Background
To explore the value of MRI radiomics-based machine learning models for predicting the pathological grade of pancreatic cancer preoperatively.
Methods
125 patients with pathologically confirmed pancreatic cancer who underwent preoperative MRI were retrospectively enrolled. The primary cohort was randomized in an 8:2 ratio into a training cohort (n = 100) and a validation cohort (n = 25). 1316 radiomics features were extracted from contrast-enhanced T1WI arterial phase (AP) or portal venous phase (PVP) images, respectively. After feature reduction and filtering, the best features were selected to construct machine learning models (K-nearest neighbor, KNN; support vector machine, SVM; logistic regression, LR; random forest, RF). Finally, the performance of these models was evaluated using the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC).
Results
There were no statistical differences in clinical characteristics between the low-grade and high-grade cohorts (P > 0.05). The best radiomics features selected from the AP, PVP and AP+PVP images were 6, 6 and 10, respectively. Among the four models, the LR machine learning model achieved the best predictive performance. The distribution of the Radscore values was clinically significant between the low-grade and high-grade groups both in the training cohort (median, 0.26 vs 0.99; P < 0.001) and validation cohort (median, 0.63 vs 1.48; P = 0.011). LR model of AP+PVP performed the best with AUC value of 0.81 (95 % CI: 0.72–0.91) for the training cohort and 0.82 (95 % CI: 0.62–1.00) for the validation cohort.
Conclusions
MRI radiomics-based machine learning model is a potential non-invasive method to predict the pathological grade of pancreatic cancer.
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