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Housebuilding, land, and structural power: the case of mortgage market support schemes in England 建房、土地和结构性权力:英格兰抵押贷款市场支持计划案例
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-09-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2024.19
Chris Foye, Edward Shepherd
Housing is a critical part of every state’s infrastructure. However, in most advanced economies the state no longer builds very much of it, leaving it instead to private housebuilders. Because of their control over the supply of land, and the barriers to entry into the housebuilding industry, private housebuilders have potentially major structural power over the state. At the same time, private housebuilders are also tied to their land, and face other barriers to exit, thus limiting their ability to relocate capital elsewhere. Drawing on a range of secondary data sources, including earnings calls transcripts, annual reports and government policy documents, this paper demonstrates how the three largest volume housebuilders in England leveraged their structural power to shape the mortgage market support schemes that were introduced in the aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis. These schemes have since underpinned their exceptional levels of profitability. We conclude, though, that far from being an absolute resource, this structural power was only enabled by the prevailing neoliberal, home-owning Anglo-liberal ‘growth model’ in which these housebuilders were embedded.
住房是每个国家基础设施的重要组成部分。然而,在大多数发达经济体中,国家已不再建造大量住房,而是将其留给私人住宅建筑商。由于对土地供应的控制,以及进入房屋建筑行业的门槛,私人房屋建筑商对国家拥有潜在的重大结构性权力。与此同时,私人住宅建筑商也被其土地所束缚,并面临其他退出障碍,从而限制了他们将资本转移到其他地方的能力。本文利用一系列二手数据来源,包括财报电话记录、年度报告和政府政策文件,展示了英格兰三家体量最大的住宅建筑商如何利用其结构性权力来制定全球金融危机后推出的抵押贷款市场支持计划。从那时起,这些计划就成了它们超常盈利的基础。不过,我们的结论是,这种结构性力量远非绝对的资源,而是由这些房屋建筑商所处的新自由主义盛行的、拥有房屋的盎格鲁自由主义 "增长模式 "促成的。
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引用次数: 0
Blue versus red: partisan firm leaders and corporate culture 蓝军与红军:党派公司领导与企业文化
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-04-29 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2024.12
Anqi Jiao, Honglin Ren
This paper documents significant partisan divides across a range of corporate cultural values. Using panel data of 2,424 S&P 1500 firms spanning the period from 2001 to 2018, we find that firms whose top management teams lean toward the Democratic Party exhibit higher cultural values of integrity, teamwork, innovation, respect, and quality, in comparison with firms with executives leaning toward the Republican Party. In addition, we find that the partisan gap diminishes when firms have less entrenched management or locate in states with stronger judicial accountability. Our findings lend support to earlier research suggesting that leader characteristics are associated with corporate culture.
本文记录了一系列企业文化价值观中明显的党派分歧。利用 2001 年至 2018 年期间 2424 家 S&P 1500 公司的面板数据,我们发现,与高管倾向于共和党的公司相比,高层管理团队倾向于民主党的公司在诚信、团队合作、创新、尊重和质量方面表现出更高的文化价值观。此外,我们还发现,当企业管理层不那么根深蒂固或位于司法问责较强的州时,党派差距就会缩小。我们的研究结果表明,领导者的特征与企业文化相关。
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引用次数: 0
The Paradox of Algorithms and Blame on Public Decision-makers 算法的悖论与公共决策者的责任
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2023.35
Adam L. Ozer, Philip D. Waggoner, Ryan Kennedy
Public decision-makers incorporate algorithm decision aids, often developed by private businesses, into the policy process, in part, as a method for justifying difficult decisions. Ethicists have worried that over-trust in algorithm advice and concerns about punishment if departing from an algorithm’s recommendation will result in over-reliance and harm democratic accountability. We test these concerns in a set of two pre-registered survey experiments in the judicial context conducted on three representative U.S. samples. The results show no support for the hypothesized blame dynamics, regardless of whether the judge agrees or disagrees with the algorithm. Algorithms, moreover, do not have a significant impact relative to other sources of advice. Respondents who are generally more trusting of elites assign greater blame to the decision-maker when they disagree with the algorithm, and they assign more blame when they think the decision-maker is abdicating their responsibility by agreeing with an algorithm.
公共决策者将通常由私营企业开发的算法决策辅助工具纳入政策制定过程,部分原因是将其作为一种为困难决策辩护的方法。伦理学家担心,对算法建议的过度信任,以及对偏离算法建议会受到惩罚的担忧,会导致对算法的过度依赖,并损害民主问责制。我们在三个具有代表性的美国样本中进行了两组预先登记的司法调查实验,以验证这些担忧。结果显示,无论法官同意还是不同意算法,都不支持假设的指责动态。此外,相对于其他建议来源,算法的影响并不显著。通常更信任精英的受访者在不同意算法时,会更多地指责决策者,而当他们认为决策者同意算法是在推卸责任时,他们会更多地指责决策者。
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引用次数: 0
Why is there no investor-state dispute settlement in RCEP? bargaining and contestation in the investment regime 为什么 RCEP 中没有投资者-国家争端解决机制? 投资制度中的讨价还价和争议
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2024.8
Andrew Lugg, Kirthana Ganeson, Manfred Elsig, Julien Chaisse, Sufian Jusoh
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) is one of the most important mega-regional trade agreements signed to date. Yet, it failed to include an Investor-State Dispute Settlement (ISDS) mechanism in its investment chapter. What explains this omission? To unpack this, we examine international negotiations as a two-step process. In the first stage, we theorize that initial preferences towards ISDS are based on countries’ orientation toward foreign direct investment (FDI), experience with ISDS, and past treaty practice. Second, we theorize that during protracted negotiations, adverse regime developments and domestic politics can have a profound impact on treaty design. To test our framework, we examine the RCEP negotiations. Our analysis shows that mounting cases as well as the eroding norm of ISDS in other treaties lowered support for ISDS as the negotiations progressed. Then, a change of government in Malaysia shifted that country’s position dramatically, which tipped the balance against ISDS in the final round of negotiations. Our findings have important implications for the international investment regime. They highlight the factors that determine countries’ initial preferences while also demonstrating the importance of developments during the negotiations, which can lead to the abandonment of the institutional status quo.
区域全面经济伙伴关系》(RCEP)是迄今为止签署的最重要的超大型区域贸易协定之一。然而,它却未能在投资章节中纳入投资者与国家争端解决机制(ISDS)。是什么原因导致了这一疏漏?为了解开这个问题,我们将国际谈判视为一个分两步走的过程。在第一阶段,我们根据各国对外国直接投资(FDI)的取向、在 ISDS 方面的经验以及过去的条约实践,推断出对 ISDS 的最初偏好。其次,我们认为在旷日持久的谈判过程中,不利的制度发展和国内政治会对条约设计产生深远影响。为了检验我们的框架,我们研究了 RCEP 谈判。我们的分析表明,随着谈判的进展,越来越多的案例以及其他条约中 ISDS 规范的削弱降低了对 ISDS 的支持。随后,马来西亚政府的更迭极大地改变了该国的立场,这使得在最后一轮谈判中反对 ISDS 的天平发生了倾斜。我们的研究结果对国际投资制度具有重要意义。它们强调了决定各国最初偏好的因素,同时也证明了谈判过程中事态发展的重要性,这些事态发展可能导致放弃制度现状。
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引用次数: 0
Leveraging national security: private equity and bankruptcy in the United States defense industry 利用国家安全:美国国防工业的私募股权与破产
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2023.33
Charles W. Mahoney, Benjamin K. Tkach, Craig J. Rethmeyer
Defense contractors play an essential role in US security operations. Among other responsibilities, contractors manufacture arms, manage logistics, analyze intelligence, and carry out cybersecurity operations. Historically, defense contractors were either publicly traded corporations or privately owned companies. The past two decades, however, have seen a major shift in the ownership structure of the US defense industry. Private equity firms—once niche actors in the US national security marketplace—have carried out over 1,500 deals involving defense contractors since 2000. This study employs a mixed-methods research design to assess the effects of private equity investment on the financial stability of the US defense industry. Using data on over 8,000 defense contractors, the inquiry finds that contractors with private equity backing experience bankruptcy at higher rates than contractors with no prior private equity investment. In addition, the study evaluates private equity activity in the military satellite services market—a field of growing importance in the strategically important domain of outer space. The inquiry’s findings have notable international security implications. Given the US’ role as a lynchpin in numerous alliances around the world, higher rates of bankruptcy among defense contractors have the potential to affect the security of the United States and its allies.
国防承包商在美国安全行动中发挥着至关重要的作用。除其他职责外,承包商还负责制造武器、管理后勤、分析情报和开展网络安全行动。从历史上看,国防承包商要么是上市公司,要么是私营公司。然而,在过去二十年中,美国国防工业的所有权结构发生了重大转变。私募股权公司曾是美国国家安全市场上的小众角色,自 2000 年以来已进行了 1,500 多宗涉及国防承包商的交易。本研究采用混合方法研究设计,评估私募股权投资对美国国防工业财务稳定性的影响。调查使用了 8000 多家国防承包商的数据,发现有私募股权支持的承包商的破产率高于没有私募股权投资的承包商。此外,该研究还对军事卫星服务市场的私募股权活动进行了评估--在具有重要战略意义的外层空间领域,这一领域的重要性与日俱增。调查结果具有显著的国际安全影响。鉴于美国在全球众多联盟中扮演着关键角色,国防承包商破产率较高有可能影响美国及其盟国的安全。
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引用次数: 0
Investigating the politics and content of US State artificial intelligence legislation 调查美国各州人工智能立法的政治和内容
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2023.40
Srinivas Parinandi, Jesse Crosson, Kai Peterson, Sinan Nadarevic
The rapid emergence of artificial intelligence (AI) technology and its application by businesses has created a potential need for governmental regulation. While the federal government of the United States has largely sidestepped the issue of crafting law dictating limitations and expectations regarding the use of AI technology, US state legislatures have begun to take the lead in this area. Nonetheless, we know very little about how state legislatures have approached the design, pursuit, and adoption of AI policy and whether traditional political fault lines have manifested themselves in the AI issue area. Here, we gather data on the state-level adoption of AI policy, as well as roll call voting on AI bills (classified on the basis of consumer protection versus economic development), by state legislatures and analyze the political economy of AI legislation. We find that rising unemployment and inflation are negatively associated with a state’s AI policymaking. With respect to individual legislator support, we find that liberal lawmakers and Democrats are more likely to support bills establishing consumer protection requirements on AI usage. The results suggest that economic concerns loom large with AI and that traditional political fault lines may be establishing themselves in this area.
人工智能(AI)技术的迅速崛起及其在企业中的应用产生了对政府监管的潜在需求。虽然美国联邦政府在很大程度上回避了制定法律规定人工智能技术使用限制和预期的问题,但美国各州立法机构已开始在这一领域发挥带头作用。然而,我们对各州立法机构如何设计、推行和采用人工智能政策,以及传统的政治断层是否在人工智能问题领域有所体现,却知之甚少。在此,我们收集了各州立法机构采用人工智能政策的数据,以及对人工智能法案(根据消费者保护和经济发展进行分类)的唱名表决情况,并对人工智能立法的政治经济学进行了分析。我们发现,失业率和通货膨胀率的上升与一个州的人工智能决策呈负相关。在立法者的个人支持方面,我们发现自由派立法者和民主党人更有可能支持对人工智能的使用制定消费者保护要求的法案。这些结果表明,人工智能对经济的影响很大,传统的政治断层可能会在这一领域形成。
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引用次数: 0
Tycoon candidates, electoral strategies, and voter support: a survey experiment in South Africa 大亨候选人、选举策略和选民支持:南非的一项调查实验
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2024.4
Mogens K. Justesen, Stanislav Markus
Why do voters shun some business tycoons yet elect others into power? As structural conditions facilitate the entry of super-wealthy actors into politics, the differential electoral support across business elites suggests a puzzle. We conceptualize four mechanisms behind the popular support for “tycoon candidates”: competence signaling, framing, fame, and clientelism. To test their relative efficacy, we leverage an experiment embedded in a nationally representative survey in South Africa, an important developing democracy where certain tycoons are successfully running for office. We find that, across distinct electoral appeals by tycoon candidates, clientelism is particularly effective, especially for mobilizing support from the less affluent voters. Racial framing significantly decreases support among white voters. Meanwhile, tycoons’ competence signaling or fame do not help them at the ballot box. By identifying the micro-level underpinnings of voter support across tycoon candidates, our study contributes to the literatures on business and politics, voting behavior, and clientelism.
为什么选民对一些商业大亨避而远之,而对另一些商业大亨却青睐有加?由于结构性条件为超级富豪进入政坛提供了便利,因此不同商业精英在选举中获得的支持存在差异,这给我们提出了一个难题。我们将 "富豪候选人 "获得民众支持背后的四种机制概念化:能力信号、框架、名气和客户关系。南非是一个重要的发展中民主国家,一些富豪在那里成功竞选公职。为了检验这些机制的相对有效性,我们在南非进行了一次全国代表性调查实验。我们发现,在富豪候选人不同的选举诉求中,客户至上主义尤其有效,特别是在动员较不富裕选民的支持方面。种族框架明显降低了白人选民的支持率。同时,富豪的能力信号或名气并不能帮助他们赢得选票。通过确定富豪候选人获得选民支持的微观基础,我们的研究为商业与政治、投票行为和 "裙带关系 "方面的文献做出了贡献。
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引用次数: 0
Political culture and attitudes of economic elites: explaining the Chilean business community’s rejection to constitutional change 政治文化与经济精英的态度:智利商界拒绝宪法改革的原因
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-18 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2023.39
Alejandro Osorio-Rauld, Alejandro Pelfini, Lluís Català-Oltra, Francisco Francés
In contexts of institutional crisis, conflicts arise in which different pressure groups try to maximize their influence, seeking to adjust a political reality in line with their own interest. This article analyzes the changes in the attitudes of economic elites regarding the process of drafting of a new Constitution in Chile. Based on the literature on the political culture of entrepreneurs, the research hypothesis posed in this study suggests the existence of a widespread conservative attitude within this social group regarding a change in institutional rules. This mainly relates to the perception that a new Constitution in Chile could threaten its predominant place in the distribution of economic and political power. The results obtained after analyzing in-depth interviews with presidents or vice presidents of the main business organizations in the country show changing positions throughout the different stages of the constituent process. Even though some attitudinal changes towards an adaptation become visible, what ultimately prevails is an unmitigated rejection of the constituent process. These findings clearly suggest a return to the initial stances of most entrepreneurs, something that also happened in the elite examined as well as in the rest of Chilean society. Thus, one can speak about a sort of “boomerang effect”: the attitudes of rejection have once again dominated the space of discursive expression where the pressure exerted by public opinion seemed to pave the way for a certain reformism or a transforming reaction. This evidence confirms a disconnection found in the literature which reveals the dynamic nature of short-term attitudes linked to each specific situation, albeit with more stable values and positions specific to the political culture which exist on a more persistent basis.
在制度危机的背景下,不同的压力集团会试图最大限度地扩大自己的影响力,以调整政治现实,使其符合自身利益,从而引发冲突。本文分析了经济精英对智利新宪法起草过程的态度变化。根据有关企业家政治文化的文献,本研究提出的研究假设表明,在这一社会群体中普遍存在着对制度规则变革的保守态度。这主要与他们认为智利新宪法可能威胁到其在经济和政治权力分配中的主导地位有关。对智利主要商业组织的主席或副主席进行深入访谈分析后得出的结果显示,在制宪进程的不同阶段,他们的立场都在发生变化。尽管在态度上出现了一些适应性的变化,但最终还是对制宪进程持完全否定的态度。这些发现清楚地表明,大多数企业家又回到了最初的立场,这一点也发生在被考察的精英阶层以及智利社会的其他阶层身上。因此,我们可以说这是一种 "回旋镖效应":拒绝的态度再次主导了话语表达的空间,而公众舆论施加的压力似乎为某种改革主义或转型反应铺平了道路。这一证据证实了文献中发现的一种脱节现象,它揭示了与每种具体情况相关的短期态度的动态性质,尽管政治文化特有的价值观和立场更为稳定,而且存在的基础更为持久。
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引用次数: 0
Data and statecraft: why and how states localize data 数据与国策:国家为何以及如何将数据本地化
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2023.41
Sanghyun Han
This paper explores the motives and mechanisms behind data localization implemented by states to protect data, which is essential to emerging technologies such as Artificial Intelligence. Despite the significant negative aspects of data localization for states, the practice has become increasingly prevalent, leading to the unexplored question of why states choose to implement it. This suggests that data localization is a form of economic means derived from digital technologies and employed by states to serve political objectives. Focusing on the data in platforms, the theoretical mechanism of data localization is captured in light of two factors: network perception and security externality. Network perception pertains to a state’s perception of the positive network effect generated by platforms, while security externality refers to a state’s consideration of the security implications in relation to the economic benefits derived from the positive network effect, serving the national interest in domestic and/or international contexts. To substantiate these theoretical propositions, the paper employs a comparative case study approach where Vietnam, Singapore, and Indonesia have been chosen as empirical cases based on the selection strategy. The paper bridges the concept of economic statecraft with digital technologies, fosters interdisciplinary discussions, and offers policy implications.
本文探讨了国家为保护数据而实施数据本地化背后的动机和机制,数据本地化对人工智能等新兴技术至关重要。尽管数据本地化对国家有很大的负面影响,但这种做法却越来越盛行,从而引发了一个尚未探讨的问题,即国家为何选择实施数据本地化。这表明,数据本地化是一种从数字技术中衍生出来的经济手段,被国家用来服务于政治目标。以平台中的数据为重点,从网络感知和安全外部性两个因素来把握数据本地化的理论机制。网络感知指的是国家对平台产生的积极网络效应的感知,而安全外部性指的是国家在国内和/或国际背景下,在考虑积极网络效应带来的经济利益时,对安全影响的考虑。为了证实这些理论命题,本文采用了比较案例研究的方法,根据选择策略选择了越南、新加坡和印度尼西亚作为实证案例。本文将经济国策概念与数字技术相结合,促进了跨学科讨论,并提供了政策启示。
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引用次数: 0
The future of AI politics, policy, and business 人工智能政治、政策和商业的未来
IF 1.8 3区 社会学 Q2 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.1017/bap.2024.6
Eric Best, Pedro Robles, Daniel J. Mallinson
Our aim with this special issue on the future of artificial intelligence (AI) politics, policy, and business is to give space to considering how the balalnce between risk and reward from AI technologies is and perhaps should be pursued by the public and private sectors. Ultimately, private firms and regulators will need to work collaboratively, given the complex networks of actors involved in AI development and deployment and the potential for the technology to alter existing policy regimes. We begin the introduction of this special issue of Business & Politics with a discussion of the growth in AI technology use and discussions of appropriate governance, followed by a consideration of how AI-related politics, policy, and business intersect. We then summarize the contributions of the authors in this issue and conclude with thoughts about how political science, public administration, and public policy scholars have much to offer, as well as much to study, the establishment of effective AI governance.
本特刊以人工智能(AI)政治、政策和商业的未来为主题,旨在为考虑如何平衡人工智能技术带来的风险和回报提供空间,或许公共和私营部门应该这样做。考虑到人工智能开发和部署所涉及的复杂参与者网络,以及该技术改变现有政策制度的潜力,私营企业和监管机构最终将需要通力合作。在本期《商业与印记:政治》特刊的导言部分,我们首先讨论了人工智能技术应用的增长和适当治理的讨论,然后探讨了与人工智能相关的政治、政策和商业是如何交织在一起的。然后,我们总结了本期作者的贡献,最后就政治学、公共管理和公共政策学者如何在建立有效的人工智能治理方面大有可为、大有文章可做进行了思考。
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引用次数: 0
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Business and Politics
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