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The COVID-19 Pandemic, Airbnb and Housing Market Dynamics in Warsaw COVID-19大流行,爱彼迎和华沙住房市场动态
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.1.524
R. Trojanek, Poland Business, Michał Głuszak, Michał Hebdzyński, Justyna Tanas
In this study, we analyse the impact of COVID-19 on house rents and prices in Warsaw, the capital of Poland. Hedonic indexes indicate a slight increase in prices (ca. 1.2%) and a substantial drop in long-term rents (ca. -7.7%) between March 2020 and December 2020. The largest decline in rents occurred in centrally located neighbourhoods, which was largely due to the inflow of new housing supply from the short-term rental market (the Airbnb Warsaw market shrank by almost 30% in December 2020 y/y). Using hedonic methods, we show the effect of the shrinking Airbnb market on the drop in long-term rents. The study indicates the elasticity of rents with respect to Airbnb supply, with a 1% change in Airbnb listings leading to a 0.031% change in rents.
在这项研究中,我们分析了新冠肺炎对波兰首都华沙房屋租金和价格的影响。Hedonic指数显示,2020年3月至2020年12月期间,价格略有上涨(约1.2%),长期租金大幅下降(约7.7%)。租金下降幅度最大的是位于市中心的街区,这主要是由于短期租赁市场的新住房供应流入(2020年12月,Airbnb Warsaw市场同比萎缩了近30%)。使用享乐方法,我们展示了Airbnb市场萎缩对长期租金下降的影响。该研究表明,租金相对于Airbnb供应的弹性,Airbnb房源的1%变化导致租金的0.031%变化。
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引用次数: 27
Challenging the Discourse around the Impacts of Airbnb through Suburbs Not Cities: Lessons from Australia and COVID-19 通过郊区而不是城市挑战围绕Airbnb影响的话语:来自澳大利亚和COVID-19的教训
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.1.530
Caitlin Buckle, P. Phibbs
Supporters of short-term rental (STR) platforms state that STRs represent a small fraction of the housing market of major cities and therefore have little impact on rents. However, there is emerging evidence that suggests that STRs have highly localised impacts. In this article, we use the natural experiment of the pause in tourism caused by the COVID-19 pandemic to highlight the impact of a decrease in STR listings on rental markets in the case study city of Hobart, Australia. We find that rental affordability has improved in Hobart’s STR-dense suburbs with the increased vacancies from the underutilised STR properties. These results provide evidence of the impact of STRs on local housing markets when analysed on a finer scale than the whole-of-city approach. The focus on local housing markets helps local communities and city governments build an argument for the impact of STRs on tight housing markets.
短租(STR)平台的支持者表示,短租只占大城市住房市场的一小部分,因此对租金的影响很小。然而,有新出现的证据表明,str具有高度局部化的影响。在本文中,我们以澳大利亚霍巴特为例,利用COVID-19大流行导致的旅游业暂停的自然实验,突出了STR房源减少对租赁市场的影响。我们发现,随着未充分利用的STR物业的空置率增加,霍巴特STR密集郊区的租金负担能力有所改善。与整个城市的方法相比,在更精细的范围内分析这些结果,为str对当地房地产市场的影响提供了证据。对当地住房市场的关注有助于当地社区和市政府为str对紧张的住房市场的影响建立论据。
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引用次数: 6
Interpretation and Representation in Housing Policy Discourse as Exemplified by Council Tenants’ Participation in the Jazdów Estate (Warsaw) 房屋政策话语的诠释与表达——以公屋住户参与Jazdów屋苑为例(华沙)
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.1.518
Aleksandra Zubrzycka-Czarnecka
The goal of this paper is to demonstrate the usefulness of the What’s the Problem Represented to Be approach (WPR), a tool of policy analysis developed by the Australian political scientist Carol Bacchi to examine the discursive representations of council tenants’ participation in connection with the inclusion of council housing tenants from the Jazdów Estate in the decision-making process relating to local housing policy in Warsaw. The article identifies two discursive representations of council tenants’ participation: (1) council tenants as an expected passive audience in top-down policymaking and (2) the limited acceptance of the agency of council tenants in policymaking. It was found that in Warsaw - or at least in the case of Jazdów - the political and discursive interpretation of tenants’ participation is primarily associated with the act of informing and less often with public consultation or the co-production of housing policy.
本文的目标是证明“问题代表是什么”方法(WPR)的有用性,这是澳大利亚政治学家卡罗尔·巴奇(Carol Bacchi)开发的一种政策分析工具,用于研究理事会租户参与的话语表征,并将Jazdów地产的理事会住房租户纳入与华沙当地住房政策相关的决策过程。本文确定了市租客参与的两种话语表征:(1)市租客在自上而下的政策制定中是预期的被动受众;(2)市租客在政策制定中的代理被有限地接受。研究发现,在华沙,或者至少在Jazdów的情况下,对租户参与的政治和话语解释主要与告知行为有关,而很少与公众咨询或共同制定住房政策有关。
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引用次数: 0
Normalisation of the Speculative Frame Method and Its Application to the Housing Market in Poland 投机框架方法的正常化及其在波兰住房市场的应用
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.1.521
Justyna Brzezicka, P. Olsztyn, R. Wiśniewski
This article proposes the normalisation of the speculative frame method for identifying real estate bubbles, price shocks, and other disturbances in the real estate market. This index-based method relies on time series data and real estate prices. In this article, the speculative frame method was elaborated and normalised with the use of equations for normalising data sets and research methodologies. The method is discussed on the example of the Polish housing market.
本文提出了规范投机框架的方法来识别房地产泡沫、价格冲击和其他房地产市场的干扰。这种基于指数的方法依赖于时间序列数据和房地产价格。在这篇文章中,投机框架方法被详细阐述和规范化与使用方程规范化数据集和研究方法。并以波兰房地产市场为例对该方法进行了讨论。
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引用次数: 2
Introduction to the Special Issue: Short-term Rentals and the Housing Market 特刊简介:短期租金与房屋市场
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.1.526
Nicole Gurran, D. Redmond
Editorial.
社论。
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引用次数: 0
Why Has the COVID-19 Pandemic Had a Limited Impact on the Primary Housing Market in Poland? 为什么COVID-19大流行对波兰一级住房市场的影响有限?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.2.534
H. Augustyniak, J. Łaszek, K. Olszewski, W. Joanna
In this paper we present the first insights into the as yet unexamined impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the primary housing market in Poland, with a focus on Warsaw, which is the largest real estate market in the country. We explain the structural features that allowed the market to return to pre-shock levels after the pandemic shock. After the 2007–2008 global financial crisis the negative consequences lasted for several years. This time a sharp monetary policy and fiscal intervention was carried out. Moreover, the developer sector has expanded its production capacity. We show empirically that through monopolistic competition developers were able to restrict the excessive demand that was observed before the COVID-19 pandemic broke out. Another important structural change was the increase in the demand for housing, mainly for investment purposes, which was financed predominantly with cash and contributed to the growth of the rental market.
在本文中,我们首次深入分析了COVID-19大流行对波兰一级住房市场的影响,并将重点放在波兰最大的房地产市场华沙。我们解释了使市场在大流行冲击后恢复到冲击前水平的结构性特征。2007-2008年全球金融危机之后,负面影响持续了数年。这一次,实施了严厉的货币政策和财政干预。此外,开发商也扩大了生产能力。我们的实证研究表明,通过垄断竞争,开发商能够限制COVID-19大流行爆发前观察到的过度需求。另一个重要的结构性变化是住房需求的增加,主要是出于投资目的,这主要是用现金供资,并促进了租赁市场的增长。
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引用次数: 4
Housing as a Political Tool: Gender Inequality in Student Accommodation in Iran 住房作为一种政治工具:伊朗学生住宿中的性别不平等
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2021.8.2.535
Parian Hoseini, Pooriya Mohseni
This paper studies the gender inequalities in university-provided student accommodation in Babolsar, Iran, in relation to the role of the dominant political power and its approach in shaping the physical form of public dormitories and the living conditions of students. Secondary data analysis based on a questionnaire survey is utilised, and the results show that in numerous physical and non-physical ways women’s public dormitories are designed and controlled in favour of the dominant political power and against the wishes of their residents. This research examines how the ideological and cultural background permeates institutional practices in housing and affects the living conditions of a disadvantaged social group, which can open a discussion on the role of housing in social exclusion.
本文研究了伊朗Babolsar大学提供的学生宿舍中的性别不平等,涉及主导政治权力的作用及其在塑造公共宿舍的物理形式和学生生活条件方面的方法。利用基于问卷调查的二次数据分析,结果表明,在许多物理和非物理方式中,女性公共宿舍的设计和控制有利于占主导地位的政治权力,违背了居民的意愿。本研究考察了意识形态和文化背景如何渗透到住房的制度实践中,并影响弱势社会群体的生活条件,这可以开启住房在社会排斥中的作用的讨论。
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引用次数: 0
Introduction to the Special Issue: Varieties of Housing Regime Approaches 特刊简介:住房制度方法的多样性
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2020.7.1.498
J. Hegedüs
Housing regimes are a key concept in comparative housing sociology. This issue of the online publication CHA contains seven articles which, in line with the publication’s aims, all contribute short outlines of original insights on this topic. The broader literature of housing regimes includes a variety of sometimes conflicting approaches, which poses a serious challenge. I would like to highlight five methodological/research problems which differentiate these theories/approaches: the problem of structure and agency; the extension of welfare regime theory to housing; whether housing regimes are to serve as a theory or a framework; the convergence versus divergence approach; the “time and scale” of regime theories. The writings in this special edition take different positions regarding these questions.
住房制度是比较住房社会学中的一个关键概念。本期在线出版物CHA包含七篇文章,根据该出版物的目标,所有文章都简要介绍了对该主题的原创见解。更广泛的住房制度文献包括各种有时相互冲突的方法,这构成了一个严重的挑战。我想强调区分这些理论/方法的五个方法论/研究问题:结构和代理问题;福利制度理论对住房的延伸;住房制度是作为一种理论还是一种框架;收敛与发散方法;政权理论的“时间和规模”。本特刊中的著作对这些问题采取了不同的立场。
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引用次数: 1
Classifying Housing Regimes. Is it Worth Doing? What are the Alternatives? 住房制度分类。值得做吗?备选方案是什么?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2020.7.1.502
M. Ball
Comparative housing research is hindered by attempts to provide broad empirical categorisations of types of Housing Regimes and their equivalents and sweeping cross-country generalisations about their effects. Regime theory is right to recognise the housing provision is and can be organised in different ways but proselytises too strongly. Real issues and policy debates in countries are instead embedded in the existence of specific, tenure related, networks of housing provision and they widely differ across the world. Taking that on board can lead to more fruitful understandings.
由于试图对住房制度及其等价物的类型进行广泛的实证分类,并对其影响进行全面的跨国概括,比较住房研究受到了阻碍。政权理论正确地认识到,住房供应是而且可以以不同的方式组织起来,但传教过于强烈。相反,各国的实际问题和政策辩论植根于特定的、与保有权相关的住房供应网络的存在中,它们在世界各地差异很大。考虑到这一点可以导致更富有成果的理解。
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引用次数: 5
Towards a Political Economy of the Private Rental Sector 走向私人租赁行业的政治经济学
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2020-06-01 DOI: 10.13060/23362839.2020.7.1.507
Michael Byrne
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引用次数: 3
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Critical Housing Analysis
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