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Does political propaganda matter in mitigating climate change? Insights from the United States of America 政治宣传在缓解气候变化方面重要吗?美利坚合众国的见解
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.12.006
Hermas Abudu , Presley K. Wesseh Jr. , Boqiang Lin

Some research on climate change has been the basis of climate change denialism (hereafter, CCD is used to refer to denial, denialism, and deniers). There is formative knowledge about the role of political propaganda in climate policies and resulting outcomes. To contribute to the understanding of political ideology and the extent of CCD, we adopt econometric techniques to study the impact of the United States of America's withdrawal from the Paris Agreement. The results show that ideological political propaganda has psychological and philosophical consequences that impact climate change policies. In addition, we find that the effect of a state's economic growth on climate change is mediated by CCD. In particular, low-income capitalist states have a higher propensity to become CCDs because they are more likely to engage in economic expansion even at the expense of environmental sustainability. Global climate change policies depend on high-income nations and industries' willingness to adopt economic policies to achieve sustainable future development. Thus, this study fills the literature gap on the relationship between political ideology and climate change. The findings show that CCD significantly influences voting patterns and socioeconomic outcomes. It impedes states from achieving net-zero emissions and carbon neutrality and it is used as a political propaganda. Subject to these findings, relevant policy suggestions are offered.

一些关于气候变化的研究是否认气候变化的基础(以下,CCD用于指否认、否认和否认者)。关于政治宣传在气候政策中的作用及其结果,有一些形成性的知识。为了有助于理解政治意识形态和CCD的范围,我们采用计量经济学技术来研究美利坚合众国退出《巴黎协定》的影响。研究结果表明,意识形态政治宣传具有影响气候变化政策的心理和哲学后果。此外,我们发现一个州的经济增长对气候变化的影响是由CCD介导的。特别是,低收入资本主义国家更倾向于成为CCD,因为它们更有可能参与经济扩张,甚至以牺牲环境可持续性为代价。全球气候变化政策取决于高收入国家和行业采取经济政策以实现未来可持续发展的意愿。因此,本研究填补了关于政治意识形态与气候变化关系的文献空白。研究结果表明,CCD显著影响投票模式和社会经济结果。它阻碍了各国实现净零排放和碳中和,并被用作政治宣传。根据这些调查结果,我们提出了相关的政策建议。
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引用次数: 2
Digital Influencer's choice of product endorsement: A perspective of congruence 数字影响力者对产品背书的选择:一致性视角
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.01.001
Nan Feng , Wenfan Zhao , Haiyang Feng , Minqiang Li , Liang Xian

To infer product fitness information, consumers often consult digital influencers who exert effort to learn and evaluate product features and then propagate information to their followers. However, influencers' recommendations are not limited to products that exactly match their expertise, which may lead followers to unfollow them. This study investigates which product (high or low congruence) an influencer should endorse and how much endorsement effort should be exerted. Using a theoretical model, we obtain several interesting results. First, endorsing a low-congruence product can surprisingly benefit the influencer if the penalty per lost follower is moderate or if the influencer has sufficiently high efficiency in reducing the perception error of this product. Second, although the influencer has high expertise in the high-congruence product, she will lose more followers when endorsing it than when endorsing the low-congruence product if a particularly small or large proportion of her followers are potential consumers of the low-congruence product. Third, when the influencer endorses the low-congruence product, the number of new followers increases with the size of the influencer's follower base only when the follower base is small and a large proportion of followers are potential consumers of the low-congruence product. Interestingly, as the size of the follower base increases, the influencer always exerts more effort when endorsing the high-congruence product but will exert less effort in learning about the low-congruence product if a sufficiently small proportion of followers are potential consumers. Finally, after taking consumers' knowledge about product features into account, the main results still hold, and when considering the competition between influencers, we uncover the conditions under which both influencers will choose to endorse the high-congruence product.

为了推断产品的健身信息,消费者通常会咨询数字影响者,这些影响者会努力学习和评估产品的功能,然后将信息传播给他们的关注者。然而,网红的推荐并不局限于与他们的专业知识完全匹配的产品,这可能会导致追随者取消关注他们。本研究调查了影响者应该支持的产品(高一致性或低一致性)以及应该发挥多大的支持力度。利用一个理论模型,我们得到了几个有趣的结果。首先,如果每个失去追随者的惩罚是中等的,或者如果影响者在减少该产品的感知误差方面有足够高的效率,那么认可低一致性产品会让影响者惊讶地受益。第二,尽管网红在高一致性产品方面有很高的专业知识,但如果她的粉丝中有特别小或特别大的比例是低一致性产品的潜在消费者,那么她在代言高一致性产品时会比代言低一致性产品失去更多的粉丝。第三,当影响者认可低一致性产品时,只有当关注者基数较小且很大比例的关注者是低一致性产品的潜在消费者时,新关注者的数量才会随着影响者关注者基数的规模而增加。有趣的是,随着关注者规模的增加,网红在认可高一致性产品时总是付出更多的努力,而在了解低一致性产品时,如果关注者中潜在消费者的比例足够小,网红就会付出更少的努力。最后,在考虑到消费者对产品特征的了解后,主要结果仍然成立,并且在考虑影响者之间的竞争时,我们揭示了两个影响者都会选择认可高一致性产品的条件。
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引用次数: 0
Joint inventory and transshipment decisions with consumer behavioral heterogeneity 具有消费者行为异质性的联合库存和转运决策
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2022.12.007
Pingping Feng , Jian Chai , Zhongquan Hu , Wei Zong , Feng Wu , Devin J. Wang

Transshipment is an effective method for reducing mismatches between supply and demand among retailers. Consumers attempting to purchase out-of-stock items may wait for transshipment, purchase at another store, or choose not to buy. In this paper, the consumer behavioral heterogeneity is characterized using the transshipment request rate and consumer switching rate. It affects the replenishment and transshipment decisions, as well as the system profits. The inventory replenishment and transshipment decisions are studied in both centralized and decentralized two-location inventory systems with consumer behavioral heterogeneity. We characterize optimal replenishment decisions in a centralized system, prove the existence of a unique Nash equilibrium in a decentralized system with a specific demand distribution, and determine the coordinating transshipment price for some decentralized systems. In numerical studies, the performance of various systems is analyzed for consumers with identical (symmetric) or differing (asymmetric) behavior between retailers. For scenarios with symmetric consumers, a higher transshipment request rate and consumer switching rate resulted in increased total profit in all systems. For scenarios with asymmetric consumers, the retailer with the higher consumer switching rate should reduce ordering in a centralized system but increase ordering in a decentralized system. Moreover, the retailer with the higher transshipment request rate reduces ordering to increase profit, whereas the other retailer increases order quantity yet earns less profit.

转运是减少零售商之间供需不匹配的有效方法。试图购买缺货商品的消费者可能会等待转运、在其他商店购买或选择不购买。本文利用转运请求率和消费者切换率来表征消费者行为的异质性。它影响补货和转运决策,以及系统利润。研究了具有消费者行为异质性的集中和分散两地库存系统中的库存补货和转运决策。我们刻画了集中系统中的最优补货决策,证明了具有特定需求分布的分散系统中存在唯一的纳什均衡,并确定了一些分散系统的协调转运价格。在数值研究中,针对零售商之间行为相同(对称)或不同(不对称)的消费者,分析了各种系统的性能。对于对称消费者的场景,较高的转运请求率和消费者切换率导致所有系统的总利润增加。对于消费者不对称的场景,消费者切换率较高的零售商应该在集中式系统中减少订单,但在分散式系统中增加订单。此外,转运请求率较高的零售商减少订单以增加利润,而另一零售商增加订单数量但获得的利润较少。
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引用次数: 0
The impact of the COVID-19 prevention and economic interventions on express delivery industry: Evidence from China 新冠肺炎预防和经济干预对快递业的影响:来自中国的证据
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.07.001
Juan Liu , Jiafu Tang , Minghe Sun

As a fundamental logistics service, the express delivery (ED) industry provides production and consumption activities to maintain efficient supply chain operations. It plays an important role in promoting industrial development and maintaining daily life and consumption. This study examined the effects of COVID-19 on the ED industry using ED package delivery data from 31 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) in China. Using a difference-in-differences method, the COVID-19 outbreak was found to have a positive effect and epidemic prevention and control (EPC) policies were found to have negative effects on the development of the ED industry. In addition to EPC policies, the Chinese government has implemented other short-term economic interventions (SEI), such as the resumption of work and production (RWP), policies to balance economic growth, and epidemic prevention. This study divided the pandemic period into three stages to analyze the different impacts of EPC and SEI policy changes on the ED industry. The RWP policies adopted during the pandemic positively impacted the volume and income of packages delivered to the ED industry. The conclusions of this study are significant for the ED industry in addressing public health emergencies and for the Chinese government to formulate EPC and SEI policies during epidemic periods.

快递(ED)业作为一项基础性物流服务,为生产和消费活动提供服务,以维持高效的供应链运作。它在促进产业发展、维护日常生活和消费方面发挥着重要作用。本研究利用中国 31 个省(自治区、直辖市)的快递包裹投递数据,研究了 COVID-19 对快递业的影响。采用差分法发现,COVID-19 疫情对 ED 产业发展有积极影响,而疫情防控(EPC)政策对 ED 产业发展有消极影响。除 EPC 政策外,中国政府还实施了其他短期经济干预措施(SEI),如复工复产(RWP)、平衡经济增长的政策和防疫等。本研究将大流行期间分为三个阶段,以分析 EPC 和 SEI 政策变化对教育行业的不同影响。大流行期间采取的 "农村工作计划 "政策对教育署行业的包裹投递量和收入产生了积极影响。本研究的结论对快递业应对突发公共卫生事件和中国政府制定疫情期间的 EPC 和 SEI 政策具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
An MA-MRR model for transaction-level analysis of high-frequency trading processes 高频交易过程的交易级分析的MA-MRR模型
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.08.001
Qiang Zhang , Zudi Lu , Shancun Liu , Haijun Yang , Jingrui Pan

The transaction-level analysis of security price changes by Madhavan, Richardson, and Roomans (1997, hereafter MRR) is a useful framework for financial analysis. The first-order Markov property of trading indicator variables is a critical assumption in the MRR model, which contradicts the information lag empirically demonstrated in high-frequency trading processes. In this study, a nonparametric test is employed, which shows that the Markov property of the trading indicator variables is rejected on most trading days. Based on the spread decomposed structure, an MA-MRR model was proposed with a moving average structure adopted to absorb the information lag as an extension. The empirical results show that the information lag plays an important role in measuring the adverse selection risk parameter and that the difference in this parameter between the original and the extension is significant. Furthermore, our analysis suggests that the information lag parameter is a useful measure of the average speed at which information is incorporated into prices.

Madhavan、Richardson 和 Roomans(1997 年,以下简称 MRR)对证券价格变化的交易层面分析是一个有用的金融分析框架。交易指标变量的一阶马尔可夫特性是 MRR 模型的关键假设,这与高频交易过程中经验证明的信息滞后相矛盾。本研究采用了非参数检验,结果表明,在大多数交易日,交易指标变量的马尔可夫特性被拒绝。根据价差分解结构,提出了 MA-MRR 模型,并采用移动平均结构吸收信息滞后作为扩展。实证结果表明,信息滞后在衡量逆向选择风险参数方面发挥了重要作用,且原始参数与扩展参数之间的差异显著。此外,我们的分析表明,信息滞后参数是衡量信息融入价格的平均速度的有用指标。
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引用次数: 0
Technology inflow following high-speed railway: Evidence from Chinese cities 高铁之后的技术流入:来自中国城市的证据
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.06.003
Dayong Liu , Jie Liu , Qihang Li , Nixuan Guo , Tong Chen , Qiaoran Meng

Urban development thrives from technology inflows, which refers to the transfer of high-value technology from various cities to local recipients. The asymmetry of technical information—rooted in the tacit knowledge inherent in technology—mandates that technology transfer is heavily dependent on interactions and communication among talented individuals. This study examines the effect of China's high-speed railway (HSR) on technology inflow, with an emphasis on talent interaction in the technology transfer process. The findings suggest that HSR mitigates cross-city commuting costs and facilitates face-to-face interactions between talent, thereby fostering an increase in technology inflows to various cities. “Talent” use HSR to transfer knowledge to cities teeming with such talent resources. Concurrently, areas with robust intellectual property rights protection witness an upsurge in intercity technology transfer via HSR. This study elucidates the macro-mechanism of urban technology flow from the perspective of public transportation offering valuable insights for technology market infrastructure and services.

城市发展得益于技术流入,技术流入指的是从各个城市向当地接受者转移高价值技术。技术信息的不对称根植于技术中固有的隐性知识,这就要求技术转让严重依赖于有才能的个人之间的互动和沟通。本研究考察了中国高铁对技术流入的影响,重点考察了技术转移过程中的人才互动。研究结果表明,高铁降低了跨城市通勤成本,促进了人才之间的面对面互动,从而促进了技术流入各个城市的增加。“人才”利用高铁将知识转移到拥有这些人才资源的城市。与此同时,在知识产权保护力度较强的地区,通过高铁进行城际技术转让的热潮正在兴起。本研究从公共交通角度阐释了城市技术流动的宏观机制,为技术市场、基础设施和服务提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 1
Economic importance and structural robustness of the international pesticide trade networks 国际农药贸易网络的经济重要性和结构稳健性
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.06.002
Jian-An Li , Li Wang , Wen-Jie Xie , Wei-Xing Zhou

Pesticides are agricultural inputs that can significantly reduce yield losses, regulate plant growth, effectively liberate agricultural productivity, and improve food security. The availability of pesticides in economies worldwide is ensured by redistribution through international trade, with different economies playing different roles in this process. In this study, we measured and ranked the importance of economies using nine node metrics. We found that the clustering coefficient was negatively correlated with the other eight node metrics, whereas the other eight node metrics were positively correlated with each other and could be grouped into three communities (betweenness; in-degree, PageRank, authority, and in-closeness; out-degree, hub, and out-closeness). We further investigated the structural robustness of international pesticide trade networks proxied by large component size under three types of shocks to economies (node removal in descending, random, and ascending orders). The results showed that, except for the clustering coefficient, international pesticide trade networks are relatively robust under shocks to economies in ascending order but fragile under shocks to economies in descending order. By contrast, removing nodes with a clustering coefficient in ascending and descending order yielded similar robustness curves. Moreover, the structural robustness related to large component size evolved over time and exhibited an inverse U-shaped pattern.

农药是农业投入品,可以显著减少产量损失,调节植物生长,有效解放农业生产力,提高粮食安全。通过国际贸易的再分配,确保了全球经济中农药的可获得性,不同的经济体在这一过程中发挥着不同的作用。在这项研究中,我们使用9个节点指标来衡量和排名经济的重要性。结果表明,聚类系数与其他8个节点指标呈负相关,而其他8个节点指标之间呈正相关,可归为3个群落(betweness;in-degree, PageRank,权威和亲密度;向外度,轮毂和向外闭合)。我们进一步研究了在三种类型的经济冲击(节点按降序、随机和升序移除)下,以大组件规模为代表的国际农药贸易网络的结构稳健性。结果表明,除聚类系数外,国际农药贸易网络在上行经济体冲击下相对稳健,在下行经济体冲击下相对脆弱;相比之下,去除聚类系数按升序和降序排列的节点得到了相似的鲁棒性曲线。此外,与大部件尺寸相关的结构稳健性随着时间的推移而进化,并呈现出反u型模式。
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引用次数: 1
Monetary incentives and social ties in academic publications 学术出版物中的金钱激励与社会关系
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.06.001
Zhenxi Chen , Donald Lien

Monetary incentives underlie academic publications, especially in countries where many researchers' incomes are performance-based. Evidence has documented that social ties improve the chances of publication in journals, whereas building and maintaining social ties require resources. We develop a simple model to investigate the consequences of monetary investment on the probability of publication through social ties. The results indicate that monetary incentive can stimulate researchers to make more efforts regarding publication. Through social ties, monetary investment in the process of academic publication distorts researchers' incentive. Monetary investment through social ties improves the probability of publication and then disables the signaling function of publication in terms of researchers’ abilities. Depending on the contribution of different types of researchers to society and the ability of the latter to differentiate the quality of publication in journals, the improvement in publication probability by monetary investment through social ties may improve or reduce the level of social welfare.

金钱激励是学术出版物的基础,特别是在许多研究人员的收入以绩效为基础的国家。有证据表明,社会关系提高了在期刊上发表文章的机会,而建立和维持社会关系需要资源。我们开发了一个简单的模型来研究货币投资对通过社会关系发表的概率的影响。研究结果表明,金钱激励可以激励研究人员在发表方面做出更多努力。通过社会关系,货币投资在学术发表过程中扭曲了研究者的激励。通过社会关系进行的货币投资提高了发表的概率,进而使发表对研究人员能力的信号功能失效。根据不同类型研究人员对社会的贡献以及后者区分期刊发表质量的能力,通过社会关系进行货币投资来提高发表概率可能会提高或降低社会福利水平。
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引用次数: 0
Time-varying road network design for urban hazmat transportation 城市危险品运输时变路网设计
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.05.001
Jingyi Chen , Qiuchen Gu , Hanwen Yu , Wei Zhou , Tijun Fan

Hazmat transportation in cities faces significant risks that may cause catastrophic losses to humans. From the perspective of the regulator, the main responsibility is to mitigate hazmat transport risk by determining the availability of road networks to hazmat carriers. Based on the time-variant population distribution, the hazmat transport risk was assessed via the total population exposure associated with the resident and variable populations at different times. We propose a risk-minimizing urban hazmat road network design model for multiple types of hazmats, considering time-varying traffic. The model was applied to a realistic case study of hazmat transportation in a densely populated urban area with complex traffic in Shanghai, China.

城市中的危险品运输面临着可能给人类造成灾难性损失的重大风险。从监管机构的角度来看,主要责任是通过确定道路网络对危险品承运人的可用性来减轻危险品运输风险。基于时变人口分布,通过不同时间与常住人口和可变人口相关的总暴露量来评估危险物质的运输风险。提出了一种考虑时变交通的多类型危险物的风险最小化城市危险物路网设计模型。将该模型应用于上海市人口密集、交通复杂的城区危险品运输实例研究。
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引用次数: 0
Economic uncertainty, central bank digital currency, and negative interest rate policy 经济不确定性、央行数字货币和负利率政策
2区 管理学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2023-07-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jmse.2023.04.001
Baogui Xin, Kai Jiang

The COVID-19 outbreak has brought unprecedented social attention to economic uncertainty and negative interest rate policy (NIRP). How does uncertainty affect economic activity, and how effective is a NIRP based on central bank digital currency (CBDC)? To answer the two questions, we constructed a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model that accommodates sticky prices and wages. The results indicated: (i) Economic uncertainty has substantially reduced investment, output, wage, and loans, which increases unemployment risk. In the short term, it has triggered impulsive consumption by households, while consumption has fallen into a slump in the long run. (ii) After suffering an uncertainty shock, the economy entered short-term stagflation and long-term deflation. The short-term stagflation was mainly caused by resident wage adjustment, and the long-term deflation was due to the decline in effective demand caused by unemployment risk. (iii) CBDC could eliminate the zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint, thereby improving the effectiveness of NIRP. Compared with traditional currency, CBDC-based NIRP could more effectively smooth macroeconomic fluctuations and alleviate the negative impact of an uncertainty shock, which is more conducive to restoring market confidence and promoting economic recovery.

新冠肺炎疫情引发了社会对经济不确定性和负利率政策的空前关注。不确定性如何影响经济活动,以及基于央行数字货币(CBDC)的NIRP的有效性如何?为了回答这两个问题,我们构建了一个动态随机一般均衡(DSGE)模型,该模型包含粘性价格和工资。结果表明:(1)经济不确定性导致投资、产出、工资和贷款大幅减少,增加了失业风险。从短期来看,它引发了家庭的冲动消费,而从长期来看,消费却陷入了低迷。(二)在遭受不确定性冲击之后,经济进入了短期滞胀和长期通缩。短期滞胀主要由居民工资调整引起,长期通缩主要由失业风险导致有效需求下降引起。(iii) CBDC可以消除零下限(ZLB)约束,从而提高NIRP的有效性。与传统货币相比,基于cbdc的NIRP可以更有效地平滑宏观经济波动,缓解不确定性冲击的负面影响,更有利于恢复市场信心,促进经济复苏。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Management Science and Engineering
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