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An overview of log likelihood ratio cost in forensic science – Where is it used and what values can we expect? 法医学中的对数似然比成本概述--它用于何处,我们可以期望什么值?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100466
Stijn van Lierop , Daniel Ramos , Marjan Sjerps , Rolf Ypma

There is increasing support for reporting evidential strength as a likelihood ratio (LR) and increasing interest in (semi-)automated LR systems. The log-likelihood ratio cost (Cllr) is a popular metric for such systems, penalizing misleading LRs further from 1 more. Cllr = 0 indicates perfection while Cllr = 1 indicates an uninformative system. However, beyond this, what constitutes a “good” Cllr is unclear.

Aiming to provide handles on when a Cllr is “good”, we studied 136 publications on (semi-)automated LR systems. Results show Cllr use heavily depends on the field, e.g., being absent in DNA analysis. Despite more publications on automated LR systems over time, the proportion reporting Cllr remains stable. Noticeably, Cllr values lack clear patterns and depend on the area, analysis and dataset.

As LR systems become more prevalent, comparing them becomes crucial. This is hampered by different studies using different datasets. We advocate using public benchmark datasets to advance the field.

越来越多的人支持用似然比(LR)来报告证据强度,对(半)自动化 LR 系统的兴趣也与日俱增。对数似然比成本(Cllr)是此类系统的常用指标,它对误导性的似然比(LR)进行惩罚,离 1 越远,惩罚越多。Cllr = 0 表示系统完美,而 Cllr = 1 则表示系统信息不全。我们研究了 136 篇关于(半)自动 LR 系统的出版物,旨在了解什么情况下 Cllr 是 "好 "的。结果表明,Cllr的使用在很大程度上取决于领域,例如,在DNA分析中就不存在Cllr。尽管随着时间的推移,关于自动 LR 系统的论文越来越多,但报告 Cllr 的比例却保持稳定。值得注意的是,Cllr 值缺乏明确的模式,取决于领域、分析和数据集。随着 LR 系统的普及,对它们进行比较变得至关重要。由于不同的研究使用不同的数据集,因此比较工作受到阻碍。我们主张使用公共基准数据集来推动这一领域的发展。
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引用次数: 0
Finding the here in where: Keatley’s Winthropping in missing persons and no-body homicide cases 在何处寻找此处:基特利在失踪人员和无尸体凶杀案中的风向标研究
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100455
David A. Keatley

No-body homicide cases are typically difficult to investigate, owing to the lack of forensics and leads. Researchers in the fields of forensics, criminology, and psychology have attempted to provide assistance to these investigations through their respective disciplines. The focus of the current case study review is on a combined approach to assisting in no-body homicides and cold cases. The proposed approach will outline a geographical profiling technique that has previously been used in no-body homicide investigations, Winthropping. Alongside this, forensic linguistic analyses will be outlined to show how a combination may provide fresh leads and investigative avenues for further exploration. A series of 4 real-world cases in which bodies were moved, dumped, and hidden by a suspect, who subsequently revealed knowledge of the clandestine grave are given. The aim is that readers from related fields and disciplines might synergistically collaborate to develop the area and further help in these cases.

由于缺乏法证和线索,无尸体凶杀案通常很难调查。法医学、犯罪学和心理学领域的研究人员试图通过各自的学科为这些调查提供帮助。本案例研究回顾的重点是采用综合方法协助调查无尸凶杀案和悬案。所提议的方法将概述以前在无尸体凶杀案调查中使用过的地理侧写技术--温思罗普。与此同时,还将概述法医语言学分析,以说明如何通过组合提供新的线索和调查途径,供进一步探索。书中列举了 4 个真实案例,这些案例中的尸体被嫌疑人移动、丢弃和隐藏,嫌疑人随后透露了对秘密坟墓的了解。目的是希望相关领域和学科的读者能够协同合作,共同开发这一领域,为这些案件提供进一步的帮助。
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引用次数: 0
Rethinking scientific communication in courts: A question of credibility 反思法庭上的科学交流:可信度问题
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100483
Anna L. Heavey , Max M. Houck

The high value placed on forensic information in the criminal justice process is demonstrated by the fallout resulting when questions are raised as to the validity of methods used, deficiencies in the understanding of the limitations of results, or uncertainties around the professional expertise or ethical practices of the provider of the information. To effectively act as the “speaker” for the scientific evidence in court, forensic science needs to have credibility. The workshop “Rethinking scientific communication in courts” held at the Australian National University College of Law in November 2023 explored the subject of science communication in the legal context through the lens of philosophy, law, forensic service provision and meta-science, demonstrating the unique challenges placed on the field of forensic science as a scientific profession confined and defined within a non-scientific system. Stemming from the discussions at the workshop, this paper examines the notion of credibility in science, how forensic science aligns with the hallmarks of a credible scientific community and the influence this has on our understandings of scientific communication in courts.

在刑事司法程序中,对法医信息的高度重视体现在对所使用方法的有效性提出质疑、对结果的局限性认识不足或对信息提供者的专业知识或道德实践存在不确定性时所产生的后果上。要在法庭上有效地充当科学证据的 "发言人",法医学必须具有可信度。2023年11月,在澳大利亚国立大学法学院举办的 "反思法庭上的科学交流 "研讨会通过哲学、法律、法医服务提供和元科学的视角,探讨了法律背景下的科学交流主题,展示了法医学领域作为一个被限制和界定在非科学体系中的科学专业所面临的独特挑战。本文以研讨会的讨论为基础,探讨了科学可信性的概念、法医学如何与可信的科学界的标志相一致,以及这对我们理解法庭科学交流的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Lead with speed: Recasting the forensic laboratory product line and service delivery model 以速度为先导:重塑法医实验室产品线和服务交付模式
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100471
Ray A. Wickenheiser , Catherine M. Knutson

Forensic laboratories face a multitude of challenges when striving to deliver services to the criminal justice system. While many of these issues change over time, one in particular seems to endure the test of time … the need for faster results. Law enforcement wants and needs quicker response times to access critical information required to investigate their cases. One answer to this persistent problem is evolving technology. Technology not only permits a much quicker response than forensic laboratories are currently delivering, it can open the door to solving previously unsolvable cases. Along with applying new technology, an evaluation of current forensic laboratory product lines, service delivery models, and mindset regarding the role of forensic science-based investigative leads (termed forensic leads) is warranted. Resources and strategic planning are needed to realize the full potential of evolving technologies and what forensic laboratories can do to provide actionable and timely forensic leads to our criminal justice partners as a normal course of action instead of as an exception.

This proposal is to establish a permanent, designated Forensic Lead Program (FLP) that resides under the umbrella of an accredited forensic laboratory and is tasked with the development and release of forensic leads. The FLP involves a focused menu of services, defined personnel roles, strict protocols, short turnaround time, standardized expectations, and targeted training, combined with the sense of urgency needed for consistent delivery of timely and actionable forensic leads. A dedicated FLP will save time and money by providing critical information for more focused investigations. ‘Speed is the need’ … for quick identification of those that threaten public safety and for the equally quick elimination of those wrongfully accused.

Programs at two large state forensic laboratories will demonstrate how these concepts could be implemented along with their learning experiences. A business case will also be included to demonstrate the cost benefit of the Forensic Lead Program for DNA (CODIS – Combined DNA Index System) and NIBIN (National Integrated Ballistic Information Network), however other section services are expected to see similar benefits. Improving the response time by one day saves $1677.75 per $1 spent [1]. The return on investment (ROI) for applying DNA to firearms evidence returns $47.88 per $1 spent, or an 4,788 % ROI. Applying NIBIN (National Integrated Ballistic Information Network) to firearms evidence to provide investigative leads is $502.19 per $1 spent, which is a 50,219 % ROI. Recasting the forensic laboratory product line and service delivery model to ‘Lead with Speed’ makes both economic and investigative sense.

法医实验室在努力为刑事司法系统提供服务时面临着诸多挑战。虽然其中许多问题会随着时间的推移而改变,但有一个问题似乎经受住了时间的考验......那就是需要更快的结果。执法部门希望并需要更快的响应时间来获取调查案件所需的关键信息。解决这一老大难问题的办法之一就是不断发展的技术。技术不仅可以提供比法医实验室目前提供的更快的响应速度,还可以为解决以前无法解决的案件打开大门。在应用新技术的同时,有必要对目前法医实验室的产品线、服务提供模式以及对基于法医学的调查线索(称为法医线索)的作用的看法进行评估。我们需要资源和战略规划来实现不断发展的技术的全部潜力,以及法医实验室可以做些什么来为我们的刑事司法合作伙伴提供可操作的、及时的法医线索,并将其作为正常的行动过程,而不是例外情况。本提案旨在建立一个永久性的、指定的法医线索计划(FLP),该计划隶属于经认可的法医实验室,其任务是开发和发布法医线索。法证线索计划包括重点突出的服务项目、明确的人员职责、严格的规程、较短的周转时间、标准化的预期和有针对性的培训,以及持续提供及时和可操作的法证线索所需的紧迫感。专门的 FLP 将为更有针对性的调查提供关键信息,从而节省时间和金钱。速度就是需要"......快速识别那些威胁公共安全的人,并同样快速地消除那些被错误指控的人。两个大型州立法医实验室的计划将展示如何实施这些概念以及他们的学习经验。其中还将包括一个商业案例,以展示 DNA(CODIS--DNA 索引组合系统)和 NIBIN(国家弹道综合信息网)法证领先计划的成本效益,但预计其他部门服务也将获得类似的效益。每花费 1 美元可节省 1677.75 美元[1]。将 DNA 应用于枪支证据的投资回报率(ROI)为每花费 1 美元可获得 47.88 美元的回报,即 4788 %的投资回报率。将 NIBIN(国家综合弹道信息网)应用于枪支证据以提供调查线索,每花费 1 美元可获得 502.19 美元,投资回报率为 50219%。将法医实验室产品线和服务交付模式重塑为 "以速度为先导",既有经济意义,又有调查意义。
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引用次数: 0
Optimization of Postprocessing parameters for abdominal Forensic CT scans 优化腹部法医 CT 扫描的后处理参数
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100478
Pernille Lund Hansen , Peter Mygind Leth , Pernille Aagaard Nielsen , Dina Maria Bech , Julie Brandhøj Nielsen , Svea Deppe Mørup , Anette Koch Holst , Lene Bak , Mette R. Poulsen , Pernille W. Greisen , Dennis Lund Hansen , Helle Precht

Aim

Postmortem Computed Tomography (PMCT) is gradually introduced at forensic institutes. Image reconstruction software can increase diagnostic potential in CT by increasing distinction between structures and reduction of artifacts. The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate novel image reconstruction parameters for postmortem conditions, to increase image quality and diagnostic potential of CT scans.

Method

Twenty PMCT scans of deceased hereof two in severe decay were subjected to four reconstruction techniques: a standard reconstruction algorithm, the detail reconstruction algorithm and two novel algorithms based on the standard algorithm, but with different Hounsfield settings. Image quality was evaluated by visual grading analysis (VGA) by four forensic radiologist observers.

Results

The VGA did not prove that any of the reconstruction techniques were superior to the others. For standard and detail, the two pre-defined reconstruction algorithms, VGA scores were indiscernible and were superior to the equally indiscernible Hounsfield reconstructions on parameters translated into Sharpness and Low Contrast Resolution. The two alternative Hounsfield settings were superior with respect to Noise and Artifacts/Beam Hardening.

Conclusion

The study elucidates the possiblity for multiple reconstructions specialized for PMCT conditions, to accommodate the special conditions when working with the deceased. Despite the lack of clear improvements in the tested reconstructions, this study provides an insight into some of the possibilities of improving PMCT quality using reconstruction techniques.

目的 法医机构正逐步引入尸体计算机断层扫描(PMCT)。图像重建软件可通过增加结构间的区别和减少伪影来提高计算机断层扫描的诊断潜力。本研究的目的是开发和评估适用于死后情况的新型图像重建参数,以提高 CT 扫描的图像质量和诊断潜力。四名法医放射学观察员通过视觉分级分析(VGA)对图像质量进行了评估。对于标准和细节这两种预定义的重建算法,VGA 分数无法辨别,在转换为清晰度和低对比分辨率的参数上,VGA 分数优于同样无法辨别的 Hounsfield 重建。结论这项研究阐明了在 PMCT 条件下进行多种专门重建的可能性,以适应处理死者时的特殊条件。尽管测试的重构没有明显改善,但这项研究提供了利用重构技术提高 PMCT 质量的一些可能性。
{"title":"Optimization of Postprocessing parameters for abdominal Forensic CT scans","authors":"Pernille Lund Hansen ,&nbsp;Peter Mygind Leth ,&nbsp;Pernille Aagaard Nielsen ,&nbsp;Dina Maria Bech ,&nbsp;Julie Brandhøj Nielsen ,&nbsp;Svea Deppe Mørup ,&nbsp;Anette Koch Holst ,&nbsp;Lene Bak ,&nbsp;Mette R. Poulsen ,&nbsp;Pernille W. Greisen ,&nbsp;Dennis Lund Hansen ,&nbsp;Helle Precht","doi":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100478","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100478","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Aim</h3><p>Postmortem Computed Tomography (PMCT) is gradually introduced at forensic institutes. Image reconstruction software can increase diagnostic potential in CT by increasing distinction between structures and reduction of artifacts. The aim of this study was to develop and evaluate novel image reconstruction parameters for postmortem conditions, to increase image quality and diagnostic potential of CT scans.</p></div><div><h3>Method</h3><p>Twenty PMCT scans of deceased hereof two in severe decay were subjected to four reconstruction techniques: a standard reconstruction algorithm, the detail reconstruction algorithm and two novel algorithms based on the standard algorithm, but with different Hounsfield settings. Image quality was evaluated by visual grading analysis (VGA) by four forensic radiologist observers.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>The VGA did not prove that any of the reconstruction techniques were superior to the others. For standard and detail, the two pre-defined reconstruction algorithms, VGA scores were indiscernible and were superior to the equally indiscernible Hounsfield reconstructions on parameters translated into Sharpness and Low Contrast Resolution. The two alternative Hounsfield settings were superior with respect to Noise and Artifacts/Beam Hardening.</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>The study elucidates the possiblity for multiple reconstructions specialized for PMCT conditions, to accommodate the special conditions when working with the deceased. Despite the lack of clear improvements in the tested reconstructions, this study provides an insight into some of the possibilities of improving PMCT quality using reconstruction techniques.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":36925,"journal":{"name":"Forensic Science International: Synergy","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100478"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589871X24000251/pdfft?md5=074253a54ad14b2e492b70be0c2f2794&pid=1-s2.0-S2589871X24000251-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140918527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A template Bayesian network for combining forensic evidence on an item with an uncertain relation to the disputed activities 一种模板贝叶斯网络,用于结合与争议活动有不确定关系的物品的法医证据
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100546
M. Vink , J.A. de Koeijer , M.J. Sjerps

Most of the forensic evidence evaluations given activity level propositions are centered around an item which is assumed to be linked to an alleged activity. However, the relation between an item of interest and an activity may be contested. This study presents a template Bayesian network (BN) for the evaluation of transfer evidence given activity level propositions considering a dispute about the relation of an item to one or more activities. The template BN includes a set of association propositions that enables the combined evaluation of evidence concerning alleged activities of the suspect and evidence concerning the use of an alleged item in those activities. Since the two types of evidence are often from different forensic disciplines, the BN is especially useful in interdisciplinary casework. Throughout the paper, we use a fictive case example that captures the essence of cases for which the template model can be used. The template BN provides a flexible starting point that can be adapted to specific case situations and supports structured probabilistic reasoning by a forensic scientist.

大多数法医证据评估给出的活动级别命题都是围绕一个物品展开的,假定该物品与所称活动有关。然而,相关物品与活动之间的关系可能存在争议。本研究提出了一个贝叶斯网络模板(BN),用于在考虑到物品与一项或多项活动的关系存在争议的情况下,根据活动水平命题对转移证据进行评估。该模板贝叶斯网络包括一组关联命题,可综合评估与嫌疑人被控活动有关的证据和与在这些活动中使用被控物品有关的证据。由于这两类证据通常来自不同的法医学科,因此 BN 在跨学科办案中特别有用。在本文中,我们使用了一个虚构的案例,该案例抓住了模板模型可用于案件的本质。模板 BN 提供了一个灵活的起点,可根据具体案件情况进行调整,并支持法医学家进行结构化概率推理。
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引用次数: 0
Leadership in the International Forensic Community - A Panel Discussion 国际法医学界的领导力 - 小组讨论
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100518
Mark Mogle, Gian Cho
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引用次数: 0
NFLIS 2.0 NFLIS 2.0
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100528
Scott Oulton
{"title":"NFLIS 2.0","authors":"Scott Oulton","doi":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100528","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100528","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36925,"journal":{"name":"Forensic Science International: Synergy","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100528"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589871X24000755/pdfft?md5=3e43681a3e437d262d1d833f3ca54e47&pid=1-s2.0-S2589871X24000755-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142148067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Preparing FIGG documentation for court 为法庭准备 FIGG 文件
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100529
Kameran Wong, Claire Glynn, Thomas Kohlbeck
{"title":"Preparing FIGG documentation for court","authors":"Kameran Wong,&nbsp;Claire Glynn,&nbsp;Thomas Kohlbeck","doi":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100529","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100529","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36925,"journal":{"name":"Forensic Science International: Synergy","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100529"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589871X24000767/pdfft?md5=13a1ec24cf7bbf113f1f1a2bb8644b92&pid=1-s2.0-S2589871X24000767-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142148068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Process Improvement: Community Partners 流程改进:社区合作伙伴
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100532
James Nichols , Michele Thomas
{"title":"Process Improvement: Community Partners","authors":"James Nichols ,&nbsp;Michele Thomas","doi":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100532","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.fsisyn.2024.100532","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":36925,"journal":{"name":"Forensic Science International: Synergy","volume":"8 ","pages":"Article 100532"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589871X24000792/pdfft?md5=06d6dc998ee67e658d1e3842f6079841&pid=1-s2.0-S2589871X24000792-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142148179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
期刊
Forensic Science International: Synergy
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