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Introducing the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey 2018 介绍2018年埃及劳动力市场小组调查
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0012
C. Krafft, R. Assaad, K. Rahman
Abstract This paper introduces the 2018 wave of the Egypt Labor Market Panel Survey (ELMPS), previously fielded in 1998, 2006, and 2012. The ELMPS has already become the primary source of data for a large number of scholarly and policy studies on the labor market and human development issues in Egypt, and this new wave will further enhance its value as a critical data public good. This longitudinal survey is nationally representative, tracking both households and individuals over two decades. In this paper, we describe the key characteristics of the 2018 wave, including sampling, fielding, and questionnaire design. Changes in the collection of retrospective data starting in 2018 are discussed, and we demonstrate that they improved the data quality. We examine the patterns of attrition and present the construction of weights designed to correct for attrition, as well as to ensure that the sample remains nationally representative. We compare the ELMPS data with other Egyptian data sources, namely, the 2017 Census and various rounds of the Labor Force Survey (LFS). The data provide important new insights into Egypt's labor market, economy, and society.
摘要本文介绍了2018年埃及劳动力市场小组调查(ELMPS)的浪潮,该调查之前于1998年、2006年和2012年进行。ELMPS已经成为埃及劳动力市场和人类发展问题的大量学术和政策研究的主要数据来源,这一新浪潮将进一步提高其作为关键数据公共产品的价值。这项纵向调查在全国范围内具有代表性,跟踪了20多年来的家庭和个人。在本文中,我们描述了2018年浪潮的关键特征,包括抽样、实地调查和问卷设计。讨论了从2018年开始的回顾性数据收集的变化,我们证明它们提高了数据质量。我们检查了损耗模式,并提出了旨在纠正损耗的权重结构,以确保样本在全国范围内具有代表性。我们将ELMPS数据与埃及其他数据来源进行了比较,即2017年人口普查和多轮劳动力调查(LFS)。这些数据为埃及劳动力市场、经济和社会提供了重要的新见解。
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引用次数: 21
Bilateral labor agreements and the migration of Filipinos: An instrumental variable approach 双边劳动协议和菲律宾人的迁移:一个工具变量方法
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0011
Brianna O’Steen
Abstract Bilateral labor agreements (BLAs) are preferred policy models for regulating migration by many governments around the world. The Philippines has been a leader in both agreement conclusion and exporting labor. A recent Congressional evocation is pushing bureaucrats and academics alike to investigate this policy strategy for outcomes and effectiveness. The following analysis answers the question “Do BLAs affect the migration outflows of Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs)?” using a plausibly exogenous variation to isolate a causal effect. I test for effects of BLAs using two instrumental variables (IVs), such as Bilateral Investment Treaties (BITs) and Formal Alliances, and an original dataset of land-based and sea-based Filipino BLAs and migrant stock in 213 unique areas from 1960 to 2018. I do not find any empirical evidence that these treaties drive migration. However, BLAs have statistically significant effects on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and exports, suggesting other important channels through which these agreements affect economic outcomes. These null results are critically important for policymakers and diplomats because the resources spent on negotiation are wasted if the primary goal is to increase migration.
双边劳动协议(BLAs)是世界各国政府调控移民的首选政策模式。菲律宾在协议缔结和劳务输出方面一直处于领先地位。最近国会的一项呼吁正在推动官僚和学者们对这一政策策略的结果和有效性进行调查。下面的分析回答了“劳工政策是否影响海外菲律宾工人(ofw)的移民外流?”“使用看似合理的外生变异来分离因果效应。本文使用双边投资条约(BITs)和正式联盟(Formal Alliances)这两个工具变量(IVs),以及1960年至2018年213个独特地区的菲律宾陆基和海基bla和移民存量的原始数据集,检验了bla的影响。我没有发现任何经验证据表明这些条约推动了移民。然而,劳工关系协定对人均国内生产总值(GDP)和出口有统计上显著的影响,这表明这些协定影响经济结果的其他重要渠道。这些无效结果对政策制定者和外交官来说至关重要,因为如果主要目标是增加移民,那么用于谈判的资源就被浪费了。
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引用次数: 2
Gender wage gap across the distribution: What is the role of within- and between-firm effects? 分布中的性别工资差距:公司内部和公司之间的影响是什么?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0014
Ezgi Kaya
Abstract This paper studies the role of within- and between-firm effects on the gender wage gap (GWG). Using linked employer–employee data for Turkey for 2006 and 2014, we show that the wage gap among comparable men and women is much wider within establishments than between establishments. Our distributional analysis shows a more pronounced gap among highly paid workers, consistent with the presence of a glass-ceiling effect. This effect, however, is more apparent within establishments than between establishments, and it is the former that drives the economy-wide glass ceiling that women face. We also find that between 2006 and 2014, the GWG in Turkey widened at all points in the wage distribution, and that this widening was more pronounced within establishments than between establishments.
摘要本文研究了企业内部效应和企业间效应对性别工资差距(GWG)的影响。通过使用土耳其2006年和2014年的雇主-雇员数据,我们发现企业内可比男性和女性之间的工资差距要比企业之间的差距大得多。我们的分布分析显示,高薪工人之间的差距更为明显,这与玻璃天花板效应的存在是一致的。然而,这种影响在企业内部比企业之间更为明显,正是前者导致了女性在整个经济领域面临的玻璃天花板。我们还发现,在2006年至2014年间,土耳其的GWG在工资分配的所有点上都有所扩大,而且这种扩大在企业内部比企业之间更为明显。
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引用次数: 1
Women’s economic rights in developing countries and the gender gap in migration to Germany 发展中国家妇女的经济权利与德国移民中的性别差距
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2021-0013
E. Neumayer, Thomas Plümper
Abstract There is a large variation across countries of origin in the gender composition of migrants coming to Germany. We argue that women’s economic rights in developing countries of origin have three effects on their migration prospects to a place like Germany that is far away and difficult to reach. First, the lower are women’s economic rights the fewer women have access to and control over the resources needed to migrate to Germany. Second, the lower are the rights the lower is women’s agency to make or otherwise influence migration decisions. These two constraining effects on the female share in migrant populations dominate the opposing third effect that stems from low levels of women’s economic rights generating a potentially powerful push factor. We find corroborating evidence in our analysis of the gender composition of migration to Germany over the period 2009–2017.
德国移民的性别构成在来源国之间存在很大差异。我们认为,发展中原籍国妇女的经济权利对她们移民到像德国这样遥远而难以到达的地方的前景有三个影响。首先,妇女的经济权利越低,她们获得和控制移民到德国所需资源的机会就越少。第二,权利越低,妇女作出或以其他方式影响移民决定的能力就越低。这两种对女性在流动人口中所占比例的制约作用主导了相反的第三种效应,这种效应源于妇女经济权利水平低,产生了潜在的强大推动因素。我们在2009-2017年期间对德国移民性别构成的分析中发现了确凿的证据。
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引用次数: 1
Conflict and the composition of economic activity in Afghanistan 阿富汗的冲突和经济活动的构成
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-03-01 DOI: 10.1596/1813-9450-9188
V. Galdo, Gladys Lopez Acevedo, M. Rama
Abstract Despite informality being the norm in conflict-affected countries, most estimates of the impact of conflict on economic activity rely on formal sector data. Using high-frequency data from Afghanistan, this paper assesses how surges in conflict intensity affect not only the formal sector, but also informal and illicit activities. Nighttime light provides a proxy for aggregate economic activity, mobile phone traffic by registered firms captures fluctuations in formal sector output, and the land surface devoted to poppy cultivation gives a measure of illicit production. The unit of observation is the district and the period of reference is 2012–2016. The results show that an increase in conflict-related casualties has a strong negative impact on formal economic activity in the following quarter and a positive effect on illicit activity after two quarters. The impact on aggregate economic activity is negative, but more muted.
摘要尽管非正式是受冲突影响国家的常态,但对冲突对经济活动影响的大多数估计都依赖于正式部门的数据。本文利用来自阿富汗的高频数据,评估了冲突强度的激增如何不仅影响正规部门,而且影响非正规和非法活动。夜间的光线代表了总体经济活动,注册公司的手机流量反映了正规部门产出的波动,而罂粟种植的地表则反映了非法生产。观测单位为地区,参考期为2012-2016年。结果表明,与冲突有关的伤亡人数的增加对下一季度的正式经济活动产生了强烈的负面影响,对两个季度后的非法活动产生了积极影响。对总体经济活动的影响是负面的,但更为温和。
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引用次数: 3
South-South migration and elections: evidence from post-apartheid South Africa 南南移民与选举:来自种族隔离后南非的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2020-0015
B. Bedasso, Pascal Jaupart
Abstract Little is known about the political consequences of immigration in Sub-Saharan Africa. In this paper, we estimate the effect of exposure to immigration on election outcomes in South Africa. Our analysis is based on municipality panel data and an instrumental variable (IV) strategy exploiting historical migrant settlement patterns. We find that local immigration concentration has a negative impact on the performance of the incumbent African National Congress, whereas support for the main opposition party, the Democratic Alliance, is found to increase in municipalities with a larger immigrant presence. These effects hold regardless of the skill levels of immigrants in a municipality. In terms of mechanisms, competition over jobs and local public services as well as ethnic diversity and cultural factors influence how immigration affects election outcomes. These findings are robust to a broad range of sensitivity checks. They provide evidence that immigration can be a politically salient issue in migrant-destination Sub-Saharan African countries. They also show that immigration can affect election results even in contexts where there is no single issue anti-migrant party.
摘要人们对撒哈拉以南非洲移民的政治后果知之甚少。在本文中,我们估计了移民对南非选举结果的影响。我们的分析基于市政面板数据和利用历史移民定居模式的工具变量(IV)策略。我们发现,当地移民集中对现任非洲人国民大会的表现产生了负面影响,而在移民人数较多的城市,对主要反对党民主联盟的支持率有所增加。无论移民在一个城市的技能水平如何,这些影响都会存在。在机制方面,对工作和地方公共服务的竞争以及种族多样性和文化因素影响移民对选举结果的影响。这些发现对于广泛的敏感性检查是稳健的。他们提供的证据表明,在移民目的地撒哈拉以南非洲国家,移民可能是一个政治上突出的问题。他们还表明,即使在没有单一问题的反移民政党的情况下,移民也会影响选举结果。
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引用次数: 3
New Evidence on International Transferability of Human Capital 人力资本国际可转移性的新证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2020-0009
Eric M. Gibbons, S. Mukhopadhyay
Abstract This article sheds new light on the portability of human capital. We estimate the returns to source country experiences, viz., general, occupation-specific, and task-specific experiences, using data from the New Immigrant Survey (NIS), conducted in 2003. While the “returns to general experience” has been discussed in the literature, we are not aware of any previous attempt to estimate the returns to source country occupation-specific and task-specific experiences. Our estimates show that even though the returns to source country general experience is negligible, returns to source country occupation-specific experience is economically and statistically significant. We also find that returns to source country abstract (specifically analytical) task-specific experience is substantial and significant. Our results are robust to inclusion of source country wage, which may reflect unobservable characteristics that influence wages. We explore whether returns to work experience vary by income level in the source country or by an immigrant’s skill level.
本文为人力资本的可移植性提供了新的视角。我们使用2003年进行的新移民调查(NIS)的数据,估计了来源国经验的回报,即一般经验、特定职业经验和特定任务经验。虽然文献中已经讨论了“回归一般经验”,但我们不知道以前有任何试图估计回归来源国特定职业和特定任务经验的尝试。我们的估计表明,尽管返回来源国的一般经验可以忽略不计,但返回来源国职业的具体经验在经济和统计上具有显著意义。我们还发现,返回来源国的抽象(特别是分析)任务特定经验是实质性的和重要的。我们的结果对纳入来源国工资是稳健的,这可能反映了影响工资的不可观察的特征。我们探讨了返回工作岗位的经历是否因来源国的收入水平或移民的技能水平而异。
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引用次数: 0
Migration and Forsaken Schooling in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan 吉尔吉斯、塔吉克与乌兹别克三国的移民与荒废教育
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2020-0004
Ilhom Abdulloev, G. Epstein, Ira N. Gang
Abstract Large international earnings differentials negatively impact human capital investments in migrant-origin countries. We find that three Central Asian migrant-sending countries—the Kyrgyz Republic, the Republic of Tajikistan, and the Republic of Uzbekistan—are facing a forsaken schooling phenomenon. Once completing their compulsory schooling, young people in these countries are forsaking additional schooling because of opportunities to migrate to high-paying low-skilled jobs in the Russian Federation. The countries face a loss in human capital formation.
摘要巨大的国际收入差异对移民原籍国的人力资本投资产生了负面影响。我们发现,三个中亚移民派遣国——吉尔吉斯斯坦共和国、塔吉克斯坦共和国和乌兹别克斯坦共和国——正面临着被遗弃的教育现象。一旦完成义务教育,这些国家的年轻人就放弃了额外的教育,因为他们有机会迁移到俄罗斯联邦的高薪低技能工作。这些国家面临着人力资本形成方面的损失。
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引用次数: 10
Rainfall and self-selection patterns in Mexico-US migration 墨西哥-美国移民中的降雨和自我选择模式
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/IZAJODM-2020-0022
Shan Li
This article studies the role of rainfall in determining the education composition of Mexico-US migration. Emphasizing the relationship between rainfall and migration costs, a revised Roy model indicates that rainfall affects selection on education through not only households’ liquidity constraints but also the comparisons between changes in migration costs and wage differentials at different levels of education. With retrospective data on the migration history of male Mexicans, the empirical analysis shows that the inverted U-shaped relationship between migration probabilities and education is less dispersed with a higher vertex when rainfall decreases, suggesting higher migration costs and reinforced self-selection patterns. The impacts of rainfall on selection and education are stronger for the migrant stock than for migration flows. Studying how rainfall influences migrants’ return decisions provides consistent results.
本文研究了降雨在决定墨西哥-美国移民的教育构成中的作用。修正后的Roy模型强调了降雨与迁移成本之间的关系,表明降雨不仅通过家庭流动性约束,还通过不同教育水平下迁移成本变化和工资差异的比较来影响教育选择。通过对墨西哥男性迁移历史的回顾性分析,实证分析表明,随着降雨量的减少,迁移概率与教育程度之间的倒u型关系不那么分散,顶点越高,表明迁移成本越高,自我选择模式越强。降雨对迁移种群的选择和教育的影响大于对迁移流量的影响。研究降雨如何影响移民的返回决定提供了一致的结果。
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引用次数: 2
Corruption and the Desire to Leave Quasi-Experimental Evidence on Corruption as a Driver of Emigration Intentions 腐败与希望留下关于腐败作为移民意图驱动因素的准实验证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-01-01 DOI: 10.2478/izajodm-2020-0007
Daniel Auer, Friederike Römer, Jasper Tjaden
Abstract Whether and to what extent corruption drives emigration has received growing attention in the literature in recent years, yet the nature of the relationship remains unclear. To test causal claims, we rely on representative global survey data of more than 280,000 respondents across 67 countries from 2010 to 2014. We use two different measures of emigration intentions and individual, as well as country-level measures of corruption, and propose to instrument the endogenous presence of corruption in a country with the prevalence of cashless transactions in the economy to correct for potential estimation bias. We find robust support for the hypothesis that corruption increases emigration intentions across countries. The effect, however, is likely to be underestimated in conventional models that do not account for endogeneity. The results highlight the need to look beyond purely economic, social, security-related, and environmental drivers when assessing the root causes of migration.
近年来,腐败是否以及在多大程度上推动移民在文献中受到越来越多的关注,但这种关系的本质仍不清楚。为了验证因果关系,我们依赖于2010年至2014年67个国家超过28万名受访者的代表性全球调查数据。我们使用两种不同的移民意图和个人以及国家层面的腐败衡量标准,并建议在经济中普遍存在无现金交易的国家中测量腐败的内生存在,以纠正潜在的估计偏差。我们发现,腐败会增加各国的移民意愿,这一假设得到了强有力的支持。然而,在没有考虑内生性的传统模型中,这种影响可能被低估了。研究结果强调,在评估移民的根本原因时,需要超越纯粹的经济、社会、安全和环境驱动因素。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
IZA Journal of Development and Migration
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