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Effects of the NPL on the banks' profitability during the COVID-19 pandemic: The case of the Republic of Serbia COVID-19大流行期间不良贷款对银行盈利能力的影响:以塞尔维亚共和国为例
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300018m
Nebojša Malenković
During the pandemic caused by the new SARS-COV2 virus, the country's economic performance is lower than before the health crisis. The global health crisis has directly and indirectly affected the economic and financial indicators of almost all countries. Regardless of state financial aid, which inevitably prevented the collapse of the national economy and financial markets, certain economic sectors are still facing the consequences of the crisis. One of the reasons for the lower financial performance of countries in this period is the insufficient readiness of banks to deal with non-profitable loans. This study aims to consider the profitability of the banking sector concerning non-profitable loans in Serbia during the pandemic, using the methods of description, deduction, and regression. In addition, a comparison method was used to assess the ability of banks to deal with non-profitable loans during the previous global financial crisis. For statistical data processing, the official data of the National Bank of Serbia was extracted from the statistical section, as well as from annual and periodic reports. A linear regression model was used to measure the effect of the NPL on the banks' profitability in the period 2008-2021, after the regression assumptions had been successfully tested (such sample adequacy, distribution symmetry, and multicollinearity). Non-profitable loans, income from interest, ROA, and ROE are the variables used in regression modelling. The results showed that non-profitable loans do not have a statistically significant effect on banks' profitability
在新型SARS-COV2病毒引起的大流行期间,该国的经济表现低于卫生危机前。全球卫生危机直接和间接地影响到几乎所有国家的经济和金融指标。尽管国家财政援助不可避免地阻止了国民经济和金融市场的崩溃,但某些经济部门仍然面临着危机的后果。这一时期各国财政表现较差的原因之一是银行处理无利可图贷款的准备不足。本研究旨在利用描述、推导和回归的方法,考虑塞尔维亚银行业在大流行期间有关非营利性贷款的盈利能力。此外,还采用了一种比较方法来评估银行在上一次全球金融危机期间处理非营利性贷款的能力。在统计数据处理方面,塞尔维亚国家银行的官方数据摘自统计部分以及年度和定期报告。在成功检验了回归假设(如样本充分性、分布对称性和多重共线性)之后,使用线性回归模型来衡量2008-2021年期间不良贷款对银行盈利能力的影响。非盈利性贷款、利息收入、ROA和ROE是回归模型中使用的变量。结果表明,非盈利性贷款对银行盈利能力的影响在统计学上并不显著
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of development and effects of electronic trade in Serbia based on SF-TOPSIS and TOPSIS methods 基于SF-TOPSIS和TOPSIS方法的塞尔维亚电子贸易发展及效果分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300023l
R. Lukić
The issues of measuring and analysing the development dynamics and effects of electronic trade are currently topical, significant and complex in any country, including Serbia. In the observed period from 2017 to 2021, according to the obtained empirical results based on the SF TOPSIS method, the largest number of trading companies introducing e-business (IT technology) and e-trading appeared in Serbia in 2017. According to the obtained empirical results based on the classical TOPSIS method, the largest number of trading companies introducing e-business (IT technology) and e-trading was recorded in Serbia in 2019. The following is the ranking according to the SF-TOPSIS method: 2021, 2018, 2019 and 2020. The ranking according to the TOPSIS method is as follows: 2020, 2021, 2018 and 2017. The digitalisation factors of overall business operation of trade industry in Serbia are the global trend and requirements, degree of development of contemporary IT technology and the possibility of application in all the segments of trading operations, the economic climate, financial opportunities, entry of international retail chains, development of multichannel sale-classic and e-retail facilities, around-the clock business operations without time and geographical barriers etc. Considering the positive effects, significantly more should be invested in new information and communication technology in the future.
衡量和分析电子贸易的发展动态和影响的问题目前在包括塞尔维亚在内的任何国家都是热门、重要和复杂的问题。在2017 - 2021年的观察期内,根据SF TOPSIS方法获得的实证结果,2017年塞尔维亚引入电子商务(IT技术)和电子交易的贸易公司数量最多。根据经典TOPSIS方法获得的实证结果,2019年塞尔维亚引进电子商务(IT技术)和电子交易的贸易公司数量最多。以下是根据SF-TOPSIS方法排名:2021年,2018年,2019年和2020年。TOPSIS排名顺序为:2020年、2021年、2018年和2017年。塞尔维亚贸易行业整体业务运营的数字化因素包括全球趋势和需求、当代IT技术的发展程度以及在贸易运营的所有领域应用的可能性、经济气候、金融机会、国际零售连锁店的进入、多渠道销售和电子零售设施的发展、无时间和地理障碍的全天候业务运营等。考虑到积极的影响,未来应该在新的信息和通信技术上投入更多的资金。
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引用次数: 0
Key determinants of consumers' decision making on the purchase of wristwatches on the Serbian market 决定消费者在塞尔维亚市场购买手表的关键因素
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300021n
Daniela Nuševa, Radenko Marić, Goran Vukmirović, Nikola Macura
The COVID-19 pandemic and other global challenges that have appeared in the past years have caused market transformation and crucial changes on the demand side, forcing manufacturers and retailers to rethink their sales and marketing strategies. In particular, high-frequency durable consumer products such as wristwatches have proven to be sensitive. This paper aims to analyze the consumers' needs and define the indicators that directly influence the decisions to buy wristwatches in the Serbian market. The research was organized in two phases. Theoretical research has identified indicators influencing purchase decisions, such as price, brand, design, ease of use, and warranty. Empirical research examined their influence on the purchase decision depending on different segments of respondents: gender, age, education, and employment status. The obtained results showed significant differences as to how the mentioned indicators influence the purchase decision, depending on the demographic indicators. According to these results, a series of measures was proposed to improve the sales and marketing strategy for placing wristwatches on the Serbian market. Guidelines for future research are outlined in the paper.
2019冠状病毒病大流行和过去几年出现的其他全球性挑战导致了市场转型和需求侧的重大变化,迫使制造商和零售商重新思考其销售和营销策略。特别是,手表等高频耐用消费品已被证明是敏感的。本文旨在分析消费者的需求,并定义直接影响塞尔维亚市场购买手表决策的指标。这项研究分为两个阶段。理论研究已经确定了影响购买决策的指标,如价格、品牌、设计、易用性和保修。实证研究考察了他们对购买决策的影响取决于受访者的不同部分:性别、年龄、教育程度和就业状况。所得结果显示,上述指标如何影响购买决策,取决于人口统计指标显著差异。根据这些结果,提出了一系列措施,以改善手表在塞尔维亚市场的销售和营销策略。本文概述了未来研究的指导方针。
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引用次数: 0
The analysis of job characteristics leading to high job satisfaction in Romania 罗马尼亚高工作满意度的工作特征分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300027k
Kinga Kerekes, M. Zaharie, P. Rațiu
Job satisfaction is one of the most analysed job attitudes which may have significant positive consequences on the individual-level and organizational-level performances, too. This is why companies have to analyse the antecedents of job satisfaction. Work design and work characteristics have compelling impact on employees' job satisfaction. The aim of this paper is to identify the work characteristics with the highest impact on job satisfaction across various occupations and positions in Romania. The empirical research had been carried out within the Global Work Design Project initiated by the Academy of Management HR Division, based on the work design questionnaire (WDQ) developed by Morgeson and Humphrey (2006). The Romanian sample consisted of 394 employees from 69 organizations. In our paper we identify the job features and characteristics which lead to high job satisfaction. The findings may have empirical implications on companies' HR strategies not only in Romania, but also in other countries from the Central and Eastern European region.
工作满意度是被分析最多的工作态度之一,它对个人和组织层面的绩效也有显著的积极影响。这就是为什么公司必须分析工作满意度的先决条件。工作设计和工作特征对员工的工作满意度有显著影响。本文的目的是确定对罗马尼亚各种职业和职位的工作满意度影响最大的工作特征。实证研究是在管理学院人力资源部门发起的全球工作设计项目中进行的,基于Morgeson和Humphrey(2006)开发的工作设计问卷(WDQ)。罗马尼亚的样本包括来自69个组织的394名员工。在本文中,我们确定了导致高工作满意度的工作特征和特征。这一发现不仅对罗马尼亚的公司人力资源战略,而且对中欧和东欧地区的其他国家的公司人力资源战略具有实证意义。
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引用次数: 0
The COVID-19 pandemic and its effect on human capital and financial performance: Evidence from Serbian banks COVID-19大流行及其对人力资本和财务绩效的影响:来自塞尔维亚银行的证据
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300022p
Goran Pavlović
Human capital holds significant importance for banks, as it includes specific knowledge and skills. It serves as a crucial determinant of financial performance. However, human capital is susceptible to various factors that can exert negative effects. The COVID-19 stands as one such factor, necessitating bank restructuring and potentially resulting in a depreciation of human capital value and subsequent performance decline. The objective of the research is to investigate the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the human capital of banks in the Republic of Serbia and evaluate its implications on financial performance. The research spanned across all banks operating in the Republic of Serbia throughout the period of 2019 to 2021. The Wilcoxon Signed Rank test was employed to assess the difference in human capital value over the observed period. Furthermore, the regression analysis was implemented to investigate the impact of human capital on ROA, ROE, and NPM. Results showed that COVID-19 pandemic has led to a decrease in the value of human capital in banks in the Republic of Serbia. The financial performance of banks is positively influenced by human capital in the short term. However, over the long term, the value of human capital depreciates, resulting in a diminishing impact on financial performance.
人力资本对银行至关重要,因为它包括特定的知识和技能。它是财务业绩的关键决定因素。然而,人力资本容易受到各种因素的影响,这些因素可能会产生负面影响。COVID-19就是其中一个因素,它迫使银行进行重组,并可能导致人力资本价值贬值和随后的业绩下滑。本研究的目的是调查COVID-19大流行对塞尔维亚共和国银行人力资本的影响,并评估其对财务业绩的影响。该研究涵盖了2019年至2021年期间在塞尔维亚共和国经营的所有银行。采用Wilcoxon sign Rank检验评估人力资本价值在观察期内的差异。在此基础上,对人力资本对ROA、ROE和NPM的影响进行了回归分析。结果显示,2019冠状病毒病大流行导致塞尔维亚共和国银行人力资本价值下降。人力资本在短期内对银行财务绩效有正向影响。然而,从长期来看,人力资本的价值会贬值,导致其对财务业绩的影响逐渐减弱。
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引用次数: 0
Challenges of using digital technologies in audit 在审计中使用数字技术的挑战
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300014v
B. Vuković, Teodora Tica, D. Jakšić
Every company must consider the changes in a digital environment. In the era of digital transformation, the company understands the importance of information technologies, and makes adjustments in the form of structural changes. Modern technology usage provides the possibility of the analysis of previously unimaginable types and amounts of data, and introduces significant changes in the field of auditing. By simplifying the audit work, digitalization has also created new opportunities for IT auditing. The aim of this paper is to present the opportunities and challenges of key digital trends in auditing, or the usage of big data analytics, artificial intelligence, blockchain technology, and robotic process automation. There is an emerging need for auditors to take advantage of digital technology usage and respond to the challenges of digitalization in a systematic and high-quality way. The progress of using digital technologies in auditing is contributing to more reliability and better quality reporting, which is leading to increased trust among stakeholders in the results of audit work.
每个公司都必须考虑数字环境的变化。在数字化转型时代,公司认识到信息技术的重要性,并以结构变革的形式进行调整。现代技术的使用提供了分析以前无法想象的数据类型和数量的可能性,并在审计领域引入了重大变化。通过简化审计工作,数字化也为IT审计创造了新的机会。本文的目的是介绍审计中关键数字趋势的机遇和挑战,或大数据分析、人工智能、区块链技术和机器人过程自动化的使用。审计人员需要利用数字技术的使用,并以系统和高质量的方式应对数字化的挑战。在审计中使用数字技术的进展有助于提高报告的可靠性和质量,从而增加利益相关者对审计工作结果的信任。
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引用次数: 2
Conceptual model of key predictors and consequences of customer satisfaction 顾客满意的关键预测因素和结果的概念模型
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300024d
Nađa Đurić
Satisfied customers represent an important resource for a company. So far research has shown that customer satisfaction has an impact on the return on investment, the growth of the company's market share, and shareholder value. The importance of research on customer satisfaction is seen in the fact that it most often leads to loyalty, which represents an important prerequisite to a company's long-term profitability. In line with the significance of these two concepts in companies' success, the topics of this research are the determinants of customer satisfaction and the relationship between satisfaction and loyalty. The goal of the research is the identification of key variables and the measurement of their respective impact on customer satisfaction. An adapted expectancy-disconfirmation model was used for the identification of key determinants. Satisfaction was viewed as a function of customer expectations and perceived product performance, and an additional component, the company's image. This research was carried out on the territory of the Republic of Serbia through an online survey. The obtained conclusions can help companies in Serbia to better the quality of provided services, with the end goal being achieving an agreeable level of customer satisfaction and loyalty, and with it, higher profitability.
满意的客户是公司的重要资源。到目前为止,研究表明,客户满意度对投资回报率、公司市场份额的增长和股东价值都有影响。顾客满意度研究的重要性体现在它通常会导致忠诚度,这是公司长期盈利的重要先决条件。根据这两个概念在公司成功中的重要性,本研究的主题是客户满意度的决定因素以及满意度与忠诚度之间的关系。研究的目的是识别关键变量,并测量它们各自对客户满意度的影响。一个适应的期望-不确认模型被用于关键决定因素的识别。满意度被视为客户期望和感知产品性能的函数,以及公司形象的附加组成部分。这项研究是在塞尔维亚共和国境内通过在线调查进行的。所得的结论可以帮助公司在塞尔维亚,以更好地提供服务的质量,最终目标是实现一个令人满意的水平的客户满意度和忠诚度,并与它,更高的盈利能力。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of inflation and interest rates on real estate indices in the US and EU 通胀和利率对美国和欧盟房地产指数的影响
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300025c
Danica Cicmil
This paper investigates the relationship between real estate indices, inflation and interest rates in both Europe and the USA. The main objective is to examine the impact of inflation and interest rates on the respective real estate indices and test specific hypotheses. The study utilizes cointegration analysis to assess the long-term equilibrium and the speed of adjustment between the variables. The analysis reveals the presence of cointegrating relationships in both regions, indicating a long-term equilibrium between the variables The findings support the hypothesis that inflation has a significant and positive impact on the real estate indices in both regions. However, the hypothesis stating a significant and negative impact of interest rates on the indices is not supported.
本文研究了欧洲和美国房地产指数、通货膨胀和利率之间的关系。主要目的是考察通货膨胀和利率对各自房地产指数的影响,并检验具体假设。本研究利用协整分析来评估变量之间的长期均衡和调整速度。分析结果表明,两个地区存在协整关系,表明变量之间存在长期均衡。研究结果支持通胀对两个地区房地产指数有显著和积极影响的假设。然而,利率对指数产生显著负面影响的假设不被支持。
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引用次数: 0
Residential real estate analysis in Serbia 塞尔维亚住宅房地产分析
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300019m
Vesna Martin
The analysis of Serbia's residential real estate market is the main goal of this paper. Price movements in that part of the market affect price and financial stability equally, which are thus the main goals of most central banks. Prior to the highly contagious COVID-19 pandemic, there was a gradual increase in the number of transactions involving real estate and prices, with oscillations observed throughout the second quarter of 2020. In this paper, we will present the available databases from the Serbian residential real estate market, as well as regulations that have been in place since the 2000s. By analyzing the trajectory in the long run of the housing credit share to GDP by using a Hodrick-Prescott one-sided filter with the parameter set to 400,000 and correlation and regression analysis, the paper's concluding part will determine whether there is a price bubble in this market segment. According to the analysis, there is currently no price bubble in Serbia's residential real estate market.
对塞尔维亚住宅房地产市场的分析是本文的主要目的。这部分市场的价格变动对价格和金融稳定的影响是平等的,因此这是大多数央行的主要目标。在高度传染性的COVID-19大流行之前,涉及房地产和价格的交易数量逐渐增加,并在整个2020年第二季度出现波动。在本文中,我们将介绍塞尔维亚住宅房地产市场的可用数据库,以及自2000年代以来实施的法规。本文的结论部分将通过参数设置为40万的Hodrick-Prescott单侧滤波和相关回归分析,分析住房信贷占GDP比重的长期轨迹,确定该细分市场是否存在价格泡沫。根据分析,目前塞尔维亚住宅房地产市场不存在价格泡沫。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of low interest rates on the insurance companies' portfolio composition in EU countries 低利率对欧盟国家保险公司投资组合构成的影响
Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.5937/aneksub2300015l
Stevan Luković, M. Pjanić, Božidar Čakajac, Mirela Mitrašević
The paper deals with the impact of low interest rate environment on the insurance companies' portfolio composition in EU countries. The aim of the research is to show that continuously low interest rates could influence insurance companies to become more exposed to risky asset classes, but there is also possibility that insurance companies remain mainly exposed to fixed income assets. The secondary data analysis is carried out to further examine the potential portfolio dynamics in Q4 2017-Q4 2021 period. The results of the analysis show that in most EU countries insurance companies remain invested in fixed-income assets. However, in eight countries (mostly Nordic countries) insurance companies have become significantly more exposed to equity and equity mutual funds, which suggests that portfolio reshaping has taken place in these countries.
本文研究了低利率环境对欧盟国家保险公司投资组合构成的影响。研究的目的是表明,持续的低利率可能会影响保险公司变得更多地暴露于风险资产类别,但也有可能保险公司仍然主要暴露于固定收益资产。二级数据分析是为了进一步研究2017- 2021年第四季度的潜在投资组合动态。分析结果表明,在大多数欧盟国家,保险公司仍然投资于固定收益资产。然而,在八个国家(主要是北欧国家),保险公司对股票和股票共同基金的敞口明显增加,这表明这些国家已经进行了投资组合重塑。
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引用次数: 0
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Anali Ekonomskog fakulteta u Subotici
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