首页 > 最新文献

Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology最新文献

英文 中文
Analysis of the Pattern of Poisoning in Patients Admitted to a Large Teaching Hospital in Iran 伊朗某大型教学医院住院病人中毒模式分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v7i4.10393
Elham Nazari, S. Nazari, Z. Ebnehoseini, R. Akhavan, H. Tabesh
Introduction: Poisoning is one of the most common causes of hospital admission. This study aims at 1- to determine the characteristics of poisoning, 2-to discover the relationship of the patients’ characteristics, and 3- to suggest a pattern of characteristics of poisoning. Methods: The current cross-sectional study was conducted at Edalatian Emergency Center in 2016. Characteristics of patients with poisoning were extracted from the hospital information system (HIS) in a large teaching hospital. Gender, type of admission, the priority of admission, type of referral, cause of referral, insurance organization, age, and month of referral were the variables extracted. Data were analyzed using descriptive and analytical statistical methods in SPSS software version 21.  Results: Of the 15204 patients included in this analysis, 55.2% of the patients were men. Also, 68.5% had nonurgent triage level, and the cause of the 60.7% of the poisoning was medication overdose. Most of the patients (86.2%) aged from 20 to 30 years with the most frequent referral in May, June, July, and August. According to logistic regression results, opium, toxin, alcohol and medication poisoning had the highest odds of being at urgent triage level (OR= 1.609, 1.559, 1.358, 1.218 respectively) and the food poisoning was the lowest cause of poisoning ( OR=0.018). Triage level was found to be significantly different in months of the year (P<0.001). But, a routine trend was not observed. Conclusion: The use of preventive measures from the occurrence of poisoning is necessary for the country because this problem occurs due to the lack of awareness about its causative factors. Regarding the more prevalence of intentional poisoning, the necessary steps are needed to be taken to identify the Psychological causes and prevent suicide in at-risk groups.  
简介:中毒是住院最常见的原因之一。本研究旨在1-确定中毒的特征,2-发现患者特征之间的关系,3-提出中毒特征的模式。方法:目前的横断面研究于2016年在Edalatian急救中心进行。从某大型教学医院的医院信息系统中提取中毒病人的特征。性别、入院类型、入院优先级、转诊类型、转诊原因、保险组织、年龄和转诊月份是提取的变量。使用SPSS软件21版中的描述性和分析性统计方法对数据进行分析。结果:在纳入本分析的15204名患者中,55.2%的患者为男性。68.5%的患者具有非紧急分诊水平,60.7%的中毒原因是药物过量。大多数患者(86.2%)年龄在20至30岁之间,最频繁的转诊发生在5月、6月、7月和8月。logistic回归结果显示,鸦片、毒素、酒精和药物中毒为紧急分诊水平的几率最高(OR=1.609、1.559、1.358、1.218),食物中毒为最低中毒原因(OR=0.018)。结论:该国有必要采取预防中毒的措施,因为该问题的发生是由于对其致病因素缺乏认识。关于故意中毒的更普遍性,需要采取必要措施来确定心理原因,并防止高危人群自杀。
{"title":"Analysis of the Pattern of Poisoning in Patients Admitted to a Large Teaching Hospital in Iran","authors":"Elham Nazari, S. Nazari, Z. Ebnehoseini, R. Akhavan, H. Tabesh","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v7i4.10393","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v7i4.10393","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Poisoning is one of the most common causes of hospital admission. This study aims at 1- to determine the characteristics of poisoning, 2-to discover the relationship of the patients’ characteristics, and 3- to suggest a pattern of characteristics of poisoning. \u0000Methods: The current cross-sectional study was conducted at Edalatian Emergency Center in 2016. Characteristics of patients with poisoning were extracted from the hospital information system (HIS) in a large teaching hospital. Gender, type of admission, the priority of admission, type of referral, cause of referral, insurance organization, age, and month of referral were the variables extracted. Data were analyzed using descriptive and analytical statistical methods in SPSS software version 21.  \u0000Results: Of the 15204 patients included in this analysis, 55.2% of the patients were men. Also, 68.5% had nonurgent triage level, and the cause of the 60.7% of the poisoning was medication overdose. Most of the patients (86.2%) aged from 20 to 30 years with the most frequent referral in May, June, July, and August. According to logistic regression results, opium, toxin, alcohol and medication poisoning had the highest odds of being at urgent triage level (OR= 1.609, 1.559, 1.358, 1.218 respectively) and the food poisoning was the lowest cause of poisoning ( OR=0.018). Triage level was found to be significantly different in months of the year (P<0.001). But, a routine trend was not observed. \u0000Conclusion: The use of preventive measures from the occurrence of poisoning is necessary for the country because this problem occurs due to the lack of awareness about its causative factors. Regarding the more prevalence of intentional poisoning, the necessary steps are needed to be taken to identify the Psychological causes and prevent suicide in at-risk groups. \u0000 ","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48916531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Epidemiology of Hospital-Referred Injury in Iran-2016: a hierarchical model 2016年伊朗医院相关损伤的流行病学:一个分层模型
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10413
H. Akbari, M. Mahdian, H. Gilasi, F. Asgarian
Introduction: Accidents and their injuries are one of the major public health problems and have long been considered as a very destructive and deadly factor for humans in the world. The extensive damage caused by accidents in Iran is significant. This is an ecological study that was conducted with the aim of determining the trend and epidemiological pattern of injuries caused by accidents in victims who referred to the emergency department of Iranian hospitals in 2016. Methods: This study was performed based on secondary analysis of existing data. In order to collect the necessary information, all reports of the Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education on accidents and deaths in 2016 were used. Excel, SPSS and GIS software were used to analyze the results. Also, hierarchical analysis was used to cluster the provinces. Results: The highest frequency was related to the age group of ≥20 years (74%). Also, out of the total cases, 5013 people died and 358 were disabled. Out of 1483425 cases in 2015, 68.6% were men. The scene of the most accident was at home (36%), followed by the street (32%). The highest rate of accidents per 100 000 population was related to trauma (598.72) followed by traffic accidents (570.53). Highest incidence rate per thousand population was related to Qazvin (46.30) and Kermanshah (38.10) provinces and Sistan and Baluchestan province had the lowest incidence rate (2.9 per thousand). Conclusion: Organized policy-making and decision-making to prevent accidents can be one of the important health priorities and a necessary factor in promoting safety in Iran.
引言:事故及其伤害是主要的公共卫生问题之一,长期以来一直被认为是世界上对人类极具破坏性和致命性的因素。伊朗事故造成的广泛破坏是巨大的。这是一项生态研究,旨在确定2016年转诊至伊朗医院急诊科的受害者因事故造成伤害的趋势和流行病学模式。方法:本研究在对现有数据进行二次分析的基础上进行。为了收集必要的信息,使用了伊朗卫生和医学教育部关于2016年事故和死亡的所有报告。采用Excel、SPSS和GIS软件对结果进行分析。此外,还采用了层次分析法对各省进行了聚类。结果:最高频率与≥20岁年龄组有关(74%)。此外,在总病例中,5013人死亡,358人残疾。在2015年的1483425例病例中,68.6%为男性。事故发生地点最多的是家里(36%),其次是街道(32%)。每10万人口中发生事故的比率最高的是创伤(598.72),其次是交通事故(570.53)。每千人口中发生率最高的是Qazvin省(46.30)和Kermanshah省(38.10),Sistan省和Baluchestan省的发生率最低(2.9‰)。结论:预防事故的有组织的决策和决策是伊朗重要的卫生优先事项之一,也是促进安全的必要因素。
{"title":"The Epidemiology of Hospital-Referred Injury in Iran-2016: a hierarchical model","authors":"H. Akbari, M. Mahdian, H. Gilasi, F. Asgarian","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10413","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10413","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Accidents and their injuries are one of the major public health problems and have long been considered as a very destructive and deadly factor for humans in the world. The extensive damage caused by accidents in Iran is significant. This is an ecological study that was conducted with the aim of determining the trend and epidemiological pattern of injuries caused by accidents in victims who referred to the emergency department of Iranian hospitals in 2016. \u0000Methods: This study was performed based on secondary analysis of existing data. In order to collect the necessary information, all reports of the Iranian Ministry of Health and Medical Education on accidents and deaths in 2016 were used. Excel, SPSS and GIS software were used to analyze the results. Also, hierarchical analysis was used to cluster the provinces. \u0000Results: The highest frequency was related to the age group of ≥20 years (74%). Also, out of the total cases, 5013 people died and 358 were disabled. Out of 1483425 cases in 2015, 68.6% were men. The scene of the most accident was at home (36%), followed by the street (32%). The highest rate of accidents per 100 000 population was related to trauma (598.72) followed by traffic accidents (570.53). Highest incidence rate per thousand population was related to Qazvin (46.30) and Kermanshah (38.10) provinces and Sistan and Baluchestan province had the lowest incidence rate (2.9 per thousand). \u0000Conclusion: Organized policy-making and decision-making to prevent accidents can be one of the important health priorities and a necessary factor in promoting safety in Iran.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"48634786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Study of Psychometric Properties of the Persian Version of Communication and Symbolic Behavior Scale Developmental Profile /Infant Toddler Checklist: An Application of Confirmatory Factor Analysis with Skew Distribution 波斯语版交际与符号行为量表发展概况/婴幼儿检查表的心理测量特征研究:偏态分布验证性因子分析的应用
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10411
F. Nikkhoo, Z. Naghsh, M. Gholami Fesharaki
Introduction: The importance of early detection and intervention of communication and language problems has increased the need for appropriate tools in this area. This study with aim to evaluating the psychometric properties of Persian version of the Communication and Symbolic Behavior Scales Developmental Profile (CSBS DP) infant/ toddler questionnaire has been done. Methods: In a cross-sectional study the Persian version of the CSBS DP was submitted to 157 participants randomly drawn from 8 kindergartens of Tehran city (Iran) in year 2020. Internal consistency, reliability, concurrent validity, and construct validity were evaluated. Concurrent validity was explored with total score of two questionnaires (Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ) and MacArthur-Bates Communicative Development Inventory (CDI)). Results: The correlation between CSBS DP questionnaire with ASQ-3 and CDI were 0.88 and 0.64 respectively. The test-re-test reliability and internal consistency were 0.78 and 0.77 respectively. The confirmatory factor analysis showed adequate construct validity of the Persian version of the CSBS DP questionnaire. RMSEA, GFI and AGFI were <0.000, >0.9 and >0.9 respectively; moreover, other indexes were satisfactory. Conclusion: The results of this study showed that the validity and reliability of Persian version of CSBS DP questioner is approved and these tools can be used for early detection of evaluating language problems in in infant toddler.
早期发现和干预沟通和语言问题的重要性增加了对这一领域适当工具的需求。本研究旨在评估波斯语版《交际与符号行为量表发展概况》(CSBS DP)婴幼儿问卷的心理测量特征。方法:在一项横断面研究中,于2020年从德黑兰市(伊朗)的8所幼儿园随机抽取157名参与者,提交波斯语版CSBS DP。评估内部一致性、信度、并发效度及构念效度。采用年龄与阶段问卷(ASQ)和麦克阿瑟-贝茨交际发展量表(CDI)的总分来探讨并发效度。结果:CSBS DP问卷与ASQ-3和CDI的相关系数分别为0.88和0.64。重测信度和内部一致性分别为0.78和0.77。验证性因子分析显示波斯语版CSBS DP问卷具有足够的构念效度。RMSEA、GFI和AGFI分别为0.9和>0.9;此外,其他指标也令人满意。结论:本研究结果表明波斯语版CSBS语言问题量表的效度和信度均得到认可,该量表可用于婴幼儿语言问题的早期检测。
{"title":"The Study of Psychometric Properties of the Persian Version of Communication and Symbolic Behavior Scale Developmental Profile /Infant Toddler Checklist: An Application of Confirmatory Factor Analysis with Skew Distribution","authors":"F. Nikkhoo, Z. Naghsh, M. Gholami Fesharaki","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10411","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10411","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: The importance of early detection and intervention of communication and language problems has increased the need for appropriate tools in this area. This study with aim to evaluating the psychometric properties of Persian version of the Communication and Symbolic Behavior Scales Developmental Profile (CSBS DP) infant/ toddler questionnaire has been done. \u0000Methods: In a cross-sectional study the Persian version of the CSBS DP was submitted to 157 participants randomly drawn from 8 kindergartens of Tehran city (Iran) in year 2020. Internal consistency, reliability, concurrent validity, and construct validity were evaluated. Concurrent validity was explored with total score of two questionnaires (Ages and Stages Questionnaire (ASQ) and MacArthur-Bates Communicative Development Inventory (CDI)). \u0000Results: The correlation between CSBS DP questionnaire with ASQ-3 and CDI were 0.88 and 0.64 respectively. The test-re-test reliability and internal consistency were 0.78 and 0.77 respectively. The confirmatory factor analysis showed adequate construct validity of the Persian version of the CSBS DP questionnaire. RMSEA, GFI and AGFI were <0.000, >0.9 and >0.9 respectively; moreover, other indexes were satisfactory. \u0000Conclusion: The results of this study showed that the validity and reliability of Persian version of CSBS DP questioner is approved and these tools can be used for early detection of evaluating language problems in in infant toddler.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44211011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Using Stacking methods based Genetic Algorithm to predict the time between symptom onset and hospital arrival in stroke patients and its related factors 基于Stacking方法的遗传算法预测脑卒中患者症状发作至住院时间及其相关因素
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10401
F. Amani, Jafar Abdollahi, A. Mohammadnia, Paniz Amani, Ghasem Fattahzadeh-Ardalani
Introduction: The early arrival of patients with acute ischemic stroke to start of treatment by recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) within 4.5 hours after onset of stroke and its modeling by data mining methods is an important issue in care of stroke patients. In this paper, the aim was to provide methods to predict the time between symptom onset and hospital arrival in stroke patients and related factors, in addition to improve classification in minority class data, also to maintain the ability of classifying majority class data at an acceptable level. Methods: We included 676 patients with ischemic stroke who referred to hospital of Ardabil city in the northwest of Iran in 2018. A new method using a combination of machine learning algorithms and genetic algorithms has been proposed to solve this problem. The performances were evaluated with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. Results: In this study, the stacking technique provides a better result (accuracy 99.51%, sensitivity 100%, and specificity 99.40%) among all other techniques. Conclusion: Results of this study showed that this model can be used as a valuable tool for clinical decision making.
摘要:急性缺血性脑卒中患者在发病后4.5小时内尽早开始重组组织型纤溶酶原激活剂(rt-PA)治疗,并利用数据挖掘方法对其进行建模,是脑卒中患者护理中的一个重要问题。本文的目的是提供预测脑卒中患者症状发作至住院时间及相关因素的方法,除了提高对少数类数据的分类,也使对多数类数据的分类能力保持在可接受的水平。方法:纳入2018年转诊至伊朗西北部阿达比尔市医院的676例缺血性脑卒中患者。提出了一种结合机器学习算法和遗传算法的新方法来解决这一问题。从准确性、敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值和阴性预测值进行评价。结果:在本研究中,叠加技术的检测准确率为99.51%,灵敏度为100%,特异性为99.40%,优于其他技术。结论:本研究结果表明,该模型可作为临床决策的重要工具。
{"title":"Using Stacking methods based Genetic Algorithm to predict the time between symptom onset and hospital arrival in stroke patients and its related factors","authors":"F. Amani, Jafar Abdollahi, A. Mohammadnia, Paniz Amani, Ghasem Fattahzadeh-Ardalani","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10401","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10401","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: The early arrival of patients with acute ischemic stroke to start of treatment by recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rt-PA) within 4.5 hours after onset of stroke and its modeling by data mining methods is an important issue in care of stroke patients. In this paper, the aim was to provide methods to predict the time between symptom onset and hospital arrival in stroke patients and related factors, in addition to improve classification in minority class data, also to maintain the ability of classifying majority class data at an acceptable level. \u0000Methods: We included 676 patients with ischemic stroke who referred to hospital of Ardabil city in the northwest of Iran in 2018. A new method using a combination of machine learning algorithms and genetic algorithms has been proposed to solve this problem. The performances were evaluated with accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value. Results: In this study, the stacking technique provides a better result (accuracy 99.51%, sensitivity 100%, and specificity 99.40%) among all other techniques. \u0000Conclusion: Results of this study showed that this model can be used as a valuable tool for clinical decision making.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47190650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Factors Associated with The Incidence of Coronary Heart Disease in The Mashad: A Cohort Study 马什哈德地区冠心病发病率相关因素:一项队列研究
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10414
F. Sadabadi, M. Moohebati, A. Heidari-Bakavoli, Sousan Darroudi, Shahin Nazarpour, Mohammad Sadegh Khorrami Mohebbseraj, Z. Asadi, H. Esmaeily, H. Ghazizadeh, E. Barati, Najmeh Malekzadeh Gonabadi, Sara Samadi, Maryam Tayefi, Zahra Izadi mood, M. Azarpazhooh, Sahar Heidari- Bakavoli, T. Hoori, Ramin Bahramizadeh Sajjadi, G. Ferns, M. Ghayour-Mobarhan, H. Heidarian miri
Introduction: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, and specially in Iran. An accurate assessment of the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) is very important for public health. In current study we aimed to investigate the incidence of CHD and importance of several classical modifiable and un-modifiable risk factors for CHD among an urban population in eastern Iran after 6 years follow-up. Methods: The population of MASHAD cohort study were followed up for 6 years, every 3 years initially by phone and those who reported symptoms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were asked to attend for a cardiac examination. An estimate of the incidence of CHD was determined with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association of several baseline characteristics with the incidence of a CHD event. Evaluation of goodness-of-fit was undertaken using ROC analysis. CHD cases were divided into four different categories: stable angina, unstable angina pectoris, myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death. Results: In the six years of follow-up of the Mashhad study participants, the incidence density of CHD events in men and women in 1000 person-year with 95% confidence intervals were 19.20 (8.10-30.30) and 11.60 (7.30-15.90), respectively. The areas under ROC curve (AUC), based on multiple logistic regression model of CHD outcome, was determined to be 0.783. Conclusion: Our findings indicated that the incidence rate of coronary heart diseases in MASHAD cohort study increases with age, and our final model was able to predict approximately 78% of CHD events in this Iranian population.
导语:冠心病(CHD)是全球发病率和死亡率的主要原因,特别是在伊朗。准确评估冠心病(CHD)的发病率对公共卫生具有重要意义。在本研究中,我们旨在通过6年的随访,调查伊朗东部城市人群中冠心病的发病率和几个经典的可改变和不可改变的冠心病危险因素的重要性。方法:对MASHAD队列研究的人群进行为期6年的随访,最初每3年进行一次电话随访,并要求报告心血管疾病(CVD)症状的人群参加心脏检查。以95%可信区间(95% CI)确定冠心病的发生率,并进行多元logistic回归分析,以评估几个基线特征与冠心病发生率的关联。采用ROC分析进行拟合优度评价。将冠心病患者分为稳定性心绞痛、不稳定性心绞痛、心肌梗死和心源性猝死4类。结果:在马什哈德研究参与者的6年随访中,男性和女性冠心病事件发生率密度(1000人年)的95%可信区间分别为19.20(8.10-30.30)和11.60(7.30-15.90)。基于冠心病预后的多元logistic回归模型,确定ROC曲线下面积(AUC)为0.783。结论:我们的研究结果表明,MASHAD队列研究中冠心病的发病率随着年龄的增长而增加,我们的最终模型能够预测伊朗人群中约78%的冠心病事件。
{"title":"Factors Associated with The Incidence of Coronary Heart Disease in The Mashad: A Cohort Study","authors":"F. Sadabadi, M. Moohebati, A. Heidari-Bakavoli, Sousan Darroudi, Shahin Nazarpour, Mohammad Sadegh Khorrami Mohebbseraj, Z. Asadi, H. Esmaeily, H. Ghazizadeh, E. Barati, Najmeh Malekzadeh Gonabadi, Sara Samadi, Maryam Tayefi, Zahra Izadi mood, M. Azarpazhooh, Sahar Heidari- Bakavoli, T. Hoori, Ramin Bahramizadeh Sajjadi, G. Ferns, M. Ghayour-Mobarhan, H. Heidarian miri","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10414","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10414","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Coronary heart disease (CHD) is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality globally, and specially in Iran. An accurate assessment of the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD) is very important for public health. In current study we aimed to investigate the incidence of CHD and importance of several classical modifiable and un-modifiable risk factors for CHD among an urban population in eastern Iran after 6 years follow-up. \u0000Methods: The population of MASHAD cohort study were followed up for 6 years, every 3 years initially by phone and those who reported symptoms of cardiovascular disease (CVD) were asked to attend for a cardiac examination. An estimate of the incidence of CHD was determined with 95% confidence interval (95% CI) and multiple logistic regression analysis was performed to assess the association of several baseline characteristics with the incidence of a CHD event. Evaluation of goodness-of-fit was undertaken using ROC analysis. CHD cases were divided into four different categories: stable angina, unstable angina pectoris, myocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death. \u0000Results: In the six years of follow-up of the Mashhad study participants, the incidence density of CHD events in men and women in 1000 person-year with 95% confidence intervals were 19.20 (8.10-30.30) and 11.60 (7.30-15.90), respectively. The areas under ROC curve (AUC), based on multiple logistic regression model of CHD outcome, was determined to be 0.783. \u0000Conclusion: Our findings indicated that the incidence rate of coronary heart diseases in MASHAD cohort study increases with age, and our final model was able to predict approximately 78% of CHD events in this Iranian population.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47475566","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Effects of Care Givers Counselling on Depression among People Living With HIV/AIDs 护理人员咨询对艾滋病毒/艾滋病感染者抑郁的影响
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10409
Olubiyi Olaolu Abidemi, Olubiyi Adenike Oluwafunmilola, B. B. Teniola
Introduction: People living with HIV/AIDs (PLWHA) are also prone to mental health problem such as depression. However, there is limited evidence on the effects of care giver counselling on the level of depression among people living with HIV/AIDs. This study aimed to determine factors associated with depression and the effects of care giver counselling and follow up on depression among PLWHA attending Federal Teaching Hospital, Ido-Ekiti, Nigeria. Methods: This study has two parts. The first part addressed the descriptive aspect of the study while in the second part, an experimental study was performed on 64 depressed HIV patients (32 intervention group and 32 in the control group). These 64 respondents were randomly screened out of 351 consenting PLWHA in the hospital using Zung’s self-rating depression scale. A systematic random sampling technique was employed to allocate participants to the groups, with the first client of the 64 participants allocated to the control group and the next client allocated to intervention group. On-phone counselling of a minimum of 30 minutes (once in a week) was done for the patients in the experimental group for a month after which a post intervention assessment was done for both intervention and control groups. Bar chart and descriptive statistics were employed to explain the data. Yate’s Chi-squared statistics was employed to find out statistical associations between the groups while the p-values were consequently reported. Results: The age of the studied subjects ranged between 21-80 years with a mean age of 41.53 (±9.06). One hundred forty-nine (42.5%) of the 351 subjects were found to have one form of depression or the other. Of 351 subjects, 57.5% were not depressed, 17.1% had mild depression, 10.3% had moderate depression and 15.1% had severe depression. One hundred two (29.1%) of 351 respondents came from a severely dysfunctional family, while 193(55.0%) from a moderately dysfunctional family and 56(16%) from highly functional family. The percentage of the intervention group that suffered severe depression reduced from 40.6% to 6.2% after the intervention as opposed to a marginal reduction of 34.4% to 31.2% in the control group without intervention (p-value<0.001). Also, the relationships between the severity of depression and BMI, CD4 and family functions were significantly associated with p-values of <0.001. Conclusion: Care giver counselling significantly reduced depression among PLWHA. Therefore, PLWHA should be encouraged through policies and otherwise to attend counselling sessions with caregivers.
引言:艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者也容易出现抑郁症等心理健康问题。然而,关于护理人员咨询对艾滋病毒/艾滋病患者抑郁程度的影响,证据有限。本研究旨在确定与抑郁症相关的因素,以及护理人员咨询和随访对尼日利亚伊多埃基提联邦教学医院PLWHA抑郁症的影响。方法:本研究分为两部分。第一部分介绍了研究的描述性方面,而在第二部分中,对64名抑郁症HIV患者(32名干预组和32名对照组)进行了实验研究。这64名受访者是在医院使用Zung抑郁自评量表从351名同意PLWHA中随机筛选出来的。采用系统随机抽样技术将参与者分配到各组,64名参与者中的第一个客户分配到对照组,下一个客户分配给干预组。对实验组的患者进行了至少30分钟(每周一次)的电话咨询,为期一个月,之后对干预组和对照组进行了干预后评估。采用条形图和描述性统计来解释数据。采用耶特卡方统计来找出各组之间的统计关联,同时报告p值。结果:研究对象的年龄在21-80岁之间,平均年龄为41.53(±9.06)。351名受试者中有一百四十九名(42.5%)患有某种形式的抑郁症。351名受试者中,57.5%没有抑郁,17.1%有轻度抑郁,10.3%有中度抑郁,15.1%有重度抑郁。351名受访者中有102人(29.1%)来自功能严重失调的家庭,193人(55.0%)来自功能中度失调的家庭和56人(16%)来自功能高度失调的家庭。干预后,干预组患严重抑郁症的百分比从40.6%降至6.2%,而未干预的对照组则从34.4%降至31.2%(p值<0.001)。此外,抑郁症的严重程度与BMI、CD4和家庭功能之间的关系与p值<0.0001显著相关。结论:护理人员咨询能显著降低PLWHA患者的抑郁情绪。因此,应通过政策和其他方式鼓励PLWHA与护理人员一起参加咨询会议。
{"title":"Effects of Care Givers Counselling on Depression among People Living With HIV/AIDs","authors":"Olubiyi Olaolu Abidemi, Olubiyi Adenike Oluwafunmilola, B. B. Teniola","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10409","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i1.10409","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: People living with HIV/AIDs (PLWHA) are also prone to mental health problem such as depression. However, there is limited evidence on the effects of care giver counselling on the level of depression among people living with HIV/AIDs. This study aimed to determine factors associated with depression and the effects of care giver counselling and follow up on depression among PLWHA attending Federal Teaching Hospital, Ido-Ekiti, Nigeria. \u0000Methods: This study has two parts. The first part addressed the descriptive aspect of the study while in the second part, an experimental study was performed on 64 depressed HIV patients (32 intervention group and 32 in the control group). These 64 respondents were randomly screened out of 351 consenting PLWHA in the hospital using Zung’s self-rating depression scale. A systematic random sampling technique was employed to allocate participants to the groups, with the first client of the 64 participants allocated to the control group and the next client allocated to intervention group. On-phone counselling of a minimum of 30 minutes (once in a week) was done for the patients in the experimental group for a month after which a post intervention assessment was done for both intervention and control groups. Bar chart and descriptive statistics were employed to explain the data. Yate’s Chi-squared statistics was employed to find out statistical associations between the groups while the p-values were consequently reported. \u0000Results: The age of the studied subjects ranged between 21-80 years with a mean age of 41.53 (±9.06). One hundred forty-nine (42.5%) of the 351 subjects were found to have one form of depression or the other. Of 351 subjects, 57.5% were not depressed, 17.1% had mild depression, 10.3% had moderate depression and 15.1% had severe depression. One hundred two (29.1%) of 351 respondents came from a severely dysfunctional family, while 193(55.0%) from a moderately dysfunctional family and 56(16%) from highly functional family. The percentage of the intervention group that suffered severe depression reduced from 40.6% to 6.2% after the intervention as opposed to a marginal reduction of 34.4% to 31.2% in the control group without intervention (p-value<0.001). Also, the relationships between the severity of depression and BMI, CD4 and family functions were significantly associated with p-values of <0.001. \u0000Conclusion: Care giver counselling significantly reduced depression among PLWHA. Therefore, PLWHA should be encouraged through policies and otherwise to attend counselling sessions with caregivers.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"41318454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multivariate and Gene-Based Association Testing of Sarcopenia: Bushehr Elderly Health Program (BEH) 肌肉减少症的多变量和基于基因的关联检测:Bushehr老年健康计划(BEH)
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-08-29 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10417
Mohammad Noorchenarboo, M. Akbarzadeh, Noushin Fahimfar, G. Shafiee, Hamed Moheimani, Kazem Khalagi, M. Amoli, B. Larijani, I. Nabipour, A. Ostovar, A. Dehghan, M. Yaseri
Introduction: There is a strong correlation between the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) and handgrip strength as indicators of sarcopenias. Multivariate methods can be exploited statistical power in determining the association between these correlated heritable indicators. Methods: We conducted a multivariate candidate-gene study based on data collected from the ongoing Bushehr Elderly Health (BEH) cohort, which evaluated the prevalence of musculoskeletal disorders in 2772 Iranians over 60 years old with 663377 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We chose genetic variants on IL10 (chromosome 1: 206940947, 206945839), a strongly associated gene known to cause muscle diseases, as candidate regions, which included 27 independent SNPs with LD<0.4 (MAF>0.01 and p-valuehwe >0.05). MultiPhen uses a linear combination of genotypes, including SMI and handgrip, to obtain stronger statistical power. To outperform and confirm the MultiPhen results, it combined with a summary statistics level genebased association test, GATES. Results: Among the participants, 1138 men (48%) and 1205 women (52%) aged 69.2±6.35 and 69.56±6.45, were present respectively. 27 SNPs with a maximum MAF of 0.488 and a minimum of 0.0098, p-value hwe=0.3 were selected on Interleukin 10 (IL10). In the joint model MultiPhen test, 3 intronic variants (rs11119603, rs3950619, rs57461190) were associated with IL10 with effect sizes between 0.178 and 0.883 (p-value<0.05). We used the GATES model to assess the multivariate aggregated effect of IL10 on the phenotypes. Using this method, the gene's effect was significant (0.046), showing that it is a risk gene for sarcopenia. Conclusion: This study examined the association of handgrip, SMI, with IL10, as demonstrated in previous studies as risk factors for muscular diseases, using multivariate methods that utilized a joint model to achieve a high level of statistical power.
引言:骨骼肌质量指数(SMI)和握力作为肌肉萎缩的指标之间存在很强的相关性。可以利用多变量方法来确定这些相关遗传指标之间的相关性。方法:我们根据正在进行的布什尔老年健康(BEH)队列中收集的数据进行了一项多变量候选基因研究,该研究评估了2772名60岁以上伊朗人的肌肉骨骼疾病患病率,其中663377个单核苷酸多态性(SNPs)。我们选择IL10(染色体1:206940947206954839)上的遗传变异作为候选区域,IL10是一个已知会导致肌肉疾病的强相关基因,其中包括27个LD0.01和p值(e>0.05)的独立SNPs。MultiPhen使用基因型的线性组合,包括SMI和手柄,以获得更强的统计能力。为了超越和证实MultiPhen的结果,它结合了汇总统计级别的基于基因的关联测试GATES。结果:在参与者中,1138名男性(48%)和1205名女性(52%)分别为69.2±6.35和69.56±6.45岁。在白细胞介素10(IL10)上选择了27个SNPs,其最大MAF为0.488,最小MAF为0.0098,p值hwe=0.3。在联合模型MultiPhen检验中,3个内含子变体(rs11119603、rs3950619、rs57461190)与IL10相关,效应大小在0.178和0.883之间(p值<0.05)。我们使用GATES模型来评估IL10对表型的多变量聚集效应。使用这种方法,该基因的作用是显著的(0.046),表明它是少肌症的危险基因。结论:本研究使用多变量方法,利用关节模型获得高水平的统计能力,检验了握力、SMI和IL10的相关性,如先前的研究所证明的那样,它们是肌肉疾病的危险因素。
{"title":"Multivariate and Gene-Based Association Testing of Sarcopenia: Bushehr Elderly Health Program (BEH)","authors":"Mohammad Noorchenarboo, M. Akbarzadeh, Noushin Fahimfar, G. Shafiee, Hamed Moheimani, Kazem Khalagi, M. Amoli, B. Larijani, I. Nabipour, A. Ostovar, A. Dehghan, M. Yaseri","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10417","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i2.10417","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: There is a strong correlation between the skeletal muscle mass index (SMI) and handgrip strength as indicators of sarcopenias. Multivariate methods can be exploited statistical power in determining the association between these correlated heritable indicators. Methods: We conducted a multivariate candidate-gene study based on data collected from the ongoing Bushehr Elderly Health (BEH) cohort, which evaluated the prevalence of musculoskeletal disorders in 2772 Iranians over 60 years old with 663377 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs). We chose genetic variants on IL10 (chromosome 1: 206940947, 206945839), a strongly associated gene known to cause muscle diseases, as candidate regions, which included 27 independent SNPs with LD<0.4 (MAF>0.01 and p-valuehwe >0.05). MultiPhen uses a linear combination of genotypes, including SMI and handgrip, to obtain stronger statistical power. To outperform and confirm the MultiPhen results, it combined with a summary statistics level genebased association test, GATES. Results: Among the participants, 1138 men (48%) and 1205 women (52%) aged 69.2±6.35 and 69.56±6.45, were present respectively. 27 SNPs with a maximum MAF of 0.488 and a minimum of 0.0098, p-value hwe=0.3 were selected on Interleukin 10 (IL10). In the joint model MultiPhen test, 3 intronic variants (rs11119603, rs3950619, rs57461190) were associated with IL10 with effect sizes between 0.178 and 0.883 (p-value<0.05). We used the GATES model to assess the multivariate aggregated effect of IL10 on the phenotypes. Using this method, the gene's effect was significant (0.046), showing that it is a risk gene for sarcopenia. Conclusion: This study examined the association of handgrip, SMI, with IL10, as demonstrated in previous studies as risk factors for muscular diseases, using multivariate methods that utilized a joint model to achieve a high level of statistical power.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45227901","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The association between dietary antioxidant indices and cardiac disease: Baseline data of Kharameh cohort 饮食抗氧化指标与心脏病之间的关系:Kharameh队列的基线数据
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2022-02-15 DOI: 10.21203/rs.3.rs-1313935/v1
P. Keshani, M. Jalali, masomeh ghoddusi, Ramin Rezaeianzadeh, Seyed Vahid Hosseini, A. Rezaeianzadeh
Background:Oxidative stress contributes to the development of cardiovascular disease. Tools for evaluating the anti-inflammatory and antioxidative characteristics of an individual’s diet as a whole may be valuable for assessing the combined effects of dietary antioxidants on health. This population-based study aimed to investigate the association between dietary antioxidants and cardiac disease.Methods:In this population-based cross-sectional study, 10439 individuals aged 40-70 years were recruited during 2014-2017 in Kherameh cohort study which is a part of the Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (PERSIAN). The food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) with 130 food items was used to assess the dietary intakes. Vitamin A, E, C, selenium, zinc and Manganese intakes were used to compute dietary antioxidant index (DAI) and dietary antioxidant quality score (DAQs).Results:The participants’ mean age was 52.1± 8.3 years. Among all, 4356 (41.7%) were overweight and 1892 (18.1%) were obese. According to the results, odds of cardiac diseases decreased by increasing DAI score (OR=0.80, Pvalue <0.001). , Odds of cardiac diseases increased by lower DAQS after adjusting for demographic variables including age, sex, BMI, Marital status and hypertension (OR=0.799, P value=0.002)Conclusion:The role of anti-oxidants in reducing the odds of cardiovascular disease is very important. Our results highlighted that DAQS and DAI had protective effect on the odds of cardiovascular disease. Therefore, it is suggested that anti-oxidants as zinc, manganese, selenium, and vitamins A, E and C should be taken through food to reduce the risk of the disease.
背景:氧化应激导致心血管疾病的发展。评估个人饮食整体抗炎和抗氧化特性的工具可能有助于评估饮食抗氧化剂对健康的综合影响。这项基于人群的研究旨在调查饮食抗氧化剂与心脏病之间的关系。方法:在这项基于人群的横断面研究中,2014-2017年期间,在Kherameh队列研究中招募了10439名40-70岁的个体,该研究是伊朗前瞻性流行病学研究(PERSIAN)的一部分。食物频率问卷(FFQ)包含130种食物项目,用于评估膳食摄入量。维生素A、E、C、硒、锌和锰的摄入量用于计算膳食抗氧化指数(DAI)和膳食抗氧化质量评分(DAQ)。结果:参与者的平均年龄为52.1± 8.3年。其中4356人(41.7%)超重,1892人(18.1%)肥胖。结果表明,DAI评分越高,患心脏病的几率越低(OR=0.80,P值<0.001)。在校正了年龄、性别、BMI、婚姻状况和高血压等人口统计学变量后,DAQS评分越低,患心脏疾病的几率越高(OR=0.799,P值=0.002)。结论:抗氧化剂在降低心血管疾病几率方面的作用非常重要。我们的研究结果强调,DAQS和DAI对心血管疾病的几率具有保护作用。因此,建议通过食物摄入锌、锰、硒以及维生素A、E和C等抗氧化剂,以降低患病风险。
{"title":"The association between dietary antioxidant indices and cardiac disease: Baseline data of Kharameh cohort","authors":"P. Keshani, M. Jalali, masomeh ghoddusi, Ramin Rezaeianzadeh, Seyed Vahid Hosseini, A. Rezaeianzadeh","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-1313935/v1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-1313935/v1","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000 Background:Oxidative stress contributes to the development of cardiovascular disease. Tools for evaluating the anti-inflammatory and antioxidative characteristics of an individual’s diet as a whole may be valuable for assessing the combined effects of dietary antioxidants on health. This population-based study aimed to investigate the association between dietary antioxidants and cardiac disease.Methods:In this population-based cross-sectional study, 10439 individuals aged 40-70 years were recruited during 2014-2017 in Kherameh cohort study which is a part of the Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (PERSIAN). The food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) with 130 food items was used to assess the dietary intakes. Vitamin A, E, C, selenium, zinc and Manganese intakes were used to compute dietary antioxidant index (DAI) and dietary antioxidant quality score (DAQs).Results:The participants’ mean age was 52.1± 8.3 years. Among all, 4356 (41.7%) were overweight and 1892 (18.1%) were obese. According to the results, odds of cardiac diseases decreased by increasing DAI score (OR=0.80, Pvalue <0.001). , Odds of cardiac diseases increased by lower DAQS after adjusting for demographic variables including age, sex, BMI, Marital status and hypertension (OR=0.799, P value=0.002)Conclusion:The role of anti-oxidants in reducing the odds of cardiovascular disease is very important. Our results highlighted that DAQS and DAI had protective effect on the odds of cardiovascular disease. Therefore, it is suggested that anti-oxidants as zinc, manganese, selenium, and vitamins A, E and C should be taken through food to reduce the risk of the disease.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47767117","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multistate Models for the Analysis of Time to Type II Chronic Diabetic Complications in Debre Markos Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚西北部Debre Markos转诊医院II型慢性糖尿病并发症发生时间的多状态模型分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2021-10-03 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7300
Muluye Getie Ayaneh, Ashagrie Sharew Iyasu
Introduction: Diabetes is a chronic, non-communicable disease characterized by elevated blood glucose levels. The purpose of this study was to jointly model the transition of diabetic patients in a series of clinical states and to assess the relationship between each state and different patient characteristics. Methods: A hospital-based retrospective study was conducted on 524 patients with type II diabetes, aged 18 years or older, who attended their medication between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017. Multistate models with different assumptions were considered to explore the effects of different prognostic factors on the transition intensity of type II diabetes mellitus patients. Results: During a median follow-up time of 7.4 years (Inter-Quartile Range=4.01), 54.8% of diabetic patients developed either microvascular or macrovascular complications, and 10.5% of them experienced both microand macrocomplications, and 16.66% of diabetes patients died. The assumption Markov was assessed by using the likelihood ratio test showed that Markov assumption was not held just for the transition. The transition rate of patients from the macrovascular state to the death state was affected by the residence of the patients (P=0.05) and age at diagnosis (p=0.01). The transition rates of patients with microvascular complications to death were significantly affected by baseline triglyceride level (P<0.001), age at first diagnosis (P=0.01), baseline glucose level (P=0.03, and baseline serum creatinine level (P=0.04). Conclusion: The semi-Markov model fitted the data well and could be used as a convenient model for the analysis of time to diabetes-related complications or death.
引言:糖尿病是一种以血糖水平升高为特征的慢性非传染性疾病。本研究的目的是共同模拟糖尿病患者在一系列临床状态下的转变,并评估每种状态与不同患者特征之间的关系。方法:对524名年龄在18岁或以上的II型糖尿病患者进行了一项基于医院的回顾性研究,这些患者在2005年1月1日至2017年12月31日期间接受了药物治疗。考虑了具有不同假设的多状态模型,以探讨不同预后因素对II型糖尿病患者过渡强度的影响。结果:在7.4年的中位随访时间内(四分位数范围=4.01),54.8%的糖尿病患者出现微血管或大血管并发症,10.5%的患者同时出现微血管和大血管并发症。16.66%的糖尿病患者死亡。通过使用似然比检验来评估马尔可夫假设表明,马尔可夫假设不仅仅适用于转换。患者从大血管状态到死亡状态的转变率受患者居住地(P=0.05)和诊断时年龄(P=0.01)的影响,基线血糖水平(P=0.03)和基线血肌酐水平(P=0.04)。结论:半马尔可夫模型与数据拟合良好,可作为分析糖尿病相关并发症或死亡时间的方便模型。
{"title":"Multistate Models for the Analysis of Time to Type II Chronic Diabetic Complications in Debre Markos Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia","authors":"Muluye Getie Ayaneh, Ashagrie Sharew Iyasu","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7300","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7300","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Diabetes is a chronic, non-communicable disease characterized by elevated blood glucose levels. The purpose of this study was to jointly model the transition of diabetic patients in a series of clinical states and to assess the relationship between each state and different patient characteristics. \u0000Methods: A hospital-based retrospective study was conducted on 524 patients with type II diabetes, aged 18 years or older, who attended their medication between January 1, 2005, and December 31, 2017. Multistate models with different assumptions were considered to explore the effects of different prognostic factors on the transition intensity of type II diabetes mellitus patients. \u0000Results: During a median follow-up time of 7.4 years (Inter-Quartile Range=4.01), 54.8% of diabetic patients developed either microvascular or macrovascular complications, and 10.5% of them experienced both microand macrocomplications, and 16.66% of diabetes patients died. The assumption Markov was assessed by using the likelihood ratio test showed that Markov assumption was not held just for the transition. The transition rate of patients from the macrovascular state to the death state was affected by the residence of the patients (P=0.05) and age at diagnosis (p=0.01). The transition rates of patients with microvascular complications to death were significantly affected by baseline triglyceride level (P<0.001), age at first diagnosis (P=0.01), baseline glucose level (P=0.03, and baseline serum creatinine level (P=0.04). \u0000Conclusion: The semi-Markov model fitted the data well and could be used as a convenient model for the analysis of time to diabetes-related complications or death.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43661531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Survival Analysis of Patients with Brain Stroke in the Presence of Competing Risks: A Weibull Parametric Model 存在竞争风险的脑卒中患者生存分析:威布尔参数模型
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2021-10-03 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7295
Solmaz Norouzi, R. Fallah, A. Pourdarvish, S. Shamshirgaran, Farshid Farzipoor, M. Asghari jafarabadi
Introduction: This study aimed to assess the association between the survival of patients and outcomes in Brain Stroke (BS) in the presence of competing risks utilizing a Weibull parametric model. Methods: In this longitudinal study, 332 patients with BS were attended from Imam Khomeini Hospital in Ardabil, Iran. The stroke was diagnosed according to the medical history, current symptoms, and brain imaging during June 2008 and 2018. The survival of the patients, as the primary outcome, was modeled utilizing the best-chosen Weibull model in the presence of competing risks, including stroke and other factors (heart disease, blood pressure, etc.). Results: Older age at diagnosis (59-68 years: hazard ratio [HR]=2.27; 90% confidence interval [CI]: 1.65 to 3.12; 69-75 years: HR=4.79; 95% CI: 3.56 to 6.44; ≥76 years: HR, 4.92; 95% CI: 3.55 to 6.80), being a male (HR, 1.39; 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.75), being unemployed (HR, 1.44; 95% CI: 1.39 to 1.82), having heart disease (HR, 1.68; 95% CI: 1.38 to 2.06), and hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 2.21; 95% CI: 1.378to 2.75) were directly related to death from BS. Older age at diagnosis (59-68 years: HR, 18.01; 90% CI, 5.33 to 64.92; 75-69 years: HR, 18.56; 95% CI: 6.97 to 86.57; ≥76 years: HR, 28.90; 95% CI: 15.77 to 218.49), and urban residence (HR, 0.46; 90% CI, 0.28 to 0.77) were directly related to death from other causes. Conclusion: The recognition of the influential factors on the mortality of BS patients can allow increasing their survival.
引言:本研究旨在利用威布尔参数模型评估在存在竞争风险的情况下,脑卒中(BS)患者的生存率与预后之间的关系。方法:在这项纵向研究中,332名BS患者来自伊朗Ardabil的Imam Khomeini医院。根据2008年6月和2018年6月的病史、当前症状和大脑成像,诊断为中风。患者的生存率作为主要结果,在存在竞争风险的情况下利用最佳选择的威布尔模型进行建模,包括中风和其他因素(心脏病、血压等),患有心脏病(HR,1.68;95%CI:1.38-2.06)和出血性中风(HR,2.21;95%CI:13.78-2.75)与BS死亡直接相关。诊断时年龄较大(59-68岁:HR,18.01;90%CI,5.33-64.92;75-69岁:HR 18.56;95%CI:6.97-86.57;≥76岁:HR 28.90;95%CI:15.77-218.49),和城市居住(HR,0.46;90%CI,0.28-0.77)与其他原因的死亡直接相关。结论:认识BS患者死亡率的影响因素,可以提高其生存率。
{"title":"Survival Analysis of Patients with Brain Stroke in the Presence of Competing Risks: A Weibull Parametric Model","authors":"Solmaz Norouzi, R. Fallah, A. Pourdarvish, S. Shamshirgaran, Farshid Farzipoor, M. Asghari jafarabadi","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7295","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v7i3.7295","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: This study aimed to assess the association between the survival of patients and outcomes in Brain Stroke (BS) in the presence of competing risks utilizing a Weibull parametric model. \u0000Methods: In this longitudinal study, 332 patients with BS were attended from Imam Khomeini Hospital in Ardabil, Iran. The stroke was diagnosed according to the medical history, current symptoms, and brain imaging during June 2008 and 2018. The survival of the patients, as the primary outcome, was modeled utilizing the best-chosen Weibull model in the presence of competing risks, including stroke and other factors (heart disease, blood pressure, etc.). \u0000Results: Older age at diagnosis (59-68 years: hazard ratio [HR]=2.27; 90% confidence interval [CI]: 1.65 to 3.12; 69-75 years: HR=4.79; 95% CI: 3.56 to 6.44; ≥76 years: HR, 4.92; 95% CI: 3.55 to 6.80), being a male (HR, 1.39; 95% CI: 1.11 to 1.75), being unemployed (HR, 1.44; 95% CI: 1.39 to 1.82), having heart disease (HR, 1.68; 95% CI: 1.38 to 2.06), and hemorrhagic stroke (HR, 2.21; 95% CI: 1.378to 2.75) were directly related to death from BS. Older age at diagnosis (59-68 years: HR, 18.01; 90% CI, 5.33 to 64.92; 75-69 years: HR, 18.56; 95% CI: 6.97 to 86.57; ≥76 years: HR, 28.90; 95% CI: 15.77 to 218.49), and urban residence (HR, 0.46; 90% CI, 0.28 to 0.77) were directly related to death from other causes. \u0000Conclusion: The recognition of the influential factors on the mortality of BS patients can allow increasing their survival.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49666634","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
全部 Acc. Chem. Res. ACS Applied Bio Materials ACS Appl. Electron. Mater. ACS Appl. Energy Mater. ACS Appl. Mater. Interfaces ACS Appl. Nano Mater. ACS Appl. Polym. Mater. ACS BIOMATER-SCI ENG ACS Catal. ACS Cent. Sci. ACS Chem. Biol. ACS Chemical Health & Safety ACS Chem. Neurosci. ACS Comb. Sci. ACS Earth Space Chem. ACS Energy Lett. ACS Infect. Dis. ACS Macro Lett. ACS Mater. Lett. ACS Med. Chem. Lett. ACS Nano ACS Omega ACS Photonics ACS Sens. ACS Sustainable Chem. Eng. ACS Synth. Biol. Anal. Chem. BIOCHEMISTRY-US Bioconjugate Chem. BIOMACROMOLECULES Chem. Res. Toxicol. Chem. Rev. Chem. Mater. CRYST GROWTH DES ENERG FUEL Environ. Sci. Technol. Environ. Sci. Technol. Lett. Eur. J. Inorg. Chem. IND ENG CHEM RES Inorg. Chem. J. Agric. Food. Chem. J. Chem. Eng. Data J. Chem. Educ. J. Chem. Inf. Model. J. Chem. Theory Comput. J. Med. Chem. J. Nat. Prod. J PROTEOME RES J. Am. Chem. Soc. LANGMUIR MACROMOLECULES Mol. Pharmaceutics Nano Lett. Org. Lett. ORG PROCESS RES DEV ORGANOMETALLICS J. Org. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. J. Phys. Chem. A J. Phys. Chem. B J. Phys. Chem. C J. Phys. Chem. Lett. Analyst Anal. Methods Biomater. Sci. Catal. Sci. Technol. Chem. Commun. Chem. Soc. Rev. CHEM EDUC RES PRACT CRYSTENGCOMM Dalton Trans. Energy Environ. Sci. ENVIRON SCI-NANO ENVIRON SCI-PROC IMP ENVIRON SCI-WAT RES Faraday Discuss. Food Funct. Green Chem. Inorg. Chem. Front. Integr. Biol. J. Anal. At. Spectrom. J. Mater. Chem. A J. Mater. Chem. B J. Mater. Chem. C Lab Chip Mater. Chem. Front. Mater. Horiz. MEDCHEMCOMM Metallomics Mol. Biosyst. Mol. Syst. Des. Eng. Nanoscale Nanoscale Horiz. Nat. Prod. Rep. New J. Chem. Org. Biomol. Chem. Org. Chem. Front. PHOTOCH PHOTOBIO SCI PCCP Polym. Chem.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1