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Italia 1 Trim 2017: Pil, Debito & Co (Italy 1q 2017: GDP, Debt & Co.) 意大利2017年第一季度:Pil, Debito & Co.(意大利2017年第一季度:GDP,债务& Co.)
Pub Date : 2017-05-25 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2973756
Maurizio Mazziero, Andrew Lawford, G. Serafini
Italian Abstract: Ricerca sulla situazione economica italiana basata sui dati economici ufficiali; vengono analizzati e confrontati con il passato il debito pubblico, le riserve ufficiali, il PIL, l'inflazione e la disoccupazione. English Abstract: Research into the state of the Italian economy based on official economic data; the current Sovereign Debt, Official Reserves, GDP, Inflation and Unemployment situation is presented and and compared with the past.
意大利摘要:根据官方经济数据对意大利经济形势进行研究;对公共债务、官方储备、国内生产总值、通货膨胀和失业进行分析和比较。英语摘要:根据官方经济数据对意大利经济状况的研究;当前的债务负担、官方保留、GDP、通货膨胀和失业情况已经呈现,并与过去进行了比较。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Unions on Companies’ CSR Profiles: More Internal Policies and Programs, But Not Always at the Expense of External Endeavors 工会对企业社会责任的影响:更多的内部政策和项目,但并不总是以牺牲外部努力为代价
Pub Date : 2016-08-15 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2823954
Muhammad Umar Boodoo
This paper compares the CSR profiles of companies operating under the same macroeconomic institutions but with different levels of union density. Drawing from stakeholder and neo-institutional theories that distinguish between internal and external actions, this paper finds that companies initially have to substitute internal for external CSR. After some experience dealing with unions, companies can complement both actions. There is perhaps a reinforcement of mutual trust and loyalty, and has implications for managerial prerogatives.
本文比较了在相同宏观经济制度下不同工会密度下企业的社会责任特征。根据利益相关者理论和区分内外行为的新制度理论,本文发现企业最初必须以内部行为替代外部行为。在与工会打交道有了一些经验之后,公司可以同时采取这两种行动。这可能会加强相互信任和忠诚,并对管理特权产生影响。
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引用次数: 4
We – Today's and Tomorrow's – People of the United World: Rethinking Capitalism for Intergenerational Justice in the Fin-de-Millénaire 我们-今天的和明天的-联合世界的人民:重新思考资本主义的代际正义在芬-德-米尔萨涅尔
Pub Date : 2015-08-08 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2641451
Julia M. Puaschunder
Globalization leveraged pressure on contemporary society. Today's most pressing social dilemmas regarding climate change, overindebtedness and aging Western world populations demand rethinking capitalism. Understanding the bounds of capitalism to avoid ethical downfalls beyond the control of singular nation states infringing on intergenerational equity – the fairness to provide an at least as favorable standard of living to future generations as enjoyed today – has become a blatant demand. In a history of turning to natural law as a human-imbued moral compass for solving societal downfalls on a global scale in times of crises; we may capture the human natural drive towards intergenerational fairness in order to retrieve information on how to implement intergenerational justice. Based on the idea of intergenerational equity as a natural behavioral law, the following paper theoretically outlines the current societal demand for eternal equity and proposes intergenerational justice implementation strategies. Intertemporal connectedness and interaction of overlapping generations enables intergenerational benefits transfers and burden sharing. Intergenerational mobility within intertemporal networks is enhanced through intertemporal opportunities as well as meritocracy alleviating intergenerational inequality. Overall, portraying intergenerational equity as a natural behavioral law strengthens the legal case for codifying intergenerational fairness on a global basis and contributes to interdisciplinary behavioral law and economic models on contemporary intertemporal predicaments. Exploring intergenerational constraints prepares to innovatively guide the implementation of eternal equity and intergenerational justice in overlapping generations’ intertemporal networks. Strengthening financial social responsibility, social welfare and environmental protection through future-oriented and socially responsible economic market approaches of capitalism in the 21st century is aimed at alleviating predictable economic, social and environmental crises to ensure a future sustainable mankind for this generation and the following.
全球化对当代社会施加了压力。如今,气候变化、过度负债和西方世界人口老龄化等最紧迫的社会困境要求人们重新思考资本主义。理解资本主义的界限,以避免道德沦丧超出单一民族国家的控制范围,从而侵犯代际公平——为后代提供至少与今天一样有利的生活水平的公平——已成为一种公然的要求。在人类历史上,在危机时期,将自然法作为人类灌输的道德指南针来解决全球范围内的社会崩溃;我们可以捕捉人类追求代际公平的自然动力,以便检索有关如何实现代际公平的信息。基于代际公平作为一种自然行为规律的观点,本文从理论上概述了当前社会对永恒公平的需求,并提出了代际公平的实施策略。代际联系和代际互动使代际利益转移和负担分担成为可能。跨代网络中的代际流动性通过跨代机会和精英管理减轻代际不平等而增强。总体而言,将代际公平描述为一种自然行为法则,加强了在全球基础上编纂代际公平的法律依据,并有助于建立当代跨期困境的跨学科行为法和经济模型。探索代际约束为创新地指导在重叠代际网络中实现永恒公平和代际正义做好了准备。在21世纪,通过面向未来和对社会负责的资本主义经济市场方法,加强财政社会责任、社会福利和环境保护,旨在减轻可预见的经济、社会和环境危机,以确保这一代人和后代的未来可持续发展。
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引用次数: 8
The Complex Interactions between Economic Growth and Market Concentration in a Model of Structural Change 结构变化模型中经济增长与市场集中度的复杂相互作用
Pub Date : 2015-01-31 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2756901
Tommaso Ciarli, M. Valente
We study the relation between variety, market concentration, and economic growth, along different phases of economic development which entail a number of changes to the structure of production and consumption in the economy. We focus on three aspects of structural change, which are connected and are correlated to variety, market concentration, and economic growth: (i) product quality; (ii) firms’ mark-ups; and (iii) imitation of consumer preferences for price and quality. We model the interactions among several aspects of structural change such as firm size and hierarchical structure, innovation in capital vintages, the emergence of social classes, income distribution, and consumer preferences across and within classes. We find that market concentration has a significant and positive impact on economic growth only in the presence of sufficiently large demand. The strongest effects emerge in the presence of a more skewed firm size distribution and firms producing higher priced and higher quality goods. We find also that this effect is influenced strongly by different aspects of structural change. Changes in the behaviour (or income) of the less wealthy income classes is crucial as is investment in new capital vintages, and the emergence of diverse income classes with heterogeneous consumption preferences. In contrast, we find that supply side product variety, cœteris paribus, has no significant effect on growth.
我们沿着经济发展的不同阶段研究多样性、市场集中度和经济增长之间的关系,这些阶段涉及经济中生产和消费结构的一系列变化。我们关注结构变化的三个方面,这三个方面与品种、市场集中度和经济增长相互联系和相关:(1)产品质量;(ii)公司的加价;(三)模仿消费者对价格和质量的偏好。我们模拟了结构变化的几个方面之间的相互作用,如企业规模和等级结构、资本年份的创新、社会阶层的出现、收入分配以及跨阶层和内部的消费者偏好。我们发现,只有在需求足够大的情况下,市场集中度才会对经济增长产生显著的积极影响。最强烈的影响出现在企业规模分布更加倾斜以及企业生产价格更高、质量更高的产品的情况下。我们还发现,这种效应受到结构变化的不同方面的强烈影响。不太富裕的收入阶层的行为(或收入)变化至关重要,对新资本年份的投资至关重要,消费偏好各异的不同收入阶层的出现也至关重要。相比之下,我们发现供给侧产品品种(cœteris paribus)对增长没有显著影响。
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引用次数: 33
The Cambridge History of "Capitalism" 剑桥“资本主义”史
Pub Date : 2014-11-01 DOI: 10.1257/JEL.53.4.996
P. Temin
This review essay of the two-volume Cambridge History of Capitalism (2014), edited by Larry Neal and Jeffrey G. Williamson, is divided into three parts. First, I describe three chapters from the second volume that I recommend for all economists to add depth to their understanding of the world economy today. Robert C. Allen analyzes the world distribution of income; Randall Morck and Bernard Yeung discuss the history of business groups; and Peter Lindert surveys private and public programs to help the poor. In each case, they analyze historical backgrounds that illuminate current issues. Second, I criticize the definition of capitalism used in these volumes as too expansive to be useful. I argue that this definition mars the essays in first volume by stimulating a fruitless search for capitalism in the millennium before the Industrial Revolution. Third, I describe the essays in this reference work starting from the most recent and ending with those about antiquity.
本文是拉里·尼尔和杰弗里·g·威廉姆森编辑的两卷本《剑桥资本主义史》(2014)的评论文章,分为三个部分。首先,我向所有经济学家推荐第二卷中的三章,以加深他们对当今世界经济的理解。罗伯特·c·艾伦分析了世界收入分配;Randall Morck和Bernard Yeung讨论了商业集团的历史;Peter Lindert调查了帮助穷人的私人和公共项目。在每种情况下,他们分析历史背景,阐明当前的问题。其次,我批评这些书中对资本主义的定义过于宽泛,毫无用处。我认为,这个定义破坏了第一卷的文章,因为它刺激了人们在工业革命前的千年里对资本主义的毫无结果的探索。第三,我描述了这个参考工作中的文章,从最近的开始,以那些关于古代的结束。
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引用次数: 34
By the Numbers: Thailand's Performance on International Indices Under Thaksin. 数据显示:他信执政期间泰国在国际指数上的表现。
Pub Date : 2014-10-04 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2523359
M. Speece
The West usually portrays Thailand?s coup negatively. Middle class Thai generally regard it as last-chance attempt to save Thailand from becoming a failed state. Middle class Bangkok originally supported Thaksin, but turned against him in late 2005. Middle class support originally was essentially based on three key premises:1. Thailand can put up with certain levels of corruption, 2. provided the government delivers a strong economy. Government has always been corrupt, so continued corruption was not useful for determining how to vote.3. Thailand needs to do more to address inequality. The middle class was not originally against Thaksin?s populist policies ? early on, the policies seemed financially sustainable and gained support.The data show that none of these hopes actually worked out.Corruption: using Transparency International?s Corruption Perception Index, percentiles can control for changes in number of countries from 1995 to 2013. Previous governments slowly improved Thailand?s standing, but Thaksin made more rapid progress during his first term. Thailand reached the 33rd percentile in 2001 (from 17th in 1995), but reached the 61st percentile in 2005 and 2006. However, since 2007 Thailand has declined, and in 2013 it stood at 102 out of 175 countries, the 41st percentile. The drop was particularly rapid in 2012 and 2013.Economic competitiveness: according to World Economic Forum, Global Competitiveness Reports, Thailand declined in competitiveness from 2006 to 2014. It was ranked 35th in 2006-2007, and 37th in 2013-2014. This slight overall decline masks serious problems on most indicators ? Thailand showed strong improvement on ?financial market development?, but declined on nine out of twelve indicators. The largest decline was 51 ranks on ?labor market efficiency?, but ?institutions?, ?higher education and training?, ?technological readiness?, and ?innovation? all showed declines of 25 ranks or more.Inequality: World Bank data shows that Thailand made modest improvements in income distribution since 1992. The top 10 percent?s share of income declined from 39% to about 31%. However, Thaksin?s governments from 2001 substantially slowed the long-term trend toward more equitable income. Concentration of wealth at the top increased substantially the past few years, after little change from 2000 to 2010. Credit Suisse figures show that the top 10 percent increased their share from 66.7% to 75% over 2011-2013. The top 1% increased their share from 38.5% to 50.6%.Thus, the international indices show that Thaksinomics has resulted in a more corrupt, less competitive, and more unequal Thailand.
西方通常描绘泰国?美国政变是消极的。泰国中产阶级普遍认为这是拯救泰国免于成为失败国家的最后一次尝试。曼谷的中产阶级最初支持他信,但在2005年底转而反对他信。中产阶级的支持最初主要基于三个关键前提:1。泰国可以容忍一定程度的腐败。前提是政府能带来强劲的经济。政府一直都是腐败的,所以持续的腐败对决定如何投票是没有帮助的。泰国需要采取更多措施来解决不平等问题。中产阶级最初不是反对他信吗?美国的民粹主义政策?早期,这些政策似乎在财政上是可持续的,并获得了支持。数据显示,这些希望实际上都没有实现。腐败:利用透明国际?在腐败感知指数中,百分位数可以控制1995年至2013年国家数量的变化。前几届政府慢慢改善了泰国?但是他信在他的第一个任期内取得了更快的进步。泰国在2001年达到了第33百分位(从1995年的第17位),但在2005年和2006年达到了第61百分位。然而,自2007年以来,泰国的排名有所下降,2013年在175个国家中排名第102位,占第41个百分位。2012年和2013年的下降尤为迅速。经济竞争力:根据世界经济论坛《全球竞争力报告》,泰国的竞争力从2006年到2014年有所下降。2006-2007年排名第35位,2013-2014年排名第37位。总体上的轻微下降掩盖了大多数指标的严重问题。泰国在金融市场发展方面表现强劲。但在12项指标中,有9项出现下滑。在“劳动力市场效率”这一项上排名下降最大的是51位。,但是机构呢?高等教育和培训?技术就绪?创新?它们的排名都下降了25位或更多。不平等:世界银行的数据显示,自1992年以来,泰国在收入分配方面略有改善。前10%的人呢?美国的收入占比从39%降至31%左右。然而,信吗?从2001年开始,美国政府大幅减缓了收入更公平的长期趋势。在2000年到2010年几乎没有变化的情况下,财富向富人集中的情况在过去几年里大幅增加。瑞士信贷(Credit Suisse)的数据显示,2011年至2013年,收入最高的10%的人所占的份额从66.7%增加到75%。收入最高的1%的人所占的份额从38.5%增加到50.6%。因此,国际指数显示,他信经济学导致了一个更加腐败、竞争力下降和更加不平等的泰国。
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引用次数: 2
Determinants and Perceptions of Social Mobility in Poland, 1992-2008 波兰社会流动的决定因素和感知,1992-2008
Pub Date : 2014-03-31 DOI: 10.5709/CE.1897-9254.133
K. Sokołowska
The purpose of this article is to analyse the factors affecting social mobility in Poland, based on results obtained from the estimation of logit models for the years 1992-2008 as well as from interviews asking about the necessary conditions to achieve success in life. Data used in this work come from the Polish General Social Survey carried out by the Institute of Social Studies of the University of Warsaw on a representative sample of adult household members. This set contains interviews conducted in the years 1992-2008 and includes 16,234 respondents. Studies using logit models to answer the question posed in the present study show that the probability of success in life in Poland is determined by both ability and level of education; interview responses to the same question, however, show that family origins, parents’ level of education and connections are just as important. Most interestingly, the percentage of people indicating the importance of these factors was higher in 2002 than it was in 1992.
本文的目的是分析影响波兰社会流动性的因素,基于对1992-2008年logit模型的估计结果,以及对生活中取得成功的必要条件的采访。这项工作中使用的数据来自华沙大学社会研究所对成年家庭成员的代表性样本进行的波兰综合社会调查。本组包含1992-2008年的访谈,共有16234名受访者。使用logit模型回答本研究中提出的问题的研究表明,波兰生活中成功的概率是由能力和教育水平决定的;然而,对同一问题的访谈回答表明,家庭出身、父母的教育水平和人际关系同样重要。最有趣的是,2002年表明这些因素重要性的人的百分比比1992年要高。
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引用次数: 6
Convergence Analysis on Ten Sub-Indexes of Economic Freedom 经济自由度十大分类指标的收敛性分析
Pub Date : 2014-03-24 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2413367
Yu Sang Chang, Young-Sub Kim, JiHye Anna Kim
The purpose of this paper is to examine the transition of ten sub-indexes of economic freedom among 130 countries in the world. The three central questions of this study are: do economic freedom sub-indexes converge? Do some sub-indexes of economic freedom display more clear-cut convergence when their index points are increasing over time? Which clusters of economic sub-indexes display faster rate of convergence? Analyses of sub-indexes of economic freedom are critical because each of these individual sub-indexes independently determines final value of the overall index. The answer to the first question varies by each specific sub-index. The answer to the second question is that countries with increasing index points display much more clear-cut convergence. As for the third question, those sub-indexes receiving high index points from large number of countries exhibit faster rate of convergence. Several policy implications are discussed in conclusion.
本文的目的是考察世界上130个国家经济自由的十个分项指标的变迁。本研究的三个核心问题是:经济自由分项指标是否趋同?随着时间的推移,经济自由度的一些分项指标是否表现出更明显的趋同?哪一组经济分类指数的收敛速度更快?对经济自由分项指数的分析至关重要,因为这些分项指数中的每一个都独立地决定了总体指数的最终值。第一个问题的答案因具体的子指数而异。第二个问题的答案是,指数点越高的国家表现出明显得多的趋同。对于第三个问题,从数量较多的国家获得高指数的分项指数,其收敛速度更快。最后讨论了若干政策影响。
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引用次数: 0
Deindustrialization and Economic Diversification 去工业化与经济多元化
Pub Date : 2014-01-26 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2385735
Tiago C. Berriel, Marco Bonomo, Carlos M. Carvalho
We derive a measure of the degree of inefficiency of the production structure of an economy by casting its optimal sectoral composition as the outcome of a portfolio allocation problem, in the spirit of Koren and Tenreyro (2004). We use the framework to construct measures of inefficiency using sectoral data for 194 countries, document the patterns of inefficiency by region, income group etc., and investigate which countries might have reasons to pursue "industrial policies" to improve on the allocation of economic activity across sectors. We then undertake an exploratory analysis of the empirical content of our measure of inefficiency, and find that it correlates negatively with measures of good institutions and governance, broadly in line with the evidence in Hall and Jones (1999).
我们根据Koren和Tenreyro(2004)的精神,通过将其最优部门构成作为投资组合配置问题的结果,推导出经济生产结构无效率程度的度量。我们使用该框架,利用194个国家的部门数据来构建效率低下的衡量标准,按地区、收入群体等记录效率低下的模式,并调查哪些国家可能有理由采取“产业政策”来改善经济活动在各个部门的分配。然后,我们对我们的低效率度量的经验内容进行了探索性分析,并发现它与良好制度和治理的度量负相关,与Hall和Jones(1999)的证据大致一致。
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引用次数: 2
Eurozone Crisis and Social Models: What We Can Learn from Italy and Spain 欧元区危机与社会模式:意大利和西班牙的启示
Pub Date : 2014-01-14 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2724707
Sofía A. Pérez
This paper considers the role of social model features in the economic performance of Italy and Spain during the run-up to the Eurozone crisis, as well as the consequences of that crisis, in turn, for the two countries social models. It takes issue with the prevailing view - what I refer to as the “competitiveness thesis” - which attributes the debtor status of the two countries to a lack of competitive capacity rooted in social model features. This competitiveness thesis has been key in justifying the “liberalization plus austerity” measures that European institutions have demanded in return for financial support for Italy and Spain at critical points during the crisis. The paper challenges this prevailing wisdom. First, it reviews the characteristics of the Italian and Spanish social models and their evolution in the period prior to the crisis, revealing a far more complex, dynamic and differentiated picture than is given in the political economy literature. Second, the paper considers various ways in which social model characteristics are said to have contributed to the Eurozone crisis, finding such explanations wanting. Italy and Spain s debtor status was primarily the result of much broader dynamics in the Euro- zone, including capital flows from richer to poorer countries that affected economic demand, with social model features playing, at most, an ancillary role. More aggressive reforms responding to EU demands in Spain may have increased the long term social and economic costs of the crisis, whereas the political stalemate that slowed such reforms in Italy may have paradoxically mitigated these costs. The comparison of the two countries thus suggests that, in the absence of broader macro-institutional reform of the Eurozone, compliance with EU dictates may have had perverse effects.
本文考虑了社会模式特征在欧元区危机爆发前意大利和西班牙经济表现中的作用,以及危机对这两个国家社会模式的影响。它反对一种流行的观点- -我称之为“竞争力论点”- -将这两个国家的债务国地位归因于植根于社会模式特征的竞争能力的缺乏。这一竞争力理论一直是证明“自由化加紧缩”措施合理性的关键,欧洲机构要求采取这些措施,以换取在危机的关键时刻向意大利和西班牙提供财政支持。这篇论文对这种流行的观点提出了挑战。首先,它回顾了意大利和西班牙社会模式的特点及其在危机前的演变,揭示了一幅比政治经济学文献中所给出的更为复杂、动态和差异化的图景。其次,本文考虑了社会模式特征被认为对欧元区危机有贡献的各种方式,发现这种解释存在不足。意大利和西班牙的债务国地位主要是欧元区更广泛动态的结果,包括资本从富裕国家流向贫穷国家,这影响了经济需求,而社会模式特征最多只发挥了辅助作用。西班牙为响应欧盟的要求而进行的更激进的改革,可能增加了危机的长期社会和经济成本,而意大利减缓此类改革的政治僵局,可能反而减轻了这些成本。因此,对这两个国家的比较表明,在欧元区不进行更广泛的宏观制度改革的情况下,遵守欧盟指令可能会产生不良影响。
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引用次数: 7
期刊
PSN: Other Comparative Capitalism (Topic)
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