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Future changes of snow-related variables in different European regions 欧洲不同地区雪相关变量的未来变化
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2023-04-01 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.72.1.1
A. Kis, R. Pongrácz
Snow has an important role in the climate system and also has environmental, natural and socio-economic impacts. Temperature, precipitation, snow coverage, snow depth and snowmelt are analysed in this study for 1971–2099 based on EURO-CORDEX simulations. In order to measure uncertainty, three different scenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, RCP8.5) and five different regional climate models are taken into account. The investigation focuses on eight regions, characterised by different climatic conditions (maritime, continental, boreal). Relative changes of the selected parameters are calculated for 2021–2050 and 2069–2098 compared to 1971–2000 reference period, in addition to the evaluation of the simulated reference. The relative role of the three main uncertainty factors (internal climatic variability, model selection, and used scenario) is also analysed. According to our results, model selection and internal variability possess the most important roles. Based on the multi-model mean, annual mean temperature and precipitation total will increase, the snow cover period will become shorter (the higher the radiative forcing change in the scenario, the greater the decrease), and the snowmelt process is likely to occur earlier in the northern region. Thus, the warming trend seems to have a greater effect on the snow-related variables than increasing precipitation trends. These projected changes may have a huge impact on winter tourism and sports, hence, appropriate adaptation strategies will be crucial.
雪在气候系统中具有重要作用,也具有环境、自然和社会经济影响。基于EURO-CORDEX模拟,本研究分析了1971-2099年的温度、降水、积雪覆盖、雪深和融雪量。为了测量不确定性,考虑了3种不同的情景(RCP2.6、RCP4.5、RCP8.5)和5种不同的区域气候模式。调查的重点是八个地区,其特点是不同的气候条件(海洋,大陆,北方)。计算了2021-2050年和2069-2098年与1971-2000参考期的相对变化,并对模拟参考期进行了评价。还分析了三个主要不确定性因素(内部气候变率、模式选择和使用情景)的相对作用。根据我们的研究结果,模型选择和内部变异具有最重要的作用。基于多模式平均值,年平均气温和降水总量将增加,积雪期将变短(情景下辐射强迫变化越大,减少幅度越大),北部地区融雪过程可能提前发生。因此,变暖趋势对雪相关变量的影响似乎比降水增加趋势更大。这些预测的变化可能对冬季旅游和体育产生巨大影响,因此,适当的适应战略将至关重要。
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引用次数: 0
Palmer-type soil modelling for evapotranspiration in different climatic regions of Kenya 肯尼亚不同气候区棕榈型土壤蒸散模拟
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.4
P. Musyimi, B. Székely, Arun Gandhi, T. Weidinger
Reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and real evapotranspiration (ET) are vital components in hydrological processes and climate-related studies. Understanding their variability in estimation is equally crucial for micro-meteorology and agricultural planning processes. The primary goal of this study was to analyze and compare estimates of (ET0) and (ET) from two different climatic regions of Kenya using long-term quality controlled synoptic station datasets from 2000 to 2009 with 3-hour time resolution. One weather station (Voi, 63793) was sought from lowlands with an elevation of 579 m and characterized by tropical savannah climate while the other (Kitale, 63661) was sought from Kenya highlands with humid conditions and elevation of 1850 m above sea level. Reference evapotranspiration was calculated based on the FAO 56 standard methodology of a daily basis. One dimension Palmer-type soil model was used for estimating of real evapotranspiration using the wilting point, field capacity, and soil saturation point for each station at 1 m deep soil layer. The ratio of real and reference evapotranspiration dependent on the soil moisture stress linearly. Calculations of estimated evapotranspiration were made on daily and monthly basis. Applications of the site-specific crop coefficients (KC) were also used. The result indicated that the differences among daily and monthly scale calculations of evapotranspiration (ET) were small without and with an application of crop coefficients (ETKc). This was due to high temperatures, global radiation, and also high soil moisture stress due to inadequate precipitation experienced in the tropics where Kenya lies. Results from Voi showed that mean monthly ET0 ranged from 148.3±11.6 mm in November to 175.3±10.8 mm in March while ET was from 8.0±4.5 mm in September to 105.8±50.3 mm in January. From Kitale, ET0 ranged from 121.5±8.5 mm/month in June to 157.1±8.5 mm/month in March while ET ranged from 41.7±32.6 mm/month in March to 126.6±12.2 mm/month in September. This was due to variability in temperature and precipitation between the two climatic regions. The study concludes that ET0 and calculated evapotranspiration variability among the years on a monthly scale is slightly higher in arid and semi-arid climate regions than in humid regions. The study is important in strategizing viable means to enhance optimal crop water use and reduce ET losses estimates for optimal agricultural yields and production maximization in Kenya.
参考蒸散发(ET0)和实际蒸散发(ET)是水文过程和气候相关研究的重要组成部分。了解它们在估算中的可变性对于微气象学和农业规划过程同样至关重要。本研究的主要目的是利用2000 - 2009年3小时分辨率的长期质量控制天气站数据集,分析和比较肯尼亚两个不同气候区的(ET0)和(ET)估算值。一个气象站(Voi, 63793)是从海拔579米的低地寻找的,其特点是热带草原气候,而另一个气象站(Kitale, 63661)是从肯尼亚高原寻找的,那里条件潮湿,海拔1850米。参考蒸散量是根据粮农组织56的每日标准方法计算的。采用一维palmer型土壤模型,利用每个站点在1 m土层的凋萎点、田间容量和土壤饱和点估算实际蒸散量。实际蒸散量与参考蒸散量之比与土壤水分应力呈线性关系。估算蒸散量按日和月计算。还应用了特定地点作物系数(KC)。结果表明,在不施用作物系数(ETKc)和施用作物系数(ETKc)的情况下,日尺度和月尺度的蒸散发(ET)计算差异不大。这是由于高温、全球辐射,以及肯尼亚所在的热带地区降水不足造成的土壤水分压力。Voi的月平均ET0为11月的148.3±11.6 mm至3月的175.3±10.8 mm, ET为9月的8.0±4.5 mm至1月的105.8±50.3 mm。Kitale地区6月的ET0为121.5±8.5 mm/月~ 3月的157.1±8.5 mm/月,ET为41.7±32.6 mm/月~ 9月的126.6±12.2 mm/月。这是由于两个气候区域之间温度和降水的变化。研究认为,在月尺度上,干旱和半干旱气候区蒸散发0和计算的年际变率略高于湿润地区。这项研究对于制定可行的战略手段,以提高肯尼亚最佳作物水分利用和减少估算的蒸散发损失,从而实现最佳农业产量和产量最大化具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Berg, L.D., Best, U., Gilmartin, M. and Larsen, H.G. (eds.): Placing Critical Geography. Historical Geographies of Critical Geography Berg,L.D.,Best,U.,Gilmartin,M.和Larsen,H.G.(编辑):《放置批判地理学》。批判地理学的历史地理学
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.7
J. Timár
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引用次数: 4
The diagnostic continua of the soils of Europe 欧洲土壤的诊断连续体
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.1
Á. Csorba, A. Jones, T. Szegi, E. Dobos, E. Micheli
Diagnostic horizons, properties and materials are commonly applied building units of national and international soil classification systems. The presence, depth or absence of diagnostic information supports the process of objective soil classification, such as the World Reference Base (WRB). While the diagnostic units and associated descriptive qualifiers convey information that reflect pedogenesis, they also indicate important, and often complex properties that are related to soil fertility and other soil functions. The spatial extent or the continuum of diagnostic information is often different from the spatial extent of the mapping units in general soil maps (mostly reflecting soil types). This paper presents the spatial distribution of selected diagnostic units and qualifiers for the European Union and describes their significance for key soil functions. The derivation of selected diagnostics was performed based on the information provided in the European Soil Database and by taking into consideration the definitions, rules and allocation procedure of soils to the appropriate Reference Soil Group (RSG) defined by the WRB key. The definition of the presence/absence of the diagnostic units were performed by extracting information related to the first level of the WRB classification and to the qualifiers provided by the ESDB on the Soil Taxonomic Units (STU) level. The areal percentage of the STUs (thus, the derived diagnostics) within Soil Mapping Units (SMUs) was calculated and was visualized on separate maps. The study demonstrated the importance of the spatial information that the diagnostic elements convey, especially related to soil functions.
诊断层、性质和材料是国内外土壤分类系统常用的构建单元。诊断信息的存在、深度或缺失支持了客观土壤分类过程,例如世界参考数据库(WRB)。虽然诊断单位和相关的描述性限定词传达了反映土壤作用的信息,但它们也表明了与土壤肥力和其他土壤功能相关的重要且通常复杂的特性。诊断信息的空间范围或连续体往往不同于一般土壤图中制图单元的空间范围(主要反映土壤类型)。本文介绍了欧盟选定的诊断单元和限定符的空间分布,并描述了它们对关键土壤功能的意义。所选诊断的推导是基于欧洲土壤数据库提供的信息,并考虑到土壤的定义、规则和分配程序到由WRB关键字定义的适当参考土壤组(RSG)。通过提取与WRB分类的第一级和ESDB在土壤分类单元(STU)级别上提供的限定符相关的信息来定义诊断单元的存在/不存在。计算土壤测图单元(smu)内STUs的面积百分比(即衍生诊断),并在单独的地图上显示。研究证明了诊断要素所传达的空间信息的重要性,特别是与土壤功能相关的空间信息。
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引用次数: 0
Transformations of place, memory and identity through urban place names in Banská Bystrica, Slovakia 斯洛伐克班斯克<e:1>比斯特里察城市地名对地点、记忆和身份的转变
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.6
A. Bitušíková
The paper looks at the renaming of streets as a significant aspect of post-socialist change using an example of the city of Banská Bystrica, Slovakia. It discusses politics, processes and practices of (de-re)commemoration in street names, which reflect transformations of memory (remembering and forgetting), identity, heritage, power and resilience related to public space in a post-socialist city. Changing street names creates new connections between the past and the present and reflects political power struggles for control over contested space between various groups that tend to privatise their own history, heritage, memory, identity, places and symbols. The case of Banská Bystrica demonstrates strategies of the street renaming based on the decommunisation of names (done by restoration of the names from older periods or by introducing non-commemorative names), and on commemoration of names based primarily on local (or regional/national) heritage, events and personalities that might become areas of contested heritage.
本文以斯洛伐克的班斯卡-比斯特里卡市为例,将街道更名视为后社会主义变革的一个重要方面。它讨论了街道名称(de re)纪念的政治、过程和实践,反映了后社会主义城市中与公共空间相关的记忆(记忆和遗忘)、身份、遗产、权力和韧性的转变。街道名称的变化在过去和现在之间创造了新的联系,并反映了各种群体之间争夺控制权的政治权力斗争,这些群体倾向于将自己的历史、遗产、记忆、身份、地点和符号私有化。BanskáBystrica的案例表明,街道更名的策略基于名称的退役(通过恢复旧时期的名称或引入非纪念性名称),以及主要基于当地(或地区/国家)遗产、可能成为有争议遗产区的事件和人物的名称的纪念。
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引用次数: 2
Population mobility and urban transport management: perspectives environmental quality degradation and sustainable development of suburban Makassar City, Indonesia 人口流动与城市交通管理:印尼望加锡城郊环境质量退化与可持续发展的视角
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.5
B. Surya, A. Salim, Haeruddin Saleh, S. Suriani, Kafrawi Yunus, Patmawaty Taibe
The expansion of the area towards suburban areas accompanied by suburbanization has an impact on the conversion of productive agricultural land and transportation movement systems. This study aims to analyse land use change works as a determinant of environmental degradation in suburban areas, the effect of land use changes, socio-economic activities, population mobility and transportation systems on environmental quality degradation, and models for handling land use, population mobility, transportation infrastructure and system management transportation towards sustainable development of suburban areas. This study uses a sequential qualitative-quantitative approach. Data obtained through observation, survey and documentation. The results of the study show that the intensity of land use change coupled with population mobility, in addition to affecting the urban transportation system based on the pattern of origin and destination of travel, also has an impact on the environmental quality degradation of suburban areas. Changes in land use, socioeconomic activities, population mobility and transportation systems has an effect in the environmental quality degradation of suburban areas with a coefficient of determination of 95.65 percent. This study recommends the application of a land use management model, population mobility, and transportation infrastructure towards the sustainability of the suburbs of Makassar City, Indonesia.
该地区向郊区的扩张伴随着郊区化,对生产性农业用地和交通运输系统的转换产生了影响。本研究旨在分析作为郊区环境退化决定因素的土地利用变化工作,土地利用变化、社会经济活动、人口流动和交通系统对环境质量退化的影响,以及处理土地利用、人口流动、,交通基础设施和系统管理交通走向郊区可持续发展。本研究采用了顺序定性定量方法。通过观察、调查和记录获得的数据。研究结果表明,土地利用强度变化加上人口流动,除了影响基于出行来源地和目的地模式的城市交通系统外,还影响郊区的环境质量退化。土地利用、社会经济活动、人口流动和交通系统的变化对郊区环境质量退化有影响,决定系数为95.65%。本研究建议应用土地利用管理模式、人口流动和交通基础设施,以实现印度尼西亚望加锡市郊区的可持续性。
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引用次数: 1
Projected values of thermal and precipitation climate indices for the broader Carpathian region based on EURO-CORDEX simulations 基于EURO-CORDEX模拟的喀尔巴阡山大区热力和降水气候指数的预测值
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.2
N. Skarbit, J. Unger, T. Gál
Since our climate is in a rapid changing phase, it is crucial to get information about the regional patterns of basic climatic parameters and indices. The EURO-CORDEX project provides high quality regional climate model outputs, but these raw datasets are not convenient for the application in wider geoscience studies. According to the authors’ knowledge, there is a lack in published spatial information about basic climate parameters and indices in Central-Europe and especially in the broader Carpathian region therefore the basic aim of this study to fill this gap. The study presents the future trends in daily air temperature and precipitation and various climatic indices in the broader Carpathian Basin region during the 21st century. The indices are calculated using multi-model average temperature and precipitation data from EURO-CORDEX model simulations for the future time periods (2021–2050, 2071–2100) and emission scenarios (RCP4.5, RCP8.5). The indices present the future trends of the heat load, energy demand as well as extreme precipitation and drought characteristics. Based on the results the temperature increase is obvious and the heat load and energy demand quantifying indices follow the temperature trend. However, the trend is difficult to evaluate in case of precipitation. The changes in the precipitation and the related indices can be considered small and appear within the regions. The future changes are the most considerable in the Carpathian Basin, but the entire examined region faces crucial changes in the following decades.
由于我们的气候处于快速变化阶段,获得有关基本气候参数和指标的区域模式的信息至关重要。EURO-CORDEX项目提供了高质量的区域气候模型输出,但这些原始数据集不便于在更广泛的地球科学研究中应用。据作者所知,中欧,特别是更广泛的喀尔巴阡山地区,缺乏关于基本气候参数和指数的已发表空间信息,因此本研究的基本目的是填补这一空白。该研究介绍了21世纪喀尔巴阡盆地地区日气温、降水量和各种气候指数的未来趋势。这些指数是使用EURO-CORDEX模型模拟的未来时间段(2021–2050、2071–2100)和排放情景(RCP4.5、RCP8.5)的多模型平均温度和降水数据计算的。这些指数呈现了热负荷、能源需求以及极端降水和干旱特征的未来趋势。结果表明,温度升高明显,热负荷和能源需求量化指标均随温度变化趋势。然而,在有降水的情况下,这种趋势很难评估。降水量和相关指数的变化可以认为很小,并且出现在区域内。喀尔巴阡盆地未来的变化最为显著,但在接下来的几十年里,整个研究区域都面临着至关重要的变化。
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引用次数: 1
Isaac, R.K. (ed.): Dark Tourism Studies 艾萨克R.K.(编):《黑暗旅游研究》
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.8
A. Assylkhanova
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引用次数: 0
Predicting the future land-use change and evaluating the change in landscape pattern in Binh Duong province, Vietnam 越南平阳省未来土地利用变化预测及景观格局变化评价
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-12-21 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.4.3
Dang Hung Bui, L. Mucsi
The main purpose of this study is to simulate future land use up to 2030 and to evaluate the change in landscape pattern due to land-use change from 1995 to 2030 in Binh Duong province, Vietnam. Land-use maps generated from multi-temporal Landsat images from 1995 to 2020 and various physical and social driving variables were used as inputs. Markov chain and Decision Forest algorithm integrated in Land Change Modeler application of IDRISI software were used to predict quantity and location of future land-use allocation. Meanwhile, FRAGSTATS software was used to calculate landscape metrics at class and landscape levels. The simulation results showed that there will be 253.8 km2 of agricultural land urbanized in the period from 2020 to 2030. The urban areas will gradually expand from the edge of the existing zones and fill the newly planned areas from South to North and Northeast of the province. The results also revealed that the studied landscape was decreasing in dominance and increasing diversity and heterogeneity at landscape level. The processes of dispersion and aggregation were taking place at the same time in the entire landscape and in the urban class. Meanwhile, the classes of agriculture, mining, and greenspace were increasingly dispersed, but the shape of patches was becoming more regular. The water class increased the dispersion and the irregularity of the patch shape. Finally, the landscape metrics of the unused land fluctuated over time.
本研究的主要目的是模拟到2030年的未来土地利用,并评估1995年至2030年越南平阳省土地利用变化引起的景观格局变化。根据1995年至2020年的多时相陆地卫星图像生成的土地利用图以及各种物理和社会驱动变量被用作输入。将马尔可夫链和决策森林算法集成到IDRISI软件的土地变化建模器应用中,用于预测未来土地利用分配的数量和位置。同时,使用FRAGSTATS软件计算类别和景观水平的景观指标。模拟结果显示,2020年至2030年,将有253.8平方公里的农业用地城市化。城市区域将从现有区域的边缘逐渐扩大,并从南到北和东北填充新规划的区域。结果还表明,所研究的景观在景观水平上的优势度正在下降,多样性和异质性正在增加。分散和聚集的过程同时发生在整个景观和城市阶层中。与此同时,农业、矿业和绿地的类别越来越分散,但斑块的形状越来越规则。水分等级增加了斑块形状的分散性和不规则性。最后,未利用土地的景观指标随着时间的推移而波动。
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引用次数: 1
Age-group-based evaluation of residents’ urban green space provision: Szeged, Hungary. A case study 基于年龄组的居民城市绿地供应评估:匈牙利塞格德。案例研究
Q2 GEOGRAPHY Pub Date : 2022-09-29 DOI: 10.15201/hungeobull.71.3.3
R. Kolcsár, Á. K. Csete, A. Kovács-Győri, P. Szilassi
Analysis of urban green space (UGS) provision is becoming increasingly important from an urban-planning perspective, as processes related to climate change tend to worsen the urban heat-island effect. In the present study, we aimed to map the UGS provision of Szeged, Hungary, using a GIS-based complex approach. Different age groups, especially the elderly, have different demands on the ecosystem services and infrastructure of UGSs. To provide an in-depth assessment of UGS provision for planners, we analysed the UGS availability and accessibility, using subblock-level population data, which includes not only the total number of residents but also provides information about the age-group distribution for each building of the city. We delineated areas having different UGS provision levels (called provision zones) and assessed the age distribution of the residents living in each zone. We found that the residents within 2-min walking distance to public green spaces are older than expected by comparison to the age distribution of Szeged. In provision zones with abundant locally available UGSs (measured as UGS per capita within 50-m buffers), we found that the youngest (0–18 years) and oldest (≥ 61 years) inhabitants are overrepresented age groups, while the age group 19–40 has the lowest overall UGS provision within the city of Szeged. Our research, which has the potential to be adapted to other settlements, contributes to the identification of UGS-deficit areas in a city, thereby providing essential information for urban planners about where increases in UGS are most needed and helping to assess infrastructural enhancements that would be adequate for the locally most-dominant age groups.
从城市规划的角度来看,城市绿地的分析变得越来越重要,因为与气候变化相关的过程往往会加剧城市热岛效应。在本研究中,我们旨在使用基于GIS的复杂方法绘制匈牙利塞格德的UGS供应地图。不同年龄段,尤其是老年人,对无人值守地面系统的生态系统服务和基础设施有不同的需求。为了深入评估为规划者提供的UGS,我们使用子街区级别的人口数据分析了UGS的可用性和可达性,该数据不仅包括居民总数,还提供了城市每栋建筑的年龄组分布信息。我们划定了UGS供应水平不同的地区(称为供应区),并评估了居住在每个地区的居民的年龄分布。我们发现,与塞格德的年龄分布相比,距离公共绿地步行2分钟以内的居民年龄比预期的要大。在当地可用UGS丰富的供应区(以50-m缓冲区内的人均UGS衡量),我们发现最年轻(0-18岁)和最年长(≥61岁)的居民在塞格德市的代表性过高,而19-40岁年龄组的UGS供应总体最低。我们的研究有可能适应其他定居点,有助于确定城市中UGS不足的地区,从而为城市规划者提供最需要增加UGS的重要信息,并有助于评估足以满足当地最主要年龄组的基础设施改善。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
Hungarian Geographical Bulletin
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