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Evolution of Relationship Between Housing and Rental Prices and Inter-Urban Differences in China Under the Context of the Simultaneous Rental and Sales Markets Policy 租售并举市场政策背景下中国住房与租赁价格关系的演变及城市差异
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0019
Guancen Wu, Chen Li, Xing Niu, Ping Li, Li Tao
Abstract This research analyzes the relationship between housing and rental prices in 26 first-tier and second-tier cities in China before and after the policy of simultaneous rental and sales markets. The PVAR model and monthly panel data of these cities from June 2010 to December 2018 were employed. The study found that, before the policy of simultaneous rental and sales markets took effect, the housing and rental prices were relatively independent of each other, whereas the rental market in second-tier cities is affected more considerably by the sales market. After the enactment of the policy on simultaneous rental and sales markets, rental prices have a positive effect on housing prices, with this effect being more obvious in second-tier cities. The rental prices with the first-order lag have a significant negative impact on current rental price in first-tier cities. Considering the features of the housing market in different cities, the implementation of the simultaneous rental and sales markets policy needs to be more targeted and attention should be paid to preventing simultaneous irrational growth, both on the sales and rental markets.
摘要本研究分析了租售并举政策前后中国26个一二线城市的住房价格与租赁价格的关系。采用PVAR模型和这些城市2010年6月至2018年12月的月度面板数据。研究发现,在租售并举政策生效之前,住房和租赁价格相对独立,而二线城市的租赁市场受销售市场的影响更大。租售并举政策出台后,租金价格对房价产生了积极影响,二线城市的这种影响更为明显。一阶滞后的租赁价格对一线城市当前的租赁价格有显著的负面影响。考虑到不同城市住房市场的特点,租售并举政策的实施需要更有针对性,并注意防止销售和租赁市场同时出现非理性增长。
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引用次数: 1
Assessing the Impact of Outbreaks on Malaysian Listed Property Companies in Mixed-Asset Portfolios 评估疫情对混合资产组合中马来西亚上市房地产公司的影响
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0024
M. N. Razali, Rohaya jalil, A. Shayuti
Abstract This paper assesses the impact of outbreaks from the perspective of volatility of Malaysian Listed Property Companies in mixed-asset portfolios, concentrating on periods of time between outbreaks. The real issue of this study is the health crisis that has troubled institutional investors, as it has already significantly impacted the returns on investments. Investors need to be better informed on the impact of health outbreaks on investments in order to minimize their impact. To assess the impact of the outbreaks, the GARCH method has been employed to examine the dynamic volatility of listed property companies in mixed-asset portfolios. The volatility level will give investors better information from point of view of the dynamics of volatility of the Malaysian listed property companies’ performance within mixed-asset portfolios. The findings show that listed property companies demonstrate high volatility compared to other mixed-asset portfolios during the periods of outbreaks. This indicates Malaysian listed property companies were the most volatile investment in mixed-asset portfolios. This empirical study will contribute significantly to institutional investors, especially in terms of the investment decision-making process during outbreaks.
摘要本文从混合资产组合中马来西亚上市房地产公司波动的角度评估疫情的影响,重点关注疫情爆发之间的时间间隔。本研究的真正问题是困扰机构投资者的健康危机,因为它已经严重影响了投资回报。投资者需要更好地了解卫生疫情对投资的影响,以便尽量减少其影响。为了评估疫情的影响,采用GARCH方法研究了混合资产组合中上市房地产公司的动态波动。波动水平将为投资者提供更好的信息,从波动动态的角度来看,马来西亚上市房地产公司在混合资产组合中的表现。研究结果表明,与其他混合资产组合相比,房地产上市公司在疫情期间表现出较高的波动性。这表明,在混合资产组合中,马来西亚上市房地产公司是最不稳定的投资。这一实证研究将对机构投资者做出重大贡献,特别是在疫情期间的投资决策过程方面。
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引用次数: 3
Hindrance and Benefits to Green Building Implementation: Evidence from Benin City, Nigeria 绿色建筑实施的阻碍与益处:来自尼日利亚贝宁市的证据
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0022
Ernest O. Alohan, A. K. Oyetunji
Abstract The clamor for sustainable development and reduction of greenhouse gases led to the green concept which, in recent times, has gained significant momentum. To encourage the widespread development of green buildings, an understanding of the awareness, benefits, and hindrances for their adoption is necessary. This is relevant now that concerns over climate change have led to an increasing global demand for sustainability within the built environment. While the discourse is still rather muted in Nigeria, this study will contribute to the ongoing effort to raise public awareness regarding green building development and the potential benefits by evaluating the opinion of professionals regarding the subject matter. Structured questionnaires were distributed among five different professions in the built environment and information sourced includes the level/mode of awareness, benefits and bottleneck, and support for its development. The survey results showed that 43.48% of the professionals advocated for the development of green construction in Nigeria. The benefits and bottlenecks were ranked according to their perceived importance. The study recommends public enlightenment on green education, enforcement of mandatory training, formulation and implementation of policies directed towards green building acceptability. This will help promote and protect the built environment, and reduce health hazards posed by conventional development.
摘要:随着对可持续发展和减少温室气体排放的呼声越来越高,近年来,绿色概念得到了广泛的关注。为了鼓励绿色建筑的广泛发展,有必要了解采用绿色建筑的意识、好处和障碍。现在,对气候变化的担忧已经导致全球对建筑环境可持续性的需求不断增加。虽然在尼日利亚的论述仍然相当沉默,但这项研究将有助于通过评估专业人士对该主题的意见来提高公众对绿色建筑发展和潜在利益的认识。对建筑环境领域的5个不同专业进行了结构化问卷调查,信息来源包括意识水平/模式、效益和瓶颈,以及对其发展的支持。调查结果显示,43.48%的专业人士主张在尼日利亚发展绿色建筑。好处和瓶颈是根据它们的重要性排序的。该研究建议公众对绿色教育进行启蒙、实施强制性培训、制定和实施绿色建筑可接受性政策。这将有助于促进和保护建筑环境,减少传统发展对健康造成的危害。
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引用次数: 8
A Mean-Variance Optimization Approach for Residential Real Estate Valuation 住宅房地产价值的均值-方差优化方法
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0018
F. Guijarro
Abstract This paper introduces a new approach to the sales comparison model for the valuation of real estate that can objectively estimate the coefficients associated with the explanatory price variables. The coefficients of the price adjustment process are estimated from the formulation of a quadratic programming model similar to the mean-variance model in the portfolio selection problem and are shown to be independent of the property to be valued. It is also shown that the sales comparison model should minimize the variance of the adjusted prices, and not their coefficient of variation as indicated by some national and international valuation regulations. The paper concludes with a case study on the city of Medellín, Colombia.
摘要本文介绍了一种新的房地产估价销售比较模型,该模型可以客观地估计与解释价格变量相关的系数。价格调整过程的系数由类似于投资组合选择问题中的均值-方差模型的二次规划模型的公式估计,并显示与要评估的财产无关。研究还表明,销售比较模型应该使调整后价格的方差最小化,而不是像一些国家和国际估价条例所指示的价格的变异系数。本文最后以哥伦比亚Medellín市为例进行了研究。
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引用次数: 2
Tenure Status in Life Cycle Cohorts in Poland 波兰生命周期队列中的任期状况
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0017
A. Matel
Abstract Poland is characterized by a relatively high level of homeowners (84% of population in 2018). The preference for ownership, as well as financial possibilities, are not balanced throughout the entire life cycle of a household. The scale of these differences, as well as the tendency to change over time, remains unknown. The subject of conducted research is to indicate how the structure of the tenure status of Poles changes over the life cycle of a household. This publication proposes the division of the household life cycle into the stages of formation, stabilization and reduction. The research on the structure of the tenure status of Poles was conducted for the period of 2006-2018. The analysis showed that, while the share of owner-occupiers increased significantly in Poland in the years 2006-2018, at the stage of forming a household rent begins to prevail. What is more, young people are more likely to choose market rent, and relocation to private housing is associated with having children or getting married. At the same time, there is no tendency to relocate to rented flats at the stage of household reduction in Poland.
摘要波兰的特点是房主水平相对较高(2018年占人口的84%)。在一个家庭的整个生命周期中,对所有权的偏好以及财务可能性都是不平衡的。这些差异的规模以及随时间变化的趋势仍然未知。所进行的研究的主题是表明波兰人的保有权地位结构在家庭生命周期中是如何变化的。该出版物建议将家庭生命周期划分为形成、稳定和减少阶段。2006年至2018年期间,对波兰人的任期结构进行了研究。分析表明,尽管波兰自住业主的比例在2006-2018年大幅增加,但在形成家庭租金的阶段开始盛行。此外,年轻人更有可能选择市场租金,而搬迁到私人住房与生孩子或结婚有关。与此同时,在波兰家庭减少的阶段,没有搬迁到出租公寓的趋势。
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引用次数: 3
Determinants of Variance in Cost Method of Valuation in Uyo, Nigeria 尼日利亚尤约成本计价法中差异的决定因素
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-08-13 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0023
P. Anih, Sunday Usenemana
Abstract Variance in the cost method of valuation as caused by certain variables is objectionable in the profession of estate surveying and valuation at both local and international best practices. The study aimed at determining the variables for the variance in the application of the cost method of valuation for estate surveying and valuation practice in Uyo. The sample of the population used for the research comprised 110 estate surveyors in Uyo. The survey method was used for the research. The sampling technique was purposive sampling. The data were analyzed using standard deviation and analysis of variance (ANOVA). The findings showed that depreciation rates of σ2 =113.974 and σ = 10.676 were over 60% of the total variance of values among estate surveyors and valuers. The construction rates and errors in manual measurements and computation of areas, volumes and dimensions showed σ2 = 6.004 and σ = 2.4503, which accounted for 15% of total variance. The study recommends the use of a regional-based scientific approach to measure depreciation for consistency and high precision. Automated techniques, such as GPS, AutoCAD, Google Earth pro, are recommended to minimize variance in measurements.
摘要估价成本方法中由某些变量引起的差异在房地产调查和估价行业中是令人反感的,无论是在当地还是国际最佳实践中。本研究旨在确定估价成本法在Uyo房地产调查和估价实践中应用的方差变量。用于研究的人口样本包括乌约的110名房地产测量师。调查方法用于研究。抽样技术是有目的的抽样。使用标准差和方差分析(ANOVA)对数据进行分析。调查结果显示,在房地产测量师和估价师之间,σ2=113.974和σ=10.676的折旧率超过了价值总方差的60%。人工测量和计算面积、体积和尺寸的施工率和误差显示σ2=6.004和σ=2.4503,占总方差的15%。该研究建议使用基于区域的科学方法来衡量折旧的一致性和高精度。建议使用GPS、AutoCAD、Google Earth pro等自动化技术来最大限度地减少测量中的差异。
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引用次数: 0
Housing Tenure Preferences among Students from Two Polish Universities 波兰两所大学学生住房使用权偏好研究
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0014
Micha l Rubaszek, Justyna Rubaszek
Abstract The housing rental market in Poland is underdeveloped and tilted towards temporary tenants, usually students and immigrants. To explore the flaws in the functioning of this market, we conduct a survey among 315 students from two Polish universities. We find that renting is not only perceived as a more expensive form of satisfying housing needs, but decreases satisfaction from utilizing the occupied house due to non-financial factors. Moreover, the perception of the relative advantages of owning versus renting is, to some extent, affected by flawed economic reasoning. Building on the above results, we discuss what policies could increase the demand for residential rental housing.
波兰的住房租赁市场不发达,倾向于临时租户,通常是学生和移民。为了探究这个市场运作中的缺陷,我们对来自波兰两所大学的315名学生进行了调查。我们发现,租房不仅被认为是一种更昂贵的满足住房需求的方式,而且由于非经济因素,租房的使用满意度也会降低。此外,在某种程度上,对自有住房与租赁住房相对优势的看法受到有缺陷的经济推理的影响。在上述结果的基础上,我们讨论了哪些政策可以增加住宅租赁住房的需求。
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引用次数: 3
The Profile of Portuguese People when Choosing an Apartment 葡萄牙人在选择公寓时的概况
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0012
Eulália Santos, F. Tavares
Abstract It is important to study and to know the determining factors of the housing purchase business, as this is often the greatest business deal in a family’s life. The purpose of this study is to identify the profile of the Portuguese regarding the determining factors when searching for apartments to acquire. The methodology used is based on a questionnaire that analyzes the determining factors in the choice of apartments to acquire and the sociodemographic profile of Portuguese people looking for an apartment. The sample consisted of 646 individuals who were looking for an apartment in different regions of Continental Portugal. The determining factors in the choice of apartments have quite adequate levels of validity and reliability, and four dimensions are obtained: negative externalities, positive externalities, a business located on the ground floor and rational interest in proximity to public services. Cluster analysis results show the formation of five clusters, classifying individuals into a generic cluster, urban business cluster, urban services cluster, urban citizens cluster and elitist cluster. This study is expected to contribute to increasing scientific knowledge on the topic and to help real estate developers better match their clients’ preferences.
摘要研究和了解购房业务的决定因素很重要,因为这通常是家庭生活中最重要的业务。本研究的目的是确定葡萄牙人在寻找公寓时的决定因素。所使用的方法基于一份问卷,该问卷分析了选择公寓的决定因素以及寻找公寓的葡萄牙人的社会人口特征。该样本由646名在葡萄牙大陆不同地区寻找公寓的人组成。公寓选择的决定因素具有足够的有效性和可靠性,并获得了四个维度:负外部性、正外部性、位于底层的企业和对公共服务的合理兴趣。聚类分析结果显示了五个集群的形成,将个体分为一般集群、城市商业集群、城市服务集群、城市市民集群和精英集群。这项研究有望有助于增加对该主题的科学知识,并帮助房地产开发商更好地匹配客户的偏好。
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引用次数: 3
Synthesis of Short-Cut DCF Appraisal and Spreadsheet Iteration of Freehold Rental Growth Rates Across Specific Valuation Epochs 短期DCF评估的综合和特定估值时期的自由保有租赁增长率的电子表格迭代
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0013
J. O. Ataguba
Abstract While the use of simple deterministic models to calculate rental value growth (RVGrowth) rate of reversionary freeholds across epochs prior to upward rent review appears illusive, literature evidence of the synthesis between short-cut DCF valuation and Solver tools in a spreadsheet does not constitute an exhaustive list of solutions. This study examined alternative spreadsheet and iteration tools that can determine RVGrowth rate of freehold investment properties across rent review epochs. With recourse to a hypothetical case of a freehold investment property, this experimental study identified the mathematical composition of RVGrowth in an explicit DCF framework, performed short-cut DCF Valuation and equivalent yield calculation at specific epochs prior to and including the full reversion; as well as using Goal Seek to calculate RVGrowth across all epochs prior to- and including the full reversion. Excel® Solver and Goal Seek, as well as the graphing/root-solving tool in Kyplot® were found to feasibly produce identical results for RVGrowth rate. This is among the limited studies that identified and researched the veracity of alternative tools for RVGrowth rate iteration. The value of this study is the awareness of alternative analytical tools avail freehold investors who desire knowledge of RVGrowth rate when making purchase-, hold-, and sales decisions.
摘要虽然在向上租金审查之前,使用简单的确定性模型来计算各时期的可逆自由保有权的租金价值增长率(RVGrowth)似乎是虚幻的,但电子表格中短期DCF估价和Solver工具之间综合的文献证据并不构成详尽的解决方案列表。这项研究考察了可供选择的电子表格和迭代工具,这些工具可以确定整个租金审查时期内自由保有投资房地产的RV增长率。借助于自由保有投资房地产的假设情况,本实验研究在明确的DCF框架中确定了RVGrowth的数学组成,在完全回归之前(包括完全回归)的特定时期进行了短期DCF估值和等效收益率计算;以及使用Goal Seek来计算在完全逆转之前(包括完全逆转)的所有时期的RVGrowth。Excel®解算器和Goal Seek,以及Kyplot®中的图形/根解算工具被发现可以为RV增长率产生相同的结果。这是确定和研究RVGrowth率迭代替代工具准确性的有限研究之一。这项研究的价值在于,在做出购买、持有和销售决策时,对那些希望了解RVGrowth率的自由保有投资者有用的替代分析工具的认识。
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引用次数: 1
Qualitative and Quantitative Analysis of Housing Indices at the Neighborhood Level: Case Study of Region 6 of Tehran Municipality 居民区住房指数的定性与定量分析——以德黑兰市6区为例
IF 0.8 Q4 BUSINESS, FINANCE Pub Date : 2021-06-01 DOI: 10.2478/remav-2021-0009
Kamran Jafarpour Ghalehteimouri, A. Rahimzadeh, T. Parizadi, F. Sasanpour
Abstract Most of the cities in Iran have experienced very rapid development. The urban population in the last decade has been increased by migration, and cities in Iran are faced with many problems. Housing is becoming one of the major problems, and standard housing indices have taken an important place in urban planning to provide good conditions for better urban planning. Region 6 of Tehran municipality is home to a large portion of upper-middle social class people for whom owning a house is more than merely a place to live. The aim of the research was to analyze qualitative and quantitative indices for Region 6 of Tehran municipality. The study is based on analytical and descriptive methods. The secondary data collected from the latest Iran census report in 2016 and composite methods used to measure the special effects of changes in population size, growth rate, and indices of quantitative and qualitative assessment are wide-ranging housing which was analyzed based on the t-test, correlation test and regression with SPSS and GIS software. GIS software is used as an effective tool for generating maps to better understanding the behaviors of residents in a neighborhood. The result shows that Region 6 of Tehran is among the areas of serious urban decline and neighborhoods in the neighboring regions are influenced by the activities of other bordering neighborhoods.
伊朗的大多数城市都经历了非常迅速的发展。在过去的十年里,城市人口因移民而增加,伊朗的城市面临着许多问题。住房问题正在成为主要问题之一,规范的住房指标在城市规划中占有重要地位,为更好地进行城市规划提供了良好的条件。德黑兰市第六区居住着大量中上层社会阶层的人,对他们来说,拥有一所房子不仅仅是一个居住的地方。研究的目的是分析德黑兰市第6区定性和定量指标。本研究是基于分析和描述的方法。从2016年伊朗最新人口普查报告中收集二次数据,采用复合方法测量人口规模、增长率变化的特殊效应,定量和定性评估指标为广泛住房,采用SPSS和GIS软件进行t检验、相关检验和回归分析。GIS软件被用作生成地图的有效工具,以更好地了解社区居民的行为。结果表明,德黑兰6区是城市衰退严重的地区之一,邻近地区的邻里受到其他周边邻里活动的影响。
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引用次数: 1
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Real Estate Management and Valuation
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