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It’s About Connections – How the Economic Network of the German Federal Government Affects the Top Earners’ Average Income Tax Rate 这是关于关系——德国联邦政府的经济网络如何影响高收入者的平均所得税率
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2016-08-01 DOI: 10.1515/JBNST-2015-1020
Scharfenkamp Katrin
Building on arguments to political incomes, career concerns and elitist networks, this study assumes that an increasing percentage of highly incentivized former executive board members within the German Federal Government (1957–2012) will decrease the top earners’ average income tax rate during the subsequent year. Conversely, the percentage of lower incentivized former supervisory board members is assumed to increase the top earners’ average income tax rate. Both effects are assumed to be enforced if the ruling parties have strong support in the German Bundestag. The empirical results significantly confirm the unconditional effect for former executive board members and the conditional effect for former supervisory board members.
基于对政治收入、职业关注和精英网络的论证,本研究假设,在德国联邦政府(1957-2012)中,受到高度激励的前执行董事会成员比例的增加,将在接下来的一年降低最高收入者的平均所得税率。相反,假设受激励程度较低的前监事会成员的比例会提高高收入者的平均所得税率。如果执政党在德国联邦议院获得强有力的支持,这两种效果都将得以实现。实证结果显著证实了对前执行董事会成员的无条件效应和对前监事会成员的条件效应。
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引用次数: 2
How Did the Economic Crisis Influence New Firm Creation?: A Multilevel Approach Based Upon Data from German Regions 经济危机如何影响新企业的创建?:基于德国地区数据的多层次方法
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2014-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110511161-004
H. Christian, Sternberg Rolf
There is a broad consensus that the likelihood of becoming an entrepreneur is not only influenced by individual characteristics but also by spatial context conditions. However, context factors are not per se stable; they tend to vary over time which is particularly relevant during economic cycles. In Germany, for instance, the rapid economic downturn of 2008/2009 was preceded by a period of growth and followed by an economic upswing in many regions. However, the impact of this crisis on entrepreneurship has not been empirically studied comprehensively. Using data from the Global Entrepreneurship Monitor (GEM), we analyse entrepreneurial activities in the 39 German NUTS2 regions covering a 13-year period before, during and after the Great Recession of 2008/2009. Applying multilevel regression techniques, we hypothesize that both space and time matter for individual entrepreneurial behaviour. Our results show, first, that space and time can be regarded as two interrelated dimensions that jointly impact entrepreneurial activities. Second, similar individual attributes are associated with diverging likelihoods of becoming an entrepreneur in case individuals are nested in different regions or different time periods and are thus exposed to dissimilar context conditions. Third, the type and number of individual, context and interaction effects are motive-related, i.e. they depend on whether the entrepreneurial action is either opportunity-driven or necessity-driven.
人们普遍认为,成为企业家的可能性不仅受到个人特征的影响,还受到空间环境条件的影响。然而,环境因素本身并不稳定;它们往往随时间而变化,这在经济周期中尤为重要。例如,在德国,2008/2009年经济快速下滑之前是一段增长期,随后在许多地区出现了经济回升。然而,这场危机对企业家精神的影响还没有得到全面的实证研究。利用全球创业监测(GEM)的数据,我们分析了德国39个NUTS2地区在2008/2009年大衰退之前、期间和之后的13年间的创业活动。运用多水平回归技术,我们假设空间和时间对个人创业行为都有影响。研究结果表明,首先,空间和时间可以看作是两个相互关联的维度,共同影响创业活动。其次,相似的个人属性与成为企业家的可能性差异有关,如果个人嵌套在不同的地区或不同的时间段,因此暴露在不同的环境条件下。第三,个体效应、环境效应和互动效应的类型和数量与动机相关,即取决于创业行为是机会驱动还是必要性驱动。
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引用次数: 3
One for Sure or Maybe Three: Empirical Evidence for Overtime Play from a Comparison of Swiss Ice Hockey and the NHL 一个是肯定的,或者可能是三个:瑞士冰球和NHL比较中加时赛的经验证据
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110511185-002
E. Franck, Philipp Theiler
In order to avoid too many tied games after playing the five-minute overtime period, the National Hockey League (NHL) introduced two rule changes in the 1999-2000 season. First, a team that loses in overtime receives one point instead of zero points. Second, the number of skaters in overtime is reduced from five to four. The theoretical literature analyzing these rule changes predicted that they would also produce the unintended side-effect that more games would reach overtime and recommended that a team that wins in regulation should receive three points (instead of two) in order to counterbalance the converse effect. We are the first to empirically support this theoretical prediction using NHL data and data from Swiss ice hockey, in which the rule changes of the NHL were copied in the 2006–2007 season and in which the three-point rule was also introduced.
为了避免在五分钟加时赛后出现太多平局,美国国家冰球联盟(NHL)在1999-2000赛季对规则进行了两项修改。首先,在加时赛中输球的球队得一分而不是零分。第二,参加加时赛的选手从5人减少到4人。分析这些规则变化的理论文献预测,它们也会产生意想不到的副作用,即更多的比赛会进入加时阶段,并建议在规则中获胜的球队应该得到3分(而不是2分),以抵消相反的影响。我们是第一个使用NHL数据和瑞士冰球数据来实证支持这一理论预测的人,其中NHL的规则变化在2006-2007赛季被复制,并且也引入了三分规则。
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引用次数: 7
The Routinization of Creativity: Lessons from the Case of a Video-game Creative Powerhouse 创意的常规化:来自电子游戏创意引擎的经验教训
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2012-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110509205-002
P. Cohendet, P. Llerena, Laurent Simon
The aim of this contribution is to proceed to an in-depth exploration of the micro-context of the origin of routines and of their intimate link with organizational creativity. Our view is that organizational creativity orchestrates continuous interactions between different types of routines, operating at different levels of the organization. More precisely we propose distinguishing three types of routines: - First, the routines issued from formal structures or hierarchical working groups in the firm (functional groups, project teams, task force, etc.), for which the context of work and coordination of specialized tasks is defined ex ante by the hierarchy of the firm; - Second, the routines emerging from informal structures, the “knowing communities” which is a “generic term that defines different types of autonomous learning groups of individuals (communities of practice, epistemic communities, and other more or less informal learning groups) united by common beliefs and interests who voluntarily share their resources on a long term basis in order to create and diffuse knowledge” - Third, the routines that are inherently related to the organizational creativity of the firm, which are essentially corporate routines as expression of patterns of thinking, feeling and acting in the corporate culture. In essence they are the genes of collective identity, and take the shape of project management staging and gating principles and practices, framing collective divergent exploration and convergent production toward a creative goal. The contribution is based on an in-depth analysis of the organizational creativity in the world- leading videogame company, Ubisoft, with a special focus on the studio located in Montreal. To some extent, Ubisoft is one of the flagships of the “creative industries”, in which the clear imperative is to sustain creativity on a permanent basis. These reasons explain the choice we made to test our approach of organizational creativity and routines in this firm.
这篇文章的目的是深入探索日常活动起源的微观背景及其与组织创造力的密切联系。我们的观点是,组织创造力协调了不同类型的惯例之间的持续互动,在组织的不同层次上运作。更准确地说,我们建议区分三种类型的例程:第一,从公司的正式结构或分层工作小组(职能小组、项目小组、工作组等)发布的例程,其工作背景和专业任务的协调事先由公司的分层定义;-第二,从非正式结构中产生的惯例,即“知识社区”,这是一个“通用术语,定义了不同类型的个人自主学习团体(实践社区,认知社区和其他或多或少非正式的学习团体),这些团体由共同的信仰和兴趣联合起来,长期自愿分享资源,以创造和传播知识”-第三,与企业的组织创造力有内在联系的惯例,本质上是企业惯例,是企业文化中思维、感觉和行为模式的表达。从本质上讲,它们是集体身份的基因,并采取项目管理阶段和控制原则和实践的形式,将集体的分歧探索和趋同生产构建为创造性目标。这篇文章是基于对世界领先的视频游戏公司育碧的组织创造力的深入分析,特别关注位于蒙特利尔的工作室。在某种程度上,育碧是“创意产业”的旗舰之一,在这个产业中,很明显的当务之急是要在永久的基础上保持创造力。这些原因解释了我们在这家公司测试我们的组织创造力和常规方法的选择。
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引用次数: 15
Which Parameters Determine the Development of Farm Numbers in Germany?: Dependency of the Results on the Segmentation of the Data 哪些参数决定了德国农场数量的发展?:结果对数据分割的依赖性
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110510287-004
Röder Norbert, Kilian Stefan
In Germany, agricultural land use is very heterogeneous with respect to management orientation and productivity even at the local level. In addition, there is a wide variation in the reasons for farm exits. A review of the literature shows that a limited number of explanatory variables are generally accepted as being driving forces for farm exit rates. For the majority of indicators, ambiguous results are reported. In this paper, we analyse the determining factors of farm exit rates in Germany by examining municipalities from 1999 to 2007.We evaluate the robustness of the relationship between a set of explanatory variables and farm exit rates at different spatial scales.Our results indicate that the direction of impact of some variables (farm size, population density and the share of ruminants kept at low intensity as a fraction of the total ruminant stock) on farm exit rates is unambiguous throughout Germany. For the majority of the analysed explanatory variables, the strength of their impact on farm exit rates depends on their observation level or regional context.
在德国,即使在地方一级,就管理方向和生产力而言,农业土地的使用也非常不一致。此外,农业退出的原因也各不相同。对文献的回顾表明,有限数量的解释变量被普遍接受为农业退出率的驱动力。对于大多数指标,报告的结果模棱两可。本文通过对1999年至2007年德国各城市的考察,分析了影响农业退出率的因素。我们在不同的空间尺度上评估了一组解释变量与农业退出率之间关系的稳健性。我们的研究结果表明,在德国,一些变量(农场规模、人口密度和低强度饲养的反刍动物占反刍动物总存量的比例)对农场退出率的影响方向是明确的。对于大多数分析的解释变量而言,它们对农业退出率的影响程度取决于它们的观察水平或区域背景。
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引用次数: 0
What Fuels Publication Bias?: Theoretical and Empirical Analyses of Risk Factors Using the Caliper Test 什么助长了发表偏倚?运用卡钳检验对风险因素进行理论与实证分析
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2011-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110508420-006
Auspurg Katrin, H. Thomas
Significance tests were originally developed to enable more objective evaluations of research results. Yet the strong orientation towards statistical significance encourages biased results, a phenomenon termed “publication bias”. Publication bias occurs whenever the likelihood or time-lag of publication, or the prominence, language, impact factor of journal space or the citation rate of studies depend on the direction and significance of research findings.
最初开发显著性检验是为了更客观地评价研究结果。然而,对统计显著性的强烈倾向助长了结果的偏倚,这种现象被称为“发表偏倚”。当研究结果的方向和意义决定了发表的可能性或时滞,或研究的显著性、语言、期刊空间影响因子或被引率时,就会出现发表偏倚。
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引用次数: 15
Regional Consumer Price Differences Within Germany: Information Demand, Data Supply and the Role of the Consumer Price Index 德国地区消费者价格差异:信息需求、数据供给和消费者价格指数的作用
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2010-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/9783110511123-012
L. Stefan
Every month the Consumer Price Index for Germany (CPI) provides comprehensive and detailed information regarding the price development over time. However, when differences in the price level across regions in Germany have to be analysed at a given point in time, sufficient information is not available at present.
每个月,德国的消费者价格指数(CPI)提供了关于价格发展的全面和详细的信息。但是,当必须在某一特定时间点分析德国各区域价格水平的差异时,目前还没有足够的资料。
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引用次数: 3
Targeting labour market programmes — results from a randomized experiment 瞄准劳动力市场计划——来自一项随机实验的结果
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2007-09-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1021673
S. Behncke, M. Frölich, M. Lechner
SummaryWe evaluate a randomized experiment of a statistical support system developed to assist caseworkers in Swiss employment offices in choosing appropriate active labour market programmes for their unemployed clients. This statistical support system predicted the labour market outcome for each programme and thereby suggested an ‘optimal’ labour market programme for each unemployed person. The support system was piloted in several employment offices. In those pilot offices, half of the caseworkers used the system and the other half acted as control group. The allocation of the caseworkers to treatment and control group was random. The experiment was designed such that caseworkers retained full discretion about the choice of active labour market programmes, and the evaluation results showed that caseworkers largely did not follow the statistical support system. This indicates that stronger incentives are needed for caseworkers to comply with statistical profiling and targeting systems.
摘要:我们评估了一个统计支持系统的随机实验,该系统旨在帮助瑞士就业办公室的个案工作者为失业客户选择合适的积极劳动力市场计划。这个统计支助系统预测每个方案的劳动力市场结果,从而为每个失业者提出“最佳”劳动力市场方案。该支助系统已在几个就业办公室试行。在这些试点办公室,一半的社会工作者使用该系统,另一半作为对照组。个案工作者被随机分配到实验组和对照组。实验的设计使个案工作者对积极的劳动力市场方案的选择保留充分的自由裁量权,评估结果表明,个案工作者在很大程度上没有遵循统计支持系统。这表明需要更有力的激励措施来鼓励个案工作者遵守统计分析和目标系统。
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引用次数: 52
Causal Returns to Education: A Survey on Empirical Evidence for Germany 教育的因果回报:德国的实证调查
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2006-04-13 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.917325
Anton Flossmann, W. Pohlmeier
This paper surveys the empirical evidence on causal effects of education on earnings for Germany and compares alternative studies in the light of their underlying identifying assumptions. We work out the different assumptions taken by various studies, which lead to rather different interpretations of the estimated causal effect. In particular, we are interested in the question to what extend causal return estimates are informative regarding educational policy advice. Despite the substantial methodological differences, we have to conclude that the empirical findings for Germany are quite robust and do not deviate substantially from each other. This also holds for the few studies which rely on ignorability conditions, regardless of whether they use educational attainment as a continuous treatment variable or as a discrete treatment indicator. Own estimates based on the matching approach indicate that the selection into upper secondary schooling is suboptimal
本文调查了教育对德国收入的因果影响的经验证据,并根据其潜在的识别假设比较了其他研究。我们计算出各种研究采用的不同假设,这些假设导致对估计的因果关系的不同解释。特别是,我们感兴趣的问题是因果回报估计在多大程度上对教育政策建议提供信息。尽管方法上存在巨大差异,但我们必须得出结论,德国的实证研究结果相当稳健,并且彼此之间没有很大的偏差。这也适用于少数依赖于可忽略性条件的研究,无论他们是将教育程度作为连续治疗变量还是作为离散治疗指标。基于匹配方法的个人估计表明,进入高中教育的选择是次优的
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引用次数: 34
Unterschiedliche makroökonomische Strukturen, wirtschaftliche Integration und einheitliche Geldpolitik in Europa 欧洲有着不同的宏观经济结构、经济一体化和统一的货币政策
Q1 Mathematics Pub Date : 2002-01-01 DOI: 10.1515/jbnst-2002-0103
Volker Claussen
his paper reviews the literature on asymmetric monetary transmission within the European Monetary Union (EMU). At first, a stylized model is presented in order to highlight the importance of asymmetric monetary transmission for the decision-making of the European Central Bank (ECB). The transmission mechanism is then decomposed into several subsequent stages. Various macroeconomic indicators for the EU countries related to financial, goods and labor markets are then used to assess the empirical relevance of asymmetries across the EU countries. Then, models of a monetary union are used to assess to which extent cross-country differences in individual channels of transmission translate into differences in the overall strength of monetary transmission in Europe. Finally, the paper assesses the extent to which the transmission patterns in Europe converge as a result of the establishment of EMU. The paper finds the empirical evidence on cross-country differences in the policy impact to be inconclusive and provides suggestions for further theoretical and empirical research.
本文综述了有关欧洲货币联盟(EMU)内部不对称货币传导的文献。首先,提出了一个程式化的模型,以突出非对称货币传导对欧洲央行决策的重要性。然后将传输机制分解为几个后续阶段。然后使用欧盟国家与金融、商品和劳动力市场相关的各种宏观经济指标来评估欧盟国家之间不对称的经验相关性。然后,使用货币联盟的模型来评估单个传导渠道的跨国差异在多大程度上转化为欧洲货币传导总体强度的差异。最后,本文评估了由于欧洲货币联盟的建立,欧洲的传输模式趋同的程度。本文发现政策影响的跨国差异的实证证据不确定,并为进一步的理论和实证研究提出了建议。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics
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