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COVID-19 and climate change concerns: Matters arising. COVID-19 和气候变化问题:提出的事项。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0802
Anthony Amoah, Peter Asare-Nuamah, A. Limantol, A. M. Alhassan
Until the outbreak of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, developing countries, especially countries in the African continent, battled with the impact of climate change on the food value-chain systems and general livelihood. In this study, we discuss climate change concerns post-COVID-19 and argue that the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the vulnerabilities of most developing and emerging economies. This has heightened political tensions and unrest among such developing nations. We suggest enhancement and intensification of efficient and effective locally engineered adaptation strategies in the post-COVID-19 era for countries that have been susceptible to the impact of climate change and other recent shocks.
在 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行爆发之前,发展中国家,尤其是非洲大陆国家,一直在与气候变化对食品价值链系统和总体生计的影响作斗争。在本研究中,我们讨论了 COVID-19 后的气候变化问题,并认为 COVID-19 大流行的爆发加剧了大多数发展中国家和新兴经济体的脆弱性。这加剧了这些发展中国家的政治紧张和动荡。我们建议,在后 COVID-19 时代,易受气候变化和近期其他冲击影响的国家应加强和强化高效、有效的地方适应战略。
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引用次数: 0
Emergency management and sustainability: Understanding the link between disaster and citizen participation for sustainability efforts and climate change. 应急管理与可持续性:了解灾害与公民参与可持续发展努力和气候变化之间的联系。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0824
Brian Don Williams
The goal of this study is to examine how disaster experience influences local government views on citizen participation in addressing issues of sustainability, such as climate change. This study considers concepts such as wicked problems, the social order, the environment, economic development, and citizen participation where sustainability can be considered a solution to help manage and solve the challenges of disaster, like climate change. The data are taken from a 2015 International City/County Management Association national survey that examines the link between disaster and sustainability. The results show that more than half of the respondents do not view public participation as having much of an impact on sustainability; however, we can expect public participation to increasingly impact sustainability efforts as communities experience more disaster. This suggests that emergency management needs to understand public pressures regarding wicked problems, such as climate change, to collectively address the global influence of environmental, economic, and social issues that have local effects on their communities.
本研究旨在探讨灾害经历如何影响地方政府对公民参与解决气候变化等可持续发展问题的看法。本研究考虑了邪恶问题、社会秩序、环境、经济发展和公民参与等概念,其中可持续发展可被视为一种解决方案,有助于管理和解决气候变化等灾害带来的挑战。这些数据来自 2015 年国际城市/县管理协会的一项全国调查,该调查研究了灾害与可持续性之间的联系。结果显示,超过半数的受访者认为公众参与对可持续发展的影响不大;然而,我们可以预见,随着社区经历更多的灾难,公众参与对可持续发展的影响会越来越大。这表明,应急管理部门需要了解公众对气候变化等恶性问题的压力,以共同应对环境、经济和社会问题对全球的影响,这些问题会对当地社区产生影响。
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引用次数: 0
Rapid assessment of public interest in drought and its likely drivers in South Africa. 快速评估南非公众对干旱及其可能驱动因素的兴趣。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0834
Robyn J Bayne, Des Pyle, Masterson Chipumuro, Roman Tandlich
The monthly search volumes for drought were extracted from Google® for South Africa using the Keywordsevery-where.com plugin from January 2004 until June 2022. To identify the potential qualitative drivers for such public interest the following data extracted by the plugin were investigated and analysed: the drought-related keywords, the long-tail keywords similar to drought, and the "people also searched for category" from the South African users. The Google Trends monthly score was extracted for South Africa and the Eastern Cape Province, and specific local municipalities/towns/cities in the province. The aim was to assess the relative significance of the drought interest in comparison to public interest in other search terms. The results of the Kruskal-Wallis analyses of variance by ranks showed that there was a statistically significant difference between individual values of the monthly search volumes for drought in South Africa, as a function of time of data extraction (5 percent level of significance; p-value ≤ 4.7 × 10-14). The monthly search volumes increased with time, which is based on the results of the Mann-Kendall test at a 5 percent level of significance (p-value ≤ 0.0092). Analyses of the Google Trends scores indicate that the relative interest in drought in South Africa and the Eastern Cape Province increased with time between January 2004 and June 2022 (the Mann-Kendall test at a 5 percent level of significance; p-value = 0.0011). The population's searches for drought were relatively low when compared to other search terms on Google. Drought adaptation of the South African community could be considered a driver of the Google searches for drought, but it is a marginal topic compared to other topics in Google searches. It might be necessary to increase this significance by investigating the "Google-search patterns for droughts" in the areas of Tshikaro, Mafusini, Cofimvaba, and Nxotsheni in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa.
从 2004 年 1 月到 2022 年 6 月,我们使用 Keywordsevery-where.com 插件从 Google® 中提取了南非的干旱月搜索量。为了确定这种公众兴趣的潜在定性驱动因素,对插件提取的以下数据进行了调查和分析:与干旱相关的关键词、与干旱相似的长尾关键词以及南非用户的 "也搜索过的人 "类别。提取了南非和东开普省以及该省特定市/镇/城市的谷歌趋势月度得分。目的是评估与其他搜索词的公众兴趣相比,干旱兴趣的相对重要性。Kruskal-Wallis 等级方差分析结果表明,南非干旱月搜索量的个体值与数据提取时间的函数之间存在显著的统计学差异(显著性水平为 5%;P 值 ≤ 4.7 × 10-14)。月搜索量随着时间的推移而增加,这是基于 5% 显著性水平的 Mann-Kendall 检验结果(p 值≤ 0.0092)。对谷歌趋势得分的分析表明,在 2004 年 1 月至 2022 年 6 月期间,南非和东开普省对干旱的相对兴趣随着时间的推移而增加(5% 显著性水平的 Mann-Kendall 检验;p 值 = 0.0011)。与谷歌上的其他搜索词相比,人们对干旱的搜索相对较少。南非社区对干旱的适应可以说是谷歌搜索干旱的一个驱动因素,但与谷歌搜索的其他主题相比,这只是一个边缘主题。也许有必要通过调查南非东开普省 Tshikaro、Mafusini、Cofimvaba 和 Nxotsheni 地区的 "谷歌搜索干旱模式 "来提高其重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Designing user-centered decision support systems for climate disasters: What information do communities and rescue responders need during floods? 为气候灾害设计以用户为中心的决策支持系统:洪水期间,社区和救援人员需要哪些信息?
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0741
Julia Hillin, Bahareh Alizadeh, Diya Li, Courtney M. Thompson, Michelle A. Meyer, Zhe Zhang, Amir H. Behzadan
Flooding events are the most common natural hazard globally, resulting in vast destruction and loss of life. An effective flood emergency response is necessary to lessen the negative impacts of flood disasters. However, disaster management and response efforts face a complex scenario. Simultaneously, regular citizens attempt to navigate the various sources of information being distributed and determine their best course of action. One thing is evident across all disaster scenarios: having accurate information and clear communication between citizens and rescue personnel is critical. This research aims to identify the diverse needs of two groups, rescue operators and citizens, during flood disaster events by investigating the sources and types of information they rely on and information that would improve their responses in the future. This information can improve the design and implementation of existing and future spatial decision support systems (SDSSs) during flooding events. This research identifies information characteristics crucial for rescue operators and everyday citizens' response and possible evacuation to flooding events by qualitatively coding survey responses from rescue responders and the public. The results show that including local input in SDSS development is crucial for improving higher-resolution flood risk quantification models. Doing so democratizes data collection and analysis, creates transparency and trust between people and governments, and leads to transformative solutions for the broader scientific community.
洪水是全球最常见的自然灾害,造成了巨大的破坏和人员伤亡。为了减轻洪水灾害的负面影响,有必要采取有效的洪水应急措施。然而,灾害管理和应对工作面临着复杂的局面。与此同时,普通市民也在试图浏览各种信息来源,并确定自己的最佳行动方案。有一点在所有灾难场景中都是显而易见的:准确的信息以及市民与救援人员之间清晰的沟通至关重要。本研究旨在通过调查救援人员和市民所依赖的信息来源和类型,以及能够改善他们未来应对措施的信息,来确定他们在洪水灾害事件中的不同需求。这些信息可以改进洪灾事件中现有和未来空间决策支持系统(SDSS)的设计和实施。本研究通过对救援人员和公众的调查回答进行定性编码,确定了对救援人员和普通市民应对洪灾事件和可能的疏散至关重要的信息特征。研究结果表明,在 SDSS 开发过程中纳入地方意见对于改进更高分辨率的洪水风险量化模型至关重要。这样做可以使数据收集和分析民主化,在人们和政府之间建立透明度和信任,并为更广泛的科学界带来变革性的解决方案。
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引用次数: 0
Climate change and health: The case of mapping droughts and migration pattern in Iran (2011-2016). 气候变化与健康:绘制伊朗干旱和移民模式图(2011-2016 年)。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0814
S. Sohrabizadeh, Iman Farahi-Ashtiani, Amirhosein Bahramzadeh, Zahra Eskandari, Aioub Moradi, A. Hanafi-Bojd
INTRODUCTIONMigration and mobility of population have been reported as a common reaction to drought. There is historical evidence to suggest the health effects of droughts and human migration linkage in Iran. This study aimed to map the drought and migration patterns in Iran in 2011 and 2016 and explore their possible health impacts.METHODSThis sequential explanatory mixed-method study was done in two stages of spatial analysis and qualitative study. Data mapping was conducted through the equal interval classification and using drought, migration, and agriculture occupation data based on provincial divisions in Iran in 2011 and 2016. This qualitative study was conducted using the content analysis approach.RESULTSThe in-migration rate was higher in 2011 rather than 2016. Migration to cities was much higher than migration to villages in both years. The frequency of male migrants was higher than females in all provinces in 2011 and 2016. Physical and mental diseases as well as economic, sociocultural, education, and environment effects on health were extracted from the qualitative data.CONCLUSIONA holistic picture of droughts and migration issues in Iran and their health consequences were achieved by the present research. Further research is needed to explore the determinants of health impacts of climate change in vulnerable groups. Public health problems can be prevented by adaptive and preventive policy-making and planning. This can improve the coping capacity of the population facing droughts and enforced migration.
导言据报道,人口迁移和流动是对干旱的常见反应。有历史证据表明,干旱对健康的影响与伊朗的人口迁移有关。本研究旨在绘制 2011 年和 2016 年伊朗的干旱和人口迁移模式图,并探讨其可能对健康产生的影响。方法本研究采用顺序解释混合方法,分空间分析和定性研究两个阶段进行。数据制图是通过等间隔分类法,利用 2011 年和 2016 年伊朗各省的干旱、移民和农业职业数据进行的。这项定性研究采用了内容分析法。结果2011 年的迁入率高于 2016 年。在这两年中,向城市移民的人数远远高于向乡村移民的人数。在 2011 年和 2016 年,所有省份的男性移民频率均高于女性。从定性数据中提取了身体和精神疾病以及经济、社会文化、教育和环境对健康的影响。需要进一步开展研究,探讨气候变化对弱势群体健康影响的决定因素。公共卫生问题可以通过适应性和预防性决策和规划加以预防。这可以提高面临干旱和被迫迁徙的人口的应对能力。
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引用次数: 0
A socio-technical systems approach of the accident analysis in Indonesian multiple train accident cases: An application of AcciMap methodology. 印度尼西亚多起列车事故案例中的事故分析社会技术系统方法:AcciMap 方法的应用。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0830
Tubagus Dwika Yuantoko, Zulkifli Djunaidi, Mufti Wirawan

The number of cases of train accidents in Indonesia continues to be large in the past few years. This paper analyzes train accident cases in Indonesia using a socio-technical system approach accident model called AcciMap, developed by Jens Rasmussen. The source of data comes from train accident investigation reports from 2015 to 2021 published by the National Transportation Safety Committee. This study uses a qualitative approach with thematic analysis to identify contributing factors and their interactions within the reports. Based on the socio-technical system approach, there are roles and contributions from the five levels of the socio-technical railway transportation system in Indonesia that interact with each other in the occurrence of accidents, including the railway regulatory bodies; other organizations; management of railway service company; processes and physical actions by staff; and condition of equipment and environment. This study has shown that the AcciMap methodology can provide a comprehensive view of the problems and their interactions across the socio-technical levels that influence each other in the occurrence of train accidents in Indonesia. The results also suggest that the socio-technical system approach is expected to be applied in the accident investigation process for the related industry to get more comprehensive insights into the accident.

在过去几年中,印度尼西亚的火车事故数量持续上升。本文利用延斯-拉斯穆森(Jens Rasmussen)开发的名为 "AcciMap "的社会技术系统方法事故模型,对印尼的火车事故案例进行了分析。数据来源于国家运输安全委员会发布的 2015 年至 2021 年火车事故调查报告。本研究采用主题分析的定性方法来识别报告中的诱因及其相互作用。根据社会技术系统方法,印尼铁路运输社会技术系统的五个层面在事故发生中相互影响,包括铁路监管机构、其他组织、铁路服务公司管理层、员工的流程和实际行动以及设备和环境状况。研究结果表明,AcciMap 方法可以全面反映印尼火车事故发生过程中相互影响的社会技术层面的问题及其相互作用。研究结果还表明,社会-技术系统方法有望应用于相关行业的事故调查过程中,以更全面地了解事故。
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引用次数: 0
Developing, engaging, and sustaining CERT programs in low-risk communities. 在低风险社区开发、参与和维持 CERT 计划。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0853
Michael S Mitchell
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引用次数: 0
Experiences from a COVID-19 vaccination center at a tertiary care teaching hospital in Delhi, India: Challenges and solutions. 印度德里一家三级医疗教学医院 COVID-19 疫苗接种中心的经验:挑战与解决方案。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0822
Priyanka Sharma, Geeta Pardeshi

India began its nationwide coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) vaccination program on January 16, 2021, in a phased manner. In this paper, we have discussed our experience at one of the COVID-19 vaccination centers in the country and have identified a few of the major challenges and their implications. The guidelines for COVID-19 vaccination in the country were changing frequently, leading to ambiguity among the beneficiaries. Co-WIN software, used for program implementation, had some glitches, which caused dissatisfaction among the service providers and beneficiaries. Vaccine hesitancy and eagerness caused low vaccine uptake initially and overcrowding at vaccination centers later. Some of the vaccination centers had the potential to become hot spots for further spread of the virus due to insufficient infrastructure. The disparity in access to vaccines for the homeless and other vulnerable groups was another hurdle for adequate vaccination coverage. These challenges could have been addressed by pretesting the information technology platform, long-term planning with a vision for handling vaccine hesitancy and eagerness, strong communication systems, removing disparities in vaccine access, and maintaining uniformity in messages for frequently updating guidelines.

印度于 2021 年 1 月 16 日开始在全国范围内分阶段实施 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)疫苗接种计划。本文讨论了我们在该国一个 COVID-19 疫苗接种中心的经验,并指出了一些主要挑战及其影响。该国的 COVID-19 疫苗接种指南经常变化,导致受益者不明确。用于计划实施的 Co-WIN 软件存在一些故障,引起了服务提供者和受益者的不满。疫苗接种的犹豫不决和急切心情导致最初的疫苗接种率很低,后来疫苗接种中心人满为患。由于基础设施不足,一些疫苗接种中心有可能成为病毒进一步传播的热点。无家可归者和其他弱势群体在获得疫苗方面的差异是实现充分疫苗接种的另一个障碍。这些挑战本可以通过以下方式解决:对信息技术平台进行预先测试;制定具有处理疫苗犹豫不决和渴望接种问题的远景的长期规划;建立强大的通信系统;消除疫苗接种机会方面的差异;以及保持经常更新的指导方针所传达信息的统一性。
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引用次数: 0
Protective factors of psychological vulnerability in Rescue 1122 workers with vicarious traumatization. 1122 号救援人员心理脆弱性的保护因素。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0806
Bushra Shafiq, Hidna Iqbal, Anam Ali

Objectives: This study aimed to determine the protective factors of psychological vulnerability in Rescue 1122 workers and to find out the difference in work mattering, coping, grittiness, and psychological vulnerability between rescue workers of fire service and ambulance service department with vicarious traumatization.

Method: A cross-sectional design was used in this study. A sample of 112 male rescue workers was collected from Rescue 1122 department, including participants from the ambulance service (n = 56) and fire service (n = 56) departments through a purposive sampling technique. Rescue workers who experienced vicarious trauma were enrolled in this study after screening through the secondary traumatic stress tool. Work mattering scale, coping strategies questionnaire, short grit scale, and the four-dimensional symptom questionnaire were used.

Results: Age, marital status, spouse age, and father's age were significantly positively correlated with distress. Colleagues becoming a target of violence and death of a colleague during duty were significantly positively correlated with somatization. The number of children was a significant positive predictor, and members requiring financial support were a significant negative predictor of psychological vulnerability. Interpersonal mattering, active focused, and active distracting coping emerged as significant negative predictors of distress, anxiety, and depression after controlling for covariates. A significant difference was found in active distraction coping between the fire service and ambulance service departments.

Conclusion: Rescue workers who considered that their work mattered used religious coping and distraction or adopted a practical approach toward dealing with stress, and those who were grittier were less vulnerable to psychological symptoms. So, these can be considered as protective factors of psychological vulnerability.

研究目的本研究旨在确定 1122 名救援人员心理脆弱性的保护因素,并找出存在替代性创伤的消防部门和救护部门救援人员在工作事务性、应对性、坚毅性和心理脆弱性方面的差异:本研究采用横断面设计。本研究采用横断面设计,通过目的性抽样技术从救援1122部门收集了112名男性救援人员样本,其中包括来自救护部门(56人)和消防部门(56人)的参与者。通过二次创伤压力工具进行筛选后,经历过替代性创伤的救援人员被纳入本研究。研究中使用了工作重要性量表、应对策略问卷、简短沙砾量表和四维症状问卷:结果:年龄、婚姻状况、配偶年龄和父亲年龄与心理压力呈显著正相关。同事成为暴力目标和同事因公殉职与躯体化呈显著正相关。子女数量与心理脆弱性呈显著正相关,需要经济支持的成员与心理脆弱性呈显著负相关。在控制了协变量之后,人际关系、积极专注和积极分散注意力的应对方式成为困扰、焦虑和抑郁的重要负向预测因素。消防部门和救护部门在主动分散注意力应对方面存在明显差异:结论:那些认为自己的工作很重要的救援人员会使用宗教应对和转移注意力的方法,或采用实用的方法来应对压力,而那些比较坚毅的救援人员则不容易出现心理症状。因此,这些因素可被视为心理脆弱性的保护因素。
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引用次数: 0
AI and crisis leadership: Using the POP-DOC Loop to explore potential implications and opportunities for leaders. 人工智能与危机领导力:利用 POP-DOC 循环来探索对领导者的潜在影响和机遇。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0836
Eric J McNulty, Brian R Spisak, Leonard J Marcus, Amal Cheema, Ravi Dhawan, Attila Hertelendy, Shawna Novak

In the evolving landscape of crisis leadership and emergency management, artificial intelligence (AI) emerges as a potentially transformative force with far-reaching implications. Utilizing the POP-DOC Loop, a comprehensive framework for crisis leadership analysis and decision-making, this paper delves into the diverse roles that AI is poised to play in shaping the future of crisis planning and response. The POP-DOC Loop serves as a structured methodology, encompassing key elements such as information gathering, contextual analysis informed by social determinants, enhanced predictive modeling, guided decision-making, strategic action implementation, and appropriate communication. Rather than offer definitive predictions, this review aims to catalyze exploration and discussion, equipping researchers and practitioners to anticipate future contingencies. The paper concludes by examining the limitations and challenges posed by AI within this specialized context.

在不断发展的危机领导和应急管理领域,人工智能(AI)成为一种具有深远影响的潜在变革力量。POP-DOC Loop 是一个用于危机领导分析和决策的综合框架,本文利用这一框架,深入探讨了人工智能在塑造未来危机规划和响应中将发挥的各种作用。POP-DOC Loop 是一种结构化方法,包含信息收集、社会决定因素背景分析、增强预测建模、指导决策、战略行动实施和适当沟通等关键要素。本综述的目的不是提供明确的预测,而是促进探索和讨论,使研究人员和从业人员能够预测未来的突发事件。最后,本文探讨了人工智能在这一专业背景下的局限性和挑战。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Emergency Management
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