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Impact Assessment of Hydrology and Water Quality in the Saugahatchee Creek under Projected Land Use and Climate Change Scenarios Using WARMF 基于暖化因子的土地利用和气候变化情景下索加哈奇河水文水质影响评价
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/11559
S. Shrestha, X. Fang, R. Sawant, L. Marzen
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引用次数: 0
Simulation and Validation of Cisco Habitat in Minnesota Lakes Using the Lethal-Niche- Boundary Curve 利用致死-生态位-边界曲线对明尼苏达州湖泊思科生境的模拟与验证
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/11482
X. Fang, Liping Jiang, P. Jacobson, N. Z. Fang
Fish survival in lakes is strongly influenced by water temperature and dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration. A one-dimensional (vertical) lake water quality model MINLAKE 2012 was calibrated in 23 Minnesota lakes and used to simulate daily water temperature and DO concentrations in 36 representative lake types under past (1992–2008) climate conditions and a future climate scenario (MIROC 3.2). The 36 representative Minnesota lake types were developed based on three maximum depths (H max = 4, 13, and 24 m), three surface areas (As = 0.2, 1.7, 10 km 2 ), and four Secchi depths (SD = 1.2, 2.5, 4.5, and 7 m, from eutrophic to oligotrophic lake). A fish habitat model using the lethal-niche
湖泊鱼类的生存受到水温和溶解氧浓度的强烈影响。对明尼苏达州23个湖泊的一维(垂直)湖泊水质模型MINLAKE 2012进行了校准,并用于模拟过去(1992-2008)气候条件和未来气候情景(MIROC 3.2)下36个代表性湖泊类型的日水温和DO浓度。根据3个最大深度(hmax = 4、13和24 m)、3个表面积(As = 0.2、1.7和10 km 2)和4个Secchi深度(SD = 1.2、2.5、4.5和7 m,从富营养化湖泊到贫营养化湖泊)开发了36个具有代表性的明尼苏达州湖泊类型。使用致命生态位的鱼类栖息地模型
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引用次数: 6
Carrying capacity and sustainability appraisals on regional water supply systems under climate change. 气候变化下区域供水系统承载力与可持续性评价。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/8572
C. Tung, Tzu-Ming Liu, Szu-Wei Chen, K. Ke, Ming-Hsu Li
This study aims to appraise the carrying capacity and sustainability of four water supply systems which are inthe same watershed under climate change. An integrated assessment tool, TaiWAP, which integrates the common procedures of impact assessment of climate change, i.e., downscaling, weather generation, hydrological model, and interface for linking system dyna mics model, is used to evaluate the sustainability of regional water resources systems. The GWLF physical model is used to simulate surface water processes and Vensim (a specialized software tool) is used in a
本研究旨在评估气候变化下同一流域四个供水系统的承载能力和可持续性。本文采用综合评估工具TaiWAP,整合了气候变化影响评估的常用程序,即降尺度、天气生成、水文模型和连接系统动力学模型的接口,来评估区域水资源系统的可持续性。GWLF物理模型用于模拟地表水过程,Vensim(一种专门的软件工具)用于模拟地表水过程
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引用次数: 8
Stream flow response to skilled and non-linear bias corrected GCM precipitation change in the Wami River sub-basin, Tanzania. 坦桑尼亚Wami河次流域径流对熟练和非线性偏倚校正的GCM降水变化的响应
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/13457
F. Wambura
The reliability of stream flow projection under changing climate cannot be guaranteed if the General Circulation Model (GCM) used for the projection of future climate does not predict well its past climate. In this study stream flows in the Wami River sub-basin were simulated under changing climate by the skilled and non-linear bias corrected GCM using a physically based and semi distributed rainfall runoff model, SWAT. The SWAT model was setup using the terrain, land use, soil, precipitation and temperature data. The baseline water uses were used to naturalise stream flows and the SWAT model was calibrated and validated using the historical stream flows. In addressing future runoff projections the domestic, livestock, irrigation and industrial water demands in the subbasin were projected to the year 2039 using the current irrigation area growth rates, Tanzania vision 2025 and development plans for the Wami River sub-basin. The GCMs were incorporated in the hydrological model so as to factor in the effects of climate change. Precipitation was selected as the changing climatic variable for projection because runoff is very sensitive to precipitation as compared to other climatic variables like temperature. A total of twenty four GCMs from CMIP3 database representing twentieth century precipitation were interpolated into forty five sub-catchments in the subOriginal Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(4): 389-408, 2014 390 basin and evaluated for their skills. The HADCM3 model was selected due to its highest skill score in predicting past climate. Then the HADCM3 precipitation signal of scenario A2, was corrected by Non-linear Bias Correction (NBC) in the forty five sub-catchments in the sub-basin and used to simulate future stream flow. The results of stream flow simulated using skilled and non-linear corrected HADCM3 precipitation signal shows that stream flow is projected to increase for the near term climatology (2010 – 2039).
如果用于预测未来气候的一般环流模式(GCM)不能很好地预测过去气候,则无法保证气候变化下河流流量预测的可靠性。本研究采用基于物理的半分布式降雨径流模型SWAT,利用熟练的非线性偏差修正GCM模拟了气候变化条件下瓦米河子流域的水流。利用地形、土地利用、土壤、降水和温度数据建立SWAT模型。基线用水量用于自然化河流流量,SWAT模型使用历史河流流量进行校准和验证。在处理未来径流预测时,利用目前的灌溉面积增长率、坦桑尼亚2025年愿景和瓦米河分流域发展计划,预测了到2039年该分流域的家庭、牲畜、灌溉和工业用水需求。为了考虑气候变化的影响,在水文模型中纳入了gcm。选择降水作为变化的气候变量进行预测,因为与温度等其他气候变量相比,径流对降水非常敏感。《英国环境与气候变化学报》,2014,39(4):389-408,390流域,对CMIP3数据库中代表20世纪降水的24个gcm进行了插值,并对其技能进行了评估。选择HADCM3模式是因为它在预测过去气候方面的技能得分最高。然后对A2情景下的HADCM3降水信号进行非线性偏差校正(Non-linear Bias Correction, NBC),在子流域45个子集水区进行模拟。利用熟练的和非线性校正的HADCM3降水信号模拟径流的结果表明,在近期气候(2010 - 2039)预测径流将增加。
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引用次数: 16
Open data flood mapping of Chao Phraya River basin and Bangkok Metropolitan Region. 湄南河流域和曼谷都市区的开放数据洪水制图。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/11872
Richard T. Cooper
Aims: To examine the utility of open data for flood mapping of the Bangkok Metropolitan Region and Chao Phraya River basin. The region is particularly vulnerable to flooding, having experienced recurrent major flooding events, including the some of the most extensive and prolonged in 2011. Study Design: Novel methodologies were innovated utilising open spatial data and open source geographical software to generate flood extent/hazard maps of the Bangkok Metropolitan Region and Chao Phraya River basin. Key geospatial data were sourced from the Thai Geo-Informatics and Space Technology Development Agency and NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Methodology: Given limited resources for conducting detailed hydrological-hydraulic analyses, two alternative approaches were examined for flood extent/hazard mapping of the basin and city. The first method made use of publicly available historical flood data to produce an up-to-date composite flood extent/hazard map. The second approach, using the latter output as a reference source, examined the utility of a modified topographic index for delineating flood-prone areas, as integrated into the r.hazard.flood module of the open source GRASS GIS application. Results: Compilation of multi-year historical data enabled generation of a relatively finescale (~100m spatial resolution) flood extent/hazard map for the basin and city. The optimal tau threshold for delineating flood exposed cells from the modified topographic index was linearly related to the sub-basin mean slope. The four most northerly subbasins of the Chao Phraya basin, those with higher mean slopes, gave lowest total errors, ranging from 17.5 to 35.9 percent. Conclusions: Open data in the form of multi-year spatial flood layers were effectively Original Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(2): 186-216, 2014 187 combined to generate a relatively fine-scale flood extent/hazard map for the Chao Phraya River basin and Bangkok Metropolitan Region, and the modified topographic index showed promise as an alternative means for identifying flood exposed areas.
目的:研究开放数据在曼谷都市区和湄南河流域洪水制图中的应用。该地区特别容易受到洪水的影响,经历了多次重大洪水事件,包括2011年一些范围最广、持续时间最长的洪水。研究设计:创新方法,利用开放空间数据和开源地理软件生成曼谷大都会区和湄南河流域的洪水范围/危害地图。关键的地理空间数据来自泰国地理信息和空间技术发展局和美国宇航局的航天飞机雷达地形任务。方法:由于进行详细水文-水力分析的资源有限,研究了两种可供选择的方法来绘制流域和城市的洪水范围/危害图。第一种方法是利用公开的历史洪水数据来制作最新的综合洪水范围/危害图。第二种方法使用后一种输出作为参考来源,检查了用于划定洪水易发地区的修改地形指数的效用,并将其集成到开源GRASS GIS应用程序的r.r hazard.flood模块中。结果:多年历史数据的汇编使流域和城市的洪水范围/灾害地图的生成相对精细(~100m空间分辨率)。利用修正后的地形指数划定洪水暴露单元的最佳tau阈值与次流域平均坡度呈线性相关。湄南河盆地最北端的4个子盆地平均坡度较高,总误差最小,为17.5% ~ 35.9%。结论:以多年空间洪水层形式的开放数据有效地结合了Chao Phraya河流域和曼谷都市圈的相对精细的洪水范围/危害图,改进的地形指数有望作为识别洪水暴露区域的替代手段。
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引用次数: 15
Local level complexities in governance of climate change mitigation practices and adaptation measures in U. S. cities. 美国城市在治理气候变化减缓做法和适应措施方面的地方复杂性。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/5970
S. A. Sunny
While global negotiations regarding climate change between nations are underway around the world, locally scaled policies and measures for climate protection and resilience are drafted and implemented by municipalities across the globe. These political units, with their small contributions to the much larger issue at hand are unable to fully receive adequate gains of their policies for their local stakeholders, as theory states that local level administrators would find it difficult to reduce emissions for the benefit of the global citizenry. In other words, municipalities are concerned with the provision of locallybased public goods and services. For climate policies however, they are locally producing a global public good. On the other hand, local level leaders have an advantage as they control many of the factors related to emissions, such as land use decisions, residential and commercial regulations, transit options and solid waste disposal. This is perhaps fitting due to the nature of the place-based vulnerability where impacts are experienced in the forms of inundation, heat waves, bushfires or rising sea levels. Additionally, due to their structure, it is comparatively easier to implementing such policies successfully than many international policy makers who have struggled with such goals or milestones due to added complications. This essay will explore the rudimentary complexities at the city level and observe the paradox of participation and engagement in sustainable addressing global climate change. Original Research Article British Journal of Environment & Climate Change, 4(1): 5-26, 2014 6
在世界各国就气候变化进行全球谈判的同时,全球各地的市政当局正在起草和实施地方尺度的气候保护和恢复政策和措施。这些政治单位对手头上更大的问题贡献不大,无法完全为当地利益相关者从其政策中获得足够的收益,因为理论表明,地方一级的管理者会发现,为了全球公民的利益而减少排放是困难的。换句话说,市政当局关心的是提供以地方为基础的公共产品和服务。然而,就气候政策而言,它们正在本地生产一种全球公共产品。另一方面,地方领导人具有优势,因为他们控制着与排放有关的许多因素,如土地使用决策、住宅和商业法规、交通选择和固体废物处理。这也许是合适的,因为以地方为基础的脆弱性的性质,这些影响以洪水、热浪、森林大火或海平面上升的形式经历。此外,由于其结构,与许多国际政策制定者相比,成功实施这些政策相对容易,因为这些政策制定者由于增加的复杂性而难以实现这些目标或里程碑。本文将探讨城市层面的基本复杂性,并观察参与和参与可持续应对全球气候变化的悖论。6 .中国环境与气候变化研究进展,2014,31 (1):1 - 6
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引用次数: 4
Soil microbial biomass carbon, nitrogen and sulphur as affected by different land uses in Seronga, Okavango Delta, Botswana 博茨瓦纳奥卡万戈三角洲塞隆加不同土地利用方式对土壤微生物生物量碳、氮和硫的影响
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2013/5758
T. Mubyana-John, W. Masamba
Aim: The Okavango Delta at Seronga is fragmented into different land uses ranging from grasslands to woodland (Ximenia and mopane), often punctuated w ith cropped and fallow fields.The influence of land uses o n surface (A1 horizon) soil physico -characteristics, nitrogen, sulphur, carbon, microbial population and biomass were studied to understand soil variability in order to devise conservation strategies for the area. Methodology: Total soil nitrogen (N) was analysed using a Leco N analyser, total carbon +
目的:Seronga的Okavango三角洲被分割成不同的土地用途,从草原到林地(Ximenia和mopane),经常被农作物和休耕地打断。研究了土地利用对地表(A1层)土壤物理特征、氮、硫、碳、微生物种群和生物量的影响,以了解土壤变异,从而制定该地区的保护策略。方法:土壤全氮(N)分析采用Leco N分析仪,总碳+
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引用次数: 3
Greenhouse gas emission determinants in Nigeria: implications for trade, climate change mitigation and adaptation policies. 尼日利亚的温室气体排放决定因素:对贸易、减缓和适应气候变化政策的影响。
Pub Date : 2014-01-10 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2014/8576
A. Achike, A. Onoja
This study investigated and analyzed the determinants of Carbon Dioxide (CO 2) emission in Nigeria. The study relied on secondary data from World Bank and Central Bank of Nigeria covering 40 years (1970-2009). The data were analyzed using Zellner’s Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SURE) model. The results of the analysis show that fossil energy demand or consumption, rents from forestry trade, agricultural land area expansion and farm technology were significant determinants of greenhouse gas (GHG) emission in the study area. On the other hand, the second equation indicated that fossil fuel energy demand was exogenously determined by economic growth rate (proxied by GDP growth rate) and farm technology applied in the country. It was recommended that Nigeria should put in place policies that will tax companies or firms emitting GHGs and utilize such tax proceeds for research and building the capacities of farmers to adapt to deleterious effect of climate change in the country and continent. The development of existing and new technologies for adapting to climate change and variability, building of environmental consciousness of Nigerians through curriculum restructuring and provision of weather information services by the Nigerian governments and their agencies to enable farmers plan against weather uncertainty and risks were also recommended.
本研究调查和分析了尼日利亚二氧化碳(CO 2)排放的决定因素。该研究依赖于世界银行和尼日利亚中央银行40年(1970-2009)的二手数据。使用Zellner的看似不相关回归(SURE)模型对数据进行分析。分析结果表明,化石能源需求或消费、林业贸易租金、农业用地面积扩大和农业技术是研究区温室气体排放的重要决定因素。另一方面,第二个方程表明化石燃料能源需求是由经济增长率(以GDP增长率为代表)和该国应用的农业技术外生决定的。会议建议尼日利亚制定政策,对排放温室气体的公司或企业征税,并将这些税收收入用于研究和建设农民适应该国和非洲大陆气候变化有害影响的能力。会议还建议发展适应气候变化和变率的现有技术和新技术,通过课程改革培养尼日利亚人的环境意识,以及由尼日利亚政府及其机构提供天气信息服务,使农民能够针对天气的不确定性和风险进行规划。
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引用次数: 14
Application of a synergetic lidar and sunphotometer algorithm for the characterization of a dust event over Athens, Greece 应用协同激光雷达和太阳光度计算法表征希腊雅典上空的沙尘事件
Pub Date : 2013-11-18 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2013/2615#STHASH.YED42FFE.DPUF
A. Tsekeri, V. Amiridis, P. Kokkalis, Sara Basart Alpuente, A. Chaikovsky, O. Dubovik, R. Mamouri, A. Papayannis, José María Baldasano Recio
We present first retrievals of the Lidar-Radiometer Inversion Code (LIRIC), applied on combined lidar and sunphotometer data during a Saharan dust episode over Athens, Greece, on July 20, 2011. A full lidar dataset in terms of backscatter signals at 355, 532 and 1064 nm, as well as depolarization at 532 nm was acquired from the European Aerosol Research Network (EARLINET) station of Athens and combined with Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) data, in order to retrieve the concentration and extinction coefficient profiles of dust. The lidar measurements showed a free tropospheric layer between 1-5 km above Athens, with low Angstrom exponent of ~0.5 and high particle depolarization ratio, ~25-30%, both values characteristic of dust particles. The application of LIRIC revealed high concentration profiles of non-spherical coarse particles in the layer, in the range of 0.04-0.07 ppb and a smaller fine particle component with concentrations of ~0.01 ppb. The extinction coefficients at 532 nm ranged between 50 and 90 Mm-1 for coarse non-spherical particles and between 25 and 50Mm-1 for fine particles. The retrievals were compared with modeled dust concentration and extinction coefficient profiles from the Dust Regional Atmospheric Modeling (BSC-DREAM8b), showing good agreement, especially for the coarse mode
我们首次检索了激光雷达-辐射计反演代码(LIRIC),应用于2011年7月20日希腊雅典撒哈拉沙尘事件期间激光雷达和太阳光度计的联合数据。利用位于雅典的欧洲气溶胶研究网络(EARLINET)观测站的355,532和1064 nm背向散射信号和532 nm退极化数据集,结合气溶胶机器人网络(AERONET)数据,检索了尘埃浓度和消光系数曲线。激光雷达观测显示,在雅典上空1 ~ 5 km之间存在一层自由对流层,其埃指数较低,约0.5,粒子去极化率较高,约25 ~ 30%,均为尘埃粒子的特征值。LIRIC的应用揭示了该层中非球形粗颗粒的高浓度分布,在0.04-0.07 ppb范围内,而较小的细颗粒成分浓度为~0.01 ppb。在532 nm处,粗粒非球形颗粒的消光系数在50 ~ 90 Mm-1之间,细粒的消光系数在25 ~ 50Mm-1之间。将反演结果与沙尘区域大气模式(BSC-DREAM8b)模拟的沙尘浓度和消光系数曲线进行比较,结果表明两者吻合较好,尤其是粗模态
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引用次数: 16
Synergistic Use of Remote Sensing for Snow Cover and Snow Water Equivalent Estimation 遥感在积雪和雪水当量估算中的协同应用
Pub Date : 2013-11-16 DOI: 10.9734/BJECC/2013/7699
Jonathan Murioz
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引用次数: 5
期刊
British Journal of Environment and Climate Change
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