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Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100250
Charles Howie (Consultant and Advisor to Malawi Fruits, Part of the Scotland Malawi Partnership, Edinburgh)
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引用次数: 0
Rationales behind international students’ not selecting India as an education destination – An empirical investigation 留学生不选择印度作为教育目的地的理由--实证调查
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100247
Tarun Bhatara, Pooja Khanna

India’s higher education sector faces significant challenges in attracting international students, evidenced by hosting less than 1 % of globally mobile students despite substantial efforts to increase this number. This study explores critical barriers preventing international students from choosing India as their destination, including financial constraints, safety concerns, and cultural integration issues. It also assesses the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on these decisions and examines the potential of online education as an alternative. Findings reveal that inadequate financial support and safety concerns are primary deterrents, with varying impacts across educational levels and regions. Recommendations include enhancing financial aid, improving safety measures, fostering cultural integration, and leveraging online education. Addressing these issues is crucial for India to align with global education trends and improve its international appeal.

印度高等教育部门在吸引国际学生方面面临着巨大挑战,尽管印度为增加国际学生人数做出了巨大努力,但其接纳的全球流动学生比例却不足1%。本研究探讨了阻碍国际学生选择印度作为留学目的地的关键障碍,包括经济限制、安全问题和文化融合问题。研究还评估了 COVID-19 大流行病对这些决定的影响,并探讨了在线教育作为替代方案的潜力。研究结果表明,财政支持不足和安全问题是主要的阻碍因素,对不同教育水平和地区的影响各不相同。建议包括加强财政援助、改进安全措施、促进文化融合以及利用在线教育。解决这些问题对于印度与全球教育趋势接轨并提高其国际吸引力至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Financial globalization, digital financial system and economic wealth in Africa 非洲的金融全球化、数字金融系统和经济财富
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100243
Daniel Ofori-Sasu , Christopher Boachie , Joseph E. Tetteh , Andrews Kwablah

The study examines the joint effect of foreign direct investment (FDI) and financial inclusion on economic wealth in a digital system. By employing the dynamic system GMM for a dataset of 54 African economies over the period, 2004–2022, both the FDI and the dimensions of financial inclusion have a positive effect on economic wealth. We also find that FDI and financial inclusion are complements in determining economic wealth. We provide evidence that a digital system induces a relatively greater effect of FDI and financial inclusion on economic wealth compared to its direct effect. The study found that financial inclusion relatively enhances the effect of FDI on economic wealth in countries that operate in a highly industrialized sector of the economy compared to those in a low industrialized economy. In addition, the complementarity effects are more profound in a digitalized technological environment compared to those with less focus on digitalization.

本研究探讨了数字系统中外国直接投资(FDI)和金融包容性对经济财富的共同影响。通过对 2004-2022 年间 54 个非洲经济体的数据集采用动态系统 GMM,外国直接投资和金融包容性对经济财富都有积极影响。我们还发现,外国直接投资和金融包容性在决定经济财富方面是互补的。我们提供的证据表明,与直接影响相比,数字系统对经济财富产生的外国直接投资和金融包容性影响相对更大。研究发现,在工业化程度较高的国家,与工业化程度较低的国家相比,金融包容性会相对增强外国直接投资对经济财富的影响。此外,与不太注重数字化的国家相比,数字化技术环境下的互补效应更为显著。
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引用次数: 0
Globalization and financial development contributions toward economic growth in Sudan 全球化和金融发展对苏丹经济增长的贡献
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100246
Khalid Eltayeb Elfaki , Elsadig Musa Ahmed

The main objective of this study is to evaluate how globalization and financial development contributed to Sudan’s economic growth using data from 1978 to 2021 by applying the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model. Furthermore, a model to calculate total factor productivity and the contributions of the underlying variables is being developed. The findings from ARDL indicate that globalization and capital display positive and beneficial impacts on Sudan’s economic growth in the long run, implying that an increase of one percentage point in Sudan’s globalization index will, over time, boost economic growth by 1.50408 % and 0.156301 %. Government spending as a control variable was found to influence economic growth positively. Financial development shows a detrimental effect on growth in Sudan. The average productivity growth rate is negative, regardless of the positive contributions of globalization and financial development. This outcome suggests that globalization and capital have been gainful to Sudan’s economy. Therefore, this study advocates that capital accumulation triggers investment, encouraging more global market openness making it easier to access international markets, setting up a strong and sophisticated financial system to assist Sudan’s economic development, and enhancing Sudan’s spending policy to support the productive sectors and encourage domestic production will significantly stimulate economic growth post-war, taking into account additional measures, such as regulations, investment laws, institutional quality, the integration of the banking system, and identifying expenditure prioritizations.

本研究的主要目的是通过应用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,利用 1978 年至 2021 年的数据,评估全球化和金融发展如何促进了苏丹的经济增长。此外,还建立了一个模型来计算全要素生产率和基本变量的贡献。自回归分布滞后模型的研究结果表明,从长期来看,全球化和资本对苏丹的经济增长有着积极有益的影响,这意味着苏丹的全球化指数每增加一个百分点,就会在一段时间内促进经济增长 1.50408 % 和 0.156301 %。作为控制变量的政府支出对经济增长有积极影响。金融发展对苏丹的经济增长有不利影响。平均生产率增长率为负值,与全球化和金融发展的积极贡献无关。这一结果表明,全球化和资本对苏丹经济有利。因此,本研究主张,资本积累引发投资,鼓励全球市场更加开放,使其更容易进入国际市场,建立一个强大而先进的金融体系以协助苏丹的经济发展,加强苏丹的支出政策以支持生产部门并鼓励国内生产,这些都将显著刺激战后经济增长,同时考虑到其他措施,如法规、投资法、机构质量、银行系统的整合以及确定支出的优先次序。
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引用次数: 0
Natural resource use, industrialization and climate change in Africa: Blueprints for sustainable regional development 非洲的自然资源利用、工业化和气候变化:地区可持续发展蓝图
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100245
Forbe Hodu Ngangnchi , Nkwetta Ajong Aquilas , Mukete Emmanuel Mbella

Climate crisis continue to animate environmental policy debate and remains a fundamental global concern. While natural resources use and industrialization are main drivers of climate change especially in developing countries like Africa, previous empirical studies have failed to analyze the simultaneous effect of both on climate change. To close this gap, the current study investigates the relationship between natural resources use, industrialization and climate change in Africa. Specifically, this study analyzes the effect of natural resources rents and value added in manufacturing on carbon dioxide emissions. Addressing these issues is important, as the implications of natural resources extraction and industrial development on environmental sustainability cannot be underestimated. This paper is very relevant because of the limited research on comprehensive frameworks that integrate natural resources use with industrialization policies specific to Africa. Using data from 2005 to 2022 for 45 African countries obtained from the African Infrastructural and World Bank databases, and employing the Cross-Sectional Feasible Generalized Least Squares, Driscoll-Kraay effects, Dynamic Driscoll-Kraay effects and Panel Quantile on Quantile regression techniques, the empirical findings revealed that natural resources rents and industrialization adversely contribute to climate change in Africa. Quantitative results show that a 1% increase in natural resource rents increased carbon dioxide emissions by 0.000103% for both Feasible Generalized Least Squares and Driscoll-Kraay estimates and by 0.00813% for the Dynamic Driscoll-Kraay estimates. Furthermore, a 1% increase in value added in manufacturing led to a 0.377% increase in carbon dioxide emissions for both Feasible Generalized Least Squares and Driscoll-Kraay estimates and a 0.157% increase for Dynamic Driscoll-Kraay estimates. The result also shows that the effect of natural resource extraction and industrialization on climate change become negative at both the 25% quantile and 50% quantile. However, this turning point becomes nullified at the 75% and at 90% quantiles. Africa should adopt a green path to natural resource use and industrialization.

气候危机继续引发环境政策辩论,仍然是全球关注的一个基本问题。虽然自然资源利用和工业化是气候变化的主要驱动因素,尤其是在非洲等发展中国家,但以往的实证研究却未能分析这两者对气候变化的同步影响。为了弥补这一不足,本研究调查了非洲自然资源利用、工业化和气候变化之间的关系。具体而言,本研究分析了自然资源租金和制造业附加值对二氧化碳排放的影响。解决这些问题非常重要,因为自然资源开采和工业发展对环境可持续性的影响不容低估。本文非常有意义,因为针对非洲的自然资源利用与工业化政策相结合的综合框架研究有限。利用从非洲基础设施数据库和世界银行数据库中获得的 45 个非洲国家 2005 年至 2022 年的数据,并采用交叉可行广义最小二乘法、德里斯科尔-克莱效应、动态德里斯科尔-克莱效应和面板量值回归技术,实证研究结果表明,自然资源租金和工业化对非洲的气候变化产生了不利影响。定量结果显示,自然资源租金每增加 1%,可行广义最小二乘法和 Driscoll-Kraay 估计的二氧化碳排放量就会增加 0.000103%,动态 Driscoll-Kraay 估计的二氧化碳排放量就会增加 0.00813%。此外,制造业增加值每增加 1%,二氧化碳排放量在可行广义最小二乘法和德里斯科尔-克莱估计法中都会增加 0.377%,在动态德里斯科尔-克莱估计法中则会增加 0.157%。结果还显示,自然资源开采和工业化对气候变化的影响在 25% 量级和 50% 量级都变成了负值。然而,这一转折点在 75% 和 90% 四分位数时变得无效。非洲应该走自然资源利用和工业化的绿色道路。
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引用次数: 0
The environmental impact of international trade in Sub-Saharan Africa: Exploring the role of policy and institutions for environmental sustainability 撒哈拉以南非洲国际贸易的环境影响:探索政策和机构对环境可持续性的作用
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100240
Desmond Mbe-Nyire Mpuure , Emmanuel Duodu , Adamu Braimah Abille , Eric Atanga Ayamga

Considering the potential role of environmental institutions in abating environmental pollution, this study deviates from previous studies by assessing how policy and institutions for environmental sustainability (PIES) mitigate the adverse effects of aggregate and disaggregated trade on the environment in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Using Driscoll and Kraay method, generalized method of moments, and Dumitrescu and Hurlin causality test on data from 2005 to 2020 for 24 SSA countries, the results show that the adverse effects of overall and disaggregated trade on environmental degradation significantly reduces in the presence of PIES. The causal analysis revealed a bidirectional relationship between total trade, exports, imports, and environmental degradation. The study concludes that international trade cannot guarantee environmental sustainability in light of the 2030 SDGs without effective PIES. Therefore, the study calls for the strengthening of PIES to ensure environmental sustainability even as SSA countries move to deepen intra and inter-continental trade within the context of the African Continental Free Trade Area Agreement (AFCFTA).

考虑到环境机构在减轻环境污染方面的潜在作用,本研究与以往的研究不同,评估了促进环境可持续性的政策和机构(PIES)如何减轻总体和分类贸易对撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)环境的不利影响。使用 Driscoll 和 Kraay 方法、广义矩法以及 Dumitrescu 和 Hurlin 因果检验法对 24 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家 2005 年至 2020 年的数据进行检验,结果表明,在存在政策和体制创新的情况下,总体和分类贸易对环境退化的不利影响显著降低。因果分析表明,贸易总额、出口、进口和环境退化之间存在双向关系。研究得出结论,如果没有有效的生产者和消费者保护措施,国际贸易就无法保证 2030 年可持续发展目标的环境可持续性。因此,该研究呼吁,即使撒南非洲国家在非洲大陆自由贸易区协定(AFCFTA)的背景下深化洲内和洲际贸易,也应加强 PIES 以确保环境的可持续性。
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引用次数: 0
The role of financial globalization in the long-run volatility between forex and stock markets during COVID-19: Evidence from Africa 金融全球化在 COVID-19 期间外汇市场和股票市场长期波动中的作用:来自非洲的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100242
Michael Insaidoo , William Gabriel Brafu-Insaidoo , James Atta Peprah , William Godfred Cantah

This study examines the long-run volatility between forex and stock markets and the role of financial globalization in this relationship in Africa, during the COVID-19 pandemic period, using panel Fully Modified Ordinary Least Squares (FMOLS) and panel Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) approaches. Our empirical outcomes revealed bi-directional long-run volatility between the two financial markets in the COVID-19 pandemic period. The results further established that, financial globalization reduces forex markets’ volatility effects on stock markets’ volatility, whilst it heightens stock markets’ volatility effects on forex markets’ volatility in Africa, during the COVID-19 pandemic period. The implications of this study, include the need to harness the stabilising potential of financial globalization in the long-run volatility between forex and stock markets, primarily through asset diversification, enhanced information flow, and market efficiency in African financial markets.

本研究采用面板完全修正普通最小二乘法(FMOLS)和面板动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)研究了 COVID-19 大流行期间非洲外汇市场和股票市场之间的长期波动性以及金融全球化在这种关系中的作用。我们的实证结果表明,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,两个金融市场之间存在双向长期波动。研究结果进一步证实,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,金融全球化降低了外汇市场波动对股票市场波动的影响,同时加剧了股票市场波动对非洲外汇市场波动的影响。本研究的意义包括,需要利用金融全球化在外汇市场和股票市场长期波动中的稳定潜力,主要是通过资产多样化、加强信息流动和提高非洲金融市场的市场效率。
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引用次数: 0
Achieving carbon neutrality in an emerging oil-producing country: Renewable energy transition and international trade flows in Ghana 在新兴产油国实现碳中和:加纳的可再生能源转型和国际贸易流动
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100244
Clement Oteng , Camara Kwasi Obeng , Pius Gamette

Over the past decade, climate variabilities have emerged as shaping the dynamics of international trade. The adverse externalities posed by climate change require a corresponding improvement in the production of food, trade and the adoption of abundant renewable energy resources. Our study focused on evaluating the impact of renewable energy transition on international trade flows in Ghana. We employed the dynamics ARDL simulation model to analyse our results using data from various institutions. We found that energy transition using both low carbon energy and renewable energy in electricity generation by 1% and 5% significantly increases the balance of trade to the 4th year after which energy transition decreases the balance of trade to the 9th year. After the 9th year, energy transition by both percentages increases the trade balance of Ghana. We observe that the energy transition by 5% has a higher impact than the energy transition by 1%. Additionally, it is observed that using the share of renewable energy in electricity generation has a decreasing rate relative to the first four years. Drafting renewable energy plans such as allocation of funds, supportive policy frameworks and incentives such as green financing, subsidies, and tax incentives can enhance and develop renewable energy infrastructure to increase renewable energy efficiency and reliability for international trade.

在过去十年中,气候变异已成为影响国际贸易动态的因素。气候变化带来的不利外部因素要求相应地改善粮食生产、贸易和采用丰富的可再生能源资源。我们的研究侧重于评估加纳可再生能源转型对国际贸易流动的影响。我们采用了动力学 ARDL 模拟模型,利用来自不同机构的数据对结果进行了分析。我们发现,使用低碳能源和可再生能源发电的能源转型(1% 和 5%)会显著增加贸易平衡,直至第 4 年,此后能源转型会减少贸易平衡,直至第 9 年。第 9 年后,两个百分比的能源转型都会增加加纳的贸易平衡。我们发现,5% 的能源转型比 1%的能源转型影响更大。此外,与前四年相比,可再生能源在发电中所占的比例呈下降趋势。起草可再生能源计划,如资金分配、支持性政策框架和激励措施,如绿色融资、补贴和税收优惠,可以加强和发展可再生能源基础设施,提高可再生能源的效率和可靠性,从而促进国际贸易。
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引用次数: 0
Corruption’s impact on non-performing loans of banks in emerging markets: Empirical insights 腐败对新兴市场银行不良贷款的影响:经验启示
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100241
Abdul Rehman , Waqas Mehmood , Ahnaf Ali Alsmady , Arshian Sharif

Purpose

This study investigates the impact of control of corruption (COC) on nonperforming loans (NPLs) in South Asian countries.

Methodology

The present study selected three South Asian countries (Pakistan, India, and Bangladesh) from 2000 to 2019. Further, the current research employed the fixed effect model (FEM) analysis on a sample of 81 conventional banks based in South Asian countries.

Findings

The result reveals that control of corruption has a significant and negative association with NPLs, indicating that weak control of corruption would lead to an increase in NPLs in the sample countries.

Implications

The findings provide insights to the policymakers in making strategic decisions about NPLs regarding control of corruption impact.

Originality

The significant increase in NPLs is worrying as it may undermine banks’ ability to grant credit and support a country’s economic recovery. The increasing trend of NPL rates and limited studies in related literature assessing NPLs in the South Asian region has motivated this study, which examines the external and internal factors that may influence NPLs

本研究调查了腐败控制(COC)对南亚国家不良贷款(NPLs)的影响。方法本研究选取了 2000 年至 2019 年的三个南亚国家(巴基斯坦、印度和孟加拉国)。研究结果表明,腐败控制与不良贷款率之间存在显著的负相关关系,表明腐败控制不力会导致样本国家的不良贷款率上升。原创性不良贷款率的大幅上升令人担忧,因为这可能会削弱银行发放贷款和支持国家经济复苏的能力。不良贷款率呈上升趋势,而评估南亚地区不良贷款的相关文献研究有限,这促使本研究探讨可能影响不良贷款的外部和内部因素。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to special issue on “diaspora direct investment” 侨民直接投资 "特刊导言
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.resglo.2024.100239
Badar Alam Iqbal , Mohd Nayyer Rahman

In this introduction to the themed issue “Diaspora Direct Investment,” we firstly provide a review of the relevant extant literature followed by a discussion on determinants and policy implications. Next, we summarize the six papers included in this special issue. The topics that are touched upon are remittances, foreign direct investment and ecological footprint, diaspora direct investment, interest rate environments, multinational enterprises and their effects on poverty, and diaspora engagement. As a relatively new topic in international investment, the selected papers provide novel contributions to the broad theme and focus on under-researched areas of international investment determinants. Our review of the literature provides a brief overview of past studies on diaspora investment (including direct investment) and the conclusions derived therefrom. We conclude by suggesting research gaps to be filled by future studies on diaspora direct investment.

在这篇 "散居国外者直接投资 "主题特刊的导言中,我们首先回顾了现有的相关文献,然后讨论了决定因素和政策影响。接下来,我们总结了本特刊收录的六篇论文。论文涉及的主题包括汇款、外国直接投资与生态足迹、侨民直接投资、利率环境、跨国企业及其对贫困的影响以及侨民参与。作为国际投资领域的一个相对较新的主题,所选论文为这一广泛主题做出了新的贡献,并重点关注了国际投资决定因素中研究不足的领域。我们的文献综述简要概述了过去关于侨民投资(包括直接投资)的研究以及由此得出的结论。最后,我们提出了今后关于侨民直接投资的研究应填补的研究空白。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Research in Globalization
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