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Unpacking the Complexities of Energy Renovation Programs for Family Houses: Case Study of Croatia 解读家庭住宅能源改造计划的复杂性:克罗地亚案例研究
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15965
Marko Šostar, Ines Škoko
This study investigates the impact of administrative barriers on the financing of energy renovation of family homes in the Republic of Croatia. The research aims to prove a causal relationship between the limitations of the support system and citizen satisfaction with the existing support system for energy renovation of family homes, which directly affects an individual's motivation to apply for a competition. A survey was conducted on 308 respondents, and mathematical methods were used to determine the impact. The research results show that different factors have varying degrees of influence on the perception of family homeowners and their decision to apply for a project, and that this perception depends on age, employment status, and monthly income of the individual.
本研究调查了行政障碍对克罗地亚共和国家庭住宅能源改造融资的影响。研究旨在证明支持系统的局限性与公民对现有家庭住宅能源改造支持系统的满意度之间的因果关系,这种关系直接影响个人申请竞赛的积极性。对 308 名受访者进行了调查,并使用数学方法确定了影响因素。研究结果表明,不同因素对家庭住宅所有者的看法及其申请项目的决定有不同程度的影响,这种看法取决于个人的年龄、就业状况和月收入。
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引用次数: 0
Effects of Fluctuations in oil Prıces on G7 Country Stock Exchanges 石油价格波动对 G7 国家证券交易所的影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16185
A. Abubakirova, Lyazzat Kudabayeva, Aizhan Omarova, Zhanargul Taskinbaikyzy, B. Saubetova
The aim of the study is to analyze the effects of changes in oil prices, which have an important place among energy resources, on the stock market indices of G7 countries. Since they can be considered as a barometer of the macroeconomic indicators of the G7 countries, the stock market indices of these countries were included in this study and their impact on the fluctuations in oil prices was examined. G7 countries produce 85% of the world's production and constitute 66% of the world's population. 75% of international trade is carried out by the member countries of this group. The share of these countries in international investment is 80%. In this study, the impact of oil price changes on G7 country stock market indices was investigated with monthly frequency data between January 2010 and December 2023. This effect was tried to be found by applying Granger causality test and cointegration test. According to the findings obtained in this study, it was understood that there was no cointegration and the variables did not balance in the long run. On the other hand, according to the Granger causality test, it was determined that the crude oil price was the cause of the stock markets of G7 countries with a significance of 10%.
本研究旨在分析在能源资源中占有重要地位的石油价格变化对七国集团国家股票市场指数的影响。由于石油价格可被视为 G7 国家宏观经济指标的晴雨表,因此本研究将这些国家的股票市场指数纳入其中,并考察其对石油价格波动的影响。G7 国家的产量占世界总产量的 85%,人口占世界总人口的 66%。75% 的国际贸易由该集团成员国进行。这些国家在国际投资中所占的份额为 80%。本研究利用 2010 年 1 月至 2023 年 12 月期间的月度数据,调查了石油价格变化对 G7 国家股票市场指数的影响。通过格兰杰因果检验和协整检验,试图发现这种影响。根据本研究的结果,可以理解为不存在协整关系,变量在长期内不平衡。另一方面,根据格兰杰因果检验,确定原油价格是 G7 国家股票市场的原因,显著性为 10%。
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引用次数: 0
Smart Initiatives to Drive Solar Energy Investments under Environmental Uncertainty: Exploring Linear and Quadratic Relationships 环境不确定性下推动太阳能投资的明智举措:探索线性和二次方关系
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16331
A. Sam, M. Appiah, Elikplim Ameko, Beverly Akomea Bonsu
Solar energy is an environmentally friendly and reliable source of electricity and contributes immensely towards achieving Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) 7. The quantity of solar radiation reaching the earth's surface offers enough prospects for solar and green energy investments. This study aims to develop an integrated model to explain the effects of sustainability-enabled initiatives on sustainable investment adoption and solar energy investment and to ascertain whether the relationship between solar energy investment and environmental uncertainty is parabolic (quadratic) or linear. Cross-sectional survey data from private companies in Ghana has been used. SMART-PLS version 3.3.9 has been used to analyse and confirm our hypotheses. The results showed that sustainability initiatives (e.g., supply chain integration, institutionalization, supply chain resilience, innovativeness, climate literacy, and justice) were found to be linear. Moreover, sustainable investment adoption moderates the relationships between various factors identified and solar energy investment. Again, environmental uncertainty confirmed a quadratic relationship with solar energy investment. By implications, this paper is the first of its kind to uniquely apply quadratic analysis in the context of renewable energy investment and sustainable energy in Ghana. The newly developed integrated model could be used to explain the drivers of sustainable investment adoption and solar energy investment in Ghana and beyond. Besides, the results will stimulate and re-enforce Ghana’s renewable energy policies (Act 832 and Act 1045) towards the realisation of SDGs 7 and 13.
太阳能是一种环保、可靠的电力来源,为实现可持续发展目标(SDG)7 做出了巨大贡献。到达地球表面的太阳辐射量为太阳能和绿色能源投资提供了充足的前景。本研究旨在建立一个综合模型,解释可持续发展倡议对可持续投资采纳和太阳能投资的影响,并确定太阳能投资与环境不确定性之间的关系是抛物线(二次曲线)关系还是线性关系。研究使用了加纳私营企业的横截面调查数据。使用 SMART-PLS 3.3.9 版分析并确认了我们的假设。结果显示,可持续发展举措(如供应链整合、制度化、供应链弹性、创新性、气候知识和公正性)被认为是线性的。此外,可持续投资的采用调节了各种因素与太阳能投资之间的关系。同样,环境的不确定性也证实了与太阳能投资之间的二次关系。从影响来看,本文是同类论文中第一篇在加纳可再生能源投资和可持续能源背景下独特应用二次分析的论文。新开发的综合模型可用于解释加纳及其他国家采用可持续投资和太阳能投资的驱动因素。此外,研究结果还将促进和加强加纳的可再生能源政策(第 832 号法案和第 1045 号法案),以实现可持续发展目标 7 和 13。
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引用次数: 0
Farm Gate Energy Intensity of Food Production in Poland - Considering the Physical and Economic Aspects of Production 波兰粮食生产的农场能源强度--考虑到生产的物理和经济方面
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16019
Joanna Łukasiewicz, Bartłomiej Bajan
Within food supply chains, attention is paid to the significant energy consumption at the farm gate level. In agricultural production, the energy intensity of animal production is much higher than that of plant production, but mainly if physical units are considered. This study examines the energy intensity of food production in Poland from 2010 to 2019, contrasting animal and plant production in both physical and monetary units. Utilizing the EXIOBASE database, it compares energy consumption across wheat, sugar beets, pig, and poultry farming sectors, addressing the gap in research on energy intensity within these individual sectors. The research reveals that, contrary to physical unit measurements, the energy intensity in monetary terms is lower for animal production than for plant production. Specifically, plant production showed higher energy intensity, averaging 28.02 MJ/€1 GDP for wheat and 30.15 MJ/€1 GDP for sugar beets. In contrast, animal production had higher energy intensity when measured by physical units, with pigs and poultry averaging 15.72 MJ/kg and 15.36 MJ/kg, respectively. These disparities arise primarily from the greater profitability of animal production, impacting the results per monetary unit. The findings underscore the importance of including economic aspects in energy intensity measurements, influencing agricultural producers' decisions.
在食品供应链中,人们关注的是农场门口一级的大量能源消耗。在农业生产中,动物生产的能源强度远高于植物生产的能源强度,但主要是在考虑物理单位的情况下。本研究考察了 2010 年至 2019 年波兰粮食生产的能源强度,以物理和货币单位对动物和植物生产进行了对比。本研究利用 EXIOBASE 数据库,比较了小麦、甜菜、猪和家禽养殖业的能源消耗,填补了这些行业能源强度研究的空白。研究显示,与物理单位测量结果相反,以货币计算的能源强度在畜牧业生产中低于植物生产。具体而言,植物生产的能源强度较高,小麦和甜菜的平均能源强度分别为 28.02 兆焦耳/1 欧元国内生产总值和 30.15 兆焦耳/1 欧元国内生产总值。相比之下,以物理单位衡量,动物生产的能源强度更高,猪和家禽的平均能源强度分别为 15.72 兆焦耳/千克和 15.36 兆焦耳/千克。造成这些差异的主要原因是畜牧业生产的利润更高,影响了单位货币的结果。这些发现强调了将经济因素纳入能源强度测量的重要性,从而影响农业生产者的决策。
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引用次数: 0
Multidimensional Analysis of Sustainability and Integration of Sustainable Energy Practices in Petroleum Field Management 可持续性的多维分析与可持续能源实践在油田管理中的整合
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15571
Muhammad Ariyon, S. Sukendi, Ridwan Manda Putra, Husnul Kausarian
This study illustrates the importance of sustainable energy management in the context of oil field management in Indonesia. Using the Rappetro approach, this research evaluates the sustainability of oil field management across various dimensions, including ecological, economic, socio-cultural, technological, and legal-institutional aspects. Findings indicate that the sustainability index for all dimensions—ecology (64.07%), economy (57.72%), socio-cultural (52.91%), technology (64.44%), and legal-institutional (61.7%)—is robust. This signifies that oil exploration and exploitation operations in the area have effectively integrated conservation principles. Energy management and balanced integration of ecological, economic, and technological aspects in oil field management play a key role in ensuring long-term sustainability. Theoretically, this research provides valuable insights for the energy sector by highlighting the sustainability of oil field management. Its implications are relevant in shaping sustainable energy practices, emphasizing the need for a comprehensive approach in every stage of oil resource exploration and exploitation. Thus, this study makes a significant contribution to guiding policies and practices that support sustainable energy development in the future.
本研究从印度尼西亚油田管理的角度说明了可持续能源管理的重要性。本研究采用 Rappetro 方法,从生态、经济、社会文化、技术和法律制度等多个维度评估了油田管理的可持续性。研究结果表明,所有维度的可持续性指数--生态(64.07%)、经济(57.72%)、社会文化(52.91%)、技术(64.44%)和法律-制度(61.7%)--都很稳健。这表明该地区的石油勘探和开采活动有效地结合了保护原则。油田管理中的能源管理以及生态、经济和技术方面的平衡整合在确保长期可持续性方面发挥着关键作用。从理论上讲,这项研究通过强调油田管理的可持续性,为能源行业提供了宝贵的见解。研究的意义在于形成可持续能源实践,强调在石油资源勘探和开采的每个阶段都需要采取综合方法。因此,本研究为指导支持未来可持续能源发展的政策和实践做出了重要贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Opportunities and Prospects for Hydrogen Production in Azerbaijan: Steps towards the Transition to a Hydrogen Economy 阿塞拜疆制氢的机遇和前景:向氢经济过渡的步骤
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16380
Lala Hamidova, E. Samedova
Hydrogen plays a key role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions, enabling decarbonization of the energy, transport and industrial sectors. Its importance in the energy balance will increase for several reasons. Firstly, in the modern world there is a transition to carbon-free energy, which stimulates the use of hydrogen. Secondly, a balanced system based on renewable energy sources is important to ensure stability and reliability of energy supply. The purpose of the study is to study the prospects for hydrogen production for the transition to sustainable development of the Azerbaijani economy. During the study, research methods such as graphical analysis, comparison of blue and green hydrogen production scenarios, analysis and synthesis method, and dynamic comparison method were used. The results of the study showed that in order to transition to a hydrogen economy in Azerbaijan, it is preferable to start with the production of blue hydrogen. There is potential for this in the form of rich natural gas reserves (confirmed gas reserves are 2.6 trillion cubic meters). With the advent of new technologies and lower production costs, a transition to green hydrogen will be possible. For this purpose, the country has a technical potential for renewable energy sources amounting to 135 GW on land and 157 GW at sea. The conclusions are that in order to transition to a hydrogen economy in Azerbaijan, it is necessary to adopt a strategy for transitioning the economy to a hydrogen basis, developing infrastructure, attracting investments in the modernization of chemical enterprises, and switching public transport to the use of hydrogen.
氢气在减少温室气体排放、实现能源、交通和工业部门的去碳化方面发挥着关键作用。由于多种原因,氢在能源平衡中的重要性将会增加。首先,现代世界正在向无碳能源过渡,这将促进氢的使用。其次,基于可再生能源的平衡系统对于确保能源供应的稳定性和可靠性非常重要。本研究的目的是研究阿塞拜疆经济向可持续发展过渡的制氢前景。在研究过程中,使用了图形分析法、蓝色和绿色制氢方案比较法、分析综合法和动态比较法等研究方法。研究结果表明,为了在阿塞拜疆过渡到氢经济,最好从生产蓝色氢开始。丰富的天然气储量(已确认的天然气储量为 2.6 万亿立方米)为此提供了潜力。随着新技术的出现和生产成本的降低,向绿色氢气过渡将成为可能。为此,该国可再生能源的技术潜力为陆地 135 千兆瓦,海上 157 千兆瓦。结论是,为了在阿塞拜疆过渡到氢经济,有必要采取一项战略,将经济过渡到氢基础上,发展基础设施,吸引对化工企业现代化的投资,并将公共交通转向使用氢。
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引用次数: 0
Sustainable Exports to the European Union from ASEAN Countries: Is There an Impact of Low Carbon Economy? 东盟国家对欧盟的可持续出口:低碳经济是否有影响?
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16389
S. I. Nikensari, Ega Nurdiyanto, Wong Sing Yun, Siti Fatimah Zahra
Trade and climate change are thought to be closely related. Sustainable trade cooperation with European Union (EU) countries is often linked to the issue of climate action and low carbon emissions. This research aims to examine the low carbon economy and the economic distance of ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand) towards their exports to EU countries. A low carbon economy is measured by the intensity of GHG emissions, analysed from three scopes, namely CO2 from manufacturing and industrial processes (part of scope-1), CO2 from electricity consumption (part of scope-2), and CO2 from waste (part of scope- 3). Data source from Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR) and other sources, 2012-2022. Panel data regression with a gravity model is used in this analysis. The results show the implementation of a low carbon economy in ASEAN, so that in the future there seems to be continued trade between ASEAN countries and the EU. This is proven by the negative influence of carbon emission intensity scope-2, scope-3, and economic distance on increasing ASEAN exports, except scope-1. Low intensity means there is efficient use of resources for the economy, and low economic distance means trade is competitive.
人们认为贸易与气候变化密切相关。与欧盟(EU)国家的可持续贸易合作往往与气候行动和低碳排放问题联系在一起。本研究旨在考察东盟国家(印度尼西亚、马来西亚、菲律宾、新加坡和泰国)的低碳经济及其对欧盟国家出口的经济距离。低碳经济以温室气体排放强度为衡量标准,从三个范围进行分析,即制造和工业流程产生的二氧化碳(范围-1 的一部分)、电力消费产生的二氧化碳(范围-2 的一部分)和废物产生的二氧化碳(范围-3 的一部分)。数据来源于全球大气研究排放数据库(EDGAR)和其他来源,2012-2022 年。本分析采用了重力模型的面板数据回归。结果表明,东盟正在实施低碳经济,因此未来东盟国家与欧盟之间的贸易似乎仍将持续。除范围-1 外,碳排放强度范围-2、范围-3 和经济距离对东盟出口增长的负面影响证明了这一点。低强度意味着经济资源的有效利用,低经济距离意味着贸易具有竞争力。
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引用次数: 0
Interplay of Volatility and Geopolitical Tensions in Clean Energy Markets: A Comprehensive GARCH-LSTM Forecasting Approach 清洁能源市场波动性与地缘政治紧张局势的相互作用:综合 GARCH-LSTM 预测方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16075
Hatem Brik, Jihene El Ouakdi
In an era dominated by increasing global challenges and market volatilities, this study, firstly, embarks on an in-depth exploration of volatility transmission across clean energy stocks, crude oil and financial markets, emphasizing the underlying currents of geopolitical tensions. By using the advanced Multivariate Dynamic Conditional Correlation (MV-DCC) GARCH model, we unravel a landscape where volatility spillovers exhibit a distinct bidirectional nature, and geopolitical risk exerts a substantial impact, cascading from the oil market to financial markets and ultimately to clean energy stocks. Our findings underline the strategic importance of overweighting clean energy assets in a dual-asset portfolio that includes oil and financial equities to enhance investment strategies in turbulent market conditions. Secondly, we investigate the predictive power of oil and market-implied volatilities in forecasting clean energy market volatility by introducing a novel approach that melds the robustness of GARCH models with the flexibility of Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks, creating an innovative hybrid GARCH-LSTM framework. The empirical results demonstrate that this hybrid model significantly outstrips the predictive capabilities of traditional standalone models. Notably, while oil and market-implied volatilities substantially enhance prediction accuracy, the inclusion of historical data does not yield additional predictive value. The implications of our research extend beyond the analytical domain, resonating with financial practitioners and environmentally conscious investors who seek precision in valuation and foresight in market trends. For policymakers, the insights provided offer strategic guidance for developing robust clean energy policies. Overall, our research contributes a fresh perspective to the discourse on renewable energy investment, volatility forecasting, and the interplay between market dynamics and geopolitical risks.
在全球挑战和市场波动日益加剧的时代,本研究首先深入探讨了清洁能源股票、原油和金融市场之间的波动传导,强调了地缘政治紧张局势的潜在动因。通过使用先进的多变量动态条件相关性(MV-DCC)GARCH 模型,我们揭示了波动溢出效应表现出明显的双向性,地缘政治风险产生了巨大影响,从石油市场串联到金融市场,并最终影响到清洁能源股票。我们的研究结果凸显了在包括石油和金融股票在内的双重资产组合中超配清洁能源资产的战略重要性,从而在动荡的市场条件下增强投资策略。其次,我们引入了一种新方法,将 GARCH 模型的稳健性与长短期记忆(LSTM)网络的灵活性相结合,创建了一个创新的 GARCH-LSTM 混合框架,从而研究了石油和市场预测波动率在预测清洁能源市场波动率方面的预测能力。实证结果表明,这种混合模型大大超过了传统独立模型的预测能力。值得注意的是,虽然石油和市场预测波动率大大提高了预测准确性,但历史数据的加入并没有产生额外的预测价值。我们研究的意义超越了分析领域,引起了金融从业者和具有环保意识的投资者的共鸣,他们追求估值的精确性和市场趋势的前瞻性。对于政策制定者来说,我们提供的见解为制定强有力的清洁能源政策提供了战略指导。总之,我们的研究为可再生能源投资、波动预测以及市场动态与地缘政治风险之间的相互作用等方面的讨论提供了全新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Asymmetric Effects of Renewable Energy Use, Financial Development, and Trade Openness on Economic Growth in D-8 Islamic Countries 考察可再生能源利用、金融发展和贸易开放对 D-8 伊斯兰国家经济增长的不对称影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16077
Ali Umar Ahmad, Atiku Muhammad Abubakar, N. Senan, Uzairu Muhammad Gwadabe, B. Mohammed, Maikudi Muhammad, Abdulrahman Mohammed Hasan AL-Yazidi, Bashir Yakubu Sani, Mustapha Jamiu, Umar Aliyu Mustapha
This study investigates the asymmetric impacts of financial development, renewable energy consumption, and trade openness on economic growth in D-8 Islamic countries from 1970 to 2022, using advanced panel data techniques. The findings reveal long-run equilibrium relationships, with financial development and trade openness positively affecting gross domestic product (GDP) growth, while renewable energy exhibits an unexpected negative coefficient. The non-linear autoregressive distributed lag estimates uncover asymmetries, with larger GDP contractions from downside shocks in financial development and trade openness. Renewable energy shows growth penalties from negative changes but symmetric upside benefits. The results highlight the importance of well-developed financial systems, strategic renewable investments, and trade integration for sustainable growth. Policymakers should focus on financial reforms, renewable project facilitation, and reducing trade barriers, considering asymmetric impacts. This study contributes novel empirical evidence on asymmetric dynamics among these variables in D-8 countries, extending the literature through recent non-linear panel modeling techniques and demonstrating the merits of accounting for asymmetries. The combination of methods offers a robust and fresh perspective.
本研究利用先进的面板数据技术,研究了 1970 年至 2022 年期间金融发展、可再生能源消费和贸易开放对伊斯兰发展中八国经济增长的非对称影响。研究结果显示了长期均衡关系,金融发展和贸易开放度对国内生产总值(GDP)增长产生了积极影响,而可再生能源则表现出了意想不到的负系数。非线性自回归分布式滞后估计揭示了非对称性,金融发展和贸易开放度的下行冲击导致国内生产总值收缩幅度更大。可再生能源的负向变化对经济增长造成了惩罚,但却带来了对称的上行收益。这些结果凸显了完善的金融体系、战略性可再生能源投资和贸易一体化对可持续增长的重要性。考虑到非对称影响,政策制定者应重点关注金融改革、可再生能源项目便利化和减少贸易壁垒。本研究通过最新的非线性面板建模技术扩展了相关文献,并证明了考虑非对称性的优点,为 D-8 国家这些变量之间的非对称动态提供了新的经验证据。各种方法的结合提供了一个稳健而新颖的视角。
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引用次数: 0
An Applied Study of the Symmetric and Asymmetric Impact of Oil Prices and International Financial Markets on Economic Growth in Iraq 石油价格和国际金融市场对伊拉克经济增长的对称和不对称影响的应用研究
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16123
Moustfa Ismael Khaleel, Ahmed Younis Jabbar, Maha Kalai, Rima Aloulou, Kamel HELALI
Iraq, one of the main oil exporting nations, is extremely susceptible to changes in the price of oil. This article attempts to investigate how the price of oil affects the way the Iraqi economy performs, as indicated by a number of factors (economic growth and international financial markets). We will apply econometric techniques in both linear and non-linear frameworks to accomplish this goal. To represent NARDL non-linearities in the relationship between the aforementioned economic variables, we will first look for linear cointegrating correlations and/or estimate ARDL models. If necessary, we will next use threshold cointegration. Thus, we demonstrate that, independent of the regime we are in, the asymmetry associated with the shock's sign is confirmed over the span January 2006–December 2020. Regarding the asymmetry associated with the shock's magnitude, it is only confirmed under the "below oil price threshold regime." In the "above oil price threshold regime," yields respond in a way that is proportionate to the shock's magnitude. Additionally, we demonstrate that the asymmetry associated with the shock's sign is confirmed during times of negative industrial output growth, while the influence of shocks looks symmetrical during times of positive industrial production variation.
伊拉克作为主要石油出口国之一,极易受到石油价格变化的影响。本文试图从多个因素(经济增长和国际金融市场)入手,研究石油价格如何影响伊拉克的经济表现。我们将采用线性和非线性框架下的计量经济学技术来实现这一目标。为了体现上述经济变量之间的非线性关系,我们将首先寻找线性协整相关性和/或估计 ARDL 模型。如有必要,我们接下来将使用阈值协整。因此,我们证明,在 2006 年 1 月至 2020 年 12 月期间,冲击符号的非对称性与我们所处的制度无关。至于与冲击幅度相关的非对称性,只有在 "低于油价临界值制度 "下才会得到证实。在 "高于油价临界值制度 "下,收益率的反应与冲击幅度成正比。此外,我们还证明,与冲击符号相关的非对称性在工业产出负增长时期得到证实,而在工业生产正变化时期,冲击的影响看起来是对称的。
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引用次数: 0
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International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
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