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Analysis of future defense policy priorities with AHP 用AHP分析未来国防政策优先事项
Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v6i1.184
Dongmin Kim, Kwanpyo Bae
Future defense systems cannot maintain the large-scale military force they currently have owing to population decline. Accordingly, the paradigm of military force construction and operation must change from being quantity-to quality-oriented. These changes render the effects of existing defense policies ineffective and highlight that the policies need to be updated. This study analyzes the preferred defense policy in the future defense environment using AHP. This is because efficient allocation and utilization of limited resources and rational decision-making according to policy priorities and in accordance with the paradigm shift in the construction and operation of future defense systems are necessary. The results reveal that the most important policy priority is utilizing science and technology effectively in the future defense. In addition, the policy priorities should be given to policies that focus on the development of weapons systems and acquisition of skilled manpower.
由于人口减少,未来的防御系统无法维持目前拥有的大规模军事力量。因此,军队建设和作战模式必须由以数量为导向向以质量为导向转变。这些变化使现有国防政策的效果失效,并突出表明政策需要更新。本文运用层次分析法分析了未来国防环境下的首选防御策略。这是因为,在未来防务系统的建设和运作中,必须根据政策重点和模式转变,有效地分配和利用有限的资源,合理决策。结果表明,在未来国防中,有效利用科学技术是最重要的政策重点。此外,政策上的优先事项应放在侧重于发展武器系统和获取熟练人力的政策上。
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引用次数: 1
Monte Carlo simulation-based defect ratio estimation approach for a chemical materials stockpile reliability program 基于蒙特卡罗模拟的化工物资库存可靠性评估方法
Pub Date : 2023-04-28 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v6i1.179
Seung-Ho Baik, Wukki Kim, Nam-rye Lee, Haeyen Yi, Yong-Ju Jeong, Namsu Ahn
A chemical material stockpile reliability program (CSRP) that determines the usability, safety, reliability, and performance of chemical equipment and materials is developed to determine the storage or disposal of chemical material stockpile (Storage Chemical Equipment and Material Reliability Evaluation Instruction, 2019). However, current inspection for current CSRP depend on test and evaluation of criteria for level of importance, and so the number of samples and acceptance quality limit (AQL) are presented based on the lot size. All the processes are conducted under KS Q ISO 2859-1, and the defect rate of the entire lot of CSRP items is generally assumed to be a distribution that is similar to a binomial distribution. However, the pass-fail test for CSRP items is based on approximately 10 test items, and the factors that cause defects in these items are also heterogeneous. We propose a new methodology for estimating the defect rates of CSRP items based on Monte Carlo simulations, which are widely used in various academic fields. In addition, we show the future applicability of the methodology by applying it to the K1 gas mask case and revealing the results of the defect rate estimation. We also present future work, including the need for a standard sample of CSRP items.
制定了确定化学设备和材料的可用性、安全性、可靠性和性能的化学材料库存可靠性计划(CSRP),以确定化学材料库存的存储或处置(存储化学设备和材料可靠性评估指南,2019)。然而,当前对当前CSRP的检查依赖于对重要程度标准的测试和评估,因此样品数量和验收质量限制(AQL)是基于批量大小提出的。所有工序均按照KS Q ISO 2859-1进行,一般假设CSRP产品的整批不良率为类似二项分布的分布。然而,CSRP项目的通过-失败测试基于大约10个测试项目,并且在这些项目中导致缺陷的因素也是异构的。本文提出了一种基于蒙特卡罗模拟的CSRP项目缺陷率估算新方法,该方法已广泛应用于各个学术领域。此外,我们通过将该方法应用于K1防毒面具案例并揭示缺陷率估计的结果,展示了该方法的未来适用性。我们还提出了未来的工作,包括对CSRP项目标准样品的需求。
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引用次数: 0
Combat effectiveness and efficiency evaluation of firearm weapon systems in different projectile guidance simulations 枪械武器系统在不同弹丸制导仿真中的作战效能与效率评估
Pub Date : 2023-04-26 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v6i1.196
Yunyoung Jung, Jonghwa Kim
We analyze the combat effectiveness and efficiency of the firearm weapon systems with stochastic simulations approach. Such combat effectiveness and efficiency are related with the precision of weapon systems, but the precision varies greatly depending on the projectile guidance method of the weapon system. Thus, this study conducted a stochastic simulation based on a mathematical model considering different projectile guidance methods. The simulation was designed assuming Counter-Artillery Fire, which is an important battle that must be successful in order to achieve a firepower advantage in the early stages of the war, and is suitable for judging the combat effectiveness and efficiency due to the precision of the firearm weapons system. Combat effectiveness and efficiency are judged as the result of damage probability, damage type, and desired shooting frequency, and damage probability and damage type represent combat effectiveness, and desired shooting frequency represents efficiency. The simulation environment deployed and simulated an enemy artillery unit with a size of 1,000m × 750m in the target area (6 guns), and applied the killing range of each firearm weapon system. For the description of the damage, the mathematical models Carlton damage function and the cookie cutter damage function were applied, and Monte Carlo simulation was applied to simulate the uncertainty of the battlefield. The results of the present study can be provided basic data to effectively operate and plan the firearm weapon systems.
采用随机仿真方法分析了火器武器系统的作战效能和效率。这种作战效能和效率与武器系统的精度有关,但由于武器系统的制导方式不同,精度差异很大。因此,本研究基于考虑不同弹丸制导方法的数学模型进行了随机仿真。该仿真以反火炮射击为前提进行设计,反火炮射击是战争初期取得火力优势必须取得成功的重要战斗,并且由于火器武器系统的精度,适合判断作战效能和效率。战斗力和效率是由伤害概率、伤害类型和期望射击频率共同判断的结果,伤害概率和伤害类型代表战斗力,期望射击频率代表效率。模拟环境在目标区部署和模拟了1个1000 m × 750m的敌方炮兵单位(6门火炮),并应用了各火器武器系统的杀伤距离。对于损伤的描述,采用卡尔顿损伤函数和饼干切割损伤函数的数学模型,并采用蒙特卡罗仿真方法模拟战场的不确定性。研究结果可为有效操作和规划火器武器系统提供基础数据。
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引用次数: 0
Authentic leadership and job burnout: Mediating effects of positive psychological capitals 真实领导与工作倦怠:积极心理资本的中介作用
Pub Date : 2023-04-24 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v6i1.188
Sunggeun Kim, Jungsik Kim
This study explored methods for reducing job burnout among organizational members working in highly stressful job environments from the perspective of positive organizational scholarship. In particular, we focused on the role of authentic leadership, an alternative leadership concept that has recently received much attention in the leadership literature. To explain the mechanism underlying the effects of authentic leadership on job burnout, the mediating effect of positive psychological capitals (PsyCap), a critical variable of positive psychology, was analyzed. To examine the proposed hypotheses, data were collected through a survey of employees of the Defense Acquisition Program Administration and analyzed. The results of the analyses demonstrate that authentic leadership has positive effects on team members' positive PsyCap, which in turn reduces their job burnout. In particular, in the relationship between authentic leadership and job burnout, all sub-factors of team members’ positive psychological capital revealed partial mediating effects, with the most significant mediating effect being optimism. Based on the results, we propose several suggestions to strengthen both authentic leadership and positive PsyCap within military organizations.
本研究从正向组织学术的角度探讨高压力工作环境下组织成员工作倦怠的缓解方法。我们特别关注了真实领导力的作用,这是最近在领导力文献中受到广泛关注的另一种领导力概念。为了解释真实领导对工作倦怠的影响机制,本研究分析了积极心理学的重要变量——积极心理资本(PsyCap)的中介作用。为了检验提出的假设,通过对国防采办计划管理局雇员的调查收集数据并进行分析。分析结果表明,真实型领导对团队成员的积极心理cap有正向影响,从而降低了团队成员的工作倦怠。特别是,在真实领导与工作倦怠的关系中,团队成员积极心理资本的各子因素均存在部分中介作用,其中乐观情绪的中介作用最为显著。基于研究结果,我们提出了加强军事组织中真实领导和积极心理控制的几点建议。
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引用次数: 0
Improvement of combat readiness for Republic of Korea Army 改善大韩民国陆军的战备状态
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.172
Hoseok Seo, S. Jeong
The Russian invasion of Ukraine highlights the importance of strengthening combat readiness in the military. The purpose of this study was to devise a policy implementation that can ensure the appropriateness of the evaluation using the improvement elements of the current combat readiness evaluation in the Korean Army. To do so, the acts and regulations of combat readiness assessment and application cases in field units were analyzed, and the necessary improvements of elements were derived by collecting expert opinions using a Delphi survey. The analysis revealed that the weights for each evaluation element through the analytic hierarchy process survey were presented to assess the quantitative elements (troops, equipment, supplies, and competency) at the C-level, and the use of a judgment process was suggested to assist the commander in reasonably determining the level of qualitative evaluation factors when evaluating the grade (final decision of the level of combat readiness of the unit) at the mission assessment (MA-level). The results of this study can be applied to the assessment of combat readiness level to identify the poor elements of the field units objectively and report them accurately to the upper unit. Future, research must study topics related to the elaboration of assessment elements that can ensure the accuracy and reliability of the evaluation of combat readiness in terms of organizational competency development.
俄罗斯入侵乌克兰凸显了加强军队战备的重要性。本研究的目的是设计一种政策实施,可以使用韩国陆军当前战备评估的改进要素来确保评估的适当性。为此,分析了野战部队战备评估的行为和规则以及应用案例,并通过德尔菲调查收集专家意见,得出了需要改进的要素。分析表明,通过层次分析法调查给出了各评价要素的权重,用于c级定量要素(兵力、装备、物资和能力)的评价,并建议使用判断过程协助指挥员在任务评估(ma级)等级评价(部队战备水平的最终决定)时合理确定定性评价因素的水平。研究结果可应用于战备水平评估,客观地识别野战部队的不良因素,并准确地向上级单位报告。未来,研究必须研究与制定评估要素相关的主题,以确保组织能力发展方面战备评估的准确性和可靠性。
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引用次数: 0
Comparison of Security Policies between the Trump and Biden Governments toward China 特朗普与拜登政府对华安全政策比较
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.168
Haesool Yang
The Trump administration, following the Obama administration, criticized previous administrations' security policies toward China, heralding the emergence of a groundbreaking strategy. Biden also criticized the Trump administration's security policy toward China from the time of his presidential nomination, implying the emergence of various containment policies. In this study, the Trump and Biden administration's China security policies were examined and compared with an emphasis on the integrated deterrence declared by the Biden government. The Trump and Biden administrations simultaneously pointed to China as a country that would undermine US interests. Accordingly, the two governments pursued a containment policy against China to maintain a US-centered international order. The Trump administration pursued a reckless alliance strategy based on the US-first principle as its integration policy and maintained multilateral security cooperation centered on the Indo-Pacific strategy as its deterrence policy. The Biden government maintained an ideological alliance strategy based on alliance priority as an integration policy and sought multilateral security cooperation by adding the NATO alliance to the Indo-Pacific strategy as a deterrence policy. The US anti-China policy can be divided into integration and suppression, and the detailed strategies applied at this time covered nonmilitary and military areas. Therefore, this study investigated the possibility of applying the entire military or nonmilitary domain to the scope of the analysis of the theory of integration and deterrence within the framework of international relations.
继奥巴马政府之后,特朗普政府批评了前任政府的对华安全政策,预示着一种开创性战略的出现。拜登从被提名为总统候选人时就开始批评特朗普政府的对华安全政策,暗示将出台各种遏制政策。本研究对特朗普和拜登政府的中国安全政策进行了考察和比较,重点是拜登政府宣称的综合威慑。特朗普和拜登政府同时指出,中国是一个会损害美国利益的国家。因此,两国政府对中国采取遏制政策,以维持以美国为中心的国际秩序。特朗普政府奉行以美国优先原则为基础的鲁莽同盟战略作为一体化政策,维持以印太战略为中心的多边安全合作作为威慑政策。拜登政府将以同盟优先为基础的意识形态同盟战略作为一体化政策,将北约(NATO)同盟加入到印度太平洋战略中,作为遏制政策,寻求多边安保合作。美国的反华政策可分为整合和压制两种,其具体策略涵盖非军事和军事领域。因此,本研究调查了将整个军事或非军事领域应用于国际关系框架内一体化和威慑理论分析范围的可能性。
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引用次数: 1
Initial operational capability of future weapon systems and field test method using digital twin 未来武器系统的初始作战能力和使用数字孪生的现场测试方法
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.167
Gakgyu Kim, Kangkyun Jin, Yongjun Cho, Kyoung-Sop Won
The application of artificial-intelligence technology to weapon systems, is difficult to use in military applications for such reasons as killing or wounding problems, ethical problems, and field environment considerations; therefore, more-sophisticated techniques and development are required for testing and evaluation. There is an increasing demand for advanced weapon systems that incorporate new technologies, such as artificial intelligence, and for electrification, and a new paradigm that can confirm and verify the performance required for field operations is required. Therefore, through case studies on digital twins, a plan for field testing and initial operational capability in future weapon systems was developed. Five development directions were identified, including policies and systems, organization, establishment of infrastructure, and utilization plans, to establish a field test and initial operational capability. In addition, studies on economic ripple effects and cost-effectiveness were conducted based on application cases of digital twins in the private sector. An optimal method for users to safely verify performance by utilizing the digital twin method to overcome the difficulties of testing and evaluating weapon systems with new technologies from the time when the weapon system requirements are determined to mass production is proposed.
将人工智能技术应用于武器系统,由于杀伤问题、伦理问题和战场环境考虑等原因,难以在军事应用中使用;因此,测试和评估需要更复杂的技术和开发。对结合人工智能等新技术和电气化的先进武器系统的需求日益增加,需要一种能够确认和验证野战作战所需性能的新范例。因此,通过数字孪生的案例研究,制定了未来武器系统的现场测试和初始作战能力计划。确定了五个发展方向,包括政策和制度、组织、基础设施的建立和利用计划,以建立现场测试和初始操作能力。此外,根据数字孪生在私营部门的应用案例,对经济涟漪效应和成本效益进行了研究。提出了一种利用数字孪生方法克服新技术武器系统从需求确定到批量生产的测试和评估困难,使用户安全验证性能的最佳方法。
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引用次数: 0
Development plan based on analyzing the actual conditions of Korea's defense base area 在分析韩国防卫基地地区实际情况的基础上制定的发展计划
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.165
Sang-Phil Jang, Gi-ll Choi
This study aims to derive a customized development plan for the defense base area centered on the Gyeongsangnam-do and Changwon special cities, which are representative bases in the domestic defense industry. The areas account for more than 40% of the defense sales and the number of employees based on domestic defense companies. Their status and importance increased as they were selected as the first defense innovation cluster pilot project in Korea by the Defense Acquisition Program Administration. For the research method, management performance (sales, R&D investment, number of employees, exports) and difficulties factors were analyzed by targeting 490 defense companies located in Gyeongnam from 2018 to 2021. Based on the results, considerable strengths and opportunity factors were derived in the fields of industry composition, defense supply chain, parts localization, workforce training, and cooperation networks, and the creation of a favorable management environment for defense SMEs was suggested. In the future, to facilitate the localization of defense materials and parts through the defense innovation cluster project, and to establish an effective mid- to long-term defense industry promotion strategy, an accurate analysis of the current situation and competitiveness of defense companies in the Gyeongnam region is required.
此次研究的目的是以国内防卫产业代表性基地庆尚南道和昌原为中心的防卫基地地区为中心,制定量身定制的发展计划。这些地区占国内防务公司防务销售额和雇员人数的40%以上。它们被防卫事业厅选为国内第一个国防创新集群示范项目,其地位和重要性也随之提高。研究方法是以庆南地区的490家国防企业为对象,从2018年到2021年,分析了经营业绩(销售额、研究开发(R&D)投资、职员数、出口)和困难因素。在此基础上,得出了我国军工中小企业在产业构成、国防供应链、零部件国产化、劳动力培训、合作网络等方面的优势和机会因素,并提出了为军工中小企业创造良好经营环境的建议。未来,为了通过国防创新集群项目促进国防材料和零部件的国产化,并制定有效的中长期国防产业促进战略,需要准确分析庆南地区国防企业的现状和竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
Development of a teaching competency diagnostic tool for army military school instructors 陆军军校教官教学能力诊断工具的开发
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.176
Jongok Park, Sanghun Lee, Yongkwan Kang
The purpose of this study was to develop a teaching competency diagnosis tool for instructors working in army military schools to improve the quality of education and cultivate the competitiveness of the organization. To this end, previous research data related to the development of teaching competency diagnosis tools were collected and analyzed. Subsequently, focus group interviews and behavioral case interviews with excellent instructors at the Army Military School were conducted, and Delphi surveys were conducted with educational experts to organize teaching competency components and diagnostic tools temporarily. Next, to verify the validity of questionnaire items, a preliminary survey and a main survey were conducted with questionnaires administered to excellent instructors and ordinary instructors to confirm the validity and reliability of the teaching competency diagnosis tool. As a result of the study, four competencies (basic, class, organizational, and digital), 10 major competencies (attitude and attitude as educators, relationship formation, etc.), 25 sub-competencies (responsibility as instructors, initiative, etc.), and 65 behavioral indicators were selected. The diagnostic tools derived through this study are the competencies that instructors must have to perform their duties successfully in military schools. Therefore, our results not only provide information necessary for establishing instructor competency development policies but also contribute greatly to developing programs to strengthen teaching competency in military schools.
摘要本研究旨在开发一套教学胜任力诊断工具,以协助军队院校教官提升教学品质,培养组织竞争力。为此,收集和分析了以往与教学胜任力诊断工具开发相关的研究数据。随后,对陆军军校优秀教官进行焦点小组访谈和行为案例访谈,并对教育专家进行德尔菲调查,临时整理教学胜任力成分和诊断工具。接下来,为了验证问卷条目的效度,我们分别对优秀教师和普通教师进行了初步调查和主要调查,以验证教学胜任力诊断工具的效度和信度。研究结果选择了4个胜任力(基本胜任力、班级胜任力、组织胜任力和数字化胜任力)、10个主要胜任力(作为教育者的态度和态度、关系形成等)、25个次要胜任力(作为指导者的责任、主动性等)和65个行为指标。通过本研究得出的诊断工具是指导员在军事学校成功履行职责所必须具备的能力。因此,我们的研究结果不仅为制定指导员能力发展政策提供了必要的信息,而且对制定军事院校的教学能力加强计划具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Instrument development for measuring determinants in defense R&D policy 测量国防研发政策决定因素的仪器开发
Pub Date : 2022-12-31 DOI: 10.37944/jams.v5i3.171
Jeonghun Kim, Dongwoon Kang, Bong-Jun Kang
The Korean military's defense research and development (R&D) policy was often shortsighted because of environmental changes, such as the Korea–U.S. alliance, security policies under the regime, and limited budgets. In addition, there was a lack of prior research focusing on identifying the determinants of defense R&D policy, making it difficult for stakeholders in defense R&D policies to determine the appropriateness or validity of decision making. To this end, the purpose of the present study was to suggest a basic reference for defense R&D decision making through the conceptualization of determinants in defense R&D policy and development of measurement items. For this, we developed operational definitions of influencing factors and preliminary items related to defense R&D policy decisions, considering the Republic of Korea Armed Forces. To test reliability and validity, we performed exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses based on discussions with experts. The results show a six-factor structure (security policy, defense posture, technological ambition, dominant and shifting paradigm, science and technology, industry knowledge base, and resources) and 24 items. It is concluded that the use of questionnaire results might better reflect multiple aspects of decision making in defense R&D policy. Future studies need to elaborate on the measurement indicators for defense R&D policy determinants and theorize on policy directions according to changes in future defense and private technology development.
韩国军队的国防研究开发(R&D)政策经常因为韩美、韩美、韩美、韩美、韩美等环境的变化而短视。联盟,政权下的安全政策,以及有限的预算。此外,由于缺乏对国防研发政策决定因素的研究,使得国防研发政策的利益相关者难以确定决策的适当性或有效性。为此,本研究旨在通过对国防研发政策决定因素的概念化和测量项目的开发,为国防研发决策提供基本参考。为此,考虑到大韩民国武装部队,我们制定了与国防研发政策决策相关的影响因素和初步项目的操作定义。为了测试信度和效度,我们在与专家讨论的基础上进行了探索性和验证性因素分析。结果表明,中国的安全政策、防御态势、技术雄心、主导和转移范式、科学技术、行业知识库和资源是一个六因素结构,共24个项目。研究结果表明,问卷调查结果能更好地反映国防研发决策的多个方面。未来的研究需要根据未来国防和私人技术发展的变化,阐述国防研发政策决定因素的测量指标,并对政策方向进行理论化。
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引用次数: 1
期刊
Journal of Advances in Military Studies
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