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Development of the Manual of Disaster Risk Reduction Applied to Urban Planning 城市规划中减少灾害风险手册的编制
Pub Date : 2020-04-15 DOI: 10.13101/ijece.13.23
M. C. Sant'ana, J. Almeida, Nathan B. Oliveira, Fernanda L. Barbosa, A. S. Araújo, Talitha B. Ciampi, Dai Yokoyama
This article aims to present the advances on the elaboration of the Urban Expansion Planning Manual for Disaster and Risk Management, which is being elaborated by the Ministry of Cities and external consultants in the GIDES Project. The urbanization processes in Brazil incorporated the accentuated social inequality, leading to the occupation of environmentally fragile areas and the configuration of risk scenarios. Intensified and spontaneous urban growth, combined with extreme rainfall events resulted in major sediment disaster, which led the Brazilian government to rethink its disaster management policies. Because of such rethinking, the Federal Law 12.068/12 incorporates the planning of urban expansion as a prevention tool of natural disasters. The methodology that is being developed is structured in three scales of planning : the macrozoning, intermediate zoning and the Urban Expansion Project.
本文的目的是介绍在编制《灾害和风险管理城市扩展规划手册》方面取得的进展,该手册是由城市部和全球环境综合发展系统项目的外部顾问编写的。巴西的城市化进程加剧了社会不平等,导致对环境脆弱地区的占领和风险情景的配置。城市发展的加剧和自发,再加上极端降雨事件,导致了重大的泥沙灾害,这促使巴西政府重新考虑其灾害管理政策。由于这种重新思考,联邦法12.068/12纳入了城市扩张规划,作为预防自然灾害的工具。正在开发的方法是按照三个规划尺度构成的:宏观分区、中间分区和城市扩展项目。
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引用次数: 0
Risk Assessment and Hazard Mapping Technique in the Project for Strengthening National Strategy of Integrated Natural Disaster Risk Management 加强国家自然灾害风险综合管理战略项目中的风险评估和灾害测绘技术
Pub Date : 2020-04-15 DOI: 10.13101/ijece.13.35
J. Pimentel, Thiago Dutra, Rafael Silva Ribeiro, P. A. D. S. Pfaltzgraff, Maria Emilia Radomski Brenny, Dario Dias Peixoto, Diogo Rodrigues Andrade da Silva, Hideyuki Iwanami, Tomohiro Nishimura
The purpose of this article is to describe the development of a new hazard mapping and risk assessment methodology in Brazil. This is one of GIDES project outputs that were adapted from Japanese mapping methodologies to the Braziliań s reality [Giustina , 2019]. In response to recent major disasters the Brazilian government has worked to reinforce the disaster prevention systems. In the implementation of Brazilian enhancement program in knowledge, skills and experience three main sectors were recognized : 1) urban planning and management ; 2) civil defense and 3) disaster prevention science and technology.
本文的目的是描述一种新的危害绘图和风险评估方法在巴西的发展。这是GIDES项目成果之一,该项目将日本制图方法应用于巴西的现实[朱斯蒂纳,2019年]。为了应对最近的重大灾害,巴西政府一直在努力加强灾害预防系统。在实施巴西知识、技能和经验提升方案的过程中,三个主要部门得到了认可:1)城市规划和管理;(2)民防;(3)防灾科学技术。
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引用次数: 4
Standard Countermeasures Studies for Debris Flow Disasters in Brazil 巴西泥石流灾害标准对策研究
Pub Date : 2020-04-15 DOI: 10.13101/ijece.13.12
M. Costa, C. G. Rampinelli, Erico C. Borges, Braulio E. S. Maia, M. V. F. Mota, P. R. Falcão, Y. Shimoda, Dimitry V. Znamensky
The GIDES Project, supported by JICA, is proceeding in Brazil in order to mitigate sediment disasters. A manual for the debris flow countermeasures has been drawn up as part of the Project goals. The manual is based on the Japanese guidelines for basic planning of countermeasures against debris flow and woody debris, however, adjustments were proposed due to typical natural and social conditions in Brazil. Some equations and coefficients were modified based on Brazilian field conditions. In addition, a flow chart was proposed in order to help engineers selecting debris flow suitable countermeasures. The manual methodology has been applied in two pilot project sites, regarding Brazilian areas affected by past sediment disasters : (1) The 2011 Região Serrana do Rio de Janeiro Disaster, and (2) the Santa Catarina state disaster occurred in 2008. This paper presents a summary of the Brazilian Manual for countermeasures planning against debris flow and introduces its methodology, showing two cases in which the manual guidelines were applied.
在日本国际协力事业团的支助下,GIDES项目正在巴西进行,以减轻泥沙灾害。作为项目目标的一部分,已编写了泥石流对策手册。该手册以日本的《泥石流和木屑对策基本规划指南》为基础,根据巴西的典型自然和社会条件进行了调整。根据巴西的实际情况,对部分方程和系数进行了修正。此外,还提出了泥石流治理的流程图,以帮助工程师选择合适的泥石流对策。手册方法已应用于两个试点项目站点,涉及巴西过去受沉积物灾害影响的地区:(1)2011年里约热内卢regi o Serrana do Rio de Janeiro灾害,(2)2008年圣卡塔琳娜州灾害。本文概述了《巴西泥石流对策规划手册》,并介绍了其方法,展示了应用手册准则的两个案例。
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引用次数: 0
Disaster Report of Koslanda Landslide in Sri Lanka on October 29, 2014 2014年10月29日斯里兰卡科斯兰达滑坡灾害报告
Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.124
Kenichi Handa, Ryuichi Hara, Akira Okawara, Toshiyuki Shimano, Akira Sasaki, Naoki Matsumoto, T. Uchida, Kiyotaka Suzuki, Yoichi Washio
On 29 th October, 2014 during a heavy rain event, a large landslide occurred in Koslanda, Badulla District, Sri Lanka. The landslide and associated debris flow destroyed several houses and killed more than 30 people. Following the landslide, an aerial survey by helicopter on 5 th November, 2014 and field survey on 19 th and 20 th November, 2014 were undertaken by JICA (Japan International Cooperation Agency) Project Team to understand the occurrence mechanism of the landslide and identify further hazard of the landslide. Further, we conducted numerical simulation to understand processes of these sediment disasters. This report summarizes the observation results conducted by the JICA Project Team, presents the geological explanation of the mechanism and causes of the landslide, and gives suggestions on emergency mitigation measure for further movements of the landslides.
2014年10月29日,在暴雨期间,斯里兰卡巴杜拉区科斯兰达发生了大型滑坡。山体滑坡和相关的泥石流摧毁了几所房屋,造成30多人死亡。滑坡发生后,日本国际协力机构(JICA)项目组于2014年11月5日进行了直升机空中调查,并于2014年11月19日和20日进行了实地调查,以了解滑坡的发生机制,并进一步确定滑坡的危害。此外,我们还进行了数值模拟,以了解这些沉积物灾害的过程。本报告总结了JICA项目组的观测结果,对滑坡发生的机理和原因进行了地质解释,并对滑坡进一步移动的应急缓解措施提出了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Comparative Study of Land Use Change and Landslide Susceptibility Using Frequency Ratio, Certainty Factor, and Logistic Regression in Upper Area of Ujung-Loe Watersheds South Sulawesi Indonesia 基于频率比、确定性因子和Logistic回归的印尼南苏拉威西乌丁-洛河流域上游土地利用变化与滑坡易感性比较研究
Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.103
A. S. Soma, T. Kubota, Aril Aditian
The purpose of this study is to develop and apply land use change (LUC) as a novel causative factor to produce landslide susceptibility map (LSM) by using frequency ratio (FR), certainty factor (CF), and logistic regression (LR) models in a geographic information system environment. In the study area, Upper Area of Ujung-loe Watersheds area South Sulawesi Indonesia, landslides were derived from aerial photography from time series data image of Google Earth Pro TM during 2012 − 2016 and field survey. LSM were built by using FR, CF, and LR with eleven causative factors. The results indicated that LUC affects landslide susceptibility in the study area according to FR and CF method. It can be inferred from the results of FR and CF, LUC has the highest value on both at LUC from primary forest to open area and paddy field, it was observed that the change vegetation type to another landscape destabilize slopes. However, in logistic regression method, LUC has on 5 th place from eleven causative factor, according to likelihood ratio test with chi-square value 85.065 after Slope, distance to river, distance to faults and aspect. Validation of landslide susceptibility was carried out by calculating the area under the curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC). Firstly, LR shows the highest accuracy in both success and predictive rate (85.6%). Secondly, the frequency of landslides in high to a very high class of susceptibility was calculated, which indicates the level of accuracy of the method. CF returns the highest accuracy of 85.28%.
本研究的目的是在地理信息系统环境下,利用频率比(FR)、确定性因子(CF)和逻辑回归(LR)模型,开发和应用土地利用变化(LUC)作为一种新的诱发因素来生成滑坡易感性图(LSM)。研究区为印度尼西亚南苏拉威西ujeong -loe流域上部区域,通过2012 - 2016年Google Earth Pro TM时间序列数据图像和野外调查的航拍影像获取滑坡。采用FR、CF和LR共11个致病因素构建LSM。结果表明,土地覆盖面积对研究区滑坡易感性有影响。从FR和CF的结果可以推断,土地利用价值在原始林到开阔地和水田的土地利用价值上都是最高的,植被类型向另一种景观类型的变化使边坡失稳。但在logistic回归方法中,根据坡度、河流距离、断层距离、坡向后的卡方值85.065的似然比检验,LUC在11个导致因素中排名第5位。通过计算接受者工作特征曲线(ROC)曲线下面积(AUC)对滑坡敏感性进行验证。首先,LR在成功率和预测准确率上都显示出最高的准确率(85.6%)。其次,计算了高至极高易感等级滑坡的发生频率,表明了该方法的准确性。CF返回85.28%的最高准确率。
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引用次数: 4
Landslide Hazard Zonation in Sri Lanka: An Assessment of Manual and GIS Based Automated Procedure in Preparation of Geology Weight Map 斯里兰卡滑坡灾害区划:基于人工和GIS的地质权重图编制自动化程序的评估
Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.116
G. Jayathissa, D. Schröder, K. Balke, E. Fecker
Many techniques have been proposed for landslide hazard zonation (LHZ). They can generally be divided into two groups : direct or semi direct hazard mapping in which the degree of hazard is determined by the mapping expert and indirect hazard mapping in which either statistical or deterministic models are used to predict landslide prone areas based on information obtained from the interrelation between terrain factors and the landslide distribution. With the introduction of GIS, in particular indirect methods gained enormously due to its capacity to handle and analyze data with high spatial variability. corresponding weight maps are prepared manually. GIS is only used finally as an overlaying and reclassifying tool. In this workflow, very laborious effort is needed for the preparation of geology weight map, especially when complex terrain conditions and large amount of data are involved. One of the reasons is that, unlike all other factors where the basic mapping units are areas, the geology map consists of two major parts : lithological units as areas but structural attitudes as linear or point measurements. In 2009, an approach was discussed how GIS capabilities can be used efficiently to integrate the influence of structural attitudes such as strike or dip directions and dip angles for the preparation of geology weight maps which is an essential part of the LHZ model used in Sri Lanka. Even though the original procedure was based on manual weighting since then, the newly introduced automated procedure has been used by National Building Research Organization to accelerate the mapping procedure. Under this study, a statistical comparison and an assessment were done between the two procedures and necessary modifications to the latter, that is to the automated procedure is proposed to enhance the accuracy of the method.
对于滑坡灾害区划,人们提出了许多技术。一般可分为两类:一类是直接或半直接灾害制图,由制图专家确定灾害程度;另一类是间接灾害制图,根据地形因素与滑坡分布之间的相互关系,利用统计模型或确定性模型预测滑坡易发地区。随着地理信息系统的引入,特别是间接方法由于其处理和分析具有高空间变异性的数据的能力而获得了巨大的发展。手动准备相应的权重图。GIS最终只是作为一个覆盖和重新分类的工具。在该工作流程中,特别是在地形条件复杂、数据量大的情况下,需要进行非常繁重的地质权重图编制工作。其中一个原因是,与其他所有以面积为基本作图单位的因素不同,地质图由两个主要部分组成:作为面积的岩性单位,以及作为线性或点测量的构造姿态。2009年,讨论了一种方法,即如何有效地利用地理信息系统的能力来综合构造姿态的影响,如走向或倾斜方向和倾角,以编制地质重量图,这是斯里兰卡使用的LHZ模型的重要组成部分。尽管从那时起,最初的程序是基于人工加权的,但新引入的自动化程序已被国家建筑研究组织用于加速制图程序。在本研究中,对两种方法进行了统计比较和评估,并对后者进行了必要的修改,即对自动化程序进行了改进,以提高方法的准确性。
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引用次数: 3
The 2016 Kumamoto Earthquakes Landslide Disasters and Response 2016熊本地震滑坡灾害及应对
Pub Date : 2019-03-29 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.131
Kiyohumi Matsunaga, Ryuhou Matsuda, T. Matsuo, Isamu Watanabe
The unprecedented earthquakes with a seismic intensity of seven hit Kumamoto prefecture twice in April 2016, and a series of earthquakes (the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquakes) triggered sediment disasters including slope failure and landslides, which caused serious damage to various areas in the prefecture. Notably, huge slope failures (Photo 1) occurred in Tateno district in Minamiaso-village, National Route 57, and National Route 325 were closed due to the collapse of Aso Ohashi Bridge, and JR Hohi Line, railroad line which was running along the area, was completely cut off. Aso, the popular tourist resort in Japan suffered a great deal of damage. After the earthquake, people in Kumamoto were thankful and realized many aspects of everyday life that people had taken for granted were precious, and the amount of effort to return to the pre-earthquake situation. This paper focuses on an outline of sediment disasters, among the many other disasters triggered by the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquakes, and how Kumamoto Prefecture coped with them.
2016年4月,熊本县发生了两次史无前例的7级地震,一系列地震(2016熊本地震)引发了滑坡、滑坡等泥沙灾害,给熊本县各地区造成了严重破坏。特别是,南崖村的馆野地区发生了巨大的滑坡(图1),57号国道和325号国道因麻生大桥倒塌而关闭,在该地区运行的JR北日线也被完全切断。日本著名的旅游胜地麻生太郎遭受了严重的破坏。地震发生后,熊本的人们心怀感激,意识到人们习以为常的日常生活的许多方面都是宝贵的,以及为恢复地震前的状态所付出的努力。本文重点概述了2016年熊本地震引发的众多灾害中的沉积物灾害,以及熊本县如何应对这些灾害。
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引用次数: 1
Proposal of Debris Flow Disasters Management in Brazil Based on Historical and Legal Aspects 基于历史和法律的巴西泥石流灾害管理建议
Pub Date : 2019-03-12 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.85
M. Kobiyama, G. P. Michel, R. F. Goerl
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引用次数: 7
Contributions of GIDES Project for Sediment Disaster Early Warnings in Brazil GIDES项目对巴西沉积物灾害早期预警的贡献
Pub Date : 2019-03-12 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.73
L. Gregorio, Celso Aluísio Graminha, P. Leal, T. Nery
The rapid growth of urban areas and their inadequate expansion on slopes and flood plains made sediment disasters more frequent in Brazil. After the succession of disasters that caused major damage between 2008 and 2011, the Brazilian government reformulated its strategy and policies related to disaster risk management. Within this strategy, the Brazilian government has proposed a cooperation agreement with the Government of Japan, resulting in GIDES Project, which has as its main objective the strengthening of the national strategy for natural disaster risk management. Regarding actions related to the monitoring and early warning of sediment disasters, three Brazilian Municipalities were chosen as Pilot Implementations for GIDES, aiming to allow the discussion of new methodologies, adapting content and language of the alerts, the establishment of shared and unified information flows and records, and the establishment of common protocols, in experimental scale. This article aims to draw the major aspects in Brazilian risk management context, outline the main challenges faced so far and the Project’s contribution perspectives for the improvement of sediment disaster risk management in Brazil, especially on issues related to monitoring and early warning.
城市地区的快速增长及其在斜坡和洪泛平原上的不充分扩张使得巴西的泥沙灾害更加频繁。2008年至2011年间,巴西发生了一系列造成重大损失的灾害,巴西政府重新制定了与灾害风险管理相关的战略和政策。在这一战略范围内,巴西政府提议与日本政府达成一项合作协定,从而产生了全球灾害风险综合系统项目,其主要目标是加强国家自然灾害风险管理战略。关于与沉积物灾害监测和预警有关的行动,三个巴西城市被选为GIDES的试点实施,目的是在实验规模上讨论新的方法,调整警报的内容和语言,建立共享和统一的信息流和记录,以及建立共同的协议。本文旨在概述巴西风险管理背景下的主要方面,概述迄今为止面临的主要挑战,以及该项目对改善巴西泥沙灾害风险管理,特别是监测和预警相关问题的贡献观点。
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引用次数: 2
Geotechnical and Mineralogical Properties of Granite Regolith Related to Nucleation Mechanisms of Debris Flows in Tropical Areas 与热带地区泥石流成核机制相关的花岗岩风化土的岩土和矿物学性质
Pub Date : 2019-03-12 DOI: 10.13101/IJECE.11.54
J. Picanço, Maria José Mesquita, L. L. Melo
Debris flows are mass movements composed by a viscous mixture of debris and water, very fast and highly mobile, with great energy and destructive power [Takahashi, 2007 ; Hungr et al ., 2014]. They occur in small basins with high hypsometric gradient and are characterized by : i) a zone of nucleation or initiation; ii) a channeled transport zone; and iii) a deposition zone downstream, characterized by the formation of depositional fans [Jakob and Hungr, 2005]. The initiation zone of debris flows corresponds to the region where there is slope failure on steep rock slopes, ravines or marginal channels (Fig.1). These material is entrapped by ravines or channels and loose the cohesion, generating debris flows [Hungr et al, 2005]. This process occurs either in sub-basins of order one or zero, associated with positive relief breaks, with slopes between 20-45°[Jakob, 2005]. Initiation zones have implications with hazard mapping, because it controls the generation and run-off of debris flows [Coe et al., 2008]. Due to their physical characteristics, the initiation zones are usually poorly monitored, and consequently the rainfall conditions or soil moisture of these areas is poorly understood. The study of the relationship between rock and its weathering products is important to understand the nucleation of shallow translational landslides which trigger debris flows [Chiu and Ng, 2014]. Several types of classifications have been proposed to account for the complexities of the granitic regolith profiles Original Article
泥石流是由泥石流和水的粘性混合物组成的团块运动,速度非常快,流动性很强,具有巨大的能量和破坏力[Takahashi, 2007;Hungr et al ., 2014]。它们产于低梯度的小盆地中,具有以下特征:1)成核或成核带;Ii)航道运输区;iii)以沉积扇形成为特征的下游沉积带[Jakob and Hungr, 2005]。泥石流起爆区对应的是陡岩边坡、沟壑或边缘河道发生边坡破坏的区域(图1)。这些物质被沟壑或沟渠困住,失去凝聚力,形成泥石流[Hungr et al ., 2005]。这一过程发生在一级或零级次盆地中,与正向起伏断裂相关,坡度在20-45°之间[Jakob, 2005]。起爆区对灾害测绘具有影响,因为它控制着泥石流的产生和径流[Coe等人,2008]。由于其物理特性,对起始区通常监测不足,因此对这些地区的降雨条件或土壤湿度知之甚少。研究岩石及其风化产物之间的关系对于理解引发泥石流的浅层平移滑坡的成核非常重要[Chiu and Ng, 2014]。提出了几种类型的分类,以说明花岗岩风化剖面的复杂性
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Erosion Control Engineering
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