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Growth effect of trade misinvoicing in Sub-Saharan Africa: the role of governance 撒哈拉以南非洲贸易误报的增长效应:治理的作用
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-02 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-01-2023-0004
M. Babatunde, J. Afolabi
PurposeThe growing volume of trade misinvoicing in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) calls for serious concern, particularly given its effect on macroeconomic fundamentals. Despite the growing body of literature on the growth effect of trade misinvoicing, empirical evidence on the role of governance in moderating the effect is quite scarce, particularly for SSA. The purpose of this paper is to provide insights into the growth effect of trade misinvoicing in SSA as well as the moderating role of governance in this regard.Design/methodology/approachThe feasible generalised least square estimator was applied to analyse relevant data, spanning 2009–2018, of 35 SSA countries. Governance indicators were classified into economic, political and institutional governance, and their individual role in moderating the nexus between trade misinvoicing and economic growth was explored.FindingsThis paper showed the presence of cross-sectional dependence among SSA countries and long-run convergence of the estimated variables. The empirical finding showed that trade misinvoicing has a negative growth effect in the selected SSA countries, but both economic and political governance are crucial in lowering the observed negative growth effect.Practical implicationsTo curtail trade misinvoicing, SSA policymakers should go beyond just designing anti-money laundering policies to effectively implementing the policies for improved growth prospects. More so, the government of each SSA country must devise means of strengthening governance and building effective, accountable and transparent institutional frameworks that will constantly check and discourage trade misinvoicing activities.Originality/valueThe originality of this paper stems from its novel assessment of the role governance plays in moderating the growth effect of trade misinvoicing in SSA using the feasible generalised least square estimator. It also details the strategies needed to effectively tackle trade misinvoicing.
目的撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)不断增长的贸易误报引起了人们的严重关注,特别是考虑到其对宏观经济基本面的影响。尽管关于贸易虚假言论的增长效应的文献越来越多,但关于治理在调节这种效应中的作用的实证证据却相当缺乏,尤其是对SSA而言。本文的目的是深入了解SSA中贸易误报的增长效应,以及治理在这方面的调节作用。设计/方法/方法应用可行的广义最小二乘估计量分析了35个SSA国家2009-2018年的相关数据。治理指标分为经济治理、政治治理和机构治理,并探讨了它们在调节贸易误报与经济增长之间关系方面的个人作用。研究结果表明,SSA国家之间存在横截面依赖性,估计变量存在长期收敛性。实证结果表明,贸易误报在选定的撒哈拉以南非洲国家具有负增长效应,但经济和政治治理对于降低观察到的负增长效应至关重要。实际含义为了减少贸易误报,SSA政策制定者应该不仅仅是设计反洗钱政策,而是有效实施改善增长前景的政策。更重要的是,每个SSA国家的政府都必须制定手段来加强治理,建立有效、负责和透明的体制框架,不断检查和阻止贸易虚假言论活动。独创性/价值本文的独创性源于它使用可行的广义最小二乘估计量对治理在调节SSA中贸易误报的增长效应中所起的作用进行了新颖的评估。它还详细介绍了有效解决贸易误报问题所需的战略。
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引用次数: 1
Does export structure enhance the growth gains from foreign investment? Evidence from the ECOWAS region 出口结构是否提高了外国投资的增长收益?西非经共体区域的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-04 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2022-0282
Hazwan Haini, Pang Wei Loon, L. Raimi
PurposeThis study aims to examine whether diversified economies enhance the growth benefits from foreign direct investment (FDI). Diversified economies benefit from stable export earnings, stable investment composition and greater factor endowments through forward and backward linkages that can leverage superior foreign technology embedded in FDI. This is crucial as many African economies suffer from dependency while FDI is concentrated in the primary sector.Design/methodology/approachThe authors use a dataset of 15 Economic Community of West African States from 1995 to 2020 and compile variables from various sources, including an export diversification index measured using the Herfindahl–Hirschman index of product concentration. The authors use a growth regression model estimated using dynamic panel estimators to control for endogeneity and simultaneity issues.FindingsThe results show that the effects of direct FDI are insignificant to growth considering diversification and controlling for other confounding factors. Meanwhile, diversification is associated with growth, which highlights the importance of industrial policy. More importantly, the authors find that the marginal effects of FDI are positively and significantly associated with growth when diversification levels are low, implying that production structure matters for the FDI–growth nexus in developing economies.Originality/valuePrevious studies have overlooked the role of export production structure on the FDI–growth nexus. Many developing economies are dependent on primary exports and suffer from dependency, which implies lower levels of factor endowments. As such, this reduces the growth gains from FDI. The authors provide new empirical evidence on the importance of export production structure on the FDI–growth nexus.
目的本研究旨在检验多元化经济体是否能提高外国直接投资的增长效益。多样化经济体受益于稳定的出口收入、稳定的投资构成和更大的要素禀赋,通过前向和后向联系,可以利用外国直接投资中的先进外国技术。这一点至关重要,因为许多非洲经济体受到依赖,而外国直接投资则集中在初级部门。设计/方法/方法作者使用了1995年至2020年西非经济共同体15个国家的数据集,并汇编了各种来源的变量,包括使用Herfindahl–Hirschman产品集中度指数测量的出口多样化指数。作者使用动态面板估计的增长回归模型来控制内生性和同时性问题。研究结果表明,考虑到多样化和控制其他混杂因素,直接外国直接投资对经济增长的影响并不显著。同时,多样化与增长相关,这突出了产业政策的重要性。更重要的是,作者发现,当多样化水平较低时,外国直接投资的边际效应与增长呈正相关,这意味着生产结构对发展中经济体的外国直接投资-增长关系至关重要。原创性/价值以往的研究忽视了出口生产结构在外国直接投资-增长关系中的作用。许多发展中经济体依赖初级出口,并遭受依赖,这意味着要素禀赋水平较低。因此,这减少了外国直接投资带来的增长收益。作者就出口生产结构对外国直接投资-增长关系的重要性提供了新的实证证据。
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引用次数: 0
Effect of natural resources rents on income inequality in sub-Saharan Africa: exploring the direct and indirect transmission mechanisms 自然资源租金对撒哈拉以南非洲收入不平等的影响:探索直接和间接传导机制
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-04-03 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-11-2022-0244
A. Akpa
PurposeThe reduction of income inequality and the ways to fight against it are source of debate among scientific communities and policymakers. Rents from natural resources that African countries are endowed with remain one way to cope with income inequality, but its influence on income inequality is mixed. Thus, the purpose of this paper is to explore the direct and indirect transmission mechanisms through which natural resources rents can affect income inequality in sub-Saharan Africa.Design/methodology/approachThis study obtained data on income inequality from the Standardised World Income Inequality Data database, natural resources rents from World Bank’s Development Indicators and education from United Nations Development Programme for the period 1990–2018. It was analysed using system generalised method of moments.FindingsThe results of this study showed that natural resources rents solely increased income inequality, but its interaction with education significantly reduced income inequality.Research limitations/implicationsThese findings suggest that the reduction of income inequality by natural resources rents passes through a good education system in sub-Saharan African countries.Originality/valueIn previous studies, authors analysed the role of education in the relationship between natural resources rents and income inequality by inserting the two variables separately in the model. But in this paper, the author analysed the role of education in the relationship between natural resources rents and income inequality by using the interaction of natural resources rents and education.
减少收入不平等和消除收入不平等的方法是科学界和决策者之间争论的根源。非洲国家拥有丰富的自然资源,其租金仍然是应对收入不平等的一种方式,但其对收入不平等的影响好坏参半。因此,本文的目的是探讨自然资源租金影响撒哈拉以南非洲收入不平等的直接和间接传导机制。本研究从世界收入不平等标准化数据库获取收入不平等数据,从世界银行发展指标获取自然资源租金数据,从联合国开发计划署获取1990-2018年期间的教育数据。采用系统广义矩量法对其进行了分析。研究结果表明,自然资源租金单独增加了收入不平等,但其与教育的相互作用显著减少了收入不平等。研究局限/启示这些发现表明,在撒哈拉以南非洲国家,通过自然资源租金减少收入不平等是通过良好的教育体系实现的。在之前的研究中,作者通过在模型中分别插入两个变量来分析教育在自然资源租金和收入不平等之间的关系中的作用。但在本文中,作者利用自然资源租金与教育的相互作用,分析了教育在自然资源租金与收入不平等关系中的作用。
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引用次数: 0
Assessing the impact of wealth inequality on state capture in Latin America 评估拉丁美洲财富不平等对国家俘获的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-23 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-10-2022-0219
James Guy Korman
PurposeThis study aims to analyze the effects of economic inequalities on state capture in Latin America. Economic inequalities are the defining issues of our time. While the effect of economic inequality has been explored before on its impact on state capture in Latin America, it has often been done in a qualitative manner. Moreover, most quantitative research to date uses poor proxy variables to assess the impact of inequalities on corruption and or state capture, such as the Gini coefficient, which suffers from a lot of missing data.Design/methodology/approachA random effects regression model is used to enable the exploitation of between level variation to greater generalize the results across the Latin American region while minimizing bias to the coefficient estimates.FindingsThe results demonstrate that the top 1% wealth inequality is highly statistically significant and positive in explaining the variation in state capture. The greater the share of wealth the 1% hold, the more state capture we should expect.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this paper presents the first empirical study using a novel variable, the top 1% share wealth inequality derived from the World Inequality Database that directly measures the top 1%’s share of wealth overall. The study examines the empirical effect of the top 1%’s share of wealth inequality in contributing to state capture. Nineteen Latin American countries are analyzed across the temporal period 1996–2021.
本研究旨在分析拉丁美洲经济不平等对国家俘获的影响。经济不平等是我们这个时代的决定性问题。虽然以前曾探讨过经济不平等对拉丁美洲国家俘获的影响,但通常是以定性的方式进行的。此外,迄今为止,大多数定量研究都使用了较差的代理变量来评估不平等对腐败和/或国家控制的影响,例如基尼系数,该系数受到大量数据缺失的影响。设计/方法/方法使用随机效应回归模型来利用水平间变化,从而更好地推广整个拉丁美洲地区的结果,同时最大限度地减少对系数估计的偏差。研究结果表明,前1%的财富不平等在解释州捕获的变化方面具有高度统计学意义和积极意义。1%的人所拥有的财富份额越大,我们应该期待更多的国家攫取。原创性/价值据作者所知,本文首次使用一个新变量进行实证研究,该变量来自世界不平等数据库(World inequality Database),直接衡量最富有的1%的整体财富份额。该研究考察了收入最高的1%的人在财富不平等中所占份额对国家掠夺的实证影响。19个拉丁美洲国家在1996年至2021年期间进行了分析。
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引用次数: 1
Income inequality, shadow economy and environmental degradation in Africa: quantile regression via moment’s approach 非洲的收入不平等、影子经济和环境恶化:基于矩方法的分位数回归
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-22 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-11-2022-0248
J. Dada, F. Ajide, M. Arnaut
PurposeThe purpose of this examine the impact of income inequality and shadow economy on environmental degradation given the growing income inequality, shadow economy and ecological degradation in developing countries. Thus, this study is motivated to offer empirical insight into how income inequality and shadow economy influence the environment in African countries.Design/methodology/approachData from 29 countries in Africa between 2000 and 2017 were used, while the novel method of moments quantile regression of Machado and Silva (2019) and Dumitrescu and Hurlin (D-H) (2012) granger causality is used as the estimation techniques.FindingsThe results established the presence of cross-sectional dependence and slope heterogeneity in the panel, while Westerlund panel cointegration confirmed the long-run cointegration among the variables. The results from the quantile regression suggest that income inequality increases environmental degradation from the 5th to the 30th quantiles, while from the 70th quantiles, income inequality reduces ecological degradation. The shadow economy negatively influences environmental degradation across the quantiles, strengthening environmental quality. Per capita income (economic growth) and financial development positively impact environmental degradation throughout the quantiles. However, urbanization reduces environmental degradation from 60th to 95th quantiles. The D-H causality established a two-way relationship between income inequality and environmental degradation, while one-way from shadow economy, per capita income and urbanization to environmental degradation were established.Originality/valueThis study provides fresh insights into the nexus between shadow economy and environmental quality in the presence of higher levels of income inequality for the case of African region. The study applies quantile analysis via moment proposed by Machado and Silva (2019). This technique shows that the impact of income inequality and shadow economy on environmental degradation is heterogeneous across the quantiles of ecological footprints in Africa.
鉴于发展中国家日益严重的收入不平等、影子经济和生态退化,本研究的目的是研究收入不平等和影子经济对环境退化的影响。因此,本研究的动机是为收入不平等和影子经济如何影响非洲国家的环境提供实证见解。设计/方法/方法使用2000年至2017年非洲29个国家的数据,使用Machado和Silva(2019)和Dumitrescu和Hurlin (D-H)(2012)格兰杰因果关系的矩分位数回归新方法作为估计技术。结果证实了面板中存在截面依赖性和斜率异质性,而Westerlund面板协整证实了变量之间的长期协整。分位数回归结果表明,从第5 ~ 30分位数来看,收入不平等加剧了环境退化,而从第70分位数来看,收入不平等减缓了生态退化。影子经济对各分位数的环境恶化产生负面影响,强化了环境质量。人均收入(经济增长)和金融发展对整个分位数的环境退化产生积极影响。然而,城市化将环境退化从60分位数减少到95分位数。D-H因果关系建立了收入不平等与环境退化之间的双向关系,建立了从影子经济、人均收入和城市化到环境退化的单向关系。原创性/价值本研究以非洲地区为例,在收入不平等程度较高的情况下,为影子经济与环境质量之间的关系提供了新的见解。本研究采用了Machado和Silva(2019)提出的矩分位数分析。这项技术表明,收入不平等和影子经济对环境退化的影响在非洲生态足迹的分位数中是不均匀的。
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引用次数: 1
Asymmetric link between economic well-being and labour market equity in Turkey 土耳其经济福利与劳动力市场公平之间的不对称联系
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-03 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2022-0270
Demet Beton Kalmaz
PurposeFemale labour force participation (FLFP) is undeniably critical for both developing and developed countries. This study aims to investigate the impact of economic risk on FLFP, controlling economic well-being, fertility rate and education, considering the asymmetric relationship among the indicators in Turkey.Design/methodology/approachTime series data covering years from 1988Q1 to 2019Q4 is deployed for the empirical analysis to identify the long-run asymmetric link. Empirical analysis of the study starts with the employment of the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test with the breakpoint to test for the order of integration of time series and to capture the breakpoints. The Brock-Dechert-Scheibkman test is applied to determine if or not the econometric model is correctly identified. Nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) bounds test is used to examine the existence of an asymmetric link between FLFP and economic well-being. The empirical analysis follows the investigation of the determinants of FLFP through the employment of the NARDL model.FindingsThe existence of long-run link among the time series is confirmed through the results obtained from the NARDL bounds test. Furthermore, long-run NARDL estimations confirm that (i) positive shocks in economic well-being increases FLFP; (ii) positive shock in education negatively impacts FLFP; (iii) FLFP is negatively affected by economic risk; and (iv) finally, increased fertility rate increases FLFP in Turkey.Originality/valueThis paper is checked from turnitin for the plagiarism which is estimated to be less than 20%. It is an original paper that fills the gap in literature and provides meaningful insight both for the policymakers and academics.
不可否认,女性劳动力参与对发展中国家和发达国家都至关重要。本研究旨在调查经济风险对FLFP的影响,控制经济福祉、生育率和教育,考虑到土耳其指标之间的不对称关系。设计/方法/方法1988Q1至2019Q4的时间序列数据用于实证分析,以确定长期不对称联系。本研究的实证分析首先采用带断点的增广Dickey-Fuller单位根检验来检验时间序列的积分顺序并捕捉断点。Brock-Dechert-Scheibkman检验用于确定计量经济模型是否正确识别。非线性自回归分布滞后(NARDL)界检验用于检验FLFP与经济福祉之间是否存在不对称联系。实证分析通过NARDL模型对FLFP的决定因素进行了调查。通过NARDL边界检验的结果,证实了时间序列之间存在长期联系。此外,NARDL的长期估计证实:(i)经济福祉的正向冲击增加了FLFP;(ii)教育方面的正面冲击对FLFP产生负面影响;(iii)FLFP受到经济风险的负面影响;以及(iv)最后,生育率的提高提高了土耳其的FLFP。原创/价值本文由turnitin核实抄袭情况,估计抄袭率低于20%。这是一篇原创论文,填补了文献空白,为决策者和学术界提供了有意义的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Combining Sustainable Food Production with Historic Preservation in Egypt (Report) 埃及将可持续粮食生产与历史文物保护相结合(报告)
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-21 DOI: 10.21608/idj.2023.158838.1002
J. Shearman
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引用次数: 0
Combining Sustainable Food Production with Historic Preservation in Egypt 在埃及将可持续粮食生产与历史保护相结合
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-21 DOI: 10.21608/idj.2023.158838.1001
John Shearman
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引用次数: 0
Financial opening, financial development and industrial restructuring: a mediating effect analysis 金融开放、金融发展与产业结构调整:中介效应分析
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-11 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-10-2022-0210
D. Shevchenko, Weili Zhao, Qiyang Guo
PurposeThe purpose of this study is to probe into the influence mechanism of financial opening onto industrial restructuring from the prism of financial development and examine the role of the credit market, capital market and currency market in transmitting the impact of financial opening onto industrial restructuring in both developed countries and developing countries.Design/methodology/approachIn the theoretical model, the indicator of financial opening was introduced in Cobb–Douglas production function formula. Using constant elasticity of substitution utility function, based on Engel’s law, the optimal industrial structure in the economy was concluded. For the empirical analysis, data was collected from 36 developed countries and 34 developing countries during the period 2000 to 2019. Multiple mediator models with bootstrap techniques were used to identify the linkage between financial opening, financial development and industrial restructuring.FindingsFirst, there is a U-shaped relationship between financial opening and industrial restructuring. Second, financial development plays a mediating role in transmitting the effects of financial opening onto industrial restructuring mainly through the credit market at the global level. Third, developed countries are in a trend of “reindustrialization,” while developing countries show a trend of “premature deindustrialization.” Moreover, for developed countries, the capital market leads to reindustrialization, while the credit market and currency market contribute to deindustrialization. For developing countries, the capital market and credit market lead to deindustrialization, while the currency market contributes to industrialization.Originality/valueUnlike most previous researches, this paper focuses on examining three-variable relationship between financial opening, financial development and domestic industrial restructuring. Against the backdrop of the pandemic, monetary policy shifts of developed economies have led to an increase in cross-border capital flows, which will lead to the increasing risks for international financial markets and the reallocation of the global value chain. It is of great significance to clarify the linkage between these three variables in the face of a volatile international financial environment.
目的从金融发展的角度探讨金融开放对产业结构调整的影响机制,考察发达国家和发展中国家的信贷市场、资本市场和货币市场在传导金融开放对产业结构调整影响中的作用。在理论模型中,在柯布-道格拉斯生产函数公式中引入了财务开放度指标。在恩格尔定律的基础上,利用恒弹性替代效用函数,得出了经济中的最优产业结构。在实证分析中,收集了2000年至2019年期间36个发达国家和34个发展中国家的数据。运用多中介模型和自举技术对金融开放、金融发展与产业结构调整之间的关系进行了实证研究。研究发现:第一,金融开放与产业结构调整之间存在u型关系。第二,金融发展在传导金融开放对产业结构调整的影响中起中介作用,主要是通过全球范围内的信贷市场。第三,发达国家呈现“再工业化”趋势,发展中国家呈现“过早去工业化”趋势。此外,对于发达国家来说,资本市场导致再工业化,而信贷市场和货币市场则有助于去工业化。对于发展中国家来说,资本市场和信贷市场导致去工业化,而货币市场则有助于工业化。独创性/价值与以往的研究不同,本文侧重于考察金融开放、金融发展与国内产业结构调整之间的三变量关系。在疫情背景下,发达经济体的货币政策转变导致跨境资本流动增加,这将导致国际金融市场风险增加,全球价值链重新配置。面对动荡的国际金融环境,弄清这三个变量之间的联系具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Methodical assessment of the integration of quality-of-life indicators into Egypt''''s informal housing policies 有系统地评估将生活质量指标纳入埃及''''非正式住房政策
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-01-01 DOI: 10.21608/ijd.2023.313388
Shimaa M. Mohamed, H. Ali
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Development Issues
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