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A smart KPI system for reinforcing sustainable urban mobility plans under pandemic crises 大流行危机下加强可持续城市交通计划的智能 KPI 系统
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100248
Ioannis Politis , Valia Aranitou , Gregoris Simos , Georgios Georgiadis , Anastasia Nikolaidou , Alexandros Sdoukopoulos , Manolis Manioudis , Milena Panagiotopoulou , Olga Zikopoulou

The latest worldwide application of social distancing measures highlighted dramatic effects on the daily life, mobility, well-being, mental health, and economic activity of citizens during the pandemic. Unfortunately, societies were unprepared to confront a pandemic and applied movement restriction measures, often harsh and unbalanced, creating confusion, uncertainty, and annoyance to communities. In this paper, we reviewed a wide array of databases to categorise the mobility management measures implemented internationally in response to the social distancing restrictions that had to be taken during the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic. Furthermore, to comprehensively assess the measures implemented to contain the COVID-19 pandemic from the perspective of the local community, we conducted focus group interviews with specific population groups that may have been affected to a greater extent. These groups consisted of vulnerable road users, such as mobility-impaired people and people who are facing severe health problems, representatives of the local economy and businesses and representatives of institutional stakeholders and policymakers. Our research showed that in the post-pandemic era, accessibility and not mobility should be at the heart of economic and social welfare. At the same time, the assurance of physical activity, which is strongly associated with the mental health of citizens, and the protection of the local economy are issues of outermost importance. However, local authorities were unprepared to manage these issues and often made fragmented and punitive decisions. By recognising the need for a regional or metropolitan emergency mechanism, this study aims to introduce a new system of indicators specifically adapted to the particularities and challenges encountered during the pandemic, accounts for local communities' unique needs and requirements, and complies with the general principles of Sustainable Urban Mobility Plans (SUMPs). In the future, the SUMP methodology should be revised to be able to handle and manage mobility systems under pandemic conditions.

世界范围内最新采用的社会隔离措施凸显了大流行病期间对公民日常生活、流动性、福祉、心理健康和经济活动的巨大影响。遗憾的是,各国社会在面对大流行病时毫无准备,采取的行动限制措施往往苛刻而不平衡,给社区带来了混乱、不确定性和烦恼。在本文中,我们查阅了大量数据库,对国际上为应对 COVID-19 第一波大流行期间不得不采取的社会距离限制而实施的流动管理措施进行了分类。此外,为了从当地社区的角度全面评估为遏制 COVID-19 大流行而实施的措施,我们对可能受到较大影响的特定人群进行了焦点小组访谈。这些群体包括弱势道路使用者(如行动不便者和面临严重健康问题的人)、当地经济和企业代表以及机构利益相关者和决策者代表。我们的研究表明,在后大流行病时代,经济和社会福利的核心应该是无障碍环境,而不是流动性。同时,保证与公民心理健康密切相关的体育活动和保护地方经济也是最重要的问题。然而,地方当局在处理这些问题时毫无准备,往往做出各自为政和惩罚性的决定。通过认识到建立地区或大都市应急机制的必要性,本研究旨在引入一套新的指标体系,专门适应大流行病期间遇到的特殊性和挑战,考虑当地社区的独特需求和要求,并符合可持续城市交通计划(SUMPs)的一般原则。今后,应修订可持续城市交通计划(SUMP)方法,以便能够处理和管理大流行病条件下的交通系统。
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引用次数: 0
Network design and vehicle routing problems in road transport systems: Integrating models and algorithms 公路运输系统中的网络设计和车辆路线问题:整合模型和算法
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100247
Antonio Polimeni , Antonino Vitetta

In this paper, an integrated approach is proposed that incorporates the road network design problem and the vehicle routing problem, which are very often studied separately. This approach can be adopted when the routes to follow in a transport system have to be designed (e.g., for public transit with fixed and variable routes, or for freight distribution) jointly with the network topology and capacity. The goal is to minimise congestion and the impacts on the network from passengers and freight vehicles. The design (control) variables consist of the optimal vehicle routes and optimised road network; they are both discrete (link topology for passenger and freight, routes for passengers and freight vehicles, etc.) and continuous (link capacity in terms of reserved lanes, signal settings, etc.). The problem is modelled in congested transportation networks (e.g., in an urban centre). A heuristic algorithm is adopted to find the best network configuration and the best vehicle routes. The proposed model and the adopted algorithm are applied in a test system to analyse the limits of the methodology, to verify the advantage obtained from the joint method and its applicability. In the test system, the joint procedure gives good results in terms of cost decreases. The reported methods can help public and private stakeholders in making decisions regarding transportation policy, especially in the urban environment.

本文提出了一种综合方法,将通常单独研究的道路网络设计问题和车辆选线问题结合起来。当运输系统中的路线必须与网络拓扑结构和容量一起设计时(例如,具有固定和可变路线的公共交通或货运配送),就可以采用这种方法。目标是最大限度地减少拥堵以及客运和货运车辆对网络的影响。设计(控制)变量包括最佳车辆路线和优化道路网络;它们既是离散的(客运和货运的线路拓扑、客运和货运车辆的路线等),也是连续的(预留车道、信号设置等方面的线路容量)。该问题以拥堵的交通网络(如城市中心)为模型。采用启发式算法寻找最佳网络配置和最佳车辆路线。提出的模型和采用的算法被应用于一个测试系统,以分析方法的局限性,验证联合方法的优势及其适用性。在测试系统中,联合程序在降低成本方面取得了良好的效果。所报告的方法可以帮助公共和私人利益相关者做出有关交通政策的决策,尤其是在城市环境中。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of heavy truck electrification on greenhouse gas emissions in Ontario, Canada 重型卡车电气化对加拿大安大略省温室气体排放的影响
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100246
Mehdi Ebrahimi, David S.-K. Ting, Rupp Carriveau, Hanna Maoh, Darryl Danelon

In this work, the new energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions that would be associated with heavy truck electrification in Ontario is evaluated. A new equation is derived to calculate the pollution-producing electricity generation based on the breakdown of the Ontario generation mosaic. Using this as a basis, for 4 scenarios of 5 %, 25 %, 50 % and 75 % of heavy-duty truck electrification, the Marginal Emission Factor (MEF) is calculated. This evaluation suggests that Ontario's peak demand in 2040 for the least and the most heavy-duty truck electrification scenarios can be up to 27.5 GW and 30.4 GW, respectively, compared to a baseline of 26.8 GW when assuming no heavy truck electrification condition. It is also forecasted that if the extra demand for electric trucks is supplied by clean renewable resources, the GHG emission reduction for 2040 can be as high as 0.9 MT, 4.3 MT, 8.6 MT and 12.9 MT GHG, respectively.

在这项工作中,对安大略省重型卡车电气化带来的新增能源需求和温室气体排放进行了评估。根据安大略省发电组合的细分,得出了一个新的等式来计算产生污染的发电量。以此为基础,针对重型卡车电气化率分别为 5%、25%、50% 和 75% 的四种方案,计算出边际排放系数 (MEF)。评估结果表明,在 2040 年,重型卡车电气化程度最低和最高的情况下,安大略省的峰值需求分别可达 27.5 千兆瓦和 30.4 千兆瓦,而假设没有重型卡车电气化的情况下,峰值需求基线为 26.8 千兆瓦。另据预测,如果电动卡车的额外需求由清洁可再生资源提供,2040 年的温室气体减排量可分别高达 0.9 公吨、4.3 公吨、8.6 公吨和 12.9 公吨。
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引用次数: 0
How to build a more sustainable passenger air transport system: multimodal experience 如何建立更可持续的航空客运系统:多式联运经验
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100245
Danica Babić , Aleksandra Colovic , Slavica Dožić , Milica Kalić , Tatjana Krstić Simić , Katarina Kukić , Michele Ottomanelli , Salvatore Gabriele Pilone

A fully integrated passenger multimodal system is a new concept in the transport industry, and consequently, data on system interoperability is lacking. In this paper, a qualitative research method is applied, to get the transport experts’ opinions and information on how the multimodal system should be designed. Although they are aware that the collaboration should result in an increase in the volume of passengers, the most challenging task is to convince transport operators to share the data with each other, due to legal issues. To determine the passengers’ perspective on making multimodal choices in their journeys, the travel demand model is developed, based on online survey data. The proposed (Binary Logistic Regression) model reveals the importance for policymakers and transport operators serving the airport to address access time reliability by carefully considering the passengers’ preferences in terms of their needs and age.

完全集成的客运多式联运系统在运输行业中是一个新概念,因此缺乏有关系统互操作性的数据。本文采用了定性研究方法,以获取交通专家关于应如何设计多式联运系统的意见和信息。虽然他们意识到合作应能增加客流量,但由于法律问题,说服交通运营商相互共享数据是最具挑战性的任务。为了确定乘客在旅途中选择多式联运的观点,我们根据在线调查数据开发了旅行需求模型。所提出的(二元逻辑回归)模型揭示了政策制定者和为机场提供服务的交通运营商通过仔细考虑乘客在需求和年龄方面的偏好来解决通行时间可靠性问题的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
On the equity of the x-minute city from the perspective of walkability 从步行的角度看 x 分钟城市的公平性
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100244
Nadia Giuffrida , Anna Mölter , Francesco Pilla , Páraic Carroll , Michele Ottomanelli

Walkability and equity in transport are crucial aspects of sustainable mobility and social well-being. The x-minute city concept emphasizes the importance of walkability, by fostering the design of a city where people can easily access their daily needs aiming to reduce reliance on private cars. However, such approaches, which generally rely on the idea of an “average resident” can ignore inequalities amongst people and fail to achieve the goal of building urban environments where everyone can participate in city life regardless of their socio-economic characteristics and vulnerability. In this study we propose an approach to assess the equity of the x-minute city, highlighting the limitations of the current application of the concept. The approach includes the computation of x-minute thresholds based on the walkability of pedestrian paths and considering different users’ needs. Home to school trips and social trips are taken as a reference; equity metrics such as the Lorenz Curve and Gini Index are used to assess how the x-minute city concurs with the transport equity of a city. The results of the assessment can help identify potential disparities in access to key destinations among different user groups, and support evidence-based policy recommendations to promote equitable transportation options. The case study of Bari, Italy, is used to illustrate the application of the method; however, the proposed approach can be replicated in different contexts, contributing to the ongoing discourse on walkability and equity in transport.

步行能力和交通公平是可持续交通和社会福祉的重要方面。x-minute 城市 "概念强调步行的重要性,通过设计一个人们可以方便地满足日常需求的城市来减少对私家车的依赖。然而,这种方法通常依赖于 "普通居民 "的概念,会忽视人与人之间的不平等,无法实现建设人人都能参与城市生活(无论其社会经济特征和脆弱性如何)的城市环境的目标。在本研究中,我们提出了一种评估 x 分钟城市公平性的方法,强调了当前应用这一概念的局限性。该方法包括根据人行道的步行能力计算 x 分钟阈值,并考虑不同用户的需求。以家庭到学校的出行和社会出行作为参考;使用洛伦兹曲线和基尼指数等公平指标来评估 x 分钟城市与城市交通公平性的一致性。评估结果有助于发现不同用户群体在前往主要目的地时可能存在的差异,并支持以证据为基础的政策建议,以促进公平的交通选择。本文以意大利巴里市为案例,说明了该方法的应用;不过,所建议的方法可在不同环境中推广,从而为当前有关步行能力和交通公平性的讨论做出贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive models for flexible pavement fatigue cracking based on machine learning 基于机器学习的柔性路面疲劳开裂预测模型
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100243
Ali Juma Alnaqbi , Waleed Zeiada , Ghazi Al-Khateeb , Abdulmalek Abttan , Muamer Abuzwidah

Pavement performance prediction is crucial for ensuring the longevity and safety of road networks. In our extensive study, we employ a diverse array of techniques to enhance fatigue performance models in flexible pavements. The methodology begins with Random Forest feature selection, identifying the top 15 critical variables that significantly impact pavement performance. These variables form the basis for subsequent model development. Our investigation into model performance indicates the superiority of advanced machine learning methods such as Regression Trees (RT), Gaussian Process Regression (GPR), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Ensemble Trees (ET), and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) over traditional linear regression methods. This consistent outperformance underscores their potential to reshape forecasting accuracy. Through extensive model optimization, we reveal robust performance across both complete and selected feature sets, emphasizing the importance of meticulous feature selection in enhancing forecast accuracy. The accuracy of our best optimized machine learning model is highlighted by its Performance Measurement metrics: RMSE of 22.416, MSE of 502.46, R-squared of 0.80848, and MAE of 8.9958. Additionally, comparative analysis with previous empirical models demonstrates that our best optimized machine learning model outperforms existing empirical models. This work underscores the significance of feature curation in pavement performance prediction, highlighting the potential of sophisticated modeling methodologies. Embracing cutting-edge technologies facilitates data-driven decisions, ultimately contributing to the development of more robust road networks, enhancing safety, and prolonging lifespan.

路面性能预测对于确保路网的使用寿命和安全性至关重要。在广泛的研究中,我们采用了多种技术来增强柔性路面的疲劳性能模型。该方法从随机森林特征选择开始,识别出对路面性能有重大影响的前 15 个关键变量。这些变量构成了后续模型开发的基础。我们对模型性能的研究表明,回归树 (RT)、高斯过程回归 (GPR)、支持向量机 (SVM)、集合树 (ET) 和人工神经网络 (ANN) 等先进的机器学习方法优于传统的线性回归方法。这种持续的优异表现凸显了它们重塑预测准确性的潜力。通过广泛的模型优化,我们揭示了完整特征集和选定特征集的强大性能,强调了精心选择特征对提高预测准确性的重要性。我们的最佳优化机器学习模型的准确性体现在其性能测量指标上:RMSE 为 22.416,MSE 为 502.46,R 方为 0.80848,MAE 为 8.9958。此外,与以往经验模型的比较分析表明,我们的最佳优化机器学习模型优于现有的经验模型。这项工作强调了路面性能预测中特征整理的重要性,突出了复杂建模方法的潜力。采用前沿技术有助于做出数据驱动的决策,最终有助于开发更强大的道路网络、提高安全性并延长使用寿命。
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引用次数: 0
Moving from classical towards machine learning stances for bus passengers’ alighting estimation: A comparison of state-of-the-art approaches in the city of Lisbon 公交车乘客下车估算从传统方法转向机器学习方法:比较里斯本市最先进的方法
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100239
Sofia Cerqueira , Elisabete Arsenio , José Barateiro , Rui Henriques

Passenger alighting estimation is a critical task in public transport (PT) management, especially for entry-only Automatic Fare Collection (AFC) transport systems where passenger alighting are not recorded. Effective estimation methods are necessary for trip analysis and route planning, offering valuable insights into passengers’ mobility patterns and, subsequently, improving the quality of service. However, the stochastic nature of passenger behaviour challenges the degree of successful alighting estimates. A classic approach to infer the alighting stops of passengers is the use of trip-chaining principles. Since these principles are dispersed across the literature in the field, their comprehensive review is pivotal to establish the best practice for alighting estimation. Still, trip-chaining approaches are unable to infer the alighting of non-commuting passengers. This paper addresses these two research gaps by: i) providing a critical overview of the existing principles and methods for alighting estimation; ii) proposing an approach to improve alighting estimation that consistently integrates the most effective state-of-the-art principles on trip-chaining; and iii) further introducing a frequent pattern mining and density-based clustering solutions to support alighting estimation for non-commuting passengers. Considering the public bus transport in Lisbon city as the guiding case study, the achieved estimation rate by the proposed assembled model is 92%. Moreover, the density-based clustering solution is found to improve the estimation of 11pp against classic trip-chaining principles. Furthermore, the proposed model and acquired results yield actionable value to enhance PT operations and services, ultimately leading to improved bus routing and quality of service.

乘客下车估算是公共交通(PT)管理中的一项关键任务,特别是对于乘客下车没有记录的入口自动收费(AFC)交通系统。有效的估算方法对于行程分析和路线规划十分必要,可为乘客的流动模式提供有价值的见解,进而提高服务质量。然而,乘客行为的随机性对成功估计乘客下车的程度提出了挑战。推断乘客下车地点的经典方法是使用行程连锁原则。由于这些原则散见于该领域的各种文献中,因此对其进行全面审查对于确立下车估算的最佳实践至关重要。然而,行程连锁方法无法推断非通勤乘客的下车情况。本文通过以下方法填补了这两项研究空白:i) 对现有的下车估算原则和方法进行了批判性概述;ii) 提出了一种改进下车估算的方法,该方法始终如一地整合了最有效的最先进的行程连锁原则;iii) 进一步引入了频繁模式挖掘和基于密度的聚类解决方案,以支持非通勤乘客的下车估算。以里斯本市的公共汽车交通为指导案例研究,所提出的集合模型的估计率达到了 92%。此外,基于密度的聚类方案比传统的行程连锁原则提高了 11pp 的估算率。此外,所提出的模型和所获得的结果还为加强公共交通运营和服务提供了可操作的价值,最终改善了公交路线和服务质量。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a deep Q-learning energy management system for a hybrid electric vehicle 为混合动力电动汽车开发深度 Q 学习能源管理系统
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100241
Luigi Tresca, Luca Pulvirenti, Luciano Rolando, Federico Millo

In recent years, Machine Learning (ML) techniques have gained increasing popularity in several fields thanks to their ability to find hidden and complex relationships between data. Their capabilities for solving complex optimization tasks have made them extremely attractive also for the design of the Energy Management System (EMS) of electrified vehicles. Among the plethora of existing techniques, Reinforcement Learning (RL) algorithms have unprecedented potential since they can self-learn by directly interacting with the external environment through a trial-and-error procedure. In this paper, a Deep Q-Learning (DQL) agent, which exploits Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) to map the state-action pair to its value, was trained to reduce the CO2 emissions of a state-of-the-art diesel Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle (PHEV) available on the European market. The proposed methodology was tested on a virtual test rig of the investigated vehicle while operating on a charge-sustaining logic. A sensitivity analysis was performed on the reward to test the capabilities of different penalty functions to improve the fuel economy while guaranteeing the battery charge sustainability. The potential of the proposed control strategy was firstly assessed on the Worldwide harmonized Light-duty vehicles Test Cycle (WLTC) and benchmarked against a Dynamic Programming (DP) optimization to evaluate each reward. Then the best agent was tested on a wide range of type-approval and Read Driving Emission (RDE) scenarios. The results show that the best-performing agent can reach performance close to the DP reference, with a limited gap (7 %) in terms of CO2 emissions.

近年来,机器学习(ML)技术凭借其发现数据间隐藏的复杂关系的能力,在多个领域越来越受欢迎。机器学习技术能够解决复杂的优化任务,因此对电动汽车能源管理系统(EMS)的设计也极具吸引力。在现有的大量技术中,强化学习(RL)算法具有前所未有的潜力,因为它们可以通过试错程序与外部环境直接交互,从而实现自我学习。本文训练了一个深度 Q 学习(DQL)代理,利用深度神经网络(DNN)将状态-行动对映射到其值,以减少欧洲市场上最先进的柴油插电式混合动力电动汽车(PHEV)的二氧化碳排放量。所提出的方法在所调查车辆的虚拟测试平台上进行了测试,测试过程中采用了充电维持逻辑。对奖励进行了敏感性分析,以测试不同惩罚函数在保证电池充电可持续性的同时提高燃油经济性的能力。首先在全球统一轻型车辆测试循环(WLTC)上评估了所提控制策略的潜力,并以动态编程(DP)优化为基准来评估每种奖励。然后,在各种类型批准和读取驾驶排放(RDE)情况下对最佳代理进行了测试。结果表明,表现最佳的代理可以达到接近 DP 参考值的性能,在二氧化碳排放方面的差距有限(7%)。
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引用次数: 0
FTIR spectroscopy analysis assessment of reclaimed asphalt at asphalt mixing plants to optimize the recycling 傅立叶变换红外光谱分析评估沥青搅拌站的再生沥青,以优化回收利用
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100242
Jens Wetekam, Konrad Mollenhauer

Reclaimed asphalt pavements (RA) usually are fully recyclable in new asphalt mixtures. The properties of the individually aged and possibly modified bitumen in the RA will affect the mix design of the new asphalt mixture. Furthermore, the RA may contain hazardous PAH-contamination resulting from coal tar, which was applied in German road pavements up to the 1980′s. For identifying substances that impair or influence reusability of the RA the Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) method was modified. Within a total measuring time of approx. 20 min, the binder contained in a sample of granulated road construction material can be recovered by means of a rapid extraction and measured by FTIR-ATR. By evaluating the measured absorption spectra, samples which have to be considered as PAH-contaminated (with PAH contents ≥ 25 mg/kg) could be distinguished from non-contaminated reclaimed asphalt. Furthermore, the presence of styrene-butadiene-styrene (SBS) modification as well as viscosity-changing organic additives could be identified.

再生沥青路面(RA)通常可完全回收利用于新的沥青混合料中。再生沥青路面中个别老化沥青和可能改性沥青的特性会影响新沥青混合料的混合设计。此外,RA 中还可能含有煤焦油产生的有害多环芳烃(PAH)污染。为了识别损害或影响 RA 可再利用性的物质,对傅立叶变换红外光谱法(FTIR)进行了改进。在总共约 20 分钟的测量时间内,可通过快速萃取法回收粒状筑路材料样品中的粘结剂,并用傅立叶变换红外-ATR 法进行测量。通过评估所测得的吸收光谱,可将多环芳烃污染样品(多环芳烃含量≥ 25 mg/kg)与未受污染的再生沥青样品区分开来。此外,还可以确定是否存在苯乙烯-丁二烯-苯乙烯(SBS)改性剂以及改变粘度的有机添加剂。
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引用次数: 0
A hybrid robust SBM-DEA, multiple regression, and MCDM-GIS model for airport site selection: Case study of Sistan and Baluchestan Province, Iran 用于机场选址的稳健 SBM-DEA、多元回归和 MCDM-GIS 混合模型:伊朗锡斯坦和俾路支斯坦省案例研究
Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2024-03-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.treng.2024.100235
Nima Golghamat Raad , Suchithra Rajendran

This study focuses on the strategic decision-making process for selecting airport locations in developing countries, where investment constraint is a significant concern. Recognizing that airport location decisions are influenced by a multitude of factors, often in the absence of comprehensive data and amidst uncertain forecasts, there is a need for a methodology capable of adeptly handling various factors under uncertainty. The goal is to provide solutions that remain feasible and near-optimal, even with some variations in input parameters, ensuring robustness. To this end, this research introduces a decision tool incorporating Slack-Based Measurement in Robust Data Envelopment Analysis (SBM-RDEA). The Slack-based method is beneficial in cases with multiple inputs and outputs where their relationships are not strictly proportional, as in the airport location selection problem. DEA, in conjunction with Multiple Regression analysis, leverages available data on the attributes of operational regional airports to compute the significance of these criteria in shaping the success factors of these facilities. Furthermore, these weightings can be employed to evaluate the suitability of airport locations currently under development and assess their potential for contributing to regional development. Additionally, to address the uncertainty of input data, a Robust optimization approach is employed to ensure a reliable response for this strategic decision-making process. This weighting framework is utilized twice within the research methodology: first, to assess the potential of different counties in the state for hosting a new regional airport, and second, to identify the optimal location for the airport in an MCDM-GIS analysis. This methodology has been applied to a case study in Sistan and Baluchistan, Iran. The result of the proposed method has been compared with one of the most common existing methodologies. This method identifies Zahedan County as having the highest potential and selects the location (29.48° N, 60.90° E), in the east of Zahedan city, as the optimal site for airport construction. Validation results confirm the efficacy of this solution.

本研究侧重于发展中国家机场选址的战略决策过程,在这些国家,投资限制是一个重要问题。由于机场选址决策受到多种因素的影响,而且往往缺乏全面的数据和不确定的预测,因此需要一种能够在不确定情况下巧妙处理各种因素的方法。我们的目标是,即使输入参数发生变化,也能提供可行且接近最优的解决方案,确保稳健性。为此,本研究介绍了一种决策工具,它结合了稳健数据包络分析(SBM-RDEA)中的基于松弛的测量方法。在多输入和多输出的情况下,它们之间的关系并不是严格成比例的,就像机场选址问题一样,基于松弛的方法非常有用。DEA 与多元回归分析相结合,可利用关于运营中的支线机场属性的可用数据,计算这些标准在塑造这些设施的成功因素方面的重要性。此外,还可利用这些权重来评估目前正在开发的机场选址是否合适,并评估其促进区域发展的潜力。此外,为了解决输入数据的不确定性,还采用了稳健优化方法,以确保为这一战略决策过程提供可靠的响应。这种加权框架在研究方法中使用了两次:首先是评估该州不同县城举办新的区域机场的潜力,其次是在 MCDM-GIS 分析中确定机场的最佳位置。该方法已应用于伊朗锡斯坦和俾路支斯坦的案例研究。建议方法的结果与最常见的现有方法之一进行了比较。该方法确定扎黑丹县潜力最大,并选择扎黑丹市东部的位置(北纬 29.48°,东经 60.90°)作为机场建设的最佳地点。验证结果证实了这一解决方案的有效性。
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Transportation Engineering
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