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Sanctions for Repeat Offenders: A Question of Wealth? 对惯犯的制裁:财富问题?
Pub Date : 2017-04-06 DOI: 10.1111/sjpe.12126
Wolfgang Eggert, Steffen Minter, M. Stephan, Handirk von Ungern‐Sternberg
In a two-period standard law-enforcement model, individuals observe or break the law. In addition, individuals may offend accidentally. When sanctions are limited by individual wealth constraints, the government chooses appropriate sanctions for first and repeat offenders and the level of monitoring. We assume a welfare-oriented government and derive subgame-perfect equilibria for constant, increasing and decreasing sanctions depending on the individual wealth level.
在两期标准执法模型中,个人要么遵守法律,要么违法。此外,个人可能会无意中冒犯他人。当制裁受到个人财富约束的限制时,政府会选择对初犯和惯犯的适当制裁以及监控水平。我们假设一个以福利为导向的政府,并根据个人财富水平推导出恒定、增加和减少制裁的亚博弈完美均衡。
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引用次数: 1
The Social Cost of a Racially Targeted Police Encounter 种族歧视警察遭遇的社会成本
Pub Date : 2017-03-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3015035
M. Cohen
This paper identifies the individual components of social harm associated with a hypothetical racially targeted police encounter. Individuals who believe they are being targeted by police because they are members of a racial minority may suffer from fear of physical harm and humiliation by the encounter itself. However, the very fact that individuals will be racially targeted for a police encounter also causes harm to other members of the minority group even if they are not directly subject to an unwarranted encounter. In addition to fear and anxiety over the risk of such an encounter, they will often undertake costly avoidance behaviors to reduce their risk, or to mitigate the risk of any harm if such an encounter occurs. In addition, other members of society who value a nondiscriminatory policing policy might be willing to pay to reduce such unwarranted police encounters, and hence suffer a loss from this policing policy. In addition to discussing possible methodologies for estimating these cost components, this paper raises several issues that must be resolved – such as how to deal with the difference between perceived and actual racially targeted police encounters.
本文确定了与假设的以种族为目标的警察遭遇有关的社会危害的个别组成部分。那些认为自己是少数族裔而被警察盯上的人,可能会因为遭遇本身而感到身体上的伤害和羞辱。然而,在警察的遭遇中,个人将成为种族歧视的目标,这一事实也会对少数群体的其他成员造成伤害,即使他们没有直接受到无端的遭遇。除了对这种遭遇的风险感到恐惧和焦虑之外,他们通常会采取代价高昂的回避行为来降低风险,或者减轻这种遭遇发生时受到伤害的风险。此外,重视非歧视性警务政策的其他社会成员可能愿意花钱减少这种无端的警察遭遇,因此遭受这种警务政策的损失。除了讨论估算这些成本组成部分的可能方法外,本文还提出了几个必须解决的问题,例如如何处理感知到的和实际的种族歧视警察遭遇之间的差异。
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引用次数: 12
Performance and Sustainability of Higher Education: Key Indicators versus Academic Values 高等教育的绩效和可持续性:关键指标与学术价值
Pub Date : 2017-03-30 DOI: 10.9770/JSSI.2017.6.3(14)
Vyacheslav V. Volchik, E. Maslyukova
Reforming higher education and science in the world is associated with the widespread introduction of the indicators aimed at promoting their sustainability, productivity, and efficiency. The introduction of new educational technologies and the development of networks in education allow us to speak about the effect of increasing returns and mostly positive feedback. The instability inherent in such processes is an important factor for institutional change. Higher education and the professions associated with it, become large-scaled, which determines the use of indicators in the management plan. Exogenously introduced target indicators of development negatively affect the existing academic freedom and values, as well as hinder their reproduction. This paper attempts to understand the limitations of quantitative indicators and their impact on the adaptive strategies of the actors achieving them. We think that it is necessary to pay more attention to the problems of academic culture and values as important factors in both economic and social performance. It should be considered that education as a specific type of activity and institution is associated with the production of public goods and trust, and performs an important social function. We scrutinize the system of higher education through the prism of applying development target indicators as a tool of public policy. Our results seem to justify the importance of integrating institutions, values and self-governance mechanisms that promote long-term sustainable development.
改革世界高等教育和科学与广泛引入旨在促进其可持续性、生产力和效率的指标有关。新的教育技术的引进和教育网络的发展使我们能够谈论增加回报和主要是积极反馈的影响。这种进程中固有的不稳定性是体制变革的一个重要因素。高等教育和与之相关的专业变得规模化,这决定了管理计划中指标的使用。外源引入的发展目标指标对现有的学术自由和学术价值产生负面影响,并阻碍其再生产。本文试图了解定量指标的局限性及其对实现这些指标的行为者的适应策略的影响。我们认为有必要更多地关注作为经济和社会绩效重要因素的学术文化和价值观问题。应该认为,教育作为一种特殊类型的活动和制度,与公共产品的生产和信任有关,具有重要的社会功能。我们通过将发展目标指标作为公共政策工具的棱镜来审视高等教育体系。我们的研究结果似乎证明了整合促进长期可持续发展的机构、价值观和自治机制的重要性。
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引用次数: 18
Industrial Investments in Energy Efficiency: A Good Idea? 工业能效投资:好主意?
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2897003
Mary Jialin Li
Yes, from an energy-saving perspective. No, once we factor in the negative output and productivity adoption effects. These are the main conclusions we reach by conducting the first large-scale study on cogeneration technology adoption – a prominent form of energy-saving investments – in the U.S. manufacturing sector, using a sample that runs from 1982 to 2010 and drawing on multiple data sources from the U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Energy Information Administration. We first show through a series of event studies that no differential trends exist in energy consumption nor production activities between adopters and never-adopters prior to the adoption event. We then compute a distribution of realized returns to energy savings, using accounting methods and regression methods, based on our difference-in-difference estimator. We find that (1) significant heterogeneity exists in returns; (2) unlike previous studies in the residential sector, the realized and projected returns to energy savings are roughly consistent in the industrial sector, for both private and social returns; (3) however, cogeneration adoption decreases manufacturing output and productivity persistently for at least the next 7-10 years, relative to the control group. Our IV strategies also show sizable decline in TFP post adoption.
是的,从节能的角度来看。不,一旦我们考虑到负产出和生产率采用效应。这是我们对美国制造业采用热电联产技术(一种重要的节能投资形式)进行的首次大规模研究得出的主要结论,研究使用了1982年至2010年的样本,并利用了来自美国人口普查局和美国能源情报署的多种数据来源。我们首先通过一系列事件研究表明,在采用事件之前,采用者和非采用者之间的能源消耗和生产活动不存在差异趋势。然后,我们根据我们的差中差估计器,使用会计方法和回归方法计算节能实现回报的分布。研究发现:(1)收益存在显著异质性;(2)与先前在住宅领域的研究不同,在工业领域,节能的实际回报和预期回报大致一致,无论是私人回报还是社会回报;(3)然而,与对照组相比,采用热电联产至少在未来7-10年内会持续降低制造业产量和生产率。我们的IV策略也显示TFP在采用后大幅下降。
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引用次数: 0
Housing Needs of American Indians and Alaska Natives in Tribal Areas: A Report from the Assessment of American Indian, Alaska Native, and Native Hawaiian Housing Needs: Executive Summary 美国印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民在部落地区的住房需求:美国印第安人、阿拉斯加原住民和夏威夷原住民住房需求评估报告:执行摘要
Pub Date : 2017-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.3055776
N. Pindus, Thomas Kingsley, J. Biess, Diane K. Levy, J. Simington, Christopher Hayes
During the past two decades, although improvements have been made, the overcrowding and physical housing problems of American Indians and Alaska Natives (AIANs) living on reservations and other tribal areas remain strikingly more severe than those of other Americans. Particular circumstances of tribal areas — remoteness, lack of infrastructure, and complex legal and other constraints related to land ownership — make it extremely difficult to improve housing conditions in those areas, although it is important to point out that tribal area housing problems and the barriers to addressing them are much more challenging in some locations and regions of the country than in others. This main final report includes the principal findings and conclusions of the Assessment of American Indian, Alaska Native, and Native Hawaiian Housing Needs, a congressionally mandated study funded by HUD and carried out by the Urban Institute and its subcontractors, Econometrica, Inc.; NORC at the University of Chicago; and Support Services International, Inc.
在过去的二十年里,虽然有了一些改善,但居住在保留地和其他部落地区的美国印第安人和阿拉斯加原住民的过度拥挤和实际住房问题仍然比其他美国人严重得多。部落地区的特殊情况- -偏远、缺乏基础设施以及与土地所有权有关的复杂法律和其他限制- -使改善这些地区的住房条件极为困难,尽管必须指出,部落地区的住房问题和解决这些问题的障碍在该国的一些地点和地区比在其他地方和地区更具挑战性。这份主要的最终报告包括美国印第安人、阿拉斯加原住民和夏威夷原住民住房需求评估的主要发现和结论,这是一项由国会授权的研究,由HUD资助,由城市研究所及其分包商Econometrica, Inc.执行;芝加哥大学NORC;和国际支持服务公司
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引用次数: 24
Does Standardized Testing Make Best High School Students Dumber? 标准化考试会让最优秀的高中生变傻吗?
Pub Date : 2016-12-22 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2888796
Krzysztof Rybiński
There is an ongoing heated debate about the usefulness of standardized testing in assessing students achievements. This paper presents new findings showing that both groups: critics and proponents of standardized testing are right. We show that standardized tests do a good job in determining which students have well developed problem solving and critical thinking skills, and which ones lack such skills. But within the group of highly skilled students standardized tests are harmful. Best students on average have worse standardized test scores. These conclusions are based on the results of a large experiment conducted among 4300 high school students in Kazakhstan. We compared student scores on standardized test used to determine which high school students are eligible for state grants financing university education, with the same students scores in specially designed test measuring such skills as problem solving, critical thinking and student IQ level. Then using a survey of a random sample of 182 students participating in the experiment we tested for other ways to determine student intellectual ability. We found that the number of books at home and the level of English as a foreign language are good predictors of student intellectual ability, which is consistent with findings in other countries. Therefore universities are advised to consider these characteristics during university entrance process.
关于标准化考试在评估学生成绩方面是否有用,一直存在着激烈的争论。本文提出的新发现表明,标准化考试的批评者和支持者都是正确的。我们表明,标准化考试在确定哪些学生有很好的解决问题和批判性思维能力,哪些学生缺乏这些技能方面做得很好。但在高技能学生群体中,标准化考试是有害的。平均而言,最优秀的学生的标准化考试成绩较差。这些结论是基于在哈萨克斯坦4300名高中生中进行的一项大型实验的结果。我们比较了用于确定哪些高中生有资格获得国家资助大学教育的标准化测试的学生分数,以及同样的学生在专门设计的测试中的分数,这些测试衡量的是解决问题、批判性思维和学生智商水平等技能。然后,我们对182名参与实验的学生进行了随机抽样调查,测试了其他确定学生智力的方法。我们发现,家里的书籍数量和英语作为外语的水平是学生智力的良好预测指标,这与其他国家的研究结果一致。因此,建议大学在大学入学过程中考虑这些特点。
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引用次数: 0
Consistency and Robustness in Forecasting for Emerging Technologies: The Case of Li-ion Batteries for Electric Vehicles 新兴技术预测的一致性和稳健性:以电动汽车用锂离子电池为例
Pub Date : 2016-11-12 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2868386
Apurba Sakti, I. Azevedo, E. Fuchs, Jeremy J. Michalek, K. Gallagher, J. Whitacre
There are a large number of accounts about rapidly declining costs of batteries with potentially transformative effects, but these accounts often are not based on detailed design and technical information. Using a method ideally suited for that purpose, we find that when experts are free to assume any battery pack design, a majority of the cost estimates are consistent with the ranges reported in the literature, although the range is notably large. However, we also find that 55% of relevant experts’ component-level cost projections are inconsistent with their total pack-level projections, and 55% of relevant experts’ elicited cost projections are inconsistent with the cost projections generated by putting their design- and process-level assumptions into our process-based cost model (PBCM). These results suggest a need for better understanding of the technical assumptions driving popular consensus regarding future costs. Approaches focusing on technological details first, followed by non-aggregated and systemic cost estimates while keeping the experts aware of any discrepancies, should they arise, may result in more accurate forecasts.    
有大量关于电池成本迅速下降并具有潜在变革性影响的报道,但这些报道往往没有基于详细的设计和技术信息。使用一种非常适合这一目的的方法,我们发现,当专家可以自由地假设任何电池组设计时,大多数成本估算与文献中报道的范围一致,尽管范围非常大。然而,我们也发现55%的相关专家的组件级成本预测与他们的总包级预测不一致,55%的相关专家的成本预测与将他们的设计和过程级假设纳入我们的基于过程的成本模型(PBCM)所产生的成本预测不一致。这些结果表明,有必要更好地理解推动有关未来成本的普遍共识的技术假设。首先关注技术细节的方法,然后是非汇总和系统的成本估计,同时让专家了解任何差异,如果它们出现,可能会导致更准确的预测。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Disclosures of Alternative Pay Measures and Their Role in Say on Pay Approval 替代薪酬措施披露的决定因素及其在薪酬批准话语权中的作用
Pub Date : 2016-10-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2849325
Brandy Hadley
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the determinants of the increase in firms’ reporting of alternative pay measures in Pay for Performance disclosures and their role in subsequent Say on Pay approval. Design/methodology/approach This study explores the most common types of supplemental compensation disclosures used in Pay for Performance discussions using a hand-collected sample of S&P 500 proxy statements from 2012-2014. The sample compares key characteristics of firms reporting “pocketed” pay, “market-value” pay, and “peer comparison” percentile ranking pay compared to firms that do not use these alternatives. Findings Results suggest that firms use alternative pay measures in their Pay for Performance disclosures for different reasons. While “pocketed” pay reporters show characteristics of opportunistic disclosures and “peer comparison” reporters tend toward informative disclosure, there is often a significant positive impact of disclosing additional compensation information on Say on Pay approval when combating prior poor Say on Pay support. However, the effect seems most significant for peer comparisons, indicating the value of reporting comparative pay. Originality/value This study provides insights into the increasing use of alternative pay measures, and through these measures, identifies an additional mechanism of firms’ responses to Say on Pay votes. In addition, this study highlights the importance of standardized Pay for Performance disclosures to improve informativeness and comparability in financial reporting across firms. Finally, the study provides additional evidence of opportunistic disclosure by firms in order to preserve executive pay.
本文的目的是研究公司在绩效薪酬披露中报告替代薪酬措施的决定因素及其在随后的薪酬批准中所起的作用。本研究通过2012-2014年手工收集的标准普尔500指数委托书样本,探讨了绩效薪酬讨论中最常见的补充薪酬披露类型。该样本比较了报告“口袋”薪酬、“市场价值”薪酬和“同行比较”百分比薪酬的公司与不使用这些替代方案的公司的关键特征。研究结果表明,由于不同的原因,公司在其绩效薪酬披露中使用了替代薪酬措施。虽然“囊中羞涩”的薪酬记者表现出机会主义披露的特点,而“同行比较”的记者倾向于信息披露,但在与之前较差的薪酬支持作斗争时,披露额外的薪酬信息往往会产生显著的积极影响。然而,这种影响似乎在同行比较中最为显著,这表明报告比较薪酬的价值。独创性/价值本研究提供了对越来越多地使用替代薪酬措施的见解,并通过这些措施,确定了公司对Say on pay投票的反应的附加机制。此外,本研究强调了标准化绩效薪酬披露对于提高公司财务报告的信息性和可比性的重要性。最后,该研究还提供了额外的证据,证明公司为了保持高管薪酬而进行投机披露。
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引用次数: 7
Beyond Equal Rights: Equality of Opportunity in Political Participation 超越平等权利:政治参与中的机会平等
Pub Date : 2016-10-10 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2860079
P. Hufe, A. Peichl
It is well understood that political participation is stratified by socio-economic characteristics. Yet it is an open question how this finding bears on the normative evaluation of the democratic process. In this paper we argue that the equality of opportunity (EOp) concept furnishes an attractive framework to answer this question. Drawing on the analytical tools developed by an expanding empirical literature on EOp we investigate to what extent political participation is determined by factors that lie beyond individual control (circumstances) and thus is unfairly distributed. Using rich panel data from the US, we find that a lack of political opportunity is particularly pronounced for contacts with offcials, participation in rallies and marches, and membership in political organizations. These opportunity shortages tend to complement each other across activities and persist over time. While family characteristics and psychological dispositions during childhood emanate as the strongest determinants, genetic variation is a small yet significant contributor to unequal political opportunities in the US.
众所周知,政治参与是按社会经济特征分层的。然而,这一发现如何影响对民主进程的规范评估,仍是一个悬而未决的问题。在本文中,我们认为机会均等(EOp)概念提供了一个有吸引力的框架来回答这个问题。利用不断扩大的实证文献开发的分析工具,我们调查了政治参与在多大程度上是由超出个人控制(环境)的因素决定的,因此是不公平分配的。利用来自美国的丰富面板数据,我们发现,在与官员接触、参加集会和游行以及加入政治组织方面,政治机会的缺乏尤为明显。这些机会短缺往往会在各个活动中相互补充,并持续一段时间。虽然家庭特征和童年时期的心理倾向是最重要的决定因素,但遗传变异是美国政治机会不平等的一个小而重要的因素。
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引用次数: 4
Retargeting Ads for Shopping Cart Recovery: Evidence from Online Field Experiments 重新定位购物车恢复广告:来自在线现场实验的证据
Pub Date : 2016-10-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2847631
Takeshi Moriguchi, Guiyang Xiong, Xueming Luo
Online marketers have widely adopted retargeting ads to convert customers who had previously browsed the websites or abandoned shopping carts. Yet, the effectiveness of such retargeting remains unclear. This study exploits several randomized field experiments to test how the effects of retargeting ads vary depending on the ad copy content and purchase funnel stages. The experimental results suggest that compared to the hold out without retargeting, the retargeting ads in lower funnel based on shopping cart abandonment history can engender significant incremental purchase responses. The effects are driven by the ad copy that highlights product return information rather than product reminder or shipping content. Due to the lack of touch, feel, and product trial of online orders, the ad copy with product returns can nudge customers to try the products with reduced online shopping risks and, thus, increase the purchase conversation rates. The net revenue for retargeting ads with product return information is about 49.7% larger than the conventional retargeting ads with production information. Also, a causal comparison with similar and randomly assigned customers suggests that the lower funnel retargeting is about 2.25 times as effective as the upper funnel retargeting in lifting purchase rates. These findings implicate that retargeting ads with customer services of product return information can effectively recover the shopping carts and boost sales revenues.
网络营销人员已经广泛采用重新定位广告来转化以前浏览过网站或放弃购物车的客户。然而,这种重新定位的有效性仍不清楚。本研究利用几个随机领域实验来测试重定向广告的效果如何根据广告文案内容和购买渠道阶段而变化。实验结果表明,与不进行重定向的hold out相比,基于购物车放弃历史的低漏斗重定向广告可以产生显著的增量购买反应。这种效果是由广告文案驱动的,它突出了产品退货信息,而不是产品提醒或发货内容。由于网络订单缺乏触感和产品试用,带有产品退货的广告文案可以促使顾客尝试产品,降低网上购物风险,从而提高购买对话率。带有产品返回信息的重定向广告的净收入比带有产品信息的传统重定向广告高出约49.7%。此外,与相似和随机分配的客户进行因果比较表明,在提高购买率方面,下漏斗重定向的效果约为上漏斗重定向的2.25倍。这些发现表明,重新定位广告与客户服务的产品退货信息可以有效地恢复购物车和提高销售收入。
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引用次数: 10
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ERN: Primary Taxonomy (Topic)
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