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The Flood Risk and Water Supply Implications of Seasonal Precipitation Reconstructions in Northern California 北加州季节性降水重建的洪水风险和供水影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-03-24 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v21iss1art2
I. Howard, D. Stahle, M. Torbenson, D. Granato-Souza, C. Poulsen
Subsets of annual and sub-annual tree-ring chronologies are used to reconstruct seasonal precipitation totals in northern California. The specific seasons selected for reconstruction are based on the strongest monthly precipitation signals recorded in the tree-ring data. Earlywood width of gray pine is best correlated with Oct-Dec precipitation at the onset of the wet season. Latewood width of ponderosa pine is correlated with Mar–Apr totals at the end of the wet season. These earlywood and latewood width chronologies are used to develop separate reconstructions of precipitation for the “autumn” (Oct–Dec) and “spring” (Mar–Apr) seasons. Total ring-width chronologies of blue oak are highly correlated with October–April precipitation totals and are used to reconstruct precipitation for the “wet season.” We then computed one additional skillful reconstruction by subtracting the reconstructed spring totals from the wet season precipitation estimates (i.e., “winter” [Oct–Feb]). We compare the winter and spring reconstructions because they are well calibrated and provide an interesting long-term perspective on the interaction of winter–spring precipitation amounts near March 1, when important reservoir management decisions are often made. Consecutive wet winter and very wet spring precipitation anomalies increased after 1950 in the instrumental and reconstructed time-series, often coinciding with the largest spring streamflow and flood events recorded on the American River at Folsom. Once the sub-annual tree-ring data can be improved, it may be possible to develop discrete reconstructions of early-, middle-, and late-season precipitation for the past 250 to 500 years, to help define natural variability and anthropogenic forcing of seasonal precipitation totals in California.
年和亚年树木年轮年表的子集用于重建加利福尼亚州北部的季节性降水总量。选择用于重建的特定季节是基于树木年轮数据中记录的最强月降水信号。灰松的Earlywood宽度与雨季开始时10月至12月的降水量相关性最好。黄松的侧木宽度与雨季结束时3月至4月的总宽度相关。这些早木和晚木宽度年表用于分别重建“秋季”(十月至十二月)和“春季”(三月至四月)的降水量。蓝橡树的总环宽年表与10月至4月的总降水量高度相关,用于重建“雨季”的降水量。然后,我们通过从雨季降水量估计值中减去重建的春季总降水量(即“冬季”[10月至2月]),计算出一个额外的巧妙重建。我们比较了冬季和春季的重建,因为它们经过了很好的校准,并为3月1日附近的冬季-春季降水量的相互作用提供了一个有趣的长期视角,此时通常会做出重要的水库管理决策。1950年后,在仪器和重建的时间序列中,连续潮湿的冬季和非常潮湿的春季降水异常增加,通常与福尔索姆美国河上记录的最大春季流量和洪水事件相吻合。一旦亚年度树木年轮数据得到改进,就有可能对过去250至500年的早、中、晚季降水量进行离散重建,以帮助定义加利福尼亚州季节降水总量的自然变异性和人为强迫。
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引用次数: 1
Carbon Sequestration and Subsidence Reversal in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta and Suisun Bay: Management Opportunities for Climate Mitigation and Adaptation 萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲和苏松湾的碳固存和沉降逆转:减缓和适应气候变化的管理机会
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art7
L. Windham‐Myers, P. Oikawa, S. Deverel, Dylan E. Chapple, J. Drexler, Dylan Stern
The aquatic landscapes of the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (hereafter, the Delta) and Suisun Bay represent both a significant past and future soil carbon stock. Historical alterations of hydrologic flows have led to depletion of soil carbon stocks via emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2), and loss of elevation as a result of subsidence. Optimizing ecosystem hydrology in the Delta and Suisun Bay could both reduce and reverse subsidence while also providing significant opportunities for climate mitigation and adaptation. Emissions of greenhouse gases (GHGs)—notably CO2, methane (CH4 ), and nitrous oxide (N2O)—contribute to global warming at different rates and intensities, requiring GHG accounting and modeling to assess the relative benefits of management options. Decades of data collection, model building, and map development suggest that past and current management actions have both caused—and can mitigate—losses of soil carbon. We review here the magnitude of potential GHG offsets, management options that may be achievable, and trade-offs of carbon storage under different land management. Using a land-use/land-cover framework to assess these management options, we describe the potential of three interventions (impoundment to reverse subsidence, agricultural management, and tidal reintroduction and/or maintained connectivity), both in acreage and radiative balance to clarify their relative influence on the region’s GHG balance today and in relation to its millennial history. From floodplains to farming to floating aquatic vegetation, we find specific scalable strategies to manage hydrology that can alter regional GHG balance. Preservation of soil carbon stocks and restoration of net atmospheric CO2 fluxes into soils are the primary route to net negative emissions in the Delta and Suisun Bay, with CH4 emission management occurring in a supporting role. Over a 40-year horizon of climate-mitigation markets, the resilience of different aquatic habitats introduces the most uncertainty, from expected and unexpected hydrologic changes associated with land, ocean, and operational water flows.
萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲(以下简称三角洲)和绥孙湾的水生景观代表了过去和未来重要的土壤碳储量。水文流量的历史变化通过二氧化碳(CO2)的排放导致土壤碳储量的枯竭,并因沉降而导致海拔损失。优化三角洲和绥孙湾的生态系统水文既可以减少和逆转沉降,也为气候缓解和适应提供了重要机会。温室气体(GHGs)的排放,尤其是二氧化碳、甲烷(CH4 ), 和一氧化二氮(N2O)——以不同的速度和强度导致全球变暖,需要温室气体核算和建模来评估管理方案的相对效益。几十年的数据收集、模型构建和地图开发表明,过去和现在的管理行动都造成并可以减轻土壤碳的损失。我们在这里回顾了潜在温室气体抵消的规模、可能实现的管理选择以及不同土地管理下碳储存的权衡。使用土地使用/土地覆盖框架来评估这些管理方案,我们描述了三种干预措施(蓄水以逆转沉降、农业管理、潮汐重新引入和/或保持连通性)在面积和辐射平衡方面的潜力,以阐明它们对该地区今天的温室气体平衡及其千年历史的相对影响。从洪泛平原到农业再到漂浮的水生植被,我们发现了可以改变区域温室气体平衡的具体可扩展的水文管理策略。保护土壤碳储量和恢复大气中二氧化碳净通量是三角洲和绥孙湾实现净负排放的主要途径,CH4排放管理发挥着支持作用。在40年的气候缓解市场中,不同水生栖息地的恢复力带来了最大的不确定性,包括与陆地、海洋和作业水流相关的预期和意外水文变化。
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引用次数: 0
Landscape Transformation and Variation in Invasive Species Abundance Drive Change in Primary Production of Aquatic Vegetation in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta 萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲的景观变化和入侵物种丰度的变化驱动水生植被初级生产的变化
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art2
K. Boyer, Sam M. Safran, S. Khanna, Melissa V. Patten
Conversion of wetlands in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta beginning in the mid-1800s resulted in a pronounced shift from a wetland-dominated food web to one driven by open-water primary producers. Submersed and floating aquatic vegetation (SAV and FAV) now rank highest in potential net primary production (NPP) among producer groups, and provide a comparable amount of carbon to the detrital food web as marshes. However, important details of this contribution that relate to shifts in species composition and habitat extent were not understood. Here, we review how changes in aquatic vegetation influence NPP and trophic support from the historical to modern periods, within the modern period (the last 2 decades), and under future management and climate scenarios. We estimate that NPP of SAV and FAV during the historical period was approximately half that of today, before increases in open water and introduction of the highly productive water primrose. During the modern period (the last 20 years), high interannual variability in the extent and relative composition of aquatic vegetation species has driven significant variation in total NPP. This recent temporal variation is 6 to 13 times larger than projected changes in production from the potential future scenarios we modeled, including a reduction in FAV by 20% through control measures, substantial wetland restoration (and thus increased channel area that could support SAV and FAV), and increased salinity intrusion in the western Delta with climate warming, which favors native species with greater salinity tolerance. Large temporal swings in NPP of SAV and FAV cascade to influence the degree of carbon that flows to consumers through detrital pathways and herbivory. This volatility and interannual inconsistency in aquatic vegetation support of food webs make achieving wetland restoration goals for the Delta—which could lead to recovery of a portion of the NPP lost since historical times—even more imperative.
从19世纪中期开始,萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲湿地的转变导致了从以湿地为主导的食物网到由开放水域初级生产者驱动的食物网的明显转变。水下和漂浮水生植被(SAV和FAV)目前在潜在净初级生产量(NPP)中排名最高,并为碎屑食物网提供与沼泽相当的碳量。然而,这一贡献的重要细节与物种组成和栖息地范围的变化有关,尚不清楚。在此,我们回顾了从历史到现代、现代(近20年)以及未来管理和气候情景下水生植被变化对NPP和营养支持的影响。我们估计,在开放水域增加和引进高产水樱草之前,历史时期SAV和FAV的NPP大约是今天的一半。在近代(近20年),水生植被种类范围和相对组成的高年际变率驱动了总NPP的显著变化。最近的时间变化比我们模拟的潜在未来情景预测的产量变化大6到13倍,包括通过控制措施减少20%的FAV,大量的湿地恢复(从而增加了可以支持SAV和FAV的河道面积),以及气候变暖导致西部三角洲盐度入侵增加,这有利于具有更强耐盐性的本地物种。SAV和FAV NPP的大时间波动级联影响通过碎屑途径和草食途径流向消费者的碳程度。水生植被支持食物网的这种波动性和年际不一致性使得实现三角洲湿地恢复目标变得更加迫切,这可能导致恢复历史上失去的部分NPP。
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引用次数: 0
Remote Sensing of Primary Producers in the Bay-Delta 海湾三角洲初级生产者的遥感
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art5
E. Hestir, I. Dronova
Remote-sensing methods are being used to study a growing number of issues in the San Francisco Estuary, such as (1) detecting the optical properties of chlorophyll-a concentrations and dissolved organic matter to assess productivity and the nature of carbon inputs, (2) creating historical records of invasive aquatic vegetation expansion through space and time, (3) identifying origins and expansions of invasions, and (4) supporting models of greenhouse-gas sequestration by expanding restoration projects. Technological capabilities of remote sensing have likewise expanded to include a wide array of opportunities: from boat-mounted sensors, human-operated low-flying planes, and aerial drones, to freely accessible satellite imagery. Growing interest in coordinating these monitoring methods in the name of collaboration and cost-efficiency has led to the creation of diverse expert teams such as the Remote Imagery Collaborative, and monitoring frameworks such as the Interagency Ecological Program Aquatic Vegetation Monitoring Framework and Wetland Regional Monitoring Program. This paper explores the emerging technologies and applications of various methods for studying primary producers, with an emphasis on remote sensing.
遥感方法被用于研究旧金山河口越来越多的问题,例如(1)检测叶绿素a浓度和溶解有机物的光学特性,以评估生产力和碳输入的性质;(2)创建入侵水生植被在空间和时间上扩展的历史记录,(3)确定入侵的起源和扩展,以及(4)通过扩大恢复项目来支持温室气体封存模式。遥感的技术能力也得到了扩展,包括一系列广泛的机会:从船上安装的传感器、人工低空飞行的飞机和无人机,到免费获取的卫星图像。人们对以合作和成本效益的名义协调这些监测方法越来越感兴趣,因此成立了各种专家团队,如遥感合作组织,以及机构间生态计划水生植被监测框架和湿地区域监测计划等监测框架。本文探讨了研究初级生产者的新兴技术和各种方法的应用,重点是遥感。
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引用次数: 1
Invasive Aquatic Vegetation in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta and Suisun Marsh: The History and Science of Control Efforts and Recommendations for the Path Forward 萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲和苏孙沼泽的入侵水生植被:控制努力的历史和科学以及前进道路的建议
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art4
J. L. Conrad, Madison Thomas, K. Jetter, J. Madsen, P. Pratt, P. Moran, J. Takekawa, G. Darin
Invasive aquatic vegetation (IAV) is a management challenge in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta and the Suisun Marsh that has commanded major resource investment for 4 decades. We review the history and supporting science of chemical, biological, and mechanical control of IAV in the Delta and Suisun March, and in flowing waters outside the region. Outside the Delta, there is a significant history of research on IAV control in lotic systems, but few studies come from tidal environments, and we found no investigations at a spatial scale like that of the Delta. The science of control efforts in the Delta is nascent but has seen marked growth over the recent decade. Since 1983, control of invasive submerged and floating species has been centralized within the California State Parks Division of Boating and Waterways (CDBW). The program relies on herbicides, with an annual budget that has exceeded $12.5 million since 2015. However, the results have been mixed because of the challenge of applying herbicides effectively in a tidal system. In parallel, biological control agents for water hyacinth (Eichhornia crassipes) and giant reed (Arundo donax) have been released but have not provided an appreciable control benefit, likely because they are not suited for the temperate Delta climate. Over recent decades, regulatory complexity has increased, hampering efforts to innovate alternative methods or respond quickly to new invaders. Control efforts for giant reed and common reed (Phragmites australis), the main invasive emergent plants, have not been coordinated under a central program, and studies to investigate control strategies have only recently been permitted. As a result, no local studies have been published on control outcomes for these species. Based on this history and our review of the science, we develop recommendations for leadership and science actions to proactively manage IAV.
入侵水生植被(IAV)是萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲和Suisun沼泽的一项管理挑战,40年来,该地区一直在进行重大资源投资。我们回顾了IAV在三角洲和绥孙湾以及该地区以外流动水域的化学、生物和机械控制的历史和支持科学。在三角洲以外,对乳液系统中的IAV控制有着重要的研究历史,但很少有研究来自潮汐环境,我们也没有发现像三角洲那样的空间尺度的研究。三角洲的控制科学工作尚处于起步阶段,但在最近十年中有了显著的增长。自1983年以来,对入侵的水下和漂浮物种的控制一直集中在加州州立公园划船和水道部门(CDBW)。该项目依赖除草剂,自2015年以来,年度预算已超过1250万美元。然而,由于在潮汐系统中有效应用除草剂的挑战,结果喜忧参半。与此同时,水葫芦(Eichhornia crassipes)和巨型芦苇(Arundo donax)的生物防治剂已经释放,但没有提供明显的防治效果,可能是因为它们不适合温带三角洲气候。近几十年来,监管的复杂性不断增加,阻碍了创新替代方法或快速应对新入侵者的努力。巨型芦苇和普通芦苇(Phragmites australis)是主要的入侵性新兴植物,其控制工作尚未在中央计划下进行协调,研究控制策略的研究直到最近才被允许。因此,尚未发表关于这些物种控制结果的本地研究。根据这段历史和我们对科学的回顾,我们制定了领导和科学行动的建议,以积极管理IAV。
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引用次数: 4
Ecosystem Services and Disservices of Bay-Delta Primary Producers: How Plants and Algae Affect Ecosystems and Respond to Management of the Estuary and Its Watershed 海湾三角洲初级生产者的生态系统服务和服务:植物和藻类如何影响生态系统并对河口及其流域的管理做出反应
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art1
L. Larsen, Samuel M. Bashevkin, Mairgareth Christman, J. L. Conrad, C. Dahm, Janet K. Thompson
The Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta (Delta) is a case-study of the Anthropocene “great accelerations,” with exponentially increasing temperatures and sea level over time, leading to rapid change in other ecosystem components. In nearly all these interconnected changes and across scales, primary producers play a major role, with diverse effects that mitigate or exacerbate rapid change induced by climate or other human-driven perturbations. Through this anthropocentric lens, primary producers can be viewed as performing numerous ecosystem services—which ultimately benefit humans—as well as ecosystem disservices, which have negative effects on human communities. For example, through carbon sequestration, wetlands can perform ecosystem services of mitigating warming at a global scale and combating relative sea-level rise at a local scale, while generating food that supports regional food webs and fisheries. On the other hand, invasive aquatic vegetation (IAV) can trap sediment before it reaches wetlands, exacerbating local subsidence and relative sea-level rise while incurring great costs to recreation, fishing, and agencies tasked with its control. Effectively managing these ecosystem services and disservices requires understanding of how they are connected. For example, wetland restoration often creates opportunities for IAV, which may inhibit sediment deposition on the wetland and outcompete native species. As the Delta science community works toward a more integrative understanding of how different components of the Delta interact as a whole and across scales, the pervasive effects of the ecosystem services and disservices of primary producers serve as foundational knowledge. In this topically themed edition of State of Bay-Delta Science, we review these effects. Individual chapters focus on the historical ecology of the primary productivity of aquatic vegetation, the ecology and control of invasive aquatic vegetation, harmful algal blooms, carbon sequestration and subsidence reversal by wetlands, and remote sensing methods for quantifying the ecosystem services and disservices of Delta primary producers.
萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲(三角洲)是人类世“大加速”的一个研究案例,随着时间的推移,温度和海平面呈指数级上升,导致其他生态系统组成部分发生快速变化。在几乎所有这些相互关联的跨尺度变化中,初级生产者发挥着主要作用,其多种影响可缓解或加剧由气候或其他人为扰动引起的快速变化。通过这种以人类为中心的视角,初级生产者可以被视为执行许多生态系统服务(最终使人类受益)以及生态系统损害(对人类社区产生负面影响)。例如,通过碳封存,湿地可以发挥生态系统服务作用,在全球范围内减缓变暖,在局部范围内对抗相对海平面上升,同时产生支持区域食物网和渔业的食物。另一方面,入侵水生植被(IAV)可以在沉积物到达湿地之前将其截住,加剧当地沉降和相对海平面上升,同时给娱乐、渔业和负责控制其的机构带来巨大成本。有效地管理这些生态系统的服务和危害需要了解它们是如何联系在一起的。例如,湿地恢复通常为IAV创造机会,这可能会抑制湿地上的沉积物沉积,并胜过本地物种。随着三角洲科学界致力于更全面地了解三角洲的不同组成部分如何作为一个整体和跨尺度相互作用,生态系统服务和初级生产者的危害的普遍影响将成为基础知识。在本期《海湾三角洲科学现状》的主题版中,我们回顾了这些影响。个别章节侧重于水生植被初级生产力的历史生态学,入侵水生植被的生态学和控制,有害藻华,湿地的碳封存和沉降逆转,以及量化三角洲初级生产者生态系统服务和危害的遥感方法。
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引用次数: 1
Ecology and Ecosystem Impacts of Submerged and Floating Aquatic Vegetation in the Sacramento–San Joaquin Delta 萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲水下和漂浮水生植被的生态学和生态系统影响
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art3
Mairgareth Christman, S. Khanna, J. Drexler, M. Young
Substantial increases in non-native aquatic vegetation have occurred in the upper San Francisco Estuary over the last 2 decades, largely from the explosive growth of a few submerged and floating aquatic plant species. Some of these species act as ecosystem engineers by creating conditions that favor their further growth and expansion as well as by modifying habitat for other organisms. Over the last decade, numerous studies have investigated patterns of expansion and turn-over of aquatic vegetation species; effects of vegetation on ecosystem health, water quality, and habitat; and effects of particular species or communities on physical processes such as carbon and sediment dynamics. Taking a synthetic approach to evaluate what has been learned over the last few years has shed light on just how significant aquatic plant species and communities are to ecosystems in the Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta. Aquatic vegetation affects every aspect of the physical and biotic environment, acting as ecosystem engineers on the landscape. Furthermore, their effects are constantly changing across space and time, leaving many unanswered questions about the full effects of aquatic vegetation on Delta ecosystems and what future effects may result, as species shift in distribution and new species are introduced. Remaining knowledge gaps underlie our understanding of aquatic macrophyte effects on Delta ecosystems, including their roles and relationships with respect to nutrients and nutrient cycling, evapotranspiration and water budgets, carbon and sediment, and emerging effects on fish species and their habitats. This paper explores our current understanding of submerged and floating aquatic vegetation (SAV and FAV) ecology with respect to major aquatic plant communities, observed patterns of change, interactions between aquatic vegetation and the physical environment, and how these factors affect ecosystem services and disservices within the upper San Francisco Estuary.
在过去20年中,旧金山河口上游的非原生水生植被大幅增加,主要是由于一些淹没和漂浮的水生植物物种的爆炸性生长。其中一些物种充当生态系统工程师,创造有利于它们进一步生长和扩张的条件,并为其他生物改变栖息地。在过去的十年里,许多研究调查了水生植被物种的扩张和转变模式;植被对生态系统健康、水质和栖息地的影响;以及特定物种或群落对碳和沉积物动力学等物理过程的影响。采用综合方法来评估过去几年所学到的知识,揭示了水生植物物种和群落对萨克拉门托-圣华金三角洲生态系统的重要性。水生植被影响着物理和生物环境的方方面面,是景观中的生态系统工程师。此外,它们的影响在空间和时间上不断变化,留下了许多悬而未决的问题,即水生植被对三角洲生态系统的全面影响,以及随着物种分布的变化和新物种的引入,未来可能会产生什么影响。剩余的知识差距是我们理解水生大型植物对三角洲生态系统影响的基础,包括它们在营养和营养循环、蒸散和水预算、碳和沉积物方面的作用和关系,以及对鱼类及其栖息地的新影响。本文探讨了我们目前对主要水生植物群落的淹没和漂浮水生植被(SAV和FAV)生态学的理解,观察到的变化模式,水生植被与物理环境之间的相互作用,以及这些因素如何影响旧金山河口上游的生态系统服务和损害。
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引用次数: 1
Status, Trends, and Drivers of Harmful Algal Blooms Along the Freshwater-to-Marine Gradient in the San Francisco Bay–Delta System 旧金山湾-三角洲系统淡水至海洋梯度有害藻华的现状、趋势和驱动因素
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2023-02-03 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2023v20iss4art6
R. Kudela, M. Howard, S. Monismith, H. Paerl
Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are on the rise worldwide. Known drivers for the proliferation and intensification of HAB events include increasing nutrient pollution, climate change, regulation and modification of hydrological flow, and the combined effect of climate drivers and nutrient pollution. The San Francisco Bay–Delta system has largely been immune to severe or acute HAB events, but there is both a potential and realized threat which has been underestimated and under-reported, in part because of the lack of coordinated sampling and data reporting. There is also increasing evidence that HABs must be considered in the context of a freshwater-to-marine continuum, and that the physical and political boundaries separating components of the Bay–Delta system are porous barriers to HABs and their toxins. Much remains to be learned about the ecology and physiology of HAB organisms in this system, but five primary environmental drivers can be identified: temperature, salinity, irradiance, nutrients, and stratification/residence time. All these drivers are responding rapidly to climate change, but nutrients are the primary variable that is largely under human control. Plans for the development of a comprehensive monitoring, prediction, and mitigation strategy across the freshwater-to-marine continuum have been documented; effectively following through on these plans provides a roadmap toward identifying the drivers and threats—and reducing the potential consequences now and in the future. While HABs alone are not a sufficient motivator for potentially costly and extensive mitigation efforts, there is strong evidence that decreasing nutrient loads, maintaining hydrological connectivity while minimizing stagnant regions, and managing the biota to maintain biodiversity of the Bay–Delta system will result in multiple co-benefits, including reduction of the HAB threat potential.
有害藻华(HABs)在世界范围内呈上升趋势。已知的赤潮事件扩散和加剧的驱动因素包括营养物污染增加、气候变化、水文流量的调节和改变以及气候驱动因素和营养物污染的综合效应。旧金山湾三角洲系统基本上不受严重或急性赤潮事件的影响,但潜在和已实现的威胁都被低估和报告不足,部分原因是缺乏协调的抽样和数据报告。也有越来越多的证据表明,必须在淡水到海洋连续体的背景下考虑有害藻华,并且分隔海湾三角洲系统组成部分的物理和政治边界是对有害藻华及其毒素的多孔屏障。关于该系统中HAB生物的生态学和生理学还有很多有待研究,但可以确定五个主要的环境驱动因素:温度、盐度、辐照度、营养物质和分层/停留时间。所有这些驱动因素都在迅速响应气候变化,但营养物质是主要的变量,在很大程度上是由人类控制的。制定淡水-海洋连续体全面监测、预测和缓解战略的计划已成文;有效地遵循这些计划为识别驱动因素和威胁提供了路线图,并减少了现在和未来的潜在后果。虽然赤潮本身不足以推动可能代价高昂的广泛缓解努力,但有强有力的证据表明,减少营养负荷、保持水文连通性,同时尽量减少停滞区,以及管理生物群以维持海湾三角洲系统的生物多样性,将产生多种协同效益,包括减少赤潮的潜在威胁。
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引用次数: 0
I’m not that Shallow – Different Zooplankton Abundance but Similar Community Composition Between Habitats in the San Francisco Estuary 我不是那么肤浅——不同的浮游动物丰度,但在旧金山河口的栖息地之间的群落组成相似
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2022v20iss3art1
R. Hartman, Arthur Barros, M. Avila, Christy Bowles, D. Ellis, Trishelle Tempel, S. Sherman
Wetland restoration is a key management tool for increasing food availability for at-risk fishes in the San Francisco Estuary. To characterize the benefits of restoration sites, it is critical to quantify the abundance and composition of fish food resources in and near the wetlands. Characterization of zooplankton communities is considered particularly important, but accurate analysis of zooplankton samples is time-consuming and expensive. The recently established Fish Restoration Program (FRP) Monitoring Team assessed whether data from existing long-term monitoring surveys could be used to characterize shallow-water zooplankton communities before restoration. During the springs of 2017 to 2019, the FRP collected zooplankton samples near the mouth of tidal wetland sites, or immediately outside future restoration sites, and compared them to concurrent samples collected in deep water by existing long-term monitoring surveys. We found very few differences in community composition between shallow and deep samples, though a few taxa were more abundant in shallow water. Seasonal and interannual differences in composition and abundance showed that restoration sites provide varying food resources over time. There was significantly higher total abundance of zooplankton in deep versus shallow water, which may be a result of differences in zooplankton production, migration, or fish predation. Inconsistencies in towing speed and gear type may also be driving this result, rather than true habitat differences. This study indicates that monitoring of wetland restoration sites must rely on multiple years of data collected on the site—rather than relying on adjacent open-water sampling—and should include monitoring of epiphytic and epibenthic invertebrates as well as zooplankton.
湿地恢复是增加旧金山河口风险鱼类食物供应的关键管理工具。为了描述恢复地点的效益,量化湿地及其附近鱼类食物资源的丰度和组成至关重要。浮游动物群落的特征被认为特别重要,但准确分析浮游动物样本既耗时又昂贵。最近成立的鱼类恢复计划(FRP)监测小组评估了现有长期监测调查的数据是否可以在恢复前用于表征浅水浮游动物群落。2017年至2019年春季,FRP在潮汐湿地河口附近或未来恢复点外采集了浮游动物样本,并将其与现有长期监测调查在深水中同时采集的样本进行了比较。我们发现浅层和深层样本之间的群落组成几乎没有差异,尽管有一些分类群在浅水中更丰富。成分和丰度的季节和年际差异表明,随着时间的推移,恢复地点提供的食物资源各不相同。深水和浅水中的浮游动物总丰度明显较高,这可能是浮游动物生产、迁移或鱼类捕食差异的结果。牵引速度和齿轮类型的不一致也可能导致这种结果,而不是真正的栖息地差异。这项研究表明,对湿地恢复地点的监测必须依赖于在该地点收集的多年数据,而不是依赖于邻近的开放水域采样,并且应该包括对附生和表海底无脊椎动物以及浮游动物的监测。
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引用次数: 2
A Framework for Evaluating the Effects of Reduced Spatial or Temporal Monitoring Effort 一个评估减少空间或时间监测努力效果的框架
Q3 Agricultural and Biological Sciences Pub Date : 2022-10-14 DOI: 10.15447/sfews.2022v20iss3art5
Samuel M. Bashevkin
Monitoring in the San Francisco Estuary (estuary) has fluctuated in sampling effort over time with changes to resources, objectives, and unforeseen events. I designed an approach to evaluate how reduced sampling would alter our ability to describe the status and trends of key species. This approach can evaluate the sensitivity of the estuary monitoring program to disruptions in sampling, and whether sampling effort could be reduced without compromising the information provided by these surveys. I simulated reduced sampling on top of the historical data record (1985–2018) by selectively removing data and evaluating the effect on model inference. The same model structure is fit to the full data set and several reduced data sets that represent simulations of reduced sampling effort. I then compared model predictions from reduced models to those from the full model to evaluate how reduced sampling may have affected our ability to detect key patterns in the data. In a case study, I applied this approach to Sacramento Splittail abundance trends from the Bay Study and the Suisun Marsh Fish Study otter trawls. Sampling reductions of 10% and 20% had fairly low impacts on the overlap of reduced model predictions with those from the full model. These results demonstrate the utility of my approach, but they are not generalizable beyond our ability to detect trends in Splittail abundance from Bay Study and Suisun Marsh Fish Study otter trawl data. A thorough analysis should run these simulations on multiple species and multiple parameters (e.g., abundance, distribution, length). By simulating sampling reductions on top of historical conditions, this approach could evaluate differential effects in varying environmental or historical conditions (e.g., droughts, species declines, invasions). In addition, this approach can easily be extended to other functional groups (e.g., zooplankton, phytoplankton) as well as physical parameters (e.g., temperature, salinity, Secchi depth).
旧金山河口(河口)的监测随着时间的推移随着资源、目标和不可预见事件的变化而波动。我设计了一种方法来评估减少采样将如何改变我们描述关键物种现状和趋势的能力。该方法可以评估河口监测程序对采样中断的敏感性,以及是否可以在不影响这些调查提供的信息的情况下减少采样努力。我通过选择性地删除数据并评估对模型推理的影响,在历史数据记录(1985-2018)的基础上模拟了减少采样。相同的模型结构适合于完整的数据集和几个简化的数据集,这些数据集代表了减少采样努力的模拟。然后,我将简化模型的模型预测与完整模型的模型预测进行了比较,以评估减少的采样可能如何影响我们检测数据中关键模式的能力。在一个案例研究中,我将这种方法应用于萨克拉门托裂尾鱼的丰度趋势,这些趋势来自海湾研究和suissun沼泽鱼研究水獭拖网。10%和20%的采样减少对减少模型预测与完整模型预测重叠的影响相当低。这些结果证明了我的方法的实用性,但除了我们从海湾研究和水獭拖网数据中检测裂尾鱼丰度趋势的能力之外,它们并不能推广。一个彻底的分析应该在多个物种和多个参数(例如,丰度,分布,长度)上运行这些模拟。通过模拟历史条件下的采样减少,该方法可以评估不同环境或历史条件(如干旱、物种减少、入侵)的差异效应。此外,这种方法可以很容易地扩展到其他官能团(例如,浮游动物,浮游植物)以及物理参数(例如,温度,盐度,Secchi深度)。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
San Francisco Estuary and Watershed Science
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