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Does crowdfunding contribute to digital financial inclusion? 众筹是否有助于数字普惠金融?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100238
Md. Abdul Halim

This study extensively examines crowdfunding to promote and enhance digital financial inclusion. The goal of this research is to investigate the role of crowdfunding in digital financial inclusion and to establish a standardized measure for comparing the level of financial inclusion across various economies worldwide. Through a comprehensive analysis of relevant scholarly literature and empirical data, this research study presents an in-depth investigation. The study shows that crowdfunding can contribute to financial inclusion through various models, including Reward-based CrowdFunding, Community-based CrowdFunding, Segregated Client Model, Notary Model, Guaranteed Return Model, Crowd-funding Asset Securitized Model, Donation-based CrowdFunding, Equity-based CrowdFunding, and Debt-based CrowdFunding. This study also shows that Singapore maintains its top position as the most financially inclusive market. Singapore is positioned at the top regarding the pillars of government assistance, employer support, and financial system support, ranking first, second, and third, respectively. This study will provide valuable insights for organizations seeking to establish their own crowdfunding platforms, as well as individuals interested in showcasing their businesses on such platforms.

本研究广泛探讨了众筹在促进和加强数字金融包容性方面的作用。本研究的目标是调查众筹在数字普惠金融中的作用,并建立一个标准化的衡量标准,用于比较全球不同经济体的普惠金融水平。通过对相关学术文献和实证数据的综合分析,本研究报告进行了深入调查。研究表明,众筹可以通过多种模式促进普惠金融的发展,包括奖励型众筹、社区型众筹、隔离客户模式、公证模式、保证回报模式、众筹资产证券化模式、捐赠型众筹、股权型众筹和债务型众筹。这项研究还表明,新加坡继续保持其作为最具金融包容性市场的领先地位。新加坡在政府援助、雇主支持和金融体系支持这三个支柱方面都名列前茅,分别排名第一、第二和第三。这项研究将为寻求建立自己的众筹平台的机构以及有意在此类平台上展示自己业务的个人提供宝贵的见解。
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引用次数: 0
People centric governance model for smart cities development: A systematic review, thematic analysis, and findings 以人为本的智慧城市发展治理模式:系统回顾、专题分析和结论
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100237
Benoie Parappallil Mathew, Deepak Bangwal

In the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) region, comprising Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, and Oman, advanced urban planning and cutting-edge projects signify a dedication to modernity and prosperity. These nations, renowned for substantial energy reserves, are crucial players in the global energy landscape, contributing 45% of proven oil reserves, 25% of oil exports, and 18% of proven natural gas reserves. Significant investments in planned cities showcase the GCC region’s commitment to renewable energy with megaprojects serving as key promoters of a nationalist vision for modernization and sustainability. Criticism has been directed at ambitious designs and sustainability rhetoric, as seen in projects like Masdar City, originally envisioned as carbon-neutral but encountering challenges in realization.

The implementation of Smart Cities in Oman is in its early stages, marked by a lack of comprehensive industry-level studies and an absence of an established frameworkbased approach. Limited industry-level studies address citizen-centric Smart governance thereby impacting Quality of Life. Current research emphasizes technology and innovation rather than the cultural sentiments of the local community resulting in gaps in people-centric approach. Moreover, there’s no empirical research to validate the influence of People on Public-Private Partnership enterprises in Smart City development, necessitating the development of a conceptual framework or model to highlight the influence of people on Smart Cities. This deficiency is resulting in a stagnation of innovation and an insufficient quality of life. The goal is to measure the effectiveness of the participatory governance model in improving the quality of life for residents within the smart city. By addressing the identified deficiencies through the application of participatory governance, the research aims to pave the way for a more effective and people-centric approach to smart city development, ultimately fostering innovation, enhancing the quality of life, and promoting sustainable and inclusive outcomes.

在由沙特阿拉伯、阿拉伯联合酋长国、科威特、巴林、卡塔尔和阿曼组成的海湾合作委员会(GCC)地区,先进的城市规划和尖端项目标志着对现代化和繁荣的执着追求。这些国家以丰富的能源储备而闻名,是全球能源格局中的重要角色,占已探明石油储量的 45%、石油出口量的 25%,以及已探明天然气储量的 18%。对规划城市的大量投资展示了海湾合作委员会地区对可再生能源的承诺,这些大型项目是民族主义现代化和可持续发展愿景的主要推动者。对雄心勃勃的设计和可持续发展的夸夸其谈提出了批评,例如马斯达尔城这样的项目,最初的设想是碳中和,但在实现过程中遇到了挑战。智能城市在阿曼的实施还处于早期阶段,其特点是缺乏全面的行业研究,也没有基于框架的既定方法。有限的行业研究涉及以公民为中心的智能治理,从而影响生活质量。目前的研究强调的是技术和创新,而不是当地社区的文化情感,这导致在以人为本的方法上存在差距。此外,目前还没有实证研究来验证 "人 "对智慧城市发展中公私合作企业的影响,因此有必要制定一个概念框架或模型来突出 "人 "对智慧城市的影响。这一缺陷导致创新停滞不前,生活质量低下。我们的目标是衡量参与式治理模式在提高智慧城市居民生活质量方面的有效性。通过应用参与式治理来解决已发现的不足,该研究旨在为更有效、更以人为本的智慧城市发展方法铺平道路,最终促进创新、提高生活质量,并促进可持续和包容性成果。
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引用次数: 0
A novel framework for waste management in smart city transformation with industry 4.0 technologies 利用工业 4.0 技术在智慧城市转型中实现废物管理的新型框架
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100234
Aalok Kumar

Most of the developed and developing nations focus on the transformation of city livelihood through the development of smart cities. Waste management in smart cities is a critical concern for policymakers and smart city administration. The fourth industrial transformation (hereafter Industry 4.0) helps to improve waste management practices in smart cities to improve the sustainability of the city. This paper tries to develop a roadmap for industry 4.0 technologies relevant to managing waste in smart cities. This paper proposes a novel framework for analyzing the deployment enablers of Industry 4.0 technologies, implementation barriers, current best practices, and opportunities for digital technologies (EBPO) for smart city transformation. The proposed EBPO conceptual framework is analyzed in the context of studies conducted in developed and developing countries. The EBPO presents the unique linkages among the technological advancements for managing waste in smart cities. The present research is an early attempt to explore the relevance of industry 4.0 technologies in the smart waste management context for improving environmental sustainability. The keyword and theme mapping analysis proposes three major waste management clusters in smart cities. This paper provides insight for improving EBPO elements for smart cities’ waste management. The policy and theoretical implications are presented for smart city stakeholders. The paper also highlights the different dimensions of the EBPO framework.

大多数发达国家和发展中国家都注重通过发展智慧城市来改变城市生活。智慧城市中的废物管理是决策者和智慧城市管理部门关注的一个重要问题。第四次工业转型(以下简称 "工业 4.0")有助于改善智慧城市的废物管理实践,从而提高城市的可持续性。本文试图为与智慧城市废物管理相关的工业 4.0 技术制定一个路线图。本文提出了一个新颖的框架,用于分析工业 4.0 技术的部署推动因素、实施障碍、当前最佳实践以及数字技术(EBPO)为智慧城市转型带来的机遇。本文结合在发达国家和发展中国家开展的研究,对提出的 EBPO 概念框架进行了分析。EBPO 提出了智慧城市废物管理技术进步之间的独特联系。本研究是探索工业 4.0 技术在智能废物管理中与改善环境可持续性的相关性的早期尝试。通过关键词和主题图谱分析,提出了智慧城市中三大废物管理集群。本文为改善智慧城市废物管理的 EBPO 要素提供了启示。本文为智慧城市利益相关者提供了政策和理论方面的启示。本文还强调了 EBPO 框架的不同维度。
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引用次数: 0
Does higher education matter in mitigating chronic disease Mortality? evidence from MENA countries with consideration of Globalization, economic Growth, and environmental pollution 考虑到全球化、经济增长和环境污染,中东和北非国家提供的证据:高等教育对降低慢性病死亡率是否重要?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100236
Marouane Zouine, Mohamed Jallal el adnani, Salah eddine salhi

This study investigates the relationship between higher education and mortality rates from chronic and fatal diseases in MENA countries from 2000 to 2020. Utilizing a robust panel econometric framework with Generalized Least Square, Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS), and Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS), we analyze empirical data while controlling for globalization, CO2 emissions, and GDP per capita. Our findings reveal a significant negative correlation between education and mortality rates, paralleled by similar trends for globalization and GDP per capita. Conversely, CO2 emissions are found to increase mortality rates, highlighting the detrimental impact of environmental degradation on public health. This underscores the pivotal role of education, globalization, and economic development in reducing mortality rates associated with chronic and fatal diseases. The study advocates for increased investments in education and healthcare infrastructure to address disparities and enhance public health outcomes, alongside promoting responsible globalization practices to further improve health metrics.

本研究调查了 2000 年至 2020 年中东和北非国家高等教育与慢性病和致命疾病死亡率之间的关系。我们利用广义最小二乘法(Generalized Least Square)、完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)等稳健的面板计量经济学框架分析了经验数据,同时控制了全球化、二氧化碳排放量和人均国内生产总值。我们的研究结果表明,教育与死亡率之间存在明显的负相关,全球化和人均 GDP 也呈现出类似的趋势。相反,我们发现二氧化碳排放会增加死亡率,这凸显了环境退化对公众健康的不利影响。这凸显了教育、全球化和经济发展在降低与慢性病和致命疾病相关的死亡率方面的关键作用。该研究倡导增加对教育和医疗保健基础设施的投资,以解决差距问题并提高公共卫生成果,同时促进负责任的全球化实践,以进一步改善卫生指标。
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引用次数: 0
Delving the influence of socio-economic, demographic and migration factors on utilization of remittances in the agricultural sector in a high out-migrating region in India 探讨社会经济、人口和移民因素对印度高移民地区农业部门利用汇款的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100235
Samrat Sarkar, Reshmi R.S.

In developing nations, remittances play a vital role in the development of the society. Remittances serve as a substantial income stream for rural households, empowering them to invest in farming activities, procure resources, and enhance their overall quality of life. This study focuses on investigating remittance utilization patterns in agriculture and how do socio-economic, demographic and migration factors influence remittance utilization patterns in agriculture in the Middle Ganga Plain region (Eastern Uttar Pradesh and Bihar) of India? The study utilizes the data from the Middle Ganga Plain (MGP) migration survey (2021) conducted by the International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai. With the help of bivariate analysis, the study explores the relationship between socioeconomic and migration characteristics and the utilization of remittances in the agricultural sector. The Chi-Square test validates the findings, followed by a Binomial Logistic Regression Model for further analysis. The study reveals that marginalized social groups are more inclined to use remittances for agriculture due to their active involvement in agriculture. Furthermore, households with larger landholdings demonstrate an increased likelihood of remittance utilization across all agricultural sectors. Additionally, it was observed that remittances in agriculture were more prevalent among female-headed households. Moreover, parents who are recipients of remittances tend to allocate their funds to agricultural activities. The significant positive correlation between monthly remittance receivers and total agricultural expenses underscores the importance of remittances in rural development. This study provides valuable insights into remittance utilization patterns and associated factors in the agricultural sector, highlighting the need for targeted policies and interventions to enhance the efficient and effective use of remittances in agriculture, ultimately contributing to rural economic growth and development.

在发展中国家,汇款在社会发展中发挥着至关重要的作用。汇款是农村家庭的重要收入来源,使他们有能力投资农业活动、购买资源并提高整体生活质量。本研究的重点是调查汇款在农业中的使用模式,以及社会经济、人口和移民因素如何影响印度甘加平原中部地区(北方邦东部和比哈尔邦)汇款在农业中的使用模式?本研究利用了孟买国际人口科学研究所开展的中甘加平原(MGP)移民调查(2021 年)的数据。通过二元分析,研究探讨了社会经济和移民特征与农业部门汇款使用情况之间的关系。奇偶检验验证了研究结果,随后采用二项式逻辑回归模型进行进一步分析。研究显示,边缘化社会群体由于积极参与农业,更倾向于将汇款用于农业。此外,在所有农业部门中,拥有较多土地的家庭使用汇款的可能性更大。此外,研究还发现,农业汇款在女户主家庭中更为普遍。此外,接受汇款的父母倾向于将资金用于农业活动。每月汇款收款人与农业总支出之间存在明显的正相关关系,这凸显了汇款在农村发展中的重要性。这项研究为了解农业部门的汇款使用模式和相关因素提供了宝贵的见解,突出表明有必要制定有针对性的政策和干预措施,以提高汇款在农业中的使用效率和效益,最终促进农村经济增长和发展。
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引用次数: 0
Kenya’s macroeconomic policies and trade efficiency within the East African Community: A stochastic frontier analysis 肯尼亚的宏观经济政策与东非共同体的贸易效率:随机前沿分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100233
Anthony Njoroge Muriu , Paul Mugambi Joshua , Moses Mutharime Mwito

Despite Kenya dominating trade volumes in the East African Community (EAC), it has been trading below its potential within the region. This is also in spite of the increased scope of the country’s trade opportunities resulting from the region’s increased market integration. Empirical evidence has shown that macroeconomic policies influence international trade flows. However, there is limited empirical evidence on the effect of macroeconomic policies on trade efficiency. The few existing studies on this topic have also used estimation techniques that depict efficiency as being drawn from an average level of trade and not the optimal level of trade, as well as also not separating the effects of inefficiencies from the statistical noises. This, therefore, creates a knowledge gap that this study aims at investigating by using the stochastic frontier gravity model (SFGM), to determine the effect of Kenya’s macroeconomic policies on its trade efficiency within the EAC. The study used annual panel secondary data for the period 2000 to 2021. This study finds that the GDP of Kenya and that of its EAC trading partners, the geographical distance and border significantly affects trade volume. It also finds that globalization plays a significant role in influencing Kenya’s trade. For the inefficiency model variables, exchange rate depreciation was found to significantly increase trade efficiency, while increase in tariff rate had an adverse and significant effect. Further, the study included corruption as a control variable and found that it significantly increases trade inefficiency. Kenya, though trading at an average efficiency level of 86.91 percent, was found to have high unexploited trade potentials within the region especially with Tanzania and Uganda. The study recommends that Kenya’s policymakers deliberately advance the macroeconomic policies that promote trade efficiency while at the same time closely monitor the ones that hinder efficiency.

尽管肯尼亚在东非共同体(EAC)的贸易量中占主导地位,但它在该地区的贸易一直低于其潜力。尽管由于该地区市场一体化程度的提高,肯尼亚的贸易机会范围也有所扩大,但情况依然如此。经验证据表明,宏观经济政策会影响国际贸易流动。然而,关于宏观经济政策对贸易效率影响的经验证据却很有限。关于这一主题的现有研究为数不多,而且所使用的估算技术都是从平均贸易水平而非最佳贸易水平中得出的效率,也没有将低效率的影响与统计噪音区分开来。因此,这就造成了一个知识空白,本研究旨在通过使用随机前沿引力模型(SFGM)来确定肯尼亚的宏观经济政策对其在东非共同体内部贸易效率的影响。研究使用了 2000 年至 2021 年期间的年度面板二级数据。研究发现,肯尼亚及其东非共同体贸易伙伴的国内生产总值、地理距离和边界对贸易量有重大影响。研究还发现,全球化在影响肯尼亚贸易方面发挥着重要作用。关于低效率模型变量,研究发现汇率贬值会显著提高贸易效率,而关税率的提高则会产生不利的显著影响。此外,研究还将腐败作为控制变量,发现腐败会显著提高贸易效率。尽管肯尼亚的平均贸易效率水平为 86.91%,但研究发现肯尼亚在该地区仍有很大的贸易潜力尚未开发,特别是与坦桑尼亚和乌干达的贸易。研究建议肯尼亚的政策制定者有意识地推进促进贸易效率的宏观经济政策,同时密切监测阻碍效率的政策。
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引用次数: 0
Global determinants of methane emissions in OECD countries: A dynamic panel approach 经合组织国家甲烷排放的全球决定因素:动态面板方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100232
Jana Chovancová , Manuel A. Zambrano-Monserrate , Brahim Bergougui , Isaac Ahakwa , Mehmet Metin Dam

Methane (CH4), an often-overlooked greenhouse gas (GHG), has a significant impact on the environment. Although it receives less attention than carbon dioxide (CO2), it is the second most important GHG in terms of its ability to trap heat in the atmosphere. Few studies have analyzed the determinants of CH4 emissions, especially those from the energy sector. Therefore, this study provides relevant information on the impact of GDP, primary and renewable energy consumption, human development index and trade openness on methane emissions in OECD countries. Using advanced cointegration approaches, we find that GDP and primary energy consumption increase CH4 emissions, while renewable energy consumption and human development mitigate their growth. However, the impact of these variables varied over time. No significant effect of trade openness on methane emissions was found. We recommend specific policies for OECD countries to reduce methane emissions, especially for the most polluting countries. Governments should promote renewable energy sources (solar, wind, hydro) to reduce reliance on fossil fuels, thereby minimizing methane leakage during extraction and transport. In addition, investing in human development can promote sustainable behaviors and further reduce emissions, addressing both environmental and social concerns.

甲烷(CH4)是一种经常被忽视的温室气体(GHG),对环境有重大影响。虽然它受到的关注比二氧化碳(CO2)少,但就其在大气中捕获热量的能力而言,它是第二大最重要的温室气体。很少有研究分析过 CH4 排放的决定因素,尤其是能源部门的排放。因此,本研究就经合组织国家的国内生产总值、一次能源和可再生能源消耗、人类发展指数和贸易开放度对甲烷排放的影响提供了相关信息。利用先进的协整方法,我们发现国内生产总值和一次能源消费会增加甲烷排放量,而可再生能源消费和人类发展则会减缓甲烷排放量的增长。然而,这些变量的影响随时间而变化。我们没有发现贸易开放度对甲烷排放的重大影响。我们建议经合组织国家采取具体政策来减少甲烷排放,尤其是污染最严重的国家。各国政府应推广可再生能源(太阳能、风能、水能),减少对化石燃料的依赖,从而最大限度地减少开采和运输过程中的甲烷泄漏。此外,投资于人类发展可促进可持续行为,进一步减少排放,同时解决环境和社会问题。
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引用次数: 0
Artificial intelligence and skilled employment in South Africa: Exploring key variables 南非的人工智能和技能就业:探索关键变量
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100231
Fiyinfoluwa Giwa, Nicholas Ngepah

The discourse surrounding artificial intelligence (AI) and its repercussions on skilled employment merits careful consideration. While AI technologies have the potential to result in job displacement within specific sectors, they concurrently usher in new employment opportunities, especially for individuals possessing advanced skills. The primary objective of this paper is to thoroughly evaluate the impact of AI on skilled employment within the South African economy. To achieve this objective, the study employs the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model and Granger causality analysis, spanning from 2012Q1 to 2021Q4. The results derived from the ARDL estimation reveal a substantial and positive contribution of artificial intelligence to skilled employment in South Africa, a trend observed in both the long and short run. However, two structural breaks were identified in the data, hence a re-estimation of the ARDL model. The re-estimated ARDL model revealed a negative and significant relationship between AI and skilled employment. In light of these findings, this study advocates implementing regulations and labor market policies that promote the responsible deployment of AI technology while safeguarding workers’ rights and job security. This could include establishing guidelines for AI deployment in the workplace, ensuring transparency and accountability in AI systems, and implementing social safety nets to support workers during job transitions.

围绕人工智能(AI)的讨论及其对技能型就业的影响值得认真考虑。虽然人工智能技术有可能导致特定行业的工作岗位流失,但同时也带来了新的就业机会,尤其是对拥有高级技能的个人而言。本文的主要目的是全面评估人工智能对南非经济中技能型就业的影响。为实现这一目标,研究采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型和格兰杰因果关系分析,时间跨度为 2012Q1 至 2021Q4。自回归分布滞后模型的估计结果表明,人工智能对南非的技能型就业做出了实质性的积极贡献,这一趋势在长期和短期均可观察到。不过,数据中发现了两个结构性断点,因此需要重新估计 ARDL 模型。重新估计的 ARDL 模型显示,人工智能与技术就业之间存在显著的负相关关系。鉴于这些发现,本研究主张实施法规和劳动力市场政策,促进负责任地部署人工智能技术,同时保障工人的权利和工作安全。这可能包括为人工智能在工作场所的应用制定指导方针,确保人工智能系统的透明度和问责制,以及实施社会安全网以支持工人的工作转型。
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引用次数: 0
Education and economic growth in Sub-Saharan African Countries: Does governance quality Matter? 撒哈拉以南非洲国家的教育与经济增长:治理质量重要吗?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100227
Nicholas M. Odhiambo

This paper examines the dynamic relationship between education, governance and economic growth in 28 sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries from 2002 to 2018 using the generalized method of moments (GMM) approach. The study first examines the effect of education on economic growth and, thereafter, examines the modulating effect of governance quality on the nexus between education and economic growth. Two proxies of education, namely primary and secondary education, and five proxies of governance quality, namely a) corruption control, b) government effectiveness, c) regulations, d) rule of law, and e) voice and accountability, have been used to examine this linkage. Overall, the study found that the impact of education on economic growth is largely insignificant in all the specifications, with the exception of secondary education, which has an unconditional positive effect on economic growth in one of the five specifications of governance quality (i.e., regulatory quality). The study also found that, although governance quality spurs economic growth in seven of the ten specifications, it interacts with education to foster growth in only one specification (i.e., regulatory quality in the case of secondary education). When primary education specifications are considered, governance does not interact with education to spur economic growth in any of the specifications. These findings, though contrary to some of the previous studies, are not surprising given the primary and secondary education landscape in some SSA countries. According to UNESCO, SSA has the highest rates of education exclusion in the world.

本文采用广义矩方法(GMM)研究了 2002 年至 2018 年期间 28 个撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的教育、治理和经济增长之间的动态关系。研究首先考察了教育对经济增长的影响,然后考察了治理质量对教育与经济增长之间关系的调节作用。研究使用了两个教育代用指标(即初等教育和中等教育)和五个治理质量代用指标(即 a) 腐败控制、b) 政府效率、c) 规章制度、d) 法治以及 e) 发言权和问责制)来考察这种联系。总体而言,研究发现,在所有规格中,教育对经济增长的影响基本上都不显著,但中等教育除外,在治理质量的五个规格(即监管质量)中,中等教育对经济增长有无条件的积极影响。研究还发现,虽然治理质量在十种规格中的七种规格中促进了经济增长,但只有一种规格(即中等教育中的监管质量)与教育相互作用,促进了经济增长。在考虑初等教育规格时,在任何一个规格中,治理都不会与教育相互作用来刺激经济增长。这些发现虽然与以往的一些研究相反,但考虑到一些撒哈拉以南非洲国家的初等和中等教育状况,也就不足为奇了。根据联合国教科文组织的数据,撒哈拉以南非洲国家的教育排斥率居世界之首。
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of the socioeconomic impact of COVID-19 in Rwanda: Findings from a country-wide community survey, preliminary analysis to inform further global research 评估 COVID-19 在卢旺达的社会经济影响:全国社区调查的结果,为进一步全球研究提供信息的初步分析
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-06-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100230
Annie Uwimana , Liberata Mukamana , Charles Ruranga , Joseph Nzabanita , Stefan Jansen , Emmanuel Masabo , Ignace Kabano , Semuto Ngabonziza Jean Claude , Jolly Rubagiza , Jean Nepo Utumatwishima Abdallah , Regine Mugeni , Aurore Nishimwe , Elias Mutezimana , Laurence Twizeyimana , Odile Bahati , Viviane Akili , Clarisse Musanabaganwa , Gilbert Rukundo , Muhammed Semakula , Marc Twagirumukiza

Rationale

The COVID-19 pandemic along with its devastating impact on human lives has disrupted the socioeconomic situation worldwide. Rwanda has adopted lockdowns and other measures to prevent the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic. Recent studies documented the macro-level socio-economic pandemic impact but the impact on a household’s daily life has been scarcely documented especially in low-and-middle-income countries.

Objective

This work describes the interplay between multiple factors to assess the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 on the Rwandan population at the micro-level (household).

Methods

Data from a country-wide community survey conducted in Rwanda between December 2021 and March 2022 were used. A total of 26,412 response forms were received from around 4400 participants surveyed in 6 recurrent bi-weekly phases where participants were randomly selected. The Multivariable Logistic regression model was fitted to data with a backward stepwise elimination algorithm to assess the socioeconomic impact of COVID-19 on households’ income. Factors considered in this study are gender, age group, residence, level of education, occupation, change in employment status, socioeconomic status, and marital status.

Results

The multivariable logistic regression model provided the factors associated with the decline in income due to COVID-19. The results show that people living without a partner are more likely to experience income decline due to COVID-19 than people living with their partner. It is seen that the higher the number of children in a household, the higher the risk of experiencing a decrease in income. Taking into consideration the education level and comparing people with post-secondary and university level vis-a-vis people who did not attend school, the latter are 27 times more likely to experience a decrease in their income, those who attended primary school are 5 times more likely to experience a decrease in income, and those who attended secondary school are almost 2 times more likely to experience a decrease in income.

Conclusions

The findings from this research will be used by policymakers and other stakeholders to design and implement preventive and responsive measures for future pandemics that should be multifactorial and tailored to transversal parameters like gender and residence.

理由:COVID-19 大流行病及其对人类生活的破坏性影响扰乱了全世界的社会经济状况。卢旺达采取了封锁和其他措施来防止 COVID-19 的传播。最近的研究记录了大流行病在宏观层面对社会经济的影响,但对家庭日常生活的影响却鲜有记录,尤其是在中低收入国家。方法 使用 2021 年 12 月至 2022 年 3 月在卢旺达进行的全国社区调查数据。在随机抽取的 6 个经常性双周调查阶段中,共收到约 4400 名参与者的 26412 份答复表。多变量逻辑回归模型采用后向逐步消除算法对数据进行拟合,以评估 COVID-19 对家庭收入的社会经济影响。本研究考虑的因素包括性别、年龄组、居住地、教育水平、职业、就业状况变化、社会经济地位和婚姻状况。结果显示,与有伴侣的人相比,没有伴侣的人更有可能因 COVID-19 而导致收入下降。可以看出,家庭中子女人数越多,收入减少的风险就越大。考虑到教育水平,将具有大专和大学教育水平的人与未上过学的人进行比较,后者收入减少的可能性是未上过学的人的 27 倍,上过小学的人收入减少的可能性是未上过学的人的 5 倍,上过中学的人收入减少的可能性几乎是未上过学的人的 2 倍。结论政策制定者和其他利益相关者将利用本研究的结果来设计和实施针对未来流行病的预防和应对措施,这些措施应是多因素的,并根据性别和居住地等横向参数量身定制。
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引用次数: 0
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Research in Globalization
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