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Remittances and Household Investment Decisions: Evidence from sub-Saharan Africa 汇款与家庭投资决策:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2022-0004
M. S. Hossain, Adesola Sunmoni
Abstract The impact of remittances on households left behind by migration is ambiguous a priori due to competing income and substitution effects. We offer new evidence on the effect of remittances on household investment decisions. We enrich our analysis using microdata from five sub-Saharan African countries, different investment alternatives, and different remittance sources. We use a recursive bivariate probit model and imperfect instrumental variable approaches to account for endogeneity concerns. We find that remittances increase the likelihood of human, physical, and social capital investment in most of our sample countries. We also find that remittance sources have a notable influence on household investment decisions. Finally, we explore three potential mechanisms: income effect, substitution effect, and migration expectations. We find that the income effect of remittances mainly drives the positive effect on capital investment. However, we also find evidence of substitution effect by left-behind household members and migration expectations in some countries. We contribute to the ongoing debate on the effect of remittances on capital investments, and our results shed light on the heterogeneous effect of remittance in the literature.
由于收入竞争和替代效应,汇款对移民留守家庭的影响是模糊的。我们提供了关于汇款对家庭投资决策影响的新证据。我们利用来自撒哈拉以南非洲五个国家的微观数据、不同的投资选择和不同的汇款来源来丰富我们的分析。我们使用递归二元概率模型和不完善的工具变量方法来解释内生性问题。我们发现,在大多数样本国家,汇款增加了人力、物质和社会资本投资的可能性。我们还发现,汇款来源对家庭投资决策有显著影响。最后,我们探讨了三种潜在的机制:收入效应、替代效应和移民预期。研究发现,汇款的收入效应主要驱动资本投资的正向效应。然而,我们也发现了一些国家留守家庭成员替代效应和移民预期的证据。我们为正在进行的关于汇款对资本投资影响的辩论做出了贡献,我们的研究结果揭示了文献中汇款的异质性效应。
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引用次数: 0
Gender Imbalances and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from Large-Scale Mexican Migration 性别失衡和劳动力市场结果:来自大规模墨西哥移民的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0002
E. Conover, Melanie Khamis, S. Pearlman
Abstract We study the consequences of international migration on labor market outcomes in a developing country. Specifically, we look at the case of Mexico, where large-scale international migration has led to significant declines in the male/female ratio. We explore whether this results in Mexican women entering high-skilled and better paying jobs over time. This question is relevant since there has been an increase in women's education and labor force participation across the developing world, but less evidence of improvements in the gender wage gap. Using an instrumental variables strategy that relies on historical migration patterns, we find that when there are relatively fewer men, women are more likely to work, have high-skilled jobs, and some earn higher wages. These results are robust to the inclusion of state, age group, and year fixed effects, and to different measures of migration and data sources. We explore investments in human capital as a key mechanism. We find that the gains in schooling are concentrated among women with the same average level of education of the men who migrate. From an aggregate perspective, these improvements in job type and wages are important given that higher female income may benefit the status, education, and health of both women and children, which in turn increases a country's development and growth. Our findings are among the few that show some movement toward improvements in the gender wage gap in a developing country setting.
我们研究了国际移民对发展中国家劳动力市场结果的影响。具体来说,我们看看墨西哥的情况,大规模的国际移民导致男女比例显著下降。随着时间的推移,我们探索这是否会导致墨西哥妇女进入高技能和高薪的工作。这个问题是相关的,因为在整个发展中国家,妇女的受教育程度和劳动参与率都有所提高,但性别工资差距改善的证据较少。使用依赖于历史迁移模式的工具变量策略,我们发现,当男性相对较少时,女性更有可能工作,从事高技能工作,有些人的工资更高。这些结果对于包括州、年龄组和年份固定效应,以及不同的移民措施和数据来源都是稳健的。我们将探索人力资本投资作为一个关键机制。我们发现,受教育程度的提高主要集中在与移民男性平均受教育程度相同的女性身上。从总体来看,工作类型和工资方面的这些改进是重要的,因为女性收入的提高可能有利于妇女和儿童的地位、教育和健康,从而促进一个国家的发展和增长。我们的研究结果是少数显示发展中国家性别工资差距有所改善的研究之一。
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引用次数: 4
Migrating out of mega-cities: Evidence from Brazil 从特大城市迁出:来自巴西的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0003
Eva-Maria Egger
Abstract Traditional economic models predict rural to urban migration during the structural transformation of an economy. In middle-income countries, it is less clear which direction of migration to expect. In this article, the author shows that in Brazil as many people move out as into metropolitan cities and they mostly move to mid-sized towns. The author estimates the determinants of out-migrants’ destination choice accounting for differences in earnings, living costs, and amenities and tested whether the migrants gain economically by accepting lower wages but enjoying lower living costs. The findings suggest that in their destination choice, out-migrants aim to minimize costs of moving. On average, city-leavers realize higher real wages, including low-skilled migrants who would lose in nominal terms. The article thus provides new evidence on economic incentives to leave big cities in a middle-income country.
摘要传统的经济模型预测了经济结构转型期间农村向城市的迁移。在中等收入国家,预期的移民方向不太清楚。在这篇文章中,作者表明,在巴西,搬出去的人和搬到大都市的人一样多,他们大多搬到中等规模的城镇。作者估计了考虑收入、生活成本和便利设施差异的外来移民目的地选择的决定因素,并测试了移民是否通过接受较低的工资但享受较低的生活成本而获得经济利益。研究结果表明,在选择目的地时,外来移民的目的是尽量减少搬迁成本。平均而言,离开城市的人实现了更高的实际工资,包括名义上会损失的低技能移民。因此,这篇文章为中等收入国家离开大城市的经济激励提供了新的证据。
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引用次数: 0
Spaniards in the wider world: the role of education in the choice of destination country 更广阔世界中的西班牙人:教育在目的地国家选择中的作用
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0006
Héctor Bellido, Miriam Marcén, Marina Morales
Abstract This paper examines the relationship between the education level of Spanish emigrants and their destination country. Since Spanish emigrants were born under the same laws and institutions, the differences in their destination countries can be due to dissimilarities in their level of education. To explore this, we use census microdata, covering the period from 2000 to 2007, of 21 countries with Spanish emigrants. Results suggest that with low unemployment rates, English- and Spanish-speaking countries are the most likely to become the host countries for more educated individuals, regardless of their location.
摘要本文考察了西班牙移民的教育水平与移民目的地国之间的关系。由于西班牙移民出生在相同的法律和制度下,他们的目的地国家的差异可能是由于他们的教育水平不同。为了探讨这一点,我们使用了涵盖2000年至2007年期间的21个西班牙移民国家的人口普查微观数据。结果表明,由于失业率低,英语和西班牙语国家最有可能成为受教育程度更高的个人的东道国,而不管他们在哪里。
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引用次数: 0
Working beyond the normal retirement age in urban China and urban Russia 在中国城市和俄罗斯城市超过正常退休年龄工作
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0005
B. Gustafsson, L. Nivorozhkina, Haiyuan Wan
Abstract The incidence of working for earnings beyond the normal pension age of 55 for females and 60 for males in urban China and Russia is investigated using micro-data for 2002, 2013, and 2018. Estimated logit models indicate that, in both countries, the probability of working after normal retirement age is positively related to living with a spouse only, being healthy, and having a higher education level. It is negatively associated with age, the scale of pension, and, in urban China, being female. We find that seniors in urban Russia are more likely to work for earnings than their counterparts in China. Two possible reasons that are attributable to this difference are ruled out, namely cross-country differences in health status and the age distribution among elderly people. We also demonstrate that working beyond the normal retirement age has a much stronger negative association with earnings in urban China than in urban Russia. This is consistent with the facts that the normal retirement age is strictly enforced in urban China and seniors attempting to work face intensive competition from younger migrant workers. We conclude that China can learn from Russia that it has a substantial potential for increasing employment among healthy people under 70.
摘要利用2002年、2013年和2018年的微观数据,调查了中国和俄罗斯城市中女性55岁和男性60岁的正常养老金年龄以外的工作收入发生率。估计的logit模型表明,在这两个国家,在正常退休年龄后工作的概率与仅与配偶生活、健康和受教育程度较高呈正相关。它与年龄、养老金规模以及在中国城市中的女性呈负相关。我们发现,俄罗斯城市的老年人比中国的老年人更有可能为收入而工作。排除了造成这种差异的两个可能原因,即健康状况的跨国差异和老年人的年龄分布。我们还证明,在中国城市,超过正常退休年龄工作与收入的负相关要比在俄罗斯城市强得多。这与中国城市严格执行正常退休年龄的事实是一致的,试图工作的老年人面临着来自年轻农民工的激烈竞争。我们得出的结论是,中国可以从俄罗斯那里学到,它在增加70岁以下健康人群就业方面具有巨大潜力。
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引用次数: 1
Queuing to leave: A new approach to immigration 排队离开:一种新的移民方式
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0007
N. Sarma
Abstract This paper uses queuing theory to examine the linkages between legal and illegal immigration. This approach is particularly appropriate for periods of mass migration and can be used to look at how the magnitude of people trying to migrate affects the choice between legal and illegal channels. An empirical illustration shows how origin-country conflict and past migration differently affect current legal and illegal flows. With data for Schengen countries from Eurostat for documented immigration and the European Agency for the Management of Operational Cooperation at the External Borders of the Member States of the European Union (Frontex) for illegal border crossings (IBCs), I implement a generalized method of moments (GMM) strategy using different estimates of conflict-related deaths and lagged flows of immigration as external and internal instruments, respectively. Violent conflict has a positive and significant effect on IBCs but not on documented migration flows. I find evidence of positive spillovers from the legal channel of immigration into the illegal channel but not vice versa.
摘要本文运用排队理论考察了合法移民与非法移民之间的联系。这种方法特别适用于大规模移徙时期,并可用于研究试图移徙的人数如何影响合法和非法渠道之间的选择。实证说明了原籍国冲突和过去的移徙如何以不同的方式影响当前的合法和非法流动。根据欧盟统计局关于有证件移民的申根国家数据和欧洲联盟成员国外部边界业务合作管理机构(Frontex)关于非法越境(IBCs)的数据,我实施了一种广义矩量法(GMM)战略,分别使用与冲突有关的死亡和滞后移民流动的不同估计作为外部和内部工具。暴力冲突对ibc有积极和显著的影响,但对有记录的移民流动没有影响。我找到了从合法移民渠道向非法移民渠道产生积极溢出效应的证据,但反之则不然。
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引用次数: 1
Informal work in sub-Saharan Africa: Dead end or stepping-stone? 撒哈拉以南非洲的非正式工作:死胡同还是敲门砖?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.35188/unu-wider/2019/743-9
Michael Danquah, Simone Schotte, Kunal Sen
Abstract Despite rapid economic growth in recent decades, informality remains a persistent phenomenon in the labor markets of many low- and middle-income countries. A key issue in this regard concerns the extent to which informality itself is a persistent state. Using panel data from Ghana, South Africa, Tanzania, and Uganda, this paper presents one of the very few analyses providing evidence on this question in the context of sub-Saharan Africa. Our results reveal an important extent of heterogeneity in the transition patterns observed for workers in upper-tier versus lower-tier informality. Given the limited alternative job opportunities available, particularly to those in lower-tier informal self-employment who often remain locked in a situation of inferior pay and conditions, specific policies that seek to enhance the livelihoods of workers in this most disadvantaged segment may be more relevant in the sub-Saharan context than policies that aim to reduce the regulatory barriers to formalization.
摘要尽管近几十年来经济快速增长,但在许多中低收入国家的劳动力市场上,非正规化仍然是一种持续存在的现象。这方面的一个关键问题涉及非正式本身在多大程度上是一种持久状态。本文利用加纳、南非、坦桑尼亚和乌干达的小组数据,提出了为数不多的在撒哈拉以南非洲背景下提供证据的分析之一。我们的研究结果揭示了在上层和下层非正规工人的过渡模式中观察到的重要程度的异质性。鉴于可供选择的工作机会有限,特别是那些从事低层次非正规自营职业的人,他们往往仍处于工资和条件较差的境地,在撒哈拉以南地区,寻求改善这一最弱势群体工人生计的具体政策可能比旨在减少正规化监管障碍的政策更具相关性。
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引用次数: 20
Temporary migration as a mechanism for lasting cultural change: evidence from Nepal 临时移民作为持久文化变革的机制:来自尼泊尔的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0016
S. Janzen, Savannah Noray
Abstract When a husband migrates, his wife may control more household resources and therefore change how the household spends income. Given the prevalence of seasonal migration in developing countries, even these temporary changes could affect economic development. The extent to which these changes persist after migration spells will magnify these consequences. Using panel data on rural households in Nepal, we examine how a husband's migration interacts with intrahousehold decision-making and consumption patterns both during and after migration spells. We find that a husband's absence is associated with a 10 percentage point increase in the expenditure decisions over which the wife has full control. This coincides with a shift away from expenditures on alcohol and tobacco in favor of children's clothing and education. Importantly, we find that migrant husbands resume their role in decisions following their return, but decisions are more likely to be made jointly. These persistent effects are consistent with a model in which households are pushed to a new, more-equitable equilibrium and then are driven to form habits, which, in turn, cause the new equilibrium to stick, thus facilitating long-term cultural change in gender norms.
当丈夫外出务工时,妻子可以控制更多的家庭资源,从而改变家庭收入的使用方式。鉴于发展中国家普遍存在季节性移徙,即使是这些暂时的变化也可能影响经济发展。在移民期过后,这些变化持续的程度将放大这些后果。利用尼泊尔农村家庭的面板数据,我们研究了丈夫的迁移在迁移期间和之后如何与家庭内部决策和消费模式相互作用。我们发现,丈夫的缺席与妻子完全控制的支出决策增加10个百分点有关。与此同时,消费从烟酒转向儿童服装和教育。重要的是,我们发现移民丈夫在返回后恢复了他们在决策中的作用,但决策更有可能是共同做出的。这些持续的影响与一种模式是一致的,在这种模式中,家庭被推向一种新的、更公平的平衡,然后被驱使形成习惯,而这些习惯反过来又会使新的平衡保持下去,从而促进性别规范的长期文化变化。
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引用次数: 0
Gender gaps in education: The long view 教育中的性别差距:长远来看
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0001
David K. Evans, Maryam Akmal, Pamela Jakiela
Abstract Many countries remain far from achieving gender equality in the classroom. Using data from 126 countries, we characterize the evolution of gender gaps in low- and middle-income countries between 1960 and 2010. We document five facts. First, women are more educated today than 50 years ago in every country in the world. Second, they remain less educated than men in the vast majority of countries. Third, in many countries with low levels of education for both men and women in 1960, gender gaps widened as more boys went to school, then narrowed as girls enrolled; thus, gender gaps got worse before they got better. Fourth, gender gaps rarely persist in countries where boys attain high levels of education. Most countries with large, current gender gaps in educational attainment have low levels of male educational attainment, and many also perform poorly on other measures of development such as life expectancy and GDP per capita. Fifth, in the youngest cohorts, women have more education than men in some regions of the world. Although gender gaps in educational attainment are diminishing in most countries, the empirical evidence does not support the hypothesis that reducing the gender gap in schooling consistently leads to smaller gender gaps in labor force participation.
许多国家还远远没有在课堂上实现性别平等。利用来自126个国家的数据,我们描绘了1960年至2010年间低收入和中等收入国家性别差距的演变特征。我们记录了五个事实。首先,当今世界各国妇女的受教育程度都高于50年前。其次,在绝大多数国家,女性受教育程度仍然低于男性。第三,在许多1960年男女受教育程度都很低的国家,性别差距随着更多的男孩上学而扩大,然后随着女孩入学而缩小;因此,性别差距在改善之前变得更大。第四,在男孩接受高水平教育的国家,性别差距很少持续存在。目前在受教育程度上存在巨大性别差距的大多数国家,男性受教育程度都很低,而且许多国家在预期寿命和人均国内生产总值等其他发展指标上也表现不佳。第五,在最年轻的人群中,在世界某些地区,女性的受教育程度高于男性。尽管在大多数国家,受教育程度上的性别差距正在缩小,但经验证据并不支持这样一种假设,即不断缩小受教育程度上的性别差距,就会缩小劳动力参与方面的性别差距。
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引用次数: 60
Introducing the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey 2018 介绍2018年埃及劳动力市场小组调查
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0012
C. Krafft, R. Assaad, K. Rahman
Abstract This paper introduces the 2018 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS), previously fielded in 1998, 2006, and 2012. The ELMPS has already become the primary source of data for a large number of scholarly and policy studies on the labor market and human development issues in Egypt, and this new wave will further enhance its value as a critical data public good. This longitudinal survey is nationally representative, tracking both households and individuals over two decades. In this paper, we describe the key characteristics of the 2018 wave, including sampling, fielding, and questionnaire design. Changes in the collection of retrospective data starting in 2018 are discussed, and we demonstrate that they improved the data quality. We examine the patterns of attrition and present the construction of weights designed to correct for attrition, as well as to ensure that the sample remains nationally representative. We compare the ELMPS data with other Egyptian data sources, namely, the 2017 Census and various rounds of the Labor Force Survey (LFS). The data provide important new insights into Egypt's labor market, economy, and society.
摘要本文介绍了2018年埃及劳动力市场小组调查(ELMPS)的浪潮,该调查之前于1998年、2006年和2012年进行。ELMPS已经成为埃及劳动力市场和人类发展问题的大量学术和政策研究的主要数据来源,这一新浪潮将进一步提高其作为关键数据公共产品的价值。这项纵向调查在全国范围内具有代表性,跟踪了20多年来的家庭和个人。在本文中,我们描述了2018年浪潮的关键特征,包括抽样、实地调查和问卷设计。讨论了从2018年开始的回顾性数据收集的变化,我们证明它们提高了数据质量。我们检查了损耗模式,并提出了旨在纠正损耗的权重结构,以确保样本在全国范围内具有代表性。我们将ELMPS数据与埃及其他数据来源进行了比较,即2017年人口普查和多轮劳动力调查(LFS)。这些数据为埃及劳动力市场、经济和社会提供了重要的新见解。
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引用次数: 21
期刊
IZA Journal of Development and Migration
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