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Managing Risks to Structures 管理结构风险
Pub Date : 2008-08-01 DOI: 10.1680/STBU.2008.161.4.231
D. Blockley
Structural engineering has changed markedly over the last decades, creating new challenges and new opportunities. Consequently, structural engineers are widening their thinking from just technical issues to the effects of other matters on the risks to their structures. In particular there is a need to find better methods for integrating hard and soft risks. Hard systems are physical and technical matters traditionally dealt with by engineering science. Soft systems involve people and include matters traditionally dealt with by engineering management. In order to make improvements, engineers have to combine good-quality evidence from disparate sources, both technical and from wider issues. The current paper demonstrates how disparate evidence can be measured and combined using interval probabilities drawn as colourful ‘Italian flag’ indicators of risk. Process models are used to map the progress of projects. An Italian flag is associated with each process to indicate the level of dependability, based on al...
在过去的几十年里,结构工程发生了显著的变化,创造了新的挑战和新的机遇。因此,结构工程师正在将他们的思维从单纯的技术问题扩展到其他问题对其结构风险的影响。特别是需要找到更好的方法来整合硬风险和软风险。硬系统是传统上由工程科学处理的物理和技术问题。软系统涉及人,包括传统上由工程管理处理的问题。为了进行改进,工程师必须将来自不同来源的高质量证据结合起来,包括技术和更广泛的问题。当前的论文展示了如何使用区间概率作为彩色的“意大利国旗”风险指标来测量和组合不同的证据。过程模型用于映射项目的进度。一个意大利标志与每个过程相关联,以表明可靠性的水平,基于…
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引用次数: 4
Reflective Practice in Engineering Design 工程设计中的反思性实践
Pub Date : 1995-11-01 DOI: 10.1680/ICIEN.1995.28038
W. Dias, D. Blockley
Civil engineers ar valued by society for their knowledge and skills which, though based on theory, are forged through experience. Indeed, the real world is a messy place of complex, interacting systems which time and time again demonstrate the inadequacies of engineering theory. The scientific approach to engineering education does not equip graduates effectively for professional practice. This paper introduces the concept of 'reflective practice', explains how it can be formalized and suggests that it should be adopted alongside the traditional technical rationality approach to teaching engineering design. It involves analysing past failures, using artificial intelligence and, above all, looking at the big picture.
土木工程师的知识和技能受到社会的重视,这些知识和技能虽然是建立在理论基础上的,但却是通过经验锤炼出来的。事实上,现实世界是一个混乱的地方,复杂的,相互作用的系统一次又一次地证明了工程理论的不足。科学的工程教育方法不能有效地使毕业生具备专业实践能力。本文介绍了“反思性实践”的概念,解释了如何将其形式化,并建议在工程设计教学中应与传统的技术理性方法一起采用。它包括分析过去的失败,使用人工智能,最重要的是,着眼于大局。
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引用次数: 19
Analysis of Structural Failures 结构失效分析
Pub Date : 1977-02-01 DOI: 10.1680/IICEP.1977.3259
D. Blockley
In Part 1 a classification of basic types of structural failure is presented. This classification is expanded into a set of parameter statements which could be assessed subjectively in a prediction process. This process is intended to account for a structure failing due to causes other than stochastic variations in load and strength. The parameters are assessed for 23 major structural accidents and one existing structure and are analysed using a simple numerical interpretation. The accidents are ranked in their order of inevitability. Human errors of one form or another proved to be the dominant reasons for the failures considered. A simplified form of the proposed procedure for predicting the likelihood of structural accidents is outlined in Part II. This is then applied to the 24 accident parameter assessments made in Part I. The concept of fuzzy sets is used.
第一部分对结构破坏的基本类型进行了分类。这种分类被扩展成一组参数陈述,这些参数陈述可以在预测过程中进行主观评估。这个过程的目的是解释结构的失败,由于载荷和强度的随机变化以外的原因。对23个重大结构事故和一个现有结构的参数进行了评估,并采用简单的数值解释进行了分析。这些事故是按其不可避免的程度排列的。这种或那种形式的人为错误被证明是所考虑的失败的主要原因。第二部分概述了预测结构事故可能性的拟议程序的简化形式。然后将其应用于第一部分所做的24个事故参数评估。使用模糊集的概念。
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引用次数: 34
Selected Bibliography of Works Cited 引用作品参考书目选
Pub Date : 1976-01-31 DOI: 10.4159/HARVARD.9780674330207.C6
E. J. Richards
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引用次数: 0
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Building Bridges
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