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Effects of Suppression Policy in a Market for Heroin: A Natural Quasi-Experiment 抑制政策对海洛因市场的影响:一个自然的准实验
Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1754637
Norman Braun, R. Berger
This paper focuses on the observable market effects of a more severe suppression of hard drug supply by the police. After surveying 624 regular heroin users in the Swiss cities of Bern and Zurich in a standardized way, the suppression policy had been intensified in Bern. To study the consequences of the policy change, the survey was repeated in both cities which resulted in another 419 standardized interviews. The results of this natural quasi experiment suggest that a more repressive practice of law enforcement agencies does not necessarily have the intended effects for central variables (e.g., price and quality of drugs, number of drug dealers) at the retail level of the illicit market.
本文的重点是观察到的市场效应,更严厉的打击毒品供应的警察。在以标准化的方式调查了瑞士伯尔尼和苏黎世的624名经常吸食海洛因的人之后,伯尔尼加强了压制政策。为了研究政策变化的后果,该调查在两个城市重复进行,结果又进行了419次标准化访谈。这一自然的准实验的结果表明,执法机构更严厉的做法不一定会对非法市场零售一级的中心变量(例如,毒品的价格和质量、毒贩的数量)产生预期的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Challenging the Overuse of Foster Care and Disrupting the Path to Delinquency and Prison 挑战过度使用寄养和扰乱犯罪和监狱之路
Pub Date : 2010-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2884371
L. J. Harris
Foster care is supposed to be a temporary safe haven for abused and neglected children, a place where they are cared for while their parents solve the problems that led to their mistreatment. For many children, foster care undoubtedly serves this function well. However, thousands of children live in foster care for extended periods of time, many leaving care only when they become adults. Recent studies show that for many of these children, foster care is not a safe, nurturing place. Instead, being in care exposes these children to substantial risks of later juvenile delinquency and adult criminal arrest and conviction, as well as mental health problems, difficulties in school, poor employment prospects, poverty and homelessness. Ironically, reducing the use of foster care and focusing more on in-home services have been public policy goals in the United States for more than thirty years, and the roots of these policies go back more than a century. Despite this long consensus, the foster care system has been stubbornly resistant to change. I argue that the system persists because it allows society to assert that it is protecting children from harm while refusing to provide substantial material support to poor parents and that turning this analytical lens onto the actual functioning of the foster care system and its harmful effects on many children could provide new ways to argue for legal and policy reforms to the child welfare system that could reduce the unnecessary use of foster care and its consequences for delinquency.
寄养应该是受虐待和被忽视儿童的临时避风港,在父母解决导致他们受到虐待的问题时,他们在这里得到照顾。对许多孩子来说,寄养无疑很好地发挥了这一作用。然而,成千上万的儿童长时间生活在寄养家庭,许多人直到成年后才离开寄养家庭。最近的研究表明,对于这些孩子中的许多人来说,寄养并不是一个安全、养育的地方。相反,受到照料使这些儿童面临日后少年犯罪和成年刑事逮捕和定罪的巨大风险,以及精神健康问题、学业困难、就业前景不佳、贫穷和无家可归。具有讽刺意味的是,30多年来,减少寄养的使用和更多地关注家庭服务一直是美国的公共政策目标,这些政策的根源可以追溯到一个多世纪以前。尽管长期以来达成了共识,但寄养制度一直顽固地抵制变革。我认为这个系统仍然存在,因为它允许社会断言,这是保护儿童免受伤害而拒绝提供实质性的物质支持贫穷的父母,将这种分析镜头到寄养制度的实际运作及其有害影响许多孩子可以提供新的方法来主张法律和政策改革的儿童福利系统可以减少不必要的使用寄养和犯罪的后果。
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引用次数: 2
Who Suffers More from Crime? 谁受犯罪影响更大?
Pub Date : 2009-11-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1508626
M. Amin
Existing studies aimed at identifying individuals or economic agents that suffer more from crime than others are based on the incidence of crime or the proportion of agents within a group that experience one or more incident of crime during a given period of time. This paper shows that studies based solely on the incidence of crime may provide a misleading picture as to who suffers more from crime. In a sample of about 6,000 manufacturing firms in 14 Latin American countries, we find that large firms are more likely to experience an incident of crime than the small firms in a given year. However, the burden of crime measured by losses due to crime as a percentage of firms’ annual sales is heavier on the smaller firms.
现有的旨在确定比其他人更容易遭受犯罪的个人或经济主体的研究是根据犯罪的发生率或在特定时期内经历一次或多次犯罪事件的群体中主体的比例进行的。这篇论文表明,仅仅基于犯罪发生率的研究可能会对谁更容易遭受犯罪提供一种误导性的图景。在对14个拉丁美洲国家约6000家制造企业的样本中,我们发现,在某一特定年份,大型企业比小型企业更容易发生犯罪事件。然而,以犯罪损失占公司年销售额的百分比来衡量的犯罪负担对小公司来说更重。
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引用次数: 6
Governmentality and Risk 治理与风险
Pub Date : 2009-09-01 DOI: 10.1002/9781444301489.CH3
P. O’Malley
Governmentality provides one of the most influential analyses of the nature and development of risk-based techniques in government over the past thirty years. In contrast to Beck's 'risk society' theory, which sees risk as a unity, governmentality emphasises the diversity of forms that risk takes as a governmental technique, and stresses their very different implications for those who are governed. In contrast to cultural analyses of risk, that concern themselves with the sociological ways risk is associated with particular congeries of social meanings and group processes, governmentality focuses overwhelmingly on governmental plans and programs. A governmental approach to risk is thus little interested in explaining the rise of risk in terms of some grand theory under which all risk is subordinated as an effect of epiphenomenon, nor in how widespread is the social acceptance of governmental plans. This chapter outlines the advantages and disadvantages of such an approach, what its impact has been, and examines how far governmentality can be integrated with risk society and cultural approaches to risk in contemporary life.
《治理学》对过去三十年来基于风险的治理技术的性质和发展进行了最具影响力的分析。贝克的“风险社会”理论将风险视为一个统一体,与之相反,治理学强调风险作为一种治理技术所采取的形式的多样性,并强调它们对被治理者的不同含义。与关注社会意义和群体过程的社会方式的风险文化分析相反,治理学主要关注政府计划和项目。因此,政府应对风险的方法对用某种宏大的理论来解释风险的上升不感兴趣,在这种理论下,所有风险都是附带现象的影响,也不关心社会对政府计划的接受程度有多广泛。本章概述了这种方法的优点和缺点,它的影响是什么,并研究了治理在多大程度上可以与风险社会和文化方法相结合,以应对当代生活中的风险。
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引用次数: 109
The Effects of School Desegregation on Crime 学校废除种族隔离对犯罪的影响
Pub Date : 2009-09-01 DOI: 10.3386/W15380
David A. Weiner, Byron F Lutz, Jens Ludwig
One of the most striking features of crime in America is its disproportionate concentration in disadvantaged, racially segregated communities, which has long raised concern that segregation itself may contribute to criminal behavior. Yet little is known about whether government efforts to reduce segregation can reduce crime. We address this question by studying the most important large-scale policy to reduce segregation in American life - court-ordered school desegregation. Our research design exploits variation across large urban school districts in the timing of when they were subject to local Federal court orders to desegregate. We find that for black youth, homicide victimization declines by around 25 percent when court orders are implemented; homicide arrests decline significantly as well. We also find evidence for spillover effects on other age and race groups, consistent with data indicating a sizable amount of offending across groups and with the fact that offending by different groups is also linked through the police budget constraint. Economic models for a "market for offenses" suggest the influence of this second mechanism should attenuate over time as victims respond to a shift in the supply of offenses by reducing investments in crime prevention. Consistent with this theory, we find police spending declines several years after court desegregation orders are enacted. The only detectable life-course-persistent effects are found among birth cohorts that attended desegregated schools.
美国犯罪的一个最显著的特征是,它不成比例地集中在处于不利地位的、种族隔离的社区。长期以来,人们一直担心,种族隔离本身可能助长犯罪行为。然而,人们对政府减少种族隔离的努力是否能减少犯罪知之甚少。我们通过研究在美国生活中减少种族隔离的最重要的大规模政策——法院命令的学校废除种族隔离——来解决这个问题。我们的研究设计利用了大型城市学区在当地联邦法院命令废除种族隔离的时间上的差异。我们发现,当法院命令得到执行时,黑人青年的凶杀受害率下降了25%左右;凶杀案的逮捕也显著下降。我们还发现了对其他年龄和种族群体的溢出效应的证据,这与表明跨群体大量犯罪的数据以及不同群体的犯罪也通过警察预算约束联系在一起的事实相一致。"犯罪市场"的经济模型表明,第二种机制的影响应随着时间的推移而减弱,因为受害者会通过减少预防犯罪的投资来应对犯罪供应的转变。与这一理论相一致的是,我们发现在法院废除种族隔离命令颁布几年后,警察支出下降了。唯一可检测到的终身持续影响是在那些就读于废除种族隔离学校的出生队列中发现的。
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引用次数: 27
Proceedings of the Second Australia and New Zealand Critical Criminology Conference, 19-20 June 2008, Sydney 第二届澳洲及纽西兰批判犯罪学会议论文集,2008年6月19-20日,悉尼
Pub Date : 2009-01-28 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.1333994
C. Cunneen, M. Salter
Conducted by the Crime and Justice Research Network and the Australian and New Zealand Critical Criminology Network
由犯罪和司法研究网络以及澳大利亚和新西兰关键犯罪学网络进行
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引用次数: 0
Do 'Off-Site' Adult Businesses Have Secondary Effects? Legal Doctrine, Social Theory, and Empirical Results “非现场”成人业务有二次效应吗?法律学说、社会理论和实证结果
Pub Date : 2008-12-05 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1010335
R. McCleary, A. Weinstein
Expressive activities that occur inside adult entertainment businesses are protected under the First Amendment. Ordinances aimed at regulating adult businesses must be motivated by a legitimate concern for the businesses' potential adverse secondary effects, including ambient noise, blight, and crime. To demonstrate that its motives are legitimate, the government must collect and weigh secondary effects evidence prior to enacting an ordinance. The courts have set a low evidentiary threshold for the government. The government can rely on secondary effects studies conducted in other places, for example, and on evidence that fails to satisfy arbitrary standards of rigor. The courts require that the government's evidence be relevant and reliable, however, and this requirement opens the door to Constitutional challenges. Recently, stores that sell sexually-explicit merchandise strictly for off-premise use have challenged the relevance of the government's secondary effects evidence to off-site adult businesses. The typical challenge argues (1) that off-site adult businesses are a distinct business model; (2) that no study has reported secondary effects for off-site adult businesses; and (3) that common sense dictates that off-site adult stores could not generate secondary effects. In 2002, agreeing with this argument, a 5th Circuit Court of Appeals panel struck down a San Antonio ordinance regulating off-site adult businesses. In the wake the 5th Circuit's Encore Videos decision, off-site adult businesses have used the same argument to challenge government ordinances throughout the U.S. In some cases, courts have agreed with the argument. In other cases, to avoid litigation, governments have agreed not to enforce regulations against off-site adult businesses. If the argument can be adapted to other adult business models, the Constitutionality of all adult business regulations are questioned. In this essay, we examine the legal, logical, and empirical bases of the argument used by off-site adult businesses to challenge the Constitutionality of ordinances. After describing the evolution of the U.S. Supreme Court's secondary effects doctrine, we apply the routine activity theory of crime to the off-site adult business model. Criminological theory predicts that all adult business models, including the off-site model, will have secondary effects. To test the theory, we report the results of a case study of an off-site adult business. Like other adult business models, this off-site store has large, significant crime-related secondary effect. Finally, we discuss the legal implications of the case study findings.
成人娱乐企业中的表达性活动受到宪法第一修正案的保护。旨在规范成人企业的条例必须出于对企业潜在不利的次要影响的合理考虑,包括环境噪音、枯萎和犯罪。为了证明其动机是合法的,政府必须在颁布法令之前收集和权衡次要影响证据。法院为政府设定了较低的证据门槛。例如,政府可以依靠在其他地方进行的二次效应研究,以及无法满足武断的严格标准的证据。然而,法院要求政府的证据是相关和可靠的,这一要求为宪法挑战打开了大门。最近,一些商店出售的色情商品完全是供室外使用的,这些商店对政府对室外成人商业的二次效应证据的相关性提出了质疑。典型的挑战认为:(1)非现场成人业务是一种独特的商业模式;(2)没有研究报告对场外成人业务的次生影响;(3)常识表明,场外成人商店不会产生次生效应。2002年,同意这一观点的第五巡回上诉法庭驳回了圣安东尼奥一项管制场外成人生意的条例。在第五巡回法院对Encore Videos的裁决之后,美国各地的非现场成人企业也以同样的理由挑战政府法令。在某些情况下,法院同意了这种说法。在其他情况下,为了避免诉讼,政府已经同意不对场外成人业务执行规定。如果这一论点可以适用于其他成人商业模式,那么所有成人商业法规的合宪性都受到质疑。在这篇文章中,我们检查的法律,逻辑和经验基础的论点使用的场外成人企业挑战条例的合宪性。在描述了美国最高法院的次生效应理论的演变之后,我们将犯罪的常规活动理论应用于非现场成人商业模式。犯罪学理论预测,所有成人商业模式,包括非现场模式,都会产生二次效应。为了检验这一理论,我们报告了一个非现场成人业务的案例研究结果。像其他成人商业模式一样,这种非现场商店具有巨大的、显著的与犯罪相关的二次效应。最后,我们讨论了案例研究结果的法律含义。
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引用次数: 0
Public Insecurities About Crime: A Review of the British Research Literature 公众对犯罪的不安全感:英国研究文献综述
Pub Date : 2008-11-18 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1303610
J. Jackson, S. Farrall, M. Hough, B. Bradford
This paper reviews the British research literature on fear of crime. Organised in three sections, the review begins with an analysis of how fear of crime has been variously been defined and measured. The second section outlines (a) levels of fear of crime and (b) trends and trajectories over the past few decades. The third examines the various explanations put forward for the roots and dynamics of public insecurities about crime.
本文回顾了英国关于犯罪恐惧的研究文献。该报告分为三个部分,首先分析了对犯罪的恐惧是如何被定义和衡量的。第二部分概述了(a)对犯罪的恐惧程度和(b)过去几十年的趋势和轨迹。第三部分考察了对公众对犯罪的不安全感的根源和动态提出的各种解释。
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引用次数: 11
What are You Looking at?: Prisoner Confrontations and the Search for Respect 你在看什么?:囚犯对抗和寻求尊重
Pub Date : 2008-11-01 DOI: 10.1093/bjc/azn053
M. Butler
This article examines the occurrence of fights, assaults, arguments and threats of violence between adult male prisoners in an English category C prison. The self-narratives of 40 men are analysed to investigate whether some prisoners engage in more confrontations than others due to a psychological need to protect their identity. The findings indicate that how an individual understands and constructs their self-narrative can influence their involvement in aggressive behaviour. Implications for interventions attempting to reduce aggression are explored.
本文调查了英国某C类监狱中成年男性囚犯之间发生的打斗、攻击、争吵和暴力威胁。研究人员对40名囚犯的自我叙述进行了分析,以调查一些囚犯是否因为保护自己身份的心理需要而比其他人更频繁地进行对抗。研究结果表明,一个人如何理解和构建他们的自我叙述会影响他们对攻击行为的参与。试图减少侵略的干预措施的含义进行了探讨。
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引用次数: 34
The Relationship between Juvenile Transfer Laws and Juvenile Crime 未成年人移送法与未成年人犯罪的关系
Pub Date : 2008-10-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1289963
J. Cohn
As a response to an increase in violent juvenile crime from the mid-1980s through the mid 1990s, state governments passed harsher laws governing the transfer of juveniles to the adult criminal system. This paper finds that changes in juvenile transfer laws cannot be definitively linked to increases or decreases in juvenile criminal activity. Controlling for other factors, two types of juvenile transfer laws (statutory exclusions and direct file provisions) show negative correlations with juvenile crime, but other types show positive correlations with juvenile crime. Even after attempting to account for the endogeneity of the transfer laws, there does not appear to be a consistent relationship between juvenile transfer laws and juvenile criminal activity.
作为对20世纪80年代中期到90年代中期青少年暴力犯罪增加的回应,州政府通过了更严厉的法律来管理将青少年转移到成人犯罪系统。本文发现,青少年移送法律的变化不能与青少年犯罪活动的增加或减少明确联系起来。在控制其他因素后,两种类型的未成年人移送法(法定排除法和直接立案法)与未成年人犯罪呈负相关,而其他类型的移送法与未成年人犯罪呈正相关。即使在试图解释移送法的内生性之后,在青少年移送法和青少年犯罪活动之间似乎也没有一致的关系。
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引用次数: 0
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Criminology eJournal
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