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A Preliminary Estimation on Carbon Footprint of Raw Water from the Reservoirs for Domestic Use in Taiwan 台湾生活用水库原水碳足迹之初步估算
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/8573
Y. H. Wang, C. Su, W. Huang, Y. Kuang, Y. D. Huang, W. L. Wu, C. Chu, Y. J. Chung
This study aims to evaluate the carbon footprint of raw water from reservoirs for domestic use in Taiwan. It also provides a preliminary measure and reference database for greenhouse gas (GHG) emission of reservoir systems in Taiwan. Four reservoirs, Feitsui (F.T.) and Liyutan (L.Y.T.) in subtropical zone and Nanhua (N.H.) and Tsengwen (T.W.) in tropical zone, were selected as the cases to be examined for carbon footprint inventory, including the GHG emission from the water body and from human activities. Carbon footprint inventory followed PAS 2050 (2011 Specification for the assessment of the life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of goods and services). GHG emission from water body followed the instruction of UNESCO guidelines. The boundary of this inventory covers the water intake works, impoundment region, the dam, the affiliated hydroelectricity power plant, the administration center and other facilities. In this study, the floating chambers with gas chromatography (GC) were chosen to measure the GHG flux from the water body. For the emission of CH4 and N2O from the water body, there are no significantly difference between the fluxes during the daytime and nighttime. For Original Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(1): 45-65, 2014 46 carbon dioxide, the instantaneous flux during the nighttime is higher than the daytime flux. The two reservoirs in tropical zone emit more CO2e from the water body than those in subtropical zone. Summarizing the direct and indirect GHG emission, for the four reservoirs, the annual emission quantities ranged from 653 ton of CO2e to 23,146 ton of CO2e. The carbon footprint of water supply for domestic use ranged from 0.002 kg CO2e/m to 0.028 kg CO2e/m. Roughly speaking, the total GHG emission quantity of the 24 main reservoirs in Taiwan was estimated to be around 121,800 ton of CO2e with the total yield of 4.35 billion m of water annually using the highest carbon footprint 0.028 kg CO2e/m.
摘要本研究旨在评估台湾地区生活用水库原水的碳足迹。为台湾水库系统的温室气体排放提供了初步的测量方法和参考数据库。选取位于亚热带的飞穗(F.T.)和李玉滩(L.Y.T.)水库,以及位于热带的南华(N.H.)和曾文(T.W.)水库作为碳足迹调查的研究对象,包括水体和人类活动产生的温室气体排放。碳足迹清单遵循PAS 2050(2011年商品和服务生命周期温室气体排放评估规范)。水体温室气体排放遵循联合国教科文组织准则。本次清查的范围包括取水工程、蓄水区、坝体、所属水电站、管理中心等设施。本研究采用气相色谱(GC)浮室法测量水体温室气体通量。水体CH4和N2O的排放通量在白天和夜间没有显著差异。英国环境与气候变化学报,4(1):45-65,2014。两个热带水库的水体CO2e排放量高于亚热带水库。综合直接和间接温室气体排放,4个水库年排放总量为653 ~ 23146吨CO2e。家庭用水的碳足迹在0.002 ~ 0.028 kg CO2e/m之间。粗略估计,台湾24个主要水库的温室气体排放总量约为121800吨CO2e,年总出水量为43.5亿m,最高碳足迹为0.028 kg CO2e/m。
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引用次数: 0
Impact of extreme floods on groundwater quality (in Pakistan). 极端洪水对地下水质量的影响(在巴基斯坦)。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/4105
T. Saeed, Haleema Attaullah
Study of long and short-term impact of hydro-meteorologically induced extreme flood on groundwater from well is a baby science, yet to grow and groom. This article focuses on the environmental impacts of the worst Pakistani floods on water quality of affected areas, Charsadda and Nowshera districts in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province which experienced a disastrous flood in its record due to torrential monsoon rains in late July 2010. For this purpose, consuming water products from 10 main sources (tube wells), 10 intermediate points in water supply distribution system and 10 consumers’ ends in 30 selected sites of flood affected areas were collected and analyzed for 12 key factors. Most of the parameters with respect to the standard limits of WHO guidelines indicated contamination in all samples that are directly available from tube wells as well as the one supplied through damaged pipe distribution system. This result becomes more fatal in the presence of microbial contamination and makes water risky for domestic consumption. A concrete policy addressing post-flood environmental effects on life and human health should be devised and strictly followed. Individual cases must be assessed from a basinwide perspective in order to make sure that environmental concerns are judiciously and properly represented in flood planning and risk management decisions.
水文气象极端洪水对井水的长期和短期影响研究是一门新兴科学,有待于发展和培养。本文重点关注巴基斯坦最严重洪灾对受灾地区水质的环境影响。2010年7月下旬,开伯尔-普赫图赫瓦省的查尔萨达和瑙谢拉地区因季风性暴雨而遭受了有史以来最严重的洪灾。为此,收集了30个洪水灾区10个主要水源(管井)、10个供水分配系统中间点和10个消费者终端的用水产品,对12个关键因素进行了分析。与世卫组织准则的标准限度有关的大多数参数表明,直接从管井获得的所有样品以及通过损坏的管道分配系统提供的样品都受到污染。在存在微生物污染的情况下,这一结果变得更加致命,并使水对家庭消费构成危险。应制定并严格执行一项具体政策,处理洪水后对生命和人类健康造成的环境影响。必须从整个流域的角度对个别情况进行评估,以确保环境问题在洪水规划和风险管理决策中得到明智和适当的体现。
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引用次数: 22
Long-term precipitation trends in eastern Slovakia. 斯洛伐克东部长期降水趋势。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/10655
M. Zeleňáková
The objective of this study was to investigate precipitation trends in climatic stations in eastern Slovakia. We investigated 20 climatic stations in Slovakia. The studied period was from 1981 to 2010. Monthly precipitation trends were detected by nonparametric MannKendall statistical test. Positive trends of annual as well as monthly precipitation were found in the analyzed rainfall gauging stations in eastern Slovakia. March was observed to have the highest decreasing trends. All other months displayed mostly increasing trends. In quartile research mostly the summer period shows positive trends in precipitation. In conclusion, Slovakia has an increasing trend of precipitation time series.
本研究的目的是调查斯洛伐克东部气候站的降水趋势。我们调查了斯洛伐克的20个气象站。研究时间为1981年至2010年。采用非参数MannKendall统计检验检测月降水趋势。在斯洛伐克东部分析的降雨量测量站发现年和月降水量的正趋势。3月份的下降趋势最高。所有其他月份大多呈现增长趋势。在四分位数研究中,夏季降水呈现正趋势。综上所述,斯洛伐克降水时间序列呈增加趋势。
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引用次数: 3
Editorial: Toward a Sustainable and Resilient City – Development of Adaptation Measures to Climate Change 社论:迈向可持续和有弹性的城市——发展适应气候变化的措施
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/9230
C. Kao
The earth is undergoing a warming process and we are facing an increasing possibility that extreme natural disasters are on the rise because of global warming as well as climate change. The increased temperature resulted from the enhanced greenhouse effects has been found to be an important factor, which significantly affects the earth’s hydrological cycles. Furthermore, the increases in temperature and changes in rainfall pattern occur around the globe.
地球正在经历一个变暖的过程,由于全球变暖和气候变化,我们面临极端自然灾害增加的可能性越来越大。温室效应的增强导致的温度升高是影响地球水循环的重要因素。此外,温度升高和降雨模式的变化在全球范围内发生。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Impact on Freshwater Biodiversity: General Patterns in Extreme Environments of North-Eastern Siberia (Russia) 气候对淡水生物多样性的影响:东北西伯利亚(俄罗斯)极端环境的一般模式
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/9530
S. Barinova, V. Gabyshev, O. Gabysheva
Aims: The aims of the current study are to reveal the response of high latitude riverine planktonic algal communities in northeastern Siberia to extreme climatic conditions of its habitats. Study Design: We implemented diverse statistical methods, which represent some new approaches in freshwater algal diversity analysis. Place and Duration of Study: Institute of Evolution, University of Haifa, Israel, Institute for Biological Problems of Cryolithozone SB RAS, Russia, between June 2008 and Original Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(4): 423-443, 2014 424 January 2014. Methodology: We collected 800 samples of phytoplankton from 400 sites of 12 northeastern Siberian rivers in gradients of climatic and chemical variables that we analyzed. New indices Geo-associated and Dynamic Habitat Index were included in this analysis. Statistical methods for comparative floristic analyses were used for calculating the similarity of algal communities among the sampling stations. Multiple regression stepwise statistical analysis on phytoplankton including chemical and climatic variables data was performed. Species diversity in algal communities and their environmental variables relationships were calculated. Results: As a result, 1283 species (1637 taxa of species and infraspecies) from six taxonomic divisions were identified in phytoplankton communities. Species richness as a whole increased to the north. Abundance and biomass were highly correlated. Two types of phytoplankton communities were identified: a southern community with increasing diatoms and a northern group with decreasing diatoms to the north. Diatoms prevailed but were replaced by green algae in high mountains or by green and Chrysophyta algae and Cyanobacteria in the Arctic. We revealed major variables that considered stimulating or stress factors with helps of statistical prorgams. Conclusion: Statistical analyses of phytoplankton in 12 large rivers revealed an increase in species richness to the north with community structure changing under stimulation of air temperature, ice-free periods, humidity, and trophic variables were stimulants and water transparency and speed flow were considered stress factors.
目的:本研究旨在揭示西伯利亚东北部高纬度河流浮游藻类群落对其栖息地极端气候条件的响应。研究设计:我们采用了多种统计方法,代表了淡水藻类多样性分析的一些新方法。研究地点和时间:以色列海法大学进化研究所,俄罗斯冷冻岩石带生物问题研究所,2008年6月-原论文英国环境与气候变化学报,4(4):423-443,2014年1月。方法:从东北西伯利亚12条河流的400个地点采集了800份浮游植物样本,分析了气候和化学变量的梯度。新增了地理相关指数和动态生境指数。采用比较区系分析的统计方法计算了各采样站间藻类群落的相似性。对浮游植物的化学和气候变量数据进行多元回归逐步统计分析。计算了藻类群落的物种多样性及其环境变量关系。结果:共鉴定出浮游植物群落中6个分类区1283种(1637个种及下种分类群)。物种丰富度总体上向北增加。丰度与生物量高度相关。发现了两种类型的浮游植物群落:南部硅藻增加的群落和北部硅藻减少的群落。硅藻占主导地位,但在高山被绿藻取代,在北极被绿藻、金藻和蓝藻取代。我们通过统计程序揭示了考虑刺激或压力因素的主要变量。结论:12条大河浮游植物物种丰富度向北增加,群落结构在气温、无冰期、湿度和营养变量的刺激下发生变化,水体透明度和流速是胁迫因素。
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引用次数: 11
Analysis of Drought Severity and Duration Using Copulas in Anuradhapura, Sri Lanka 用copula分析斯里兰卡阿努拉德普勒干旱严重程度和持续时间
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/14482
E. Ekanayake, Kanthi Perera
Anuradhapura district is one of the largest agricultural crop production areas in Sri Lanka. But it is often affected by droughts and droughts caused severe damage for agricultural industry. Thus it is very important to identify the drought characteristics (drought duration and drought severity) and their joint probability distribution to minimize the adverse effects of droughts. Drought characteristics were defined using 3 - month standard precipitation index (SPI). It is calculated using monthly rainfall da ta from 1951 to 2007 in Anuradhapura. Occurrences of 46 drought events were indentified using the calculated SPI. Since dependency nature of the drought variables, copula based joint distribution was used to calculate the joint distribution. The joint dis tribution could be obtained by combining the marginal distributions using copula. Five copulas were examined and compared to find the best fitted copula to represent the joint distribution . The best marginal distributions were identified as the gamma distr ibutions for drought durations and drought severity using AIC, BIC and Kolmogorov - Smirnov test. Frank copula was
阿努拉德普勒地区是斯里兰卡最大的农作物生产区之一。但它经常受到干旱的影响,干旱给农业造成了严重的破坏。因此,识别干旱特征(干旱持续时间和干旱严重程度)及其联合概率分布对于最大限度地减少干旱的不利影响至关重要。利用3个月标准降水指数(SPI)确定了干旱特征。它是根据阿努拉德普勒邦1951年至2007年的月降雨量数据计算得出的。利用计算的SPI确定了46个干旱事件的发生。由于干旱变量的相关性,采用基于联结的联合分布来计算联合分布。将边际分布用联结公式组合得到联合分布。对五个联结进行了检验和比较,以找到最适合的联结来表示联合分布。利用AIC、BIC和Kolmogorov - Smirnov检验,确定了干旱持续时间和干旱严重程度的最佳边际分布为伽马分布。弗兰克·科普拉
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引用次数: 18
Effects of Climate Change, Poverty and Macroeconomic Policies on Agricultural Trade Performance in Nigeria 气候变化、贫困和宏观经济政策对尼日利亚农业贸易绩效的影响
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/8575
A. Onoja, A. Achike
Aims: This study ascertained the joint influences of climate factors, poverty and macroeconomic environment on agricultural export performance in Nigeria. Study Design: The study is a survey based on time series data. Place and Duration of Study: Secondary data covering 32 years (1978-2009) obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria’s Annual Report and Statistical Bulletin and National Bureau of Statistics were used for the survey. Methodology: The sample size was 32 (years) based on data availability. Data analysis was conducted using bound testing approach of co-integration advanced by Pesaran et al. [25] otherwise known as Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL).model. Test for unit roots in the series were done at their levels and first differences using Augmented Dickey Fuller and Philips Perron tests before applying the ARDL model. Results: Preliminary results from the ARDL model indicated that climate variability (variations in mean annual rainfall), gross fixed capital formation (proxy for wealth accumulated in the economy) and macroeconomic variables including interest rate and volume of domestic credit advanced to the private sector significantly influenced the performance level of agricultural export. However, on the long-run, macroeconomic factors (interest rate and credit to the private sector) and gross fixed capital of the economy (with p values of 0.01, 0.07 and 0.03 respectively were the most significant
目的:本研究确定了气候因素、贫困和宏观经济环境对尼日利亚农业出口绩效的共同影响。研究设计:本研究是基于时间序列数据的调查。研究地点和时间:调查使用了尼日利亚中央银行年度报告和统计公报以及国家统计局提供的32年(1978-2009)的二手数据。方法:根据数据可得性,样本量为32(年)。数据分析采用Pesaran等人提出的协整约束检验方法,也称为自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型。在应用ARDL模型之前,使用Augmented Dickey Fuller和Philips Perron测试在其水平和第一差异上对该系列中的单位根进行了测试。结果:ARDL模型的初步结果表明,气候变率(年平均降雨量的变化)、固定资本形成总额(代表经济中积累的财富)和宏观经济变量(包括利率和向私营部门提供的国内信贷数量)显著影响了农业出口的绩效水平。然而,从长期来看,宏观经济因素(利率和私营部门信贷)和经济的总固定资本(p值分别为0.01,0.07和0.03)是最显著的
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引用次数: 0
Special issue on climate change impacts and mitigation on water quality and ecological health in aquatic systems. 关于气候变化对水质和水生系统生态健康的影响和缓解的特刊。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/15400
X. Fang
The increase of carbon dioxide (CO2) and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere is projected to cause climate change and global warming. The understanding of climate change impacts on water quality in aquatic systems (lakes, streams, reservoirs, and estuaries) is fundamental in providing better environmental strategies and mitigation methods to protect ecological health of aquatic systems. Water quality is a critical issue due to its direct influence on public health, biological integrity of natural resources, and the economy. The climate change leads to possible changes in local and global weather conditions, such as higher air temperatures and variable precipitation (both intensity and magnitude). Climate conditions affect hydrology in watersheds and then water quality conditions in aquatic systems. To make the projection on future climate, various General Circulation Models (GCMs) of the earth’s atmosphere have been developed. These GCM models simulate time series of climate parameters that can be used to create future climate scenarios for hydrological and water quality studies in watersheds and aquatic systems.
据预测,大气中二氧化碳和其他温室气体的增加将导致气候变化和全球变暖。了解气候变化对水生系统(湖泊、河流、水库和河口)水质的影响是提供更好的环境战略和缓解方法以保护水生系统生态健康的基础。水质是一个关键问题,因为它直接影响到公众健康、自然资源的生物完整性和经济。气候变化可能导致局部和全球天气条件的变化,例如气温升高和降水(强度和幅度)变化。气候条件影响流域的水文,进而影响水生系统的水质条件。为了对未来气候进行预测,人们开发了各种地球大气环流模式(GCMs)。这些GCM模式模拟气候参数的时间序列,可用于为流域和水生系统的水文和水质研究创建未来气候情景。
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引用次数: 0
Topographic effects on vegetation biomass in semiarid mixed grassland under climate change using AVHRR NDVI data. 气候变化下半干旱混合草地地形对植被生物量的影响——基于AVHRR NDVI数据
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/11146
Liu Zhaoqin, Guo Xulin
The topography effects on vegetation biomass under climate change impact have been ignored in prairie regions as it is not as significant as in mountain areas. This paper aims to investigate the topographic effects on vegetation biomass under climate change in semiarid Canadian mixed grass prairie. The study site is Grasslands National Park (GNP) and the study period is from 1985 to 2007. Data used include dry green biomass data sampled from June to July of 2003 to 2005, 10-day Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) 1km Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) composites of 1985 to 2007, and Global Digital Elevation Model derived from Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER GDEM) data with 90 m resolution. To achieve the objective, the applicability of AVHRR NDVI data being a proxy of vegetation biomass was investigated. Then, the range and standard deviation (SD) of each individual vegetation patch in both valley and upland grasslands were calculated. In addition, the variation trend of valley and upland vegetation was analyzed respectively using the Mann-Kendall (M-K) test and the Sen’s slope. The results indicate that the interannual variation of vegetation biomass at GNP can be fairly well represented by AVHRR 1 km NDVI data. Although some patches in valley grassland have similar NDVI range and SD values as those in upland grassland, the others have much smaller range and SD Short Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(2): 229-242, 2014 230 values than the highest range (0.154) and SD (0.045) of upland grassland. The M-K test and Sen’s slope analyses indicate that NDVI had an increase trend with a larger slope (0.0005) in upland and a smaller slope (0.0002) in valley grassland. It is concluded that climatic variation has more effects on upland grassland than valley grassland in GNP. Topography effects in prairie regions should not be ignored.
在气候变化的影响下,地形对草原地区植被生物量的影响由于不像山区那么显著而被忽略。研究气候变化条件下加拿大半干旱混交草草原地形对植被生物量的影响。研究地点为草原国家公园(GNP),研究时间为1985 ~ 2007年。采用的数据包括2003 ~ 2005年6 ~ 7月的干绿生物量数据、1985 ~ 2007年10天先进甚高分辨率辐射计(AVHRR) 1km归一化植被指数(NDVI)复合数据以及基于先进星载热发射与反射辐射计(ASTER GDEM) 90 m分辨率数据的全球数字高程模型。为了实现这一目标,研究了AVHRR NDVI数据作为植被生物量代表的适用性。然后,分别计算河谷和高地草地各植被斑块的极差和标准差(SD)。此外,利用Mann-Kendall (M-K)检验和Sen’s slope分析了河谷和高地植被的变化趋势。结果表明,AVHRR 1 km NDVI数据能较好地反映我国国民生产总值植被生物量的年际变化。英国环境与气候变化学报,4(2):229-242,2014,230斑块的NDVI最大值为0.154,SD值为0.045,而其他斑块的NDVI最大值为0.154,SD值为0.045。M-K检验和Sen’s斜率分析表明,NDVI呈上升趋势,旱地坡度较大(0.0005),河谷草地坡度较小(0.0002)。结果表明,气候变化对高原草地的影响大于河谷草地。草原地区的地形效应不容忽视。
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引用次数: 5
Climate change and the risk of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza outbreaks in birds. 气候变化与禽鸟爆发高致病性禽流感的风险。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/8888
Jianhong E. Mu, B. McCarl, Ximing Wu, M. Ward
In this paper, we examine the association between climate change and outbreak probability of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza A virus (HPAI H5N1) in birds. Climate change is a potential factor for the recent spread of H5N1 outbreaks because it can directly alter the conditions involved in persistence of the virus and disease transmission. Also it can contribute indirectly by changing wild bird migration patterns. Econometric analyses using a dynamic Probit model over monthly data from January 2004 to December 2008 found that a 1% rise in winter total precipitation increases the risk of HPAI H5N1 outbreaks by 0.26%. Spring mean temperature was also found to have positive and significant impacts. Our findings are robust across different model specifications and under out-of-sample tests. Using historical data we find the realized climate change of the last 20 years partly explains the recent expansion in outbreaks. Under future climate change projections, we find that countries having higher projected spring temperature or more winter precipitation or both, such as Japan and Romania, will have large increases in outbreak probabilities. This suggests that climate change may play an even greater role in Original Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(2): 166-185, 2014 167 the future, although magnitudes will vary across countries and climate projections. From a policy perspective, future climate conditions may give rise to a need for different disease control and prevention strategies.
在本文中,我们研究了气候变化与禽类高致病性禽流感(HPAI H5N1)爆发概率之间的关系。气候变化是最近H5N1疫情蔓延的一个潜在因素,因为它可以直接改变病毒持续存在和疾病传播所涉及的条件。此外,它还可以通过改变野生鸟类的迁徙模式间接地做出贡献。利用动态Probit模型对2004年1月至2008年12月的月度数据进行计量经济学分析发现,冬季总降水量每增加1%,高致病性H5N1暴发的风险就会增加0.26%。春季平均气温也有显著的正向影响。我们的发现在不同的模型规格和样本外测试下都是稳健的。利用历史数据,我们发现过去20年实现的气候变化部分解释了最近疫情的扩大。根据未来的气候变化预测,我们发现,预计春季气温较高或冬季降水较多或两者兼而有之的国家,如日本和罗马尼亚,爆发概率将大幅增加。这表明气候变化可能在未来发挥更大的作用。《英国环境与气候变化杂志》,4(2):166-185,2014 - 167,尽管不同国家和气候预测的幅度不同。从政策角度看,未来的气候条件可能导致需要采取不同的疾病控制和预防战略。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
British Journal of Environment and Climate Change
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