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Modelling water scarcity across Europe in terms of water quantity and quality 从水的数量和质量方面对整个欧洲的水资源短缺进行建模
Pub Date : 2010-10-25 DOI: 10.7558/bhs.2010.ic127
E. Dumont, Richard J. Williams, V. Keller, S. Folwell
The need for integrated and sustainable water resources management has become an important driver behind large-scale gridded modelling. Such modelling has traditionally focused on water quantity. However, reduced water quality can also limit water resources, particularly for drinking water. The water availability model GWAVA has been further developed to include a water quality module. This module will initially focus on biochemical oxygen demand (BOD). The module considers drivers of BOD loading from land, such as agriculture and urban runoff, and transport and loss of BOD through sewage treatment and river networks. In an exploratory assessment, GWAVA was used to produce maps of water scarcity across Europe. The new module enhanced those maps with effects of BOD on water resources. This enhancement increased the modelled proportion of Europe experiencing water scarcity, which indicates that it is important to include both water quantity and quality in model estimates of water scarcity.
对综合和可持续水资源管理的需求已成为大规模网格化建模背后的重要驱动因素。这种模型传统上关注的是水量。然而,水质下降也会限制水资源,特别是饮用水。水可用性模型GWAVA已得到进一步发展,包括一个水质模块。本模块将首先关注生化需氧量(BOD)。该模块考虑了来自土地的生物需氧量负荷驱动因素,如农业和城市径流,以及通过污水处理和河流网络的运输和生物需氧量损失。在一项探索性评估中,GWAVA被用于绘制整个欧洲的水资源短缺地图。新的模块增强了这些地图与BOD对水资源的影响。这种增强增加了欧洲经历缺水的模型比例,这表明在缺水的模型估计中同时包括水量和水质是很重要的。
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引用次数: 1
Multisensoral remote sensing based modelling of the water balance of endorheic lakes on the Tibetan Plateau 基于多传感器遥感的青藏高原内陆湖水量平衡模拟
Pub Date : 2010-09-30 DOI: 10.5167/UZH-77364
V. Hochschild, J. Kropáček, S. Biskop, A. Braun, Feng Chen, M. Fink, J. Helmschrot, Shi-chang Kang, P. Krause, R. Leiterer, Q. Ye, W. Fluegel, C. Neale, M. Cosh
The water balance of endorheic lakes on the Tibetan Plateau plays an important role in the assessment of hydrological system dynamics such as glacier retreat or changing patterns of monsoonal precipitation in relation to global warming effects. Since those lakes are remote and hard to access, multisensoral remote sensing seems to be a valuable tool to generate hydrological relevant information as modelling input (land cover, trends in mountain lake ice cover, etc.) or validation base (lake level changes). Integrative methodological approaches linking state-of-the-art remote sensing with distributed hydrological modelling are the only way to quantify the water balance and to provide a forecast of the future water availability on the Tibetan Plateau.
青藏高原内河湖泊的水平衡在全球变暖影响下的冰川退缩、季风降水变化等水文系统动态评价中具有重要作用。由于这些湖泊地处偏远,难以进入,多传感器遥感似乎是产生水文相关信息的宝贵工具,可作为建模输入(土地覆盖、山地湖泊冰覆盖趋势等)或验证基础(湖泊水位变化)。将最先进的遥感技术与分布式水文模型相结合的综合方法方法是量化青藏高原水资源平衡和提供未来水资源可用性预测的唯一途径。
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引用次数: 0
Testing trends in annual maximum discharge series in Israel 以色列年度最大流量系列的测试趋势
Pub Date : 2002-05-24 DOI: 10.1061/40685(2003)177
A. Ben-Zvi, B. Azmon
A variety of statistical tests were carried out on 64 annual maximum discharge series observed in Israel during the last six decades. The period of observation at each of the stations selected is at least 25 years, with an average of 42 years per station. The tests aimed at detecting trends in the central values of the discharges, as well as in their variation. Except for one region, the detected changes are of local extent, if any. A decline in the annual maximum discharges and in their variability is found for the Upper Jordan River and its tributaries. A general rise in the variability is found over most other regions. These appear to result from changes in the meteorological causes of high discharges. Few high discharges occurred in the 1970s and in the early 1980s, whilst many occurred in the 1990s.
对过去六十年在以色列观测到的64个年度最大流量序列进行了各种统计检验。所选观测站的观测周期至少为25年,平均每站42年。测试的目的是检测排放的中心值及其变化的趋势。除了一个区域,检测到的变化是局部范围的,如果有的话。上约旦河及其支流的年最大流量及其变异性有所下降。大多数其他地区的变率普遍上升。这些似乎是高排放的气象原因变化的结果。在1970年代和1980年代初很少发生高排放,而在1990年代发生了许多高排放。
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引用次数: 2
Analytical system assisting underground development with prediction and confinement of changes in the subterranean environment 协助地下开发的分析系统,预测和限制地下环境的变化
Pub Date : 1995-12-01 DOI: 10.1016/s0148-9062(97)87544-4
T. Esaki, Guoyun Zhou, K. Shikata
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引用次数: 3
A graphic representation of the process of population renewal—a demographic teaching aid 人口更新过程的图形表示——人口统计学教学辅助工具
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4613-4054-6_1
J. Godefroy
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引用次数: 1
Labour force participation of married women under 35 years of age in the Netherlands 荷兰35岁以下已婚妇女的劳动参与率
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4613-4054-6_6
J. Siegers
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引用次数: 1
Subsidence of Bangkok clay due to deep well pumping and its control through artificial rechargë 深井抽水引起的曼谷黏土沉降及其人工控制rechargë
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/0148-9062(88)92699-x
P. Nutalaya, S. Chandra, A. Balasubramaniam
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引用次数: 5
Computationally efficient methods for the quantification of uncertainties in groundwater modelling 地下水模拟不确定性量化的高效计算方法
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.3929/ETHZ-A-002003209
H. Kunstmann
When conservative decisions have to be made in water management questions, the quantification of uncertainties is necessary. Monte Carlo techniques are suited for this analysis but usually require a huge computational effort. An alternative and computationally efficient approach is the First Order Second Moment (FOSM) method which directly propagates the uncertainty originating from parameter uncertainty into the result. We apply the FOSM method to both the groundwater flow and solute transport equations. It is shown how calibration on the basis of measured heads and concentrations yield the Principle of Interdependent Uncertainty that correlates the uncertainties of feasible transmissivities and recharge rates. The method is used to compute the uncertainty of steady state heads and of steady state solute concentrations. The method is illustrated by application to the Palla Road aquifer in semiarid Botswana, for which the quantification of the uncertainty range of groundwater recharge is of prime interest. The uncertainty bounds obtained by the FOSM method correspond well with the results obtained by the Monte Carlo method. It is shown that at the planned abstraction rate the probability of exceeding the natural replenishment of the Palla Road aquifer by overpumping is 30%.
当必须在水管理问题上作出保守的决定时,对不确定性进行量化是必要的。蒙特卡罗技术适合这种分析,但通常需要大量的计算工作。另一种计算效率高的方法是一阶二阶矩法(FOSM),它将参数不确定性直接传播到结果中。我们将FOSM方法应用于地下水流动和溶质输运方程。它显示了基于测量的水头和浓度的校准如何产生相互不确定度原理,该原理与可行透过率和补给率的不确定度相关。该方法用于计算稳态头和稳态溶质浓度的不确定度。该方法以半干旱的博茨瓦纳的帕拉路含水层为例进行了说明,其中地下水补给的不确定性范围的量化是主要的兴趣。FOSM法得到的不确定性界与蒙特卡罗法得到的结果吻合较好。结果表明,在计划抽水量下,超采超过帕拉路含水层自然补给量的概率为30%。
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引用次数: 2
Employment of married women 已婚妇女就业情况
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1007/978-1-4613-4054-6_7
K. Pauwels
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引用次数: 1
A 3-D numerical model for subsidence of horizontally layered formations 水平层状地层沉降的三维数值模型
Pub Date : 1900-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/0148-9062(87)91210-1
M. Borsetto, G. Carradori, A. Peano
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引用次数: 0
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