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Introduction to the Special Issue on Integrated Risk Management in Supply Chains 《供应链中的综合风险管理》特刊导论
P. Kouvelis, Lingxiu Dong, Danko Turcic
This special issue, which surveys the most recent research in integrated risk management for supply chains, is motivated by the success of the third “Supply Chain Finance & Risk Management Workshop,†which was held at the Olin Business School of Washington University in St. Louis, on May 14-15, 2017. The Editors wanted a more timely access to the latest research on supply chain finance and supply chain risk management. It is well-known, that due to review process lead times, articles published in traditional journals can take 2 to 3 years. The idea of producing an edited volume, which would include the latest articles on the topics above appealed not only to the workshop participants but also to other active members of the iFORM (Interface of Finance, Operations, and Risk Management) research community. Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management provides an ideal outlet for such a volume.
2017年5月14日至15日,在圣路易斯华盛顿大学奥林商学院举行的第三届€œSupply连锁金融与风险管理研讨会取得了成功,这期特刊调查了供应链综合风险管理方面的最新研究。编辑们希望更及时地了解供应链金融和供应链风险管理方面的最新研究。众所周知,由于审稿过程的前置时间,在传统期刊上发表的文章可能需要2到3年的时间。制作一份编辑卷的想法,其中将包括有关上述主题的最新文章,不仅吸引了讲习班的参与者,而且也吸引了金融、业务和风险管理接口(ifform)研究界的其他活跃成员。《技术、信息和运营管理的基础和趋势》为这类书籍提供了一个理想的出路。
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引用次数: 0
Linking Commodity Price Risk and Operations: Evidence from the Gold Mining Industry 链接商品价格风险和操作:来自黄金采矿业的证据
Panos Markou, D. Corsten
Analytical research has suggested a link between financial and operational risk management and its impact on operational outcomes. In this chapter, we use the gold mining industry as an empirical context to explore the effects of risk management on inventory. Gold miners manage risk 1) financially by committing to sell gold through forward contracts and sold call options and 2) operationally by varying the grade of gold they process. We find that gold commitments and variable grading have clear effects on gold inventory, and that they could be viewed as complementary risk management strategies.
分析研究表明,财务和运营风险管理及其对运营结果的影响之间存在联系。在本章中,我们以黄金采矿业为实证背景,探讨风险管理对库存的影响。金矿商管理风险的方法是:1)财务上承诺通过远期合约和卖出看涨期权出售黄金;2)操作上改变加工的黄金等级。我们发现,黄金承诺和可变分级对黄金库存有明显的影响,它们可以被视为互补的风险管理策略。
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引用次数: 2
Operational Hedging through Dual-Sourcing under Capacity Uncertainty 产能不确定性下的双重采购操作对冲
Xin Chen
This paper studies a periodic-review dual-sourcing inventory system with demand and supply capacity uncertainty. Compared with dual-sourcing models with deterministic supply capacities, a challenge here is that the objective functions in the dynamic programming recursions are not convex in the ordering quantities. To address this challenge, a powerful transformation technique is developed which converts a non- convex minimization problem to an equivalent convex minimization problem. In addition, the transformation preserves L-convexity, allowing one to derive structural properties of the optimal policies for the dual-sourcing problem with random supply capacity. Dual-index policies are shown to be optimal under certain conditions. The effects of supply capacity uncertainties on the system performance are investigated.
研究了一种具有需求和供应能力不确定性的定期评审双源库存系统。与具有确定性供应能力的双源模型相比,动态规划递归中的目标函数在订货量上不凸是一个挑战。为了解决这一挑战,开发了一种强大的转换技术,将非凸极小化问题转换为等效凸极小化问题。此外,该变换保持了L-凸性,使得人们可以推导出具有随机供应能力的双源问题的最优策略的结构性质。在一定条件下,双指标策略是最优的。研究了供电能力不确定性对系统性能的影响。
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引用次数: 5
Minimum-Variance Hedging for Managing Risks in Inventory Models with Price Fluctuations 具有价格波动的库存模型风险管理的最小方差套期保值
Caner Canyakmaz, F. Karaesmen, S. Özekici
We consider the financial hedging of a random operational cash flow that arises in inventory operations with price and demand uncertainty. We use a variance minimization approach to find a financial portfolio that would minimize the total variance of operational and financial returns. For inventory models that involve continuous price fluctuations and price-dependent demand that arrives in continuous time, we characterize the minimum-variance hedging policies and numerically illustrate their effectiveness.
我们考虑在价格和需求不确定的库存操作中出现的随机经营性现金流的财务对冲。我们使用方差最小化方法来找到一个金融投资组合,它将使运营和财务回报的总方差最小化。对于涉及连续价格波动和连续时间到达的价格依赖需求的库存模型,我们描述了最小方差对冲策略的特征,并数值说明了它们的有效性。
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引用次数: 1
Introduction to the Special Issue on Supply Chain Finance 《供应链金融》特刊导言
P. Kouvelis, Lingxiu Dong, Danko Turcic
This special issue, which surveys the most recent research in supply chain finance, is motivated by the success of the third “Supply Chain Finance & Risk Management Workshop,†which was held at the Olin Business School of Washington University in St. Louis, on May 14-15, 2017. The Editors wanted a more timely access to the latest research on supply chain finance and supply chain risk management. It is well-known, that due to review process lead times, articles published in traditional journals can take 2 to 3 years. The idea of producing an edited volume, which would include the latest articles on the topics above appealed not only to the workshop participants but also to other active members of the iFORM (Interface of Finance, Operations, and Risk Management) research community. Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management provides an ideal outlet for such a volume.
2017年5月14日至15日,在圣路易斯华盛顿大学奥林商学院举行的第三届€œSupply连锁金融与风险管理研讨会成功举办,这期特刊对供应链金融的最新研究进行了调查。编辑们希望更及时地了解供应链金融和供应链风险管理方面的最新研究。众所周知,由于审稿过程的前置时间,在传统期刊上发表的文章可能需要2到3年的时间。制作一份编辑卷的想法,其中将包括有关上述主题的最新文章,不仅吸引了讲习班的参与者,而且也吸引了金融、业务和风险管理接口(ifform)研究界的其他活跃成员。《技术、信息和运营管理的基础和趋势》为这类书籍提供了一个理想的出路。
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引用次数: 1
Crowdfunding via Revenue-Sharing Contracts 通过收益共享合同进行众筹
Soraya Fatehi, Michael R. Wagner
In this paper we analyze a new model of crowdfunding recently introduced by Bolstr and Localstake. In this model, a platform acts as a matchmaker between a firm needing funds and a crowd of investors willing to provide capital. Once the firm is funded, it pays back the investors using revenue sharing contracts, with a pre-specified investment multiple and a revenue-sharing proportion, over an investment horizon of uncertain duration. The firm determines its optimal contract parameters to maximize its expected net present value, subject to investor participation constraints and platform fees. A natural multi-period formulation results in a non-convex stochastic optimization problem, which we solve numerically using Monte Carlo simulation and a grid-based optimization framework, for normally distributed cash flows that are parameterized using real data from Bolstr.
本文分析了Bolstr和Localstake最近提出的一种新的众筹模式。在这个模型中,平台充当了需要资金的公司和愿意提供资金的投资者之间的媒人。一旦公司获得资金,它就会在不确定的投资期限内,通过预先指定的投资倍数和收入分享比例的收入分享合同来偿还投资者。该公司确定其最优合同参数,以最大化其预期净现值,但受投资者参与限制和平台费用的限制。自然多周期公式导致非凸随机优化问题,我们使用蒙特卡罗模拟和基于网格的优化框架对正态分布的现金流进行数值求解,这些现金流使用Bolstr的真实数据进行参数化。
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引用次数: 30
Integrated Production Planning and Risk Hedging 综合生产计划和风险对冲
Liao Wang, D. Yao
We study production planning integrated with risk hedging. In addition to using a one-time production quantity decision, made at the beginning of a planning horizon, as a way to manage demand uncertainty, we illustrate how to construct and execute a hedging strategy throughout the horizon, as a better and more effective approach to mitigating the risks involved. Furthermore, whereas traditional production planning models focus on the expected net-profit as an objective function, we study two risk measures, variance and shortfall. In both cases, we characterize the efficient frontier, and demonstrate the improved risk-return profile over a production-only decision.
我们研究与风险对冲相结合的生产计划。除了使用在规划周期开始时做出的一次性生产数量决策,作为管理需求不确定性的一种方法外,我们还说明了如何在整个周期内构建和执行对冲策略,作为一种更好、更有效的方法来减轻所涉及的风险。此外,传统的生产计划模型将期望净利润作为目标函数,而我们研究了方差和缺口这两个风险度量。在这两种情况下,我们都描述了有效边界,并证明了在仅生产决策的基础上改进的风险回报曲线。
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引用次数: 1
Managing Supply Risk in Fixed Price Contracts: A Contingent Claims Perspective 固定价格合同中的供应风险管理:或有索赔的视角
B. Kamrad, Ran Ji, Glen M. Schmidt
The primary focus of this paper is supply risk mitigation. though, its objectives are twofold. First, we develop a generic contingent claims model framed as an exercise in stochastic optimal control. The model is easily adjusted to a number of risk-based operational problems. Second, we adapt the model to the problem of supply uncertainty and the valuation of a fixed price contract with a focus on managing supply uncertainty through a portfolio based risk sharing framework. The risk and reward tradeoffs characterizing our general findings in this chapter indicate a subtle balance between supply risk, sourcing allocations and related costs, and accordingly, the resulting operational strategies considered. Given this setup, increased supplier-portfolio risk is a defining measure in establishing optimal operating policies, with the caveat that increases in the supplier portfolio’s volatility, also increase shortages which lowers the contract’s value.
本文的主要重点是降低供应风险。然而,它的目标是双重的。首先,我们开发了一个通用的或有索赔模型,作为随机最优控制的练习。该模型很容易调整到许多基于风险的操作问题。其次,我们将模型应用于供应不确定性和固定价格合同的估值问题,重点是通过基于投资组合的风险分担框架来管理供应不确定性。本章的风险和回报权衡特征表明了供应风险、采购分配和相关成本之间的微妙平衡,并相应地考虑了由此产生的运营策略。在这种情况下,增加的供应商组合风险是建立最优运营策略的一个决定性指标,同时需要注意的是,供应商组合的波动性增加,也会增加短缺,从而降低合同的价值。
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引用次数: 0
Reverse Factoring: A Theory on the Value of Payment Terms Extension 逆向保理:一种关于付款条件延期价值的理论
S. Lekkakos, A. Serrano
Reverse factoring is a financial instrument that large creditworthy firms use to facilitate low cost financing to their suppliers by confirming future payment obligations to financial intermediaries. This paper studies the implications of reverse factoring on the buying firm’s capital investment decision in the face of deadweight costs for external financing. Our results show that the implementation of reverse factoring with payment terms extension can facilitate higher investment to the benefit of the integrated supply chain.
反向保理是一种金融工具,大型信誉良好的公司通过确认对金融中介机构的未来付款义务,为其供应商提供低成本融资。本文研究了面对外部融资的无谓成本时,逆向保理对购买企业资本投资决策的影响。我们的研究结果表明,实施延期付款条件的逆向保理可以促进更高的投资,从而使集成供应链受益。
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引用次数: 5
Agency Cost of Debt: A Case for Supplier Financing 债务的代理成本:一个供应商融资的案例
J. Chod
In this paper, we first show how debt financing distorts the inventory decision of a multi–product retail firm. Protected by limited liability, a debt–financed retailer seeks risk by favoring items with a low salvage value, those with a high profit margin, and those that represent a large share of the total inventory investment. Second, we demonstrate that in many cases, this distortion can be avoided by using supplier financing. A supplier who automatically observes the retailer’s order quantities, can deter risk–seeking behavior on the part of the retailer with the threat of stricter credit terms. This provides suppliers with a financing advantage over banks, which can monitor inventory only at a cost.
在本文中,我们首先展示了债务融资如何扭曲多产品零售企业的库存决策。在有限责任的保护下,债务融资的零售商寻求风险,青睐那些残值低、利润率高的商品,以及那些占总库存投资很大份额的商品。其次,我们证明,在许多情况下,这种扭曲可以通过使用供应商融资来避免。供应商自动观察零售商的订购数量,可以用更严格的信用条款来威胁零售商寻求风险的行为。这为供应商提供了相对于银行的融资优势,银行只能以一定的成本监控库存。
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引用次数: 2
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Foundations and Trends in Technology, Information and Operations Management
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