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An Integrative Bayesian Model Analysis of Patient Characteristics and Treatment Variables to Understand Lung Cancer Survival Rates in Kerman Province, Iran 伊朗克尔曼省患者特征和治疗变量的综合贝叶斯模型分析以了解肺癌生存率
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i4.13357
Javad Ghasemi, M. S. Fekri, M. Larizadeh, S. Dabiri, Y. Jahani
Introduction: Lung cancer (LC) is the most common type of cancer and causes of death among males. This study aims to estimate the survival rate of lung cancer patients by employing the benefits of Bayesian modeling in determining factors affecting the survival of lung cancer in Kerman province, Iran. Methods: We conducted a historical cohort study of 195 patients with lung cancer from 2016 to 2018. In this study, we used linear dependent Dirichlet process (LDDP), and employed some results of the previous study as informative prior for better estimation. Results: Of the 195 patients, 160 died. The mean age of patients at the time of diagnosis was 62.43±12.55. The median survival time of patients was 10.4 months. Men accounted for 75.9% of the total patients. One, two, and three-year survival rate was 44.5%, 22.9%, and 16.4%, respectively. The multivariable model results showed that treatments were significant. Other variables had no significant effect. Conclusion: Our study highlights the importance of prompt diagnosis and appropriate treatment in improving the survival rate of lung cancer patients. We found that patients who received at least one usual lung cancer treatment, such as chemotherapy, radiation therapy, or surgery, had higher survival rates compared to those who did not receive any treatment. While our study has some limitations, such as its retrospective design, our use of Bayesian modeling techniques allowed us to effectively incorporate prior information from previous studies to improve estimation accuracy.
肺癌(LC)是男性中最常见的癌症类型和死亡原因。本研究旨在利用贝叶斯模型确定影响伊朗克尔曼省肺癌患者生存率的因素,估计肺癌患者的生存率。方法:对2016 - 2018年195例肺癌患者进行历史队列研究。在本研究中,我们使用线性相关的Dirichlet过程(LDDP),并使用一些先前研究的结果作为信息先验,以便更好地估计。结果:195例患者中,死亡160例。确诊时患者平均年龄为62.43±12.55岁。患者的中位生存时间为10.4个月。男性占患者总数的75.9%。1年、2年和3年生存率分别为44.5%、22.9%和16.4%。多变量模型结果显示,处理是显著的。其他变量无显著影响。结论:我们的研究强调了及时诊断和适当治疗对提高肺癌患者生存率的重要性。我们发现,与未接受任何治疗的患者相比,接受至少一种常规肺癌治疗(如化疗、放疗或手术)的患者生存率更高。虽然我们的研究有一些局限性,例如回顾性设计,但我们使用贝叶斯建模技术使我们能够有效地结合以前研究的先验信息,以提高估计精度。
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引用次数: 1
The Prediction of Alexithymia Using Depression, Anxiety, Stress, and Demographics in Undergraduate Students 用抑郁、焦虑、压力和人口统计学预测大学生述情障碍
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i4.13356
Asma Darvishi, Elaheh Sanjari, H. Shahraki
Introduction: Alexithymia is a psychiatric disorder in which people become emotionally frustrated. This study aims to model the role of depression, anxiety, and stress in alexithymia prediction. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, 260 undergraduate students were selected via multi-stage cluster sampling. The Toronto Alexithymia Scale (TAS-20) and depression, anxiety and stress scale have been used to collect data. The association between qualitative variables was examined using Chi-square test and LASSO logistic regression was fitted for alexithymia prediction. Results: The mean±SD of participants’ age was 20.7±3.2 years. Of all, 197 (75.8%) students were female and 236 (90.8%) were single. According to the cutoff point for TAS-20, 30.8% of the students displayed signs of alexithymia. The rate of alexithymia was significantly higher among males (42.9% versus 26.9%, P=0.02) and among nursing (45.9%) and anesthesia (44.8%) students than other undergraduate students. The proportion of students with anxiety, depression, and stress were 45.0%, 15.8%, and 9.2%, respectively. 51.2% of the depressed students had alexithymia, while only 26.9% of non-depressed students were alexithymic (P=0.002). LASSO logistic regression showed that odds of alexithymia was significantly higher among male students (OR=1.40, 95% CI=1.03, 1.90), students with depression (OR=1.73, 95% CI=1.18, 2.54), students who had anxiety (OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.07, 1.89), and nursing students (OR=1.62, 95% CI=1.07, 2.45). Conclusion: The results of this study indicate the importance role of anxiety and depression in predicting alexithymia. Due to the high prevalence of alexithymia among college students, we suggest the routine evaluation of college students for alexithymia.
述情障碍是一种精神疾病,患者在情绪上受到挫折。本研究旨在模拟抑郁、焦虑和压力在述情障碍预测中的作用。方法:采用多阶段整群抽样的方法,对260名大学生进行横断面调查。使用多伦多述情障碍量表(TAS-20)和抑郁、焦虑和压力量表收集数据。使用卡方检验检验定性变量之间的相关性,并采用LASSO逻辑回归进行述情障碍预测。结果:参与者年龄的平均值±SD为20.7±3.2岁。其中女生197人(75.8%),单身236人(90.8%)。根据TAS-20的分界点,30.8%的学生表现出述情障碍的迹象。男性(42.9%比26.9%,P=0.02)、护理学(45.9%)和麻醉学(44.8%)的述情障碍发生率明显高于其他本科学生。焦虑、抑郁和压力的学生比例分别为45.0%、15.8%和9.2%。51.2%的抑郁学生有述情障碍,而26.9%的非抑郁学生有述情障碍(P=0.002)。LASSO logistic回归显示,男学生(OR=1.40, 95% CI=1.03, 1.90)、抑郁学生(OR=1.73, 95% CI=1.18, 2.54)、焦虑学生(OR=1.42, 95% CI=1.07, 1.89)、护生(OR=1.62, 95% CI=1.07, 2.45)述情障碍的发生率显著高于男学生(OR=1.40, 95% CI=1.03, 1.90)。结论:本研究结果提示焦虑和抑郁在述情障碍预测中的重要作用。鉴于大学生述情障碍的高患病率,我们建议对大学生述情障碍进行常规评估。
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引用次数: 0
The Association between Dietary Antioxidant Indices and Cardiac Disease: Baseline Data of Kharameh Cohort Study 饮食抗氧化指标与心脏病之间的关系:Kharameh队列研究的基线数据
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i4.13358
Parisa Keshani, Maryam Jalali, Masoumeh Ghoddusi Johari, Ramin Rezaeianzadeh, Seyed Vahid Hosseini, Abbas Rezaianzadeh
Introduction: Oxidative stress contributes to the development of cardiovascular disease. Tools for evaluating the anti-inflammatory and antioxidative characteristics of an individual’s diet as a whole may be valuable for assessing the combined effects of dietary antioxidants on health. This population-based study aimed to investigate the association between dietary antioxidants and cardiac disease. Methods: In this population-based cross-sectional study, 10439 individuals aged 40-70 years were recruited during 2014-2017 in Kherameh cohort study which is a part of the Prospective Epidemiological Research Studies in Iran (PERSIAN). The food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) with 130 food items was used to assess the dietary intakes. Vitamin A, E, C, selenium, zinc and Manganese intakes were used to compute dietary antioxidant index (DAI) and dietary antioxidant quality score (DAQs). Chi-square and independent sample T-test was used for comparing qualitative and quantitative variables between the groups respectively Logistic regression analysis was applied for evaluating the association between cardiac disease, DAI and DAQS score after adjusting for covariates. Results: The participants’ mean age was 52.1±8.3 years. Among all, 4356 (41.7%) were overweight and 1892 (18.1%) were obese. According to the results, odds of cardiac diseases decreased by increasing DAI score (OR=0.80, P value<0.001), Odds of cardiac diseases increased by lower DAQS after adjusting for demographic variables including age, sex, BMI, Marital status and hypertension (OR=0.799, P value=0.002). Conclusion: The role of anti-oxidants in reducing the odds of cardiovascular disease is very important. Our results highlighted that DAQS and DAI had protective effect on the odds of cardiovascular disease. Therefore, it is suggested that anti-oxidants as zinc, manganese, selenium, and vitamins A, E and C should be taken through food to reduce the risk of the disease.
氧化应激有助于心血管疾病的发展。评估个人饮食整体的抗炎和抗氧化特性的工具对于评估饮食抗氧化剂对健康的综合影响可能是有价值的。这项以人群为基础的研究旨在调查膳食抗氧化剂与心脏病之间的关系。方法:在这项基于人群的横断面研究中,2014-2017年在Kherameh队列研究中招募了10439名年龄在40-70岁之间的个体,该队列研究是伊朗(波斯)前瞻性流行病学研究的一部分。采用食物频率问卷(FFQ)对130种食物的摄入量进行评估。采用维生素A、E、C、硒、锌和锰的摄入量计算饲料抗氧化指数(DAI)和饲料抗氧化质量评分(DAQs)。两组间定性、定量变量的比较分别采用卡方检验和独立样本t检验,校正协变量后,采用Logistic回归分析评价心脏病、DAI和DAQS评分的相关性。 结果:患者平均年龄52.1±8.3岁。其中超重4356人(41.7%),肥胖1892人(18.1%)。结果显示,DAI评分越高,患心脏病的几率越低(OR=0.80, P值<0.001);在调整年龄、性别、BMI、婚姻状况和高血压等人口统计学变量后,DAQS越低,患心脏病的几率越高(OR=0.799, P值=0.002)。结论:抗氧化剂在降低心血管疾病发生率方面具有重要作用。我们的研究结果强调DAQS和DAI对心血管疾病的发生率有保护作用。因此,建议通过食物摄入抗氧化剂,如锌、锰、硒和维生素A、E和C,以降低患病风险。
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引用次数: 0
Evaluating the Agreement between k-median and Latent Class Analysis for Clustering of Psychological Distress Prevalence 心理困扰患病率聚类分析的k-中位数与潜在类分析的一致性评价
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i4.13353
M. Salari, Z. Rahimi, R. Kalantari, Jamshid Jamali
Introduction: Psychological distress (PD) is one of the most common mental disorders in the general population. Psychological distress is considered a public health priority due to its adverse effects on quality of life, health, performance, and productivity. It can also predict several serious mental illnesses, such as depressive disorder and anxiety. In this study, we intend to identify the behavioral pattern of PD in the population of 18 to 65 years old in Mashhad using two methods, K-median and Latent Class Analysis (LCA), and evaluate the agreement between the two methods. Methods: This cross-sectional study was performed on 38058 individuals referred to community health care centers in Mashhad of Iran in 2019. The information used in this study was extracted from Sina Electronic Health Record System (SinaEHR) database. A demographic information checklist and a 6-item Kessler psychological distress scale (K-6) were used for data collection. K-median and LCA were used for data analysis. Results: Out of 38058 participants, 49.3% were women, 86.1% were married, and 63.6% had a diploma and under diploma education. The LCA identified three patterns of PD in answering the items of the K-6 questionnaire, including severe PD (19.7%), low PD (36.7%), and no PD (43.5%). Three clusters were identified by the K-Median method: 1) severe PD (22.0%), 2) low PD (31.1%), and 3) and no PD (46.9%). The agreement between K-Median and LCA was kappa = 0.862. Conclusion: About 20% of people were classified as having severe PD. Both LCA and k-median methods can reasonably identify the latent pattern of PD with significant entropy, and there was almost complete agreement between the two methods in data clustering. Considering the advantages of the LCA, this method is recommended to identify the latent pattern of PD based on the k-6 questionnaire.
引言:心理困扰(PD)是普通人群中最常见的精神障碍之一。心理困扰被认为是公共卫生的优先事项,因为它会对生活质量、健康、表现和生产力产生不利影响。它还可以预测几种严重的精神疾病,如抑郁症和焦虑症。在本研究中,我们打算使用K-中位数和潜在类别分析(LCA)两种方法来确定马什哈德18至65岁人群中PD的行为模式,并评估这两种方法之间的一致性。方法:这项横断面研究于2019年在伊朗马什哈德对38058名转诊至社区卫生保健中心的患者进行。本研究中使用的信息是从新浪电子健康记录系统(SinaEHR)数据库中提取的。使用人口统计信息清单和6项Kessler心理困扰量表(K-6)进行数据收集。采用K-median和LCA进行数据分析。结果:在38058名参与者中,49.3%是女性,86.1%已婚,63.6%受过文凭和文凭以下教育。LCA在回答K-6问卷的项目时确定了三种PD模式,包括严重PD(19.7%)、低PD(36.7%)和无PD(43.5%)。用K-中位数方法确定了三个聚类:1)严重PD(22.0%)、2)低PD(31.1%)和3)无PD(46.9%)。K-中位数与LCA之间的一致性为kappa=0.862。结论:约20%的人被归类为重度帕金森病患者,LCA和k-中位数方法都能以显著的熵合理地识别帕金森病的潜在模式,并且两种方法在数据聚类上几乎完全一致。考虑到生命周期评价的优点,推荐该方法在k-6问卷的基础上识别帕金森病的潜在模式。
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引用次数: 0
On The Search for Convergence of Functional Brain Patterns across Neuroimaging Studies: A Coordinate-Based Meta-Analysis Using Gibbs Point Process 在神经影像学研究中寻找功能性脑模式的收敛性:基于坐标的吉布斯点过程荟萃分析
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12305
M. Mohammadzadeh, M. Tahmasian, A. Rasekhi
Introduction: Coordinate-based meta-analysis (CBMA) is a standard method for integrating brain functional patterns in neuroimaging studies. CBMA aims to identify convergency in activated brain regions across studies using coordinates of the peak activation (foci). Here, we aimed to introduce a new application of the Gibbs models for the meta-regression of the neuroimaging studies. Methods: We used a dataset acquired from 31 studies by previous work. For each study as well as foci, study features such as SD duration and the average age were extracted. Two widely Gibbs models, Area-interaction and Geyer saturation were fitted on the foci. These models can quantify and test evidence for clusters in foci using an interaction parameter. We included study features in the models to identify their contribution to foci distribution and hence determine sources of the heterogeneity. Results: Our results revealed that latent study-specific features have a moderate contribution to the heterogeneity of foci distribution. However, the effect of age and SD duration was not significant (p<0.001). Additionally, the estimated interaction parameter was 1.34 (p<0.001) which denotes strong evidence of clusters in foci. Conclusion: Overall, this study highlighted the role of the interaction parameter in CBMA. The results of this work suggest that Gibbs models can be considered as a promising tool for neuroimaging meta-analysis.
引言:基于坐标的荟萃分析(CBMA)是神经影像学研究中整合大脑功能模式的标准方法。CBMA旨在通过使用峰值激活(焦点)的坐标来确定研究中激活的大脑区域的收敛性。在这里,我们旨在介绍吉布斯模型在神经影像学研究的元回归中的新应用。方法:我们使用了从先前工作的31项研究中获得的数据集。对于每项研究以及病灶,提取研究特征,如SD持续时间和平均年龄。两个广泛的吉布斯模型,面积相互作用和Geyer饱和拟合在焦点上。这些模型可以使用相互作用参数来量化和测试病灶中集群的证据。我们将研究特征纳入模型中,以确定它们对病灶分布的贡献,从而确定异质性的来源。结果:我们的研究结果表明,潜在的研究特异性特征对病灶分布的异质性有中等贡献。然而,年龄和SD持续时间的影响并不显著(p<0.001)。此外,估计的相互作用参数为1.34(p<0.001),这表明有强有力的证据表明病灶中存在集群。结论:总体而言,本研究强调了相互作用参数在CBMA中的作用。这项工作的结果表明,吉布斯模型可以被认为是一种很有前途的神经成像荟萃分析工具。
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引用次数: 0
Study of Childhood Abuse and Anxiety: An Application of Logistic Regression 儿童虐待与焦虑的Logistic回归研究
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12307
Sultana Mubarika Rahman Chowdhury, Florence George, Sneh Gulati
Introduction: Disorders can often lead to physical illness and suffering along with associated functional disability which hampers the overall well-being of a person. Consequently, it can lead to loss of productivity at the workplace, absenteeism, and social isolation which eventually affects the individual and the society. Researchers have found a crucial association between childhood traumatic experiences with developing anxiety or panic disorder. Methods: The purpose of this study is to do a logistic regression on Add health survey data to examine whether a history of childhood abuse tends to lead to a diagnosis of anxiety or panic disorder in later life. Additionally, medical conditions such as ADHD, PTSD or socio-economic conditions, and addiction were also investigated for their possible contribution to developing anxiety or panic disorder. Results: 49.4 % of respondents reported having faced either physical, emotional, or sexual abuse before the age of 18. Among the total respondents, 12.5 % reported having been diagnosed with anxiety disorder and among these individuals, 25.9 % reported having experienced physical abuse, 64.6 % faced emotional abuse, and 10.3 % said they faced sexual abuse earlier in their life. Results from logistic regression indicated gender (OR=2.069; 95% CI 1.627-2.7), race (OR=0.513; 95% CI 1.442-2.634), PTSD (OR=2.087; 95% CI 1.811-4.35), depression (OR 9.857; 95% CI 7.752-12.535) had a significant effect on developing anxiety. Additionally, an individual who experienced any kind of abuse in their childhood is 0.7 times (95% CI 0.527-0.841) more likely to develop the panic disorder later in their life. Results from the unadjusted logistic regression model indicated that individuals who reported a history of childhood abuse have 1.799 times (95% CI 1.473-2.197) higher odds of being diagnosed with anxiety disorder. Interestingly, women have higher odds (OR= 2.039; 95% CI 1.624-2.560) of having anxiety disorder than men if they were a victim of childhood abuse. Respondents who reported to have faced at least one type of abuse have approximately 1.886 (95% CI 1.512-2.354) times’ greater odds of having anxiety than those who didn’t. Consecutively, experiencing the two types of abuse increased the odds to 2.502 (95% CI 1.930-3.244) finally undergoing all three types of abuse increased the odds by more than double in comparison to those who faced a single kind. Conclusion: Childhood emotional abuse was found to be a more significant contributor to anxiety or panic disorder than other types of abuse. Any kind of childhood abuse experience seemed to have a greater effect on the female portion of the respondents in comparison to the males. Hence, to treat anxiety and panic disorders, childhood maltreatment and other mental illnesses like PTSD and depression should be considered by healthcare professionals to ensure optimal care. Furthermore, interventions targeting those issues need to be developed.
疾病通常会导致身体疾病和痛苦,并伴有相关的功能残疾,从而阻碍一个人的整体健康。因此,它可能导致工作场所生产力下降、缺勤和社会孤立,最终影响到个人和社会。研究人员发现,童年创伤经历与发展为焦虑或恐慌症之间存在重要联系。方法:本研究的目的是对Add健康调查数据进行逻辑回归,以检验童年虐待史是否倾向于导致晚年诊断为焦虑或惊恐障碍。此外,研究人员还调查了ADHD、创伤后应激障碍、社会经济状况和成瘾等疾病对焦虑或恐慌症的可能影响。结果:49.4%的受访者报告在18岁之前遭受过身体、情感或性虐待。在所有受访者中,12.5%的人报告被诊断患有焦虑症,在这些人中,25.9%的人报告遭受过身体虐待,64.6%的人遭受过精神虐待,10.3%的人说他们在生命早期遭受过性虐待。logistic回归结果显示性别差异(OR=2.069;95% CI 1.627-2.7),种族(OR=0.513;95% ci 1.442-2.634), PTSD (or =2.087;95% CI 1.811-4.35),抑郁(OR 9.857;95% CI 7.752-12.535)对发展焦虑有显著影响。此外,在童年经历过任何形式虐待的人在以后的生活中患恐慌症的可能性要高出0.7倍(95% CI 0.527-0.841)。未经调整的logistic回归模型结果显示,报告童年虐待史的个体被诊断为焦虑症的几率高出1.799倍(95% CI 1.473-2.197)。有趣的是,女性患病的几率更高(OR= 2.039;(95% CI 1.624-2.560)如果她们是童年虐待的受害者,她们患焦虑症的几率比男性高。据报道,至少遭受过一种虐待的受访者患焦虑症的几率大约是没有遭受虐待者的1.886倍(95% CI 1.512-2.354)。连续地,经历两种类型的虐待的几率增加到2.502 (95% CI 1.930-3.244),最后经历所有三种类型的虐待的几率比面对单一类型的人增加了一倍多。结论:儿童时期的情绪虐待比其他类型的虐待对焦虑或惊恐障碍的影响更大。与男性相比,任何形式的童年虐待经历似乎对受访者中女性的影响更大。因此,医疗保健专业人员应该考虑治疗焦虑和恐慌症、儿童虐待和其他精神疾病,如创伤后应激障碍和抑郁症,以确保最佳护理。此外,需要制定针对这些问题的干预措施。
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引用次数: 0
Joint Frailty Model of Recurrent and Terminal Events in the Presence of Cure Fraction using a Bayesian Approach 使用贝叶斯方法建立复发性和终末性事件的联合衰弱模型
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12306
Zahra Arab Borzu, A. Baghestani, E. Talebi Ghane, Aliakbar Khadem Maboudi, A. Akhavan, A. Saeedi
Introduction: Recurrent event data are common in many longitudinal studies. Often, a terminating event such as death can be correlated with the recurrent event process. A shared frailty model applied to account for the association between recurrent and terminal events. In some situations, a fraction of subjects experience neither recurrent events nor death; these subjects are cured. Methods: In this paper, we discussed the Bayesian approach of a joint frailty model for recurrent and terminal events in the presence of cure fraction. We compared estimates of parameters in the Frequentist and Bayesian approaches via simulation studies in various sample sizes; we applied the joint frailty model in the presence of cure fraction with Frequentist and Bayesian approaches for breast cancer. Results: In small sample size Bayesian approach compared to Frequentist approach had a smaller standard error and mean square error, and the coverage probabilities close to nominal level of 95%. Also, in Bayesian approach, the sampling means of the estimated standard errors were close to the empirical standard error. Conclusion: The simulation results suggested that when sample size was small, the use of Bayesian joint frailty model in the presence of cure fraction led to more efficiency in parameter estimation and statistical inference.
重复事件数据在许多纵向研究中是常见的。通常,终止事件(如死亡)可以与反复发生的事件过程相关联。用于解释复发性和终末性事件之间关联的共享脆弱性模型。在某些情况下,一小部分受试者既没有复发事件,也没有死亡;这些问题都被治愈了。方法:在本文中,我们讨论了在存在治愈分数的情况下复发和终末事件的联合脆弱性模型的贝叶斯方法。我们通过不同样本量的模拟研究,比较了频率主义者和贝叶斯方法的参数估计;我们应用关节脆弱模型在治疗分数与频率和贝叶斯方法存在乳腺癌。结果:在小样本量下,贝叶斯方法的标准误差和均方误差均小于Frequentist方法,覆盖概率接近95%的名义水平。在贝叶斯方法中,估计标准误差的抽样均值接近经验标准误差。结论:仿真结果表明,在样本量较小的情况下,使用存在治愈分数的贝叶斯关节脆性模型,参数估计和统计推断效率更高。
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引用次数: 0
Non-Parametric MCMC Gibbs Sampler Approach and Misclassification Assessment of Estimating Haplotype Frequencies among Related Statistical Approaches 非参数MCMC Gibbs采样方法及相关统计方法中单倍型频率估计的误分类评估
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12304
G. Ken-Dror, Pankaj Sharma
Introduction: Haplotype analysis allows higher resolution analysis in genetic association studies and is used as a reference panel for genotype imputation in genome-wide association studies. Haplotypes estimates from genotypes among unrelated individuals but misclassification of the haplotype reconstruction will directly affect the accuracy of the results. Methods: This study proposes a novel statistical method Gibbs sampler algorithm to estimate haplotype frequency and quantify the influence of misclassification bias of the estimate haplotype. The performance of the algorithm is evaluated on simulated datasets assuming that linkage phase unknown. The simulation used different minor allele frequencies at each single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) and different linkagedisequilibrium between the SNPs. Results: The Gibbs sampler algorithm presents higher accuracy among over seven SNPs or less, validated, and deals with missing genotype compared to previous related statistical approaches. Misclassification of estimated haplotypes leads to non-differential bias in exposure and affects haplotype estimates in haplotype analysis. The observed odds ratio underestimates the association between haplotype and phenotype by 36% to 99%. Conclusion: The Gibbs sampler algorithm provides higher accuracy and robust effectiveness performance, handles missing genotypes and provides uncertain probabilities of haplotype frequencies. The misclassification bias of the estimate haplotype underestimates the genetic association by more than forty percent.
简介:单倍型分析允许在遗传关联研究中进行更高分辨率的分析,并在全基因组关联研究中用作基因型插补的参考小组。根据不相关个体的基因型估计单倍型,但单倍型重建的错误分类将直接影响结果的准确性。方法:本研究提出了一种新的统计方法Gibbs采样器算法来估计单倍型频率,并量化估计单倍类型的错误分类偏差的影响。假设链接相位未知,在模拟数据集上评估算法的性能。该模拟使用了每个单核苷酸多态性(SNP)的不同次要等位基因频率和SNP之间的不同连锁不平衡。结果:与以前的相关统计方法相比,吉布斯采样器算法在超过7个或更少的SNPs中表现出更高的准确性,并得到了验证,并处理了缺失的基因型。估计单倍型的错误分类导致暴露的非差异性偏差,并影响单倍型分析中的单倍型估计。观察到的比值比低估了单倍型和表型之间的相关性36%至99%。结论:吉布斯采样器算法提供了更高的准确性和稳健的有效性性能,处理了缺失的基因型,并提供了单倍型频率的不确定概率。估计单倍型的错误分类偏差低估了遗传关联40%以上。
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引用次数: 0
Determinants of Anemia Status Among Reproductive Age Women During Pregnancy In Ethiopia: Cross-Sectional Study Design 埃塞俄比亚育龄妇女妊娠期贫血状况的决定因素:横断面研究设计
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12308
A. Legesse, Meskerem Abebe
Introduction: Anemia is a major public health problem, affecting more than 56 million women worldwide. During pregnancy, hemoglobin concentrations in venous blood below 11 grams per deciliter have significant adverse effects on the health of pregnant women. The main purpose of this study was to investigate the anemia status of the participants and the factors that lead to anemia. Methods: Data for this study were obtained from the 2016 Ethiopian Demographic Health Survey (January 18, 2016, to June 27, 2016). A total of 1053 pregnant women were included in the analysis. The risk factors for anemia status were analyzed using a partial-proportional odds model. Results: The study included 1053 pregnant women, with 32, 214, and 395 suffering from severe, moderate, and mild anemia, respectively. Somalia had the highest proportion of severely anemic people, while Tigray had the lowest. The effect changing in different regions of the sample had various effects on the outcome variable. For example, in the Somali region, the probability of subjects with severe anemia increased by 0.027 (AMPE= 0.027, P = 0.015) percentage points when compared to their counterparts. The effect of changing iron-taking status by one percent on average across the sample decreased by 1.6% (AMPE = -0.016, P= 0.001), 3.7% (AMPE = -0.037, P = 0.001), and 3% (AMPE = -0.030, P = 0.003) points, respectively, for participants in the severe, moderate, and mild classes. The effect of changing place of residence and parity decreased for those in the non-anemic group, but it increased for the wealth index (richest household). Anemia decreased with higher education level [primary: (AMPE = 0.032, P = 0.002), secondary: (AMPE = 0.069, P = 0.025), higher: (AMPE = 0.176, P = 0.000)]. Conclusion: Finally, the authors concluded that iron intake, educational status, wealth index (richest households), place of residence, parity, and selected regions have been identified as prognostic factors for anemia status in pregnant women aged 15 to 49 years. Therefore, action on these predictors is needed to improve anemia among pregnant women in Ethiopia. Furthermore, AMPE should be used with greater motivation to interpret the logistic regression results.
简介:贫血是一个重大的公共卫生问题,影响着全球5600多万妇女。在怀孕期间,静脉血中血红蛋白浓度低于每分升11克会对孕妇的健康产生重大不利影响。本研究的主要目的是调查参与者的贫血状况以及导致贫血的因素。方法:本研究的数据来自2016年埃塞俄比亚人口健康调查(2016年1月18日至2016年6月27日)。共有1053名孕妇被纳入分析。采用部分比例优势模型分析贫血状态的危险因素。结果:该研究包括1053名孕妇,其中32名、214名和395名分别患有严重、中度和轻度贫血。索马里严重贫血的人口比例最高,而提格雷的人口比例最低。样本不同区域的效应变化对结果变量有不同的影响。例如,在索马里地区,与同龄人相比,受试者患严重贫血的概率增加了0.027(AMPE=0.027,P=0.015)个百分点。在整个样本中,将铁摄入状态平均改变1%的效果分别降低了1.6%(AMPE=-0.016,P=0.001)、3.7%(AMPE==0.037,P=0.001。对于非贫血组的人来说,改变居住地和平价的影响降低了,但对于财富指数(最富有的家庭)来说,这种影响增加了。贫血随着教育水平的提高而降低[小学:(AMPE=0.032,P=0.002),中学:(AMPE=0.069,P=0.025),高等:(AMPD=0.176,P=0.000)],选定的区域已被确定为15至49岁孕妇贫血状况的预后因素。因此,需要对这些预测因素采取行动,以改善埃塞俄比亚孕妇的贫血状况。此外,AMPE的使用应具有更大的动机来解释逻辑回归结果。
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引用次数: 0
Analyzing the Long-Term Survival of Colon and Rectal Cancer Patients Using Non-Mixture Cure Rate Model 应用非混合治愈率模型分析癌症结直肠癌患者的长期生存率
Q4 Medicine Pub Date : 2023-03-17 DOI: 10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12302
R. Sadeghi, H. Esmaily, Saeedeh Hajebi Khaniki, S. Shahid Sales, Vahid Ghavami
Introduction: Colorectal cancer is the most common cause of cancer mortality in Iran. There are differences in the etiology, clinical behavior and pathological features in cancer of the colon versus the rectum. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors related to survival and cure probability of patients with colon and rectal cancer using a semi-parametric non-mixture cure rate model. Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 311 patients, with colorectal cancer. Data of all patients with colon and rectum malignances who underwent the first treatment in Omid Hospital, Mashhad, between 2006 and 2011 were gathered through medical records. Patients were followed-up for 9 years until September 2020. Semi-parametric non-mixture cure model was implemented using miCoPTCM package in the R software. Results: The mean survival time was 2973.94 days (95% confidence interval [CI]: (2694.96, 3252.93). The 5-year survival rates for colon and rectal cancer patients were 0.54 (%95 CI:(0.45, 0.61)) and 0.57 (%95 CI:(0.48,0.65)), respectively. The proportion of cured colon cancer patients was 44.0%, while it was 40.0% for the ones with rectal cancer. Age and stage of the disease were determined as the common related factors of survival and cure fraction for both colon and rectal cancers. Ethnicity and type of first treatment were distinguished as factors related to survival and cure fraction of rectal cancer. Whereas the history of drug abuse increased the hazard of death in colon cancer patients; Also, overweight played a protective role in the survival and cure fraction of rectal cancer patients. Conclusion: Because the factors associated with colorectal cancer are not necessarily equal to the risk factors for colon and rectal cancer, it is recommended to obtain more accurate and valid results in the survival analysis of colorectal cancer patients, the colon and rectum should be considered separately. It is also appropriate to use cure rate models when there is a cure fraction in the data.
简介:大肠癌癌症是伊朗癌症死亡的最常见原因。癌症与直肠癌在病因、临床行为和病理特征方面存在差异。本研究的目的是使用半参数非混合治愈率模型来评估癌症患者的生存率和治愈概率的相关因素。方法:对311例癌症大肠癌患者进行回顾性队列研究。2006年至2011年间在马什哈德奥密德医院接受首次治疗的所有结肠和直肠恶性患者的数据都是通过医疗记录收集的。患者随访9年,直到2020年9月。在R软件中使用miCoPTCM软件包实现了半参数非混合固化模型。结果:平均生存时间为2973.94天(95%可信区间:(2694.96,3252.93)。结肠癌和直肠癌患者的5年生存率分别为0.54(%95 CI:(0.45,0.61))和0.57(%95 CI:(0.48,0.65))。癌症治愈率为44.0%,癌症治愈率为40.0%。年龄和疾病分期被确定为结肠癌和直肠癌生存率和治愈率的常见相关因素。区分第一次治疗的种族和类型是影响癌症生存率和治愈率的因素。药物滥用史增加了癌症患者的死亡危险;此外,超重对癌症患者的生存率和治愈率起到保护作用。结论:由于结直肠癌癌症的相关因素不一定等同于结直肠癌和直肠癌症的危险因素,建议在结直肠癌癌症患者的生存分析中获得更准确有效的结果,结直肠癌应分开考虑。当数据中存在治愈率时,使用治愈率模型也是合适的。
{"title":"Analyzing the Long-Term Survival of Colon and Rectal Cancer Patients Using Non-Mixture Cure Rate Model","authors":"R. Sadeghi, H. Esmaily, Saeedeh Hajebi Khaniki, S. Shahid Sales, Vahid Ghavami","doi":"10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12302","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.18502/jbe.v8i3.12302","url":null,"abstract":"Introduction: Colorectal cancer is the most common cause of cancer mortality in Iran. There are differences in the etiology, clinical behavior and pathological features in cancer of the colon versus the rectum. The aim of this study was to evaluate the factors related to survival and cure probability of patients with colon and rectal cancer using a semi-parametric non-mixture cure rate model. \u0000Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 311 patients, with colorectal cancer. Data of all patients with colon and rectum malignances who underwent the first treatment in Omid Hospital, Mashhad, between 2006 and 2011 were gathered through medical records. Patients were followed-up for 9 years until September 2020. Semi-parametric non-mixture cure model was implemented using miCoPTCM package in the R software. \u0000Results: The mean survival time was 2973.94 days (95% confidence interval [CI]: (2694.96, 3252.93). The 5-year survival rates for colon and rectal cancer patients were 0.54 (%95 CI:(0.45, 0.61)) and 0.57 (%95 CI:(0.48,0.65)), respectively. The proportion of cured colon cancer patients was 44.0%, while it was 40.0% for the ones with rectal cancer. Age and stage of the disease were determined as the common related factors of survival and cure fraction for both colon and rectal cancers. Ethnicity and type of first treatment were distinguished as factors related to survival and cure fraction of rectal cancer. Whereas the history of drug abuse increased the hazard of death in colon cancer patients; Also, overweight played a protective role in the survival and cure fraction of rectal cancer patients. \u0000Conclusion: Because the factors associated with colorectal cancer are not necessarily equal to the risk factors for colon and rectal cancer, it is recommended to obtain more accurate and valid results in the survival analysis of colorectal cancer patients, the colon and rectum should be considered separately. It is also appropriate to use cure rate models when there is a cure fraction in the data.","PeriodicalId":34310,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-03-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47115295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
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