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Impact of Terrorism, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Energy Consumption on the Economic Performance: A Case of South Asian Economies 恐怖主义、外国直接投资和能源消费对经济绩效的影响:以南亚经济体为例
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.2.6
Alam Khan, M. Tahir, I. Haq, Nanthakumar Loganathan
Foreign investment and finance are considered key to economic growth for many economies. In terrorism, these economies directly lose international capital. As a result, it causes an adverse impact on economic development in the countries. Human capital and natural capital factors will be fruitful when the environment is conducive and peaceful. Similarly, energy consumption and FDI would stimulate economic growth, subject to the absence of law-and order issues. This manuscript investigated the impact of terrorism, energy consumption and FDI on economic growth in South Asia over the period from 2002 to 2020. The model’s results display that terrorism and FDI have a negative impact on economic growth in South Asia. The result of energy consumption exhibits a positive and significant influence on economic growth in South Asia. Further, the results indicate that domestic investment and education in South Asia positively impact economic growth. Consequently, it is suggested that the South Asia countries should take appropriate actions to eradicate the problem of terrorism, ensure the availability of energy, and improve the labour force’s skills to achieve desirable economic growth.
外国投资和金融被认为是许多经济体经济增长的关键。在恐怖主义中,这些经济体直接失去了国际资本。因此,它对这些国家的经济发展造成了不利影响。当环境有利且和平时,人力资本和自然资本因素将富有成效。同样,能源消费和外国直接投资将刺激经济增长,前提是不存在法律和秩序问题。本文研究了2002 - 2020年期间南亚地区恐怖主义、能源消费和外国直接投资对经济增长的影响。模型结果表明,恐怖主义和FDI对南亚地区的经济增长具有负向影响。能源消费结果对南亚地区经济增长具有显著的正向影响。此外,研究结果表明,南亚地区的国内投资和教育对经济增长有积极影响。因此,建议南亚各国应采取适当行动,消除恐怖主义问题,确保能源的供应,并提高劳动力的技能,以实现理想的经济增长。
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引用次数: 0
Nexus Between Human Capital, Technology and Economic Growth: The Role of Stages of Economic Development in Asian Countries 人力资本、技术与经济增长的关系:亚洲国家经济发展阶段的作用
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.2.10
Samina Sabir, Sagher Suleria, Amena Sibghatullah, Musarrat Shamshir
This paper explores the effect of human capital and technology on economic growth in Asian countries while considering economic development. The paper expands the Solow Growth model by further incorporating the import of machinery and equipment reflecting total factor productivity. Panel data for 30 Asian countries has been used over 1995-2015. Due to the endogeneity problem in human capital and other variables, the System Generalized Method of Moment (GMM) is used to address this problem. Empirical results reveal that human capital and technology have increased economic growth in the total sample of Asian countries. Furthermore, the sample has been disaggregated into high-income (HI) and low-income (LI) Asian countries. Our findings determine that human capital and technology are reflecting a positive and statistically significant role in enhancing economic growth in both samples of countries. However, the magnitude of the impact is high in HI Asian countries relative to LI Asian countries, respectively. When the import of machinery and equipment are replaced with patents, a positive and insignificant results are obtained for LI countries because these countries have lacked legal systems, but a positive and statistically significant relationship is observed for HI Asian countries.
本文在考虑经济发展的同时,探讨了人力资本和技术对亚洲国家经济增长的影响。本文扩展了索洛增长模型,进一步纳入反映全要素生产率的机械设备进口。本研究使用了1995-2015年间30个亚洲国家的面板数据。由于人力资本和其他变量的内生性问题,采用系统广义矩法(GMM)来解决这一问题。实证结果表明,人力资本和技术对亚洲国家总体经济增长有促进作用。此外,样本被分为高收入(HI)和低收入(LI)亚洲国家。我们的研究结果表明,人力资本和技术在促进两个样本国家的经济增长方面都反映出积极的、统计上显著的作用。然而,相对于低水平亚洲国家,高水平亚洲国家的影响程度更高。当机器和设备的进口被专利所取代时,由于这些国家缺乏法律制度,因此对LI国家获得了积极且不显著的结果,但对HI亚洲国家观察到积极且统计显著的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Prioritising Lean, Agile, Resilient and Green Supply Chain Practices: An Application of Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) in FMCG sector of Pakistan 优先考虑精益、敏捷、弹性和绿色供应链实践:层次分析法(AHP)在巴基斯坦快速消费品行业的应用
Pub Date : 2021-12-31 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.2.1
Arsalan Zahid Piprani, A. Aziz, Zeshan Ahmad
This study prioritises the lean, agile, resilient and green (LARG) supply chain practices in Pakistan’s FMCG sector. This study utilises the AHP methodology to rank the different LARG practices in Pakistan’s FMCG sector. The primary purpose of this analytical study is to recognise and prioritise the usage of these practices to develop the LARG paradigm in the FMCG sector. In this study, various methods have been identified with the help of extensive literature review and discussion with subject matter experts. The results demonstrate that an organisational structure (infrastructure) that can deal with disruption is one of the most critical practices among all LARG practices. The result also indicates that firms should establish resilience in their supply chain network, and is described as the most vital supply chain phenomenon among the LARG category. The study findings provide the direction to the supply chain professional as to which practices are critical for establishing the LARG system in the organisation. Prioritising LARG practices is scant in literature; hence, this study contributes. Also, other recent multi-criteria assessment tools may be used for significant contributions in the future.
本研究优先考虑巴基斯坦快速消费品行业的精益、敏捷、弹性和绿色(LARG)供应链实践。本研究利用AHP方法对巴基斯坦快速消费品行业的不同LARG实践进行排名。本分析研究的主要目的是识别并优先考虑这些实践的使用,以发展快速消费品行业的LARG范式。在这项研究中,通过广泛的文献回顾和与主题专家的讨论,确定了各种方法。结果表明,能够处理中断的组织结构(基础设施)是所有LARG实践中最关键的实践之一。结果还表明,企业应该在其供应链网络中建立弹性,并被描述为LARG类别中最重要的供应链现象。研究结果为供应链专业人员提供了方向,即哪些实践对于在组织中建立LARG系统至关重要。在文献中很少优先考虑LARG实践;因此,这项研究有助于。此外,其他最近的多标准评估工具可能会在未来做出重大贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Role of Business Intelligence in Banking Sector for Achieving Competitive Advantage- An Empirical Analysis 商业智能在银行业获得竞争优势中的作用——一个实证分析
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.6
With recent advancements in information technology, organizations’ capability to acquire and analyze data for efficient decision making has increased. Good strategies promote alignment among processes and technology in use, which may result in better firm performance. However, there has been little focus on how firm strategies and business intelligence (BI) systems might play their part in forming organizational information and getting a competitive edge. Therefore, the purpose of conducting this study is to investigate the impact of firm strategy on firm competitive advantage with mediating role of BI adoption and moderating role of BI capabilities. For this, a quantitative research methodology was used, and data was collected from 300 middle-level managers in Pakistan's telecom sector. Statistical tests such as descriptive statistics, correlation, reliability analysis, one-way ANOVA, confirmatory factor analysis, and mediation analysis through Hayes process were performed using SPSS and AMOS. The findings revealed a positive link between firm strategy and competitive advantage, with business intelligence adoption serving as a mediating factor. Business intelligence capabilities positively moderate the relationship between BI adoption and competitive advantage. Hence, all proposed hypotheses (H1, H2, and H3) were approved. The contribution and Limitation of the study are also discussed.
随着信息技术的进步,组织获取和分析数据以进行有效决策的能力有所提高。良好的战略促进使用中的过程和技术之间的一致性,这可能导致更好的公司绩效。然而,很少有人关注企业战略和商业智能(BI)系统如何在形成组织信息和获得竞争优势方面发挥作用。因此,本研究的目的是探讨企业战略对企业竞争优势的影响,其中商业智能采用的中介作用和商业智能能力的调节作用。为此,采用了定量研究方法,并从巴基斯坦电信部门的300名中层管理人员中收集了数据。采用SPSS和AMOS进行描述性统计、相关性分析、信度分析、单因素方差分析、验证性因子分析、Hayes过程中介分析等统计检验。研究结果显示,企业战略与竞争优势之间存在正相关关系,商业智能的采用是一个中介因素。商业智能能力正调节着商业智能采用与竞争优势之间的关系。因此,所有提出的假设(H1, H2和H3)都被批准。讨论了本研究的贡献和局限性。
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引用次数: 0
Lagged Effect of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Returns: A Case of Firm Size 宏观经济变量对股票收益的滞后效应:以企业规模为例
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.1
The evidence of lagged effect regarding firm size between macroeconomic factors and stock returns is found with GARCH model for the UAE firms. More precisely, exchange rate showed a significant effect on stock returns irrespective of size group and lag level. However, a positive effect is observed at lag four and a negative effect is observed on lag five and two for small and large size firms respectively. For majority of the firms in small size, the risk-free rate showed a negative lagged effect on stock returns; however, for the majority of the firms in large size, it showed a positive lagged effect on stock returns. Inflation also showed a significant effect on stock returns on each lag level except for large firms where at lag five it is insignificant. Moreover, as the lags increase from 1- 4 and size from small to large, the negative effect of inflation converts to positive effect on stock returns. The lag effect of real activity showed both positive and negative effects on relatively larger stock returns of small firms than big firms. Money supply showed positive significant effect on stock returns of all firms irrespective of the size group; however, this relationship is even more prominent at lag five. Finally, the oil prices showed a positive effect on stock returns (large size) which further maximizes at lag two; whereas, a negative maximization takes place at lag three. Hence, investors can make informed and effective decisions and UAE policymakers developed effective measures to control and promote macroeconomic growth and stability.
用GARCH模型对阿联酋公司进行分析,发现宏观经济因素与股票收益之间的企业规模存在滞后效应。更确切地说,汇率对股票收益表现出显著的影响,而不考虑规模群体和滞后水平。然而,在滞后4观察到积极影响,在滞后5和滞后2观察到消极影响,分别为小型和大型企业。对于大多数规模较小的公司,无风险利率对股票收益表现出负滞后效应;然而,对于大多数规模较大的公司,它对股票收益表现出正滞后效应。通货膨胀在每个滞后水平上也显示出对股票回报的显著影响,除了大公司,在滞后5时它不显著。而且,随着滞后从1- 4增大,规模从小到大,通货膨胀对股票收益的负影响转化为正影响。实际活动的滞后效应对小公司比大公司相对较大的股票收益既有正面影响,也有负面影响。货币供应量对所有企业的股票收益均有显著的正影响;然而,这种关系在滞后5时更加突出。最后,石油价格对股票收益(大尺寸)表现出正影响,并在滞后2时进一步最大化;然而,负最大化发生在滞后3。因此,投资者可以做出明智和有效的决策,阿联酋决策者制定了有效的措施来控制和促进宏观经济的增长和稳定。
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引用次数: 1
Value Investment Strategies and Asset Pricing: A Case of Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX) 价值投资策略与资产定价——以巴基斯坦证券交易所为例
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.3
The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) measures only a linear relationship between the Risk and the Return. However, market dynamics and anomalies calls for understanding the relationship in between risk and return from non-linear perspective. Thus, current study explores an opportunity to study asset value anomalies by Constructing Decile Portfolio for the period starting from 2001 to 2018 with 900 firms listed. GMM (Generalized method of moment and Wald test are applied to see the robustness of results. For further analysis, Risk Adjusted CAPM, Fama French 3 Factor (FF3) and 5 Factor (FF5) are applied. Empirical results indicate that value effect and debt to equity ratio are essential factors and genuinely explain what CAPM fails to explain. The findings from the study recommend that investing in High value and high leverage firm will generate abnormal returns to investors. Taking long position in high value firm and short position in low value firms and same with debt to equity anomaly. The results will help financial analyst develop investment strategies for well diversified and efficient portfolios. These results can also be helpful to financial firm and security analyst in the financial market where they can take appropriate capital budget decisions while investing.
资本资产定价模型(CAPM)仅衡量风险与收益之间的线性关系。然而,市场动态和异常需要从非线性的角度来理解风险与回报之间的关系。因此,本研究通过构建2001年至2018年期间900家上市公司的十分位投资组合,探索了研究资产价值异常的机会。采用广义矩法和Wald检验检验结果的稳健性。进一步分析采用风险调整CAPM、Fama French 3 Factor (FF3)和5 Factor (FF5)。实证结果表明,价值效应和负债权益比是关键因素,能够真实地解释CAPM无法解释的问题。研究结果表明,投资于高价值、高杠杆的公司会给投资者带来异常回报。在高价值公司做多,在低价值公司做空,与债股比异常相同。结果将有助于金融分析师制定投资策略,良好的多元化和高效的投资组合。这些结果也可以帮助金融市场上的金融公司和证券分析师在投资时做出适当的资本预算决策。
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引用次数: 0
Leadership Driven Job Crafting: Exploring the Mediating Role of Meaningfulness between Servant Leadership and Job Crafting 领导驱动的工作制作:仆人式领导与工作制作之间意义性的中介作用探讨
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.7
The current study was undertaken to ascertain the mediating role of meaningfulness linking servant leadership (SL) to employees’ job crafting behavior (JCB). The study also endeavors to find the association between meaningfulness and JCB. This study collected data from 689 service sector employees through survey design. Data were processed and analyzed through PLS-SMART and SPSS mainly. The findings manifested a relation between meaningfulness and employees' job crafting behavior.Similarly, SL significantly impacted both meaningfulness and employees’ job crafting behavior. The results also unraveled the mediating role of meaningfulness between SL and JCB of the employees. The research has ascertained the previously unexplored mediating role of meaningfulness between SL and JCB. It is also the first study that attempted to explore meaningfulness as a stimulus to job crafting behavior.
本研究旨在探讨意义性在仆人式领导(SL)与员工工作制作行为(JCB)之间的中介作用。本研究也试图找出意义与JCB之间的关系。本研究通过问卷调查的方式收集了689名服务业从业人员的数据。数据主要通过PLS-SMART和SPSS进行处理和分析。研究结果表明了意义与员工的工作创造行为之间的关系。同样,SL对意义性和员工的工作制作行为都有显著影响。研究结果还揭示了意义性在员工的SL和JCB之间的中介作用。本研究确定了先前未被探索过的意义性在语用与JCB之间的中介作用。这也是第一个试图探索意义作为工作创造行为的刺激因素的研究。
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引用次数: 0
Financial Literacy and Financial Satisfaction: A Moderated Mediation Analysis of Self-Esteem and Financial Behavior 金融素养与金融满意度:自尊与金融行为的中介分析
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.5
Recent studies suggest that domain-specific behavior contributes to domain-specific satisfaction. It is believed that finance-specific literacy brings positive financial behavior and healthy financial behavior further contributes to financial satisfaction. In general, this study has been undertaken to examine the effect of financial literacy on financial behavior and financial satisfaction. Data have been collected from 326 participants by using a self-administered questionnaire. Linear regression has been applied to test the hypotheses, while Preacher and Hayes method has been used to estimate the moderation and mediation effect. There is less knowledge about the mechanism that may clarify the link between financial literacy and level of financial satisfaction. This paper is the first of its kind in Pakistan to investigate the relationship between financial literacy and individual’s financial satisfaction with intervening role of financial behavior and moderating role of self-esteem. Study findings reveal that financial literacy is significantly related to both financial behavior and financial satisfaction. Further it is also observed that financial behavior plays intervening role in the relationship between financial literacy and financial satisfaction. Findings also reveal that self-esteem does not affect the link between financial behavior of individuals and financial literacy. This study provides several significant implications for individuals, organizations, academicians and policy makers, in the sense that increasing financial literacy is essential to form positive and healthy financial behavior which ultimately increases individual’s financial satisfaction with financial situation.
最近的研究表明,特定领域的行为有助于特定领域的满意度。理财素养带来积极的理财行为,健康的理财行为进一步促进理财满意度。总的来说,这项研究是为了检验财务素养对财务行为和财务满意度的影响。通过使用自我管理的问卷,从326名参与者中收集了数据。采用线性回归对假设进行检验,采用传教士和海耶斯方法对调节和中介效应进行估计。关于金融知识和财务满意度之间的联系的机制的知识较少。本文在巴基斯坦国内首次探讨了金融素养与个人金融满意度之间的关系,并通过金融行为的干预作用和自尊的调节作用进行了研究。研究结果显示,金融知识是金融行为和金融满意度显著相关。此外,我们还观察到财务行为在财务素养与财务满意度的关系中起着中介作用。研究结果还表明,自尊并不影响个人理财行为与理财素养之间的联系。本研究为个人、组织、学者和政策制定者提供了几个重要的启示,在某种意义上说,提高金融知识对于形成积极健康的金融行为至关重要,最终提高个人对金融状况的金融满意度。
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引用次数: 1
Too Much Choice and Consumer Decision Making: The Moderating Role of Consumer Involvement 过多选择与消费者决策:消费者参与的调节作用
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.2
The study attempts to explore the choice available for grocery consumers and its impact on decision-making. The study's design includes the consumer's personal involvement towards the purchase, the emotions, and subsequent satisfaction. For a moderated-mediation model, the data set of 401 respondents were finalized to test the measurement and structural models. The research has established that it is not necessary that consumers are always happy when they have more choices available. Further, it was also established that involvement has a role to play in the emotions which lead to purchasing intentions. The involvement perspective in the model makes this study unique because the part of consumer involvement as a moderator to choices and emotions has not been studied before extensively. The manufacturers must determine the array of choices because producing variety does not always generate more revenues in this part of the world. The study opens new avenues for the researchers to dig into the details and identify consumer behaviors when various choices for consumers are available.
这项研究试图探索食品杂货消费者的选择及其对决策的影响。该研究的设计包括消费者对购买的个人参与、情感和随后的满意度。对于一个有调节的中介模型,最终确定了401名被调查者的数据集,以测试测量和结构模型。研究表明,当消费者有更多的选择时,他们不一定总是快乐的。此外,还确定了参与在导致购买意图的情绪中发挥作用。模型中的涉入视角使本研究具有独特性,因为消费者涉入对选择和情绪的调节作用此前尚未得到广泛研究。制造商必须确定一系列选择,因为在世界的这个地区,生产多样化并不总是能带来更多的收入。这项研究为研究人员深入研究细节和识别消费者在不同选择时的行为开辟了新的途径。
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引用次数: 1
Determining the Real Exchange Rate Equilibrium for Pakistan 确定巴基斯坦的实际汇率均衡
Pub Date : 2021-06-30 DOI: 10.31384/jisrmsse/2021.19.1.9
The achievement of macroeconomic stability and sustained economic growth are the main targets of macroeconomic agents and policymakers. High volatility in Real Effective Exchange Rate (REER) is noticed while moving towards flexible Exchange rate regime. Three assessment methodologies are followed in the paper i.e. PPP approach, PPP approach adjusted for Penn effect and reduced form equation approach to gauge REER misalignment. VAR modelling suggest that, PPP holds for Pakistan and Penn effect is witnessed in the country for FY1980-FY12018. The determinants of REER, like “openness to GDP ratio, Govt consumption to GDP ratio, Long term Investment to GDP ratio, relative productivity and terms of trade” are responsible for depreciation in REER. While, worker remittances and FDI leads towards the REER appreciation in. It is indispensable to opt for the devaluation of PKR to gain export competitiveness, which may result in shrinkage of current account deficit. To increase the productivity of tradable items and to reduce the GOVT consumption of imported items are few steps to push REER towards equilibrium level. As per the state of art model the range of misalignment in REER is from -3.9% to 4.2% in Pakistan.
实现宏观经济稳定和持续的经济增长是宏观经济主体和决策者的主要目标。在向弹性汇率体制迈进的过程中,我们注意到实际有效汇率的高波动性。本文采用了三种评估方法,即PPP方法、经Penn效应调整的PPP方法和简化形式方程方法来衡量REER偏差。VAR模型表明,PPP适用于巴基斯坦,1980财年至2018财年,该国出现了佩恩效应。REER的决定因素,如“对GDP的开放比率、政府消费与GDP的比率、长期投资与GDP的比率、相对生产率和贸易条件”,是导致REER贬值的原因。而工人汇款和外国直接投资导致REER升值。为了获得出口竞争力,选择卢比贬值是必不可少的,这可能导致经常项目赤字的缩小。提高可贸易项目的生产率和减少政府对进口项目的消费是将REER推向平衡水平的几个步骤。根据最先进的模型,巴基斯坦REER的偏差范围从-3.9%到4.2%。
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引用次数: 0
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Journal of Independent Studies and Research-Management, Social Sciences and Economics
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