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A New Integral Function Algorithm for Global Optimization and Its Application to the Data Clustering Problem 一种新的全局优化积分函数算法及其在数据聚类问题中的应用
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.162
Ridwan Pandiya, Atina Ahdika, Siti Khomsah, Rima Dias Ramadhani
The filled function method is an approach to finding global minimum points of multidimensional unconstrained global optimization problems. The conventional parametric filled functions have computational weaknesses when they are employed in some benchmark optimization functions. This paper proposes a new integral function algorithm based on the auxiliary function approach. The proposed method can successfully be used to find the global minimum point of a function of several variables. Some testing global optimization problems have been used to show the ability of this recommended method. The integral function algorithm is then implemented to solve the center-based data clustering problem. The results show that the proposed algorithm can solve the problem successfully.
填充函数法是一种寻找多维无约束全局优化问题全局最小点的方法。传统的参数填充函数在应用于某些基准优化函数时存在计算上的缺陷。本文提出了一种基于辅助函数方法的新积分函数算法。所提出的方法可成功用于求多个变量函数的全局最小点。本文使用了一些测试性的全局优化问题来展示所推荐方法的能力。随后,积分函数算法被用于解决基于中心的数据聚类问题。结果表明,所推荐的算法可以成功解决该问题。
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引用次数: 0
Detecting Outliers Using Modified Recursive PCA Algorithm For Dynamic Streaming Data 针对动态流数据使用修正递归 PCA 算法检测异常值
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.237
Yasi Dani, Agus Yodi Gunawan, M. L. Khodra, S. Indratno
Outlier analysis has been widely studied and has produced many methods. However, there is still rare a method to detect outliers for dynamically streaming batch data (online learning). In the present research, a novel online algorithm to detect outliers in such dataset is proposed. Data points are proceeded by applying a modified recursive PCA to predict sequentially parameters of the model; eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the statistical detection model are recursively updated using approximate values by perturbation methods. More specifically, the recursive eigenstructure is obtained from the derivation of the covariance matrix using the first-order perturbation technique. The Mahalanobis distance is then used as an outlier score. Our algorithm performances are evaluated using some metrics, namely accuration, precision, recall, F1-score, AUC-PR, and the execution time. Results show that the proposed online outlier detection is computationally efficient in time and the algorithm's performance effectiveness is comparable to that of the offline outlier detection algorithm via classical PCA.
离群值分析已被广泛研究,并产生了许多方法。然而,针对动态流批量数据(在线学习)的离群值检测方法还很少见。本研究提出了一种新颖的在线算法来检测此类数据集中的离群值。数据点通过应用改进的递归 PCA 来预测模型的顺序参数;统计检测模型的特征值和特征向量通过扰动方法使用近似值进行递归更新。更具体地说,递归特征结构是利用一阶扰动技术从协方差矩阵的推导中获得的。然后使用 Mahalanobis 距离作为离群值。我们使用一些指标对算法的性能进行了评估,即精度、召回率、F1-分数、AUC-PR 和执行时间。结果表明,所提出的在线离群点检测在时间上计算效率高,而且算法的性能效果与通过经典 PCA 算法进行离线离群点检测的效果相当。
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引用次数: 0
Diagonal Partitioning Strategy Using Bisection of Rectangles and a Novel Sampling Scheme 使用矩形平分和新颖采样方案的对角线分割策略
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.131
Nabila Guessoum, L. Chiter
In this paper, we consider a global optimization problem where the objective function is assumed to be Lipschitz-continuous with an unknown Lipschitz constant. Building upon the recently introduced BIRECT (BIsection of RECTangles) algorithm, we propose a new diagonal partitioning and sampling scheme. Our framework, named BIRECT-V (V for vertices), combines bisection with the sampling of two points. In the initial hyper-rectangle, these points are located at 1/3 and 1 along the main diagonal. Unlike most DIRECT-type algorithms, where evaluating the objective function at vertices is not suitable for bisection, our strategy, when combined with bisection, provides more comprehensive information about the objective function. However, the creation of new sampling points may coincide with existing ones at shared vertices, resulting in additional evaluations of the objective function and increasing the number of function evaluations per iteration. To overcome this issue, we propose modifying the original optimization domain to obtain a good approximation of the global solution. Experimental investigations demonstrate that this modification positively impacts the performance of the BIRECT-V algorithm. Our proposal shows promise as a global optimization algorithm compared to the original BIRECT and two popular DIRECT-type algorithms on a set of test problems. It particularly excels at high-dimensional problems
在本文中,我们考虑了一个全局优化问题,该问题的目标函数被假定为具有未知 Lipschitz 常量的 Lipschitz 连续函数。在最近推出的 BIRECT(BIsection of RECTangles)算法的基础上,我们提出了一种新的对角线分割和采样方案。我们的框架被命名为 BIRECT-V(V 代表顶点),它将对角分割与两点采样相结合。在初始超矩形中,这两个点分别位于主对角线的 1/3 和 1 处。与大多数 DIRECT 类型算法不同的是,在顶点处评估目标函数并不适合采用分段法,而我们的策略与分段法相结合,能提供更全面的目标函数信息。然而,新采样点的创建可能会与共享顶点上的现有采样点重合,从而导致目标函数的额外评估,增加每次迭代的函数评估次数。为了解决这个问题,我们建议修改原始优化域,以获得全局解决方案的良好近似值。实验研究表明,这种修改对 BIRECT-V 算法的性能产生了积极影响。在一组测试问题上,与原始 BIRECT 算法和两种流行的 DIRECT 类型算法相比,我们的建议显示了全局优化算法的前景。它在高维问题上的表现尤为突出
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引用次数: 1
Stock and Structured Warrant Portfolio Optimization Using Black-Litterman Model and Binomial Method 利用布莱克-利特曼模型和二项式法优化股票和结构性权证投资组合
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.220
Cornelius Francis Jayadi, Novriana Sumarti
In recent years, the number of Indonesian investors has rapidly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic which happened all around the world. There have been a massive number of influencers in social media who were promoting investment. Although stocks and warrants are interesting choices, mutual funds still become the main ones for beginners. Therefore, this research focuses on the development of a stock portfolio model using the Black-Litterman method which involves the investor’s views towards the stock returns. The research refers to one of the largest equity funds in Indonesia, that is Sucorinvest Equity Fund, by using the top ten of its stocks that are majority in the fund (as of April 28, 2023). Furthermore, this research also constructs a structured warrant portfolio, but it is separated from the initially constructed stock portfolio. Structured warrants could be an appropriate choice for low-budget investors. It was newly introduced in Indonesia in September 2022 so it is interesting to be observed. Based on the results and the implemented assumptions, the return obtained from the stock portfolio is superior to the observed fund’s return. Meanwhile, call structured warrant portfolio using the existing product in the market yields a negative return, because the exercise price and warrant offered price were too high. Thus, structured warrants could be considered overpriced at the moment, so the chance of obtaining profit is extremely small. Due to its similar properties to call and put options, we propose the warrant pricing and use it in simulations, so in the future, structured warrants may become an attractive instrument for the investors.
近年来,在 COVID-19 大流行期间,印尼投资者的人数迅速增加。社交媒体上出现了大量宣传投资的有影响力人士。虽然股票和认股权证是有趣的选择,但对于初学者来说,共同基金仍然是主要的选择。因此,本研究侧重于使用 Black-Litterman 方法开发股票投资组合模型,其中涉及投资者对股票回报的看法。本研究参考了印度尼西亚最大的股票基金之一,即 Sucorinvest 股票基金,使用了该基金中占多数的前十大股票(截至 2023 年 4 月 28 日)。此外,本研究还构建了一个结构性权证投资组合,但它与最初构建的股票投资组合是分开的。结构性权证可能是低预算投资者的合适选择。结构权证于 2022 年 9 月在印尼新推出,因此值得观察。根据结果和实施的假设,股票投资组合的回报率优于观察到的基金回报率。同时,使用市场上现有产品的认购结构性权证组合产生负回报,因为行使价和权证发售价过高。因此,结构性认股证目前可被视为定价过高,因此获利的机会极小。由于结构权证的特性与认购期权和认沽期权相似,我们提出了权证定价方法,并将其用于模拟,因此结构权证将来可能成为对投资者有吸引力的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Optimized Fixed-Time Synergetic Controller via a modified Salp Swarm Algorithm for Acute and Chronic HBV Transmission System 通过改进的 Salp Swarm 算法优化急性和慢性乙型肝炎病毒传播系统的固定时间协同控制器
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.191
Saadi Achour, Khalil Mokhtari, Abdelaziz Rahmoune, Fares Yazid
In this paper, we propose a Salp Swarm Algorithm (SSA) Optimized Fixed-Time Synergetic Control (FTSC) strategy for the spread of hepatitis B infection. The utilization of the SSA optimization algorithm for optimizing the Synergetic Control (SC) fraction parameters presents a non-trivial challenge due to the restriction that only odd numbers can be used for the fractional power. Therefore, an enhanced and adapted version of the SSA algorithm is proposed to effectively address this specific scenario. Our strategic approach centers on the reduction of susceptible, acutely infected, and chronically infected individuals by employing control parameters like isolation, treatment, and vaccination. The objective is to drive these target state variables to their smallest values in a fixed-time, thereby effectively controlling the epidemic. We support our proposal with numerical simulations to demonstrate the feasibility and effectiveness of the control strategy. A comparison is conducted between FTSC and SC in scenarios with and without optimization. The results indicated that FTSC holds a distinct advantage, consistently demonstrating significant progress, with up to 30% reduction in the total convergence time to zero, outperforming SC in each case.
在本文中,我们提出了一种针对乙型肝炎感染传播的 Salp Swarm 算法(SSA)优化固定时间协同控制(FTSC)策略。由于分数幂只能使用奇数,因此利用 SSA 优化算法来优化协同控制(SC)分数参数是一项艰巨的挑战。因此,我们提出了一种经过改进和调整的 SSA 算法,以有效解决这一特定问题。我们的战略方法主要是通过采用隔离、治疗和接种疫苗等控制参数来减少易感者、急性感染者和慢性感染者。我们的目标是在固定时间内将这些目标状态变量驱动到最小值,从而有效控制疫情。我们通过数值模拟来证明控制策略的可行性和有效性。在有优化和无优化的情况下,对 FTSC 和 SC 进行了比较。结果表明,FTSC 具有明显的优势,始终保持着显著的进步,总收敛到零的时间最多缩短了 30%,在每种情况下都优于 SC。
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引用次数: 0
Predicting Football Match Outcomes with Machine Learning Approaches 用机器学习方法预测足球比赛结果
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.229
Bing Shen Choi, Lee Kien Foo, Sook-Ling Chua
The increasing use of data-driven approaches has led to the development of models to predict football match outcomes. However, predicting match outcomes accurately remains a challenge due to the sport's inherent unpredictability. In this study, we have investigated the usage of different machine learning models in predicting the outcome of English Premier League matches. We assessed the performance of random forest, logistic regression, linear support vector classifier and extreme gradient boosting models for binary and multiclass classification. These models are trained with datasets obtained using different sampling techniques. The result showed that the models performed better when trained with dataset obtained using a balanced sampling technique for binary classification. Additionally, the models' predictions were evaluated by conducting simulation on football betting profits based on the 2022-2023 EPL season. The model achieved the highest accuracy is the binary class random forest, but the model provided the highest football betting profit is the binary class logistic regression.
随着数据驱动方法的使用越来越多,预测足球比赛结果的模型也应运而生。然而,由于足球运动本身的不可预测性,准确预测比赛结果仍然是一项挑战。在本研究中,我们调查了不同机器学习模型在预测英格兰足球超级联赛比赛结果中的使用情况。我们评估了随机森林、逻辑回归、线性支持向量分类器和极端梯度提升模型在二分类和多分类中的性能。这些模型是通过使用不同抽样技术获得的数据集进行训练的。结果表明,在使用平衡抽样技术获得的数据集进行二元分类训练时,模型的表现更好。此外,通过对 2022-2023 英超赛季的足球博彩利润进行模拟,对模型的预测进行了评估。准确率最高的模型是二元类随机森林,但提供最高足球博彩利润的模型是二元类逻辑回归。
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引用次数: 0
Experiential Marketing Tourism and Hospitality Tours Generation Hybrid Model 体验式营销 旅游与酒店业 旅游产品代理混合模式
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.273
Luis Alfaro, Claudia Rivera, Jorge Luna-Urquizo, Antonio Arroyo-Paz, Lucy Delgado, Elisa Castañeda
The emergence of immersive technologies presents unprecedented opportunities for both users and organizations. This paper explores the future of digital marketing as a new ecosystem wherein innovative marketing strategies enable organizations to communicate with their customer base in ways previously unattainable, reshaping traditional marketing concepts into novel and unimaginable actions. This study proposes an experiential marketing tourism and hospitality tours generation hybrid model. The model focuses on generating virtual tours based on 360° VR videos, specifically designed for hotel environments, their surroundings, and tourist zones. The immersive environment proposal includes the design of user interface prototypes and incorporates the automated division of 360° videos using convolutional neural networks. Subsequently, personalized tours are composed based on user profiles, utilizing a Case-Based Reasoning (CBR). Functionality tests for the video division and labeling component, as well as the composition of tours according to user profiles recommended by the CBR, yielded satisfactory results. The application of this system has the potential to positively influence reservation intentions and enhance brand image. Immersive experiences have the capability to trigger effects in affective, attitudinal/behavioral, and cognitive dimensions.
身临其境技术的出现为用户和企业带来了前所未有的机遇。本文探讨了数字营销作为一个新生态系统的未来,在这个生态系统中,创新营销战略使企业能够以以前无法实现的方式与其客户群进行沟通,将传统营销概念重塑为新颖而难以想象的行动。本研究提出了一种体验式营销旅游和酒店旅游生成混合模式。该模式的重点是在 360° VR 视频的基础上生成虚拟旅游,专门针对酒店环境、周边环境和旅游区而设计。沉浸式环境提案包括用户界面原型的设计,以及利用卷积神经网络对 360° 视频进行自动分割。随后,利用基于案例的推理(CBR)技术,根据用户配置文件组成个性化导览。视频分割和标注组件的功能测试,以及根据 CBR 推荐的用户配置文件组成导览的功能测试都取得了令人满意的结果。该系统的应用有可能对预订意向产生积极影响,并提升品牌形象。身临其境的体验能够在情感、态度/行为和认知方面产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Modern Tendency to Practice-Oriented Learning 以实践为导向的现代学习倾向
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.155
ZuoYuan Liu, Akmatali Alimbekov, Sergey Glushkov, Lyazzat Ramazanova
Today, technology is changing quickly and apparently affects all parts of life. Compared to a few years ago, many things have changed, including thoughts, habits, social activities, and ways of life. Thus, this study determined the impact of virtual reality technologies as practice-oriented learning stimuli on the development of information competence and academic performance of future primary school teachers. One hundred eighteen students from the Pedagogy Faculty of the M. Utemisov West Kazakhstan University and 105 students from the Kyrgyz National University majoring in the same field were divided into two groups for the research. Respondents in the experimental group took virtual reality courses, and their progress was evaluated by contrasting their grades before and after the programme. Based on the preliminary analysis of the student's academic performance, it should be noted that most of them performed mediocrely. However, observations by tutors and teachers revealed that when classes were taught using virtual reality platforms such as EyeJack and CoSpaces Edu, students in the experimental group were more willing to participate in tasks and seminars. Furthermore, according to the results of Content Module 2, students in the experimental group performed significantly better than students in the control group in terms of their overall academic performance (p=4.187). The article's practical significance comes from considering how virtual reality technologies might enhance Kazakhstan's and Kyrgyzstan's educational systems.
如今,技术日新月异,显然已影响到生活的方方面面。与几年前相比,许多东西都发生了变化,包括思想、习惯、社会活动和生活方式。因此,本研究确定了虚拟现实技术作为以实践为导向的学习刺激对未来小学教师的信息能力发展和学习成绩的影响。来自 M. Utemisov 西哈萨克斯坦大学教育系的 118 名学生和来自吉尔吉斯国立大学同一专业的 105 名学生被分为两组进行研究。实验组的受访者参加了虚拟现实课程,并通过对比课程前后的成绩来评估他们的进步。根据对学生学习成绩的初步分析,应该说他们中的大多数人成绩一般。然而,辅导员和教师的观察显示,在使用 EyeJack 和 CoSpaces Edu 等虚拟现实平台授课时,实验组的学生更愿意参与任务和研讨会。此外,根据内容模块 2 的结果,实验组学生的总体学习成绩明显优于对照组学生(P=4.187)。这篇文章的实际意义来自于对虚拟现实技术如何加强哈萨克斯坦和吉尔吉斯斯坦教育系统的思考。
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引用次数: 0
Initial Coin Offering Prediction Comparison Using Ridge Regression, Artificial Neural Network, Random Forest Regression, and Hybrid ANN-Ridge 使用岭回归、人工神经网络、随机森林回归和混合人工神经网络-岭进行首次代币发行预测比较
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.283
Toai Kim Tran, R. Šenkeřík, Hahn Thi Xuan Vo, Huan Minh Vo, Adam Ulrich, Marek Musil, I. Zelinka
Can machine learning take a prediction to win an investment in ICO (Initial Coin Offering)? In this research work, our objective is to answer this question. Four popular and lower computational demanding approaches including Ridge regression (RR), Artificial neural network (ANN), Random forest regression (RFR), and a hybrid ANN-Ridge regression are compared in terms of accuracy metrics to predict ICO value after six months. We use a dataset collected from 109 ICOs that were obtained from the cryptocurrency websites after data preprocessing. The dataset consists of 12 fields covering the main factors that affect the value of an ICO. One-hot encoding technique is applied to convert the alphanumeric form into a binary format to perform better predictions; thus, the dataset has been expanded to 128 columns and 109 rows. Input data (variables) and ICO value are non-linear dependent. The Artificial neural network algorithm offers a bio-inspired mathematical model to solve the complex non-linear relationship between input variables and ICO value. The linear regression model has problems with overfitting and multicollinearity that make the ICO prediction inaccurate. On the contrary, the Ridge regression algorithm overcomes the correlation problem that independent variables are highly correlated to the output value when dealing with ICO data. Random forest regression does avoid overfitting by growing a large decision tree to minimize the prediction error. Hybrid ANN-Ridge regression leverages the strengths of both algorithms to improve prediction accuracy. By combining ANN’s ability to capture complex non-linear relationships with the regularization capabilities of Ridge regression, the hybrid can potentially provide better predictive performance compared to using either algorithm individually. After the training process with the cross-validation technique and the parameter fitting process, we obtained several models but selected three of the best in each algorithm based on metrics of RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), R2 (R-squared), and MAE (Mean Absolute Error). The validation results show that the presented Ridge regression approach has an accuracy of at most 99% of the actual value. The Artificial neural network predicts the ICO value with an accuracy of up to 98% of the actual value after six months. Additionally, the Random forest regression and the hybrid ANN-Ridge regression improve the predictive accuracy to 98% actual value.
机器学习能否通过预测赢得 ICO(首次代币发行)投资?在这项研究工作中,我们的目标就是回答这个问题。我们比较了四种流行且计算要求较低的方法(包括岭回归(RR)、人工神经网络(ANN)、随机森林回归(RFR)和混合 ANN-Ridge 回归)在预测六个月后 ICO 价值方面的准确性指标。我们使用从 109 个 ICO 收集的数据集,这些数据集是在数据预处理后从加密货币网站上获得的。数据集由 12 个字段组成,涵盖了影响 ICO 价值的主要因素。为了更好地进行预测,采用了单热编码技术将字母数字形式转换为二进制格式;因此,数据集扩展为 128 列和 109 行。输入数据(变量)和 ICO 值是非线性依赖关系。人工神经网络算法提供了一种生物启发数学模型,以解决输入变量和 ICO 值之间复杂的非线性关系。线性回归模型存在过度拟合和多重共线性问题,导致 ICO 预测不准确。相反,在处理 ICO 数据时,岭回归算法克服了自变量与输出值高度相关的相关性问题。随机森林回归通过生长一棵大决策树来最小化预测误差,从而避免了过度拟合。混合 ANN-Ridge 回归利用了这两种算法的优势来提高预测准确性。通过将 ANN 捕捉复杂非线性关系的能力与 Ridge 回归的正则化能力相结合,混合算法有可能提供比单独使用其中一种算法更好的预测性能。在使用交叉验证技术和参数拟合过程进行训练后,我们得到了多个模型,但根据 RMSE(均方根误差)、R2(R 平方)和 MAE(平均绝对误差)等指标,在每种算法中选出了三个最佳模型。验证结果表明,所提出的岭回归方法的准确率最高可达实际值的 99%。人工神经网络预测六个月后 ICO 值的准确率高达实际值的 98%。此外,随机森林回归和混合人工神经网络-岭回归将预测准确率提高到实际值的 98%。
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引用次数: 0
Quantitative Strategic Planning Matrix as a Superior Strategic Management Tools and Techniques in Evaluating Decision Alternatives 量化战略规划矩阵作为评估决策备选方案的高级战略管理工具和技术
Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI: 10.13164/mendel.2023.2.090
Elvis Elezaj, Bekë Kuqi
Evaluation of alternatives to making decisions still remains as the most difficult field for every manager. Considering that uncertainty, stress, emotions and many other factors still remain insurmountable during decision-making in the work of managers. The research will bring a contemporary approach to the evaluation of alternatives through the multi-stage method by conducting a series of exhibitions for an effective decision. Model will create a logical structure derivation of exhibitions by revealing options and paths toward strategic leadership. The research used mixed methods of data collection to create a more meaningful and integrative research design. The sample was elongated over a survey of 250 organizations. The research brings to the surface a clear analysis of the following path as a guide and practically used to gain differentiating advantages towards the long-term through Strategic Attractiveness Position in Industry (ST-API). From this analysis structure, a clearness leadership orientation is created for managers, a recommendation for strategic leadership, revealing a group of strategies to undertake depending on the ST-API dimension IFE (Internal Factor Evaluation) or ST-API dimension EFE (External Factor Evaluation) through crafting "Option's" since the organizations are concentrated in the vicinity of the corner (nook) in quad IV, conclusively in "growth and build". Occurrated in this axle, organizations are advised to orient their actions towards the "develop products" in order to go towards longevity and leaderism in the industry.
对每个管理者来说,评估决策的备选方案仍然是最困难的领域。考虑到在管理人员的工作中,不确定性、压力、情绪和许多其他因素仍然是决策过程中难以克服的。本研究将通过多阶段方法对备选方案进行评估,为有效决策进行一系列展示。模型将通过揭示实现战略领导力的选项和路径,创建展览的逻辑结构衍生。研究采用了混合数据收集方法,以创建一个更有意义、更具综合性的研究设计。在对 250 家组织的调查中,样本被拉长。研究对以下路径进行了清晰的分析,以此作为指导,并通过行业战略吸引力定位(ST-API)切实获得长期的差异化优势。从这一分析结构出发,为管理者提供了一个清晰的领导力导向,一个战略领导力建议,揭示了根据 ST-API 维度 IFE(内部因素评价)或 ST-API 维度 EFE(外部因素评价),通过精心制作 "选项 "而采取的一组战略,因为组织集中在四边形 IV 的角落(犄角)附近,确切地说,是在 "增长和建设"。在这一轴线上,建议组织将其行动导向 "开发产品",以便在行业中保持长久的领先地位。
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引用次数: 0
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