Pub Date : 2023-01-05DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000037
Sawssan Boufous, D. Hudson, C. Carpio
This research is a meta-analysis that focuses on farmers’ willingness to accept adopting sustainable practices. We use a set of meta-regressions and statistical tests to analyze 59 studies providing 286 WTA estimates. Our aim is to examine gaps in the literature of sustainable agriculture adoption and highlight the major findings of peer-reviewed works. We found evidence for significant methodological factors affecting WTA values, and the presence of unique Willingness to Accept mean value that would be the true proxy for how much farmers’ must be compensated to adopt sustainable agriculture practices.
{"title":"Farmers’ willingness to adopt sustainable agricultural practices: A meta-analysis","authors":"Sawssan Boufous, D. Hudson, C. Carpio","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000037","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000037","url":null,"abstract":"This research is a meta-analysis that focuses on farmers’ willingness to accept adopting sustainable practices. We use a set of meta-regressions and statistical tests to analyze 59 studies providing 286 WTA estimates. Our aim is to examine gaps in the literature of sustainable agriculture adoption and highlight the major findings of peer-reviewed works. We found evidence for significant methodological factors affecting WTA values, and the presence of unique Willingness to Accept mean value that would be the true proxy for how much farmers’ must be compensated to adopt sustainable agriculture practices.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"44 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2023-01-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116697006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-14DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000036
R. Kadigi
This paper investigates the extent to which the East African Community (EAC) countries have developed economically over time and whether income inequality decreases with economic growth. The relationship between trade and GDP per capita amongst EAC member countries is evaluated using the World Bank’s meta-data of development indicators and the EAC Secretariat’s data spanning from 2000–2019. Convergence in GDP per capita and inequality are tested using Coefficient of variation (CV) and weighted beta. The results show that agriculture, manufacturing, trade and repair, construction, and transport and storage constituted the top five GDP value adding activities, contributing about 38 percent to total annual GDP. The EAC GDP per capita were diverging in the long run but converging in short to medium terms, implying increase and decrease in the regional income inequality respectively. Agriculture, electricity and gas, transport and storage, real estate activities, public administration, and education were income inequality-increasing sectors. Together with finance and insurance, these sectors were also positively associated with GDP per capita. The exports of EAC member countries were found to be highly concentrated in few sectors and destination markets, implying limited diversification of products and markets. In their quest to diversify, these countries should choose the right mixes of export goods and services keeping in view of the prevailing market factors in importing countries, such as, changing taste and demands.
{"title":"Trade, GDP value adding activities and income inequality in the East African community","authors":"R. Kadigi","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000036","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000036","url":null,"abstract":"This paper investigates the extent to which the East African Community (EAC) countries have developed economically over time and whether income inequality decreases with economic growth. The relationship between trade and GDP per capita amongst EAC member countries is evaluated using the World Bank’s meta-data of development indicators and the EAC Secretariat’s data spanning from 2000–2019. Convergence in GDP per capita and inequality are tested using Coefficient of variation (CV) and weighted beta. The results show that agriculture, manufacturing, trade and repair, construction, and transport and storage constituted the top five GDP value adding activities, contributing about 38 percent to total annual GDP. The EAC GDP per capita were diverging in the long run but converging in short to medium terms, implying increase and decrease in the regional income inequality respectively. Agriculture, electricity and gas, transport and storage, real estate activities, public administration, and education were income inequality-increasing sectors. Together with finance and insurance, these sectors were also positively associated with GDP per capita. The exports of EAC member countries were found to be highly concentrated in few sectors and destination markets, implying limited diversification of products and markets. In their quest to diversify, these countries should choose the right mixes of export goods and services keeping in view of the prevailing market factors in importing countries, such as, changing taste and demands.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130575039","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-07DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000038
S. B. Kushitor, Shawn Alimohammadi, P. Currie
Globally, the informal food sector has been the recipient of exclusionary urban policies, despite its dominant role in urban life. This study examined the contributions of the informal food sector to food flows during the COVID-19 lockdown in Cape Town, South Africa. An ethnographic research method consisting of in-depth interviews and participant observations was used to gather data between April and November 2020. The data were thematically analysed. Corporate retailers and informal vendors managed food flows through the city prior to COVID-19. Due to the lockdown regulations, food flows through the informal sector ceased. The situation resulted in job loss and increased food insecurity. During this challenging period, the informal sector transformed food flows by facilitating sustainable urban agriculture, food aid programmes, and community change. Although the sector can hinder urban modernisation, the current study findings showed that the informal food sector is a buffer for meeting urban sustainability needs. Regulatory frameworks that embrace inclusive governance approaches are highly recommended.
{"title":"Narrative explorations of the role of the informal food sector in food flows and sustainable transitions during the COVID-19 lockdown","authors":"S. B. Kushitor, Shawn Alimohammadi, P. Currie","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000038","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000038","url":null,"abstract":"Globally, the informal food sector has been the recipient of exclusionary urban policies, despite its dominant role in urban life. This study examined the contributions of the informal food sector to food flows during the COVID-19 lockdown in Cape Town, South Africa. An ethnographic research method consisting of in-depth interviews and participant observations was used to gather data between April and November 2020. The data were thematically analysed. Corporate retailers and informal vendors managed food flows through the city prior to COVID-19. Due to the lockdown regulations, food flows through the informal sector ceased. The situation resulted in job loss and increased food insecurity. During this challenging period, the informal sector transformed food flows by facilitating sustainable urban agriculture, food aid programmes, and community change. Although the sector can hinder urban modernisation, the current study findings showed that the informal food sector is a buffer for meeting urban sustainability needs. Regulatory frameworks that embrace inclusive governance approaches are highly recommended.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132373461","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-06DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000039
P. Leadley, E. Archer, B. Bendandi, J. Cavender-Bares, L. Dávalos, F. DeClerck, George D. Gann, E. Gonzales, C. Krug, J. Metzger, Emily Nicholson, Ü. Niinemets, D. Obura, B. Strassburg, Bob Tansey, P. Verburg, Adriana Vidal, J. Watson, Stephen Woodley, M. Yasuhara
{"title":"Setting ambitious international restoration objectives for terrestrial ecosystems for 2030 and beyond","authors":"P. Leadley, E. Archer, B. Bendandi, J. Cavender-Bares, L. Dávalos, F. DeClerck, George D. Gann, E. Gonzales, C. Krug, J. Metzger, Emily Nicholson, Ü. Niinemets, D. Obura, B. Strassburg, Bob Tansey, P. Verburg, Adriana Vidal, J. Watson, Stephen Woodley, M. Yasuhara","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000039","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000039","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"55 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131418421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-12-06DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000040
P. Leadley, D. Obura, E. Archer, M. J. Costello, L. Dávalos, F. Essl, A. Hansen, S. Hashimoto, D. Leclère, Akira S. Mori, Emily Nicholson, A. Purvis, C. Rondinini, L. Shannon, Xiaoli Shen, E. Turak, P. Verburg, P. Visconti
1 Laboratoire d’Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, AgroParisTech, Gif-surYvette, France, 2 CORDIO East Africa, Mombasa, Kenya, 3 Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa, 4 Faculty of Biosciences and Aquaculture, Nord Universitet, Bodø, Norway, 5 Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, United States of America, 6 Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 7 Ecology Department, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, United States of America, 8 Department of Ecosystem Studies, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 9 Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program, International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria, 10 Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 11 School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Centre for Integrative Ecology, Deakin University, Burwood, Australia, 12 Biodiversity Change theme, Natural History Museum, London, United Kingdom, 13 Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, 14 Department of Biological Sciences, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa, 15 State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, 16 NSW Department of Planning, Industry and the Environment, Parramatta, New South Wales, Australia, 17 Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, 18 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland, 19 Biodiversity, Ecology and Conservation group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria
{"title":"Actions needed to achieve ambitious objectives of net gains in natural ecosystem area by 2030 and beyond","authors":"P. Leadley, D. Obura, E. Archer, M. J. Costello, L. Dávalos, F. Essl, A. Hansen, S. Hashimoto, D. Leclère, Akira S. Mori, Emily Nicholson, A. Purvis, C. Rondinini, L. Shannon, Xiaoli Shen, E. Turak, P. Verburg, P. Visconti","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000040","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000040","url":null,"abstract":"1 Laboratoire d’Ecologie Systématique Evolution, Université Paris-Saclay, CNRS, AgroParisTech, Gif-surYvette, France, 2 CORDIO East Africa, Mombasa, Kenya, 3 Department of Geography, Geoinformatics and Meteorology, University of Pretoria, Pretoria, South Africa, 4 Faculty of Biosciences and Aquaculture, Nord Universitet, Bodø, Norway, 5 Department of Ecology and Evolution, Stony Brook University, Stony Brook, New York, United States of America, 6 Department of Botany and Biodiversity Research, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria, 7 Ecology Department, Montana State University, Bozeman, Montana, United States of America, 8 Department of Ecosystem Studies, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 9 Biodiversity and Natural Resources Program, International Institute for Applied System Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria, 10 Research Center for Advanced Science and Technology, the University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, 11 School of Life and Environmental Sciences, Centre for Integrative Ecology, Deakin University, Burwood, Australia, 12 Biodiversity Change theme, Natural History Museum, London, United Kingdom, 13 Department of Biology and Biotechnologies, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, 14 Department of Biological Sciences, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa, 15 State Key Laboratory of Vegetation and Environmental Change, Institute of Botany, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, 16 NSW Department of Planning, Industry and the Environment, Parramatta, New South Wales, Australia, 17 Institute for Environmental Studies, VU University, Amsterdam, the Netherlands, 18 Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research (WSL), Birmensdorf, Switzerland, 19 Biodiversity, Ecology and Conservation group, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg, Austria","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"78 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-12-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"132004726","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-11-22DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000035
K. Hernández, Facundo Luna, Carlos Madeira
Climate change should deteriorate the value of real estate, but studies are lacking for developing economies which may suffer the worst weather changes. We match an administrative register of all the real estate properties’ transactions in Chile between 2002 and 2020 with a high spatial resolution dataset of local temperatures and precipitation. Even after controlling for a wide set of home characteristics or fixed-effects for each property, we find that fluctuations in temperatures had an impact on the prices of residential homes and agricultural properties.
{"title":"Climate change’s impact on real estate prices in Chile","authors":"K. Hernández, Facundo Luna, Carlos Madeira","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000035","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000035","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change should deteriorate the value of real estate, but studies are lacking for developing economies which may suffer the worst weather changes. We match an administrative register of all the real estate properties’ transactions in Chile between 2002 and 2020 with a high spatial resolution dataset of local temperatures and precipitation. Even after controlling for a wide set of home characteristics or fixed-effects for each property, we find that fluctuations in temperatures had an impact on the prices of residential homes and agricultural properties.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"186 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-11-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"131667605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-10-28DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000032
G. Busch, E. Bayer, A. Spiller, Sarah Kühl
Farm sizes play an important role in increasing public debates surrounding the sustainability of agriculture, specifically of animal farming. While research cannot find consistent relationships between sustainability and farm sizes, the ‘small-is-beautiful’-hypothesis remains still prominent in public perceptions. The aim of this study is to deeply analyze public associations coming with small and large farms with a focus on sustainability issues, including animal welfare. We additionally consider the memory of media reporting on farms with different sizes, wishes for legal regulations on farm and herd sizes, and the persuasiveness of scientific results that disentangle farm size from sustainability aspects. To answer these questions, an online survey with 985 German residents was conducted in May 2021 and descriptively analyzed. Although the attribute ‘small numbers of animals’ range among the less important ones that constitute an ‘ideal animal farm’ (rank 10 of 12 attributes), the large majority of participants (75.8%) reveal a preference for small over large animal farms. This is backed up by the perception that small farms are advantageous in terms of good animal welfare, environmental protection and product quality, but disadvantaged when it comes to profitability. Additionally, negative media reporting on animal farms (remembered by 92%) is more frequently related to large farms (82.5%) whereas positive media reporting (remembered by 81.4%) are mainly linked to small farms by 56.8%. More than half of respondents wish for regulations that limit farm and barn sizes. Scientific results finding no relationship between farm size and animal protection or climate protection are convincing for only 33.0% and 39.8% of the sample, respectively. A large farm size acts as a proxy for farming systems with low animal welfare and conservation levels. This challenges communications about the future of farming with the public as it can be assumed that farm sizes will further increase.
{"title":"‘Factory farming’? Public perceptions of farm sizes and sustainability in animal farming","authors":"G. Busch, E. Bayer, A. Spiller, Sarah Kühl","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000032","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000032","url":null,"abstract":"Farm sizes play an important role in increasing public debates surrounding the sustainability of agriculture, specifically of animal farming. While research cannot find consistent relationships between sustainability and farm sizes, the ‘small-is-beautiful’-hypothesis remains still prominent in public perceptions. The aim of this study is to deeply analyze public associations coming with small and large farms with a focus on sustainability issues, including animal welfare. We additionally consider the memory of media reporting on farms with different sizes, wishes for legal regulations on farm and herd sizes, and the persuasiveness of scientific results that disentangle farm size from sustainability aspects. To answer these questions, an online survey with 985 German residents was conducted in May 2021 and descriptively analyzed. Although the attribute ‘small numbers of animals’ range among the less important ones that constitute an ‘ideal animal farm’ (rank 10 of 12 attributes), the large majority of participants (75.8%) reveal a preference for small over large animal farms. This is backed up by the perception that small farms are advantageous in terms of good animal welfare, environmental protection and product quality, but disadvantaged when it comes to profitability. Additionally, negative media reporting on animal farms (remembered by 92%) is more frequently related to large farms (82.5%) whereas positive media reporting (remembered by 81.4%) are mainly linked to small farms by 56.8%. More than half of respondents wish for regulations that limit farm and barn sizes. Scientific results finding no relationship between farm size and animal protection or climate protection are convincing for only 33.0% and 39.8% of the sample, respectively. A large farm size acts as a proxy for farming systems with low animal welfare and conservation levels. This challenges communications about the future of farming with the public as it can be assumed that farm sizes will further increase.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"8 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128883029","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-10-21DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000033
L. Jaacks, N. Gupta, Jagjit Plage, A. Awasthi, D. Veluguri, S. Rastogi, Elena Dall’Agnese, G. Ramanjaneyulu, A. Jain
{"title":"Correction: Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Agriculture in India: Cross-Sectional Results from a Nationally Representative Survey","authors":"L. Jaacks, N. Gupta, Jagjit Plage, A. Awasthi, D. Veluguri, S. Rastogi, Elena Dall’Agnese, G. Ramanjaneyulu, A. Jain","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000033","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000033","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130866101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-10-17DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000031
J. Ulmanen, Anna Bergek, Hans Hellsmark
The purpose of this paper is to identify key challenges that national policymakers face in trying to translate transformative innovation policy (TIP) theory into policy practice. We focus on the case of the Swedish innovation agency Vinnova’s attempt to translate its TIP-related innovation perspective into the policy practice of the Swedish Innovation Partnership Programme (IPP). By means of a discourse perspective, we identify two key discourses and one institution influencing Vinnova’s translation process. In addition, we describe four key challenges that Vinnova faces in this translation process relating to (i) the involvement of relevant stakeholders, (ii) overcoming a dominant discourse, (iii) time constraints of an institutionalized parliamentary system, and (iv) realizing policy coordination ambitions. This study adds to previous literature in identifying dominant discourses or institutional structures as a key barrier for change. Its contribution is to show how transformative translation challenges are played out in a national-level context.
{"title":"Lost in translation: Challenges in creating new transformative innovation policy practices","authors":"J. Ulmanen, Anna Bergek, Hans Hellsmark","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000031","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000031","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this paper is to identify key challenges that national policymakers face in trying to translate transformative innovation policy (TIP) theory into policy practice. We focus on the case of the Swedish innovation agency Vinnova’s attempt to translate its TIP-related innovation perspective into the policy practice of the Swedish Innovation Partnership Programme (IPP). By means of a discourse perspective, we identify two key discourses and one institution influencing Vinnova’s translation process. In addition, we describe four key challenges that Vinnova faces in this translation process relating to (i) the involvement of relevant stakeholders, (ii) overcoming a dominant discourse, (iii) time constraints of an institutionalized parliamentary system, and (iv) realizing policy coordination ambitions. This study adds to previous literature in identifying dominant discourses or institutional structures as a key barrier for change. Its contribution is to show how transformative translation challenges are played out in a national-level context.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"25 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124285812","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Pub Date : 2022-10-05DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000047
L. Riondet, D. Suchet, O. Vidal, J. Halloy
The Hubert’s model has been introduced in 1956 as a phenomenological description of the time evolution of US and world oil fields production. It has since then acquired a vast notoriety as a conceptual approach to resource depletion. It is often invoked nowadays in the context of the energy transition to question the limitations induced by the finitude of mineral stocks. Yet, its validity is often controversial despite its popularity. This paper offers a pedagogical introduction to the model, assesses its ability to describe the current evolution of 20 mining elements, and discusses the nature and robustness of conclusions drawn from Hubbert’s model considered either as a forecast or as a foresight tool. We also propose a novel way to represent graphically these conclusions as a “Hubbert’s map” which offers direct visualization of their main features.
{"title":"Applicability of Hubbert model to global mining industry: Interpretations and insights","authors":"L. Riondet, D. Suchet, O. Vidal, J. Halloy","doi":"10.1371/journal.pstr.0000047","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pstr.0000047","url":null,"abstract":"The Hubert’s model has been introduced in 1956 as a phenomenological description of the time evolution of US and world oil fields production. It has since then acquired a vast notoriety as a conceptual approach to resource depletion. It is often invoked nowadays in the context of the energy transition to question the limitations induced by the finitude of mineral stocks. Yet, its validity is often controversial despite its popularity. This paper offers a pedagogical introduction to the model, assesses its ability to describe the current evolution of 20 mining elements, and discusses the nature and robustness of conclusions drawn from Hubbert’s model considered either as a forecast or as a foresight tool. We also propose a novel way to represent graphically these conclusions as a “Hubbert’s map” which offers direct visualization of their main features.","PeriodicalId":384293,"journal":{"name":"PLOS Sustainability and Transformation","volume":"39 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-10-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"124986215","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
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