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COVID-19 risk perception and political actors: how confidence in the government or opposition affected risk perception during the Italian lockdown 2019冠状病毒病风险认知和政治行为者:意大利封锁期间对政府或反对派的信心如何影响风险认知
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-13 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2278349
Andrea Marchesi, Nicola De Luigi
ABSTRACTThis paper investigates the connections between the socio-demographic patterns of COVID-19 risk perception and the influence of confidence in the government or opposition during the first Italian lockdown. Confidence in political actors is used as a proxy for the adoption of the interpretative frames they provide. Socio-demographic characteristics are crucial in understanding the perception of risks ascribed to a specific event. However, the politicization of such events and the subsequent production of interpretative frames by political actors gives rise to further crucial factors when the event is characterized by ‘uncertainty’. This empirical analysis is based on primary data from a survey conducted in Italy during the last three weeks of closures (26 April−17 May 2020, N = 1,704) and clearly shows that the most worried respondents were women, elderly people, those living in the north of Italy, those with an upper-secondary school level of education or those with a job in the socio-cultural professions. Accounting for confidence in the government or opposition shows that respondents who have a higher degree of confidence in the opposition were less worried than those with a higher degree of confidence in the government. As politicization of the pandemic primarily divided those in favour and those opposed to the strict measures to limit infections at the expense of the health of the economy and personal freedom, the positions of respondents on these two trade-offs (economy/lockdown and freedom/lockdown) are accounted for. The analysis shows that position on these two dimensions completely reflects the association between confidence in political actors and risk perceptions – apart from the elderly, those resident in the north of Italy and socio-cultural professionals. These results provide insights into the literature assessing the socio-demographic patterns of COVID-19 risk perception and the politicization of the pandemic.KEYWORDS: COVID-19risk perceptionpolitical attitudessocio-demographic characteristics Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Notes1. The associations between socio-demographic characteristics and risk perception are introduced in the first section.2. The government and opposition were the main political entities with decision-making and legislative powers during lockdown.3. Such frames define the risks associated with a disease and actual victims in different ways. Furthermore, victims can be ascribed to both the disease and the measures enacted (Staniland and Smith Citation2013).4. These governments opted for a ‘moralizing’ discursive strategy, feeding concerns about the virus with the aim of achieving compliance in order to minimize the number of infected people (Monaghan Citation2020). As seen in previous epidemics, such a frame competed with another focused on the minimization of the health aftermath of the disease to avoid social and economic strains.5. Mass media comm
最后的数据来自请求作者。在最后的样本中,他经常分发2018张不同的选票。截至2019年12月31日,意大利选举的六月报调查被用于参考统计数据。资料来源:https://dait.interno.gov.it/elezioni/rilevazione-semestrale。这些参考统计数据不包括像年龄和教育这样的社会人口变量。特雷弗,那个被雇佣的人,不适合我们分析扭曲现象,与特定社会群体的过度和代表性不足有关。问题的英文版本是:“请说明你对下列备选方案的立场。健康面对:必须尽可能保持遏制回家,即使这意味着一个经济条件恶化和失业的增加(1)—必须使家里约束更加灵活,以便尽快恢复经济尽管这可能会带来更大的传播病毒(5)14。问题的英文版本是:“关于为应对当前的大流行而采取的措施,你会把你的观点放在哪里?”她认为,即使有限制个人自由的代价,也应该限制传染。与H1相关的是,在分析中,相对的信心构成了关键的独立变量,而这两种态度是雇佣来测试H2和h3.16的独立变量。参见附录A2中包含回归模型的四个连续变量的平均、标准偏差、最小值和最大值。oesch (Citation2006) 8级方案。那些没有工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人,那些不能工作的人根据这一计划,社会文化专业人士包括那些具有高市场技能和人际互动水平的内生专业/管理工作,e.g.医学博士和大学/学校教师。变量是对响应日期的生成,在第一个“reopening”措施之前和之后存在差异。《城市2020》提供了意大利政府为处理covi -19紧急情况而制定的三个阶段的精确蓝图。为了一个梭罗展示模型1的结果,请参见Marchesi and De Luigi (Citation2022)。必须强调的是,在距离东北和中心不远的地方,住宅面积减少时,必须尊重M1和M2。The之间的差异在风险perception The north west and The south and岛increases M3 (M1(−−3%)with症结的2%)和M3 decreases with症结。22平方米(−4%)。与第一个模型(M1)相比,完整模型(M3)中较低的值,而相反的模式与35 - 64年龄群体有关,应该注意到这一点。对于住宅区域:M3比M1更低的风险感知值。变量被认为是对官方选举结果的三个主要政党的投票结果的反应者的数量的高度集中。考虑到信息的敏感性,受访者被允许跳过这个问题,或者决定不在2018年的大选中投票。2018年。调查正在意大利进行。作者准备翻译并支持翻译请求中的问题和项目。Additional informationNotes on贡献者andrea MarchesiAndrea Marchesi持有BVA Doxa研究与管理主管的职位。他参加了博洛尼亚大学的政治和社会科学博士项目。尼古拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉·德·路易吉尼科拉他是博洛尼亚大学政治和社会科学博士项目科学委员会的成员。
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引用次数: 0
Participating and non-participating in Italy. The COVID-19 as a cleavage? 参与和不参与意大利。COVID-19是一个裂痕?
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-10 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2267243
Luigi Ceccarini, Fabio Turato
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引用次数: 0
The Meloni government one year on 一年之后,梅洛尼政府
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-02 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2272360
James L. Newell
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引用次数: 0
You want me, but I no longer want you. The punishment-reward mechanism and institutional quality in Italian regions 你需要我,我却不再需要你。意大利地区奖惩机制与制度质量
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-24 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2258470
Marzia Ippolito, Salvatore Ercolano, Lorenzo Cicatiello
ABSTRACTFollowing the principal theory concerning the foundations of voting behaviour it is possible to assert that citizens hold politicians and their parties accountable through their votes. From this perspective, if citizens perceive the quality of local institutions to be a result of the policies enacted by local authorities they may punish or reward the incumbent parties. By means of a quantitative approach, our results, based on the analysis of 15 different election rounds, show that various dimensions of institutional quality impact voting behaviour in Italian provinces. The punishment-reward mechanism suggests that political preferences change because local institutions lack quality.KEYWORDS: Punishment-reward mechanismquality of institutionsvoting behaviourItalian provinces Disclosure statementNo potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).Compliance with ethical standardsThe authors have no conflicts of interest to declare. All co-authors have seen and agree with the contents of the manuscript and there is no financial interest to report. We certify that the submission is original work and is not under review for any other publication.Additional informationNotes on contributorsMarzia IppolitoMarzia Ippolito is a research fellow at the University of Basilicata - Department of Mathematics, Computer Science and Economics. Her research focuses on public economy; data analysis and quantitative methods; economic inequality, and political and economic trends in the European Union.Salvatore ErcolanoSalvatore Ercolano is Associate Professor of political economy at the University of Basilicata. His research focuses on political economy; public economics; environmental economics; cultural economics, and the evaluation of public policies.Lorenzo CicatielloLorenzo Cicatiello is Assistant Professor of economics in the Department of Human and Social Sciences, University of Naples L’Orientale. His research focuses on transparency, institutions and political participation.
摘要根据有关投票行为基础的主要理论,可以断言公民通过投票对政治家及其政党负责。从这个角度来看,如果公民认为地方机构的质量是地方当局制定的政策的结果,他们可能会惩罚或奖励现任政党。通过定量方法,我们的结果基于对15轮不同选举的分析,表明制度质量的各个维度影响意大利各省的投票行为。奖惩机制表明,由于地方制度缺乏质量,政治偏好发生了变化。关键词:奖惩机制机构质量投票行为意大利各省披露声明作者未报告潜在的利益冲突。作者无利益冲突需要声明。所有共同作者都看过并同意稿件内容,没有经济利益需要报告。我们保证提交的作品是原创作品,没有被任何其他出版物审查过。作者简介:marzia Ippolito是巴西利卡塔大学数学、计算机科学和经济系的一名研究员。她的研究重点是公共经济;数据分析和定量方法;经济不平等,以及欧盟的政治和经济趋势。Salvatore Ercolano是巴西利卡塔大学政治经济学副教授。他的研究重点是政治经济学;公共经济学;环境经济学;文化经济学,以及公共政策的评估。Lorenzo Cicatiello,那不勒斯东方大学人文与社会科学系经济学助理教授。他的研究重点是透明度、制度和政治参与。
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引用次数: 0
An obituary for Silvio Berlusconi 西尔维奥·贝卢斯科尼的讣告
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2233192
James L. Newell
The publication of this special issue, devoted to the role of the President of the Republic, coincides with the end of an era in Italian politics, marked by the death of Silvio Berlusconi. Berlusconi contributed to the developing political role of the head of state in a number of ways. The first came with the so-called ‘ribaltone’ in 1994/95, when the collapse of the entrepreneur’s first government led to its replacement by a technocratic government supported by the Lega Nord (Northern League, NL) and the parties of the centre left. Then, Berlusconi had complained bitterly at the President’s decision to appoint the new government rather than to dissolve Parliament. Berlusconi argued that as Prime Minister, he had received a direct popular mandate, that his government had collapsed thanks to the treachery of one of its components (the NL) and that therefore there should be fresh elections for the conferral of a new mandate. That President Oscar Luigi Scafaro was able to resist this line of reasoning – in any case incorrect: in parliamentary democracies, voters elect legislatures, not governments, whose legitimacy in turn derives from their enjoying the confidence of the legislature – did much to strengthen the presidential role in the new context of party-system bi-polarity that had been ushered in with the election of 1994. It was arguably due to this ‘spat’ between Berlusconi and Scalfaro that the entrepreneur’s 2005 constitutional reform project included proposals limiting the two most significant presidential powers: the power to dissolve Parliament (article 88, Cost.) and the power to appoint ‘the President of the Council of Ministers and, on their proposal, the Ministers’ (article 92, Cost.). The project failed to achieve the necessary ratification in the constitutional referendum held the following year. However, had the project gone ahead; then, the resignation of a prime minister would have prevented the legislature from forming a majority different from the one resulting from the election and – in the absence of a willingness of the latter majority to carry on under a different prime minister – obliged the President to dissolve. Presidents would have lost all discretion in the appointment of prime ministers – whose appointments would have been expressly tied to ‘the results of the elections for the Chamber of Deputies’ – and their power to appoint ministers would have been transferred to the Prime Minister. The events surrounding Berlusconi’s resignation in 2011, in the wake of the Eurozone crisis, suggested to many that by then Italy had acquired a de facto semi-presidential system of government. As Berlusconi’s authority began to decline significantly during the summer of that year, President Napolitano was able to play an active role in getting anticrisis budget measures passed in record time. By the autumn, Berlusconi was facing the threat of a vote of no confidence in the face of which he made a last-ditch attempt to save his positi
这期专门介绍共和国总统作用的特刊的出版恰逢意大利政治时代的结束,西尔维奥·贝卢斯科尼去世。贝卢斯科尼在许多方面为国家元首的政治角色发展做出了贡献。第一次是在1994/95年出现的所谓的“ribaltone”,当时这位企业家的第一届政府垮台,取而代之的是由北方联盟和中左翼政党支持的技术官僚政府。当时,贝卢斯科尼对总统任命新政府而不是解散议会的决定怨声载道。贝卢斯科尼辩称,作为总理,他得到了民众的直接授权,他的政府由于其组成部分之一(国家联盟)的背叛而垮台,因此应该举行新的选举来授予新的授权。总统奥斯卡·路易吉·斯卡法罗能够抵制这种推理——无论如何都是不正确的:在议会民主国家,选民选举立法机构,而不是政府,他们的合法性反过来源于他们对立法机构的信任——在1994年大选带来的两党制新背景下,他们在很大程度上加强了总统的作用。可以说,正是由于贝卢斯科尼和斯卡法罗之间的“口水战”,这位企业家2005年的宪法改革项目包括了限制两项最重要的总统权力的提案:解散议会的权力(第88条,成本)和任命“部长会议主席,并根据他们的提议任命部长”的权利(第92条,成本。)。该项目未能在次年举行的宪法公民投票中获得必要的批准。然而,该项目是否继续进行;然后,总理的辞职将阻止立法机构形成与选举产生的多数不同的多数,并且在后者不愿意在另一位总理的领导下继续执政的情况下,迫使总统解散。总统在任命总理时将失去所有自由裁量权——总理的任命将明确与“众议院选举结果”挂钩——他们任命部长的权力将移交给总理。2011年欧元区危机后,围绕贝卢斯科尼辞职的事件向许多人表明,当时意大利已经获得了事实上的半总统制政府。那年夏天,随着贝卢斯科尼的权威开始大幅下降,纳波利塔诺总统能够在创纪录的时间内发挥积极作用,通过反危机预算措施。到了秋天,贝卢斯科尼面临着不信任投票的威胁,面对不信任投票,他做出了最后的努力,承诺一旦与欧盟达成的一揽子反危机措施获得通过,他将辞职,以保住自己的职位。与此同时,他可能会挽救自己的多数席位,最终避免不得不兑现承诺。相反,《当代意大利政治2023》,第15卷,第3期,283-286https://doi.org/10.1080/23248823.2023.2233192
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引用次数: 0
Political news diets and political attitudes in the 2019 EU elections in Italy 2019年意大利欧盟选举中的政治新闻饮食和政治态度
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-20 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2227522
S. Bentivegna, R. Rega
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引用次数: 0
The presidential ‘accordion’ plays for us all 总统的手风琴为我们大家演奏
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-16 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2225263
F. Musella, M. Valbruzzi
ABSTRACT More than any other president of a contemporary parliamentary democracy, the Italian head of state has played a significant political role. Indeed, since the transformation of the Italian party system in 1992–3 and especially in times of economic crisis or political turmoil, Italian presidents have actively intervened in a significant way to safeguard the Constitution and improve the working of the Italian political system. In this context, the ‘extended presidency’ of Sergio Mattarella, originally elected in 2015 and then re-elected for a second, exceptional term in 2022, is no exception to the rule. As a matter of fact, the re-election of Mattarella (after the – at the time unprecedented – re-election of Giorgio Napolitano in 2013) has not only strengthened the role of the head of state vis-à-vis other political institutions and even more so the political parties, but it has even raised a number of questions concerning the very nature of Italy’s parliamentary regime. Against this backdrop, this article analyses, from different analytical perspectives, the evolving role of the president of the Republic within the changing Italian political system by taking into consideration presidents’ relationships – not always smooth – with the political parties, their atypical style of political communication (both online and offline), their exercise of executive power and, finally, their peculiar contribution to that process of more or less covert presidentialisation that has characterized Italian politics since the early 1990s.
摘要意大利国家元首比当代议会民主国家的任何其他总统都发挥了重要的政治作用。事实上,自1992-3年意大利政党制度转型以来,特别是在经济危机或政治动荡时期,意大利总统积极干预,以维护宪法,改善意大利政治制度的运作。在这种情况下,塞尔吉奥·马塔雷拉(Sergio Mattarella)的“延长总统任期”也不例外,他最初于2015年当选,然后在2022年再次当选,获得第二个特殊任期。事实上,马塔雷拉的连任(在2013年乔治·纳波利塔诺(Giorgio Napolitano)史无前例的连任之后)不仅加强了国家元首相对于其他政治机构甚至政党的作用,而且甚至引发了许多关于意大利议会制度本质的问题。在此背景下,本文从不同的分析角度分析了共和国总统在不断变化的意大利政治体系中不断演变的角色,考虑到总统与政党的关系——并不总是一帆风顺——他们非典型的政治沟通风格(线上和线下),他们对行政权力的行使,以及他们对自20世纪90年代初以来意大利政治中或多或少的秘密总统化进程的独特贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Prime Ministers in Europe. Changing career experiences and profiles 欧洲各国首相。改变职业经历和个人形象
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-16 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2225974
F. Musella
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引用次数: 2
Between love and hate: party members and the new forms of participation 爱与恨之间:党员与新的参与形式
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-11 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2222454
Stefano Rombi, F. Serricchio
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引用次数: 0
Italy in the Council of the European Union: votes and statements 意大利在欧洲联盟理事会:投票和发言
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-01 DOI: 10.1080/23248823.2023.2220187
M. Giuliani
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Contemporary Italian Politics
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