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System identity and transformation in petroleum jurisdictions: A multi-method approach for the North Slope Borough, Alaska 石油管辖区的系统身份和转型:阿拉斯加北坡自治市镇的多方法方法
Pub Date : 2022-09-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000028
A. Lovecraft, O. Lee, Nicholas Parlato
Capturing the multidimensionality of a bounded social-environmental system (SES) presents a range of challenges to interdisciplinary researchers due to the need to integrate divergent scientific paradigms, scalar data, and social theories. Contemporary Arctic circumpolar SESs studied under conditions of rapid and unprecedented climatic, ecological, economic, and sociopolitical change, defy any singular established methodological approach that aims to schematize and interpret the system for decision-making purposes. As a small interdisciplinary team working within a large Arctic SES modeling effort, we have found that developing systems models to support resilience in the Arctic requires an understanding of system dynamics that is attentive to holistic indicators of change, measured both quantitatively and qualitatively. Using the Alaska North Slope Borough as a case study, we apply three convergent frameworks to capture significant dimensions of the system for improved problem definition in confronting the challenges of Arctic climate change. We describe contemporary “oil and gas” social-ecological system components and dynamics, the historical processes and transformations that fundamentally altered the system, and the scientific projections for the most likely catalysts of future change. This analysis results in a typology for defining subnational Arctic hydrocarbon SESs. We conclude that the future of oil and gas development as a policy pathway in different locations experiencing rapid climate change can be evaluated when difficult-to-quantify variables are included.
由于需要整合不同的科学范式、标量数据和社会理论,捕获有限社会环境系统(SES)的多维性对跨学科研究人员提出了一系列挑战。在快速和前所未有的气候、生态、经济和社会政治变化的条件下研究当代北极环极SESs,挑战任何单一的既定方法方法,旨在为决策目的对系统进行图示和解释。作为一个在大型北极SES建模工作中工作的小型跨学科团队,我们发现开发系统模型来支持北极的弹性需要对系统动力学的理解,该系统动力学关注变化的整体指标,并进行定量和定性测量。以阿拉斯加北坡自治市镇为例,我们应用三个趋同框架来捕捉系统的重要维度,以改进问题定义,以应对北极气候变化的挑战。我们描述了当代“石油和天然气”社会生态系统的组成部分和动态,从根本上改变了系统的历史过程和转变,以及对未来变化最可能催化剂的科学预测。这一分析结果为定义次国家北极碳氢化合物SESs的类型。我们的结论是,在经历快速气候变化的不同地区,当包括难以量化的变量时,可以评估石油和天然气开发作为政策途径的未来。
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引用次数: 0
Business models of energy cooperatives active in the PV sector—A statistical analysis for Germany 活跃在光伏行业的能源合作社的商业模式——对德国的统计分析
Pub Date : 2022-09-08 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000029
A. Wierling, Jan Pedro Zeiss, Constantin von Beck, V. Schwanitz
Energy markets have opened up to new actors and business models. We perform an empirical investigation of energy cooperatives (EC) investing in the photo-voltaic (PV) market. Deploying a unique database for Germany with 584 EC covering two decades of activities, we provide statistical evidence on their businesses, members and customer segments, production units, and financial status. The analysis yields that German EC active in the PV sector have invested about one billion EUR, managing more than 4400 PV installations with an aggregate capacity of roughly 700 MWp. Nine different business models currently prevail. The latest developments show that EC are adapting to changing market conditions, expanding their activities, and searching for new investment and business opportunities.
能源市场已经向新的参与者和商业模式开放。我们对能源合作社(EC)在光伏(PV)市场的投资进行了实证调查。我们为德国584家EC部署了一个独特的数据库,涵盖了20年的活动,提供了有关其业务、成员和客户细分、生产单位和财务状况的统计证据。分析显示,活跃在光伏行业的德国欧共体已投资约10亿欧元,管理超过4400个光伏装置,总容量约为700兆瓦。目前流行的有九种不同的商业模式。最新的发展表明,电子商务正在适应不断变化的市场条件,扩大他们的活动,并寻找新的投资和商业机会。
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引用次数: 2
Understanding gendered trait preferences: Implications for client-responsive breeding programs 理解性别特征偏好:对客户响应育种计划的影响
Pub Date : 2022-08-30 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000025
C. McDougall, J. Kariuki, B. M. Lenjiso, P. Marimo, M. Mehar, S. Murphy, B. Teeken, M. Akester, J. Benzie, A. Galiè, P. Kulakow, W. Mekkawy, L. Nkengla-Asi, J. Ojango, R. Tumuhimbise, B. Uwimana, A. Orr
Client-responsiveness is a foundation for effectiveness of public sector breeding programs in agriculture, aquaculture and livestock. However, there remains a considerable lack of clarity about what this means, specifically in terms of how programs can be gender-responsive. This study contributes to addressing that need. It does so through sharing higher-level insights emerging from the combined experiences of eight gendered trait preference cases from across nine countries in Asia and Africa. The cases spanned crops, fish and livestock. This study inquires into the nature of gendered trait preference information that can be generated, if there are systematic gendered preference differences and how to understand these, and implications for breeding programs seeking to be more gender-responsive. Key findings include that while not all data are immediately usable by programs, the information that is generated through mixed method, intersectional gender preference assessments usefully deepens and widens programs’ knowledge. The study evidences differences in trait preferences between women and men. It also reveals that these differences are more complex than previously thought. In doing so, it challenges binary or homogenous models of preferences, suggesting instead that preferences are likely to be overlapping and nuanced. The study applies a novel ‘Three models of gendered trait preferences’ framework and sub-framework and finds these useful in that they challenge misconceptions and enable a needed analytical nuance to inform gender-responsive breeding programs. Finally, the study highlights implications and offers a call to action for gender-responsive breeding, proposing ways forward for public breeding programs, teams and funding agencies. These include investments in interdisciplinary capabilities and considerations for navigating trade-offs while orienting to sustainable development goals.
响应客户需求是公共部门农业、水产养殖和畜牧业育种规划取得成效的基础。然而,对于这意味着什么,特别是在方案如何促进性别平等方面,仍然相当缺乏明确的认识。这项研究有助于解决这一需求。它通过分享来自亚洲和非洲九个国家的八个性别特征偏好案例的综合经验得出的更高层次的见解来实现这一目标。这些病例涉及农作物、鱼类和牲畜。本研究探讨了可以产生的性别特征偏好信息的本质,如果存在系统的性别偏好差异,以及如何理解这些差异,以及寻求更多性别敏感的育种计划的含义。主要发现包括,虽然并非所有数据都能立即被项目使用,但通过混合方法产生的信息,交叉性别偏好评估有效地加深和拓宽了项目的知识。这项研究证明了女性和男性在性格偏好上的差异。它还揭示了这些差异比以前认为的要复杂得多。在这样做的过程中,它挑战了二元或同质的偏好模型,相反,它表明偏好可能是重叠和微妙的。该研究采用了一种新的“性别特征偏好的三种模型”框架和子框架,并发现这些框架很有用,因为它们挑战了误解,并使必要的分析细微差别能够为性别敏感的育种计划提供信息。最后,该研究强调了其影响,并呼吁采取行动促进性别平等育种,为公共育种项目、团队和资助机构提出了前进的道路。这包括对跨学科能力的投资,以及在面向可持续发展目标的同时进行权衡的考虑。
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引用次数: 6
Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on agriculture in India: Cross-sectional results from a nationally representative survey 2019冠状病毒病大流行对印度农业的影响:一项全国代表性调查的横截面结果
Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000026
L. Jaacks, N. Gupta, Jagjit Plage, A. Awasthi, D. Veluguri, S. Rastogi, Elena Dall’Agnese, GV Ramanjaneyulu, A. Jain
The COVID-19 pandemic has disrupted agriculture in India in many ways, yet no nationally representative survey has been conducted to quantify these impacts. The three objectives of this study were to evaluate how the pandemic has influenced: (1) cropping patterns and input use, (2) farmers’ willingness to adopt sustainable agricultural practices, and (3) farmers’ COVID-19 symptoms. Phone surveys were conducted between December 2020 and January 2021 with farmers who had previously participated in a nationally representative survey. Values are reported as weighted percent (95% confidence interval). A total of 3,637 farmers completed the survey; 59% (56–61%) were small/marginal farmers; 72% (69–74%) were male; and 52% (49–55%) had a below poverty line ration card. A majority of farmers (84% [82–86%]) reported cultivating the same crops in 2019 and 2020. Farmers who reported a change in their cropping patterns were more likely to be cultivating vegetables (p = 0.001) and soybean (p<0.001) and less likely to be cultivating rice (p<0.001). Concerning inputs, 66% (63–68%) of farmers reported no change in fertilizers; 66% (64–69%) reported no change in pesticides; and 59% (56–62%) reported no change in labor. More than half of farmers (62% [59–65%]) were interested in trying sustainable farming, primarily because of government schemes or because their peers were practicing it. About one-fifth (18% [15–21%]) of farmers reported COVID-19 symptoms in the past month (cough, fever, or shortness of breath) and among those with symptoms, 37% (28–47%) reported it affected their ability to work. In conclusion, COVID-19 infections had started to impact farmers’ productivity even during the first wave in India. Most farmers continued to grow the same crops with no change in input use. However, many expressed an interest in learning more about practicing sustainable farming. Findings will inform future directions for resilient agri-food systems.
2019冠状病毒病大流行在许多方面扰乱了印度的农业,但没有进行具有全国代表性的调查来量化这些影响。本研究的三个目标是评估疫情如何影响:(1)种植模式和投入物使用,(2)农民采用可持续农业做法的意愿,以及(3)农民的COVID-19症状。在2020年12月至2021年1月期间,对以前参加过全国代表性调查的农民进行了电话调查。数值以加权百分比(95%置信区间)报告。共有3,637名农民完成了调查;59%(56-61%)为小农/边缘农民;72%(69-74%)为男性;52%(49-55%)的人有低于贫困线的配给卡。大多数农民(84%[82-86%])报告在2019年和2020年种植了相同的作物。报告种植模式发生变化的农民更有可能种植蔬菜(p = 0.001)和大豆(p<0.001),而种植水稻的可能性较小(p<0.001)。在投入方面,66%(63-68%)的农民报告肥料没有变化;66%(64-69%)报告农药没有变化;59%(56-62%)的患者报告产程无变化。超过一半的农民(62%[59-65%])对尝试可持续农业感兴趣,主要是因为政府的计划或他们的同龄人正在实践。约五分之一(18%[15-21%])的农民在过去一个月报告了COVID-19症状(咳嗽、发烧或呼吸短促),在有症状的农民中,37%(28-47%)的人报告说这影响了他们的工作能力。总之,即使在印度的第一波疫情期间,COVID-19感染就已经开始影响农民的生产力。大多数农民继续种植相同的作物,投入物的使用没有变化。然而,许多人表示有兴趣学习更多关于可持续农业的实践。研究结果将为弹性农业粮食系统的未来发展方向提供信息。
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引用次数: 3
Realizing UN decade on ecosystem restoration through a nature-based approach: A case review of management of biological invasions in protected areas 以自然为本的方法实现联合国生态系统恢复十年:保护区生物入侵管理案例综述
Pub Date : 2022-08-18 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000027
L. Munishi, I. Ngondya
As the influx of different invasive species and their spread to new areas increases, there is a need for a rigorous and relevant scientific evidence-based control and restoration (EBCR) approaches to inform practical decisions and policymaking. While evidence-based decision is gaining popularity in science and policy, its potential for transformative change especially in the management of invasive plant species remains unexplored. Control and restoration of areas invaded by invasive plant species in natural and protected ecosystems require such decisions. Here, we provide a framework to guide how EBCR can contribute to transformative change and we argue that upscaling existing EBCR practices in areas invaded by invasive plant species (especially in protected areas (PAs)) requires coalitions of interdisciplinary science, public, private, and civil society actors with a common goal. Since actors’ roles and stakeholder interactions are dynamic, to achieve durable impacts, the upscaling process must continually engage and involve actors, while maintaining a balance of incentives among them. Social and cultural dimensions of local communities as well as their indigenous and local knowledge need to be incorporated. Pathways to upscaling EBCR may involve leveraging adaptive governance, integrating successful initiatives and lessons into public policy and practices, or reinforcing governance and management-led change with private efforts. We identify general lessons from (complex) PAs for successful upscaling of EBCR and illustrate the components of our framework through a novel application of a nature-based approach (NbA) in PAs invaded by invasive plant species.
随着不同入侵物种的涌入和向新地区的扩散,需要一种严格的、相关的、以科学为基础的控制和恢复(EBCR)方法来为实际决策和政策制定提供信息。虽然基于证据的决策在科学和政策中越来越受欢迎,但其变革的潜力,特别是在入侵植物物种的管理方面,仍未得到探索。在自然和受保护的生态系统中,控制和恢复入侵植物物种入侵的地区需要这样的决策。在这里,我们提供了一个框架来指导EBCR如何促进变革性变化,我们认为,在入侵植物物种入侵的地区(特别是保护区),扩大现有的EBCR实践需要跨学科科学、公共、私人和民间社会行动者的联合,以实现共同的目标。由于行动者的角色和利益相关者的互动是动态的,为了实现持久的影响,升级过程必须不断地让行动者参与进来,同时保持他们之间的激励平衡。当地社区的社会和文化层面以及他们的土著和地方知识需要纳入考虑。提升EBCR的途径可能包括利用适应性治理,将成功的计划和经验整合到公共政策和实践中,或者通过私人努力加强治理和管理主导的变革。我们从(复杂的)生态保护区中总结出成功升级EBCR的一般经验教训,并通过在入侵植物物种入侵的生态保护区中应用基于自然的方法(NbA)来说明我们框架的组成部分。
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引用次数: 0
A systematic map of within-plantation oil palm management practices reveals a rapidly growing but patchy evidence base 种植园内油棕管理实践的系统地图揭示了一个快速增长但不完整的证据基础
Pub Date : 2022-07-25 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000023
Megan Popkin, V. J. Reiss-Woolever, E. Turner, S. Luke
Although oil palm expansion has had severe environmental impacts, oil palm also has the highest yield per hectare of any vegetable oil crop. Compared to many other crops, it has the potential to support high complexity habitats, with minimal chemical input, and relatively high levels of biodiversity and ecosystem functioning. However, there has been little synthesis of available research on oil palm management strategies to support delivery of more sustainable cultivation. In this paper, we provide a systematic map compiling all available evidence assessing within-plantation oil palm management practices at the cultivation stage, with a focus on practices that affect biodiversity and environmental processes. Using approaches adapted from systematic review protocols, we catalogued oil palm management publications to provide details of geographic location, year, interventions tested (i.e. agricultural practices), targeted outcomes of interventions, co-occurrences between different interventions and outcomes (including multiple outcomes), and study design. Most studies were conducted in Southeast Asia, with fewer studies conducted in South America or Africa. Twenty-six interventions were observed in the literature, across six categories: soil, understory, within-crop, landscape-level, replanting, and mixed/multiple interventions. The most common interventions tested were landscape-scale interventions, such as maintaining forest fragments/buffer zones, whereas interventions involved in replanting were the least researched. Eight outcomes were considered: soil fertility, soil erosion, water quality and availability, pest control, replanting, maintenance of biodiversity and areas of high conservation value, and reducing air pollution and greenhouse gas emissions. Studies researching biodiversity were the most common, whereas comparatively few studies considered replanting and reducing emissions. Most primary studies were observational, with experimental studies being rarer, especially in biodiversity research. We match our findings to the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil’s environmental sustainability criteria to illustrate how policy-makers and producers may use our map to access evidence supporting cultivation-stage oil palm sustainability management. This study provides valuable information to inform best management practices and direction for necessary future research.
尽管油棕的扩张对环境造成了严重的影响,但油棕也是所有植物油作物中每公顷产量最高的。与许多其他作物相比,它有可能支持高度复杂的栖息地,化学投入最少,生物多样性和生态系统功能相对较高。然而,很少有关于油棕管理策略的综合研究,以支持提供更可持续的种植。在本文中,我们提供了一个系统的地图,收集了所有现有的证据,评估种植阶段的人工林内油棕管理实践,重点关注影响生物多样性和环境过程的实践。采用系统评价方案改编的方法,我们对油棕管理出版物进行了编目,以提供地理位置、年份、测试的干预措施(即农业实践)、干预措施的目标结果、不同干预措施和结果(包括多种结果)之间的共现情况以及研究设计的详细信息。大多数研究是在东南亚进行的,在南美洲或非洲进行的研究较少。在文献中观察到26种干预措施,分为6类:土壤、林下植被、作物内、景观水平、补种和混合/多重干预。所测试的最常见的干预措施是景观规模的干预措施,例如维持森林碎片/缓冲区,而涉及重新种植的干预措施的研究最少。考虑了八项结果:土壤肥力、土壤侵蚀、水质和可用性、害虫防治、补种、维持生物多样性和高保护价值地区、减少空气污染和温室气体排放。研究生物多样性的研究是最常见的,而考虑重新种植和减少排放的研究相对较少。大多数初步研究是观察性的,实验研究较少,特别是在生物多样性研究中。我们将我们的发现与可持续棕榈油圆桌会议的环境可持续性标准相匹配,以说明政策制定者和生产者如何使用我们的地图来获取支持种植阶段油棕可持续性管理的证据。本研究提供了有价值的信息,为未来必要的研究提供了最佳管理实践和方向。
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引用次数: 1
A critical review of information asymmetry in the business cycle: How digital ledger technology can transform and sustain the business cycle 商业周期中信息不对称的批判性回顾:数字分类账技术如何改变和维持商业周期
Pub Date : 2022-07-20 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000024
E. Susan, Manases Mbengwor Natu
Distributed ledger technology (DLT) is a disruptive technology with the potential to reengineer the entire trading cycle by alleviating inefficiencies such as time lags, multiple record keeping, human errors, and transparency common with the traditional trade cycle. This study evaluates the potential benefits of DLT in mitigating information asymmetry in trading relationships and how a DLT model can be deployed to revamp the trading process. We find that information friction results from differences in stakeholder preferences by identifying and categorizing information friction into 4 groups through a review of key studies in leading management journals. This finding aligns with conclusions reached in scientific research that the benefits of DLT prevail in markets with imperfect information. In addition, we illustrate the potential benefits of DLT in mitigating inefficiencies in trading relationships resulting from information asymmetry. The article concludes with a word of caution for potential users to take gradual steps of adoption to keep pace with changing technology so as not to become laggards.
分布式账本技术(DLT)是一种颠覆性技术,有可能通过缓解传统贸易周期中常见的时间滞后、多重记录保存、人为错误和透明度等低效率问题来重新设计整个交易周期。本研究评估了DLT在缓解交易关系中的信息不对称方面的潜在好处,以及如何部署DLT模型来改进交易流程。我们通过回顾主要管理期刊的关键研究,将信息摩擦分为4类,发现信息摩擦是利益相关者偏好差异的结果。这一发现与科学研究得出的结论一致,即DLT的好处在信息不完全的市场中普遍存在。此外,我们还说明了DLT在缓解由信息不对称导致的交易关系中的低效率方面的潜在好处。文章最后对潜在用户提出了警告,建议他们逐步采用新技术,以跟上不断变化的技术,以免掉队。
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引用次数: 0
Goldilocks’ quarter-hectare urban farm: An agent-based model for improved pollination of community gardens and small-holder farms 金凤花的四分之一公顷城市农场:一个基于代理的模型,用于改善社区花园和小农农场的授粉
Pub Date : 2022-07-15 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000021
A. Dorin, T. Taylor, A. Dyer
Industrial agriculture’s expansive monocultures contrast against community farms of diverse crops in small allotments constrained by urban regulations. These human-controlled differences in scale, arrangement and crop diversity, may differently impact insect foraging and pollination. The relationship between human management and insect pollination is under-explored, especially regarding the implications of insect flower constancy–the tendency of insects to favour visits to a single rewarding flower species during a foraging bout. Although high flower-constancy is associated with reliable pollen transport, its impact on pollination depends also on planting regimes, the vicinity of neighbouring crops, weeds and wildflowers. This study explores the potential pollination impacts of insect flower constancy, heterospecific pollen transfer, and human-dictated crop patch size, using an agent-based model of insect pollinators foraging from two flowering plant species. Highly constant pollinators were most effective in the smallest patches when heterospecific pollen transfer was an issue. As patch size increased, pollination rates improved overall, but less constant insects produced better pollination rates for intermediate sized areas because they rapidly switched preferences between flower species. As patch size increased further, the influence of flower constancy on pollination rates was reduced. Study results suggest that typical community farms containing small single-crop patches operated by independent growers within an allotment, may be better pollinated if operated collaboratively to increase single-crop patch size. Crop patches needn’t be large homogeneous agricultural monocultures, but neither should they be so small and heterogeneous as to inhibit pollination. We found a “Goldilocks zone” around 11m x 11m to be a good compromise for pollination, regardless of the level of flower constancy in local insects. As climate and human land use increasingly impact insect populations, the relationships between pollination systems, growers and policy makers must be continually examined to safeguard food supplies and native ecosystems.
工业化农业广阔的单一栽培与社区农场形成鲜明对比,社区农场受城市法规的限制,在小块土地上种植多种作物。这些人为控制的规模、排列和作物多样性的差异可能对昆虫的觅食和授粉产生不同的影响。人类管理和昆虫授粉之间的关系还没有得到充分的探索,特别是关于昆虫花的稳定性的影响——昆虫在觅食过程中倾向于访问单一的有益的花朵物种。虽然高花稳定性与可靠的花粉运输有关,但它对授粉的影响还取决于种植制度、邻近作物的邻近程度、杂草和野花。本研究利用基于agent的昆虫传粉者觅食两种开花植物的模型,探讨了昆虫花的稳定性、异种花粉传递和人类决定的作物斑块大小对传粉的潜在影响。当存在异种花粉转移问题时,高度恒定的传粉者在最小的斑块中最有效。随着斑块大小的增加,传粉率总体上提高了,但在中等大小的区域,较少的昆虫产生了更好的传粉率,因为它们迅速地在不同的花种类之间转换了偏好。随着斑块大小的进一步增大,花恒性对传粉率的影响逐渐减小。研究结果表明,典型的社区农场,如果在一个分配区域内由独立种植者经营的小型单一作物斑块,如果合作经营以增加单一作物斑块的规模,可能会更好地授粉。作物斑块不必是大型的同质农业单一栽培,但它们也不应该如此小和异质,以抑制授粉。我们发现一个约11m x 11m的“金发姑娘区”是一个很好的授粉折衷,无论当地昆虫的开花水平如何。随着气候和人类土地利用对昆虫种群的影响越来越大,必须不断审查授粉系统、种植者和决策者之间的关系,以保障粮食供应和本地生态系统。
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引用次数: 4
Investment needs to achieve SDGs: An overview 实现可持续发展目标的投资需求:概述
Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000020
Shridhar Kulkarni, A. Hof, Geanderson Ambrósio, O. Edelenbosch, A. Köberle, Jeroen van Rijn, D. V. van Vuuren
Estimating the investments needed to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) is key to mobilising the financial resources to achieve them. Despite an increasing body of research to estimate the capital and operational costs towards achieving various related SDG targets individually and collectively, an overview of the total estimated investment needs at the global scale has not been conducted since the adoption of SDGs in 2015. This study provides such an overview. Estimates for investment needs are found for nine goals: SDG 2 (zero hunger), SDG 3 (good health and well-being), SDG 4 (quality education), SGD 6 (clean water and sanitation), SDG7 (access to energy), SDG 9 (infrastructure), SDG 13 (climate action), SDG 14 (life below water), and SDG 15 (life on land). The reviewed studies vary significantly in terms of applied methodology, the assumed targets that need to be achieved, and presented estimates, but overall they indicate significantly higher investment needs to achieve all covered SDGs than previous estimates suggest. For most SDGs, annual investment needs are in the order of hundreds of billion USD annually, and for SDG6 and SDG13 estimates of a trillion or more are reported.
估计实现可持续发展目标所需的投资是调动财政资源实现这些目标的关键。尽管越来越多的研究估算单独和集体实现各种相关可持续发展目标的资本和运营成本,但自2015年可持续发展目标通过以来,尚未对全球范围内的总估计投资需求进行概述。本研究提供了这样一个概述。对九个目标的投资需求进行了估计:可持续发展目标2(零饥饿)、可持续发展目标3(良好健康和福祉)、可持续发展目标4(优质教育)、可持续发展目标6(清洁水和卫生设施)、可持续发展目标7(获得能源)、可持续发展目标9(基础设施)、可持续发展目标13(气候行动)、可持续发展目标14(水下生命)和可持续发展目标15(陆地生命)。审查的研究在应用方法、需要实现的假设目标和提出的估计方面存在很大差异,但总体而言,它们表明实现所有涵盖的可持续发展目标所需的投资明显高于以前的估计。对于大多数可持续发展目标,每年的投资需求在数千亿美元左右,而对于可持续发展目标6和可持续发展目标13,估计每年需要1万亿美元或更多。
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引用次数: 7
A meta-analysis of the adoption of agricultural technology in Sub-Saharan Africa 撒哈拉以南非洲采用农业技术的荟萃分析
Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pstr.0000018
A. Arslan, Kristin M. Floress, C. Lamanna, L. Lipper, T. Rosenstock
Both global poverty and hunger have increased in recent years, endangering progress towards accomplishing Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 1 and 2. The regression has been most pronounced in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Meeting the SDG targets requires achieving resilient farm productivity. Although many farm management technologies exist to improve yields, farmers in SSA largely have not adopted these approaches. A long-standing literature about technology adoption identifies multiple hypotheses as to why farmers may or may not adopt new agricultural technologies, culminating in numerous micro-econometric studies. We analyse a metadata set capturing the findings of 164 published studies specifically focusing on SSA and show that 20 out of 38, or 53%, of the determinants commonly believed to influence technology adoption lack empirical support. Eighteen determinants—primarily related to information access, wealth, group membership and social capital, and land tenure—consistently influence adoption across studies. Wealth remains a significant determinant of fertilizer adoption, despite long-running subsidies in most countries, although it is decoupled from the adoption of improved seeds and alternative crop and nutrient management technologies. We highlight the foundational determinants of adoption and offer guidance to design effective interventions that can decrease poverty and hunger towards 2030.
近年来,全球贫困和饥饿都有所增加,危及实现可持续发展目标1和2的进展。这种倒退在撒哈拉以南非洲最为明显。实现可持续发展目标的具体目标需要实现具有抵御力的农业生产力。虽然有许多农场管理技术可以提高产量,但SSA的农民基本上没有采用这些方法。关于技术采用的长期文献确定了多种假设,即为什么农民可能会或可能不会采用新的农业技术,最终在许多微观计量经济学研究中达到顶峰。我们分析了一个元数据集,其中包含164项专门关注SSA的已发表研究的结果,结果表明,在通常被认为影响技术采用的38个决定因素中,有20个(53%)缺乏实证支持。18个决定因素——主要与信息获取、财富、群体成员和社会资本以及土地所有权相关——在研究中始终影响着采用率。尽管大多数国家长期提供补贴,但财富仍然是肥料采用的一个重要决定因素,尽管它与采用改良种子和替代作物及养分管理技术脱钩。我们强调了收养的基本决定因素,并为设计有效的干预措施提供指导,从而在2030年前减少贫困和饥饿。
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引用次数: 10
期刊
PLOS Sustainability and Transformation
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