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The Lindley Gompertz Model for Estimating the Survival Rates: Properties and Applications in Insurance 估算存活率的林德利-冈珀兹模型:性质及其在保险中的应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-15 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00450-4
Heba Soltan Mohamed, M. Masoom Ali, Haitham M. Yousof

This paper introduces a new extension of the Gompertz function for estimating the survival rates. The actual survival rates from USA life tables 2015 is considered for assessment process under the ordinary least squares method. A real data application is presented under the maximum likelihood method. The new Gompertz function is compared with many other competitive ones such as the Gompertz, the exponentiated Gompertz, the Rayleigh Gompertz, Weibull Gompertz, the Burr type X Gompertz and Rayleigh generalized Gompertz models.

本文介绍了Gompertz函数估计生存率的一个新的扩展。在普通最小二乘法的评估过程中,考虑了2015年美国生命表的实际存活率。给出了最大似然法在实际数据中的应用。将新的Gompertz函数与许多其他竞争函数进行了比较,如Gompertz-、指数Gompertz-、Rayleigh-Gombertz-、Weibull-Gombertz、Burr型X Gomperty-和Rayleigh-广义Gompertz-模型。
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引用次数: 15
Efficient Equalization and Carrier Frequency Offset Compensation for Underwater Wireless Communication Systems 水下无线通信系统的有效均衡和载波频偏补偿
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00449-x
Khaled Ramadan, Mohamed S. Elbakry

Underwater Acoustic (UWA) wireless communication systems are plagued by a slew of flaws that restrict their performance. This includes factors such as high attenuation in seawater, sediment type, acidity concentration, water temperature, and sound speed propagation. One of the available solutions is Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (OFDM). Unfortunately, the OFDM systems suffer from the Carrier Frequency Offset (CFO) phenomenon that causes Inter-Carrier-Interference. One of the means to overcome this problem is joint equalization and CFO compensation. In this paper, the conventional OFDM system is adapted for Multiple-Input-Multiple Output (MIMO)-OFDM communication utilizing Discrete Wavelet Transform (DWT) rather than Discrete Fourier Transform (DFT). The DWT-based OFDM system has certain benefits over the comparable DFT. The trade-off, on the other hand, is the necessity for an extra DFT/IDFT to complete the Frequency-Domain equalization procedure, which increases the total computational complexity. In addition, we present a Joint Low Regularized Linear Zero Forcing equalizer for MIMO-OFDM based on DWT that employs the banded-matrix approximation approach. The suggested approach avoids signal-to-noise ratio estimation. Simulation results show that the proposed scheme outperforms different schemes at the same UWA channel conditions spatially in the case of estimation errors.

水下声学(UWA)无线通信系统受到一系列限制其性能的缺陷的困扰。这包括海水中的高衰减、沉积物类型、酸度浓度、水温和声速传播等因素。可用的解决方案之一是正交频分复用(OFDM)。不幸的是,OFDM系统受到载波频率偏移(CFO)现象的影响,该现象导致载波间干扰。克服这一问题的手段之一是联合均衡和首席财务官薪酬。在本文中,传统的OFDM系统适用于利用离散小波变换(DWT)而不是离散傅立叶变换(DFT)的多输入多输出(MIMO)-OFDM通信。与可比较的DFT相比,基于DWT的OFDM系统具有一定的优点。另一方面,代价是需要额外的DFT/IDFT来完成频域均衡过程,这增加了总的计算复杂性。此外,我们还提出了一种用于MIMO-OFDM的基于DWT的联合低正则化线性迫零均衡器,该均衡器采用了带状矩阵近似方法。所提出的方法避免了信噪比估计。仿真结果表明,在估计误差的情况下,该方案在空间上优于相同UWA信道条件下的不同方案。
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引用次数: 1
Sentiment Analysis of Twitter Feeds Using Flask Environment: A Superior Application of Data Analysis 使用烧瓶环境对推特订阅源的情绪分析:数据分析的卓越应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-12 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00445-1
Astha Modi, Khelan Shah, Shrey Shah, Samir Patel, Manan Shah

In this challenging world, social media plays a vital role as it is at the pinnacle of data sharing. The advancement in technology has made a huge amount of information available for data analysis and it is on the hotlist nowadays. Opinions of the people are expressed and shared across various social media platforms like Twitter, Facebook, and Instagram. Twitter is a prodigious platform containing an ample amount of data and analyzing the data is of topmost priority. One of the most widely utilized approaches for classifying an individual’s emotions displayed in subjective data is sentiment analysis. Sentiment analysis is done using various algorithms of machine learning like Support Vector Machine, Naive Bayes, Long Short-Term Memory, Decision Tree Classifier, and many more, but this paper aims at the generalized way of performing Twitter sentiment analysis using flask environment. Flask environment provides various inbuilt functionalities to analyze the sentiments of text into three different categories: positive, negative, and neutral. Also, it makes API calls to the Twitter Developer account to fetch the Twitter data. After fetching and analyzing the data, the results get displayed on a webpage containing the percentage of positive, negative, and neutral tweets for a phrase in a pie chart. It displays the language analysis for the same phrase. Furthermore, the webpage calls attention to the tweets done on that phrase and reveals the details of the tweets. Considering the major industry runners of three different sectors namely Enterprises, Sports Apparel Industry, and Multimedia Industry, we have analyzed and compared sentiments of two different Multinational companies from each sector.

在这个充满挑战的世界里,社交媒体发挥着至关重要的作用,因为它是数据共享的巅峰。技术的进步使得大量信息可用于数据分析,成为时下的热门话题。人们在 Twitter、Facebook 和 Instagram 等各种社交媒体平台上表达和分享观点。Twitter 是一个巨大的平台,包含大量数据,对数据进行分析是重中之重。情感分析是对主观数据中显示的个人情感进行分类的最常用方法之一。情感分析可使用支持向量机、奈夫贝叶斯、长短期记忆、决策树分类器等多种机器学习算法,但本文旨在使用 Flask 环境执行 Twitter 情感分析的通用方法。Flask 环境提供了各种内置功能,可将文本情感分为积极、消极和中性三种不同类别进行分析。此外,它还会调用 Twitter 开发者账户的 API 来获取 Twitter 数据。在获取和分析数据后,结果会显示在一个网页上,以饼状图的形式显示某个短语的正面、负面和中性推文的百分比。它还显示了对同一短语的语言分析。此外,网页还显示了针对该短语的推文的详细信息。考虑到三个不同行业(企业、运动服装业和多媒体行业)的主要行业参与者,我们分析并比较了每个行业中两家不同跨国公司的情绪。
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引用次数: 0
Correction to: Guest Editor’s Introduction: COVID-19 and Data Science 更正:客座编辑简介:新冠肺炎与数据科学
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-28 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00447-z
Aihua Li
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引用次数: 0
Assessment of Two Process Capabilities by Using Generalized Confidence Intervals and its Applications 用广义置信区间评价两种过程能力及其应用
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-23 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00448-y
Mahendra Saha

In this article, we use Monte Carlo simulation study to calculate the generalized confidence interval of the difference between two recently proposed process capacity indices ((mathcal S^{prime }_{pk1}-{mathcal {S}}^{prime }_{pk2})) when the underlying process follows a normal process distribution. Method of moment estimate is used to estimate the parameters of the process distribution. The proposed generalized confidence interval can be effectively employed to determine which one of the two processes or manufacturer’s (or supplier’s) has a better process capability. Also Monte Carlo simulation has been used to investigate the estimated coverage probabilities and average widths of the generalized confidence intervals of (({mathcal {S}}^{prime }_{pk1}-mathcal S^{prime }_{pk2})). The findings of the simulation demonstrated that as sample size rises, the mean squared errors decrease. To illustrate the generalized confidence intervals of the difference between two process capacity indices for improved supplier selection, three real data sets linked to the electronic industries are investigated.

在本文中,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟研究来计算最近提出的两个过程能力指数((mathcal S^{prime }_{pk1}-{mathcal {S}^{prime }_{pk2}/))之差的广义置信区间,当底层过程遵循正态过程分布时。矩估计法用于估计过程分布的参数。所提出的广义置信区间可有效用于确定两个流程或制造商(或供应商)中哪一个流程能力更强。蒙特卡罗模拟还被用来研究 (({mathcal {S}}^{prime }_{pk1}-mathcal S^{prime }_{pk2})) 的广义置信区间的估计覆盖概率和平均宽度。模拟结果表明,随着样本量的增加,均方误差会减小。为了说明用于改进供应商选择的两个流程能力指数之间差异的广义置信区间,我们研究了与电子行业相关的三个真实数据集。
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引用次数: 0
Machine Learning for Intelligent Data Analysis and Automation in Cybersecurity: Current and Future Prospects 网络安全中智能数据分析和自动化的机器学习:当前和未来展望
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-19 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00444-2
Iqbal H. Sarker

Due to the digitization and Internet of Things revolutions, the present electronic world has a wealth of cybersecurity data. Efficiently resolving cyber anomalies and attacks is becoming a growing concern in today’s cyber security industry all over the world. Traditional security solutions are insufficient to address contemporary security issues due to the rapid proliferation of many sorts of cyber-attacks and threats. Utilizing artificial intelligence knowledge, especially machine learning technology, is essential to providing a dynamically enhanced, automated, and up-to-date security system through analyzing security data. In this paper, we provide an extensive view of machine learning algorithms, emphasizing how they can be employed for intelligent data analysis and automation in cybersecurity through their potential to extract valuable insights from cyber data. We also explore a number of potential real-world use cases where data-driven intelligence, automation, and decision-making enable next-generation cyber protection that is more proactive than traditional approaches. The future prospects of machine learning in cybersecurity are eventually emphasized based on our study, along with relevant research directions. Overall, our goal is to explore not only the current state of machine learning and relevant methodologies but also their applicability for future cybersecurity breakthroughs.

由于数字化和物联网革命,当前的电子世界拥有丰富的网络安全数据。有效解决网络异常和攻击正成为当今世界网络安全行业日益关注的问题。由于多种网络攻击和威胁的迅速扩散,传统的安全解决方案不足以解决当代的安全问题。利用人工智能知识,特别是机器学习技术,对于通过分析安全数据提供动态增强、自动化和最新的安全系统至关重要。在本文中,我们对机器学习算法进行了广泛的研究,强调了如何通过其从网络数据中提取有价值见解的潜力,将其用于网络安全中的智能数据分析和自动化。我们还探索了一些潜在的现实世界用例,在这些用例中,数据驱动的智能、自动化和决策能够实现比传统方法更积极的下一代网络保护。基于我们的研究,以及相关的研究方向,最终强调了机器学习在网络安全中的未来前景。总的来说,我们的目标不仅是探索机器学习和相关方法的现状,还包括它们对未来网络安全突破的适用性。
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引用次数: 14
Impact of COVID-19 on Stock Indices Volatility: Long-Memory Persistence, Structural Breaks, or Both? COVID-19对股指波动的影响:长期记忆持续性,结构性断裂,还是两者兼而有之?
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-12 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00446-0
Abdinardo Moreira Barreto de Oliveira, Anandadeep Mandal, Gabriel J. Power

The onset of the COVID-19 pandemic has increased volatility in financial markets, motivating researchers to investigate its impact. Some use the GARCH family of models to focus on long-memory persistence, while others use Markov chain models to better identify structural breaks and regimes. However, no study has addressed the occurrence of these two phenomena in a unified framework. Since both are important features of the data, to ignore one or the other could lead to poorly specified models. The outcome would be incorrect risk measurement, with implications for risk management, Value at risk, portfolio decisions, forecasting, and option pricing. This paper aims to fill this gap in the literature. We assemble an international dataset for 16 stock market indices in three continents over the period from August 1, 2019 to February 18, 2022, totalling 669 business days. Using R, we estimate 80 GARCH family models, 16 pure Markov-Switching models, and 900 combined GARCH/ Markov-Switching models using daily stock market log-returns. We allow for two volatility regimes (low and high). We also measure and incorporate News Impact Curves, which show how past shocks affect contemporaneous volatility. Our main finding, across estimated models, is that COVID-19 affected both long-memory persistence and volatility regimes in most markets. To describe the specific impact in each market, we report News Impact Curves. Lastly, the first wave of COVID-19 had a much greater impact on volatility than did subsequent waves linked to the emergence of new variants.

COVID-19 大流行病的爆发加剧了金融市场的波动,促使研究人员调查其影响。一些人使用 GARCH 模型系列来关注长记忆持久性,而另一些人则使用马尔科夫链模型来更好地识别结构性断裂和制度。然而,目前还没有研究在统一的框架下探讨这两种现象的发生。由于这两种现象都是数据的重要特征,忽略其中一种可能会导致模型的不完善。其结果将是错误的风险测量,对风险管理、风险价值、投资组合决策、预测和期权定价产生影响。本文旨在填补这一文献空白。我们收集了三大洲 16 个股票市场指数的国际数据集,时间跨度为 2019 年 8 月 1 日至 2022 年 2 月 18 日,共计 669 个工作日。我们使用 R 语言,利用每日股市对数收益率估计了 80 个 GARCH 族模型、16 个纯马尔可夫-转换模型和 900 个 GARCH/ 马尔可夫-转换组合模型。我们考虑了两种波动率机制(低波动率和高波动率)。我们还测量并纳入了新闻影响曲线,该曲线显示了过去的冲击是如何影响同期波动率的。在所有估计模型中,我们的主要发现是 COVID-19 对大多数市场的长期记忆持续性和波动率机制都产生了影响。为了描述对每个市场的具体影响,我们报告了新闻影响曲线。最后,COVID-19 的第一波对波动率的影响远远大于与新变体出现相关的后续波次。
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引用次数: 0
Applying an Information Retrieval Approach to Retrieve Relevant Articles in the Legal Domain 应用信息检索方法检索法律领域相关文章
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-06 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00442-4
Ambedkar Kanapala, Sukomal Pal, Suresh Dara, Srikanth Jannu

Retrieving legal texts is an important step for building a question answering system on law domain, which needs relevant articles to answer a query. Remarkable research has been done on legal information retrieval. However, retrieving relevant articles for a question is an extremely challenging task. In this paper, we describe a novel approach to retrieve relevant civil law article for a question from legal bar exams. We used three models Hiemstra, BM25 and PL2F implemented within Terrier. Our system retrieves top-ranked document from the collection according to the models specified and it outputs one single document per query. The best model has been selected on the basis of voting algorithm. Appropriate civil law articles are then retrieved using a mapping between document pair-id and the articles. The system achieved an accuracy of over 71.16% of correct civil law articles on training data and moderate scores on test data.

检索法律文本是建立法律领域问题解答系统的一个重要步骤,该系统需要相关文章来回答查询。在法律信息检索方面已经开展了大量研究。然而,检索问题的相关文章是一项极具挑战性的任务。在本文中,我们介绍了一种新颖的方法来检索与律师资格考试问题相关的民法文章。我们在 Terrier 中使用了三种模型 Hiemstra、BM25 和 PL2F。我们的系统根据指定的模型从文档集中检索排名靠前的文档,并为每个查询输出一份文档。根据投票算法选出最佳模型。然后,利用文档配对标识和文章之间的映射,检索出适当的民法文章。该系统在训练数据上获得了超过 71.16% 的民法文章正确率,在测试数据上获得了中等分数。
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引用次数: 0
A Comprehensive Study of Artificial Intelligence and Cybersecurity on Bitcoin, Crypto Currency and Banking System 比特币、加密货币和银行系统的人工智能和网络安全综合研究
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-02 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00433-5
Tamanna Choithani, Asmita Chowdhury, Shriya Patel, Poojan Patel, Daxal Patel, Manan Shah

In recent years cryptocurrencies are emerging as a prime digital currency as an important asset and financial system is also emerging as an important aspect. To reduce the risk of investment and to predict price, trend, portfolio construction, and fraud detection some Artificial Intelligence techniques are required. The Paper discusses recent research in the field of AI techniques for cryptocurrency and Bitcoin which is the most popular cryptocurrency. AI and ML techniques such as SVM, ANN, LSTM, GRU, and much other related research work with cryptocurrency and Bitcoin have been reviewed and most relevant studies are discussed in the paper. Also highlighted some possible research opportunities and areas for better efficiency of the results. Recently in the past few years, artificial intelligence (AI) and cybersecurity have advanced expeditiously. Its implementation has been extensively useful in finance as well as has a crucial impact on markets, institutions, and legislation. It is making the world a better place. AI is responsible for the simulation of machines that are replicas of human beings and are intelligent enough. AI in finance is changing the way we communicate with money. It helps the financial industry streamline and optimize processes from credit judgments to quantitative analysis marketing and economic risk management. The main goal of this research has been investigating certain impacts of artificial intelligence in this contemporary world. It's centered on the appeal of artificial intelligence, confrontation, chances, and its influence on professions and careers. The research paper uses AI to enable banks to generate financial resources and to provide valuable customer services. The application of the growing Indian banking sector is part of everyday life made up of several banks like RBI, SBI, HDFC, etc. and these banks have digitally implemented using chat-bots that have brought benefits to the customers.

近年来,加密货币作为一种重要资产正在成为一种主要的数字货币,金融系统也正在成为一个重要方面。为了降低投资风险,预测价格、趋势、投资组合构建和欺诈检测,需要一些人工智能技术。本文讨论了针对加密货币和比特币(最流行的加密货币)的人工智能技术领域的最新研究。本文回顾了 SVM、ANN、LSTM、GRU 等人工智能和 ML 技术,以及与加密货币和比特币相关的许多其他研究工作,并讨论了最相关的研究。本文还强调了一些可能的研究机会和领域,以提高研究成果的效率。最近几年,人工智能(AI)和网络安全迅速发展。人工智能在金融领域的应用非常广泛,并对市场、机构和立法产生了至关重要的影响。它让世界变得更加美好。人工智能负责模拟机器,这些机器是人类的复制品,具有足够的智能。金融领域的人工智能正在改变我们与金钱沟通的方式。它帮助金融业简化和优化从信贷判断到定量分析营销和经济风险管理的流程。这项研究的主要目标是调查人工智能在当今世界的某些影响。其核心是人工智能的吸引力、对抗性、机会及其对专业和职业的影响。研究论文利用人工智能使银行能够产生金融资源,并提供有价值的客户服务。由 RBI、SBI、HDFC 等多家银行组成的印度银行业不断发展,其应用已成为日常生活的一部分。
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引用次数: 0
Modeling the Impact of Delay on the Aggregation of AD Proteins 延迟对AD蛋白聚集影响的建模
Q1 Decision Sciences Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI: 10.1007/s40745-022-00439-z
Alessandro Nutini, Ayesha Sohail, Robia Arif, Mudassar Fiaz, O. A. Beg

Accumulation of the amyloid-(beta ) (A(beta ) ) peptide in the brain gives rise to a cascade of key events in the pathogenesis of Alzheimer’s disease (AD). It is verified by different research trials that the sleep-wake cycle directly affects A(beta ) levels in the brain. The catalytic nature of amyloidosis and the protein aggregation can be understood with the help of enzyme kinetics. During this research, the chemical kinetics of the enzyme and substrate are used to explore the initiation of Alzheimer’s disease, and the associated physiological factors, such as the sleep wake cycles, related to this symptomatology. The model is based on the concentration of the A(beta ) fibrils, such that the resulting solution from the mathematical model may help to monitor the concentration gradients (deposition) during sleep deprivation. The model proposed here analyzes the existence of two phases in the production of amyloid fibrils in the sleep deprivation condition: a first phase in which the soluble form of amyloid A(beta ) is dominant and a second phase in which the fibrillar form predominates and suggests that such product is the result of a strong imbalance between the production of amyloid A(beta ) and its clearance. The time dependent model with delay, helps to explore the production of soluble A(beta ) amyloid form by a defective circadian cycle. The limitations of the time dependent model are facilitated by the artificial intelligence (AI) time series forecasting tools.

淀粉样蛋白-(beta)(A(beta))肽在大脑中的积累引发了阿尔茨海默病(AD)发病机制中的一系列关键事件。不同的研究试验证实,睡眠-觉醒周期会直接影响大脑中的淀粉样蛋白水平。淀粉样变性和蛋白质聚集的催化性质可以借助酶动力学来理解。在这项研究中,酶和底物的化学动力学被用来探索阿尔茨海默氏症的发病过程,以及与这种症状相关的生理因素,如睡眠觉醒周期。该模型基于 A(beta) 纤维的浓度,因此数学模型得出的解决方案可能有助于监测睡眠剥夺期间的浓度梯度(沉积)。这里提出的模型分析了睡眠剥夺条件下淀粉样蛋白纤维的产生存在两个阶段:第一阶段是淀粉样蛋白A(beta )的可溶性形式占主导地位,第二阶段是纤维状形式占主导地位,并表明这种产物是淀粉样蛋白A(beta )的产生和清除之间强烈失衡的结果。具有延迟的时间依赖模型有助于探索昼夜节律周期缺陷导致的可溶性淀粉样蛋白的产生。人工智能(AI)时间序列预测工具为时间依赖模型的局限性提供了便利。
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引用次数: 0
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