad Hasan, Nur Arisah, Rahmatullah Rahmatullah
In the era of adapting to new habits, after the COVID-19 pandemic, in terms of marketing management and consumer behavior, economic literacy is very much needed in making every economic decision, including consumption. This study was conducted as an effort to explore the contribution of economic literacy to consumption behavior patterns in the new adaptation era. This study is a study with a quantitative approach. The population in this study is an active consumer society found in a number of districts/cities in South Sulawesi Province. Sampling was done purposively with criteria based on social, economic, and demographic characteristics, obtained as many as 211 respondents. The data obtained were analyzed using Structural Equation Modeling analysis. The results of this study found that economic literacy has a positive and significant influence on consumption behavior patterns in the era of adaptation to new habits.
在适应新习惯的时代,新冠肺炎大流行后,在营销管理和消费者行为方面,在做出包括消费在内的每一项经济决策时,都非常需要经济素养。本研究旨在探讨经济素养对新适应时代消费行为模式的贡献。本研究采用定量方法进行研究。本研究中的人口是一个活跃的消费社会,分布在南苏拉威西省的多个区/市。根据社会、经济和人口特征的标准进行了有目的的抽样,获得了多达211名受访者。使用结构方程建模分析对获得的数据进行分析。本研究的结果发现,在适应新习惯的时代,经济素养对消费行为模式有着积极而显著的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Identifikasi Hambatan Penerapan Lean di Usaha Kecil dan Menengah (UKM) 确定中小企业的渐进暴露极限(SMU)
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.164
Mochammad Rifky Pamungkas, Erna Maulina, Margo Purnomo
Today's world competition has increased the pressure on Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) to adopt lean implementations. The purpose of this study is to make a small contribution by exploring the Lean Implementation Barrier (LIB) in SMEs through three case studies of SMEs in the city of Bandung. A case study approach is used and followed by the Interpretative Structural Model (ISM) in order to see the inter-LIB relationship. The results of this study indicate that lack of management commitment and leadership, lack of employee involvement and lack of resources are the main obstacles to lean implementation in SMEs in Indonesia. Moreover, poor communication among various levels within the company and inadequate dissemination of knowledge about the benefits of lean also create barriers to lean implementation. The implication of this research is to strengthen and expand information related to research on the application of lean in SMEs, especially the results of the identified barriers that can assist SMEs in implementing lean or future research in developing and identifying barriers to implementing lean in SMEs.
当今世界的竞争加大了中小企业实施精益的压力。本研究的目的是通过对万隆市中小企业的三个案例研究来探讨中小企业的精益实施障碍(LIB),以做出一点小小的贡献。为了了解lib之间的关系,使用了案例研究方法,并遵循了解释结构模型(ISM)。本研究的结果表明,缺乏管理承诺和领导,缺乏员工参与和缺乏资源是印尼中小企业精益实施的主要障碍。此外,公司内部各层次之间沟通不畅,对精益效益的知识传播不足,也对精益的实施造成了障碍。本研究的意义在于加强和扩展与中小企业精益应用研究相关的信息,特别是可以帮助中小企业实施精益的识别障碍的结果或未来在中小企业实施精益的开发和识别障碍的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Pengungkapan Kuantitatif dan Kualitatif Segmen Operasi Berdasarkan PSAK 5 Revisi 2009 (Penyesuaian 2015) di Indonesia 印尼基于PSAK的运营分部5的定量和定性表达2009年修订版(2015年调整版)
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.163
Dewi Diah Fakhriyyah, Irma Hidayati
Reporting of operating segments has become an important concern, therefore there is a PSAK 5 regulation which is continuously updated based on IFRS 8 to improve operating segment reporting. This study aims to examine the application of operating segment disclosure and its determinants in public companies in Indonesia.This research method is quantitative method. The operating segment in the financial statements of the LQ 45 Index’s Company in 2016 is analyzed by scoring to the items required by PSAK 5 Revised 2009 (Amandement 2015). The results showed that the majority cozmpany's compliance level of quantitative information is medium level of compliance,. Quantitative disclosure shows the most reported items are profit loss and total assets, meanwhile the least reported item is other non current assets and main customer information . Meanwhile, the most reported item of qualitative disclosure is the main products and services which generate revenues for the operating segments. This study shows that companies disclose more quantitative information than qualitative. In addition, the good corporate governance mechanism that determines the extent of disclosure of operating segments is institutional ownership and the board of directors. This research has implications for operating segment regulators to do better and contribute to the agency theory and signaling theory.
经营分部的报告已成为一个重要问题,因此有一项PSAK 5法规,该法规根据IFRS 8不断更新,以改进经营分部报告。本研究旨在检验经营分部披露及其决定因素在印尼上市公司中的应用。本研究方法为定量方法。LQ 45指数公司2016年财务报表中的经营分部通过对PSAK 5修订版2009(2015年5月)要求的项目进行评分进行分析。结果表明,大多数公司的量化信息合规水平为中等合规水平,。定量披露显示,报告项目最多的是利润损失和总资产,而报告项目最少的是其他非流动资产和主要客户信息。同时,报告最多的定性披露项目是为运营部门带来收入的主要产品和服务。这项研究表明,公司披露的定量信息多于定性信息。此外,决定经营分部披露程度的良好公司治理机制是机构所有权和董事会。这项研究对运营部门监管机构做得更好并为代理理论和信号理论做出贡献具有启示意义。
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引用次数: 2
Entrepreneurial Marketing dan Jejaring Sosial dalam Usaha Kecil: Studi Kasus tentang Bisnis Petshop di Kabupaten Bandung 小企业的创业营销和社交网络——以万隆县宠物店为例
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.161
Jajang Ginanjar, Margo Purnomo, Erna Maulina
This article aims to examine how small entrepreneurs use social networks to develop and implement marketing strategies. The type of small business studied is the Petshop business. The research method used is qualitative by conducting in-depth interviews and analysis with Petshop entrepreneurs through an entrepreneurial marketing perspective. Ultimately, we found that Petshop entrepreneurs are using social connections through market intelligence, new customer acquisition, and current customer retention to create and deliver more value to customers. Entrepreneurs take steps to build emotional attachments and carry out marketing activities through giving gifts or by approaching customers through the community, and most of the entrepreneurs in the Petshop business in Bandung Regency do marketing through physical (offline) stores and online shops. The majority of entrepreneurs stated that the application of the entrepreneurial marketing concept and strengthening social networks were important in the continuity of the Petshop business, only one Petshop entrepreneur had contradictory statements, especially in the aspect of searching for market information.
本文旨在研究小型企业家如何利用社交网络来制定和实施营销策略。研究的小企业类型是Petshop业务。采用的研究方法是定性的,通过创业营销的角度对Petshop的企业家进行深入的访谈和分析。最终,我们发现Petshop的企业家正在通过市场情报、新客户获取和现有客户保留来利用社会关系,为客户创造和传递更多价值。企业家采取步骤建立情感依恋,并通过赠送礼品或通过社区接近客户来开展营销活动,万隆丽晶Petshop业务的大多数企业家通过实体(线下)商店和网上商店进行营销。大多数创业者都表示运用创业营销理念和加强社交网络对于Petshop业务的连续性很重要,只有一位Petshop创业者的说法是矛盾的,尤其是在寻找市场信息方面。
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引用次数: 0
Literasi Keuangan pada UMKM (Studi Pemetaan Sistematis dan Analisis Co-Authorship pada Basis Data Scopus) UMKM上的金融素数(系统映射研究和Scopus数据库的联合授权分析)
Pub Date : 2021-11-17 DOI: 10.35138/organum.v4i2.132
Y. Maulana, Erna Maulina, Nenden Kostini, Tetty Herawati
Financial literacy has been widely discussed in various countries with a wide range of subject areas, focuses, and loci. The purpose of this paper is to map the trends of scientific publications and map the network of authors on financial literacy, especially in the MSME sector. We have developed bibliometric analysis through VOSviewer software, supplemented by literature reviews. A total of 126 articles were obtained from Scopus related to the topics "financial literacy" and "micro small medium enterprise". We present trends in financial literacy research, author productivity, and journals, as well as detailing the network of co-authorships who have researched and published in the scientific domain. The results of the study are known that 1) The application of financial literacy in MSMEs only appeared in 2010 and experienced a significant upward trend. 2) Penulis most productive comes from china, where there are 2 authors each produce 3 articles. 3) Co-authorship has not been established between writers in each country and between countries. 4) Indonesia contributes financial literacy publications in MSMEs the most compared to other countries, with the number of publications as many as 34 articles. Lastly, the mapping provides an overview of which countries and writers are concentric and collaborate with each other on the topic of financial literacy in MSMEs. 
金融知识在各个国家都有广泛的讨论,涉及广泛的学科领域、重点和地点。本文的目的是绘制科学出版物的趋势,并绘制金融知识作者网络,特别是在中小微企业部门。我们通过VOSviewer软件开发了文献计量分析,并辅以文献综述。在Scopus中共获得126篇与“金融素养”和“微型中小企业”主题相关的文章。我们展示了金融知识研究、作者生产力和期刊的趋势,并详细介绍了在科学领域进行研究和发表的合著者网络。研究结果表明:1)金融素养在中小微企业中的应用仅在2010年才出现,且有明显的上升趋势。2) Penulis最多产的来自中国,那里有2位作者每人发表3篇文章。3)各国作家之间以及国与国之间的共同作者身份尚未确立。4)印尼对中小微企业金融素养出版物的贡献是其他国家中最多的,发表的文章多达34篇。最后,该地图概述了哪些国家和作家在中小微企业的金融素养主题上是同心协力的。
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引用次数: 0
Brand Loyalty dan Pengaruhnya terhadap Keputusan Pembelian 品牌忠诚度及其创始人对购买决策的反对
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.35138/ORGANUM.V4I1.130
Marisi Butarbutar, E. Efendi, Sudung Simatupang
One of the famous culinary industry brands in Pematangsiantar City is Toko Roti Ganda. The famous brand Of Toko Roti Ganda makes many visitors who have an impact on traffic jams. The phenomenon is due to the famous Toko Roti Ganda in the community makes the brand a top priority of the community compared to other brands for visitors who come. This study aims to determine the effect of brand loyalty on purchasing decisions at Toko Roti Ganda. This research was conducted on all residents of Pematangsiantar City and Simalungun Regency who have ever made purchases at the Roti Ganda. Furthermore, the results of respondents obtained from the study were 123 respondents. The research method was carried out by qualitative and quantitative. The results show that the research criteria are declared valid and reliable with the indicators met. For normality results that all research variables are normally distributed, the coefficient of determination shows that brand loyalty can explain purchasing decisions by fifty-four percent. At the same time, the rest is influenced by other factors not discussed in the study. Then the regression equation test shows a positive effect of brand loyalty on purchasing decisions and accepts the hypothesis that brand loyalty affects purchasing decisions. It means that brand loyalty for consumers greatly influences them in making purchase decisions, and brand loyalty can be a factor that can make consumers make decisions about purchases.
Toko Roti Ganda是Pematansiantar市著名的烹饪行业品牌之一。著名的Toko Roti Ganda品牌吸引了许多对交通堵塞有影响的游客。这一现象是由于社区中著名的Toko Roti Ganda使该品牌与其他品牌相比成为社区游客的首要选择。本研究旨在确定品牌忠诚度对Toko Roti Ganda购物决策的影响。这项研究是针对Pematansiantar市和Simalungun摄政区所有曾在Roti Ganda购物的居民进行的。此外,从研究中获得的受访者结果为123人。研究方法采用定性和定量相结合的方法。结果表明,研究标准是有效和可靠的,各项指标均达到要求。对于所有研究变量正态分布的正态性结果,决定系数表明品牌忠诚度可以解释54%的购买决策。同时,其余部分受到研究中未讨论的其他因素的影响。回归方程检验表明品牌忠诚度对购买决策有正向影响,并接受了品牌忠诚度影响购买决策的假设。这意味着消费者的品牌忠诚度在很大程度上影响他们做出购买决策,而品牌忠诚度可能是促使消费者做出购买决策的一个因素。
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引用次数: 0
Sikap Keuangan, Kontrol Perilaku, Efikasi Diri dan Perilaku Keuangan 金钱行为、行为控制、自我效能与金钱行为
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.35138/ORGANUM.V4I1.134
Eka Yusnita Nila Sari, A. K. Anam
The practice of personal financial management among young people is currently getting serious attention, including among students. The problem is based on the implementation of basic financial knowledge which is still minimal. The development of good financial behaviour in students requires special attention because aspects of financial behaviour have a significant influence on their lives after graduating. This study aims to determine the effect of financial attitudes, behavioral control, and self-efficacy on financial behaviour. The type of research carried out is quantitative with primary data through a structured questionnaire. The research sample was selected from one college student with a total of 75 respondents. The sampling technique was purposive sampling on active status students and had completed the Financial Management course. This research is based on The Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB). The results revealed that financial attitudes and self-efficacy affected financial behaviour, while behavioral control did not affect financial behaviour. Good financial behaviour helps improve financial well-being where positive financial behaviour is associated with positive life outcomes
目前,包括学生在内的年轻人都非常重视个人理财。这个问题是基于基本金融知识的实施,这仍然是最少的。培养学生良好的理财行为需要特别关注,因为理财行为的各个方面对他们毕业后的生活有重大影响。本研究旨在探讨理财态度、行为控制和自我效能对理财行为的影响。所进行的研究类型是定量的,主要数据通过结构化的问卷调查。研究样本选自一名大学生,共有75名受访者。抽样方法是对已完成财务管理课程的积极状态学生进行有目的的抽样。该研究基于计划行为理论(TPB)。结果表明,理财态度和自我效能感对理财行为有影响,而行为控制对理财行为没有影响。良好的财务行为有助于改善财务状况,积极的财务行为与积极的生活结果有关
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引用次数: 6
Karakteristik Perusahaan dan Pengungkapan Corporate Social Responsibility Dimoderasi Good Corporate Governance terhadap Nilai Perusahaan 公司的特点和公司社会责任的披露简化了良好的公司价值管理
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.35138/ORGANUM.V4I1.129
Novi Yanti, Sarwani Sarwani, Novika Rosari
Company value is considered necessary for interested parties both internally and externally when making investments. This study examines and analyzes the influence of Company Characteristics (Firm Size, Capital Structure, and Profitability) and Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Disclosure moderated by Good Corporate Governance on Firm Value. There are 188 manufacturing companies on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), the population with 22 sample companies in the 2016-2018 period. The sampling technique was the purposive sampling method. Data were analyzed using multiple linear regression and moderated regression analysis on SPSS. This study indicates that the capital structure and good governance affect firm value, and the firm size variable shows a negative effect. Good Corporate Governance can strengthen the influence of firm size, capital structure, and CSR disclosure on firm value, while good governance weakens the effect of profitability on firm value, which is of interest. 
在进行投资时,公司价值被认为是内部和外部利益相关方所必需的。本研究考察和分析了公司特征(公司规模、资本结构和盈利能力)和良好公司治理调节的企业社会责任披露对企业价值的影响。印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)有188家制造业公司,2016-2018年期间有22家样本公司。抽样技术为目的抽样方法。数据分析采用SPSS多元线性回归和调节回归分析。研究表明,资本结构和良好治理对企业价值有影响,企业规模变量对企业价值有负向影响。良好的公司治理可以强化公司规模、资本结构和社会责任披露对公司价值的影响,而良好的公司治理则会削弱盈利能力对公司价值的影响,这一点值得关注。
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引用次数: 0
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Organum
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