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Análisis de la representatividad de la MCVL: el caso de las prestaciones del sistema público de pensiones MCVL的代表性分析:以公共养老金制度的福利为例
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-03-21 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2548631
Juan Manuel Pérez Salamero González, Marta Regúlez-Castillo, Carlos Vidal-Meliá
El objetivo de este trabajo es contribuir a aumentar el conocimiento de la Muestra Continua de Vidas Laborales (MCVL) en cuanto a la informacion sobre prestaciones y advertir de posibles errores que se podrian cometer a la hora de realizar cierto tipo de estudios sobre el sistema publico de pensiones. Se analiza el conjunto de datos de prestaciones de la MCVL de 2010 teniendo en cuenta los datos agrupados por tipo de pension, grupos de edad y genero, asi como por cuantia. Despues de realizar las pruebas estadisticas apropiadas sobre el ajuste de la muestra a la poblacion basada en los datos del Informe Estadistico anual del INSS del mismo ano, se concluye que los datos extraidos de la MCVL pueden no ser una fiel replica de la poblacion objeto de estudio, para cierto tipo de investigaciones, debido a su concepcion inicial (Muestra Aleatoria Simple), algunos errores originados en las fuentes administrativas y problemas de reclasificacion. Este resultado advierte de las implicaciones que pudiera tener en aquellos estudios que seleccionaran una submuestra de los datos de la MCVL sobre determinado tipo de prestaciones.
这项工作的目的是有助于增加关于福利信息的连续工作生活样本(MCVL)的知识,并警告在对公共养老金制度进行某些类型的研究时可能出现的错误。本文分析了2010年MCVL福利数据集,考虑了按养老金类型、年龄和性别分组的数据以及按数量分组的数据。后进行测试统计适当调整示例报告数据基于不合社会保障协会年度Estadistico肛门,MCVL extraidos数据被认为可以忠实复制并不是一个研究对象不合,对于某些类型的研究,由于其初始concepcion(简单的随机样本),某些行政来源和reclasificacion问题引起的错误。这一结果警告了那些选择MCVL数据子样本的特定类型福利的研究可能产生的影响。
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引用次数: 10
The Separation of Intelligence and Control: Retirement Savings and the Limits of Soft Paternalism 情报与控制的分离:退休储蓄与软家长制的局限性
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-02-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2404183
J. Russell
“Soft paternalism” is in vogue among academics and lawmakers, but too much is being asked of it. This Article studies soft paternalist techniques — including nudging and disclosure — that have been used in the employer-sponsored retirement system. Defined-contribution retirement plans represent an ideal test case for libertarian paternalism: there has been extensive experimentation, and it has often been held up as a success by nudge advocates. In particular, this Article focuses on investment allocation decisions in retirement portfolios, and suggests we should be skeptical of the ability of soft paternalism to improve those decisions. When a domain is rife with conflicts of interest — as in the allocation context — soft-touch strategies fare poorly. Since our tax-incentivized retirement system has paternalistic roots, we should more readily consider direct regulation of investment options available to retirement accounts. The migration of American retirement savings from centralized, risk-pooling structures (Social Security and pensions) towards individual retirement plans (401(k) plans and other tax-favored, individually managed accounts) had collateral consequences. In particular, the responsibility for making complicated financial choices was redistributed to the individual saver — who typically lacks the knowledge and sophistication to make such choices. The result has been that many savers make costly mistakes in investing their portfolios. In response, academics and policymakers, most formally through the Pension Protection Act of 2006, have turned to a variety of typical “soft” remedies, including nudges designed to improve investment decisions by allowing employers to automatically direct employee savings into certain default mutual funds.This Article argues that nudges have failed and will continue to fail in improving the allocation of retirement portfolios, because of problems that are common in many nudge programs. First, nudges rarely consider the ability of third parties to counter-nudge or to weaken nudge outcomes. Conflicts of interest are pervasive in the mutual fund and retirement industry, and those who accept the nudges are being pushed into a category of funds of dubious merit, and which appear to be worsening as institutions seek to exploit the default. Second, nudges are often loosely connected, or not connected at all, to the cognitive problems they seek to remedy. In the retirement allocation context, the nudge acts as a weak mandate for a substantive preference, rather than as a corrective for investors’ cognitive biases. Finally, nudging often asserts autonomy — taking an agent’s preferences seriously — as its central goal. But the claim that the retirement allocation nudges respect savers’ preferences is problematic as a descriptive matter, and illogical as a normative matter in a domain that is already a government-sponsored, tax-advantaged, paternalistic means to encourage retirement savings.
“软家长制”在学者和立法者中很流行,但人们对它的要求太多了。这篇文章研究了软家长式的技巧——包括轻推和披露——已经在雇主赞助的退休制度中使用。固定缴款退休计划代表了自由意志主义家长式作风的理想测试案例:已经进行了广泛的实验,并且经常被推动倡导者视为成功。本文特别关注退休投资组合中的投资分配决策,并建议我们应该对软家长制改善这些决策的能力持怀疑态度。当一个领域充斥着利益冲突时——就像在分配环境中一样——软性策略表现不佳。由于我们的税收激励退休制度有着家长式的根源,我们应该更容易地考虑对退休账户的投资选择进行直接监管。美国退休储蓄从集中的风险分担结构(社会保障和养老金)向个人退休计划(401(k)计划和其他税收优惠的个人管理账户)的转移产生了附带后果。特别是,做出复杂金融选择的责任被重新分配给了个人储蓄者——他们通常缺乏做出此类选择的知识和经验。其结果是,许多储户在投资他们的投资组合时犯下了代价高昂的错误。作为回应,学者和政策制定者(多数是通过2006年《养老金保护法案》(Pension Protection Act of 2006)正式出台)转向了各种典型的“软”补救措施,包括通过允许雇主自动将员工储蓄转入某些默认共同基金,来改善投资决策。本文认为,由于许多推动计划中常见的问题,推动在改善退休投资组合配置方面已经失败,并将继续失败。首先,推动者很少考虑第三方对抗推动或削弱推动结果的能力。在共同基金和退休基金行业,利益冲突无处不在,那些接受这种推动的基金正被推入一个价值可疑的基金类别,随着机构寻求利用违约,这种情况似乎正在恶化。其次,轻推通常与他们寻求补救的认知问题联系不紧密,或者根本没有联系。在退休分配的背景下,推动作用是对实质性偏好的弱授权,而不是对投资者认知偏差的纠正。最后,轻推通常主张自主——认真对待一个主体的偏好——作为其核心目标。但是,退休分配鼓励尊重储户偏好的说法,作为一个描述性问题是有问题的,作为一个规范性问题也是不合逻辑的,因为这个领域已经是一个政府支持的、税收优惠的、家长式的方式来鼓励退休储蓄。
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引用次数: 8
Pension Reforms and Incentives to Domestic Capital Markets: A Global Study 养老金改革与国内资本市场激励:一项全球研究
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-01-21 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2556835
M. Seijas, J. Brida
Personal individual capitalization systems have experienced significant growth in recent decades, following the trend of aging populations and defined benefit pension crisis. This article investigates whether the implementation of funded pension schemes globally has prompted the development of domestic capital markets worldwide, considering 31 pension funds over the period of 1990-2011. The methodological strategy relies upon panel data regressions applied to depth and liquidity indicators of stock and bond markets. The analysis has revealed that individual capitalization pension funds have meant a stimulus to stock market depth. A negative causality with stock market liquidity is also evidenced, which is linked to the long-term profile of pension portfolio management, which privileges funding strategies on trading strategies. Given the structural diversity of pension systems studied, the article uses clustering classification tools for segmenting the population according to the importance of pension funds in the economy. This analysis shows that there are homogeneous groups whose members have similar age of the systems, but not a geographical proximity or type of system structure. It is found that the attribute of belonging to a cluster determines significant impacts of pension systems in relation to indicators of capital market development. Stock markets depth and liquidity indicators receive the positive impacts of greater magnitude from the systems included in the advanced maturation cluster. Pension funds belonging to the low gradual and incipient maturation cluster exert significant impacts on public bond markets depth. These findings are consistent with existing literature and with the investment portfolio, that usually characterizes pension funds in their earlier stages of life.
近几十年来,随着人口老龄化和固定收益养老金危机的趋势,个人资本化制度经历了显著的增长。本文以1990-2011年间的31只养老基金为研究对象,考察了全球范围内基金养老计划的实施是否促进了国内资本市场的发展。方法策略依赖于应用于股票和债券市场深度和流动性指标的面板数据回归。分析显示,个人资本化养老基金对股市深度有刺激作用。与股票市场流动性的负因果关系也得到了证明,这与养老金投资组合管理的长期概况有关,这使得融资策略优先于交易策略。鉴于所研究的养老金制度的结构多样性,本文根据养老金在经济中的重要性,使用聚类分类工具对人口进行细分。这种分析表明,存在同质群体,其成员具有相似的系统年龄,但没有地理邻近性或系统结构类型。研究发现,集群属性决定了养老金制度对资本市场发展指标的显著影响。股票市场深度和流动性指标受到先进成熟集群系统的更大的正向影响。养老基金属于低渐进性和初成熟性集群,对公共债券市场深度有显著影响。这些发现与现有文献和投资组合一致,这通常是养老基金早期阶段的特征。
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引用次数: 2
Recruiting and Retaining High-Quality State and Local Workers: Do Pensions Matter? 招聘和留住高质量的州和地方工人:养老金重要吗?
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2015-01-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2546047
A. Munnell, J. Aubry, Geoffrey T. Sanzenbacher
Many state and local governments have responded to challenges facing their pension plans by cutting benefits. Will these cuts make it harder for state and local governments to recruit and retain high-quality workers? To date, the answer has been difficult to obtain; most micro-level datasets contain information on the existence of pensions but not on pension generosity. To get around this constraint, this study uses a unique source, the Public Plans Database, to obtain data on the pension generosity of state and local workers’ pensions. These data are merged with the Current Population Survey to investigate how pension generosity affects the gap between the private sector wage of workers that states and localities recruit from the private sector relative to the workers that they lose to it. The findings suggest relatively generous pensions help reduce this “quality gap,” making it easier for state and local employers to recruit high-earning workers from the private sector and retain those workers. The effect is similar regardless of whether employer or employee contributions finance the benefits. The study suggests states should be cautious as they cut their pension benefits and that a strategy to maintain benefits by shifting some costs onto employees may help maintain states’ ability to recruit and retain high-quality workers.
许多州和地方政府通过削减福利来应对养老金计划面临的挑战。这些削减会使州和地方政府更难招募和留住高素质的工人吗?迄今为止,很难得到答案;大多数微观层面的数据集包含养老金存在的信息,但不包含养老金慷慨程度的信息。为了绕过这一限制,本研究使用了一个独特的来源,即公共计划数据库,来获取有关州和地方工人养老金慷慨程度的数据。这些数据与当前人口调查(Current Population Survey)合并,以调查养老金慷慨程度如何影响各州和地方政府从私营部门招聘的工人的工资与从私营部门流失的工人之间的差距。研究结果表明,相对慷慨的养老金有助于缩小这种“质量差距”,使州和地方雇主更容易从私营部门招聘高收入工人并留住这些工人。无论雇主或雇员是否为福利提供资金,其效果都是相似的。该研究建议,各州在削减养老金福利时应谨慎,通过将部分成本转嫁给雇员来维持福利的策略,可能有助于维持各州招聘和留住高素质工人的能力。
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引用次数: 13
Labor Market Shocks and Early Social Security Benefit Claiming 劳动力市场冲击和早期社会保障福利申领
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-12-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2609044
David Card, Nicole Maestas, P. Purcell
Many job-losers suffer large and persistent losses in earnings capacity. For displaced workers who are age-eligible, one reaction to these losses is to begin claiming Social Security retirement benefits. We use administrative earnings records from the Social Security Administration’s Continuous Work History Sample to study the impacts of labor market shocks among workers in their late 50’s and early 60’s on Social Security retirement benefit claiming rates. We find that labor market shocks lead to current and future increases in the fraction of insured workers who initiate Social Security benefits at the earliest possible claiming age. Moreover, once they initiate benefits, early claimants continue to have low levels of earnings in all subsequent years.
许多失业者在赚钱能力方面遭受巨大而持久的损失。对于符合年龄条件的失业工人来说,对这些损失的一种反应是开始申请社会保障退休福利。我们使用来自社会保障局连续工作历史样本的行政收入记录来研究劳动力市场冲击对50多岁和60多岁的工人的社会保障退休福利申领率的影响。我们发现,劳动力市场的冲击导致当前和未来在尽可能早的申领年龄启动社会保障福利的参保工人比例的增加。此外,一旦他们开始领取福利金,早期申领人在随后所有年份的收入水平仍然很低。
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引用次数: 10
The Retention Effects of High Years of Service Cliff-Vesting Pension Plans 高服务年限的悬崖授予养老金计划的保留效应
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-09-26 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2502074
J. Cunha, A. Menichini, A. Crockett
We study the retention effects of the Australian military’s decision to remove a 20-year cliff-vesting requirement from their retirement system in 1991. We follow to the present individuals who self-selected into and out of the 20-year cliff-vesting plan, as well as those who were forced out of the plan. Eliminating the high years of service cliff-vesting provision leads to consistently higher attrition over time.
我们研究了1991年澳大利亚军队决定从他们的退休制度中取消20年的悬崖授予要求的保留效应。我们跟踪了那些自愿加入和退出20年悬崖投资计划的人,以及那些被迫退出该计划的人。随着时间的推移,取消高服务年限的悬崖授予条款会导致持续更高的人员流失率。
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引用次数: 5
Ethnic Minorities Saving in the UK: A Life-Cycle Analysis 英国少数民族储蓄:一个生命周期分析
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-07-30 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2637884
R. Adami, A. Carosi, O. Gough, Anita Sharma
In this paper, we apply the life-cycle framework to study saving accumulation and de-cumulation among ethnic minorities in the UK. Our findings reflect large variations between ethnic groups in terms of socio-economic characteristics and saving accumulation during the working life as well as in retirement, with gender, income and education as the most important factors in determining saving behaviours. The Pakistani and Bangladeshi ethnic groups in particular, show greater disadvantage in the workplace, which reflects negatively on their labour income and saving patterns. Although many ethnic minority groups show positive savings at the start of their working lives, the disadvantage experienced in employment has a profound effect on their ability to save for the long-term.
本文运用生命周期框架对英国少数民族的储蓄积累与去积累进行了研究。我们的研究结果反映了不同种族在社会经济特征和工作期间以及退休后的储蓄积累方面的巨大差异,性别、收入和教育是决定储蓄行为的最重要因素。特别是巴基斯坦和孟加拉国族裔群体在工作场所表现出更大的劣势,这对他们的劳动收入和储蓄模式产生了不利影响。尽管许多少数民族在工作之初表现出积极的储蓄,但在就业中所经历的不利因素对他们长期储蓄的能力产生了深远的影响。
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引用次数: 0
Ageing Populations, Retirement Incomes and Public Policy: What Really Matters 人口老龄化、退休收入和公共政策:真正重要的是什么
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-06-17 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2452247
M. Littlewood
When setting public policies on retirement incomes, governments should focus on objectives they have a unique capacity to influence. Only governments can reliably eliminate poverty in old age, level the tax and regulatory playing fields for financial service providers/savers and gather impeccable, deep data. They can also help citizens to understand the things that really matter to individual saving decisions. Governments should avoid trying to influence or direct private provision for retirement by tax breaks or compulsion (‘hard’ or ‘soft’). That those common interventions seem not to work is only one of their many shortcomings. Then, citizens and employers should make their own decisions about financial provision for retirement.
在制定有关退休收入的公共政策时,政府应侧重于它们具有独特影响能力的目标。只有政府才能可靠地消除老年人的贫困,为金融服务提供商/储户提供公平的税收和监管环境,并收集无可挑剔的深度数据。它们还可以帮助公民理解对个人储蓄决策真正重要的事情。政府应避免试图通过税收减免或强制(“硬”或“软”)来影响或指导私人为退休提供资金。这些常见的干预措施似乎不起作用,这只是它们众多缺点之一。然后,公民和雇主应该自己决定退休后的财务准备。
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引用次数: 4
Hybrid Retirement Plans: Acceptable Compromises and Long-Term Solutions 混合退休计划:可接受的妥协和长期解决方案
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.2659329
Brandes Institute
Americans are rapidly losing their pensions — replaced by savings plans disguised as retirement plans. Many sponsors view defined contribution (DC) plans as the best option for retaining some of the features of a pension plan without bearing all of the costs and risks of DB. This paper explores how hybrid plans offer a more flexible approach to retirement plans by bringing together the best features of both DB and DC. This paper explores how: • Hybrid plans offer a flexible third option — taking advantage of the best features of DB and DC plans, including: • A shared-risk approach • Stable cost • Guaranteed lifetime benefits • Professional management • Hybrid plans — and how they balance sponsor and beneficiary responsibilities — differ materially and hence provide flexibility. • A hybrid plan can limit participant biases and may help increase contributions and reduce investment risk. • Hybrid plans use professional management that can look beyond short-term volatility to focus on maximizing return potential (e.g., greater exposure to equities and higher yielding bonds). • Hybrids pool individual participants’ assets, helping counter longevity risk.
美国人正在迅速失去他们的养老金,取而代之的是伪装成退休计划的储蓄计划。许多保荐人认为固定缴款(DC)计划是保留养老金计划的一些特点而不承担固定缴款计划的所有成本和风险的最佳选择。本文探讨了混合计划如何通过结合固定缴款计划和固定缴款计划的最佳特性,为退休计划提供更灵活的方法。本文探讨了混合计划如何提供灵活的第三种选择-利用固定缴款计划和固定缴款计划的最佳特性,包括:•风险分担方法•稳定成本•保证终身福利•专业管理•混合计划-以及它们如何平衡保证人和受益人的责任-具有重大差异,因此提供了灵活性。•混合计划可以限制参与者的偏见,并可能有助于增加供款和降低投资风险。•混合计划采用专业管理,可以超越短期波动,专注于最大限度地提高回报潜力(例如,更多地投资于股票和高收益债券)。•混合基金汇集了个人参与者的资产,有助于抵御长寿风险。
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引用次数: 0
The Impact of Mandatory Coverage on State and Local Budgets 强制性保险对州和地方预算的影响
Q3 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2014-05-01 DOI: 10.2139/SSRN.2443857
A. Munnell, J. Aubry, Anek Belbase
The policy option of extending mandatory Social Security coverage to newly hired uncovered state and local workers is often included in packages to eliminate the program’s financing shortfall. The arguments for mandatory coverage go beyond financial considerations, though, as extending coverage would bring benefit protections that state and local workers currently lack and would improve equity by more broadly sharing the burden of Social Security’s legacy costs. The main argument against mandatory coverage is that it would raise costs to public employers and workers. The actual cost increase depends on the extent to which employers reduce their existing pensions when adopting Social Security. This paper estimates the costs under four different integration strategies: 1) no adjustment to existing pensions; 2) match the level of the first-year benefit; 3) match the lifetime benefit; and 4) match the benefit to levels in neighboring states with Social Security coverage. This analysis is conducted for 22 state-administered plans in 13 states that were identified as lacking coverage. The results show that the cost of adding Social Security varies significantly, with the smallest increase for the “match lifetime benefit” option and the largest increase for the “no adjustment” option. Presenting the additional costs as a percent of payroll may exaggerate their burden on the employer as the increases will likely be split between employer and employee. Perhaps a better way to gauge the size of the cost increase is as a share of a state’s budget; this measure shows only a very modest impact.
将强制性社会保障覆盖范围扩大到新雇佣的未覆盖的州和地方工人的政策选项通常包含在一揽子计划中,以消除该计划的资金短缺。然而,强制覆盖的理由不仅仅是出于经济上的考虑,因为扩大覆盖范围将带来州和地方工人目前缺乏的福利保护,并将通过更广泛地分担社会保障遗留成本的负担来提高公平性。反对强制医保的主要理由是,它会增加公共部门雇主和工人的成本。实际增加的成本取决于雇主在采用社会保障制度时减少现有养老金的程度。本文估计了四种不同整合策略下的成本:1)不调整现有养老金;2)匹配第一年的福利水平;3)匹配终身福利;4)将福利与邻近州的社会保障覆盖水平相匹配。这项分析是对13个州的22个州管理的计划进行的,这些计划被确定为缺乏覆盖。结果表明,增加社会保障的成本差异显著,“匹配终身福利”选项增加的成本最小,“不调整”选项增加的成本最大。以工资的百分比来表示额外成本可能会夸大雇主的负担,因为增加的成本可能会在雇主和雇员之间分摊。也许衡量成本增长规模的更好方法是将其作为州预算的一部分;这一措施只显示出非常有限的影响。
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引用次数: 9
期刊
Social Security Bulletin
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