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Phases 1 and 2 of Covid-19 Epidemic in the Three Geographical Areas of Italy: An Estimation of Italian Government Measures Based on a Bayesian Changepoint Detection Method 意大利三个地理区域新冠肺炎疫情的第一和第二阶段:基于贝叶斯变点检测方法的意大利政府措施估计
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v6i2.4877
M. Manca, F. Russo, V. Georgiev, S. Taddei
Background: Based on data from the Ministry of Health, which highlighted the earlier onset of Covid-19 epidemic in Italy, compared with the Europe, we would like to present a statistical elaboration on the impact of measures taken by the Government, during the phase 1 and the start of phase 2. Methods: After the implementation of a Bayesian changepoint detection method, we looked for a best fit model, based on the first part of time series data, in order to observe the progress of the data in the presence and absence of the restriction measures introduced. Results: Both the implementation of changepoint detection method and the analysis of the curves showed that the decree that marked the start of lockdown has had the effect of slowing down the epidemic by allowing thestart of a plateau between 21 and 25 March. Moreover, the decree that decided the beginning of phase 2 on 4 May did not have a negative impact. Conclusion: This statistical analysis supports the hypothesis that stringent measures decreased hospitalization, thanks to a slowing down in the evolution of the epidemic compared with what was expected.  
背景:根据卫生部的数据,意大利的Covid-19疫情比欧洲更早出现,我们想对政府在第一阶段和第二阶段开始期间采取的措施的影响进行统计详细说明。方法:采用贝叶斯变点检测方法,在第一部分时间序列数据的基础上寻找最佳拟合模型,观察在引入限制措施和不引入限制措施的情况下数据的进展情况。结果:变化点检测法的实施和曲线分析都表明,标志着封锁开始的法令通过允许在3月21日至25日之间开始平台期,起到了减缓疫情的作用。此外,决定于5月4日开始第二阶段的法令并没有产生负面影响。结论:这一统计分析支持了一种假设,即严格的措施减少了住院治疗,这是因为与预期相比,疫情的演变速度有所放缓。
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引用次数: 0
Developing a Questionnaire to Investigate the Reasons for Ignoring Home Quarantine by Some Iranians 制定一份问卷调查一些伊朗人忽视家庭隔离的原因
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v6i2.4876
Elham Nazari, M. Shahriari, H. Tabesh
Background: The rapid outbreak of Coronavirus has led to the worrying situation. Prevention strategies such as a stay at home offer great opportunities for transmission reduction of the virus. Therefore, the purpose of current study has developed a questionnaire to investigate the reasons for not staying at home in Iran. Methods: In this study a self-administered questionnaire was designed in two Delphi rounds and based on 50 expert and 10 expert opinions from different fields of study. Results: In the first Delphi round 11 questions were obtained and in the second round 14 questions were confirmed. The mean of CVR and CVI for the questionnaire was 95.33 and 94.67, respectively. A questionnaire was designed and developed according to the purpose. Conclusion: Using the designed questionnaire, the reasons why some people do not pay attention to home quarantine can be examined and solutions can be considered for them. This can prevent further corona spread.
背景:新型冠状病毒的快速爆发导致了令人担忧的局面。居家等预防策略为减少病毒传播提供了巨大的机会。因此,本研究的目的是制定一份调查问卷来调查在伊朗不呆在家里的原因。方法:采用两轮德尔菲法,根据不同研究领域的50位专家和10位专家的意见设计自填问卷。结果:第一轮德尔菲共获得11个问题,第二轮确定14个问题。问卷CVR和CVI的平均值分别为95.33和94.67。根据调查目的设计并编制了问卷。结论:通过设计的问卷,可以调查出一些人不重视家庭隔离的原因,并为他们考虑解决方案。这可以防止冠状病毒的进一步传播。
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引用次数: 1
Association Between Circadian Rhythm with Resting Metabolic Rate in OverweightObese Women 超重/肥胖女性的昼夜节律与静息代谢率之间的关系
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v6i2.4873
Negin Badrooj, S. Keshavarz, M. Yekaninejad, K. Mirzaei
Aim: The aim of this study was to investigate the association between circadian rhythm with resting metabolic rate (RMR) in overweightobese women Methods: This cross-sectional study included 232 obese and overweight women. Morningness-Eveningness Questionnaire (MEQ) was used to assess the level of circadian rhythm. RMR was measured by indirect calorimetry after a 10-12 hour overnight fasting period by a trained nutritionist. We assessed body composition using multi-frequency bioelectrical impedance analyzer (BIA). Results: The percentage of overweight and obese women were 48.7% (113) and 51.3% (119), respectively. The number of participants who were morningness, intermediate and eveningness was 28(12.1%),                           135(58.2%) and 69(29.7%) respectively. A significant relationship was found between MEQ and RMR.normal (p=0.011). According to linear regression model non-eveningness participants had 81.92 higher RMR compared to eveningness participants (p=0.027). Conclusion: We found that non-eveningness participants had higher RMR compared to eveningness participants that can lead to obesity, diabetes type2 and other health disorders.
目的:本研究的目的是调查超重/肥胖女性的昼夜节律与静息代谢率(RMR)之间的关系。方法:这项横断面研究包括232名肥胖和超重女性。采用晨昏量表(MEQ)评定昼夜节律水平。由受过训练的营养学家在10-12小时的夜间禁食期后通过间接量热法测量RMR。我们使用多频生物电阻抗分析仪(BIA)评估身体成分。结果:超重和肥胖妇女的比例分别为48.7%(113)和51.3%(119)。晨昏、中昏和晚昏的参与者人数分别为28人(12.1%)、135人(58.2%)和69人(29.7%)。MEQ和RMR.normal之间存在显著关系(p=0.011)。根据线性回归模型,非均匀性参与者的RMR比均匀性参与者高81.92(p=0.027)。结论:我们发现,与可能导致肥胖、2型糖尿病和其他健康障碍的均匀性参与者相比,不均匀性参与者具有更高的RMR。
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引用次数: 0
Erythropoietin in COVID-19-Induced Neuroinflammation; EPO Plus Losartan Might be Promising 促红细胞生成素在covid -19诱导的神经炎症中的作用促红细胞生成素加氯沙坦可能很有前途
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v6i2.4879
Reza Nejat, A. S. Sadr, David J. Najafi
Introduction: Neuroinflammation is the inflammatory reaction in the central nervous system (CNS) provoked by diverse insults. This phenomenon results in a cascade of release of inflammatory mediators and intracellular messengers such as reactive oxygen species. The elicited responses are the cause of many neurological and neurodegenerative disorders. Erythropoietin (EPO) has been considered effective in attenuating this inflammatory process in the CNS, yet its administration in COVID-19 needs meticulously designed studies. Discussion: Neuroinflammation in COVID-19 due to probable contribution of renin-angiotensin system dysregulation resulting in surplus of Ang II and owing to the synergistic interaction between this octapeptide and EPO needs special consideration. Both of these compounds increase intracellular Ca2+ which may induce release of cytokine and inflammatory mediators leading to aggravation of neuroinflammation. In addition, Ang II elevates HIF even in normoxia which by itself increases EPO. It is implicated that EPO and HIF may likely increase in patients with COVID-19 which makes administration of EPO to these patients hazardous. Furthermore, papain-like protease of SARS-CoV2 as a deubiquitinase may also increase HIF. Conclusion: It is hypothesized that administration of EPO to patients with COVID-19-induced neuroinflammation may not be safe and in case EPO is needed for any reason in this disease adding of losartan may block AT1R-mediated post-receptor harmful effects of Ang II in synergism with EPO. Inhibition of papain-like protease might additionally decrease HIF in this disease. More in vitro, in vivo and clinical studies are needed to validate these hypotheses.
神经炎症是由多种损伤引起的中枢神经系统炎症反应。这种现象导致炎症介质和细胞内信使如活性氧的级联释放。引发的反应是许多神经和神经退行性疾病的原因。促红细胞生成素(EPO)被认为能有效减轻中枢神经系统的炎症过程,但其在COVID-19中的应用需要精心设计的研究。讨论:需要特别考虑的是,肾素-血管紧张素系统失调可能导致Ang II过剩,以及该八肽与EPO之间的协同相互作用。这两种化合物增加细胞内Ca2+,这可能诱导细胞因子和炎症介质的释放,导致神经炎症加重。此外,即使在常氧环境下,Ang II也会升高HIF,这本身也会增加EPO。这暗示EPO和HIF可能在COVID-19患者中增加,这使得对这些患者施用EPO具有危险。此外,SARS-CoV2的木瓜蛋白酶样蛋白酶作为去泛素酶也可能增加HIF。结论:假设新冠病毒诱导的神经炎症患者给予EPO可能不安全,在该疾病中因任何原因需要使用EPO时,加入氯沙坦可阻断at1r介导的Ang II与EPO协同作用的受体后有害作用。抑制木瓜蛋白酶样蛋白酶可能会进一步降低此病的HIF。需要更多的体外、体内和临床研究来验证这些假设。
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引用次数: 0
Competing Risk Analysis of the Health Status of Neonates with Respiratory Distress Syndrome 新生儿呼吸窘迫综合征健康状况的竞争风险分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-12-15 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v6i2.4878
Z. Ayele, Mekonnen Tadesse, Zelalem Tazu
Introduction: Respiratory distress syndrome (RDS) is not only the most common respiratory disorder in premature infants but also the main cause of neonatal mortality. Methods: Competing risk framework was used to examine and identify potential prognostic factors of the health status of preterm infants with respiratory distress syndrome. Preterm infants with RDS admitted to the neonatal intensive care units (NICUs) of selected hospitals in Ethiopia were followed for 28 days and only neonates with complete cases were included in the analysis. The Fine-Gray or sub-distribution hazard model was used to identify significant prognostic factors. Three outcome variables (death due to RDS, death due to other causes and discharged alive) were considered. Results: The Fine-Gray model fit results revealed that anemia, multiple pregnancies, birth-weight and gestational age were the prognostic factors significantly associated with the death of neonates due to Respiratory distress syndrome problem while Pneumonia, meningitis, anemia and gestational age of neonates were the significant prognostic factors for death of neonates due to other causes. Moreover, pneumonia, birth weight and gestational age were identified as the prognostic factors associated with neonates being discharged alive. Conclusion: Offering intensive and adequate treatments for neonates with lowest birth-weights and gestational age may be useful to reduce neonatal mortality and increase the incidence of being discharged alive.
引言:呼吸窘迫综合征(RDS)是早产儿最常见的呼吸系统疾病,也是新生儿死亡的主要原因。方法:采用竞争风险框架来检查和确定早产儿呼吸窘迫综合征健康状况的潜在预后因素。对埃塞俄比亚选定医院新生儿重症监护室(NICU)收治的患有RDS的早产儿进行了28天的随访,仅将病例完整的新生儿纳入分析。细灰色或亚分布危险模型用于确定重要的预后因素。考虑了三个结果变量(RDS死亡、其他原因死亡和存活出院)。结果:Fine Gray模型拟合结果显示,贫血、多胎妊娠、出生体重和胎龄是与新生儿呼吸窘迫综合征死亡显著相关的预后因素,而肺炎、脑膜炎、贫血和新生儿胎龄是新生儿其他原因死亡的显著预后因素。此外,肺炎、出生体重和胎龄被确定为与新生儿存活出院相关的预后因素。结论:为出生体重和胎龄最低的新生儿提供强化和充分的治疗可能有助于降低新生儿死亡率和增加存活出院率。
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引用次数: 0
Multidimensional item response theory to assess psychometric properties of GHQ-12 in parents of school children 多维项目反应理论评估学童家长GHQ-12的心理测量特性
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-11-03 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-62439/v2
Elham Haem, Marziyeh Doostfatemeh
Background: Multidimensional item response theory (MIRT) model provides an ideal foundation to assess psychological properties of a questionnaire designed with multidimensional structure. This study aimed to present the first use of MIRT models to investigate psychometric properties of general health questionnaire (GHQ-12) in parents of school children. Methods: A total of 1104 parents of school children completed the Persian version of GHQ-12 questionnaire. Unidimensional IRT model and MIRT models with two and three factors were applied to model the observed scores for each GHQ-12 item as a function of the subject’s latent traits while taking the correlation between dimensions of the questionnaire into account. The goodness of fit indices were reported for the three models, and items fit were assessed for the best model. Individual items were described in detail through item characteristic curves, and the amount of information carried by different items was presented using information curves. Results: The MIRT analysis with two factors corresponding to psychological distress and social dysfunction provided the best account of the GHQ-12 data. The model showed that all items were fitted adequately. Items varied in their discrimination ranged from 0.86 to 2.35 and 1.18 to 2.41 for psychological distress and social dysfunction, respectively. Moreover, items 8 and 2 provided the least information in psychological distress and social dysfunction dimensions, respectively. Conclusions: The developed framework to evaluate psychometric properties of GHQ-12 can be a suitable alternative to traditional approaches and also unidimensional IRT models, the use of which has been restricted due to multidimensional structure of the questionnaire.
背景:多维项目反应理论(MIRT)模型为多维结构问卷的心理特性评估提供了理想的基础。本研究旨在首次使用MIRT模型来研究学童家长一般健康问卷(GHQ-12)的心理测量特性。方法:对1104名学童家长填写波斯语版GHQ-12问卷。在考虑问卷各维度之间的相关性的同时,采用单维IRT模型和二因子和三因子MIRT模型,将GHQ-12各项目的观察得分作为被试潜在特征的函数进行建模。报告了三个模型的拟合优度指数,并对最佳模型进行了项目拟合评估。通过项目特征曲线对单个项目进行详细描述,并利用信息曲线表示不同项目所携带的信息量。结果:心理困扰和社会功能障碍两个因素的MIRT分析提供了GHQ-12数据的最佳解释。模型显示所有的项目都是适当的。心理困扰和社会功能障碍的辨别率分别在0.86 ~ 2.35和1.18 ~ 2.41之间。此外,第8项和第2项在心理困扰和社会功能障碍维度上提供的信息最少。结论:由于问卷的多维结构限制了传统方法和一维IRT模型的使用,所开发的框架可以替代传统方法和一维IRT模型来评估GHQ-12的心理测量特性。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the Challenges of Big Data Analytics from the Viewpoints of Students in Mashhad in 2019 从2019年马什哈德学生的角度调查大数据分析的挑战
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v5i4.3870
Elham Nazari, Marziyeh Afkanpour, H. Tabesh
Introduction: Nowadays Big Data Analytics has attracted students for research due to its very high capabilities, but there are also obstacles to analyses that need to be addressed. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to investigate the viewpoints of students of different disciplines at Mashhad universities on the challenges of this analysis. Method: This study is a cross-sectional study conducted on students of different universities and fields such as computer engineering, pharmacy, industry and biology in Mashhad, Iran. A questionnaire based on literature review in Pubmed, Google scholar, and science direct databases was designed by 10 experts from different disciplines using Delphi method. 185 students participated in the study. Students' viewpoints on the challenges were also collected. Descriptive and analytical results were reported using SPSS 21 and Maxqda software. Results: The age range of most students was 25 - 34 years. 54.2% were female. Most of the participants in this study were students of engineering and medical informatics. Of the participants in this study, 96.4% considered big data analytics necessary, 50.6% were familiar with the benefits of analytics. Lack of awareness, inadequate management, lack of managers' knowledge, lack of expertise, and lack of priority were the most important challenges for students. Conclusion: Despite the importance and benefits of big data analytics, challenges are a major barrier to use that need to be addressed.
引言:如今,大数据分析由于其非常高的能力吸引了学生进行研究,但也存在需要解决的分析障碍。因此,本研究的目的是调查马什哈德大学不同学科的学生对这一分析的挑战的看法。方法:本研究是对伊朗马什哈德不同大学和计算机工程、制药、工业和生物等领域的学生进行的横断面研究。基于Pubmed、谷歌scholar和science direct数据库的文献综述,由10名不同学科的专家采用德尔菲法设计问卷。185名学生参与了这项研究。收集了学生对挑战的看法。描述性和分析结果采用SPSS 21和Maxqda软件进行报告。结果:学生年龄以25 ~ 34岁居多。54.2%为女性。本研究的主要参与者为工程与医学信息学专业的学生。在这项研究的参与者中,96.4%的人认为大数据分析是必要的,50.6%的人熟悉分析的好处。缺乏意识、管理不足、缺乏管理者知识、缺乏专业知识、缺乏优先级是学生面临的最大挑战。结论:尽管大数据分析的重要性和好处,但挑战是使用大数据的主要障碍,需要解决。
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引用次数: 0
SARS Virus Papain-Like Protease: A Mysterious Weapon SARS病毒木瓜样蛋白酶:一种神秘武器
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-08-05 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v5i4.3873
Reza Nejat, A. S. Sadr
Introduction: Papain-like protease (PLpro) of SARS-CoV in association with 3Chemotrypsin-like protease (3CLpro or Mpro) are two proteases which auto-proteolyze replicase polyproteins pp1a/pp1ab. These polyproteins are translated from ORF1a/ORF1b of the virus genome. Cleavage of pp1a/pp1ab releases nonstructural proteins of the virus which orchestrate viral replication. In addition, PLpro as a deubiquitinase and deISGylase modifies the proteins involved in recognition of the virus by the sensors of host cell innate immunity system. In this manner, the virus reforms the ubiquitination and ISGylation of the cell proteins to progress its own replication without any interference from host cell restrictive strategies against the viruses. Furthermore, PLpro blocks IRF3 activation independent of deubiquinating processes. Besides, PLpro induces pulmonary fibrosis through pathways involving ROS and MAPK. Conclusion: Inhibition of PLpro allows innate immunity to sense and react against the invasion of SARSCoV and to activate IRF3 to induce type I IFN expression. Thenceforth, proper development and signaling of innate immunity result in a long-term efficient cell/humoral adaptive immunity. Moreover, suppression of PLpro prevents cleavage of nsp3 and hence replication of the virus and through abolishing ubiquitinproteasome/MAPK/ERK- and ROS/MAPK-mediated pathways prevent pulmonary fibrosis.
引言:严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒的类木瓜蛋白酶(PLpro)与类血胰蛋白酶(3CLpro或Mpro)是两种自动蛋白水解复制酶多蛋白pp1a/pp1ab的蛋白酶。这些多蛋白是从病毒基因组的ORF1a/ORF1b翻译而来的。pp1a/pp1ab的裂解释放出病毒的非结构蛋白,这些蛋白协调病毒复制。此外,PLpro作为一种去泛素酶和去ISGylase通过宿主细胞先天免疫系统的传感器修饰参与识别病毒的蛋白质。通过这种方式,病毒改变了细胞蛋白的泛素化和ISGylation,以在不受宿主细胞针对病毒的限制性策略干扰的情况下进行自身复制。此外,PLpro阻断IRF3的激活独立于去二羟化过程。此外,PLpro通过涉及ROS和MAPK的途径诱导肺纤维化。结论:PLpro的抑制使先天免疫能够感知和反应严重急性呼吸系统综合征冠状病毒的侵袭,并激活IRF3诱导I型干扰素的表达。因此,先天免疫的适当发育和信号传导导致长期有效的细胞/体液适应性免疫。此外,PLpro的抑制阻止了nsp3的切割,从而阻止了病毒的复制,并通过消除泛素蛋白酶体/MAPK/ERK-和ROS/MAPK介导的途径防止了肺纤维化。
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引用次数: 6
Create Frameworks from Software Engineering to Health Care: A Survey 创建从软件工程到医疗保健的框架:一项调查
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-07-07 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v5i3.3619
Elham Nazari, M. Shahriari, M. Khodabandeh, H. Tabesh
Background & Aims: One of the challenges of multidisciplinary disciplines such as Medical Informatics, Health Information Technology, etc., especially for those who have just begun research in this field, is the lack of familiarity with some of the key terms and applications of software concepts, including frameworks. Methods: This study is based on search of databases (ProQuest, PubMed, Google Scholar, Science Direct, Scopus, IranMedex, Irandoc, Magiran, Pars Medline and Scientific Information Database (SID)). This investigation has done with the websites and the specialized books with standard key words. After a careful study, 56 sources were selected and used in the final article. Results: Frameworks are widely used in the field of health care and have produced valuable results. Considering the framework advantages in the health care sector among designing and estimating the systems in standard ways and comparing the systems in principle for identifying the gaps and introducing the capabilities, avoidance of reworking seem necessary. Therefore, after reviewing the literature we will explain about meaning, overlapping to the other meanings, components, steps, advantages, challenges, and the types of frameworks in general and their applications in the healthcare sector. Conclusions: The results of this research can help the researchers for doing the new research and understand the important concepts of that, thus it can be useful in designing and researching projects for researchers and health care providers as well.  
背景与目的:医学信息学、健康信息技术等多学科的挑战之一,尤其是对于那些刚刚开始该领域研究的人来说,是对软件概念的一些关键术语和应用程序(包括框架)缺乏熟悉。方法:本研究基于数据库(ProQuest、PubMed、Google Scholar、Science Direct、Scopus、IranMedex、Irandoc、Magiran、Pars Medline和科学信息数据库(SID))的搜索。本次调查是对具有标准关键词的网站和专业书籍进行的。经过仔细研究,选择了56个来源,并在最后的文章中使用。结果:框架在医疗保健领域得到了广泛应用,并产生了有价值的结果。考虑到医疗保健部门在以标准方式设计和评估系统以及原则上比较系统以确定差距和引入能力方面的框架优势,避免返工似乎是必要的。因此,在回顾文献后,我们将解释与其他含义重叠的含义、组成部分、步骤、优势、挑战以及框架的一般类型及其在医疗保健部门的应用。结论:本研究的结果可以帮助研究人员进行新的研究,并理解新研究的重要概念,从而为研究人员和医疗保健提供者设计和研究项目提供帮助。
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引用次数: 0
A New Application of Louvain Algorithm for Identifying Disease Fields Using Big Data Techniques Louvain算法在大数据疾病场识别中的新应用
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2020-07-07 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v5i3.3613
Saeed Shirazi, Hamed Baziyad, N. Ahmadi, A. Albadvi
Background and aim: Recently, the use of data science techniques in healthcare has been increased remarkably. Community detection as one the important methods of data science is utilized in the health domain. Methods: This paper detects disease areas based on combination of big data and graph mining methods on drug prescriptions. At first, network of prescription is designed, and Louvain algorithm is applied for community detection of 50000 Iranian prescriptions in 2014 gathered from the Iranian Health Insurance Organization. We use modularity metric for validation of the results and the experts’ opinion as the external validation of communities. Results: The outputs are consist of six communities. These communities are labeled based on experts’ opinion that present the disease fields. Conclusion: The Louvain algorithm has the ability to detect the major communities of the prescription database with an acceptable accuracy. We have proven that these communities present the disease fields.
背景和目的:近年来,数据科学技术在医疗保健中的应用显著增加。社区检测作为数据科学的重要方法之一,被应用于健康领域。方法:采用大数据与处方图挖掘相结合的方法,对处方病区进行检测。首先,设计了处方网络,并将Louvain算法应用于2014年从伊朗健康保险组织收集的5万张伊朗处方的社区检测。我们使用模块性度量来验证结果,并将专家的意见作为社区的外部验证。结果:产出由六个社区组成。这些社区是根据专家提出的疾病领域的意见进行标记的。结论:Louvain算法能够以可接受的准确性检测处方数据库的主要社区。我们已经证明,这些社区提供了疾病领域。
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引用次数: 9
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Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
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