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Impacts of land use/land cover detection on climate variability of Gumara Watershed, Ethiopia 土地利用/土地覆盖探测对古马拉流域气候变率的影响
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10020973
A. Halefom, Asirat Teshome, Ermias Sisay
Land use/land cover (LU/LC) detection on climate variability has been conducted using satellite image and weather data in the study area. LU/LC analysis was done using supervised classification and the categories used were built-up area, forest, grassland, agriculture and waterbody. From the analysis, built-up area is shown as increasing from 1997 to 2017. Climate variability assessment done using the Mann-Kendall and Sen's slope estimator shows that average annual maximum temperature and mean temperature have positive trends, average annual minimum temperature shows a decreasing trend. Annual rainfall showed positive trend in the Bega season and decreasing trends in, Belg season and Kiremt season. Percentage changes were observed as 0.4%, 2.4% and 2.6% for average annual minimum, maximum and average annual temperature, respectively. Average annual rainfall, in Bega season, Belg season and Kiremt seasons was −1.7%, 3.5%, 6.5% and −6.4% respectively. Hence percentage changes show LU/LC change affects climate.
利用研究区域的卫星图像和天气数据对气候变化进行了土地利用/土地覆盖检测。LU/LC分析使用监督分类进行,使用的类别为建成区、森林、草原、农业和水体。从分析来看,1997年至2017年,建成区面积呈增加趋势。使用Mann-Kendall和Sen的斜率估计器进行的气候变化评估表明,年均最高气温和平均气温呈正趋势,年均最低气温呈下降趋势。年降雨量在Bega季节呈正趋势,在Belg季节和Kiremt季节呈下降趋势。年平均最低温度、最高温度和年平均温度的百分比变化分别为0.4%、2.4%和2.6%。Bega季节、Belg季节和Kiremt季节的年平均降雨量分别为−1.7%、3.5%、6.5%和−6.4%。因此,百分比变化表明LU/LC变化影响气候。
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引用次数: 3
Modelling the impacts of blue-green infrastructure on rainfall runoff: a case study of Eastern Victoria, Australia 蓝绿色基础设施对降雨径流影响的建模:以澳大利亚维多利亚州东部为例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.099514
Z. Ghofrani, V. Sposito, R. Faggian
In Australia, flood risk mitigation and response has followed an ad hoc development trajectory starting largely with structural measures such as levees and later non-structural approaches such as planning and regulation. These have proved largely ineffective in reducing the exposure of towns and rural populations to flood risk and damage over time. This paper explores the possible implementation of blue-green infrastructure (BGI) approaches as a new, alternative method to reduce flood volume and rainfall runoff in regional Australia. It outlines a case study example in rural Victoria that is subject to regular and damaging floods where the possible introduction of BGI has been modelled. Different types of BGI components - bio-retention cell, rain barrel, infiltration trench, and vegetative swale - were examined and the results indicate that developing BGI systems in a regional Australian context provide multi-functional and cost-effective solutions to flooding that will support adaptation to future climate changes.
在澳大利亚,洪水风险的缓解和应对遵循了一条特殊的发展轨迹,主要从防洪堤等结构性措施开始,后来又采用规划和监管等非结构性方法。事实证明,随着时间的推移,这些措施在减少城镇和农村人口遭受洪水风险和破坏方面基本无效。本文探讨了蓝绿色基础设施(BGI)方法的可能实施,作为减少澳大利亚地区洪水量和降雨径流的一种新的替代方法。它概述了维多利亚州农村地区的一个案例研究例子,该地区经常发生破坏性洪水,BGI的可能引入已经建模。研究了不同类型的华大基因成分——生物滞留池、雨水桶、渗透沟和植物洼地——结果表明,在澳大利亚地区开发华大基因系统为洪水提供了多功能、成本效益高的解决方案,将有助于适应未来的气候变化。
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引用次数: 7
Short-term forecasting of hourly water demands - a Portuguese case study 小时需水量的短期预测——以葡萄牙为例
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.099515
B. Coelho, A. Andrade-Campos
Predicting future water demands is becoming essential for the efficient management of water supply systems (WSS). To improve the operations of a Portuguese network, short-term water demand forecasting models are applied to a number of datasets collected from distinct locations in the network. Traditional forecasting models, such as exponential smoothing and naive models, and artificial neural network (ANN)-based models are developed and compared. Additionally, the influence of anthropic and weather variables in the ANN-based models is also analysed. Results demonstrate that, for this case-study, ANN-based models outperform the traditional models when external predictors such as anthropic and weather variables are included in the models. However, the inappropriate choice of such variables may lead to worse forecasting performances.
预测未来的用水需求对于供水系统的有效管理至关重要。为了改进葡萄牙网络的运行,将短期需水量预测模型应用于从网络中不同位置收集的多个数据集。对传统的预测模型,如指数平滑和朴素模型,以及基于人工神经网络的预测模型进行了发展和比较。此外,还分析了人工神经网络模型中人为和天气变量的影响。结果表明,在本案例研究中,当模型中包含人类和天气变量等外部预测因素时,基于人工神经网络的模型优于传统模型。然而,对这些变量的不当选择可能会导致更差的预测性能。
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引用次数: 2
Identification of flood vulnerable zones in Mahanadi delta based on post-Hirakud historical data 基于后Hirakud历史数据的Mahanadi三角洲洪水脆弱区识别
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10020977
A. K. Kar, K. Gupta, Joygopal Jena, D. Jena
The Mahanadi basin having a large catchment faces hydro-climatic variations. In this study entire catchment of Mahanadi is divided into 10 x 10 grids. Those grids are considered which are covering either fully or partly the basin catchment (at least 25% or more). The gridwise rainfall data are analysed for each flood between 1958-2004. At least 15 days daily rainfall of all the grids prior to a particular flood is considered to find the vulnerable grid for that particular flood. These grids are further analysed statistically to find the possible reasons for occurrence of floods. No increasing trend in rainfall is found over the grids. It is also observed that the decrease in rainy days and more rainfalls in a short period of time remain the reasons for formation of peak floods at the delta. Besides that higher one-day maximum rainfall also makes a concern for floods.
Mahanadi盆地有一个大的集水区,面临着水文气候变化。在本研究中,Mahanadi的整个集水区被划分为10 x 10个网格。这些网格被视为完全或部分覆盖流域集水区(至少25%或以上)。对1958-2004年期间每一次洪水的网格降雨量数据进行了分析。在特定洪水发生前,所有网格的日降雨量至少为15天,以确定该特定洪水的脆弱网格。对这些网格进行进一步的统计分析,以找出洪水发生的可能原因。网格上的降雨量没有增加的趋势。还观察到,降雨天数的减少和短时间内降雨量的增加仍然是三角洲形成洪峰的原因。此外,更高的单日最大降雨量也引起了洪水的担忧。
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引用次数: 0
Factors influencing farmers' knowledge about sustainable groundwater management 影响农民地下水可持续管理知识的因素
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-05-02 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10020974
F. Santucci, Bahman Khosravi Pour, Mansour Ghanian, A. Bakhshi, L. Cecchini
This paper analyses the influence of socio-economic and structural factors on the knowledge about sustainable groundwater management (SGWM) among farmers in Iran. 189 wheat producers have been interviewed during summer 2017 in the South Khorasan province. The dependent variable (TK, total knowledge) has been constructed through the answers to 18 questions, defined as pk, partial knowledge. The model includes 12 independent variables, which affect TK, and cover both socio-economic and structural aspects, like age, education, income, knowledge about drought, relationship with the local advisory service, water rights, irrigation method, area with wheat, wheat total production, and fragmentation. The results show that there is a correlation, sometimes positive and sometimes negative, between all independent variables and SGWM. Participation in extension meetings, total wheat production, and family income show the strongest positive correlations. A multiple linear regression has been then applied to estimate the influence of the variables on the farmers' total knowledge regarding SGWM. The results show that 45.0% of the total knowledge variance is determined by the independent variables used in the model.
本文分析了社会经济和结构因素对伊朗农民可持续地下水管理(SGWM)知识的影响。2017年夏季,在南呼罗珊省对189名小麦生产者进行了采访。因变量(TK,总知识)通过18个问题的答案构建,定义为pk,部分知识。该模型包括12个影响传统知识的自变量,涵盖社会经济和结构方面,如年龄、教育程度、收入、干旱知识、与当地咨询服务机构的关系、水权、灌溉方法、小麦种植面积、小麦总产量和破碎化。结果表明,各自变量与SGWM之间存在着或正或负的相关关系。参加推广会议、小麦总产量和家庭收入表现出最强的正相关关系。然后应用多元线性回归来估计变量对农民关于SGWM的总知识的影响。结果表明,总知识方差的45.0%是由模型中使用的自变量决定的。
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引用次数: 0
Efficiency of the groundwater artificial recharge from dam water release in arid area 干旱区大坝放水人工补给地下水的效率
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10018440
Zouheira Ibn Ali, A. Gharbi, A. Kallel, Lamia Laajili Ghzel, M. Zairi
This paper describes a methodology to estimate the groundwater artificial recharge efficiency. The water table fluctuation method (WTF), stream-flow (SF) estimation method and Hydrus-1D model are used to estimate the effective water quantity reaching the aquifer. The efficiency of the stream flooding on groundwater level trend was discussed based on groundwater table fluctuation. The comparison between the three methods is found to be valuable for determining the range of plausible recharge amounts and for highlighting the uncertainty of the estimates. SF method yields the largest recharge estimate whereas the WTF method provides actual recharge reaching the aquifer. SF method and Hydrus-1D model show the best fit between estimated recharge volume and water volume released with a coefficient-of-determination (R2) of 0.9 and 0.8, respectively. The combination of the stream flow with water-table fluctuations methods is recommended to increase the constancy of recharge estimates and preliminary assessment.
本文介绍了一种估算地下水人工回灌效率的方法。采用地下水位波动法(WTF)、流流量估算法(SF)和Hydrus-1D模型估算到达含水层的有效水量。从地下水位波动的角度探讨了河流洪水对地下水位变化的影响。这三种方法之间的比较对于确定合理补给量的范围和突出估计的不确定性是有价值的。SF方法给出的补给量最大,而WTF方法给出的是到达含水层的实际补给量。SF方法和Hydrus-1D模型的预测回灌量与释放水量拟合最佳,决定系数R2分别为0.9和0.8。建议将河流流量与地下水位波动相结合,以增加补给估算和初步评估的稳定性。
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引用次数: 2
Soil moisture dynamics and response to rainfall under two typical vegetation covers based on HYDRUS-3D 基于HYDRUS-3D的两种典型植被覆盖下土壤水分动态及其对降雨的响应
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10018442
Jing Zhang, Zhan Liang
In this study, based on the continuous measurement of soil water content and meteorological parameters, the HYDRUS-3D model was used to simulate the dynamic changes of soil moisture in different soil layers (1050 cm soil depth) under two typical vegetation covers [alluvial wetland forest (AWF) and ungrazed Bahia grassland (UBG)] in wet and dry seasons in the Alafia River Basin, Florida. Model performance was evaluated using several statistical criteria. Water balance and parameter sensitivity were analysed to indicate the adaptability of the model to the study area. Furthermore, soil moisture variation was assessed under different rainfall levels and its relationships with vegetation type, root biomass and soil physical characteristics were quantitatively and qualitatively analysed. Results showed that the correlation degree between the measured and simulated values of soil water content in the wet and dry periods was higher in the AWF than in the UBG. The water reserves of the UBG were relatively stable. The most sensitive parameters of the model to simulate soil moisture were saturated water content and pore size index. There were significant differences in soil water variation between the two vegetation types. The effect of precipitation on soil moisture was higher under AWF than under UBG.
本研究在连续测量土壤含水量和气象参数的基础上,采用HYDRUS-3D模型模拟了佛罗里达州阿拉菲亚河流域两种典型植被覆盖[冲积湿地森林(AWF)和未分级巴伊亚草原(UBG)]下不同土层(1050 cm土壤深度)湿、旱季土壤水分的动态变化。使用几个统计标准对模型性能进行了评估。对水平衡和参数敏感性进行了分析,以表明该模型对研究区域的适应性。此外,还对不同降雨水平下的土壤水分变化进行了评估,并对其与植被类型、根系生物量和土壤物理特性的关系进行了定量和定性分析。结果表明,AWF土壤含水率的实测值和模拟值之间的相关性高于UBG。UBG的水储量相对稳定。该模型模拟土壤水分最敏感的参数是饱和含水量和孔径指数。两种植被类型的土壤水分变化存在显著差异。AWF条件下降水对土壤水分的影响大于UBG条件下。
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引用次数: 0
Hydrochemical characteristics of inland rivers in Khorasan Razavi Province, North-Eastern Iran 伊朗东北部呼罗珊省内陆河流的水化学特征
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10018443
M. Heydarizad
This study is the first comprehensive hydrochemical investigation of 25 rivers in Khorasan Razavi, the second most populated province in Iran. Surface water provides the dominant part of agricultural water in this province. The results of this study demonstrated that rock weathering is the dominant factor controlling water quality in river samples. Stable isotopes (δ18O and δ2H) also demonstrated that river samples were mainly plotted below Mashahd Meteoric Water Line (MMWL), with negligible deviation due to low evaporation effect. However, dam reservoir samples showed notable deviation from MMWL due to huge surface evaporation. River water in all stations is considered appropriate for agricultural proposes based on Wilcox diagram and residual carbonate index, and also for potable usages (except for a few stations) according to World Health Organization protocols. The results of this study can be used by the scientists in Iran Ministry of Agriculture for the future agricultural management programs.
本研究是对伊朗第二大人口省呼罗珊-拉扎维省25条河流进行的首次综合水化学调查。地表水是我省农业用水的主要来源。研究结果表明,岩石风化是控制河流水质的主导因素。稳定同位素(δ18O和δ2H)也表明,河流样品主要绘制在Mashahd大气水线(MMWL)以下,由于蒸发效应小,偏差可以忽略不计。然而,由于地表蒸发巨大,大坝水库样品与MMWL存在显著偏差。根据威尔科克斯图和残余碳酸盐指数,所有站点的河水都被认为适合农业用途,根据世界卫生组织的议定书,也适合饮用(少数站点除外)。该研究结果可为伊朗农业部未来的农业管理方案提供参考。
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引用次数: 2
Rainfall and air temperature projections for Sharjah City, United Arab Emirates 阿拉伯联合酋长国沙迦市的降雨量和气温预测
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10018444
A. Yilmaz, A. Shabib
Climate change has significant effects on hydrological cycle and water resources. Sharjah City in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) is located in one of the most water-scarce regions of the world. Despite the importance of climate change projection and impact studies, those studies specifically for Sharjah City are rare. In this study, first, monthly rainfall and temperature projections were generated for near and far future. Then, trend analysis was conducted to detect trends in future rainfall and temperature projections for Sharjah City. Findings of this study showed that mean air temperature in Sharjah City is expected to rise up to 12-17% for near and far future respectively, whereas average annual rainfall is projected to decrease in the range of 1-53%. Trend analysis showed significant increasing air temperature trends and non-significant decreasing rainfall trends. This study will contribute to climate change impact and policy making studies in Sharjah City.
气候变化对水文循环和水资源具有重要影响。阿拉伯联合酋长国(UAE)的沙迦市位于世界上最缺水的地区之一。尽管气候变化预测和影响研究很重要,但专门针对沙迦市的研究很少。在这项研究中,首先,生成了近期和远期的月度降雨量和温度预测。然后,进行了趋势分析,以检测沙迦市未来降雨量和温度预测的趋势。这项研究的结果表明,沙迦市的平均气温预计在近期和远期分别上升12-17%,而年平均降雨量预计将下降1-53%。趋势分析显示,气温呈显著上升趋势,降雨量呈非显著下降趋势。这项研究将有助于沙迦市的气候变化影响和政策制定研究。
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引用次数: 8
Evaluation of a pumping test with skin effect and wellbore storage on a confined aquifer in the Bela Crkva, Serbia 塞尔维亚Bela Crkva承压含水层集肤效应和井筒储存抽水试验的评估
Q2 Social Sciences Pub Date : 2019-01-16 DOI: 10.1504/IJW.2019.10018434
J. Holub, P. Pech, M. Kuráz, P. Máca, D. Kahuda
Pumping test is a fundamental method to determinate aquifer hydraulic parameters. The main evaluated hydraulic parameters are the transmissivity and the aquifer storage coefficient. For estimation of these parameters a semi-logarithmic straight line method is commonly used, which is based on the assumptions of the Theis mathematical model. Nevertheless, there are other parameters corresponding to real conditions during the pumping test, such as the skin effect and the wellbore storage. The evaluation of pumping test data is usually carried out by estimation through curve matching a straight line to drawdown data plotted on a semi-log graph. Neglecting the skin effect and the wellbore storage can lead to false analysis of the time-drawdown variation in the pumping well. Here an evaluation method is developed to estimate the transmissivity, the aquifer storage coefficient, skin effect and wellbore storage from the pumping test data showing this characteristic curve shape.
抽水试验是确定含水层水力参数的基本方法。评价的水力参数主要为透水率和含水层蓄水系数。对于这些参数的估计,通常采用半对数直线法,该方法基于Theis数学模型的假设。然而,在泵送测试过程中,还有其他与实际情况相对应的参数,如集肤效应和井筒储存量。对抽水试验数据的评价,通常是通过曲线拟合在半对数图上对压降数据的直线进行估计。忽略集肤效应和井筒储存量会导致对抽油井时间降变化的错误分析。在此基础上,提出了一种评价方法,根据具有该特征曲线形状的抽水试验数据,对渗透率、含水层储水系数、集肤效应和井筒储水进行评价。
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引用次数: 5
期刊
International Journal of Water
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