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Pathways to Housing Tax Reform 住房税改革之路
Pub Date : 2018-07-05 DOI: 10.18408/AHURI-4111001
Richard E. Eccleston, J. Verdouw, K. Flanagan, N. Warren, A. Duncan, R. Ong, S. Whelan, Kadir Atalay
This research is the final report of the AHURI Inquiry into ‘Pathways to Housing Tax Reform in Australia’. It features real-world modelling and implementation time frames to steer tax settings that progress the efficiency, equity and sustainability of housing tax policy, and also presents meaningful long-term political pathways to achieve these outcomes.
这项研究是AHURI调查“澳大利亚住房税改革之路”的最终报告。它以现实世界的建模和实施时间框架为特色,指导税收设置,提高住房税政策的效率、公平性和可持续性,并提出了实现这些成果的有意义的长期政治途径。
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引用次数: 12
Strategic Experimentation With Humped Bandits 驼背土匪的战略试验
Pub Date : 2018-05-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3174107
S. Boyarchenko
Models of learning and experimentation based on two-armed Poisson bandits addressed several important aspects related to strategic and motivational learning, but they are not suitable to study effects that accumulate over time. We propose a new class of models of strategic experimentation which are almost as tractable as exponential models, but incorporate such realistic features as dependence of the expected rate of news arrival on the time elapsed since the start of an experiment. In these models, the experiment is stopped before news is realized whenever the rate of arrival of news reaches a critical level. This leads to longer experimentation times for experiments with possible breakthroughs than for equivalent experiments with failures. In experimentation models with multiple players, either no player stops before the first failure is observed, or all players stop simultaneously before the first failure. We also demonstrate a crowding out effect in models with profitable breakthroughs.
基于双臂泊松强盗的学习和实验模型解决了与战略和动机学习相关的几个重要方面,但它们不适合研究随时间积累的影响。我们提出了一种新的战略实验模型,它几乎和指数模型一样易于处理,但结合了这样的现实特征,如新闻到达的预期率依赖于实验开始后经过的时间。在这些模型中,当新闻到达的速度达到临界水平时,在新闻实现之前就停止实验。这导致有可能取得突破的实验比失败的等效实验需要更长的实验时间。在多人参与的实验模型中,要么没有玩家在第一次失败前停止,要么所有玩家在第一次失败前同时停止。我们还证明了在具有盈利突破的模型中存在挤出效应。
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引用次数: 4
The Continuous Treatment Effect of an Antipoverty Program on Children's Educational Attainment: Colombia's Familias En Accion 反贫困项目对儿童教育成就的持续治疗效果:哥伦比亚的家庭行动
Pub Date : 2018-02-15 DOI: 10.1111/rode.12380
J. M. Villa
Educational attainment is an important element in the formation of human capital. Although many developing countries have made strong efforts to expand the coverage of education services, children in poor households still struggle to attend school on a regular basis. Human development conditional cash transfers (known as CCTs) have emerged in response to this situation in developing countries. While the effects of the CCTs are well known and widely documented, their effects in relation to educational attainment and school participation are still unclear. This paper looks empirically into the continuous treatment effects of participation length in Familias en Accion, a CCT program in Colombia. The paper focuses on the continuous treatment effects on school registration and educational attainment of participants in the program. Although initial results show a fuzzy relationship between the program outcomes and the participation length, the empirical results confirm the fact that a longer exposure to the antipoverty program led to higher school registration rates, accumulation of years of education, and lower child labor participation levels.
学历是人力资本形成的重要因素。虽然许多发展中国家为扩大教育服务的覆盖面作出了巨大努力,但贫困家庭的儿童仍然难以正常上学。针对发展中国家的这种情况,出现了人类发展有条件现金转移支付(称为有条件现金转移支付)。虽然有条件现金转移支付的影响是众所周知的,并被广泛记录,但它们对受教育程度和学校参与的影响仍不清楚。本文对哥伦比亚的有条件现金转移支付项目“家庭行动”的持续治疗效果进行了实证研究。本文重点研究了持续治疗对项目参与者入学和学历的影响。虽然初步结果显示项目成果与参与时间之间的关系模糊,但实证结果证实了这样一个事实,即接受扶贫项目时间越长,入学率越高,受教育年限越长,童工参与率越低。
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引用次数: 3
Do Natives' Beliefs About Refugees' Education Level Affect Attitudes Toward Refugees? Evidence from a Randomized Survey Experiments 当地人对难民教育程度的看法是否影响对难民的态度?随机调查实验的证据
Pub Date : 2018-01-23 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3129985
Philipp Lergetporer, Marc Piopiunik, Lisa Simon
In recent years, Europe has experienced an unprecedented influx of refugees. While natives’ attitudes toward refugees are decisive for the political feasibility of asylum policies, little is known about how these attitudes are shaped by refugees’ characteristics. We conducted survey experiments with more than 5,000 university students in Germany in which we exogenously shifted participants’ beliefs about refugees’ education level through information provision. Consistent with economic theory, we find that beliefs about refugees’ education significantly affect concerns about labor market competition. These concerns, however, do not translate into general attitudes because economic aspects are rather unimportant for forming attitudes toward refugees.
近年来,欧洲经历了前所未有的难民潮。虽然当地人对难民的态度对庇护政策的政治可行性起着决定性的作用,但人们对难民的特点如何影响这些态度却知之甚少。我们对德国5000多名大学生进行了调查实验,我们通过信息提供外生性地改变了参与者对难民教育水平的看法。与经济理论一致,我们发现关于难民教育的信念显著影响对劳动力市场竞争的关注。然而,这些关切并不能转化为一般的态度,因为经济方面对于形成对难民的态度是相当不重要的。
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引用次数: 8
Narrative in Advertising: Persuading the Nigerian Audience Within the Schemata of Storyline 广告中的叙事:在故事情节图式中说服尼日利亚受众
Pub Date : 2017-12-21 DOI: 10.1344/AFLM2017.7.2
T. Dalamu
The study, as an attempt, considered narrative as a good resource of advertising in the Nigerian environment. In other words, advertisers perceive narrative as a strategy that can stimulate consumers to patronize advertised goods and services. Four adverts of FBN®, MTN®, Orijin® and FIRS® have been chosen to propagate the course appeared on the frameworks. Beside the application of the Labovian schema on narrative, the Halliday’s transitivity system plays an analytical role by assigning semiotic slots to the textual devices. The study reveals that advertising copies a similar pattern of narrative in the society. Apart from the texts serving as relays to the images, the construction of the message is in the resolution sequential string. This provides an opportunity for advertisers to present to the public the gains and benefits of taking decision parallel to the messages of the adverts. Advertisers capitalize of the efforts of past leaders, the challenges of the present and the future of the children to sensitize the audience. The study concludes that narrative should be encouraged in advertising not only as a persuasive approach but also as a means of promoting Nigerian social heritage and treasures.
该研究作为一种尝试,认为叙事性是尼日利亚环境下的一种良好的广告资源。换句话说,广告商认为叙事是一种策略,可以刺激消费者光顾广告商品和服务。选择FBN®、MTN®、Orijin®和FIRS®四个广告来宣传在框架上出现的课程。韩礼德的及物性系统除了在叙事上运用Labovian图式外,还通过给语篇装置分配符号化槽来发挥分析作用。研究表明,广告复制了社会中类似的叙事模式。除了作为图像中继的文本外,消息的结构是在分辨率顺序字符串中。这为广告商提供了一个机会,向公众展示与广告信息并行的决策的收益和好处。广告商利用过去领导人的努力、现在的挑战和孩子们未来的挑战来提高观众的敏感度。该研究的结论是,在广告中应该鼓励叙事,不仅作为一种有说服力的方法,而且作为一种促进尼日利亚社会遗产和财富的手段。
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引用次数: 9
GST: Impact on Power Sector 消费税:对电力行业的影响
Pub Date : 2017-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3081119
S. Azhar, B. Ramesh
The study has attempts to understand the implication of GST on power sector in reference to India. The author found that there are some segments of power sector which has undoubtedly benefited but the other have not after implementation of GST. The thermal power has been benefited due to decrease in taxes on coal where as the costs of turbines, boiler and generator equipment have increased the cost of establishing a thermal power projects. Further the GST has a negatively impacted the wind energy due to the increase in capital cost, higher tax rates on wind turbine generator. The cost of electricity for distribution have been reduced which will help them in reducing losses which are persisting over many years. The author suggests that India should focus on the renewable sources of energy such as solar power, hydro and bio-gas instead of non-renewable sources of energy such as thermal. Due to depletion of fossil fuels, solar or hydro power will be the future of India energy. Therefore the government should also decrease the tax on turbines, solar panels etc which are used in establishing solar plants and hydro power.
该研究试图了解商品及服务税对印度电力部门的影响。作者发现,在实施商品及服务税后,电力部门的一些部门无疑受益,而另一些部门则没有受益。火电受益于煤炭税收的减少,因为涡轮机、锅炉和发电机设备的成本增加了建立火电项目的成本。此外,由于资本成本的增加,风力涡轮机发电机的税率更高,商品及服务税对风能产生了负面影响。配电的电力成本已经降低,这将有助于他们减少持续多年的损失。作者建议印度应该把重点放在可再生能源上,比如太阳能、水电和生物燃气,而不是不可再生能源,比如热能。由于化石燃料的枯竭,太阳能或水力发电将是印度未来的能源。因此,政府也应该减少用于建立太阳能发电厂和水力发电的涡轮机,太阳能电池板等的税收。
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引用次数: 2
Government Led Innovations in Affordable Housing Delivery 政府主导的经济适用房交付创新
Pub Date : 2017-10-11 DOI: 10.18408/AHURI-8113101
Steven Rowley, Amity James, P. Phibbs, R. van den Nouwelant, L. Troy
This project examined state government-led innovations in affordable housing through analysis of two state-level strategies and two state-level programs. The research shows effective strategies and programs rely on strong political leadership; adopt a whole-of-housing industry approach to consultation and implementation; communicate objectives effectively to all stakeholders; are resilient to changes of government; and are best run from a central agency with a flexible organisational structure that can respond quickly to opportunities.
本项目通过分析两个州级战略和两个州级项目,考察了州政府主导的经济适用房创新。研究表明,有效的战略和计划依赖于强有力的政治领导;以整个房屋行业的方式进行谘询和推行;与所有利益相关者有效沟通目标;能适应政府的变化;它们最好由一个具有灵活组织结构的中央机构管理,该机构能够对机遇做出快速反应。
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引用次数: 16
The Effect of Interactive Reminders on Medication Adherence: A Randomized Trial 互动提醒对药物依从性的影响:一项随机试验
Pub Date : 2017-08-13 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3022695
Hengchen Dai, David Mao, K. Volpp, Heather Pearce, Michael J. Relish, Victor F. Lawnicki, Katherine L. Milkman
Expanding on evidence that interventions to improve health are more effective when informed by behavioral science, we explore whether reminders designed to harness behavioral science principles can improve medication adherence. We conducted a randomized controlled trial with 46,581 U.S. participants with commercial or Medicare Advantage insurance from Humana. Participants were randomly assigned to one of four experimental conditions. Participants in the usual care condition only received standard mailings that the insurer usually sends. In addition to the standard mailings, participants in the other three conditions also received (1) mailings that reminded them to take a target medication (basic reminder condition), (2) reminders that prompted them to predict their medication adherence in the next 30 days (prediction condition), or (3) reminders that prompted them to commit to a self-determined level of adherence for the next 30 days (commitment condition). We sent these mailings once a month for three months from November, 2014 through January, 2015, and tracked prescription refills. We find that, during the mailing period, reminders increased adherence by 0.95 percentage points (p < 0.05), and this effect was driven by the prediction and commitment conditions; during the three-month post-mailing period, reminders increased adherence by 0.98 percentage points (p < 0.05), and this effect was driven by the basic reminder and commitment conditions. The reminders increased medication adherence by 0.7 pills per dollar spent over our 181 day study period.
证据表明,当行为科学提供信息时,改善健康的干预措施更有效,我们进一步探讨了利用行为科学原理设计的提醒是否能提高药物依从性。我们进行了一项随机对照试验,46,581名美国参与者参加了Humana的商业或医疗保险优势保险。参与者被随机分配到四种实验条件中的一种。通常情况下的参与者只收到保险公司通常发送的标准邮件。除了标准邮件外,其他三种情况下的参与者还收到(1)提醒他们服用目标药物的邮件(基本提醒条件),(2)提示他们预测未来30天内药物依从性的提醒(预测条件),或(3)提示他们承诺在未来30天内自主坚持服药的提醒(承诺条件)。从2014年11月到2015年1月的三个月里,我们每月发送一次这些邮件,并追踪处方的补充。我们发现,在邮寄期间,提醒使遵守率提高了0.95个百分点(p <0.05),且该效应受预测条件和承诺条件驱动;在邮寄后的三个月期间,提醒使遵守率提高了0.98个百分点(p <0.05),该效应受基本提醒条件和承诺条件的驱动。在我们181天的研究期间,每花1美元,这些提醒使服药依从性提高了0.7片。
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引用次数: 0
An Analysis of the Memphis Nurse-Family Partnership Program 孟菲斯护士家庭合作项目分析
Pub Date : 2017-07-01 DOI: 10.3386/W23610
J. Heckman, Margaret L. Holland, Kevin K. Makino, Rodrigo Pinto, Maria Rosales-Rueda
This paper evaluates a randomized controlled trial of the Nurse-Family Partnership (NFP) program conducted in Memphis, TN in 1990. NFP offers home visits conducted by nurses for disadvantaged first-time mothers during pregnancy and early childhood. We test NFP treatment effects using permutation-based inference that accounts for the NFP randomization protocol. Our methodology is valid for small samples and corrects for multiple-hypothesis testing. We also analyze the underlying mechanisms generating these treatment effects. We decompose NFP treatment effects into components associated with the intervention-enhanced parenting and early childhood skills. The NFP improves home investments, parenting attitudes and mental health for mothers of infants at age 2. At age 6, the NFP boosts cognitive skills for both genders and socio-emotional skills for females. These treatment effects are explained by program-induced improvements in maternal traits and early-life family investments. At age 12, the treatment effects for males (but not for females) persist in the form of enhanced achievement test scores. Treatment effects are largely explained by enhanced cognitive skills at age 6. Our evidence of pronounced gender differences in response to early childhood interventions contributes to a growing literature on this topic.
本文评估了1990年在田纳西州孟菲斯市进行的护士-家庭伙伴关系(NFP)计划的随机对照试验。国家生育计划为处于不利地位的初次母亲在怀孕和幼儿期进行护士家访。我们使用基于排列的推断来测试NFP治疗效果,该推断解释了NFP随机化协议。我们的方法对小样本是有效的,对多假设检验是正确的。我们还分析了产生这些治疗效果的潜在机制。我们将NFP治疗效果分解为与干预增强的养育和早期儿童技能相关的组成部分。NFP改善了2岁婴儿母亲的家庭投资、养育态度和心理健康。在6岁时,NFP提高了男女的认知技能和女性的社会情感技能。这些治疗效果可以通过项目诱导的母亲特征改善和早期家庭投资来解释。在12岁时,治疗对男性(而不是女性)的影响持续存在,表现为成就测试分数的提高。治疗效果在很大程度上可以解释为6岁时认知能力的增强。我们的证据表明,对儿童早期干预的反应存在明显的性别差异,这有助于有关这一主题的文献越来越多。
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引用次数: 42
Social Media Integration and E-Commerce Platform Performance: A Randomized Field Experiment 社交媒体整合与电子商务平台绩效:一项随机场实验
Pub Date : 2017-05-16 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2969670
Ni Huang, Tianshu Sun, Peiyu Chen, Joseph M. Golden
E-commerce platforms can integrate with Facebook to let users directly comment on product pages using their Facebook accounts, a practice known as social media integration. Such integration can boost customer conversion by conveying credible information about product popularity and quality. However, due to the lack of control over the volume and content of user comments, social media integration might also hinder product sales. Given the potential risks and benefits, it is not clear whether an e-commerce platform should embrace social media integration on its website. In this study, we conduct a randomized field experiment in collaboration with a large e-commerce platform in the U.S. to examine the impact of social media integration (in the form of Facebook comment system) on users' shopping behaviors (e.g., adding a product to cart, placing an order). We find that, compared to those in the control group (who see the product page without Facebook comment system), customers in the treatment group (with Facebook comment system) on average have a significantly higher likelihood of adding product to cart (~6% increase) and placing an order (~10% increase). Furthermore, we find interesting heterogeneous treatment effects that align with social learning mechanism: the effect of the integrated Facebook comment system on customer conversion is positive when there are many comments, yet it is negative when there are few comments. Moreover, the positive effect of the integrated Facebook comment system on user conversion is stronger for new buyers than repeat customers. We further conduct difference-in-difference (DID) analysis and show that the Facebook comment system increases the overall demand for products in the experimental section of the platform. Our study contributes to the nascent research on the management of social media functions on online platforms and provides direct managerial implications to the practice.
电子商务平台可以与Facebook整合,让用户使用自己的Facebook账户直接对产品页面发表评论,这种做法被称为社交媒体整合。这种整合可以通过传达关于产品知名度和质量的可靠信息来促进客户转换。然而,由于对用户评论的数量和内容缺乏控制,社交媒体整合也可能阻碍产品的销售。考虑到潜在的风险和收益,目前尚不清楚电子商务平台是否应该在其网站上整合社交媒体。在本研究中,我们与美国一家大型电子商务平台合作进行了随机现场实验,以检验社交媒体整合(以Facebook评论系统的形式)对用户购物行为(如添加产品到购物车,下订单)的影响。我们发现,与对照组(看到没有Facebook评论系统的产品页面)相比,治疗组(有Facebook评论系统)的客户平均有更高的可能性将产品添加到购物车(约6%)和下订单(约10%)。此外,我们发现有趣的异质处理效应与社会学习机制一致:当评论多时,整合的Facebook评论系统对客户转化的影响是积极的,而当评论少时,评论系统对客户转化的影响是消极的。此外,整合的Facebook评论系统对用户转化的积极影响对新买家比对回头客更强。我们进一步进行了差分分析(DID),并表明Facebook评论系统增加了平台实验部分产品的总体需求。我们的研究为在线平台上社交媒体功能管理的新兴研究做出了贡献,并为实践提供了直接的管理启示。
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引用次数: 2
期刊
ERN: Primary Taxonomy (Topic)
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