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In the Middle: American Multinationals in China and Trade War Politics 在中间:美国在华跨国公司与贸易战政治
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-08-12 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.14
Rigao Liu, Jiakun Jack Zhang, Samantha A. Vortherms
Abstract Which factors make some American multinational corporations (MNCs) take political action in response to the US–China Trade War and cause others to stay on the sidelines? We identify China-based subsidiaries of US firms to identify firms’ political actions in response to the trade war. We combine data on firms’ tariff exposure, economic actions in China, and political actions in the United States during the trade war. Together these data highlight the divergent strategies with which firms engage. Even though more than 63 percent of MNCs in our sample were adversely impacted by tariffs, only 22 percent voice opposition and 7 percent exit in response to the trade war. Our analysis reveals that US MNCs in China differ in their business models, ownership structure, experience in China, and size of capital investments. These firm-level factors determine the degree to which US MNCs are embedded in China. This in turn shapes how firms perceive political risk and choose from the menu of options to deal with the trade war. Size and age increase voice while joint-venture status decreases it.
是什么因素导致一些美国跨国公司在应对中美贸易战时采取政治行动,而其他跨国公司却在一旁观望?我们确定了美国公司在中国的子公司,以确定公司为应对贸易战而采取的政治行动。我们将企业的关税风险、中国的经济行动和贸易战期间美国的政治行动的数据结合起来。这些数据共同凸显了企业所采用的不同战略。尽管我们样本中超过63%的跨国公司受到关税的不利影响,但只有22%的公司表示反对,7%的公司为应对贸易战而退出。我们的分析显示,在华美国跨国公司在商业模式、股权结构、在华经验和资本投资规模等方面存在差异。这些公司层面的因素决定了美国跨国公司融入中国的程度。这反过来又决定了企业如何看待政治风险,并从应对贸易战的选项菜单中做出选择。规模和年龄增加了话语权,合资地位降低了话语权。
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引用次数: 3
Instinctive Commercial Peace Theorists? Interpreting American Views of the US–China Trade War 本能的商业和平理论家?解读美国对中美贸易战的看法
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-07-11 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.9
David Bulman
Abstract Existing theories of individual trade preferences do not satisfactorily explain how security concerns should affect American support for the US–China trade war that began in 2018. Although existing theories of public attitudes toward international trade—economic self-interest, sociotropism, partisanship, reciprocity, and xenophobia—all help to explain initial support for the trade war, these hypotheses do not adequately explain citizen attitudes in the context of an increasingly adversarial and securitized bilateral US–China relationship. In particular, they do not address how rising security tensions affect trade preferences. Using nationally representative original survey data (n = 1,016) and a nonrepresentative survey with an embedded experiment (n = 1,015), this article argues that securitization of the bilateral economic relationship has spurred threat perceptions and given rise to a Cold War narrative that has in turn caused a substantial share of Americans to become less concerned with the economic outcomes of trade and more concerned with trade's effect on security. These Americans demonstrate an instinctive “commercial peace” response, seeing trade liberalization as a potential deterrent to conflict. The results challenge conventional wisdom on political support for the trade war and add depth to existing theories of individual trade preferences regarding the interaction between economic, security, and psychological motivations.
现有的个人贸易优惠理论并不能令人满意地解释安全问题如何影响美国对2018年开始的中美贸易战的支持。尽管现有的关于公众对国际贸易态度的理论——经济上的自利、社会取向、党派之争、互惠和仇外心理——都有助于解释最初对贸易战的支持,但这些假设并不能充分解释在日益敌对和安全的中美双边关系背景下的公民态度。特别是,它们没有解决日益加剧的安全紧张局势如何影响贸易优惠。本文使用具有全国代表性的原始调查数据(n = 1,016)和一项带有嵌入式实验的非代表性调查(n = 1,015),认为双边经济关系的证券化刺激了对威胁的认知,并引发了冷战叙事,这反过来又导致相当一部分美国人不再那么关心贸易的经济结果,而是更关心贸易对安全的影响。这些美国人表现出一种本能的“商业和平”反应,将贸易自由化视为对冲突的潜在威慑。研究结果挑战了关于政治支持贸易战的传统观点,并加深了有关经济、安全和心理动机之间相互作用的个人贸易偏好的现有理论。
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引用次数: 1
Bilateral Tensions, the Trade War, and US–China Trade Relations 双边紧张局势、贸易战和美中贸易关系
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-09 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.8
K. Zeng, Rob Wells, Jingping Gu, Austin Wilkins
Abstract This article constructs a measure of geopolitical and economic tensions in US–China relations based on the sentiment expressed in major US news media and utilizes it to analyze the impact of bilateral tensions on US imports from China between 2002 and 2019. Our results suggest that bilateral tensions have had a negative effect on US imports. Additional analyses of the impact of bilateral tensions for industries with varying levels of supply chain linkages to China suggest that, contrary to expectations, they have more disproportionately affected industries highly integrated with the Chinese market. This pattern continues to hold during the trade war period. Not only were bilateral tensions associated with higher tariffs for industries with high levels of global value chain linkages to China, but the tariff hikes have also had a more sustained impact on such industries. Overall, our findings indicate that potential “sunk costs” considerations may not have been strong enough to forestall the downward trend in bilateral trade relations under both routine diplomacy and trade war conditions.
本文基于美国主要新闻媒体所表达的情绪,构建了中美关系中地缘政治和经济紧张的度量,并利用该度量分析了2002年至2019年双边紧张对美国从中国进口的影响。我们的研究结果表明,双边紧张局势对美国进口产生了负面影响。对双边紧张局势对与中国有不同程度供应链联系的行业的影响的进一步分析表明,与预期相反,它们对与中国市场高度整合的行业的影响更为不成比例。这种模式在贸易战期间仍将持续。双边关系紧张不仅与对与中国有高度全球价值链联系的行业征收更高的关税有关,而且关税上调也对这些行业产生了更持久的影响。总体而言,我们的研究结果表明,在常规外交和贸易战条件下,潜在的“沉没成本”考虑可能不足以阻止双边贸易关系的下降趋势。
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引用次数: 3
Inoculating the University R&D Enterprise: How RISC can strengthen post-COVID-19 research integrity and global supply chains 接种大学研发企业:RISC如何加强后covid -19研究完整性和全球供应链
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.2
W. Norris, Katie Vaughan-Naron, Neha Kashyap, Joseph Balmain Rodgers
Abstract The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored emerging vulnerabilities in the US research and development (R&D) ecosystem. While an open and collaborative environment has been essential for advancing R&D, this approach exposes university-based R&D to a variety of security threats including state-supported efforts, attacks by malicious actors, and insufficient internal mitigation. As the pandemic led to more remote work and online collaboration, the incidence of exploitation has expanded. Increased security measures are needed to insulate and protect the R&D ecosystem, and US innovation more broadly, while maintaining the fundamental qualities that have contributed to its historical success. In this article, we present the Research Integrity Security Certification (RISC) framework. This concept preserves the autonomy of the US higher education system while also suggesting a mechanism whose effect would be a general enhancement of the security of the US university R&D enterprise with minimal additional state involvement. Much of the work in the proposed model is done by market mechanisms and self-interested microeconomic calculations that generate beneficial aggregate effects. The RISC framework modernizes the university R&D enterprise while strengthening it to operate in this evolving security environment.
2019冠状病毒病大流行凸显了美国研发生态系统的脆弱性。虽然开放和协作的环境对于推进研发至关重要,但这种方法使基于大学的研发面临各种安全威胁,包括国家支持的努力、恶意行为者的攻击以及内部缓解措施不足。随着大流行导致更多的远程工作和在线协作,剥削的发生率有所增加。我们需要加强安全措施,以隔离和保护研发生态系统和更广泛的美国创新,同时保持为其历史成功做出贡献的基本品质。在本文中,我们介绍了研究完整性安全认证(RISC)框架。这一概念保留了美国高等教育系统的自主权,同时也提出了一种机制,其效果将是在最低限度的额外国家参与下普遍增强美国大学研发企业的安全性。拟议模型中的大部分工作是由市场机制和产生有益总体效应的自利微观经济计算完成的。RISC框架使大学研发企业现代化,同时加强其在不断发展的安全环境中运作。
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引用次数: 1
BAP volume 24 issue 2 Cover and Front matter BAP第24卷第2期封面和封面问题
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-06-01 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.6
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引用次数: 0
Is China Responsible for Its Maritime Militia's Internationally Wrongful Acts? The Attribution of the Conduct of a Parastatal Entity to the State 中国是否应对海上民兵的国际不法行为负责?将半国有实体的行为归咎于国家
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-05-09 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.7
S. Yoo, M. Koo
Abstract China's maritime militia groups have attracted much scholarly attention in recent years. Systematically funded and trained by the Chinese authorities, the militia groups help advance China's maritime claims but risk both intended and unintended physical clashes at sea. Based on the 2001 Articles on Responsibility of States for Internationally Wrongful Acts, this study explores the possibility of establishing and recognizing China's state responsibility in relation to the internationally wrongful conduct of its maritime militia. China's maritime militia groups blur the line between fishing boats and naval forces. In essence, they are empowered to perform the critical function of the Chinese government as provided by Chinese internal laws. As shown by emerging evidence, China's maritime militia groups are also instructed, directed, and/or controlled by the Chinese state organs including military authority and party leadership, both central and local. This study finds that the conduct of Chinese maritime militia constitutes the breach of China's international obligations in terms of (1) due regard for other states, (2) maritime safety, (3) marine environment protection and preservation, and/or (4) the overfishing ban.
近年来,中国海上民兵组织引起了学术界的广泛关注。这些民兵组织有系统地得到中国当局的资助和训练,他们帮助推进了中国的海洋主张,但也冒着在海上发生有意或无意的肢体冲突的风险。本研究以2001年《国际不法行为国家责任条款》为基础,探讨确立和承认中国对其海上民兵国际不法行为的国家责任的可能性。中国海上民兵组织模糊了渔船和海军之间的界限。从本质上讲,他们被授权履行中国内法规定的中国政府的关键职能。新出现的证据表明,中国的海上民兵组织也受到包括中央和地方军事当局和党的领导在内的中国国家机关的指示、指挥和/或控制。本研究发现,中国海上民兵的行为违反了中国在以下方面的国际义务:(1)适当考虑其他国家;(2)海上安全;(3)海洋环境保护和养护;和/或(4)禁止过度捕捞。
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引用次数: 0
The rationale and development of organizational democracy scale 组织民主规模的基本原理与发展
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-05-05 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.5
Kaleem Ahmed, Alia Ahmed
Abstract The idea of bringing democratization at the workplace has been present in management literature for decades. Literature has witnessed an increased interest of researchers on this topic, especially after the 2003 Academy of Management Annual Meeting conference having the theme “Democracy in a Knowledge Economy,” and August 2004 special issue of the Academy of Management Executive: “Democracy in and around Organizations.” To further explore this underpinned concept, the present study aims to refine and develop the organizational democracy construct. Using in-depth literature analysis published in last three decades on organizational democracy, ten dimensions (freedom, fairness, integrity, tolerance, shared responsibility, structure, transparency, knowledge sharing, accountability, and learning environment) were identified, leading to the development of its conceptual framework. By deploying established scale development procedures, the organizational democracy scale was developed, refined, and validated. The new organizational democracy scale consists of forty-five items consistent with theory and practice. The scale will assist future researchers and industrial practitioners in a deeper exploration of this construct and organizational managers for establishing, assessing, and improving democratic practices at their workplaces.
在工作场所带来民主化的想法已经出现在管理文献中几十年了。文献表明,研究人员对这一主题的兴趣越来越大,特别是在2003年管理学会年会以“知识经济中的民主”为主题之后,以及2004年8月管理学会特刊“组织内部和组织周围的民主”之后。为了进一步探索这一基础概念,本研究旨在完善和发展组织民主建设。通过对过去三十年发表的关于组织民主的深入文献分析,确定了十个维度(自由、公平、诚信、宽容、共同责任、结构、透明度、知识共享、问责制和学习环境),从而形成了其概念框架。通过部署已建立的规模发展程序,组织民主规模得到了发展、完善和验证。新的组织民主量表由45个符合理论和实践的项目组成。该量表将帮助未来的研究人员和行业从业者更深入地探索这一结构,并帮助组织管理者在他们的工作场所建立、评估和改进民主实践。
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引用次数: 3
Dispute settlement, labor and environmental provisions in PTAs: When will business interests shift positions? 贸易协定中的争端解决、劳工和环境条款:商业利益何时会转变立场?
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-04 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.4
Rodrigo Fagundes Cezar
Abstract Some protrade business interests that are against hard enforcement of labor and environmental provisions in trade deals may end up eventually supporting it, while others stick to their initial opposition. Why? When will their positions change? The existing literature would expect protrade interests to be more or less in favor of non-trade issues in trade policies according to how dependent on the international economy they are. However, longitudinal variation in export- and import-dependence does not suffice to explain change of the sort I am interested in. I argue that the position of protrade business interests change as they accumulate experiences on the negotiation/ratification of trade deals. To probe that argument, I present two paired comparisons analyzing the position of protrade business interests as pertains to the use of sanctions to enforce labor and environmental provisions in preferential trade agreements (PTAs) signed by Canada and Australia, and by the United States (US) and European Union (EU) between 1993 and 2019. My analysis points to the overall plausibility of my hypothesis and to avenues for future research. The paper helps understand the political activity of business interests on trade and sustainable development and can shed new light on the politics behind the design of social and environmental provisions in PTAs.
一些支持贸易的商业利益集团反对在贸易协议中严格执行劳工和环境条款,而另一些则坚持最初的反对意见,最终可能会支持贸易协议。为什么?他们的立场什么时候会改变?现有文献预计,根据对国际经济的依赖程度,贸易利益或多或少会有利于贸易政策中的非贸易问题。然而,出口依赖和进口依赖的纵向变化不足以解释我感兴趣的那种变化。我认为,随着贸易谈判/批准经验的积累,支持贸易的商业利益集团的立场会发生变化。为了探究这一论点,我提出了两个配对比较,分析了1993年至2019年期间加拿大和澳大利亚以及美国和欧盟签署的优惠贸易协定(pta)中使用制裁来执行劳工和环境条款的促进贸易商业利益的地位。我的分析指出了我的假设的总体合理性,并指出了未来研究的途径。本文有助于理解商业利益在贸易和可持续发展方面的政治活动,并有助于揭示自由贸易协定中社会和环境条款设计背后的政治。
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引用次数: 4
The power and limits of expertise: Swiss–Swedish linking of vehicle emission standards in the 1970s and 1980s 专业知识的力量和限制:20世纪70年代和80年代瑞士和瑞典汽车排放标准的联系
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-04 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2022.3
Mattias Näsman, Sabine Pitteloud
Abstract Recent decades have witnessed increased public concern about vehicle emissions and growing frustration with political inaction and business preferences for the status quo. This article provides historical perspective on such regulatory dynamics by analyzing the Swiss and the Swedish cases of vehicle emission governance in the1970s-1980s. Relying on archival documents detailing the policy process in both countries as well as on international regulatory arenas, the analysis focuses on political solutions for reducing the toxicity of vehicle emissions. It uncovers the influence of national as well as international business groups and the existence of the tension between various national ministries, arising from conflicting environmental and trade-related goals. Is also highlights the importance of different institutional settings in creating the expertise to explain the political outcomes. While the Swiss corporatist system gave a great deal of power to a variety of interest groups at each stage of the political process, the Swedish government invested significant resources in the creation of independent expertise and enjoyed a relative autonomy, despite the importance of the Swedish car industry. The analysis also assesses the importance of the Swiss–Swedish collaboration in overcoming certain obstacles and their contribution to the implementation of stricter regulations in Europe that ultimately occurred at the margins of the European Economic Community.
近几十年来,公众对汽车排放的关注日益增加,对政治上的不作为和企业对现状的偏好越来越感到沮丧。本文通过分析20世纪70 - 80年代瑞士和瑞典的汽车排放治理案例,从历史的角度分析了这种监管动态。根据详细介绍两国政策过程的档案文件以及国际监管领域,该分析侧重于减少车辆排放毒性的政治解决方案。它揭示了国家和国际商业集团的影响,以及由于环境和与贸易有关的目标相互冲突而引起的国家各部之间存在的紧张关系。它还强调了不同制度背景在创造解释政治结果的专业知识方面的重要性。虽然瑞士的社团主义制度在政治过程的每个阶段都赋予了各种利益集团大量的权力,但瑞典政府在创造独立专业知识方面投入了大量资源,并享有相对的自主权,尽管瑞典汽车工业很重要。该分析还评估了瑞士和瑞典合作在克服某些障碍方面的重要性,以及它们对在欧洲执行最终发生在欧洲经济共同体边缘的更严格的条例所作的贡献。
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引用次数: 1
Interest or ideology? Why American business leaders opposed the Vietnam War 兴趣还是意识形态?为什么美国商界领袖反对越南战争
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2021.22
Alexander Kirss
Abstract Why do business leaders support or oppose interstate wars? This article clarifies and empirically illustrates two competing perspectives on the sources of business war preferences: the opinions businesses have about interstate conflict. Namely, while an “economic consequences” perspective argues that business war preferences stem primarily from the economic effects of interstate conflicts, a “leader ideology” perspective predicts that business leaders’ domestic policy preferences and political ideology will determine their war preferences. I reexamine historical survey data on American business leaders’ opinions about the Vietnam War using item response theory scaling and regression analysis and find support for both perspectives. These results point toward the importance of further theoretical and empirical research on the sources of business war preferences, so I propose a structured, forward-looking research agenda on business war preferences based on different conceptualizations of businesses, their motivations, and the consequences of interstate conflicts.
商业领袖为什么支持或反对国家间战争?本文对商战偏好来源的两种相互竞争的观点进行了澄清和实证说明:企业对国家间冲突的看法。也就是说,“经济后果”观点认为,商业战争偏好主要源于国家间冲突的经济影响,而“领导者意识形态”观点预测,商业领袖的国内政策偏好和政治意识形态将决定他们的战争偏好。本文运用项目反应理论、尺度分析和回归分析对美国商界领袖对越南战争看法的历史调查数据进行了重新审视,并找到了两种观点的支持。这些结果表明了对商战偏好来源进行进一步理论和实证研究的重要性,因此我提出了一个结构化的、前瞻性的商战偏好研究议程,该议程基于对企业、其动机和国家间冲突后果的不同概念。
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引用次数: 1
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Business and Politics
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