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Forecasters, emergency managers, and residents: Building better risk communication. 预报员、应急管理人员和居民:建立更好的风险沟通。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0745
Zebulon C Wallace

The US National Weather Service (NWS) and emergency managers (EMs) around the country are tasked with communicating severe weather information to the public. Frequent interaction between professionals and residents is essential to building effective partnerships. This paper investigates these interactions and also explores the perspectives of NWS forecasters, EMs, and rural residents related to the efficacy of warning communication, message understanding, preferred platforms, and engagement in protective actions. Data for this study were collected through three original survey instruments that were directed to NWS forecasters and EMs across the country, and residents in four rural communities. Findings reveal that residents generally understand warning messages and generally feel tornado risk communication is effective in their communities. However, residents do not appear to have a plan of action formulated prior to a warning and are, therefore, making, rather than implementing, a plan when warning is issued. This study gives rural residents a voice in the warning communication process and a chance for forecasters and EMs to gain valuable information as they better plan to serve these communities.

美国国家气象局 (NWS) 和全国各地的应急管理人员 (EM) 的任务是向公众传达恶劣天气信息。专业人员与居民之间的频繁互动对于建立有效的伙伴关系至关重要。本文对这些互动进行了调查,同时还探讨了国家气象局预报员、应急管理人员和农村居民对预警沟通的有效性、信息理解、首选平台和参与保护行动的看法。本研究的数据是通过三种原始调查工具收集的,调查对象包括全国各地的国家气象局预报员和监测员以及四个农村社区的居民。调查结果显示,居民一般都能理解预警信息,并普遍认为龙卷风风险交流在他们的社区是有效的。但是,居民似乎并没有在预警前制定行动计划,因此在预警发布时,他们只是制定而不是实施计划。这项研究让农村居民在预警传播过程中有了发言权,也让预报员和应急人员有机会获得有价值的信息,从而更好地为这些社区服务。
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引用次数: 0
Considering collaborative incident management: A study of the COVID-19 response and initial recovery in a rural West Virginia community. 考虑协同事件管理:对 COVID-19 在西弗吉尼亚州农村社区的响应和初期恢复情况的研究。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0816
Jeffery W Harvey, Calvin A Lathan, Henry T McDonald

Hierarchical command-style structures are commonplace in the management of disasters, though researchers have begun to recommend the exploration of networked approaches to incident management. Furthermore, few studies are explicitly looking at the rural context of disaster management. This study seeks to contribute to both topics by examining the motivations for emergent collaboration in the direction of the response and initial recovery to the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic in a rural West Virginia community. Between March 2020 and March 2022, the primary investigator moderated regular briefings of a community task force convened to coordinate the pandemic response and recovery. As regular operations concluded, members completed a survey, and 10 randomly selected members participated in semistructured interviews regarding their experiences in the task force. Survey responses suggest that common motivations for collaboration in nondisaster contexts (as they appear in the scholarly literature) and potential benefits of networked approaches highlighted in the incident management literature could also serve as motivators within the disaster context. Qualitative interview data extend that discussion and identify the need to gain clear information regarding the concerned authorities and specific local information to better inform the expenditure of limited resources as two additional motivators for collaboration.

在灾害管理中,等级森严的指挥式结构司空见惯,但研究人员已开始建议探索网络化的事件管理方法。此外,很少有研究明确关注灾害管理的农村背景。本研究试图通过考察西弗吉尼亚州一个农村社区在应对 2019 年冠状病毒疾病大流行和初期恢复过程中出现的合作动机,为这两个主题做出贡献。2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 3 月期间,主要研究人员主持了一个社区工作队的定期简报会,该工作队的召集是为了协调大流行病的应对和恢复工作。常规行动结束后,成员们填写了一份调查问卷,随机抽取的 10 名成员参加了半结构化访谈,了解他们在特遣部队中的经历。调查反馈表明,非灾害背景下合作的共同动机(如学术文献中所述)和事件管理文献中强调的网络化方法的潜在益处也可以作为灾害背景下的动机。定性访谈数据扩展了这一讨论,并指出需要获得有关当局的明确信息和当地的具体信息,以便更好地了解有限资源的支出情况,这是合作的另外两个动机。
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引用次数: 0
Measuring mental health outcomes in Walbridge Fire 2020. 衡量 Walbridge Fire 2020 的心理健康成果。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0828
Laura McCombs, Nancy A Brown

In August 2020, Sonoma County experienced the Walbridge Fire (part of the Lake-Napa Unit Complex Fire). Following the repopulation of evacuated residents, the Sonoma County Department of Emergency Management circulated a Resident Experience Survey to learn from stakeholders how the fire impacted their lives, how emergency response to the fire met their needs, and to gather information to improve future disaster response activities. A total of 1,583 English and 55 Spanish surveys were completed. This paper describes a mixed-method research using survey data to understand broader mental health implications of the Walbridge Fire on residents. This study developed a quantitative Global Worry Model to explore which survey factors contributed to poorer mental health outcomes. Quantitative analytics looked at how language, loss, emergency alerts, and family size were measured for significance with a survey reported on a mental health questionnaire. Open-ended survey responses surrounding previous disaster experience, pre-existing health issues, and environmental conditions (smoke and the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic) were contributory to responder's stress and anxiety. Final data analysis concluded that those who faced immediate loss presented with significant self-declared stress and anxiety.

2020 年 8 月,索诺玛县发生了 Walbridge 火灾(Lake-Napa Unit Complex 火灾的一部分)。在重新安置疏散的居民后,索诺玛县应急管理部分发了一份居民体验调查表,向利益相关者了解火灾对他们生活的影响、火灾应急响应如何满足他们的需求,并收集信息以改进未来的救灾活动。共完成了 1,583 份英文调查问卷和 55 份西班牙文调查问卷。本文介绍了一项使用调查数据的混合方法研究,旨在了解沃尔布里奇火灾对居民心理健康的广泛影响。本研究开发了一个定量的全球担忧模型,以探索哪些调查因素会导致较差的心理健康结果。定量分析研究了语言、损失、紧急警报和家庭规模与心理健康问卷调查报告的重要性。围绕以前的灾难经历、预先存在的健康问题和环境条件(烟雾和冠状病毒病 2019 年大流行)的开放式调查回答是造成响应者压力和焦虑的原因。最终数据分析得出的结论是,那些面临直接损失的人表现出明显的自我压力和焦虑。
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引用次数: 0
Decision-making drivers for pandemic response for Institutions of Higher Education. 高等教育机构应对大流行病的决策驱动因素。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-05-01 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0823
Rebecca Morgenstern Brenner, Daneille L Eiseman, Elizabeth A Dunn

The purpose of this research is to identify how decision-makers within anchor institutions, using the context of higher education, determine the course of action in response to an improbable disaster event, such as the recent coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. A survey was conducted among higher education decision-makers during spring 2020 at the moment they were adapting to COVID-19. The survey aimed to identify policies and planning measures that may help Institutions of Higher Education learn from this experience to maintain continuity of operations should similar or unanticipated events occur in the future. With this knowledge, both assets and detriments contributing to community vulnerability can be better balanced to inform decision-making. The outcomes of the analysis and shared reflections inform the development of future policy and strengthen existing processes for preparedness and mitigation planning for unexpected events.

本研究的目的是确定锚定机构的决策者如何利用高等教育的背景,确定应对不可能发生的灾难事件(如最近发生的 2019 年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)大流行)的行动方案。2020 年春季,在高等教育决策者适应 COVID-19 的时刻,对他们进行了一项调查。调查旨在确定政策和规划措施,以帮助高等教育机构吸取经验教训,在未来发生类似或意外事件时保持业务的连续性。有了这些知识,就可以更好地平衡造成社区脆弱性的资产和不利因素,为决策提供依据。分析和共同思考的结果将为未来政策的制定提供信息,并加强现有的突发事件防备和减灾规划流程。
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引用次数: 0
Ocean state rising: Storm simulation and vulnerability mapping to predict hurricane impacts for Rhode Island's critical infrastructure. 海洋之州崛起:风暴模拟和脆弱性绘图,预测飓风对罗德岛关键基础设施的影响。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0801
Samuel Adams, Austin Becker, Kyle McElroy, Noah Hallisey, P. Stempel, Isaac Ginis, Deborah Crowley
Predicting the consequences of a major coastal storm is increasingly difficult as the result of global climate change and growing societal dependence on critical infrastructure (CI). Past storms are no longer a reliable predictor of future weather events, and the traditional approach to vulnerability assessment presents accumulated loss in largely quantitative terms that lack the specificity local emergency managers need to develop effective plans and mitigation strategies. The Rhode Island Coastal Hazards Modeling and Prediction (RI-CHAMP) system is a geographic information system (GIS)-based modeling tool that combines high-resolution storm simulations with geolocated vulnerability data to predict specific consequences based on local concerns about impacts to CI. This case study discusses implementing RI-CHAMP for the State of Rhode Island to predict impacts of wind and inundation on its CI during a hurricane, tropical storm, or nor'easter. This paper addresses the collection and field verification of vulnerability data, along with RI-CHAMP's process for integrating those data with storm models. The project deeply engaged end-users (emergency managers, facility managers, and other stakeholders) in developing RI-CHAMP's ArcGIS Online dashboard to ensure it provides specific, actionable data. The results of real and synthetic storm models are presented along with discussion of how the data in these simulations are being used by state and local emergency managers, facility owners, and others.
由于全球气候变化和社会对关键基础设施(CI)的依赖性不断增加,预测沿海大风暴的后果变得越来越困难。过去的风暴不再是未来天气事件的可靠预测指标,而传统的脆弱性评估方法主要是以量化的方式呈现累积损失,缺乏地方应急管理人员制定有效计划和减灾战略所需的具体性。罗德岛海岸灾害建模与预测(RI-CHAMP)系统是一种基于地理信息系统(GIS)的建模工具,它将高分辨率风暴模拟与地理位置脆弱性数据相结合,根据当地对 CI 影响的关注来预测具体后果。本案例研究讨论了罗德岛州实施 RI-CHAMP 的情况,以预测飓风、热带风暴或东北风期间风和洪水对其 CI 的影响。本文介绍了脆弱性数据的收集和实地验证,以及 RI-CHAMP 将这些数据与风暴模型相结合的过程。在开发 RI-CHAMP 的 ArcGIS 在线仪表板的过程中,该项目深入参与了终端用户(应急管理人员、设施管理人员和其他利益相关者),以确保其提供具体、可操作的数据。在介绍真实和合成风暴模型结果的同时,还讨论了州和地方应急管理人员、设施所有者及其他人员如何使用这些模拟数据。
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引用次数: 0
Manufactured housing communities and climate change: Understanding key vulnerabilities and recommendations for emergency managers. 人造房屋社区与气候变化:了解关键脆弱性并为应急管理人员提出建议。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0845
Kelly Hamshaw, Daniel Baker
Manufactured housing communities (MHCs), commonly referred to as mobile home parks, provide an estimated 2.7 million American households with largely unsubsidized, affordable housing. Climate change threatens those who call these communities home by exacerbating known structural and social vulnerabilities associated with this housing type-including but not limited to increased risks to flooding, extreme temperatures, high winds, and wildfires. Climate change requires emergency managers to understand the diverse, integrated, and complex vulnerabilities of MHCs that affect their exposure to climate change risk. This article presents findings from an integrative literature review focused on the climate-related vulnerabilities of these communities described at three levels of scale: household, housing structure, and park community. It then draws on 15 years of engagement and action research with MHC residents and stakeholders in Vermont, including several federally declared flooding disasters, to distill key recommendations for emergency managers for assisting MHCs to prepare for and respond to emergencies. As climate change accelerates, emergency managers can increase efficacy by learning about the MHCs in their jurisdictions by leveraging the best available data to characterize risks, integrating MHCs into planning and mitigation activities, and engaging in conversations with stakeholders, including MHC residents and their trusted partners.
活动房屋社区(MHC)通常被称为活动房屋园区,为约 270 万美国家庭提供了基本无补贴的经济适用房。气候变化加剧了与这种住房类型相关的已知结构和社会脆弱性--包括但不限于洪水、极端气温、大风和野火等风险的增加,从而威胁着以这些社区为家的人们。气候变化要求应急管理人员了解影响多层住宅暴露于气候变化风险的各种综合、复杂的脆弱性。本文介绍了综合文献综述的研究结果,重点关注这些社区与气候相关的脆弱性,并从家庭、住房结构和公园社区三个层面进行了描述。然后,文章借鉴了与佛蒙特州的多住户社区居民和利益相关者长达 15 年的接触和行动研究,包括联邦宣布的几次洪水灾害,提炼出了应急管理人员协助多住户社区准备和应对紧急情况的主要建议。随着气候变化的加速,应急管理人员可以通过了解其管辖范围内的多住户社区,利用现有的最佳数据来描述风险特征,将多住户社区纳入规划和减灾活动中,并与包括多住户社区居民及其可信赖的合作伙伴在内的利益相关者进行对话,从而提高效率。
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引用次数: 0
Identifying and assessing corporate employment variables that influence community resilience: A novel model. 确定和评估影响社区复原力的企业就业变量:一个新颖的模型。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0808
E. Wood, Jon C Lam, Monica Sanders
Quantifying the concept of disaster resilience on a local level is becoming more critical as vulnerable communities face more frequent and intense disasters due to climate change. In the United States (US), corporations are often evaluated using social justice or environmental sustainability matrices for financial investment consideration. However, there are few tools available to measure a corporation's contribution to disaster resilience on a local level. This study includes a focused literature review of employment variables that contribute to community resilience and a national survey that asked US emergency managers to rank the variables they believe have the greatest influence on individual resilience. A novel corporate community resilience model that ranks corporate contributions to disaster resilience in the communities where they operate was developed and then tested against data from five employment sectors from the same area. This model can be used by stakeholders to better understand how corporations can most efficiently contribute to county- and subcounty-level disaster resilience. The metrics used in this study are universal and translative, and thus, the development of this resilience model has global disaster resilience implications.
由于气候变化导致脆弱社区面临更加频繁和强烈的灾害,在地方层面量化抗灾能力的概念变得越来越重要。在美国,人们通常使用社会公正或环境可持续性矩阵对企业进行评估,以作为金融投资的考虑因素。然而,很少有工具可用于衡量企业在地方层面对抗灾能力的贡献。本研究对有助于提高社区抗灾能力的就业变量进行了重点文献综述,并开展了一项全国性调查,要求美国应急管理人员对他们认为对个人抗灾能力影响最大的变量进行排序。研究开发了一个新颖的企业社区抗灾能力模型,该模型可对企业在其运营所在社区的抗灾能力进行排名,然后根据同一地区五个就业部门的数据进行测试。利益相关者可利用该模型更好地了解企业如何才能最有效地促进县级和县级以下的抗灾能力。本研究中使用的衡量标准具有普遍性和可转换性,因此,该抗灾模型的开发具有全球抗灾意义。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging technology in emergency management: An opportunity to improve compounding and cascading hazards linked to climate change. 在应急管理中利用技术:改善与气候变化相关的复合危害和连带危害的机会。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0854
Attila Hertelendy
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate (IPCC) Sixth Assessment report concluded that we will see an increase in frequency of extreme environmental events around the world including, hurricanes, droughts, and wildfires.1 The report further describes cascading hazards when one hazard triggers another in a series such as extreme heat triggering a collapse of the power grid. The IPCC also discusses compounding hazards as multiple disasters occur at the same time for example a hurricane occurring at the same time as COVID-19 and a mass casualty event prompting a Urban Search & Rescue (USAR) response such as the Surfside and the Florida condo collapse.2 Studies suggest that there are gaps relating to Hazard Mitigation Plans (HMP) in addressing cascading events.3,4
政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)第六次评估报告认为,我们将看到全球极端环境事件的频率增加,包括飓风、干旱和野火。1 报告进一步描述了级联危害,即一种危害引发一系列另一种危害,如极端高温引发电网崩溃。IPCC 还讨论了多重灾害同时发生时的复合危害,例如,飓风与 COVID-19 同时发生,大规模伤亡事件引发城市搜索与救援 (USAR) 响应,如 Surfside 和佛罗里达公寓倒塌事件。
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引用次数: 0
Special Issue on Climate Change and Sustainability in Emergency Management 气候变化与应急管理的可持续性》特刊
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0857
Journal of Emergency Management
Volume 22, Number 7
第 22 卷第 7 号
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引用次数: 0
A Hegelian approach to resilient communities. 黑格尔式的复原社区方法。
Q3 Medicine Pub Date : 2024-04-03 DOI: 10.5055/jem.0811
Richard A Buck
This theoretical study draws on the insights of Georg Wilhelm Friedrich Hegel to suggest certain aspects of communities and other groups that would tend to make them more resilient in the face of climate change. While Hegel addresses resilient dimensions at the societal level, this study interprets Hegel's work to derive aspects of groups within society that would tend to make them resilient.
这项理论研究借鉴了格奥尔格-威廉-弗里德里希-黑格尔的见解,提出社区和其他群体的某些方面往往会使其在气候变化面前更具复原力。黑格尔探讨了社会层面的抗灾能力,而本研究则对黑格尔的著作进行了诠释,以得出社会中各群体的某些方面往往会使其具有抗灾能力。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Journal of Emergency Management
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