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Human Capital Measures in Economic Growth Studies: An Overview 经济增长研究中的人力资本衡量:综述
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-2-240-269
D. Avdeeva
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引用次数: 3
Demand for Skills: Analysis Using Online Vacancy Data 技能需求:使用在线空缺数据进行分析
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-3-343-374
A. Volgin, V. Gimpelson
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引用次数: 1
Modeling of Optimal Credit Limits in Microfinance Organizations 小额信贷组织中最优信贷额度的建模
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-2-285-306
A. Sorokin
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引用次数: 2
The Structure of Management Quality Assessment of Russian Banks 俄罗斯银行管理质量评价体系的构建
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-3-450-474
K. Polyakov, M. Polyakova, L. Zhukova
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引用次数: 0
Economic Assessment of CO2 Emissions in the Environmental Section of ESG ESG环境部分二氧化碳排放的经济评估
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-4-579-597
V. Gazman
The article presents the results of the conducted research, the purpose of which was to develop recommendations for the use of socio-economic benefits from the use of wind and solar energy in the environmental section of ESG instead of the most toxic generation – coal. On the basis of theoretical assumptions, the methodology developed by the author for determining the achieved savings is described in detail on the example of the largest energy enterprises Enel, Eni. The article presents not only the author's model, but also the calculations themselves with com-ments. The calculations carried out were carried out on the basis of the actual amount of carbon dioxide emissions charges, taking into account the damage caused, the number of people saved from premature death due to harmful emissions into the atmosphere, the economic cost of lives determined by the World Bank by country, the costs of treating emerging concomitant diseases, the social discount rate. This makes it possible to determine the real socio-economic effect of replacing fossil energy sources with cleaner energy carriers. The argumentation refuting the ar-gument about the occurrence of a significant increase in costs in the economy, which may arise due to the introduction of a fixed fee for harmful emissions, is presented. This allows you to set more accurate benchmarks and indicators in the environmental section of the ESG system and use them in attracting investors, forming ratings, and training specialists.
本文介绍了所进行研究的结果,其目的是为在ESG的环境部分使用风能和太阳能而不是最有毒的发电-煤炭的使用中使用社会经济效益提出建议。在理论假设的基础上,作者以最大的能源企业Enel、Eni为例详细描述了确定已实现节约的方法。文章不仅给出了作者的模型,还给出了计算结果,并附有注释。所进行的计算是根据二氧化碳排放收费的实际数额进行的,同时考虑到造成的损害、因有害排放到大气中而免于过早死亡的人数、世界银行按国家确定的生命经济成本、治疗新出现的伴随疾病的费用、社会贴现率。这就有可能确定用更清洁的能源载体取代化石能源的实际社会经济影响。本文提出了一种论点,反驳了关于经济中成本的显著增加的论点,这种增加可能是由于对有害排放物征收固定费用而引起的。这使您可以在ESG体系的环境部分设置更准确的基准和指标,并将其用于吸引投资者、形成评级和培训专家。
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引用次数: 0
Income Inequality and the Cost of Living at the Sub-Regional Level. Estimates for Russia 分区域的收入不平等和生活成本。对俄罗斯的估计
Pub Date : 2022-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2022-26-4-552-578
A. Surinov, A. Luppov
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引用次数: 1
Insurance Company Performance within the Framework of Trade Agreements 保险公司在贸易协定框架内的表现
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2021-25-1-102-128
V. Demchuk
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Global Economic Activity, Oil Supply and Speculative Oil Shocks on the Russian Economy 全球经济活动、石油供应和投机性石油冲击对俄罗斯经济的影响
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2021-25-2-227-262
D. Lomonosov, A. Polbin, N. Fokin
In this work we build a Bayesian vector autoregression model to estimate the impact of global economic activity shocks, supply shocks in the global oil market, as well as speculative oil shocks on key macroeconomic variables of the Russian economy: GDP, household consumption, fixed capital investment, import, export, real effective exchange rate, real wages and income, MIACR interest rate and GDP deflator. The model uses real oil prices, the index of global economic activity, oil production and oil inventories as exogenous variables. The model parameters are estimated for the period from Q1 1999 to Q4 2019. The dynamics of four exogenous variables is described using a separate external vector autoregression model, which is estimated over an extended time period from Q1 1974 to Q4 2019 in order to more accurately estimateits parameters and identify shocks. Shocks are identified based on the approach proposed in [Kilian, Murphy, 2014], which uses sign restrictions and restrictions on the price elasticities of oil demand and oil supply. According to estimates of impulse responses, such variables as real household consumption, imports, and the exchange rate respond positively and statistically significantly to all three shocks leading to an increase in oil prices. However, a shock to global economic activity has a stronger impact. With an increase in oil prices for real GDP, investment and exports a stable and statistically significant positive impact is observed only when this price increase is due to a shock to global economic activity. The work also estimates a forecast error variance decomposition and a historical decomposition of the domestic variables by shocks, which indicate the prevailing role of shocks in global economics activity in the dynamics of Russian macroeconomic variables.
在这项工作中,我们建立了一个贝叶斯向量自回归模型来估计全球经济活动冲击、全球石油市场供应冲击以及投机性石油冲击对俄罗斯经济关键宏观经济变量的影响:GDP、家庭消费、固定资本投资、进口、出口、实际有效汇率、实际工资和收入、MIACR利率和GDP平减指数。该模型使用实际油价、全球经济活动指数、石油产量和石油库存作为外生变量。模型参数的估算期为1999年第一季度至2019年第四季度。使用单独的外部向量自回归模型描述了四个外源变量的动态,该模型在1974年第一季度至2019年第四季度的较长时间内进行了估计,以便更准确地估计其参数并识别冲击。冲击的识别基于[Kilian, Murphy, 2014]中提出的方法,该方法对石油需求和石油供应的价格弹性使用符号限制和限制。根据冲动反应的估计,实际家庭消费、进口和汇率等变量对导致油价上涨的所有三次冲击都有积极的、统计上显著的反应。然而,对全球经济活动的冲击影响更大。随着油价上涨对实际GDP、投资和出口的影响,只有当这种价格上涨是由于全球经济活动受到冲击时,才会出现稳定的、统计上显著的积极影响。该工作还估计了预测误差方差分解和冲击对国内变量的历史分解,这表明冲击在全球经济活动中对俄罗斯宏观经济变量动态的普遍作用。
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引用次数: 1
Long-Term Trend Employment Decline in Russian Agriculture and Countersanctions Policy: Was There Any Effect? 俄罗斯农业长期就业下降趋势与反制裁政策:是否有影响?
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2021-25-4-515-539
E. Kotyrlo, Y. Nikulina, A. Zaytsev
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引用次数: 2
Economic Inequality in the Access to Remote Learning Assets Amongst Youth in BRICS Countries: What Can We Learn from Pre-COVID-19 Data? 金砖国家青年远程学习资产获取中的经济不平等:我们能从2019冠状病毒病前的数据中学到什么?
Pub Date : 2021-01-01 DOI: 10.17323/1813-8691-2021-25-3-359-378
G. Avanesian, M. Borovskaya, S. Mishra, M. Masych, T. Fedosova, V. Egorova
This paper analyzes economic inequalities in the access to such assets for remote learning as internet connection and personal computers at home in BRICS countries among young students (15-24 years old). It is acknowledged that such household possessions as the internet and personal computer obtain a new role during the COVID-19 pandemic when the educational institutions are closed and in-person classroom instruction is disrupted. Data from household surveys collected from 2015 to 2019 show sharp differences between and within BRICS countries regarding access to these assets for remote learning. In addition to betweencountry inequalities, the analysis suggests that within-country disparities are also staggering, especially regarding an area of residence and wealth quintile groups, putting at risk the education of youth from most impoverished and rural backgrounds. Econometric application of concentration curves and estimation of concentration indices reveals household wealth as an essential driver of economic inequality in the access to remote learning amongst young students in BRICS countries, highlighting the critical degree of inequality in India and South Africa. The findings suggest that the more universal the access to remote learning is, the less economic inequality is observed in accessing remote learning modalities. In other words, policy implications aimed at expanding digital infrastructure could help ensure that young women and men are not falling behind in receiving a quality education, gaining relevant skills, and accessing decent employment opportunities. For BRICS countries to transform their economies and lead innovations, a digitally literate future workforce is critical, with access to digital resources being a first step towards achieving this. Inequalities in access to these tools show that BRICS countries have more to do before all youth can be connected and participate in a digital economy. © 2021 Publishing House of the Higher School of Economics. All rights reserved.
本文分析了金砖国家年轻学生(15-24岁)在家中获得互联网连接和个人电脑等远程学习资产方面的经济不平等。人们承认,在新冠疫情期间,教育机构关闭,面对面的课堂教学中断,互联网和个人电脑等家庭财产获得了新的作用。2015年至2019年收集的家庭调查数据显示,金砖国家之间和内部在远程学习中获取这些资产的情况存在巨大差异。除了国与国之间的不平等之外,分析表明,国家内部的差距也令人震惊,特别是在居住地区和财富五分之一群体方面,这使来自最贫困和农村背景的青年的教育面临风险。集中度曲线的计量经济学应用和集中度指数的估计表明,家庭财富是金砖国家年轻学生远程学习机会中经济不平等的重要驱动因素,突出了印度和南非不平等的严重程度。研究结果表明,远程学习的普及程度越高,在获取远程学习方式方面的经济不平等现象就越少。换句话说,旨在扩大数字基础设施的政策影响可以帮助确保青年男女在接受优质教育、获得相关技能和获得体面就业机会方面不会落后。金砖国家要实现经济转型并引领创新,培养具有数字素养的未来劳动力至关重要,获取数字资源是实现这一目标的第一步。在使用这些工具方面存在的不平等表明,金砖国家在让所有青年都能连接并参与数字经济之前还有很多工作要做。©高等经济学院出版社。版权所有。
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引用次数: 2
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