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Estimating the Impact of Oil Price Volatility on the Ecuadorian Economy: A MIDAS Approach 估算石油价格波动对厄瓜多尔经济的影响:MIDAS 方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16285
Freddy Ronalde Camacho-Villagomez, Yanina Shegia Bajaña-Villagomez, Andrea Johanna Rodríguez-Bustos
This paper provides empirical evidence about the impact of oil price volatility on government spending, tax revenues, and economic growth for Ecuador. The effects are estimated via a MIDAS regression using quarterly and monthly data for the period 2004 to 2019. The results show that oil price volatility has a positive impact on government spending and tax revenues which is an indicative of a non-prudence behavior in fiscal policy. The impact of GDP is non-significant, contrary to economic intuition and previous studies. These findings have several policy implications that are consistent with the literature of fiscal policy in oil-exporting countries.
本文提供了油价波动对厄瓜多尔政府支出、税收和经济增长影响的经验证据。这些影响是通过使用 2004 年至 2019 年期间的季度和月度数据进行 MIDAS 回归估算得出的。结果显示,石油价格波动对政府支出和税收收入有积极影响,这表明财政政策中存在非审慎行为。国内生产总值的影响并不显著,这与经济直觉和以往的研究相反。这些发现具有若干政策含义,与石油出口国财政政策方面的文献相一致。
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引用次数: 0
Trends in Scientific Production on Greenwashing based on Scopus (1990-2023) 基于 Scopus 的有关 "绿色清洗 "的科学成果趋势(1990-2023 年)
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16281
Carlos Ignacio Gallo Aguila, María del Pilar Castro Arellano, Marco Antonio Rodríguez Vega, E. M. Barturen Mondragón, M. D. P. Quezada Castro, Guillermo Alexander Quezada Castro
Greenwashing is a misleading practice that affects environmental sustainability and has an impact on the organizational, social, and environmental levels, as it is generated to create a non-real and illusory image of ecological responsibility. The present study conducted a review of the scientific production in the Scopus database, obtaining 1438 documents. Inclusion criteria were used and the PRISMA statement was used to guide the documentary analysis. Likewise, bibliometric tools such as VOSviewer and Biblioshiny were used. The results obtained show that the topic of study has grown exponentially in recent years and the keywords that stand out are corporate social responsibility, environmental communications and reporting, normative regulation, and implications at the financial, social, and ethical levels. There is also interest in consolidating new collaborative networks among authors, with the most cited paper being "The drivers of Greenwashing". It was concluded that greenwashing is a multidisciplinary phenomenon that requires attention from the scientific community and that it is the clients or consumers who perceive the lack of ethics and the absence of environmental commitment in organizations. Criminal liability arising from greenwashing is identified as a future line of research.
"洗绿 "是一种影响环境可持续性的误导性做法,对组织、社会和环境层面都有影响,因为 "洗绿 "的产生是为了营造一种非真实的、虚幻的生态责任形象。本研究对 Scopus 数据库中的科学成果进行了审查,共获得 1438 篇文献。采用了纳入标准,并以 PRISMA 声明指导文献分析。同样,还使用了 VOSviewer 和 Biblioshiny 等文献计量工具。研究结果表明,该研究课题近年来呈指数增长,突出的关键词是企业社会责任、环境交流和报告、规范性法规以及在财务、社会和道德层面的影响。作者们也有兴趣巩固新的合作网络,其中被引用最多的论文是 "绿色清洗的驱动因素"。结论是,"洗绿 "是一个需要科学界关注的多学科现象,而客户或消费者则认为组织缺乏道德和环境承诺。由 "洗绿 "引起的刑事责任被确定为今后的一个研究方向。
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引用次数: 0
Analysis of Renewable Energy, Environment Quality and Energy Consumption on Economic Growth: Evidence from Developing Countries 可再生能源、环境质量和能源消耗对经济增长的影响分析:发展中国家的证据
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15981
A. Satrianto, A. Ikhsan, K. A. Samad
The stage of economic development of a country will have an impact on the essence of life in welcoming changes in the economic pattern in the future. Especially in the energy sector, currently almost all countries are actively trying to achieve an energy transition to support the sustainability of a clean and orderly environment. Therefore, this research focuses renewable energy, environmental quality and energy consumption on economic growth in 30 developing countries using panel data model with a Fixed Effects Approach. The results show that renewable energy and environmental quality variables contribute significantly to economic growth, while energy consumption does not have a significant effect. At this stage, facilities for developing renewable energy must be expanded in terms of infrastructure capacity and financing so that they are supported by government policy. Then, macroeconomic variables such as foreign direct investment and population have a significant effect on economic growth, while trade oppenes and labor force variables do not have a significant effect on economic growth in developing countries, adding to the indication and reference of the importance of balance in achieving the energy transition and macroeconomic policies that have an impact on progress economy.
一个国家所处的经济发展阶段将对迎接未来经济格局变化的生活本质产生影响。特别是在能源领域,目前几乎所有国家都在积极努力实现能源转型,以支持清洁有序环境的可持续发展。因此,本研究采用固定效应法的面板数据模型,重点研究了 30 个发展中国家的可再生能源、环境质量和能源消耗对经济增长的影响。研究结果表明,可再生能源和环境质量变量对经济增长有显著促进作用,而能源消耗的影响并不明显。在现阶段,发展可再生能源的设施必须在基础设施能力和融资方面得到扩展,从而得到政府政策的支持。然后,外国直接投资和人口等宏观经济变量对经济增长有显著影响,而贸易对立面和劳动力变量对发展中国家的经济增长没有显著影响,这为实现能源转型和影响经济进步的宏观经济政策的平衡的重要性提供了更多的启示和参考。
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引用次数: 0
Electrical Load Forecasting to Plan the Increase in Renewable Energy Sources and Electricity Demand: a CNN-QR-RTCF and Deep Learning Approach 规划可再生能源和电力需求增长的电力负荷预测:CNN-QR-RTCF 和深度学习方法
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15773
Wellcome Peujio Jiotsop-Foze, A. Hernández-del-Valle, Francisco Venegas-Martínez
This research develops a new electric charge prediction method by using Convolutional Neural Networks with Quantile Regression (CNN-QR) combined with the Rainbow Technique for Categorical Features (RTCF) and using Deep Learning to create layers for the architecture of the neural network. This combination captures both local and global interdependencies within the load data. In particular, RTCF employs advanced natural language processing (NLP) techniques to convert several important categorical features into a single feature called “category,” which is tailored to the various attributes of the Baja California Sur system, in Mexico, taking into consideration climatic conditions, local circumstances and a significant increase in energy consumption. Furthermore, this research compares CNN-QR with classical quantile regression and shows that CNN-QR works better at capturing sophisticated load patterns and producing probabilistic estimates. The above methodology uses hourly data from January 2019 to October 2020. The results obtained provide valuable information for policy formulation in the energy sector, specifically in the areas of load forecasting and expansion of renewable energy and electricity consumption. Finally, it is worth mentioning that the utilization of CNN-QR with RTCF not only improves the accuracy of load forecasting, but also provides a strategic framework for energy management and resource planning in dynamic energy systems, which demonstrates its substantial importance for market participants and authorities, as well as regulators.
这项研究开发了一种新的电荷预测方法,它使用了带量子回归的卷积神经网络(CNN-QR),结合了分类特征彩虹技术(RTCF),并使用深度学习为神经网络架构创建层。这种组合可捕捉负载数据中的局部和全局相互依存关系。特别是,RTCF 采用了先进的自然语言处理 (NLP) 技术,将几个重要的分类特征转换成一个名为 "类别 "的单一特征,该特征是根据墨西哥南下加利福尼亚系统的各种属性量身定制的,同时考虑到了气候条件、当地情况和能耗的显著增加。此外,这项研究还将 CNN-QR 与传统的量化回归进行了比较,结果表明 CNN-QR 在捕捉复杂的负荷模式和进行概率估计方面效果更好。上述方法使用的是 2019 年 1 月至 2020 年 10 月的每小时数据。所获得的结果为能源部门的政策制定提供了宝贵的信息,特别是在负荷预测和扩大可再生能源及电力消费方面。最后,值得一提的是,利用 CNN-QR 和 RTCF 不仅提高了负荷预测的准确性,还为动态能源系统中的能源管理和资源规划提供了一个战略框架,这表明其对市场参与者、管理机构以及监管机构具有重要意义。
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引用次数: 0
Examining the Environmental Kuznets Curve Hypothesis in Energy, Agriculture, and Industry Sectors: The Case of Kazakhstan 检验能源、农业和工业部门的环境库兹涅茨曲线假说:哈萨克斯坦案例
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16005
Gulmira Issayeva, E. Y. Zhussipova, G. A. Pazilov
This study analyzed Kazakhstan's Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis using the ARDL Boundary Value Approach method. The study focused on economic growth, energy production, agriculture, and industrial production variables in 2000-2022. The per capita national income variable represented economic growth, while CO2 emissions represented environmental quality. Energy consumption and production should be considered as they are interconnected in examining environmental quality and economic development. Therefore this study used the Kuznets hypothesis in a broader perspective by taking into account various factors such as agricultural and industrial production, as well as energy consumption. The results indicate that the square term of GDP in all four models is negative, which supports the Kuznets hypothesis for Kazakhstan. Furthermore, it is noteworthy that the inclusion of macro variables such as agricultural production, industrial production, and renewable energy consumption, in addition to GDP, does not alter the support for the Kuznets hypothesis. Models 2, 3, and 4 have shown that agricultural production does not have any impact on CO2 emissions. However, the same is not true for industrial production and renewable energy production, as they do have an impact. The study aimed to test the Kuznets hypothesis and reveal the impact of macro indicators on CO2 emissions. By doing so, the study not only provides useful information to country managers but also contributes to the literature by highlighting the relationships between environmental quality and macro variables.
本研究使用 ARDL 边界值法分析了哈萨克斯坦的环境库兹涅茨曲线假设。研究重点是 2000-2022 年的经济增长、能源生产、农业和工业生产变量。人均国民收入变量代表经济增长,而二氧化碳排放量代表环境质量。在研究环境质量和经济发展时,应考虑能源消耗和生产,因为它们是相互关联的。因此,本研究从更广阔的视角使用了库兹涅茨假说,考虑了农业和工业生产以及能源消耗等各种因素。结果表明,在所有四个模型中,国内生产总值的平方项均为负值,这支持了哈萨克斯坦的库兹涅茨假说。此外,值得注意的是,除国内生产总值外,加入农业生产、工业生产和可再生能源消费等宏观变量也不会改变对库兹涅茨假说的支持。模型 2、3 和 4 表明,农业生产对二氧化碳排放没有任何影响。然而,工业生产和可再生能源生产却并非如此,因为它们确实会产生影响。本研究旨在检验库兹涅茨假设,揭示宏观指标对二氧化碳排放的影响。通过这样做,本研究不仅为国家管理者提供了有用的信息,还通过强调环境质量与宏观变量之间的关系,为文献研究做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Integrative Mechanisms Towards Zero Emissions Regional Planning: An Enabler of Regional Development: A Case Study of Europe 实现零排放的综合机制:区域规划:区域发展的推动者:欧洲案例研究
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15604
Stavros Kalogiannidis, S. Kontsas, Dimitrios Syndoukas, F. Chatzitheodoridis
This study explores the role of integrative mechanisms in facilitating zero emissions regional planning, acting as a catalyst for regional development within Europe. Utilizing a quantitative methodology and questionnaire, data were collected from 384 European regions, followed by rigorous statistical analysis. The findings highlight the significance of effective integrative mechanisms in achieving zero emissions, confirming a positive impact on regional development.  The results show that Zero emissions regional planning positively impacts regional development. This study also notes that the presence of identifiable challenges (e.g., financial constraints, policy conflicts, technological gaps) significantly hinders the alignment of regional development objectives with zero-emissions targets. These results have substantial implications for stakeholders, emphasizing the need for a collaborative approach in regional planning and suggesting pathways for future research endeavors. Policymakers should pay particular attention to the challenges identified in the study, such as financial constraints, policy conflicts, technological gaps, and cultural resistance to change. Strategies should be developed to mitigate these challenges, including creating financial mechanisms to support zero-emissions initiatives, harmonizing policies at various levels of governance, investing in technology transfer and innovation, and implementing educational and awareness programs to change cultural attitudes.
本研究探讨了综合机制在促进零排放区域规划方面的作用,它是欧洲区域发展的催化剂。研究采用定量方法和问卷调查,从 384 个欧洲地区收集数据,然后进行严格的统计分析。研究结果强调了有效的整合机制在实现零排放方面的重要意义,证实了其对地区发展的积极影响。 结果表明,零排放区域规划对区域发展有积极影响。本研究还指出,可识别挑战(如资金限制、政策冲突、技术差距)的存在极大地阻碍了区域发展目标与零排放目标的一致性。这些结果对利益相关者具有重大影响,强调了在区域规划中采用合作方法的必要性,并为未来的研究工作提出了路径建议。政策制定者应特别关注研究中发现的挑战,如资金限制、政策冲突、技术差距和文化对变革的抵制。应制定战略来缓解这些挑战,包括建立支持零排放倡议的财政机制、协调各级政府的政策、投资于技术转让和创新,以及实施教育和宣传计划以改变文化态度。
{"title":"Integrative Mechanisms Towards Zero Emissions Regional Planning: An Enabler of Regional Development: A Case Study of Europe","authors":"Stavros Kalogiannidis, S. Kontsas, Dimitrios Syndoukas, F. Chatzitheodoridis","doi":"10.32479/ijeep.15604","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.15604","url":null,"abstract":"This study explores the role of integrative mechanisms in facilitating zero emissions regional planning, acting as a catalyst for regional development within Europe. Utilizing a quantitative methodology and questionnaire, data were collected from 384 European regions, followed by rigorous statistical analysis. The findings highlight the significance of effective integrative mechanisms in achieving zero emissions, confirming a positive impact on regional development.  The results show that Zero emissions regional planning positively impacts regional development. This study also notes that the presence of identifiable challenges (e.g., financial constraints, policy conflicts, technological gaps) significantly hinders the alignment of regional development objectives with zero-emissions targets. These results have substantial implications for stakeholders, emphasizing the need for a collaborative approach in regional planning and suggesting pathways for future research endeavors. Policymakers should pay particular attention to the challenges identified in the study, such as financial constraints, policy conflicts, technological gaps, and cultural resistance to change. Strategies should be developed to mitigate these challenges, including creating financial mechanisms to support zero-emissions initiatives, harmonizing policies at various levels of governance, investing in technology transfer and innovation, and implementing educational and awareness programs to change cultural attitudes.","PeriodicalId":38194,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy","volume":" 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2024-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141674311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The Triple Impact of Innovation, Financial Inclusion and Renewable Energy Consumption on Environmental Quality in Some Emerging Economies 创新、金融普惠和可再生能源消费对一些新兴经济体环境质量的三重影响
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16008
Muhittin Kaplan, Mohammed Muntaka Abdul Rahman, Asad-ul-Islam Khan, Hasan Vergil
This paper investigates the triple impact of innovation, financial inclusion, and renewable energy consumption on the quality of the environment. The study employed data between 2007 and 2019 from selected emerging economies. Using the fixed effect, two-step GMM econometric method. The result found that financial inclusion and innovation have a positive relationship with carbon emissions, hence contributing to the reduction in the quality of the environment. Renewable energy consumption was found to reduce carbon emissions. Similarly, the interactive terms TPT*FIN, FIN*REN, and TPT*REN were all negatively related to carbon emissions. The study recommends that governments should increase financial instruments to support innovation that will enhance environmental quality. Additionally, governments should strengthen their environmental policies. Financial institutions should encourage firms to access green finance solutions. The value and originality of this study is the introduction of the interactive term, which throws more light on variables that affect the environment and through which channels. Moreso, there are few works with these interactive terms relative to emerging economies. Third, there are no previous studies that employed the fixed effect two-step GMM to analyze the impact of financial inclusion, technological innovation, and renewable energy consumption on environmental quality.
本文研究了创新、普惠金融和可再生能源消费对环境质量的三重影响。研究采用了部分新兴经济体 2007 年至 2019 年的数据。采用固定效应、两步 GMM 计量经济学方法。结果发现,金融包容性和创新与碳排放有正向关系,因此有助于降低环境质量。可再生能源消费被认为可以减少碳排放。同样,交互项 TPT*FIN、FIN*REN 和 TPT*REN 都与碳排放负相关。研究建议,各国政府应增加金融工具,支持能够提高环境质量的创新。此外,政府应加强其环境政策。金融机构应鼓励企业获取绿色金融解决方案。本研究的价值和独创性在于引入了互动术语,从而更清楚地揭示了影响环境的变量以及影响的渠道。更重要的是,很少有研究针对新兴经济体引入这些互动项。第三,以前没有研究采用固定效应两步 GMM 法来分析金融包容性、技术创新和可再生能源消费对环境质量的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Localized Energy Poverty Index: A Case Study of Colombia 本地化能源贫困指数:哥伦比亚案例研究
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.15931
Angelica Gonzalez, Leonardo Rivera, D. Manotas
The impact of limited access to electricity varies based on the population. Our team evaluates the degree of deprivation experienced by different groups in order to identify energy poverty. Through the use of a multi-criteria methodology such as TOPSIS and Shannon entropy methods, we then establish an energy poverty index. This index allows us to compare populations and determine which are better or worse off. Our research produces a Localized Energy Poverty Index, which outlines the various factors that contribute to the energy poverty of a specific population. The localized index identifies poverty within a group while the Energy Poverty index combines this information to provide an energy-specific index. This index is useful in determining the feasibility of improving electricity service provision.
用电受限的影响因人口而异。我们的团队对不同群体的贫困程度进行评估,以确定能源贫困。通过使用 TOPSIS 和香农熵法等多标准方法,我们建立了能源贫困指数。通过该指数,我们可以对人群进行比较,并确定哪些人的情况更好,哪些人的情况更差。我们的研究得出了本地化能源贫困指数,该指数概述了导致特定人群能源贫困的各种因素。本地化指数确定了一个群体内的贫困状况,而能源贫困指数则将这些信息结合起来,提供了一个特定的能源指数。该指数有助于确定改善供电服务的可行性。
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引用次数: 0
Empirical Findings on the Relationship of Energy Consumption, Gross Domestic Product Per Capita and Carbon Dioxide (CO2) Emissions 关于能源消耗、人均国内生产总值和二氧化碳(CO2)排放量之间关系的实证研究结果
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.14062
Alasgarova Aygun Agasalim
The energy industry drives all economic sectors and improves people's well-being. Energy supply reliability underpins national security, economic growth, and global stability. Energy use, especially electricity, affects GDP per capita. Power-to-weight ratio is energy consumption per person. The main purpose of the study, as used in the literature, is to investigate the relationship between carbon dioxide (CO2) emission and energy consumption, per capita gross domestic product for Azerbaijan using the Toda-Yamamoto causality test using annual data for the period 1991-2021. According to the results of the research, while there is no relationship between energy consumption and GDP, an increase in per capita income reduces CO2 emissions; it was also found that there is a unidirectional causality running from CO2 emissions to an increase in per capita income. An increase in energy consumption per capita leads to a decrease in CO2. However, there is bidirectional causality running both from energy consumption per capita to CO2 and from CO2 to per capita income. As a result, a 1% increase in energy consumption per capita causes a 0.946% increase in CO2. It has been determined that a 1% increase in gross domestic product per capita does not cause a 0.086% decrease in CO2.
能源产业推动了所有经济部门的发展,改善了人民的福祉。能源供应的可靠性是国家安全、经济增长和全球稳定的基础。能源使用(尤其是电力)影响人均 GDP。功率重量比是指人均能源消耗。正如文献中所使用的那样,本研究的主要目的是使用 Toda-Yamamoto 因果检验法,利用 1991-2021 年期间的年度数据,研究阿塞拜疆二氧化碳(CO2)排放量与能源消耗、人均国内生产总值之间的关系。研究结果表明,虽然能源消耗与国内生产总值之间没有关系,但人均收入的增加会减少二氧化碳排放量;研究还发现,二氧化碳排放量与人均收入的增加之间存在单向因果关系。人均能源消耗的增加导致二氧化碳的减少。然而,从人均能源消耗到二氧化碳,以及从二氧化碳到人均收入都存在双向因果关系。因此,人均能源消耗每增加 1%,就会导致二氧化碳增加 0.946%。人均国内生产总值增加 1%并不会导致二氧化碳减少 0.086%。
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引用次数: 0
Evolution and Determinants of Consumer Interest in Renewable Energy in Ecuador: A Temporal Perspective 厄瓜多尔消费者对可再生能源兴趣的演变和决定因素:时间视角
Q1 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2024-07-05 DOI: 10.32479/ijeep.16338
Diana Margarita Vera Arroyo, Mariuxi Elizabeth Garcés Wila, José Gilberto Gilberto Argandoña Moreira, Francisco Abel Gresely Santi, Jonathan Patricio Cárdenas-Ruperti
Through an empirical analysis of the evolution of Ecuadorian consumers' interest in renewable energy and the factors influencing it, this study seeks to provide an understanding of the popularity and uptake of clean energy in a Latin American country with a significant renewable energy sector. Relevant data on economic and socio-environmental variables were collected and the effect of these variables on indicators of consumer interest in renewable energy was evaluated. The results indicate that Ecuadorian consumers' interest in renewable energy has shown a growth trend in recent years and is influenced by multiple factors, such as the relative production of renewable energy, energy prices and information about natural disasters. Overall, this research contributes to understanding the dynamics of public interest in renewable energy in developing economies such as Ecuador, emphasizing the importance of understanding the evolution of consumer perspective considering not only cost-benefit relationships but also responses to environmental events.
本研究通过对厄瓜多尔消费者对可再生能源兴趣的演变及其影响因素进行实证分析,试图让人们了解清洁能源在一个拥有重要可再生能源部门的拉丁美洲国家的普及和吸收情况。研究收集了经济和社会环境变量的相关数据,并评估了这些变量对消费者对可再生能源兴趣指标的影响。结果表明,厄瓜多尔消费者对可再生能源的兴趣近年来呈增长趋势,并受到多种因素的影响,如可再生能源的相对产量、能源价格和自然灾害信息。总之,这项研究有助于了解厄瓜多尔等发展中经济体公众对可再生能源的兴趣动态,强调了解消费者观点演变的重要性,不仅要考虑成本效益关系,还要考虑对环境事件的反应。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy
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