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The more the merrier the wealthier? Multi-dimensional taxonomy of demography and development in Indonesia 越开心越富有?印尼人口统计与发展的多维分类
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-11 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-05-2023-0115
D. Wardhana
PurposeThis paper aims to unpack the nexus of development and demography controlling for three important variables to represent the meaning of development, that is, poverty rate, unemployment rate and human development index (HDI). Demographic variables are proxied with total fertility rate (TFR) and net migration rate (NMR).Design/methodology/approachThis research applies cluster analysis at the provincial level using INDO-DAPOER and 2015 Intercensal Population Survey data sets.FindingsDemographic and development status of Indonesian provinces can be classified into four clusters, and members of these clusters are mostly dissimilar with those of previous groupings on demographic dividends (Adioetomo, 2018). With only less than 50% matching rate, the author argues that there is no simple linear relationship between demographic and development variables.Research limitations/implicationsThe most recent data set on Population Census Year 2020 has not been made available at the time of the writing. Also sometimes known as unsupervised classification, cluster analysis is about finding groups in a set of objects characterised only by certain measurements; therefore, findings of this study need to be positioned solely within the context of development and demography.Practical implicationsTaxonomy in this study offers a more nuanced and contextual understanding of the diverse challenges at the local and regional levels. Recommendations from this study lead to asymmetrical design in development policies and budget proportions at local levels.Social implicationsIt is expected that the findings are relevant to the input of policymaking process within the sphere of development and demography, especially for countries with significant size of populations and grappling with development issues.Originality/valueTo the author’s understanding, this paper is the first to discuss the impact of “demographic dividend” to economic development in Indonesia using the approach of cluster analysis. The expected contribution of this work is twofold: Firstly, the author would like to ignite a discourse on the nexus of development and demography using the most recent data set and cutting-edge method. Secondly, the findings are relevant to the input of policymaking process within the sphere of development and demography, especially for countries with significant size of populations and grappling with development issues.
目的本文旨在揭示发展与人口学之间的关系,即贫困率、失业率和人类发展指数这三个代表发展意义的重要变量。人口统计学变量以总生育率(TFR)和净迁移率(NMR)为代表。设计/方法/方法本研究使用INDO-DAPOER和2015年州际人口调查数据集在省级层面进行聚类分析。发现印度尼西亚各省的人口和发展状况可分为四个集群,这些集群的成员与以前的人口红利分组大多不同(Adioetomo,2018)。在只有不到50%的匹配率的情况下,作者认为人口统计和发展变量之间不存在简单的线性关系。研究局限性/含义在撰写本文时,尚未提供2020年人口普查的最新数据集。聚类分析有时也被称为无监督分类,是指在一组仅以某些测量为特征的对象中找到组;因此,这项研究的发现需要仅仅放在发展和人口学的背景下。实际含义本研究中的分类学对地方和区域层面的各种挑战提供了更细致和上下文的理解。这项研究的建议导致地方一级的发展政策和预算比例设计不对称。社会影响预计研究结果与发展和人口学领域的政策制定过程的投入有关,特别是对于人口众多、正在努力解决发展问题的国家而言。原创性/价值据作者所知,本文首次采用聚类分析的方法讨论了“人口红利”对印尼经济发展的影响。这项工作的预期贡献有两方面:首先,作者希望利用最新的数据集和尖端方法,引发一场关于发展与人口学关系的讨论。第二,研究结果与发展和人口学领域的决策过程的投入有关,特别是对于人口众多、正在努力解决发展问题的国家而言。
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引用次数: 0
Asymmetric new Keynesian Phillips curve for Mexico, 2005Q1–2022Q4 墨西哥的不对称新凯恩斯-菲利普斯曲线,2005Q1-2022Q4
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-31 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-04-2023-0106
Eduardo Loría, Raúl Antonio Tirado Cossío
PurposeThe labor market responds in a differentiated manner during recessions and expansions, and it is of vital importance to know the magnitude asymmetries. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects of the disinflationary monetary policy (2005Q1–2022Q4) through the sacrifice rate measured in terms of unemployment and rate of critical labor conditions (RCLC) with nonlinear auto regressive distributed lag (NLARDL; Shin et al., 2014), which allows to efficiently estimate asymmetric effects in short and long terms in the presence of variables of different integration orders.Design/methodology/approachThe authors estimate an asymmetric accelerationist Phillips curve, augmented with labor precariousness for Mexico (2005Q1–2022Q4) following the NLARDL approach (Shin et al., 2014).FindingsThe authors prove that the increase in the unemployment gap has greater disinflationary effects than the RCLC in both the short and the long term; the expansionary phases of the business cycle, which reduce UGap, do not have inflationary effects either in the short or in the long run, but improvements in the labor market do, when RCLC is reduced; raising RCLC appears to have been the companies’ main survival strategy since 2015; and these asymmetries can generate a low unemployment trap with high and growing precariousness, with huge dynamic costs for well-being, economic growth, inequality and poverty.Social implicationsAs labor precariousness grows, the implications are several both in the short and long run. In the short run, the most notorious example of the effects on workers has to do with unstable and insecure situations, that disrupt all their life planning options, and health issues. Bohle et al. (2004) found in the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development countries that casual employees had less desirable and predictable working hours, greater work–life conflict and more associated health complaints than people with permanent jobs.Originality/valueThe approach includes the labor precariousness variable, which describes a new phenomenon in the labor market. Nowadays, workers are facing a new threat since firms are employing a new labor cost reduction strategy in which they do not lay off workers but rather paying them less, working them more hours, or reducing benefits. The asymmetries between the effects of precarity and unemployment can generate a poverty trap in the long run. This problem is, once again, of great relevance in the context of global high inflation.
目的劳动力市场在衰退和扩张期间会以不同的方式做出反应,了解数量不对称性至关重要。本文的目的是通过具有非线性自回归分布滞后的失业率和关键劳动条件率(RCLC)衡量的牺牲率(NLARDL;Shin等人,2014)来评估反通胀货币政策(2005Q1–2022Q4)的效果,这允许在存在不同积分阶数的变量的情况下有效地估计短期和长期的不对称效应。设计/方法论/方法作者根据NLARDL方法(Shin et al.,2014)估计了一个不对称的加速主义者-菲利普斯曲线,该曲线随着墨西哥劳动力的不稳定性而增加(2005年第一季度至2022Q4);商业周期的扩张阶段降低了UGap,从短期或长期来看都不会产生通货膨胀影响,但当RCLC降低时,劳动力市场会有所改善;自2015年以来,提高RCLC似乎一直是这些公司的主要生存策略;这些不对称可能会产生一个低失业率陷阱,其不稳定性很高,而且越来越大,给福祉、经济增长、不平等和贫困带来巨大的动态成本。社会影响随着劳动不稳定的加剧,短期和长期的影响都有几个。从短期来看,对工人影响最臭名昭著的例子与不稳定和不安全的情况有关,这些情况扰乱了他们所有的生活规划选择,以及健康问题。Bohle等人(2004)在经济合作与发展组织(Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development)的国家中发现,与长期工作的人相比,临时员工的工作时间不那么理想和可预测,工作与生活冲突更大,相关的健康投诉也更多。独创性/价值该方法包括劳动力不稳定变量,它描述了劳动力市场中的一种新现象。如今,工人们面临着新的威胁,因为公司正在采用一种新的劳动力成本降低策略,即不裁员,而是减少工资、增加工作时间或减少福利。从长远来看,不稳定和失业影响之间的不对称可能会产生贫困陷阱。在全球高通胀的背景下,这个问题再次具有重大意义。
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引用次数: 0
Dissemination of climate smart agricultural knowledge through farmer field schools (FFS): analyzing the application CAS knowledge by smallholder farmers 通过农民田间学校(FFS)传播气候智能农业知识:分析CAS知识在小农户中的应用
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-28 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-04-2023-0109
C. Gichuki, Maurice Osewe, S. Ndiritu
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to investigate the effects of climate smart agriculture knowledge transfers. As well as to examine the application of climate-smart agricultural (CSA) knowledge such as conservation agriculture, irrigation systems, integrated soil fertility management, bioenergy and agroforestry by smallholder farmers in Kenya.Design/methodology/approachThe study applied comparative research methodology to compare climate smart agriculture knowledge application between smallholder participants in farmer field schools (FFS) and no FFS participation. This study used household data from 759 randomly selected rural agricultural households in three counties in Kenya. The study applied multivariate probit model to estimate CSA knowledge application by farmers who participated in field trainings and non-FFS participation farmers.FindingsThis study established that climate smart agriculture knowledge transfer through FFS increases farmers’ application of critical aspects of climate smart agriculture knowledge practices such as irrigation system, conservation agriculture and soil and water conservation. Such aspects have been noted as effective interventions against adverse climate change effects such as persistent droughts and flooding and soil infertility. Further findings illustrated that farmers who received CSA knowledge transfers applied agricultural insurance to mitigate rising climatic risks on their farms. Knowledge transfer interventions targeting affordability through subsidizing agricultural insurance are probable and more cost-effective measures that can be used to reduce smallholder farmers’ exposure to climate change-related risks.Originality/valueThis study provides information that was previously unknown about climate smart agriculture knowledge transfers and application among farmers who participated in field trainings and non-FFS participation farmers by using empirical data.
目的本文旨在研究气候智能农业知识转移的影响。除了研究气候智能农业(CSA)知识的应用,如保护性农业、灌溉系统、综合土壤肥力管理、,肯尼亚小农户的生物能源和农林业。设计/方法/方法该研究应用比较研究方法,比较了农民田间学校(FFS)和无FFS的小农户参与者对气候智能农业知识的应用。这项研究使用了肯尼亚三个县759个随机选择的农村农业家庭的家庭数据。本研究应用多元probit模型估计了参加田间培训的农民和非自由流服务参与农民对CSA知识的应用。发现这项研究表明,通过FFS进行的气候智能农业知识转移增加了农民对气候智能农业关键方面知识实践的应用,如灌溉系统、保护性农业和水土保持。人们注意到,这些方面是针对持续干旱、洪水和土壤贫瘠等不利气候变化影响的有效干预措施。进一步的研究结果表明,接受CSA知识转让的农民申请了农业保险,以减轻其农场不断上升的气候风险。通过补贴农业保险以负担能力为目标的知识转移干预措施是可能的,也是更具成本效益的措施,可用于减少小农户面临气候变化相关风险的风险。独创性/价值本研究通过使用实证数据,提供了以前未知的关于参与实地培训的农民和非自由流技术参与农民之间气候智能农业知识转移和应用的信息。
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引用次数: 0
The global market upsurge in web traffic and revenues during the epidemic: an exploratory research of e-learning companies 疫情期间全球市场网络流量和收入的激增:对电子学习公司的探索性研究
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-26 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-06-2023-0147
Himanshu Bagdi, Seshu Vardhan Pothabathula, Latika Sharma, Hemantkumar P. Bulsara Bulsara
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to understand the market for various e-learning platforms existing globally. The global pandemic transformed the traditional education sector into an e-learning industry and impacted the digital education sector proportionally. The wide impact on people to maintain a social distance shortened the space and enhanced student engagement with digital screens. The merchandise of electronic gadgets and e-learning platforms boosted global revenues ever before.Design/methodology/approachA digital data analytical tool retrieved the data for e-learning companies. While screening companies, the authors came up with more than 150 and later narrowed it to 71. Furthermore, revenues and market capitalisation data were collected from open-source websites of respective e-learning platforms at national and international stock exchanges. The data from the year 2018 to 2021 was used to predict the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the 2022–2027 market value of e-learning companies. The demographics of the statistical data were plotted using GraphPad Prism and Python Plotly. Also, the study attempted to underpin the association of annual revenue with market capitalisation for e-learning companies using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS).FindingsThe financials of the e-learning platforms were compared from 2018 to 2021 based on the stock market exchange, which showed a gradual increase in revenues and influenced the market capitalisation by the 2022 financial year. Also, simultaneously validating the CAGR of 13.16%, the expected revenues from 2022 to 2027 were $830bn. The data plotted on the atlas choropleth exhibiting the e-learning users increased globally by 2022. The Web traffic data validated by the browsing gadget helped to validate the increase in revenues of the electronic gadget companies.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the pioneer studies postulating the study of e-learning demographics comparing the e-learning influence on the global digital market, Web user traffic and the education sector. The demographics of e-learning users by age, gender and gadget distribution validate the e-learning induction globally.
目的本文的目的是了解全球现有的各种电子学习平台的市场。全球疫情将传统教育部门转变为电子学习行业,并对数字教育部门产生了相应的影响。对人们保持社交距离的广泛影响缩短了空间,增强了学生对数字屏幕的参与度。电子产品和电子学习平台的商品推动了全球收入的增长。设计/方法论/方法数字数据分析工具为电子学习公司检索数据。在筛选公司时,作者提出了150多个,后来缩小到71个。此外,收入和市值数据是从国家和国际证券交易所各自电子学习平台的开源网站收集的。2018年至2021年的数据用于预测电子学习公司2022年至2027年市场价值的复合年增长率(CAGR)。使用GraphPad Prism和Python Plotly绘制统计数据的人口统计数据。此外,该研究试图使用社会科学统计包(SPSS)来支持电子学习公司的年收入与市值之间的关联,这表明收入逐渐增加,并影响了2022财年的市值。此外,在验证13.16%的复合年增长率的同时,2022年至2027年的预期收入为8300亿美元。地图集choropleth上绘制的数据显示,到2022年,全球电子学习用户有所增加。通过浏览小工具验证的网络流量数据有助于验证电子小工具公司的收入增长。独创性/价值据作者所知,这是假设电子学习人口统计研究的先驱研究之一,比较了电子学习对全球数字市场、网络用户流量和教育部门的影响。电子学习用户按年龄、性别和小工具分布的人口统计数据验证了全球电子学习入门的有效性。
{"title":"The global market upsurge in web traffic and revenues during the epidemic: an exploratory research of e-learning companies","authors":"Himanshu Bagdi, Seshu Vardhan Pothabathula, Latika Sharma, Hemantkumar P. Bulsara Bulsara","doi":"10.1108/ijdi-06-2023-0147","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1108/ijdi-06-2023-0147","url":null,"abstract":"\u0000Purpose\u0000The purpose of this paper is to understand the market for various e-learning platforms existing globally. The global pandemic transformed the traditional education sector into an e-learning industry and impacted the digital education sector proportionally. The wide impact on people to maintain a social distance shortened the space and enhanced student engagement with digital screens. The merchandise of electronic gadgets and e-learning platforms boosted global revenues ever before.\u0000\u0000\u0000Design/methodology/approach\u0000A digital data analytical tool retrieved the data for e-learning companies. While screening companies, the authors came up with more than 150 and later narrowed it to 71. Furthermore, revenues and market capitalisation data were collected from open-source websites of respective e-learning platforms at national and international stock exchanges. The data from the year 2018 to 2021 was used to predict the compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of the 2022–2027 market value of e-learning companies. The demographics of the statistical data were plotted using GraphPad Prism and Python Plotly. Also, the study attempted to underpin the association of annual revenue with market capitalisation for e-learning companies using Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS).\u0000\u0000\u0000Findings\u0000The financials of the e-learning platforms were compared from 2018 to 2021 based on the stock market exchange, which showed a gradual increase in revenues and influenced the market capitalisation by the 2022 financial year. Also, simultaneously validating the CAGR of 13.16%, the expected revenues from 2022 to 2027 were $830bn. The data plotted on the atlas choropleth exhibiting the e-learning users increased globally by 2022. The Web traffic data validated by the browsing gadget helped to validate the increase in revenues of the electronic gadget companies.\u0000\u0000\u0000Originality/value\u0000To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is one of the pioneer studies postulating the study of e-learning demographics comparing the e-learning influence on the global digital market, Web user traffic and the education sector. The demographics of e-learning users by age, gender and gadget distribution validate the e-learning induction globally.\u0000","PeriodicalId":37830,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Development Issues","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-07-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46457397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An exploration of drivers of livelihoods of documented but low-skilled return migrant workers in Vietnam during the COVID-19 pandemic crisis 新冠肺炎大流行危机期间越南有记录但低技能返回移民工人生计驱动因素的探索
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-11 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-02-2023-0039
Thanh Nguyen Thi Ngoc
PurposeThis paper aims to explore the determinants of the livelihoods of return migrant workers in Vietnam. The findings will help authorities updating their regulations on migration, thus grasping the economic benefit from documented but low-skilled return migrant workers.Design/methodology/approachThe sample is collected when the COVID-19 pandemic hit the Vietnamese economy severely. The author considers six issues of income and employment, including total income, stable income, financial pressure experiences, unemployment, stable job and time to find a job. For this purpose, through a pre-structured questionnaire, the primary data is collected from 258 Vietnamese return migrant workers in various foreign countries. Notably, all respondents in the sample are documented but low-skilled return migrant workers. The author uses various empirical regression analyses to conclude that personal traits, family characteristics and their characteristics before and after migration play a critical role in determining the livelihood of migrants returning to Vietnam.FindingsThe author finds that personal traits, family characteristics and their characteristics before and after migration play a critical role in determining the livelihood of migrants returning to Vietnam.Practical implicationsThe findings are critical for Vietnamese authorities in finalizing and updating their regulations on migration, thus grasping the economic benefit from documented but low-skilled return migrant workers.Originality/valueTo the best of the author’s knowledge, this is the first study to exploit the drivers of the livelihoods of return migrants in Vietnam, a rich, two-wave panel survey of respondents in Vietnam aimed at characterizing the history of migration of low-skilled and documented migrants back to Vietnam and to use these histories to gain insight into Vietnamese return migrants’ economic status, access to financial, welfare and health insurance benefits and employment prospects.
目的探讨越南返乡农民工生计的影响因素。研究结果将有助于当局更新其移民法规,从而从有证件但技能较低的返乡农民工那里获得经济利益。设计/方法/方法样本是在COVID-19大流行严重影响越南经济时收集的。作者考虑了收入和就业的六个问题,包括总收入、稳定收入、财务压力经历、失业、稳定工作和找工作的时间。为此,通过预先编制的问卷调查,收集了258名在不同国家的越南回返移民工人的主要数据。值得注意的是,样本中的所有受访者都是有文件记录的低技能返乡农民工。作者通过各种实证回归分析得出结论,个人特征、家庭特征及其迁移前后的特征在决定移民返回越南的生计方面起着至关重要的作用。作者发现,个人特征、家庭特征及其迁移前后的特征对移民返回越南的生计起着至关重要的作用。这些发现对越南当局最终确定和更新其移民法规至关重要,从而从有证件但技能较低的返乡移民工人那里获得经济利益。原创性/价值据作者所知,这是第一项利用越南返回移民生计驱动因素的研究,这是一项丰富的两波越南受访者面板调查,旨在描述低技能和有证件移民返回越南的移民历史,并利用这些历史来深入了解越南返回移民的经济地位,获得金融,福利和健康保险福利以及就业前景。
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引用次数: 0
Tax and income inequality: evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa 税收和收入不平等:来自撒哈拉以南非洲的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-07 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-12-2022-0277
Theodora Aba Kwegyeba Brown, G. Bokpin, E. Sarpong-Kumankoma
PurposeThis study aims to determine how taxes can be used to bridge income inequality gap in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA).Design/methodology/approachA panel data set of 36 SSA countries was analysed using generalised method of moments.FindingsThe results suggest that an increase in direct taxes relative to indirect taxes has a positive significant impact on income inequality. This is mostly due to the progressive nature of direct taxes as compared to indirect taxes.Originality/valueThis research contributes to the scant literature on how specific tax components affect income inequality, especially in developing countries.
目的本研究旨在确定如何利用税收来弥补撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)的收入不平等差距。设计/方法/方法使用广义矩法分析了36个SSA国家的面板数据集。研究结果表明,相对于间接税,直接税的增加对收入不平等有着积极而显著的影响。这主要是由于直接税与间接税相比具有累进性质。独创性/价值这项研究有助于减少关于特定税收成分如何影响收入不平等的文献,尤其是在发展中国家。
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引用次数: 0
Energy transition and pollution emissions in developing countries: are renewable energies guilty? 发展中国家的能源转型和污染排放:可再生能源有罪吗?
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-07-04 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-05-2023-0114
E. Achuo, Nathanael Ojong
PurposeThis study aims to examine the effects of energy transition on pollution emissions in Africa. In addition, it explores the indirect channels through which energy consumption impacts environmental quality.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses system Generalised Method of Moments approach for a panel of 51 developing African countries over the 1996–2020 period.FindingsThe results show that fossil fuel and renewable energy consumption increase pollution emissions. The environment-degrading effect of renewable energy in Africa is however counter-intuitive, though the results are robust across regional economic blocks and income groups except for upper-middle-income countries where energy consumption is environment enhancing. Moreover, the results show that the environmental impacts of non-renewable energy consumption are modulated through financial development and information and communication technology (ICT) adoption, leading to respective positive net effects of 0.04460796 and 0.07682873. This is up to respective policy thresholds of 203.265 and 137.105 of financial development and ICT adoption, respectively, when the positive net effects are nullified.Practical implicationsContingent on the results, the study suggests the need for African countries to develop sound financial systems and encourage the use of green technologies, to ensure that energy transition effectively contributes to emissions reduction. Policymakers in Africa should also be aware of the critical levels of financial development and ICT, beyond which complementary policies are required for non-renewable energy consumption to maintain a negative impact on environmental degradation.Originality/valueFirstly, extant studies on the nexus between energy transition and environmental degradation in Africa are very sparse. Therefore, this study fills the existing research gap by comprehensively examining the effects of energy transition on pollution emissions across 51 African economies. Additionally, besides accounting for the direct environmental effects of energy transition, the current study accounts for the indirect channels through which the environmental impacts of energy transition are modulated. Hence, this study provides critical thresholds for the policy modulating variables, which enlighten policymakers on the necessity of designing complementary policies once the modulating variables attain the established thresholds.
目的本研究旨在检验能源转型对非洲污染排放的影响。此外,它还探讨了能源消耗影响环境质量的间接渠道。设计/方法论/方法该研究对1996-2020年期间由51个非洲发展中国家组成的小组使用了系统广义矩方法。研究结果表明,化石燃料和可再生能源的消耗增加了污染排放。然而,可再生能源在非洲对环境的破坏作用与直觉相悖,尽管除能源消耗正在改善环境的中上收入国家外,各区域经济体和收入群体的结果都很强劲。此外,研究结果表明,不可再生能源消费对环境的影响是通过金融发展和信息通信技术的采用来调节的,分别产生0.04460796和0.07682873的正净影响。当积极的净效应被抵消时,这分别达到了金融发展和信息和通信技术采用的203.265和137.105的政策阈值。实际意义根据研究结果,该研究表明,非洲国家需要发展健全的金融体系,鼓励使用绿色技术,以确保能源转型有效地促进减排。非洲的决策者还应该意识到金融发展和信息和通信技术的关键水平,超过这一水平,就需要对不可再生能源消费采取补充政策,以保持对环境退化的负面影响。原创性/价值首先,关于非洲能源转型与环境退化之间关系的现有研究非常稀少。因此,本研究通过全面考察能源转型对51个非洲经济体污染排放的影响,填补了现有的研究空白。此外,除了考虑能源转型的直接环境影响外,本研究还考虑了能源转型对环境影响的间接调节渠道。因此,本研究为政策调节变量提供了临界阈值,这启发了决策者在调节变量达到既定阈值后设计补充政策的必要性。
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引用次数: 2
Natural resource abundance and income inequality: a case study of Algeria 自然资源丰富与收入不平等:阿尔及利亚个案研究
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-06-28 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-02-2023-0027
Sidi Mohamed Chekouri
PurposeThis study aims to present an empirical investigation on the effect of natural resource rent on income inequality in Algeria over the period 1980–2020.Design/methodology/approachThe analysis is carried out by using the novel developed method dynamic autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) simulation technique alongside the Kernel-based regularized least squares.FindingsThe bounds test revealed a long-run relationship between natural resource rent and income inequality. Our estimation results suggest that natural resource rent, GDP per capita and government expenditures are all associated with lower income inequality in the short and long term. Moreover, the author found that better institutional quality is more likely to reduce income inequality in Algeria. This empirical finding is further validated by the counterfactual shocks from the dynamic ARDL simulation, which reveal a significant decrease in predicted income inequality following a positive change in resource rents and a gradual, significant increase in inequality after a negative change in resource rents.Originality/valueThe present study is the first to use the dynamic ARDL model to investigate the impact of positive and negative changes in natural resource rent on income inequality in Algeria.
本研究旨在对阿尔及利亚1980-2020年期间自然资源租金对收入不平等的影响进行实证调查。设计/方法/方法采用新开发的动态自回归分布滞后(ARDL)仿真技术和基于核的正则化最小二乘法进行分析。结果:边界检验揭示了自然资源租金与收入不平等之间的长期关系。我们的估计结果表明,在短期和长期内,自然资源租金、人均GDP和政府支出都与较低的收入不平等有关。此外,作者发现,更好的制度质量更有可能减少阿尔及利亚的收入不平等。动态ARDL模拟的反事实冲击进一步验证了这一实证发现,该模拟显示,在资源租金发生积极变化后,预测的收入不平等显著减少,而在资源租金发生消极变化后,不平等逐渐显著增加。本研究首次使用动态ARDL模型来研究阿尔及利亚自然资源租金的积极和消极变化对收入不平等的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Innovation and export: evidence from manufacturing SMEs in a developing economy 创新与出口:来自发展中经济中制造业中小企业的证据
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-26 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-02-2023-0051
Cong Duc Tran, Pham Tien Thanh, Duong The Duy
PurposeInnovation allows firms to gain or maintain their competitive advantages in both domestic and international markets. However, the findings on the association between innovation and export vary depending on countries, samples, time, variables and methods used for empirical analysis. The purpose of this study is to examine the influence of different types of innovation on export in small- and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in a developing economy in the context of global integration.Design/methodology/approachFor empirical analysis, the authors use a sample of manufacturing SMEs in Vietnam in 2013 and 2015. Because the firms do not engage in innovation at random in the research sample, the authors use propensity score matching to account for self-selection bias. The authors also use different matching estimators to ensure robust results.FindingsInnovation activities are found to be positively associated with the probability of engaging in export activities. The effects are mainly contributed by the adoption of new technology or process.Practical implicationsThis research underscores the importance of public interventions and policies designed to promote innovation and export in the SMEs.Originality/valueTo the best of the authors’ knowledge, this research is one of the early attempts to examine the association between different types of innovation and export in SMEs in a developing economy.
创新使企业在国内和国际市场上获得或保持竞争优势。然而,创新与出口关系的研究结果因国家、样本、时间、变量和实证分析方法的不同而有所不同。本研究的目的是考察在全球一体化背景下发展中经济体中不同类型的创新对中小企业出口的影响。为了进行实证分析,作者使用了2013年和2015年越南制造业中小企业的样本。由于企业在研究样本中并不是随机进行创新的,因此作者使用倾向得分匹配来解释自我选择偏差。作者还使用了不同的匹配估计器来确保结果的鲁棒性。研究发现创新活动与从事出口活动的可能性呈正相关。这些影响主要是由于采用了新技术或新工艺。本研究强调了公共干预和政策对促进中小企业创新和出口的重要性。原创性/价值据作者所知,本研究是检验发展中经济体中小企业不同类型创新与出口之间关系的早期尝试之一。
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引用次数: 0
Implications of sustainability initiatives on African Continental Free Trade adoption by firms under environmental uncertainty 可持续性倡议对环境不确定性下企业采用非洲大陆自由贸易的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-05-17 DOI: 10.1108/ijdi-01-2023-0001
M. Appiah, Evelyn Toseafa, A. Sam, F. Danso, Alex Nsowah
PurposeDespite the enormous expectant opportunities from the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA), including creating a single continental market for goods and services, trade and investment, one key deterrent has remained fiercely unresolved due to failed trajectories with similar regional markets initiatives in the continent, and that is environmental uncertainty. To address this concern, this paper aims to develop a sustainability enabled-model to facilitate the adoption of AfCFTA under uncertain environment conditions to guide prospective investors and facilitators.Design/methodology/approachThis study is anchored on quantitative research approach and positivists’ paradigm. Survey strategy has been used to collect data from 520 medium-sized firms across Ghana. Data analyses have been conducted with the using smart partial least squares version 3.3.3 analytical tool and structural equation modeling modality.FindingsThe findings have showed that institutionalization, supply chain integration, supply chain resilience and innovativeness have positive effects on AfCFTA adoption under uncertainty. Moreover, AfCFTA adoption provides mechanisms through which to attain sustainable supply chain performance. Meanwhile, environmental uncertainty negatively influences AfCFTA adoption, and weakens the relationships between the adoption and sustainability performance.Originality/valueThis paper has developed an integrated investment decision model to facilitate AfCFTA adoption under environmental uncertainty. It provides new insights into the African free market to guide policymakers, practitioners, academics and promoters of AfCFTA on sustainability initiatives that influence its adoption under uncertainty. Moreover, the new model, which serves as a strategic tool for decision-making, could be used to stimulate the ratification and the trade facilitation measures to build strong confidence in current and prospective investors.
目的尽管非洲大陆自由贸易区(AfCFTA)带来了巨大的机遇,包括建立一个单一的商品和服务、贸易和投资大陆市场,但由于非洲大陆类似区域市场倡议的失败轨迹,一个关键的威慑因素仍未解决,那就是环境的不确定性。为了解决这一问题,本文旨在开发一种可持续发展模式,以促进在不确定的环境条件下采用AfCFTA,从而指导潜在投资者和促进者。设计/方法论/方法本研究以定量研究方法和实证主义范式为基础。调查策略已用于收集加纳520家中型公司的数据。使用智能偏最小二乘3.3.3版分析工具和结构方程建模模式进行了数据分析。研究结果表明,在不确定性条件下,制度化、供应链整合、供应链弹性和创新性对AfCFTA的采用具有积极影响。此外,AfCFTA的采用提供了实现可持续供应链绩效的机制。同时,环境的不确定性对AfCFTA的采用产生了负面影响,并削弱了采用与可持续性绩效之间的关系。原创性/价值本文开发了一个综合投资决策模型,以促进在环境不确定性下采用AfCFTA。它为非洲自由市场提供了新的见解,以指导AfCFTA的决策者、从业者、学者和推动者在不确定性下影响其采用的可持续性举措。此外,作为决策的战略工具,新模式可用于刺激批准和贸易便利化措施,以建立对当前和潜在投资者的坚定信心。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Development Issues
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