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Correlation between the Greatest Agricultural Products Exporters to the EU: is Ukraine included? 对欧盟最大农产品出口国之间的相关性:乌克兰包括在内吗?
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150308
Oksana Kiforenko
Due to the challenges we are experiencing nowadays, the importance of food security is gaining in its attention, making the subjects supplying agricultural production and ready-made food products more important and influential either economically or politically. The data under research are the agricultural products exports of Brazil, Canada, China, Ukraine, the United Kingdom and the United States to the European Union. The agricultural products are the goods from SITC (0+1) groups. The timeframe under analysis is eleven years – from 2012 to 2022 included. The purpose of the research is to assess whether the Ukrainian agricultural exports to the EU are correlated with the said exports of Brazil, Canada, China, the UK and the USA, and, if they are, how strong the correlation is. The comparative analysis of the dynamics, simple statistics, differences with the previous periods for the agricultural products exports of the analysed subjects to the EU was conducted. The trend lines for the analysed data during the given timeframe and two following years, were built using the appropriate function. The Pearson and Spearman correlation coefficients and their corresponding p-values were calculated and analysed.
由于我们现在所面临的挑战,粮食安全的重要性越来越受到人们的关注,使得提供农业生产和现成食品的主体在经济或政治上更加重要和有影响力。所研究的数据是巴西、加拿大、中国、乌克兰、英国和美国对欧盟的农产品出口。农产品为SITC(0+1)集团产品。分析的时间框架为11年,包括2012年到2022年。本研究的目的是评估乌克兰对欧盟的农产品出口是否与巴西、加拿大、中国、英国和美国的上述出口相关,如果相关,相关性有多强。对分析对象对欧盟农产品出口的动态、简单统计、与前期的差异进行了比较分析。在给定的时间范围内和随后两年的分析数据的趋势线是使用适当的函数建立的。计算并分析Pearson和Spearman相关系数及其对应的p值。
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引用次数: 0
Detection of Creative Accounting in Agricultural Enterprises 农业企业会计创新问题的发现
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150303
Dana Bína, Michaela Zelenková, Tomáš Rain
The paper deals with the detection of creative accounting of enterprises in the agricultural sector to verify whether creative accounting is used to an increased extent by those farming enterprises that have been granted a bank loan; and then whether there is an effort to manipulate financial statements mainly in micro-small or medium and large enterprises. Four mathematical-financial models were applied to 150 accounting units with primarily agricultural activity to verify the hypotheses. Beneish M-score, Jones model, Altman Z-score and IN05 model were used. An increased risk of using creative accounting methods was identified in 28% of the investigated companies on average during the monitored period. Still, the assumption that the size of the accounting unit has a significant effect on the use of creative accounting methods was not proven. However, a higher motivation to manipulate financial statements can be expected in smaller accounting units due to their less stable financial position confirmed Altman Z-score and IN05 models. At the same time, a higher probability of using and a tendency to use creative accounting techniques were found among units that were granted a bank loan, which stems from the need to secure and maintain sufficient financing for business activities.
本文探讨了对农业企业虚假会计的检测,以验证获得银行贷款的农业企业是否越来越多地使用虚假会计;其次,是否存在操纵财务报表的行为,主要是在微型、小型或大中型企业中。四个数学金融模型应用于150个主要从事农业活动的会计单位来验证假设。采用Beneish M-score、Jones模型、Altman Z-score和IN05模型。在监测期间,平均有28%的被调查公司发现使用创造性会计方法的风险增加。尽管如此,会计单位的规模对创造性会计方法的使用有重大影响的假设尚未得到证实。然而,较小的会计单位操纵财务报表的动机更高,因为它们的财务状况不太稳定,证实了Altman Z-score和IN05模型。与此同时,在获得银行贷款的单位中,发现使用创造性会计技术的可能性和趋势较高,这是因为需要为商业活动获得和维持足够的资金。
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引用次数: 0
Climate Change Perception and Innovative Mitigation Practices Adopted by Hungarian Farms 匈牙利农场对气候变化的认识和采用的创新减缓做法
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150306
Manal Hamam, Maria Raimondo, Daniela Spina, Gábor Király, Giuseppe di Vita, Mario D’Amico, József Tóth
Climate change is becoming a growing concern for the agricultural sector. Variable weather events, such as droughts and floods, are expected to have a significant negative impact on agricultural losses, earnings and consumption. The agriculture industry in Europe is not immune to these difficulties. This study focuses on Hungary, a country with a strong agricultural focus that, as a result, is particularly susceptible to climate change. An exploratory factor analysis (EFA) was performed to synthesis data about the perspectives of Hungarian farmers on the dangers of climate change. Then, latent variables were employed as explanatory variables in the Logit model to investigate the link between the perceptions of climate change risks by Hungarian farmers and their inclination to adopt innovative ways to mitigate its repercussions. Changes in temperature and precipitation, economic damage, water damage, and insect damage are seen as the most serious repercussions of climate change by Hungarian farmers. These beliefs raise the possibility of adopting new strategies to offset harmful consequences, including (i) the adoption of new varieties, (ii) ice and frost protection, and (iii) the use of agro-meteorological data. The results show that the chance of adopting new varieties is substantially influenced by farmers’ assessments of harm caused by pests, pathogens, and illnesses (2.91***). In contrast, water damage concerns seem to have a significant impact on the adoption of novel approaches to reduce cold and frost damage (2.18***). This study’s findings support the efforts of stakeholders and policymakers to encourage the dissemination of technology to protect crops from climate change in Hungary and imply that governments should provide financial incentives to farmers to boost innovation uptake.
气候变化正成为农业部门日益关注的问题。干旱和洪水等多变的天气事件预计将对农业损失、收入和消费产生重大负面影响。欧洲的农业也不能幸免于这些困难。这项研究的重点是匈牙利,一个以农业为重点的国家,因此特别容易受到气候变化的影响。进行了探索性因素分析(EFA),以综合有关匈牙利农民对气候变化危险的看法的数据。然后,在Logit模型中使用潜在变量作为解释变量,以调查匈牙利农民对气候变化风险的感知与他们采用创新方式减轻其影响的倾向之间的联系。温度和降水的变化、经济损失、水害和昆虫损害被匈牙利农民视为气候变化最严重的影响。这些信念提高了采取新战略来抵消有害后果的可能性,包括(i)采用新品种,(ii)冰和霜冻保护,以及(iii)利用农业气象数据。结果表明,农民对病虫害、病原菌和病害危害程度的评价对采用新品种的机会有很大影响(2.91***)。相比之下,对水害的担忧似乎对采用新方法来减少寒冷和霜冻损害有重大影响(2.18***)。这项研究的发现支持了利益相关者和政策制定者鼓励传播技术以保护匈牙利作物免受气候变化影响的努力,并暗示政府应该向农民提供财政激励,以促进创新的吸收。
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引用次数: 0
EU Sanctions Against the Russian Federation and Their Implications for the Foreign Trade of the Czech Republic 欧盟对俄罗斯联邦的制裁及其对捷克对外贸易的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150310
Michal Malý, Eva Daniela Cvik, Radka MacGregor Pelikánová
Modern European integration entails the common foreign and security policy. In February 2022, the Russian aggression against Ukraine moved the deplorable situation from 2014 to another level calling for an EU reaction via legal instruments. Based on them, ten sanctions packages have emerged with significant consequences. The aim of this paper is to analyze it, in particular the connection of these ten sanctions packages and foreign trade between the Czech Republic and the Russian Federation. This aim is achieved by addressing three sets of goals: (i) the legal analysis of EU trade policy instruments, (ii) an advanced statistical and critical analysis of the trade between Czech Republic and Russian Federation and (iii) a creation of a timeline of the application and its ramifications. This reveals interesting propositions about the impact of these sanctions packages on the Czech foreign trade and about the effectiveness of the EU´s trade policy.
现代欧洲一体化需要共同的外交和安全政策。2022年2月,俄罗斯对乌克兰的侵略将2014年的悲惨局势推向了另一个阶段,要求欧盟通过法律手段作出反应。在此基础上,出现了十套制裁方案,产生了重大后果。本文的目的是分析它,特别是这十套制裁措施与捷克共和国和俄罗斯联邦之间的对外贸易之间的联系。这一目标是通过解决三组目标来实现的:(i)欧盟贸易政策工具的法律分析,(ii)对捷克共和国和俄罗斯联邦之间的贸易进行先进的统计和批判性分析,以及(iii)创建申请及其后果的时间表。这揭示了这些制裁方案对捷克对外贸易的影响以及欧盟贸易政策有效性的有趣主张。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of the Price Factor on Farmers' Incomes in Turbulent Conditions 动荡条件下价格因素对农民收入的影响
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150302
Stefanii Belinska, Peter Bielik, Yanina Belinska
Farmers face various types of risks that affect their behavioural strategies and well-being. In 2022, the main problem was the rapid and uncontrolled acceleration of inflation in the markets of raw materials, energy and food products. Farmers have faced price volatility in food, raw materials and energy. The purpose of the article was to analyse the impact of the price factor on farmers' incomes, including the total impact of prices on manufactured products and energy carriers. The regression-based analysis showed the negative nature of such an impact, which requires increased state support for farm income during the crisis period. As a result of the study, we proposed to reorient government support from simple subsidies to incentives for farmers to produce bioenergy from waste. This measure will increase farmers' energy independence, reduce income dependence on rising energy prices, and increase the efficiency of public spending.
农民面临影响其行为策略和福祉的各种风险。2022年,主要问题是原材料、能源和食品市场通货膨胀的迅速和不受控制的加速。农民面临着食品、原材料和能源价格的波动。本文的目的是分析价格因素对农民收入的影响,包括价格对制成品和能源载体的总影响。基于回归的分析显示了这种影响的负面性质,这需要在危机期间增加国家对农业收入的支持。根据这项研究,我们建议将政府的支持从简单的补贴转向激励农民从废物中生产生物能源。这一措施将提高农民的能源独立性,减少对能源价格上涨的收入依赖,并提高公共支出的效率。
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引用次数: 0
Personnel Potential in Agribusiness Enterprises in the Context of an Innovation Economy 创新经济背景下农业综合企业的人才潜力
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150301
Saltanat Baidybekova, Elmira Kydyrbayeva, Balhiya Shomshekova, Askar Sharipov, Meruyert Kasseinova
The sustainability of social and economic development of countries and individual regions depends on various factors, one of which is the personnel potential shaping the labour market. In recent years, the number of people employed in agriculture has declined and has led to a shortage of agricultural personnel in the labour market. The aim of the research is to study the condition of human resources in agricultural enterprises under the conditions of pandemic and economic crisis and to identify ways of solving personnel problems. The object of the study is the personnel potential in agricultural enterprises in the example of the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union for the period from 2016 to 2020. The methods of comparative analysis, absolute and relative values, and abstract thinking served as a methodological basis for the study. The information base of the study was statistical data from the Eurasian Economic Union, and the works of scientists. The article analyses the dynamics of the urban and rural population in the countries of the Eurasian Economic Union, the number of the employed population by types of economic activity, including the agricultural sector. The main task of improvement of agricultural and industrial enterprises is to provide the industry with highly qualified personnel, solve which it is necessary to pay a lot of attention to agricultural education. Currently, many school graduates do not want to work in the agricultural sector due to the fact that it is considered unclaimed, non-prestigious, and low-paid. Therefore, various measures are needed within the states to attract graduates to the agricultural sector and to retain young professionals in rural areas. The article identifies and proposes the main ways of improving the training of in-demand personnel for agricultural and industrial enterprises based on conducted research.
各国和个别区域的社会和经济发展的可持续性取决于各种因素,其中之一是形成劳动力市场的人员潜力。近年来,农业就业人数下降,导致劳动力市场上农业人员短缺。研究的目的是研究疫情和经济危机条件下农业企业的人力资源状况,并找出解决人力问题的途径。本研究以2016 - 2020年欧亚经济联盟国家为例,对农业企业的人员潜力进行了研究。比较分析法、绝对值与相对值法、抽象思维法是本研究的方法论基础。本研究的信息库是欧亚经济联盟的统计数据和科学家的著作。本文分析了欧亚经济联盟国家城市和农村人口的动态,以及按经济活动类型(包括农业部门)划分的就业人口数量。农业和工业企业发展的主要任务是为行业提供高素质的人才,解决这一问题必须高度重视农业教育。目前,许多学校毕业生不想在农业部门工作,因为它被认为是无人认领的,没有声望的,而且工资低。因此,各州需要采取各种措施,吸引毕业生到农业部门工作,并在农村地区留住年轻的专业人员。本文在调研的基础上,确定并提出了加强工农业企业紧缺人才培养的主要途径。
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引用次数: 0
UX and Machine Learning – Preprocessing of Audiovisual Data Using Computer Vision to Recognize UI Elements 用户体验和机器学习-使用计算机视觉识别用户界面元素的视听数据预处理
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150304
Martin Čejka, Jan Masner, Jan Jarolímek, Petr Benda, Michal Prokop, Pavel Šimek, Petr Šimek
This study explores the convergence of user experience (UX) and machine learning, particularly employing computer vision techniques to preprocess audiovisual data to detect user interface (UI) elements. With an emphasis on usability testing, the study introduces a novel approach for recognizing changes in UI screens within video recordings. The methodology involves a sequence of steps, including form prototype creation, laboratory experiments, data analysis, and computer vision tasks. The future aim is to automate the evaluation of user behavior during UX testing. This innovative approach is relevant to the agricultural domain, where specialized applications for precision agriculture, subsidy requests, and production reporting demand streamlined usability. The research introduces a frame extraction algorithm that identifies screen changes by analyzing pixel differences between consecutive frames. Additionally, the study employs YOLOv7, an efficient object detection model, to identify UI elements within the video frames. Results showcase successful screen change detection with minimal false negatives and acceptable false positives, showcasing the potential for enhanced automation in UX testing. The study’s implications lie in simplifying analysis processes, enhancing insights for design decisions, and fostering user-centric advancements in diverse sectors, including precision agriculture.
本研究探讨了用户体验(UX)和机器学习的融合,特别是利用计算机视觉技术预处理视听数据以检测用户界面(UI)元素。通过强调可用性测试,该研究引入了一种新的方法来识别视频记录中UI屏幕的变化。该方法包括一系列步骤,包括表单原型创建、实验室实验、数据分析和计算机视觉任务。未来的目标是在用户体验测试期间自动评估用户行为。这种创新的方法与农业领域相关,精准农业的专门应用程序、补贴请求和生产报告需要流线型的可用性。本研究引入了一种帧提取算法,通过分析连续帧之间的像素差异来识别屏幕变化。此外,本研究还采用了高效的目标检测模型YOLOv7来识别视频帧内的UI元素。结果显示成功的屏幕更改检测具有最小的假阴性和可接受的假阳性,展示了UX测试中增强自动化的潜力。该研究的意义在于简化分析过程,增强对设计决策的洞察力,并促进包括精准农业在内的各个领域以用户为中心的进步。
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引用次数: 0
An Empirical Evaluation of Information Sharing's Impact on Profitability; Evidence from the Solar Sector 信息共享对企业盈利能力影响的实证评价来自太阳板块的证据
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150305
Adrián Csordás, István Füzesi
The role of online marketing is significant. Businesses strive to maximize their profit, and there are low-budget but efficient digital solutions for this aim. Social media sites are not just a connection point but also a great surface to collect information regarding products and/or companies. Even though these free opportunities are often used, websites are the „classical” standalone digital surfaces used for marketing purposes. SEO (Search Engine Optimization) provides various techniques to improve the companies' websites' SERP (Search Engine Result Page). In addition, it could provide even statistically proven financial benefits. The current study analyzes the SEO’s influence on the financial performance of SMEs in the solar sector. The nationwide study based on the Kruskal-Wallis test revealed the importance of connecting social media sites to the company's website. The proper Social SEO results in significantly higher after-tax profit. Regarding the first contentful paints (first feedback to the browser about the website loading), the Pearson correlation coefficients showed up moderately strong, positive, significant relationships with many financial indicators.
网络营销的作用是显著的。企业努力实现利润最大化,有低预算但高效的数字解决方案可以实现这一目标。社交媒体网站不仅仅是一个连接点,也是一个收集产品和/或公司信息的好平台。尽管这些免费机会经常被使用,但网站是用于营销目的的“经典”独立数字表面。SEO(搜索引擎优化)提供各种技术来提高公司网站的SERP(搜索引擎结果页面)。此外,它甚至可以提供经统计证实的经济效益。当前的研究分析了SEO对太阳能行业中小企业财务绩效的影响。这项基于Kruskal-Wallis测试的全国性研究揭示了将社交媒体网站与公司网站连接起来的重要性。适当的社会SEO结果显著提高税后利润。关于第一次内容丰富的绘画(关于网站加载的第一次反馈给浏览器),Pearson相关系数与许多财务指标显示出中等强度的、积极的、显著的关系。
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引用次数: 0
Iot-Sensor-Equipped Food Waste Bio-Composter to Households and to Advance Egovernment in Municipality Authorities' Waste Management Practices 配备物联网传感器的食物垃圾生物堆肥机进入家庭,并在市政当局的废物管理实践中推进电子政务
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150309
Tuula Löytty, Sami Rantamäki, Hannamaija Fontell, Kalle Karlsson
Background: Finnish policymakers issued a new community waste law in 2022, that aims to increase household food waste recycling. The municipalities have launched the implementation of the waste law and are responsible for supervising the development of this new project. Problem: The implementation and supervision of the waste law increases authorities' workload and also public costs. Public servants manage the households’ compost register and carry out compost audits on-site. Challenge: The challenge is to put in place the new waste management law at the lowest public cost. Purpose: The research addresses the validation of a pioneering IT solution that supports and advances households' bio composting and aims to ease waste management authorities’ workload by fostering eGovernment. Methods: The intervention consists in delivering the IoT-sensor-equipped bio-composter and associated applications. The research adopts a mission-oriented approach, and establishes a place-based, multi-actor, participatory, and open innovation testbed at Living Lab. It leverages the Lean Startup process and SWOT analysis. The research method complies with the principles of Responsible Research and Innovation. Conclusions: The IoT-sensor-equipped bio-composter is a feasible solution. Municipality waste management authorities do not regard/consider the IoT-sensor-equipped solution as beneficial from their perspective. The eGovernment strategy is not a driver in this case since bio-composter mapping and monitoring could be a future tool for real estate maintenance companies.
背景:芬兰政策制定者于2022年颁布了一项新的社区废物法,旨在增加家庭食物垃圾的回收利用。各市已开始执行废物法,并负责监督这个新项目的发展。问题:废物法的实施和监督增加了主管部门的工作量,也增加了公共成本。公务员管理住户的堆肥登记簿,并在现场进行堆肥审计。挑战:挑战在于以最低的公共成本实施新的废物管理法。目的:本研究旨在验证一种开创性的IT解决方案,该解决方案支持和推进家庭生物堆肥,旨在通过促进电子政务来减轻废物管理部门的工作量。方法:干预包括提供配备物联网传感器的生物堆肥器及其相关应用。本研究采用任务导向的方法,在Living Lab建立了一个基于地点、多参与者、参与式和开放式的创新测试平台。它利用了精益创业过程和SWOT分析。研究方法符合负责任研究和创新的原则。结论:配备物联网传感器的生物堆肥机是一种可行的解决方案。市政废物管理部门并不认为配备物联网传感器的解决方案从他们的角度来看是有益的。在这种情况下,电子政务策略并不是驱动因素,因为生物堆肥测绘和监测可能是房地产维护公司未来的工具。
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引用次数: 0
Estimating Household Price and Income Elasticities for Animal-Sourced Food: The Case of Bengkulu Province, Indonesia 估算动物源性食品的家庭价格和收入弹性:以印度尼西亚明古鲁省为例
Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance Pub Date : 2023-09-30 DOI: 10.7160/aol.2023.150307
Nikmatul Khoiriyah, David Forgenie, Atiek Iriany
Bengkulu is one of the provinces in Indonesia where household protein consumption is still below the national protein recommended allowance. This paper examines the effect of price, income and socio-demographic factors on household demand using the Quadratic Almost Ideal Demand System (QUAIDS) model and data from the Indonesian National Socio-Economic Survey (Susenas) in March 2021, which includes 5,079 households. The QUADS parameters were estimated using the Iterated Nonlinear Seemingly Unrelated Regression technique with theoretical restrictions imposed. The estimated parameters from the model were utilized to derive price and income elasticities for animal-derived foods. Empirically, it was found that fish is the most elastic animal-sourced food with a demand elasticity of 4.44%, followed by beef (2.78%), milk (1.94%), poultry (1.54%), and eggs (0.82%). Fish substitutes for beef, chicken, and eggs when prices increase but is complementary to milk. Four animal-sourced food groups, namely fish, beef, milk, and poultry, are luxury items, with income elasticities of 2.57%, 2.39%, 2.22%, and 1.36%, respectively. In contrast, eggs were found to be a normal good with an income elasticity of 0.53%. Fish and beef are very elastic; thus, the government can use pricing strategies and implement policy to increase poultry and eggs production so that daily protein requirements of 57 grams per capita per day are reached in Bengkulu province.
明古鲁是印度尼西亚的一个省,那里的家庭蛋白质消费量仍低于国家蛋白质推荐量。本文使用二次几乎理想需求系统(QUAIDS)模型和2021年3月印度尼西亚国家社会经济调查(Susenas)的数据,研究了价格、收入和社会人口因素对家庭需求的影响,其中包括5079个家庭。采用迭代非线性看似不相关回归技术对四ads参数进行估计,并施加理论限制。利用模型估计的参数推导出动物性食品的价格和收入弹性。实证发现,鱼类是最具弹性的动物性食品,需求弹性为4.44%,其次是牛肉(2.78%)、牛奶(1.94%)、家禽(1.54%)和鸡蛋(0.82%)。鱼在价格上涨时可以代替牛肉、鸡肉和鸡蛋,但对牛奶是一种补充。鱼类、牛肉、牛奶、禽肉4类动物性食品为奢侈品,其收入弹性分别为2.57%、2.39%、2.22%、1.36%。相比之下,鸡蛋是一种正常商品,收入弹性为0.53%。鱼和牛肉很有弹性;因此,政府可以利用定价策略和实施政策来增加家禽和鸡蛋的产量,从而使明古鲁省的人均每日蛋白质需求量达到57克。
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引用次数: 1
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Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics
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