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The influence of vesicularity on grain morphology in basaltic pyroclasts from Mauna Loa and Kīlauea volcanoes 毛纳罗亚火山和基劳埃阿火山玄武岩火成碎屑中水泡对晶粒形态的影响
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-07-20 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-024-00145-w
Kira M. van Helden, J. Schmith, Drew T. Downs
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引用次数: 0
Assessing lava flow susceptibility at neighbouring volcanoes: Nyamulagira and Nyiragongo volcanoes, Virunga Volcanic Province 评估相邻火山的熔岩流易发性:维龙加火山省尼亚穆拉吉拉火山和尼拉贡戈火山
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-04-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-024-00143-y
M. Kervyn, F. Barette, S. Poppe, B. Smets, A. Syavulisembo Muhindo, J. Kambale Makundi, Y. Ngunzi Kahashi, J. Kambale Ndagana, S. Mossoux, F. Kervyn, C. Michellier
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引用次数: 2
Lava flow impacts on the built environment: insights from a new global dataset 熔岩流对建筑环境的影响:新全球数据集的启示
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00140-7
Elinor S. Meredith, Susanna F Jenkins, Josh L. Hayes, D. Lallemant, N. Deligne, Natalie R. X. Teng
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引用次数: 1
Lava flow impacts on the built environment: insights from a new global dataset 熔岩流对建筑环境的影响:新全球数据集的启示
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00140-7
Elinor S. Meredith, Susanna F Jenkins, Josh L. Hayes, D. Lallemant, N. Deligne, Natalie R. X. Teng
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引用次数: 1
Evidence at source for the mid-fifteenth century eruption of Kuwae, Vanuatu 十五世纪中期瓦努阿图 Kuwae 火山喷发的源头证据
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-12-13 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00138-1
Chris Ballard, Stuart Bedford, Shane J. Cronin, Sönke Stern
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引用次数: 0
Laboratory tests to understand tephra sliding behaviour on roofs 实验室测试以了解瘟热在屋顶上的滑动行为
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-11-06 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00137-2
Sara Osman, Mark Thomas, Julia Crummy, Anna Sharp, Steve Carver
Abstract Following explosive eruptions, loading from tephra fall deposits can lead to roof collapse. However, the load may be reduced significantly by tephra sliding on pitched roofs. We present small-scale laboratory tests to investigate tephra sliding behaviour on metal, fibre cement sheet and tile roofing. We tested 10–30 cm thicknesses for dry and wet deposits of pumice, scoria and basaltic ash. We found that tephra did not slide on roof pitches ≤ 15° for coarse-grained deposits and ≤ 12° for dry ash. Thin deposits of wet ash were stable at pitches ≤ 30°. In addition, tephra was mainly shed on pitches ≥ 32° for metal roofs and ≥ 35° for fibre cement and tiles. Using these results, we have produced an initial set of sliding coefficients for tephra for simply pitched roofs that can be used to help prioritise roofs for clearing during an eruption and assist in designing roofs to withstand tephra fall.
摘要在爆发性火山喷发后,来自火山落层沉积物的载荷可能导致顶板坍塌。然而,通过在坡屋顶上滑动,载荷可能会显著降低。我们提出了小规模的实验室测试,以调查tephra在金属,纤维水泥板和瓦片屋顶上的滑动行为。我们测试了10-30厘米厚度的浮石、矿渣和玄武岩灰的干湿沉积物。我们发现,在坡度≤15°(粗粒沉积物)和≤12°(干灰)的条件下,天牛不发生滑动。湿灰薄层在沥青≤30°时较为稳定。此外,在≥32°的金属屋顶和≥35°的纤维水泥和瓦片屋顶上,主要在坡度上脱落。利用这些结果,我们已经为简单的倾斜屋顶产生了一组初始的tephra滑动系数,可以用来帮助在火山喷发期间优先清理屋顶,并协助设计屋顶以承受tephra下降。
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引用次数: 0
FlowDIR: a MATLAB tool for rapidly and probabilistically forecasting the travel directions of volcanic flows FlowDIR:一个MATLAB工具,用于快速和概率地预测火山流的移动方向
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00136-3
Eleanor Tennant, Susanna F. Jenkins, Sébastien Biass
Abstract We present FlowDIR, a MATLAB tool that rapidly and objectively quantifies future travel direction probabilities for topographically controlled hazardous flows, based on analysis of summit topography. FlowDIR can achieve probabilistic forecasts of future travel directions in minutes and provides a basis for choosing the starting co-ordinates required by empirical flow models. In this work we describe the development of FlowDIR, perform a sensitivity analysis to determine the influence of input parameters on forecasted probabilities, and demonstrate its effectiveness in the retrospective forecasting of travel directions for block-and-ash flows and lava flows at three volcanoes with different summit morphologies (Shinmoedake, Colima and Merapi). In all case studies, the higher probability flow directions identified using FlowDIR agreed with the travel direction of historically observed flows. Given its intuitive outputs and rapid execution time, FlowDIR can be used to supplement existing modelling strategies for hazard assessment of topographically controlled hazardous flows prior to and during crisis. We demonstrate this by coupling FlowDIR output probabilities with an empirical hazard model to estimate probability of block-and-ash flow inundation at Gede volcano, Indonesia.
基于对峰顶地形的分析,提出了一种基于MATLAB的工具FlowDIR,可以快速、客观地量化地形控制的危险流的未来运动方向概率。FlowDIR可以在分钟内实现对未来出行方向的概率预测,为选择经验流模型所需的起始坐标提供依据。在这项工作中,我们描述了FlowDIR的发展,进行了敏感性分析,以确定输入参数对预测概率的影响,并证明了其在回溯预测三座不同峰顶形态的火山(Shinmoedake, Colima和Merapi)的块状和火山灰流和熔岩流的移动方向方面的有效性。在所有的案例研究中,使用FlowDIR确定的高概率流动方向与历史观测到的流动方向一致。由于其直观的输出和快速的执行时间,FlowDIR可用于补充现有的建模策略,以便在危机之前和危机期间对地形控制的危险流进行危险评估。我们通过将FlowDIR输出概率与经验风险模型相结合来估计印度尼西亚Gede火山的块状和火山灰流淹没概率来证明这一点。
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引用次数: 1
An automated ash dispersion forecast system: case study Popocatépetl volcano, Mexico 自动火山灰分散预测系统:以墨西哥popocatacemoterl火山为例
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-22 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00135-4
Agustin R. García, J. Zavala-Hidalgo, H. Delgado-Granados, J. Garcia-Escalante, O. Gómez-Ramos, D. Herrera-Moro
Abstract An operational volcanic ash dispersion forecast system was developed for Popocatépetl. It runs automatically every day developing 108 possible scenarios of ash dispersion for the following 36 h. Scenarios are simulated for three eruption column heights: 3 km, 5 km, and 10 km above the volcano’s crater level, every hour for eruptions lasting 1 h. For each hypothetical eruption that starts every hour, the dispersion during the following 8 h is modelled. The system uses the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model for weather data and the Fall3D model. It includes a visualization website that displays, among other products: ground accumulation, deposit load, and concentration at relevant flight levels. Popocatépetl volcano, located ~ 60 km from Mexico Megacity was selected as a case study. A comparison from ash forecast system results and satellite observations is presented. The system developed and tested here can be adapted to be operative at any volcano.
摘要开发了一套实用的popocatacemoterl火山灰分散预报系统。它每天自动运行,在接下来的36小时内开发出108种可能的火山灰分散情景。模拟了三种喷发柱高度:火山口上方3公里、5公里和10公里,每小时持续1小时的喷发。对于每小时开始的每次假设喷发,在接下来的8小时内的分散进行了建模。该系统使用天气研究与预报(WRF)模型和Fall3D模型来获取天气数据。它包括一个可视化网站,在其他产品中显示:地面堆积、沉积物负荷和相关飞行水平的浓度。popocat petl火山位于墨西哥Megacity约60公里处,被选为案例研究。并将该系统预报结果与卫星观测结果进行了比较。这里开发和测试的系统可以适用于任何火山。
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引用次数: 0
The diversity of volcanic hazard maps around the world: insights from map makers 世界各地火山危险地图的多样性:来自地图制作者的见解
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00134-5
Jan M. Lindsay, Danielle Charlton, Mary Anne Thompson Clive, Daniel Bertin, Sarah Ogburn, Heather Wright, John Ewert, Eliza S. Calder, Bastian Steinke
Abstract The IAVCEI Working Group on Hazard Mapping has been active since 2014 and has facilitated several activities to enable sharing of experiences of how volcanic hazard maps are developed and used around the world. One key activity was a global survey of 90 map makers and practitioners to collect data about official, published volcanic hazard maps and how they were developed. The survey asked questions about map content, design, and input data, as well as about the map development process and key lessons learned. Here we present the results of this global survey, which are then used to quantitatively describe and summarise current practices in volcanic hazard map development. We received entries related to 89 volcanic hazard maps (78% long-term/background maps and 22% short-term/crisis hazard maps), covering a total of 80 volcanoes across 28 countries. Although most maps captured in the survey are volcano-scale maps of stratovolcanoes that show similar types of content, such as primary hazard footprints or zones, they vary greatly in input data, communication style, format, appearance, scale, content, and visual design. This diversity stems from a range of factors, including differences in map purpose, the methodology used, the level of understanding of past eruptive history, the prevailing scientific and cartographic practice at the time, the state of volcanic activity, and variations in culture, national map standards and legal requirements. Experiences and lessons shared by our respondents can be divided into six main themes: map design considerations; the process of map development; map audience and map user needs; hazard assessment approach; map availability and accessibility; and external (e.g., political) influences. Insights shared included the importance of: visual design elements, map testing and evaluation, working with stakeholders and end users to improve a map’s efficacy and relevance, and considering possible unanticipated uses of hazard maps. These free-form text insights (i.e., responses to open-ended questions) from map makers and practitioners familiar with the maps lend depth and clarity to our results. They provide a rich complement to our more quantitative analysis of design elements and of approaches used to determine and delineate map zones. Results from our global survey of hazard map makers and practitioners, together with insights from other key initiatives of the Working Group on Hazard Mapping such as the Volcanic Hazard Maps Database (VHMD; https://volcanichazardmaps.org/ ), provide a snapshot of the wide variety of volcanic hazard maps generated over the past decades, and improve our understanding of the diversity across volcanic hazard mapping practices. These initiatives represent important steps towards fulfilling the aims of the Working Group, namely, to construct a framework for a classification scheme for volcanic hazard maps and to promote harmonized terminology, as well as to identify and categorise goo
IAVCEI灾害地图工作组自2014年以来一直很活跃,并促进了几项活动,以便分享世界各地如何开发和使用火山灾害地图的经验。其中一项关键活动是对90位地图制作者和从业者进行全球调查,以收集有关官方出版的火山危险地图及其开发方式的数据。该调查询问了有关地图内容、设计和输入数据,以及地图开发过程和主要经验教训的问题。在这里,我们提出了这项全球调查的结果,然后用它来定量地描述和总结火山危险地图开发的当前做法。我们收到了89张火山危险地图的参赛作品(78%是长期/背景地图,22%是短期/危机危险地图),涵盖了28个国家的80座火山。虽然调查中捕获的大多数地图都是层状火山的火山比尺地图,显示了类似的内容类型,例如主要危害足迹或区域,但它们在输入数据、通信风格、格式、外观、比例、内容和视觉设计方面差异很大。这种多样性源于一系列因素,包括地图用途的差异、使用的方法、对过去火山爆发历史的了解程度、当时流行的科学和制图实践、火山活动状况以及文化、国家地图标准和法律要求的差异。我们的受访者分享的经验和教训可以分为六个主题:地图设计考虑;地图开发过程;地图受众和地图用户需求;危害评估方法;地图的可用性和可访问性;以及外部(如政治)影响。分享的见解包括:视觉设计元素、地图测试和评估、与利益攸关方和最终用户合作以提高地图的有效性和相关性,以及考虑危险地图可能出现的意外用途的重要性。这些来自地图制作者和熟悉地图的从业者的自由形式的文本见解(即对开放式问题的回答)为我们的结果提供了深度和清晰度。它们为我们对设计元素和用于确定和划定地图区域的方法进行更定量的分析提供了丰富的补充。我们对危险地图绘制者和实践者的全球调查结果,以及危险地图绘制工作组其他关键举措的见解,如火山危险地图数据库(VHMD);https://volcanichazardmaps.org/),提供了过去几十年来生成的各种火山危险地图的快照,并提高了我们对火山危险地图绘制实践多样性的理解。这些举措是实现工作组目标的重要步骤,即为火山灾害图分类方案建立框架,促进统一的术语,以及确定和分类火山灾害图的良好做法和考虑因素。
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引用次数: 0
Cost-benefit analysis for evacuation decision-support: challenges and possible solutions for applications in areas of distributed volcanism 疏散决策支持的成本效益分析:分布式火山活动地区应用的挑战和可能的解决方案
Q1 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-18 DOI: 10.1186/s13617-023-00133-6
A. Wild, M. Bebbington, J. Lindsay, N. Deligne
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Applied Volcanology
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