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International Journal of Multicriteria Decision Making最新文献

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Decision-making through a fuzzy hybrid AI system for selection of a third-party operations and maintenance provider 通过模糊混合人工智能系统进行决策,选择第三方运维提供商
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-04-04 DOI: 10.1504/IJMCDM.2016.075630
D. Bigaud, François Thibault, Laurent Gobert
With the outsourcing and the increasing demand of facilities management services, we observe the growing of multi-technical contracts in real estate operations and maintenance (O%M). Selection of one or more contractors is actually complex and important financial and quality of service challenges depend on it. The present paper proposes a multiple-criteria decision-making tool whose objective is to predict contractors' performances and to select the one who can best respond to O%M demands. In order to build the heuristic between technical, commercial and quality criteria and the expected performances, a neuro-fuzzy system (NFS) associated with a hybrid and adaptive genetic algorithms (GA) method has been developed. Important problems are considered: data pre-processing, problem of data scarcity to provide a sufficient number of data to the NFS and optimisation of hybridisation or adaptation parameters for GA. A case study, concerning the clients' satisfaction levels for O%M contractors as a final indicator for decision-making will prove the relevance of this approach.
随着外包和设施管理服务需求的增加,我们观察到房地产运营和维护中的多技术合同越来越多(O%M)。选择一个或多个承包商实际上是复杂和重要的财务和服务质量的挑战取决于它。本文提出了一个多标准决策工具,其目标是预测承包商的绩效,并选择一个最能满足O%M需求的决策工具。为了建立技术、商业和质量标准与预期性能之间的启发式关系,提出了一种结合混合自适应遗传算法的神经模糊系统(NFS)。考虑了重要的问题:数据预处理,为NFS提供足够数量的数据的数据稀缺问题以及遗传算法的混合或自适应参数的优化。一个案例研究,关于客户的满意度水平为O%M承包商作为决策的最终指标将证明这种方法的相关性。
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引用次数: 0
Process-oriented social responsibility indicator for mutual funds: a multi-criteria decision analysis approach 面向过程的共同基金社会责任指标:一种多准则决策分析方法
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-04-04 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2386566
T. Verheyden, L. Moor
In recent years, socially responsible investing (SRI) has grown from a niche to a mainstream investment strategy. Consequently, the supply of SRI mutual funds expanded and a discussion on the performance of SRI funds developed. The traditional approach to measuring mutual fund performance does not take into account possible heterogeneity with respect to social responsibility and focuses on a dichotomous SRI versus non-SRI typology. We consider multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) to build an indicator to capture the multi-faceted nature of SRI. Considering extensive robustness analysis and additional criteria, we find the PROMETHEE methodology to be most recommended for both academic and professional applications. The obtained scores and rankings prove to be highly robust and are in line with generally accepted intuition in the industry. The proposed PROMETHEE-based indicator is also easy to understand and implement, which makes it highly suited for implementation in mutual fund performance research.
近年来,社会责任投资(SRI)已从一个小众投资策略发展成为主流投资策略。因此,SRI共同基金的供应扩大了,对SRI基金绩效的讨论也开始了。衡量共同基金业绩的传统方法没有考虑到社会责任方面可能存在的异质性,而是侧重于SRI与非SRI类型的二分法。我们考虑多准则决策分析(MCDA)来建立一个指标来捕捉社会责任投资的多面性。考虑到广泛的稳健性分析和其他标准,我们发现PROMETHEE方法最适合学术和专业应用。所获得的分数和排名被证明是高度稳健的,符合业界普遍接受的直觉。所提出的基于promehee的指标也易于理解和实施,这使得它非常适合在共同基金绩效研究中实施。
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引用次数: 8
Modal choice in freight transport: combining multi-criteria decision analysis and geographic information systems 货运模式选择:多准则决策分析与地理信息系统的结合
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/ijmcdm.2015.074087
C. Macharis, D. Meers, T. Lier
To tackle the modal choice decision problem in container transport, a decision support model for comparing intermodal and unimodal road transport is developed, using a combined multi-criteria decision analysis - geographic information system approach. Multi-criteria decision analysis allows to simultaneously analyse many, possibly conflicting, modal choice criteria. First, a geographic information system-based model calculates the size or the score of the considered criteria, for each alternative route. Next, the multi-criteria decision analysis makes trade-offs among the relevant criteria and selects the most suitable transport option for a given transport. The model is tested for transport problems within Belgium, but can be applied to other cases. The comprehensive model can be used to make more consistent modal choice decisions to meet the specific preferences of users.
为了解决集装箱运输中的模式选择决策问题,采用多准则决策分析-地理信息系统方法,建立了多式联运和单式公路运输的决策支持模型。多标准决策分析允许同时分析许多可能相互冲突的模态选择标准。首先,基于地理信息系统的模型计算每个备选路线的大小或考虑的标准的分数。其次,多标准决策分析在相关标准之间进行权衡,并为给定的运输选择最合适的运输选项。该模型针对比利时境内的交通问题进行了测试,但也可以应用于其他情况。综合模型可用于做出更一致的模式选择决策,以满足用户的特定偏好。
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引用次数: 13
The 'PROMETHEE' adventure 普罗米修斯冒险
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/IJMCDM.2015.074090
J. Brans
The author has been Professor Operational Research (OR) from 1963 to 2007 at both the VUB and the ULB Universities of Brussels. On January 22, 2014, his former collaborators (Cathy Macharis, Yves De Smet and Bertrand Mareschal) organised a workshop on the 'PROMETHEE' multicriteria decision aid (MCDA) procedure, the author having been the initiator of this methodology in the 1980s. Over 60 participants attended this workshop and 25 research papers were presented. As it has been an important research field in his scientific carrier, the author has been invited by the organisers of the workshop to give a survey paper on this subject. He felt particularly honoured by this initiative and accepted with pleasure the invitation. This paper includes a brief overview of OR from 1937 till now, the role of the outranking procedures in the field of MCDA and the PROMETHEE methodology including its extensions being of course stressed. Some proposals for further research and developments are suggested. A 'Jean-Pierre Brans-PROMETHEE prize' has been awarded to the best contribution presented at the workshop, and a foundation to support such an activity each year will be established in a near future.
作者于1963年至2007年在布鲁塞尔大学和布鲁塞尔大学担任运筹学教授。2014年1月22日,他的前合作者(Cathy Macharis, Yves De Smet和Bertrand Mareschal)组织了一个关于“PROMETHEE”多标准决策辅助(MCDA)程序的研讨会,作者在20世纪80年代是该方法的发起者。超过60名与会者出席了研讨会,并发表了25篇研究论文。由于这一直是他的科学载体中的一个重要研究领域,作者已被研讨会的组织者邀请就这一主题发表一篇调查论文。他对这一倡议感到特别荣幸,并愉快地接受了邀请。本文包括从1937年至今的OR的简要概述,排名程序在MCDA和PROMETHEE方法论领域的作用,当然也强调了它的扩展。并对今后的研究和发展提出了建议。“让-皮埃尔·布兰斯-普罗米修斯奖”将颁发给在研讨会上做出最佳贡献的人,并将在不久的将来建立一个基金会来支持每年的此类活动。
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引用次数: 3
Comparing principal component analysis and multidimensional scaling for the representation of PROMETHEE results 比较主成分分析和多维标度对PROMETHEE结果表示的影响
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/ijmcdm.2015.074089
Bastian Schmidtmann, Genoveva Schmidtmann
In this paper, we present a new method of visualising the results of PROMETHEE and a comparison of the new method with the common GAIA method (Mareschal and Brans, 1988) and reveal its application in the context of choice for alternative vehicles. Visualisation methods make the impact of each single criterion and its weight on every single alternative visible. The most common method for visualising the results of PROMETHEE models is the GAIA method. To evaluate if GAIA itself or visualisation methods themselves are difficult to handle for the decision maker a new visualisation method for PROMETHEE results is developed and compared with the GAIA method. The method we introduce in this paper is based on the classical multidimensional scaling (MDS) (Chatfield and Collins, 1980). MDS is extended by property fitting to integrate each single criterion into the visualisation (Homburg and Krohmer, 2009). We compare the results by applying the procrustes analysis (Gower and Dijksterhuis, 2004). Finally, we give an outlook of future research aspects on the comparison and the new visualisation method in particular.
在本文中,我们提出了一种将PROMETHEE结果可视化的新方法,并将新方法与常见的GAIA方法(Mareschal和Brans, 1988)进行了比较,并揭示了其在替代车辆选择方面的应用。可视化方法使每个单一标准的影响及其对每个单一替代方案的权重可见。将PROMETHEE模型的结果可视化的最常用方法是GAIA方法。为了评估GAIA本身或可视化方法本身是否难以为决策者处理,开发了一种新的PROMETHEE结果可视化方法,并与GAIA方法进行了比较。本文介绍的方法是基于经典的多维标度(MDS) (Chatfield and Collins, 1980)。MDS通过属性拟合进行扩展,将每个单一标准集成到可视化中(Homburg和Krohmer, 2009)。我们通过应用procrustes分析来比较结果(Gower和Dijksterhuis, 2004)。最后,我们对未来的研究方向进行了展望,特别是对新的可视化方法进行了展望。
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引用次数: 0
Multi-actor multi-criteria analysis for sustainable city distribution: a new assessment framework 可持续城市布局的多因素多标准分析:一个新的评估框架
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/ijmcdm.2015.074088
Lauriane Milan, B. Kin, S. Verlinde, C. Macharis
Urban areas are facing several challenges, especially to organise freight transport in a sustainable way. Many innovative city distribution concepts have failed because not all stakeholders were taken into account in the decision-making process. Evaluating urban freight solutions summons the need for a new approach, taking into consideration different conflicting objectives from different stakeholders. Within STRAIGHTSOL (strategies and measures for smarter urban freight solutions, EC FP7), a systematic impact assessment framework dedicated to freight transportation has been developed. The so-called city distribution - multi-actor multi-criteria analysis (CD-MAMCA) incorporates the city distribution actors and their objectives as the primary focus complemented with a MCDA performed with the PROMETHEE-GDSS method. In this paper, the specific framework dedicated to city distribution is fully explained through a case study in the UK charity sector with Oxfam which tested remote monitoring of the banks leading to dynamic collection scheduling.
城市地区正面临着一些挑战,特别是以可持续的方式组织货运。许多创新的城市分配概念都失败了,因为在决策过程中没有考虑到所有的利益相关者。评估城市货运解决方案需要一种新的方法,考虑到不同利益相关者的不同冲突目标。在“智能城市货运解决方案战略与措施”(简称“EC FP7”)中,已经开发了一个专门用于货运的系统影响评估框架。所谓的城市分布-多参与者多标准分析(CD-MAMCA)将城市分布参与者及其目标作为主要焦点,并辅以promehee - gdss方法执行的MCDA。在本文中,通过英国慈善部门与乐施会的一个案例研究,充分解释了专门用于城市分配的具体框架,该案例研究测试了银行远程监控导致动态收款调度。
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引用次数: 12
Integration of prospect theory into PROMETHEE - a case study concerning sustainable bioenergy concepts 前景理论与PROMETHEE的整合——可持续生物能源概念的案例研究
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/ijmcdm.2015.074085
Nils Lerche, Jutta Geldermann
An important objective of outranking methods is that the decision maker should be able to incorporate any argument into the process to achieve better awareness of the decision problem. However, in order to represent actual preferences of the decision maker, consideration of behavioural effects appears to be necessary. In this paper, a new approach that integrates findings from prospect theory into PROMETHEE is illustrated. In particular, the elements of reference dependency and loss aversion are incorporated. For this purpose, it is necessary to define an adequate reference alternative. Moreover, the existing preference functions and the way of aggregating pairwise comparisons have been adjusted. In order to test the newly developed approach, it is applied using an existing decision matrix from a joint research project concerned with the identification of a sustainable bioenergy concept. Finally, the results as well as potential advantages and challenges of the new approach are discussed.
超越排序方法的一个重要目标是决策者应该能够将任何论点纳入过程,以更好地了解决策问题。然而,为了表现决策者的实际偏好,考虑行为影响似乎是必要的。本文阐述了一种将前景理论的研究成果整合到PROMETHEE中的新方法。特别地,参考依赖和损失厌恶的元素被纳入。为此目的,有必要定义一个适当的替代参考。并对现有的偏好函数和两两比较的聚合方式进行了调整。为了测试新开发的方法,它使用了来自一个联合研究项目的现有决策矩阵,该项目涉及确定可持续生物能源概念。最后,讨论了新方法的结果以及潜在的优势和挑战。
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引用次数: 9
PROMETHEE-compatible presentations of multicriteria evaluation tables 普罗米修斯兼容多标准评估表的演示
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-09 DOI: 10.1504/IJMCDM.2015.074086
K. Lidouh, N. Doan, Y. D. Smet
Most decision problems involve the simultaneous optimisation of several conflicting criteria. Generally, the first step to solve such problems is to identify the set of alternatives and the criteria they will be evaluated on, leading to the construction of an evaluation table. Of course, there are numerous ways to build such a table and to represent it. For a problem of n alternatives and m criteria, there are n! • m! possibilities of representation. However, from a multicriteria point of view some of them can be more interesting than the others. In this article, we will make use of the PROMETHEE and GAIA methods from which the extracted information will serve to restructure such tables. In order to evaluate the properties of these PROMETHEE-based representations, an indicator will be defined that uses only ordinal information of the values contained in a given table. This measure will also serve as a fitness function for a genetic algorithm that will find good - if not the best - tables. These will allow to draw comparisons with PROMETHEE-based representations.
大多数决策问题涉及同时优化几个相互冲突的标准。一般来说,解决这类问题的第一步是确定一组备选方案和评估它们的标准,从而构建一个评价表。当然,有许多方法可以构建这样一个表并表示它。对于一个有n个选择和m个标准的问题,有n!•米!表现的可能性。然而,从多标准的角度来看,其中一些可能比其他的更有趣。在本文中,我们将使用PROMETHEE和GAIA方法,从中提取的信息将用于重构此类表。为了评估这些基于promehee表示的属性,将定义一个指示符,该指示符仅使用给定表中包含的值的有序信息。这一措施也将作为遗传算法的适应度函数,该算法将找到好的(如果不是最好的)表。这将允许与基于promehee的表示进行比较。
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引用次数: 0
A decision-making framework for designing water distribution networks based on multi-objective optimisation 基于多目标优化的配水管网设计决策框架
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.1504/IJMCDM.2016.10002230
F. Yazdandoost, A. Izadi
Multi-objective optimisation of water distribution networks (WDNs) design would be an effective step towards the proper management of these infrastructures. This in turn depends upon how well the decision maker (DM) identifies the trade-off between the objectives. Here, a three-step framework is proposed to address this challenge. Part of the WDN in Iran, has been optimised by NSGA-II based on cost and resilience index (RI) objectives. The obtained non-dominated solutions located on the Pareto front were then processed through the entropy method to quantify the weights for the objectives while considering the preferences of the DM. Finally, the TOPSIS method was used to determine the best choice. The results, compared to those proposed by the original design consultants and cost-benefit analysis (CBA), show that the current proposed framework can be used as a more reliable tool to verify WDNs cost-benefit analysis while creating a better balance between the objectives.
多目标优化配水网络(wdn)设计将是对这些基础设施进行适当管理的有效步骤。这反过来又取决于决策者(DM)如何很好地识别目标之间的权衡。本文提出了一个三步走的框架来应对这一挑战。根据成本和弹性指数(RI)目标,NSGA-II对伊朗部分WDN进行了优化。在考虑决策制定者偏好的情况下,利用熵值法对目标的权重进行量化,最后利用TOPSIS法确定最优选择。结果,与原始设计顾问和成本效益分析(CBA)提出的结果相比,表明当前提出的框架可以作为更可靠的工具来验证wdn的成本效益分析,同时在目标之间建立更好的平衡。
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引用次数: 4
Decision aid for hydropower project prioritisation in Nepal by applying Visual PROMETHEE 应用visualpromethee为尼泊尔水电项目优先排序提供决策援助
Q4 Business, Management and Accounting Pub Date : 2016-01-01 DOI: 10.1504/IJMCDM.2016.10002238
R. Singh, H. Nachtnebel
Nepal needs appropriate decision framework for exploring huge hydropower potential, This work primarily proposes a decision framework applicable to small hydropower schemes (1 to 25 MW) to assist in prioritisation. In the future a similar approach could be developed to prioritise hydropower projects across a broad capacity range. This paper, based on a multi-criteria approach, has the main objective to develop a decision support tool to evaluate, compare and rank alternative proposals of hydropower schemes. The proposed framework organised wide range of criteria under five goals referring to economic, social, environmental, political objectives and additionally, their inherent uncertainties. Six Nepalese pilot sites with comparable capacity were identified for testing the decision framework and Visual PROMETHEE (VP) application proved to be effective for decision making. Thus Visual PROMETHEE could be used for developing decision aid and effective in decision making or prioritising hydropower options exhibiting quite different features.
尼泊尔需要适当的决策框架来探索巨大的水电潜力,这项工作主要提出了一个适用于小水电计划(1至25兆瓦)的决策框架,以协助确定优先顺序。未来可以采用类似的方法,在更大的容量范围内优先考虑水电项目。本文基于多准则方法,主要目的是开发一种决策支持工具,对水电方案的备选方案进行评价、比较和排序。拟议的框架在五个目标下组织了广泛的标准,这些目标涉及经济、社会、环境、政治目标以及它们固有的不确定性。确定了六个具有相当能力的尼泊尔试验点来测试决策框架,visualpromethee (VP)应用程序证明对决策有效。因此,Visual PROMETHEE可用于开发决策援助和有效的决策或优先考虑水电方案表现出相当不同的特点。
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引用次数: 3
期刊
International Journal of Multicriteria Decision Making
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