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Information provision and consumer search behavior for products with asymmetric uncertainty 不对称不确定性产品的信息提供与消费者搜索行为
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.07.005
Xiaomei Li , Zhengbo Liang , Yan Liu

When selling multiple products with asymmetric uncertainty, should the seller disclose product information so that customers do not have to incur any cost to resolve their uncertainties; if so, which product should the seller choose? To address these questions, we consider a monopolist selling two substitutable products to a group of consumers. Each consumer has asymmetric uncertainty regarding the two products. A total of four different information provision structures are considered based on whether the seller discloses information about each product with the aim of determining which strategy provides the seller with the greatest revenue. We derive several interesting results. First, the optimal information provision strategy depends on the magnitude of uncertainty in relation to the product with lower uncertainty. Specifically, if the uncertainty regarding the product with lower uncertainty is sufficiently small, it is optimal for the seller to provide information about the product with higher uncertainty, otherwise, the seller should provide information about both products. Second, when only one product's information should be revealed, it is optimal for the seller to choose the product with higher uncertainty and charge a higher price. Third, withholding information on both products is never optimal for the seller. Finally, our main model is extended by examining the Mean-Preserving Spread setting, and the robustness of our main results is confirmed. Furthermore, we examine the situation in which a monopolist sells a single product with two main attributes. We find that each of the four information provision strategies can be optimal under various scenarios.

在销售具有不对称不确定性的多种产品时,卖方是否应披露产品信息,使顾客不必为解决不确定性而产生任何成本;如果是,卖家应该选择哪种产品?为了解决这些问题,我们考虑一个垄断者向一群消费者销售两种可替代的产品。每个消费者对这两种产品都有不对称的不确定性。基于卖方是否披露每种产品的信息,总共考虑了四种不同的信息提供结构,目的是确定哪种策略为卖方提供最大的收益。我们得到了几个有趣的结果。首先,最优的信息提供策略取决于相对于不确定性较低的产品的不确定性的大小。具体来说,当不确定度较低的产品的不确定度足够小时,卖方提供不确定度较高的产品的信息是最优的,否则,卖方应同时提供两种产品的信息。其次,当只需要披露一种产品的信息时,卖方选择不确定性较大的产品并收取较高的价格是最优的。第三,对卖家来说,隐瞒两种产品的信息从来都不是最佳选择。最后,通过检验均值保持差值设置对我们的主要模型进行了扩展,并验证了我们主要结果的鲁棒性。此外,我们研究了垄断者销售具有两个主要属性的单一产品的情况。我们发现,在不同的场景下,这四种信息提供策略都是最优的。
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引用次数: 0
Correlation uncertainty, limited participation, and flight to quality 相关性不确定、有限参与和追求质量
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.07.003
Helen Hui Huang , Yanjie Wang , Shunming Zhang

This study extends the multi-asset model of Huang et al. (2017), who examine only two types of investors, by adding a new investor type with partial information on the correlation coefficient and re-explores the limited participation phenomenon under correlation ambiguity. We investigate whether asset allocations depend on incomplete information under market equilibrium—specifically, whether investors with less information might hold greater equilibrium positions than investors with more information. We find that, as the true correlation coefficient (and the maximum correlation coefficient for ambiguity-averse investors) increases and asset quality increases, investors with less information escape from low- to high-quality assets, thus exhibiting a flight-to-quality trading pattern in equilibrium.

本研究在Huang et al.(2017)仅考察两类投资者的多资产模型基础上进行了扩展,增加了具有部分相关系数信息的新投资者类型,重新探讨了关联模糊下的有限参与现象。我们研究了资产配置是否依赖于市场均衡下的不完全信息,特别是信息较少的投资者是否比信息较多的投资者持有更多的均衡头寸。我们发现,随着真实相关系数(以及规避模糊性的投资者的最大相关系数)的增加和资产质量的提高,信息较少的投资者从低资产逃向高质量资产,从而在均衡状态下表现出向高质量资产的逃离交易模式。
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引用次数: 0
Interactive information disclosure and non-penalty regulatory review risk 交互式信息披露和非处罚监管审查风险
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.10.003
Meng Wang , Yongjie Zhang , Yizhe Dong , Gaofeng Zou , Wanlong Zhao

Using monthly data from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange's ‘Hudongyi’ platform and comment letters from December 2014 to December 2018, this study investigates the influence of interactive information disclosure on non-penalty regulatory review risk. The findings reveal that the richness and activeness of interactive information disclosure are positively associated with regulatory review risk. Moreover, the non-penalty regulatory review is effective as it significantly reduces the probability of receiving a comment letter in the subsequent three periods. The timeliness of interactive information disclosure is negatively associated with regulatory review risks. Additionally, we find that newspaper media coverage partially mediates the relationship between interactive information disclosure and regulatory review risk. For companies with low levels of internal governance, in low-competitive industries, and state-owned companies, the positive relationship between the number of investor questions and regulatory review risk is strengthened. These findings enrich the literature on the determinants of regulatory review risk and the economic consequences of interactive information disclosure in emerging markets.

本研究利用2014年12月至2018年12月深圳证券交易所“沪通一”平台的月度数据和意见书,考察了交互式信息披露对非处罚性监管审查风险的影响。研究发现,互动信息披露的丰富性和活跃度与监管审查风险呈正相关。此外,非处罚监管审查是有效的,因为它大大降低了在随后的三个时期收到评论信的可能性。交互式信息披露的及时性与监管审查风险呈负相关。此外,我们发现报纸媒体报道在互动信息披露与监管审查风险的关系中起到部分中介作用。对于内部治理水平较低的公司、竞争力较低的行业和国有企业,投资者提问数量与监管审查风险之间的正相关关系得到强化。这些发现丰富了关于监管审查风险的决定因素和新兴市场交互式信息披露的经济后果的文献。
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引用次数: 1
Manufacturers’ strategy for introducing remanufactured products under a government subsidy: Introduce or not? 制造商在政府补贴下推出再制造产品的策略:推出还是不推出?
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.07.006
Zhen Wang , Jiazhen Huo , Yongrui Duan

With strong government advocacy and encouragement, many manufacturers hope to enter the remanufacturing market. Manufacturers who have entered the remanufacturing market hope to increase their profits through effective decision-making. Using game-theoretic models, this study investigates manufacturers’ conditions for introducing remanufactured products and the production decisions after the introduction by constructing a consumer utility model. Our study demonstrates that manufacturers’ decision-making method directly affects their decision to introduce remanufactured products. If a manufacturer plans to introduce remanufactured products, they should adopt a centralized decision-making method for the two products. Under this decision-making method, when the ratio of the government subsidy to the cost of new products is not too large or too small, the manufacturer can introduce remanufactured products. Additionally, the range of the ratio of the government subsidy to the cost of new products is related to the difference between the ratio of the cost of remanufactured products to that of new products and the substitutability of the remanufactured products. Therefore, when formulating a subsidy, the government should control it within a reasonable range and formulate differentiated subsidy strategies based on different enterprises’ specific conditions to give full play to the benefits of the government subsidy. Moreover, after the manufacturer has introduced remanufactured products, the consumer surplus and manufacturer’s profit increase with the government subsidy. However, social welfare increases only when the government subsidy is within a reasonable range. Furthermore, compared with subsidizing consumers, it is found that subsidizing the manufacturer does not affect their profit, the consumer surplus, and social welfare; however, the range within which the manufacturer can introduce remanufactured products narrows.

在政府的大力倡导和鼓励下,许多制造商希望进入再制造市场。进入再制造市场的制造商希望通过有效的决策来增加利润。本研究运用博弈论模型,建构消费者实用新型,探讨厂商引入再制造产品的条件及引入后的生产决策。研究表明,制造商的决策方式直接影响其引进再制造产品的决策。如果制造商计划引入再制造产品,则应采用两种产品的集中决策方法。在这种决策方法下,当政府补贴占新产品成本的比例不太大或太小时,制造商可以引入再制造产品。此外,政府补贴与新产品成本之比的范围与再制造产品成本与新产品成本之比的差值以及再制造产品的可替代性有关。因此,在制定补贴时,政府应将补贴控制在合理的范围内,并根据不同企业的具体情况制定差异化的补贴策略,以充分发挥政府补贴的效益。此外,制造商引入再制造产品后,消费者剩余和制造商利润随着政府补贴的增加而增加。然而,只有当政府补贴在合理范围内时,社会福利才会增加。此外,与补贴消费者相比,补贴制造商不影响其利润、消费者剩余和社会福利;然而,制造商可以引入再制造产品的范围缩小了。
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引用次数: 2
Supply chain decisions and coordination in the presence of an imperfect spot market 现货市场不完善情况下的供应链决策与协调
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.06.003
Jinpeng Xu , Gengzhong Feng , Kwai-Sang Chin , Wei Jiang

This study considers a supply chain consisting of a commodity supplier and a final product manufacturer with uncertain demand. In addition to purchasing from the supplier through a forward contract, the manufacturer can adjust their inventory by trading the commodity in an online spot market after observing the actual demand. However, the spot market is imperfect in that transactions cannot be certainly realized and come with additional transaction costs. Furthermore, the spot price is volatile such that overly relying on the spot market is unwise. To investigate how the spot market affects the decisions and coordination in a supply chain, we develop a game-theoretical model incorporating spot trading. We derive the optimal ordering decision in a centralized supply chain, as well as the supplier's and manufacturer's equilibrium pricing and ordering decisions in a decentralized supply chain. The impact of the imperfect spot market on the optimal decisions and profits is analyzed. This study also demonstrates how the supply chain can be coordinated in the presence of an imperfect spot market. Finally, a numerical analysis is performed to examine the analytical results. Our results indicate that the spot market can generally improve the performance of the centralized supply chain and benefit the manufacturer in the decentralized one. However, it can be detrimental to the supplier. The supply chain can be coordinated by a revenue-sharing contract, and both parties' profits can be improved. Our findings suggest that the manufacturer could take advantage of the spot market, and the supplier should attempt to integrate or coordinate the supply chain to share the benefits of spot trading.

本研究考虑需求不确定的商品供应商和最终产品制造商组成的供应链。除了通过远期合同向供应商采购外,制造商还可以在观察实际需求后,通过在线现货市场交易商品来调整库存。然而,现货市场的不完善之处在于,交易不能确定实现,而且需要额外的交易成本。此外,现货价格波动很大,因此过度依赖现货市场是不明智的。为了研究现货市场如何影响供应链中的决策和协调,我们建立了一个包含现货交易的博弈论模型。导出了集中式供应链下的最优订货决策,以及分散供应链下供应商和制造商的均衡定价和订货决策。分析了现货市场不完善对最优决策和最优利润的影响。本研究还展示了在现货市场不完善的情况下如何协调供应链。最后,对分析结果进行了数值分析。研究结果表明,现货市场总体上可以改善集中式供应链的绩效,并使分散供应链中的制造商受益。然而,这可能对供应商不利。供应链可以通过收益共享契约来协调,双方的利润都可以得到提高。我们的研究结果表明,制造商可以利用现货市场,供应商应该尝试整合或协调供应链,以分享现货交易的好处。
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引用次数: 2
The valuation of barrier options under a threshold rough Heston model 门槛粗糙heston模型下障碍期权的估值
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.07.004
Kevin Z. Tong , Allen Liu

In this paper, we propose a novel model for pricing double barrier options, where the asset price is modeled as a threshold geometric Brownian motion time changed by an integrated activity rate process, which is driven by the convolution of a fractional kernel with the CIR process. The new model both captures the leverage effect and produces rough paths for the volatility process. The model also nests the threshold diffusion, Heston and rough Heston models. We can derive analytical formulas for the double barrier option prices based on the eigenfunction expansion method. We also implement the model and numerically investigate the sensitivities of option prices with respect to the parameters of the model.

在本文中,我们提出了一种新的双障碍期权定价模型,其中资产价格被建模为一个由分数核与CIR过程卷积驱动的综合活动率过程改变的阈值几何布朗运动时间。新模型既捕捉了杠杆效应,又为波动过程提供了粗略的路径。该模型还嵌套了阈值扩散模型、赫斯顿模型和粗糙赫斯顿模型。基于特征函数展开法,推导出双障碍期权价格的解析公式。我们还实现了模型,并数值研究了期权价格相对于模型参数的敏感性。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of technology pathway of China's liquid fuel production with consideration of energy supply security and carbon price 考虑能源供应安全和碳价格的中国液体燃料生产技术路径分析
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-03-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.07.002
Bingqing Ding , Marek Makowski , Jinyang Zhao , Hongtao Ren , Behnam Zakeri , Tieju Ma

Efforts to provide alternative resources and technologies for producing liquid fuel have recently been intensified. Different levels of dependence on oil imports and carbon prices have a significant impact on the composition of the cost-minimizing portfolio of technologies. Considering such factors, how should China plan its future liquid fuel industry? The model for supporting the technology portfolio and capacity configuration that minimizes the total system cost until 2045 is described in this study. The results obtained for different carbon prices and levels of dependence on oil import indicate that the oil-to-liquid fuel (OTL) will remain dominant in China's liquid fuel industry over the next three decades. If the carbon price is low, the coal-to-liquid fuel (CTL) process is competitive. For a high carbon price, the biomass-to-liquid fuel (BTL) technology expands more rapidly. The results also reveal that developing the BTL and CTL can effectively reduce the oil-import dependency; moreover, a high carbon price can lead to the CTL being replaced with the low-carbon technology (e.g., BTL). Improvement in energy raw material conversion and application of CO2 removal technologies are also effective methods to control carbon emissions for achieving the carbon emission goals and ultimately emission reduction targets.

最近加强了为生产液体燃料提供替代资源和技术的努力。对石油进口和碳价格的不同依赖程度对成本最小化技术组合的构成有重大影响。考虑到这些因素,中国应该如何规划未来的液体燃料产业?本研究描述了支持到2045年总系统成本最小化的技术组合和容量配置的模型。对不同碳价格和石油进口依赖程度的研究结果表明,在未来30年,油制液燃料仍将在中国液体燃料行业占据主导地位。如果碳价格较低,煤制液体燃料(CTL)过程就具有竞争力。由于碳价格较高,生物质转化为液体燃料(BTL)技术的发展更为迅速。研究结果还表明,发展煤制油区和煤制油区可以有效降低对石油进口的依赖;此外,高碳价格可能导致CTL被低碳技术(如BTL)所取代。提高能源原料转化,应用CO2脱除技术,也是控制碳排放,实现碳排放目标,最终实现减排目标的有效手段。
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引用次数: 5
Présentation 外观
2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-19 DOI: 10.3917/lp.412.0005
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引用次数: 0
Study on the Development of Biomass Fuel and the Construction of Sustainable Certification System 生物质燃料发展与可持续认证体系建设研究
IF 6.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.12677/mse.2023.121002
玉斌 刘
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引用次数: 0
Research on Technological Innovation of Small and Medium Sized Technological Enterprises in Liaoning Province 辽宁省科技型中小企业技术创新研究
IF 6.6 2区 管理学 Q1 Engineering Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.12677/mse.2023.125080
文昌 刘
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Management Science and Engineering
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